ALTLAYER

? · · gru_s6

token id: #993
symbol: ALTLAYER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-01-25
predictions: 2,949

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1125

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0372

actual -0.0146

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.013154	0.01191	-9.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.013003	0.011761	-9.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-20	oos	0.010039	0.009284	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-19	oos	0.009206	0.008506	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.008851	0.008161	-7.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.008622	0.007918	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-16	oos	0.008284	0.007584	-8.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.007993	0.007295	-8.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.008056	0.007349	-8.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.008315	0.007597	-8.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.007828	0.007114	-9.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.008175	0.00745	-8.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-10	oos	0.008126	0.007378	-9.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.007945	0.007195	-9.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.007255	0.006546	-9.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.007425	0.006732	-9.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-06	oos	0.00794	0.007251	-8.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-05	oos	0.008013	0.007341	-8.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-04	oos	0.007874	0.007263	-7.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-03	oos	0.008026	0.007344	-8.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-02	oos	0.007874	0.00721	-8.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-01	oos	0.007669	0.007052	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-30	oos	0.007738	0.007082	-8.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.007615	0.007002	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.00753	0.00695	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.008026	0.007411	-7.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-26	oos	0.008165	0.007535	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-25	oos	0.008094	0.007494	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.007837	0.007325	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-23	oos	0.007385	0.006988	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-22	oos	0.007746	0.007356	-5.04%	0.013154	+69.82%	0.6022	✗	0.90
2026-09-21	oos	0.007585	0.00729	-3.90%	0.013003	+71.43%	0.6063	✗	0.92
2026-09-20	oos	0.007175	0.006788	-5.40%	0.010039	+39.91%	0.3710	✗	0.94
2026-09-19	oos	0.007233	0.006872	-4.99%	0.009206	+27.27%	0.2854	✗	0.94
2026-09-18	oos	0.007113	0.006791	-4.52%	0.008851	+24.43%	0.2518	✗	0.94
2026-09-17	oos	0.006596	0.006201	-6.00%	0.008622	+30.71%	0.2736	✗	0.88
2026-09-16	oos	0.006387	0.006041	-5.42%	0.008284	+29.70%	0.2560	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.006335	0.005995	-5.36%	0.007993	+26.17%	0.2175	✗	0.84
2026-09-14	oos	0.006713	0.00645	-3.92%	0.008056	+19.99%	0.1878	✗	0.81
2026-09-13	oos	0.006425	0.006158	-4.16%	0.008315	+29.41%	0.2388	✗	0.78
2026-09-12	oos	0.006514	0.00627	-3.74%	0.007828	+20.18%	0.1785	✗	0.77
2026-09-11	oos	0.006255	0.006049	-3.30%	0.008175	+30.70%	0.2394	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	0.006032	0.005833	-3.31%	0.008126	+34.70%	0.2693	✗	0.78
2026-09-09	oos	0.006386	0.006227	-2.49%	0.007945	+24.42%	0.2039	✗	0.75
2026-09-08	oos	0.006584	0.006412	-2.61%	0.007255	+10.20%	0.0929	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.006544	0.006407	-2.10%	0.007425	+13.46%	0.1079	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.006554	0.006427	-1.94%	0.00794	+21.16%	0.1670	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.006526	0.006412	-1.74%	0.008013	+22.79%	0.1726	✗	0.70
