AEON
AEON · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s6
- token id
- #345
- symbol
- AEON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x277add739c6e0477616948357af9e79fe1ec9b80
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-27
- predictions
- 234
Track record at +1d
assessed
77
of 78 predictions shown
direction hit
59.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0642
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0049
actual -0.0085
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.03874 | 0.038642 | -0.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.038125 | 0.038101 | -0.06% | 0.03874 | +1.61% | 0.0176 | ✗ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.03724 | 0.037271 | +0.08% | 0.038125 | +2.38% | 0.0185 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.036809 | +0.09% | 0.03724 | +1.26% | 0.0123 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.03876 | 0.038743 | -0.04% | 0.036775 | -5.12% | 0.0546 | ✓ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.03639 | 0.036402 | +0.03% | 0.03876 | +6.51% | 0.0633 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.04028 | 0.040197 | -0.21% | 0.03639 | -9.66% | 0.0972 | ✓ | 0.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0438 | 0.043669 | -0.30% | 0.04028 | -8.04% | 0.0829 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.048775 | 0.048528 | -0.51% | 0.0438 | -10.20% | 0.0979 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.04964 | 0.049416 | -0.45% | 0.048775 | -1.74% | 0.0172 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.054755 | 0.05447 | -0.52% | 0.04964 | -9.34% | 0.0886 | ✓ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.058435 | 0.058104 | -0.57% | 0.054755 | -6.30% | 0.0611 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.06656 | 0.06602 | -0.81% | 0.058435 | -12.21% | 0.1229 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06229 | 0.061875 | -0.67% | 0.06656 | +6.86% | 0.0711 | ✗ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.067975 | 0.067348 | -0.92% | 0.06229 | -8.36% | 0.0757 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06723 | 0.066555 | -1.00% | 0.067975 | +1.11% | 0.0250 | ✗ | 0.15 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.06323 | 0.062681 | -0.87% | 0.06723 | +6.33% | 0.0705 | ✗ | 0.16 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.054515 | 0.054286 | -0.42% | 0.06323 | +15.99% | 0.1545 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.05105 | 0.050857 | -0.38% | 0.054515 | +6.79% | 0.0655 | ✗ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.05145 | 0.051247 | -0.39% | 0.05105 | -0.78% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.051035 | 0.050864 | -0.33% | 0.05145 | +0.81% | 0.0122 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.05493 | 0.054774 | -0.28% | 0.051035 | -7.09% | 0.0741 | ✓ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.053805 | 0.053668 | -0.26% | 0.05493 | +2.09% | 0.0235 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.05314 | 0.053009 | -0.25% | 0.053805 | +1.25% | 0.0144 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.05507 | 0.054931 | -0.25% | 0.05314 | -3.50% | 0.0306 | ✓ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.057125 | 0.056941 | -0.32% | 0.05507 | -3.60% | 0.0335 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058275 | 0.058083 | -0.33% | 0.057125 | -1.97% | 0.0174 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.05772 | 0.057544 | -0.31% | 0.058275 | +0.96% | 0.0134 | ✗ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05952 | 0.0593 | -0.37% | 0.05772 | -3.02% | 0.0270 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06501 | 0.064657 | -0.54% | 0.05952 | -8.44% | 0.0797 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.054875 | 0.054769 | -0.19% | 0.06501 | +18.47% | 0.1724 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.05323 | 0.053039 | -0.36% | 0.054875 | +3.09% | 0.0250 | ✗ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.05497 | 0.054755 | -0.39% | 0.05323 | -3.17% | 0.0281 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.058485 | 0.05814 | -0.59% | 0.05497 | -6.01% | 0.0567 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05392 | 0.053561 | -0.67% | 0.058485 | +8.47% | 0.0921 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.04804 | 0.047858 | -0.38% | 0.05392 | +12.24% | 0.1194 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.04968 | 0.049465 | -0.43% | 0.04804 | -3.30% | 0.0288 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.05118 | 0.050959 | -0.43% | 0.04968 | -2.93% | 0.0287 | ✓ | -0.10 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04843 | 0.048268 | -0.33% | 0.05118 | +5.68% | 0.0612 | ✗ | -0.15 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.048715 | 0.048561 | -0.32% | 0.04843 | -0.59% | 0.0036 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.049335 | 0.049171 | -0.33% | 0.048715 | -1.26% | 0.0092 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.046305 | 0.046215 | -0.19% | 0.049335 | +6.54% | 0.0667 | ✗ | -0.16 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0501 | 0.049955 | -0.29% | 0.046305 | -7.57% | 0.0816 | ✓ | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05692 | 0.056638 | -0.50% | 0.0501 | -11.98% | 0.1233 | ✓ | -0.29 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.052055 | 0.051859 | -0.38% | 0.05692 | +9.35% | 0.0913 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05333 | 0.053138 | -0.36% | 0.052055 | -2.39% | 0.0244 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.05466 | 0.054483 | -0.32% | 0.05333 | -2.43% | 0.0199 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05531 | 0.05515 | -0.29% | 0.05466 | -1.18% | 0.0085 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.054365 | 0.054237 | -0.24% | 0.05531 | +1.74% | 0.0156 | ✗ | -0.20 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.053332 | -0.29% | 0.054365 | +1.64% | 0.0350 | ✗ | -0.32 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.05728 | 0.057105 | -0.31% | 0.05349 | -6.62% | 0.0658 | ✓ | -0.34 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06265 | 0.062443 | -0.33% | 0.05728 | -8.57% | 0.0930 | ✓ | -0.45 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.05752 | 0.057363 | -0.27% | 0.06265 | +8.92% | 0.0937 | ✗ | -0.48 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.06812 | 0.067849 | -0.40% | 0.05752 | -15.56% | 0.1697 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.0696 | 0.069218 | -0.55% | 0.06812 | -2.13% | 0.0128 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.06064 | 0.060487 | -0.25% | 0.0696 | +14.78% | 0.1317 | ✗ | -0.28 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.05871 | 0.058553 | -0.27% | 0.06064 | +3.29% | 0.0399 | ✗ | -0.31 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.05588 | 0.055735 | -0.26% | 0.05871 | +5.06% | 0.0457 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.05864 | 0.0585 | -0.24% | 0.05588 | -4.71% | 0.0400 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.05969 | 0.05953 | -0.27% | 0.05864 | -1.76% | 0.0310 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.06661 | 0.066403 | -0.31% | 0.05969 | -10.39% | 0.1153 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.06945 | 0.069253 | -0.28% | 0.06661 | -4.09% | 0.0225 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.07285 | 0.072468 | -0.52% | 0.06945 | -4.67% | 0.1128 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.08236 | 0.081515 | -1.03% | 0.07285 | -11.55% | 0.1646 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.08632 | 0.084893 | -1.65% | 0.08236 | -4.59% | 0.0993 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.08219 | 0.080855 | -1.62% | 0.08632 | +5.02% | 0.0622 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.0757 | 0.07467 | -1.36% | 0.08219 | +8.57% | 0.0702 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.07896 | 0.077377 | -2.00% | 0.0757 | -4.13% | 0.0190 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.06513 | 0.064494 | -0.98% | 0.07896 | +21.23% | 0.2017 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.06773 | 0.066858 | -1.29% | 0.06513 | -3.84% | 0.0191 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.05488 | 0.054519 | -0.66% | 0.06773 | +23.41% | 0.2168 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.05403 | 0.053706 | -0.60% | 0.05488 | +1.57% | 0.0235 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.05374 | 0.053453 | -0.53% | 0.05403 | +0.54% | 0.0167 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.05444 | 0.054161 | -0.51% | 0.05374 | -1.29% | 0.0067 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.06309 | 0.062591 | -0.79% | 0.05444 | -13.71% | 0.1386 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.05274 | 0.052461 | -0.53% | 0.06309 | +19.62% | 0.1842 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.05843 | 0.058109 | -0.55% | 0.05274 | -9.74% | 0.1066 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.06048 | 0.060093 | -0.64% | 0.05843 | -3.39% | 0.0228 | ✓ | 1.00 |