2026-09-04	oos	0.006451	0.006385	-1.02%	0.007874	+22.05%	0.1541	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.006306	0.006349	+0.69%	0.008026	+27.29%	0.2048	✓	0.70
2026-09-02	oos	0.006073	0.006021	-0.86%	0.007874	+29.64%	0.2031	✗	0.73
2026-09-01	oos	0.006069	0.006054	-0.25%	0.007669	+26.36%	0.1681	✗	0.74
2026-08-31	oos	0.006133	0.00618	+0.77%	0.007738	+26.17%	0.1830	✓	0.68
2026-08-30	oos	0.006067	0.006082	+0.24%	0.007615	+25.52%	0.1731	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.006205	0.006266	+0.98%	0.00753	+21.36%	0.1409	✓	0.66
2026-08-28	oos	0.006266	0.006325	+0.95%	0.008026	+28.09%	0.1838	✓	0.67
2026-08-27	oos	0.006537	0.00674	+3.10%	0.008165	+24.91%	0.1592	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.006475	0.006616	+2.18%	0.008094	+25.00%	0.1611	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.006223	0.006343	+1.92%	0.007837	+25.94%	0.1633	✓	0.67
2026-08-24	oos	0.006415	0.006577	+2.52%	0.007385	+15.12%	0.0754	✓	0.61
2026-08-23	oos	0.006588	0.006689	+1.54%	0.007746	+17.58%	0.0809	✓	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.006517	0.006593	+1.17%	0.007585	+16.39%	0.0666	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.006912	0.007054	+2.05%	0.007175	+3.80%	0.0044	✓	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.006425	0.006325	-1.56%	0.007233	+12.58%	0.0772	✗	0.53
2026-08-19	oos	0.006133	0.005908	-3.67%	0.007113	+15.98%	0.1248	✗	0.39
2026-08-18	oos	0.005853	0.005545	-5.27%	0.006596	+12.69%	0.1172	✗	0.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.005956	0.00563	-5.47%	0.006387	+7.24%	0.0628	✗	0.38
2026-08-16	oos	0.005986	0.005638	-5.82%	0.006335	+5.83%	0.0436	✓	0.40
2026-08-15	oos	0.005995	0.005654	-5.68%	0.006713	+11.98%	0.0870	✗	0.39
2026-08-14	oos	0.005904	0.005578	-5.53%	0.006425	+8.82%	0.0628	✗	0.40
2026-08-13	oos	0.005935	0.005618	-5.34%	0.006514	+9.75%	0.0693	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.005835	0.005531	-5.22%	0.006255	+7.20%	0.0351	✓	0.45
2026-08-11	oos	0.005856	0.005549	-5.25%	0.006032	+3.01%	0.0030	✓	0.43
2026-08-10	oos	0.006138	0.005808	-5.38%	0.006386	+4.04%	0.0028	✓	0.45
2026-08-09	oos	0.006055	0.00573	-5.36%	0.006584	+8.74%	0.0486	✓	0.47
2026-08-08	oos	0.005933	0.005618	-5.32%	0.006544	+10.31%	0.0593	✗	0.47
2026-08-07	oos	0.005795	0.005489	-5.29%	0.006554	+13.09%	0.0747	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.005796	0.005488	-5.32%	0.006526	+12.59%	0.0697	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.005755	0.005455	-5.22%	0.006451	+12.09%	0.0668	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.005674	0.005378	-5.22%	0.006306	+11.13%	0.0486	✓	0.46
2026-08-03	oos	0.005733	0.005433	-5.24%	0.006073	+5.94%	0.0177	✓	0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.005739	0.005444	-5.14%	0.006069	+5.75%	0.0128	✓	0.48
2026-08-01	oos	0.005764	0.005462	-5.23%	0.006133	+6.40%	0.0053	✓	0.49
2026-07-31	oos	0.005828	0.005534	-5.05%	0.006067	+4.10%	0.0124	✓	0.49
2026-07-30	oos	0.005729	0.005463	-4.65%	0.006205	+8.31%	0.0271	✓	0.53
2026-07-29	oos	0.005684	0.005436	-4.36%	0.006266	+10.24%	0.0381	✓	0.53
2026-07-28	oos	0.005983	0.005727	-4.28%	0.006537	+9.26%	0.0135	✓	0.52
2026-07-27	oos	0.005768	0.005545	-3.87%	0.006475	+12.26%	0.0455	✗	0.51
2026-07-26	oos	0.006081	0.005862	-3.60%	0.006223	+2.34%	0.0279	✓	0.48
2026-07-25	oos	0.006113	0.005919	-3.17%	0.006415	+4.94%	0.0229	✓	0.50
2026-07-24	oos	0.006088	0.005899	-3.11%	0.006588	+8.21%	0.0154	✓	0.49
2026-07-23	oos	0.006245	0.006041	-3.26%	0.006517	+4.36%	0.0070	✓	0.49
2026-07-22	oos	0.006349	0.006144	-3.22%	0.006912	+8.87%	0.0357	✗	0.48
2026-07-21	oos	0.006386	0.006199	-2.93%	0.006425	+0.61%	0.0094	✓	0.49
2026-07-20	oos	0.006312	0.006137	-2.77%	0.006133	-2.84%	0.0309	✓	0.50
2026-07-19	oos	0.006308	0.006128	-2.86%	0.005853	-7.21%	0.0459	✓	0.50
2026-07-18	oos	0.006367	0.006174	-3.04%	0.005956	-6.46%	0.0332	✓	0.55
2026-07-17	oos	0.006455	0.00624	-3.33%	0.005986	-7.27%	0.0321	✓	0.57
2026-07-16	oos	0.006606	0.006368	-3.60%	0.005995	-9.25%	0.0534	✓	0.60
2026-07-15	oos	0.006508	0.006277	-3.55%	0.005904	-9.28%	0.0456	✓	0.57
2026-07-14	oos	0.006388	0.006168	-3.45%	0.005935	-7.09%	0.0240	✓	0.59
2026-07-13	oos	0.006296	0.006088	-3.31%	0.005835	-7.32%	0.0536	✓	0.62
2026-07-12	oos	0.006429	0.006215	-3.33%	0.005856	-8.91%	0.0574	✓	0.61
2026-07-11	oos	0.006432	0.006224	-3.23%	0.006138	-4.57%	0.0154	✓	0.64
2026-07-10	oos	0.006578	0.006361	-3.30%	0.006055	-7.95%	0.0567	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.006204	0.006017	-3.01%	0.005933	-4.37%	0.0313	✓	0.64
2026-07-08	oos	0.006248	0.006058	-3.04%	0.005795	-7.25%	0.0711	✓	0.64
2026-07-07	oos	0.006407	0.0062	-3.24%	0.005796	-9.54%	0.0768	✓	0.64
2026-07-06	oos	0.006427	0.006211	-3.36%	0.005755	-10.46%	0.0824	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	0.006585	0.006352	-3.54%	0.005674	-13.83%	0.1180	✓	0.71
2026-07-04	oos	0.006629	0.006391	-3.59%	0.005733	-13.52%	0.1129	✓	0.72
2026-07-03	oos	0.006348	0.00613	-3.44%	0.005739	-9.59%	0.0762	✓	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	0.005916	0.005733	-3.09%	0.005764	-2.57%	0.0076	✓	0.63
2026-07-01	oos	0.005829	0.005653	-3.03%	0.005828	-0.02%	0.0009	✓	0.63
2026-06-30	oos	0.005636	0.005477	-2.82%	0.005729	+1.65%	0.0192	✓	0.64
2026-06-29	oos	0.005697	0.005518	-3.15%	0.005684	-0.23%	0.0089	✓	0.64
2026-06-28	oos	0.005635	0.005459	-3.12%	0.005983	+6.18%	0.0459	✗	0.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.005643	0.00546	-3.24%	0.005768	+2.22%	0.0154	✓	0.65
2026-06-26	oos	0.005744	0.005547	-3.42%	0.006081	+5.87%	0.0365	✗	0.65
2026-06-25	oos	0.005694	0.0055	-3.40%	0.006113	+7.36%	0.0576	✗	0.65
2026-06-24	oos	0.005806	0.005598	-3.58%	0.006088	+4.86%	0.0509	✗	0.67
2026-06-23	oos	0.006027	0.00579	-3.92%	0.006245	+3.62%	0.0500	✗	0.68
2026-06-22	oos	0.006304	0.006035	-4.27%	0.006349	+0.71%	0.0288	✓	0.67
2026-06-21	oos	0.006296	0.00603	-4.23%	0.006386	+1.43%	0.0234	✓	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	0.006457	0.006172	-4.41%	0.006312	-2.25%	0.0123	✓	0.66
2026-06-19	oos	0.006908	0.006572	-4.87%	0.006308	-8.69%	0.0540	✓	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	0.006797	0.006464	-4.89%	0.006367	-6.33%	0.0366	✓	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	0.006667	0.00635	-4.76%	0.006455	-3.18%	0.0227	✓	0.73
2026-06-16	oos	0.006764	0.006439	-4.80%	0.006606	-2.34%	0.0463	✓	0.73
2026-06-15	oos	0.006499	0.006203	-4.56%	0.006508	+0.14%	0.0665	✗	0.77
2026-06-14	oos	0.006642	0.00632	-4.84%	0.006388	-3.82%	0.0192	✓	0.78
2026-06-13	oos	0.006614	0.006294	-4.84%	0.006296	-4.81%	0.0271	✓	0.78
2026-06-12	oos	0.006249	0.005974	-4.41%	0.006429	+2.88%	0.0710	✗	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.006328	0.006066	-4.13%	0.006432	+1.64%	0.0559	✗	0.79
2026-06-10	oos	0.006105	0.005888	-3.56%	0.006578	+7.75%	0.0777	✗	0.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.006306	0.006087	-3.47%	0.006204	-1.62%	0.0006	✓	0.77
2026-06-08	oos	0.005884	0.005686	-3.37%	0.006248	+6.19%	0.1051	✗	0.82
2026-06-07	oos	0.005673	0.005495	-3.14%	0.006407	+12.94%	0.1533	✗	0.84
2026-06-06	oos	0.005673	0.00552	-2.70%	0.006427	+13.29%	0.1084	✗	0.87
2026-06-05	oos	0.005884	0.005732	-2.58%	0.006585	+11.91%	0.1038	✗	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.006227	0.006003	-3.59%	0.006629	+6.46%	0.1086	✗	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	0.006755	0.006433	-4.76%	0.006348	-6.03%	0.0059	✓	0.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.006585	0.006225	-5.47%	0.005916	-10.16%	0.0194	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.006995	0.006513	-6.89%	0.005829	-16.67%	0.0278	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.006888	0.006379	-7.39%	0.005636	-18.18%	0.0672	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.006857	0.006339	-7.56%	0.005697	-16.92%	0.0589	✓	0.81
2026-05-29	oos	0.006807	0.006281	-7.73%	0.005635	-17.22%	0.0664	✓	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.006977	0.006433	-7.80%	0.005643	-19.12%	0.0379	✓	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.007658	0.007059	-7.82%	0.005744	-24.99%	0.0376	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.007008	0.006529	-6.83%	0.005694	-18.75%	0.0673	✓	0.85
2026-05-25	oos	0.007234	0.006786	-6.19%	0.005806	-19.74%	0.0439	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	0.007556	0.007083	-6.26%	0.006027	-20.24%	0.0122	✓	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.008217	0.007655	-6.84%	0.006304	-23.28%	0.0414	✓	0.84
2026-05-22	oos	0.008229	0.007633	-7.24%	0.006296	-23.49%	0.0418	✓	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.007309	0.00693	-5.18%	0.006457	-11.66%	0.1094	✗	0.96
2026-05-20	oos	0.007392	0.007005	-5.23%	0.006908	-6.55%	0.1773	✗	0.96
2026-05-19	oos	0.006698	0.0064	-4.44%	0.006797	+1.48%	0.2475	✗	0.94
2026-05-18	oos	0.006725	0.006432	-4.36%	0.006667	-0.86%	0.2058	✗	0.96
2026-05-17	oos	0.006618	0.006362	-3.88%	0.006764	+2.21%	0.2171	✗	0.94
2026-05-16	oos	0.00679	0.006536	-3.75%	0.006499	-4.29%	0.1487	✗	0.94
2026-05-15	oos	0.006873	0.006611	-3.81%	0.006642	-3.36%	0.1812	✗	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.007406	0.007162	-3.30%	0.006614	-10.69%	0.1337	✗	0.93
2026-05-13	oos	0.007467	0.007138	-4.41%	0.006249	-16.31%	0.0745	✗	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.008015	0.007667	-4.34%	0.006328	-21.05%	0.0214	✓	0.90
2026-05-11	oos	0.008285	0.007959	-3.93%	0.006105	-26.31%	0.0214	✓	0.85
2026-05-10	oos	0.008314	0.008011	-3.64%	0.006306	-24.15%	0.0072	✓	0.86
2026-05-09	oos	0.008144	0.007785	-4.41%	0.005884	-27.75%	0.0694	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.008256	0.007874	-4.63%	0.005673	-31.29%	0.1277	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.008129	0.007766	-4.46%	0.005673	-30.21%	0.0870	✓	0.83
2026-05-06	oos	0.008023	0.007741	-3.51%	0.005884	-26.66%	0.0312	✓	0.84
2026-05-05	oos	0.007856	0.00757	-3.64%	0.006227	-20.74%	0.0310	✓	0.95
2026-05-04	oos	0.007689	0.007394	-3.84%	0.006755	-12.15%	0.1167	✗	0.94
2026-05-03	oos	0.007594	0.007273	-4.22%	0.006585	-13.29%	0.0552	✗	0.94
2026-05-02	oos	0.007688	0.007361	-4.25%	0.006995	-9.01%	0.0424	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.007531	0.007203	-4.36%	0.006888	-8.54%	0.0140	✓	0.96
2026-04-30	oos	0.007457	0.007069	-5.21%	0.006857	-8.05%	0.0022	✓	0.96
2026-04-29	oos	0.007736	0.007305	-5.57%	0.006807	-12.01%	0.0397	✓	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.007534	0.007125	-5.43%	0.006977	-7.39%	0.0160	✓	0.99
2026-04-27	oos	0.007579	0.007197	-5.04%	0.007658	+1.04%	0.1018	✗	0.99
2026-04-26	oos	0.007956	0.007612	-4.32%	0.007008	-11.92%	0.0466	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.008065	0.00767	-4.90%	0.007234	-10.30%	0.0533	✓	0.99
2026-04-24	oos	0.007884	0.007519	-4.63%	0.007556	-4.16%	0.0112	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.007859	0.007538	-4.08%	0.008217	+4.56%	0.1072	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.007632	0.007338	-3.85%	0.008229	+7.82%	0.1505	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.007424	0.007094	-4.44%	0.007309	-1.55%	0.0143	✓	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.007413	0.007061	-4.75%	0.007392	-0.28%	0.0249	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.006926	0.006565	-5.21%	0.006698	-3.29%	0.0189	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.007115	0.006786	-4.62%	0.006725	-5.48%	0.0249	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.007504	0.007171	-4.44%	0.006618	-11.81%	0.0842	✓	0.99
2026-04-16	oos	0.007688	0.007265	-5.50%	0.00679	-11.68%	0.1064	✓	1.01
2026-04-15	oos	0.006918	0.006565	-5.11%	0.006873	-0.65%	0.0091	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.006786	0.006447	-5.00%	0.007406	+9.14%	0.0492	✓	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.006972	0.006647	-4.67%	0.007467	+7.10%	0.0536	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.006626	0.006239	-5.83%	0.008015	+20.96%	0.1191	✗	1.02
2026-04-11	oos	0.006895	0.006528	-5.32%	0.008285	+20.16%	0.1247	✗	1.02
2026-04-10	oos	0.006739	0.006434	-4.52%	0.008314	+23.37%	0.1357	✗	1.02
2026-04-09	oos	0.006756	0.006442	-4.65%	0.008144	+20.54%	0.1159	✗	1.02
2026-04-08	oos	0.006529	0.006238	-4.45%	0.008256	+26.45%	0.1580	✗	1.01
2026-04-07	oos	0.006675	0.006398	-4.15%	0.008129	+21.78%	0.1313	✗	1.01
2026-04-06	oos	0.006187	0.005912	-4.45%	0.008023	+29.68%	0.1388	✗	0.99
2026-04-05	oos	0.006164	0.005904	-4.22%	0.007856	+27.45%	0.1276	✗	0.99
2026-04-04	oos	0.006393	0.006122	-4.23%	0.007689	+20.27%	0.0572	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.00662	0.006335	-4.30%	0.007594	+14.71%	0.0197	✓	1.01
2026-04-02	oos	0.006065	0.00585	-3.54%	0.007688	+26.76%	0.1097	✗	1.01
2026-04-01	oos	0.006334	0.006125	-3.30%	0.007531	+18.90%	0.0673	✗	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.006283	0.006129	-2.45%	0.007457	+18.69%	0.0819	✗	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.006164	0.006016	-2.41%	0.007736	+25.50%	0.1223	✗	1.02
2026-03-29	oos	0.006084	0.005965	-1.96%	0.007534	+23.83%	0.0855	✗	1.02
2026-03-28	oos	0.006208	0.006094	-1.83%	0.007579	+22.08%	0.0617	✗	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.006345	0.00621	-2.13%	0.007956	+25.39%	0.0750	✗	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.006635	0.006519	-1.74%	0.008065	+21.55%	0.0892	✗	1.02
2026-03-25	oos	0.006988	0.006912	-1.09%	0.007884	+12.82%	0.0477	✗	1.01
2026-03-24	oos	0.006844	0.006768	-1.11%	0.007859	+14.83%	0.0441	✗	1.01
2026-03-23	oos	0.006966	0.006885	-1.17%	0.007632	+9.56%	0.0035	✓	1.01
2026-03-22	oos	0.006818	0.006737	-1.18%	0.007424	+8.89%	0.0236	✓	1.02
2026-03-21	oos	0.007104	0.007022	-1.16%	0.007413	+4.35%	0.0436	✓	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.007474	0.007415	-0.79%	0.006926	-7.33%	0.1147	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.007541	0.007497	-0.59%	0.007115	-5.65%	0.1331	✓	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.007558	0.007537	-0.27%	0.007504	-0.71%	0.0862	✓	1.04
2026-03-17	oos	0.008071	0.008058	-0.16%	0.007688	-4.75%	0.0640	✓	1.03
2026-03-16	oos	0.008065	0.008071	+0.06%	0.006918	-14.23%	0.1534	✗	1.04
2026-03-15	oos	0.007898	0.007898	+0.00%	0.006786	-14.08%	0.1709	✗	1.04
2026-03-14	oos	0.007474	0.007477	+0.04%	0.006972	-6.72%	0.1154	✗	1.03
2026-03-13	oos	0.007445	0.007449	+0.05%	0.006626	-11.00%	0.1143	✗	1.04
2026-03-12	oos	0.007551	0.007537	-0.19%	0.006895	-8.69%	0.1261	✓	1.04
2026-03-11	oos	0.007653	0.007601	-0.67%	0.006739	-11.94%	0.1612	✓	1.05
2026-03-10	oos	0.007546	0.007465	-1.07%	0.006756	-10.47%	0.1268	✓	1.04
2026-03-09	oos	0.00727	0.007195	-1.03%	0.006529	-10.19%	0.1366	✓	1.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.007116	0.007078	-0.53%	0.006675	-6.20%	0.1489	✓	1.05
2026-03-07	oos	0.007076	0.007046	-0.43%	0.006187	-12.56%	0.1547	✓	1.05
2026-03-06	oos	0.007153	0.007132	-0.29%	0.006164	-13.83%	0.1596	✓	1.05
2026-03-05	oos	0.007255	0.007258	+0.04%	0.006393	-11.88%	0.0715	✗	1.06
2026-03-04	oos	0.007432	0.007464	+0.43%	0.00662	-10.93%	0.0327	✗	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.007324	0.007335	+0.15%	0.006065	-17.19%	0.1665	✗	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.007251	0.007266	+0.21%	0.006334	-12.65%	0.1257	✗	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.007123	0.007142	+0.26%	0.006283	-11.79%	0.1698	✗	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.007539	0.007521	-0.24%	0.006164	-18.24%	0.1951	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.007517	0.007474	-0.57%	0.006084	-19.06%	0.2074	✓	1.14
2026-02-26	oos	0.007536	0.007448	-1.16%	0.006208	-17.62%	0.1622	✓	1.14
2026-02-25	oos	0.007779	0.007649	-1.67%	0.006345	-18.43%	0.1591	✓	1.14
2026-02-24	oos	0.007418	0.007331	-1.17%	0.006635	-10.56%	0.1810	✓	1.15
2026-02-23	oos	0.007368	0.007268	-1.36%	0.006988	-5.16%	0.1511	✓	1.14
2026-02-22	oos	0.007626	0.007488	-1.81%	0.006844	-10.25%	0.1384	✓	1.15
2026-02-21	oos	0.007988	0.007812	-2.20%	0.006966	-12.79%	0.1631	✓	1.15
2026-02-20	oos	0.008236	0.008062	-2.11%	0.006818	-17.22%	0.1653	✓	1.14
2026-02-19	oos	0.00803	0.007899	-1.63%	0.007104	-11.53%	0.1386	✓	1.14
2026-02-18	oos	0.008196	0.008072	-1.52%	0.007474	-8.81%	0.1460	✓	1.16
2026-02-17	oos	0.008763	0.008596	-1.90%	0.007541	-13.94%	0.1680	✓	1.04
2026-02-16	oos	0.008626	0.008451	-2.02%	0.007558	-12.38%	0.1474	✓	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.008606	0.008425	-2.10%	0.008071	-6.22%	0.1188	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.009088	0.008842	-2.70%	0.008065	-11.25%	0.1659	✓	1.05
2026-02-13	oos	0.008898	0.00866	-2.68%	0.007898	-11.24%	0.1517	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.008649	0.008475	-2.01%	0.007474	-13.59%	0.2031	✓	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.00848	0.008328	-1.79%	0.007445	-12.21%	0.1725	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.008161	0.008005	-1.91%	0.007551	-7.47%	0.0853	✓	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.008358	0.008176	-2.18%	0.007653	-8.44%	0.0677	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.008366	0.008197	-2.03%	0.007546	-9.80%	0.0777	✓	1.10
2026-02-07	oos	0.008586	0.008398	-2.19%	0.00727	-15.33%	0.1311	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.008428	0.008265	-1.93%	0.007116	-15.57%	0.0753	✓	1.11
2026-02-05	oos	0.007656	0.007619	-0.49%	0.007076	-7.58%	0.1545	✓	1.17
2026-02-04	oos	0.009233	0.008959	-2.97%	0.007153	-22.53%	0.1429	✓	1.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.009308	0.008967	-3.66%	0.007255	-22.06%	0.1325	✓	1.22
2026-02-02	oos	0.00974	0.009326	-4.25%	0.007432	-23.70%	0.1293	✓	1.24
2026-02-01	oos	0.00922	0.008862	-3.88%	0.007324	-20.56%	0.0487	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	0.00963	0.009214	-4.32%	0.007251	-24.70%	0.0672	✓	1.29
2026-01-30	oos	0.01037	0.009795	-5.54%	0.007123	-31.31%	0.0116	✓	1.34
2026-01-29	oos	0.01036	0.009787	-5.54%	0.007539	-27.23%	0.0545	✓	1.36
2026-01-28	oos	0.01125	0.010563	-6.11%	0.007517	-33.18%	0.0633	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.01143	0.01072	-6.21%	0.007536	-34.07%	0.0286	✓	1.37
2026-01-26	oos	0.01164	0.010941	-6.00%	0.007779	-33.17%	0.0121	✓	1.35
2026-01-25	oos	0.01115	0.010489	-5.93%	0.007418	-33.47%	0.0592	✓	1.35
2026-01-24	oos	0.01185	0.011038	-6.85%	0.007368	-37.82%	0.0243	✓	1.33
2026-01-23	oos	0.01141	0.010626	-6.87%	0.007626	-33.16%	0.0455	✓	1.35
2026-01-22	oos	0.01138	0.010581	-7.02%	0.007988	-29.81%	0.0891	✗	1.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.01178	0.010935	-7.18%	0.008236	-30.08%	0.0855	✗	1.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.01133	0.010524	-7.12%	0.00803	-29.13%	0.1038	✗	1.35
2026-01-19	oos	0.01221	0.011357	-6.99%	0.008196	-32.87%	0.1203	✗	1.35
2026-01-18	oos	0.01248	0.011581	-7.20%	0.008763	-29.78%	0.1630	✗	1.35
2026-01-17	oos	0.01285	0.011973	-6.82%	0.008626	-32.87%	0.1060	✗	1.34
2026-01-16	oos	0.01323	0.012346	-6.68%	0.008606	-34.95%	0.0786	✗	1.34
2026-01-15	oos	0.01237	0.011582	-6.37%	0.009088	-26.53%	0.1794	✗	1.34
2026-01-14	oos	0.01325	0.01245	-6.04%	0.008898	-32.85%	0.1186	✗	1.33
2026-01-13	oos	0.01367	0.012775	-6.55%	0.008649	-36.73%	0.1082	✗	1.36
2026-01-12	oos	0.01253	0.011702	-6.61%	0.00848	-32.32%	0.0892	✗	1.34
2026-01-11	oos	0.01279	0.011955	-6.53%	0.008161	-36.19%	0.0063	✓	1.35
2026-01-10	oos	0.01283	0.012086	-5.80%	0.008358	-34.86%	0.0246	✓	1.35
2026-01-09	oos	0.01297	0.012296	-5.20%	0.008366	-35.50%	0.0221	✓	1.43
2026-01-08	oos	0.01303	0.012413	-4.74%	0.008586	-34.11%	0.0141	✓	1.40
2026-01-07	oos	0.01327	0.012644	-4.72%	0.008428	-36.49%	0.0889	✗	1.92
2026-01-06	oos	0.01365	0.013056	-4.35%	0.007656	-43.91%	0.2398	✗	1.93
2026-01-05	oos	0.01354	0.013028	-3.78%	0.009233	-31.81%	0.1427	✗	1.94
2026-01-04	oos	0.01384	0.013282	-4.03%	0.009308	-32.75%	0.0255	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0129	0.01246	-3.41%	0.00974	-24.50%	0.0361	✗	2.00
2026-01-02	oos	0.01273	0.012356	-2.94%	0.00922	-27.57%	0.0194	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.01248	0.012164	-2.53%	0.00963	-22.84%	0.0064	✓	1.99
2025-12-31	oos	0.01146	0.011231	-2.00%	0.01037	-9.51%	0.0021	✓	1.97
2025-12-30	oos	0.01159	0.01133	-2.25%	0.01036	-10.61%	0.0005	✓	1.98
2025-12-29	oos	0.0117	0.011363	-2.88%	0.01125	-3.85%	0.0555	✓	1.95
2025-12-28	oos	0.01186	0.011524	-2.83%	0.01143	-3.63%	0.0356	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.01213	0.01173	-3.30%	0.01164	-4.04%	0.0173	✓	1.92
2025-12-26	oos	0.01161	0.011255	-3.06%	0.01115	-3.96%	0.0066	✓	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.01145	0.011106	-3.01%	0.01185	+3.49%	0.0238	✓	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.01147	0.011121	-3.05%	0.01141	-0.52%	0.0144	✓	1.90
2025-12-23	oos	0.01141	0.011044	-3.21%	0.01138	-0.26%	0.0138	✓	1.90
2025-12-22	oos	0.01153	0.011152	-3.27%	0.01178	+2.17%	0.0374	✗	1.91
2025-12-21	oos	0.01145	0.011088	-3.17%	0.01133	-1.05%	0.0287	✓	1.91
2025-12-20	oos	0.01182	0.011458	-3.07%	0.01221	+3.30%	0.0273	✓	1.94
2025-12-19	oos	0.01167	0.011353	-2.72%	0.01248	+6.94%	0.0237	✓	1.94
2025-12-18	oos	0.01078	0.010541	-2.22%	0.01285	+19.20%	0.0076	✓	1.92
2025-12-17	oos	0.01131	0.011037	-2.41%	0.01323	+16.98%	0.0160	✓	1.93
2025-12-16	oos	0.012	0.011626	-3.12%	0.01237	+3.08%	0.1000	✓	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.01187	0.01157	-2.53%	0.01325	+11.63%	0.0862	✓	1.93
2025-12-14	oos	0.01225	0.011942	-2.51%	0.01367	+11.59%	0.0171	✓	1.94
2025-12-13	oos	0.01305	0.012677	-2.86%	0.01253	-3.98%	0.0315	✓	1.93
2025-12-12	oos	0.01244	0.012184	-2.06%	0.01279	+2.81%	0.0359	✗	1.93
2025-12-11	oos	0.01283	0.012603	-1.77%	0.01283	+0.00%	0.0638	✗	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.01307	0.012847	-1.70%	0.01297	-0.77%	0.0420	✗	1.95
2025-12-09	oos	0.01353	0.013299	-1.71%	0.01303	-3.70%	0.0148	✓	1.94
2025-12-08	oos	0.01316	0.012958	-1.54%	0.01327	+0.84%	0.0105	✓	1.93
2025-12-07	oos	0.01283	0.012608	-1.73%	0.01365	+6.39%	0.0099	✓	1.93
2025-12-06	oos	0.01318	0.012896	-2.16%	0.01354	+2.73%	0.0495	✓	1.95
2025-12-05	oos	0.01275	0.01252	-1.80%	0.01384	+8.55%	0.0538	✗	1.95
2025-12-04	oos	0.01314	0.012862	-2.11%	0.0129	-1.83%	0.0353	✗	1.98
2025-12-03	oos	0.01376	0.013463	-2.16%	0.01273	-7.49%	0.0193	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.01343	0.013153	-2.06%	0.01248	-7.07%	0.0042	✓	1.99
2025-12-01	oos	0.01251	0.012307	-1.62%	0.01146	-8.39%	0.0999	✓	2.04
2025-11-30	oos	0.01321	0.01295	-1.97%	0.01159	-12.26%	0.0646	✓	2.10
2025-11-29	oos	0.01387	0.013542	-2.36%	0.0117	-15.65%	0.0596	✓	2.07
2025-11-28	oos	0.01559	0.015036	-3.56%	0.01186	-23.93%	0.1669	✓	2.08
2025-11-27	oos	0.01384	0.013446	-2.85%	0.01213	-12.36%	0.0210	✓	2.09
2025-11-26	oos	0.01412	0.013642	-3.39%	0.01161	-17.78%	0.0873	✓	2.07
2025-11-25	oos	0.01388	0.013474	-2.92%	0.01145	-17.51%	0.1590	✓	2.14
2025-11-24	oos	0.01384	0.013431	-2.96%	0.01147	-17.12%	0.1418	✓	2.14
2025-11-23	oos	0.01332	0.013001	-2.39%	0.01141	-14.34%	0.1458	✓	2.14
2025-11-22	oos	0.01345	0.013124	-2.42%	0.01153	-14.28%	0.2286	✓	2.22
2025-11-21	oos	0.01408	0.013677	-2.86%	0.01145	-18.68%	0.2687	✓	2.21
2025-11-20	oos	0.01571	0.015118	-3.77%	0.01182	-24.76%	0.2907	✓	2.18
2025-11-19	oos	0.01424	0.013772	-3.28%	0.01167	-18.05%	0.0703	✓	2.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.01455	0.013997	-3.80%	0.01078	-25.91%	0.0481	✓	2.55
2025-11-17	oos	0.01405	0.013593	-3.25%	0.01131	-19.50%	0.0150	✓	2.55
2025-11-16	oos	0.01451	0.01404	-3.24%	0.012	-17.30%	0.0206	✓	2.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.01521	0.014704	-3.33%	0.01187	-21.96%	0.0426	✗	2.56
2025-11-14	oos	0.01491	0.014479	-2.89%	0.01225	-17.84%	0.0102	✓	2.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.01581	0.015267	-3.43%	0.01305	-17.46%	0.1073	✗	2.68
2025-11-12	oos	0.01634	0.015737	-3.69%	0.01244	-23.87%	0.0839	✗	2.69
2025-11-11	oos	0.01619	0.015608	-3.60%	0.01283	-20.75%	0.0943	✗	2.71
2025-11-10	oos	0.01779	0.017083	-3.97%	0.01307	-26.53%	0.1130	✗	2.70
2025-11-09	oos	0.01728	0.016661	-3.58%	0.01353	-21.70%	0.1205	✗	2.70
2025-11-08	oos	0.01723	0.016646	-3.39%	0.01316	-23.62%	0.0960	✗	2.74
2025-11-07	oos	0.01771	0.017093	-3.48%	0.01283	-27.56%	0.0784	✗	2.74
2025-11-06	oos	0.01611	0.015655	-2.82%	0.01318	-18.19%	0.1704	✗	2.71
2025-11-05	oos	0.01679	0.016134	-3.91%	0.01275	-24.06%	0.1760	✗	2.73
2025-11-04	oos	0.01601	0.015394	-3.85%	0.01314	-17.93%	0.1084	✗	2.75
2025-11-03	oos	0.01679	0.01603	-4.52%	0.01376	-18.05%	0.2284	✗	2.90
2025-11-02	oos	0.01997	0.018685	-6.43%	0.01343	-32.75%	0.2103	✗	2.83
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.016616	-5.38%	0.01251	-28.76%	0.4032	✗	2.82
2025-10-31	oos	0.01636	0.015523	-5.12%	0.01321	-19.25%	0.3816	✗	2.82
2025-10-30	oos	0.01664	0.01586	-4.69%	0.01387	-16.65%	0.3668	✗	2.85
2025-10-29	oos	0.01889	0.017832	-5.60%	0.01559	-17.47%	0.3908	✗	2.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.0188	0.017743	-5.62%	0.01384	-26.38%	0.3522	✗	2.83
2025-10-27	oos	0.01958	0.01849	-5.57%	0.01412	-27.89%	0.3867	✗	2.83
2025-10-26	oos	0.02034	0.01915	-5.85%	0.01388	-31.76%	0.4449	✗	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.01946	0.018368	-5.61%	0.01384	-28.88%	0.3951	✗	2.88
2025-10-24	oos	0.01934	0.018287	-5.45%	0.01332	-31.13%	0.4135	✗	2.97
2025-10-23	oos	0.0192	0.018223	-5.09%	0.01345	-29.95%	0.4761	✗	2.97
2025-10-22	oos	0.01829	0.017467	-4.50%	0.01408	-23.02%	0.4821	✗	2.97
2025-10-21	oos	0.01894	0.01807	-4.59%	0.01571	-17.05%	0.5277	✗	2.97
2025-10-20	oos	0.01966	0.018717	-4.80%	0.01424	-27.57%	0.2992	✗	3.02
2025-10-19	oos	0.01935	0.018477	-4.51%	0.01455	-24.81%	0.2267	✗	2.97
2025-10-18	oos	0.01916	0.01833	-4.33%	0.01405	-26.67%	0.1882	✗	2.99
2025-10-17	oos	0.01885	0.018135	-3.79%	0.01451	-23.02%	0.1425	✗	2.98
2025-10-16	oos	0.01937	0.018646	-3.74%	0.01521	-21.48%	0.1691	✗	3.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.02053	0.019719	-3.95%	0.01491	-27.37%	0.1967	✗	2.99
2025-10-14	oos	0.02154	0.020663	-4.07%	0.01581	-26.60%	0.1124	✗	3.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.02263	0.02165	-4.33%	0.01634	-27.79%	0.0967	✗	3.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.022	0.021066	-4.25%	0.01619	-26.41%	0.0621	✗	2.94
2025-10-11	oos	0.01948	0.018749	-3.75%	0.01779	-8.68%	0.0756	✗	2.90
2025-10-10	oos	0.01861	0.017779	-4.47%	0.01728	-7.15%	0.1968	✗	2.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.02809	0.026533	-5.54%	0.01723	-38.66%	0.0524	✓	2.18
2025-10-08	oos	0.0289	0.027284	-5.59%	0.01771	-38.72%	0.0245	✓	2.30
2025-10-07	oos	0.02774	0.026178	-5.63%	0.01611	-41.93%	0.0662	✓	2.32
2025-10-06	oos	0.0304	0.02896	-4.74%	0.01679	-44.77%	0.1242	✓	2.30
2025-10-05	oos	0.02887	0.027483	-4.80%	0.01601	-44.54%	0.0905	✓	2.29
2025-10-04	oos	0.02937	0.027859	-5.15%	0.01679	-42.83%	0.1864	✓	2.30
2025-10-03	oos	0.03044	0.028835	-5.27%	0.01997	-34.40%	0.1345	✓	2.30
2025-10-02	oos	0.02927	0.027649	-5.54%	0.01756	-40.01%	0.2436	✓	2.29
2025-10-01	oos	0.02791	0.02629	-5.80%	0.01636	-41.38%	0.2912	✓	2.29
2025-09-30	oos	0.02696	0.025408	-5.76%	0.01664	-38.28%	0.2984	✓	2.41
2025-09-29	oos	0.02742	0.025828	-5.81%	0.01889	-31.11%	0.2199	✓	2.40
2025-09-28	oos	0.02841	0.026763	-5.80%	0.0188	-33.83%	0.3689	✓	2.49
2025-09-27	oos	0.02835	0.026812	-5.43%	0.01958	-30.93%	0.4158	✓	2.58
2025-09-26	oos	0.0281	0.026649	-5.16%	0.02034	-27.62%	0.3817	✓	2.58
2025-09-25	oos	0.02673	0.02549	-4.64%	0.01946	-27.20%	0.3311	✓	2.57
2025-09-24	oos	0.02903	0.027587	-4.97%	0.01934	-33.38%	0.3015	✓	2.61
2025-09-23	oos	0.02867	0.027076	-5.56%	0.0192	-33.03%	0.2987	✓	2.63
2025-09-22	oos	0.02965	0.027941	-5.76%	0.01829	-38.31%	0.3046	✓	2.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.03334	0.031166	-6.52%	0.01894	-43.19%	0.3471	✓	2.44
2025-09-20	oos	0.03391	0.031737	-6.41%	0.01966	-42.02%	0.3684	✓	2.41
2025-09-19	oos	0.03336	0.031327	-6.09%	0.01935	-42.00%	0.3273	✓	2.47
2025-09-18	oos	0.03557	0.033323	-6.32%	0.01916	-46.13%	0.3325	✓	2.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.