4STOCK
4Stock · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s6
- token id
- #596
- symbol
- 4STOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd270d4e1ec6e6e0d28c0ecb8be966ec75997ffff
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +1d
assessed
33
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
54.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0936
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0087
actual -0.0334
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.00411 | 0.004081 | -0.72% | – | pending | – | – | 4.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004111 | 0.004085 | -0.64% | 0.00411 | -0.02% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 4.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.003528 | 0.003539 | +0.33% | 0.004111 | +16.54% | 0.0995 | ✓ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003593 | 0.00361 | +0.46% | 0.003528 | -1.82% | 0.0747 | ✗ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0032 | 0.003232 | +1.02% | 0.003593 | +12.31% | 0.1141 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003746 | 0.003777 | +0.83% | 0.0032 | -14.59% | 0.1965 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.003468 | 0.003511 | +1.25% | 0.003746 | +8.03% | 0.0706 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003481 | 0.00353 | +1.39% | 0.003468 | -0.40% | 0.0134 | ✓ | 4.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00381 | 0.003865 | +1.44% | 0.003481 | -8.62% | 0.1324 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004392 | 0.004436 | +0.98% | 0.00381 | -13.26% | 0.0753 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004583 | 0.004638 | +1.18% | 0.004392 | -4.17% | 0.1230 | ✗ | 4.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005344 | 0.005362 | +0.34% | 0.004583 | -14.22% | 0.0588 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005176 | 0.005216 | +0.78% | 0.005344 | +3.24% | 0.0142 | ✗ | 4.15 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005327 | 0.005371 | +0.84% | 0.005176 | -2.83% | 0.0415 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.004808 | 0.004881 | +1.51% | 0.005327 | +10.79% | 0.0772 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005606 | 0.005646 | +0.73% | 0.004808 | -14.23% | 0.1415 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007086 | 0.006986 | -1.40% | 0.005606 | -20.89% | 0.1934 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.006889 | 0.006812 | -1.13% | 0.007086 | +2.85% | 0.0419 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007242 | 0.007133 | -1.50% | 0.006889 | -4.87% | 0.0260 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007364 | 0.007283 | -1.09% | 0.007242 | -1.65% | 0.0263 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.007354 | 0.007291 | -0.86% | 0.007364 | +0.13% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.009011 | 0.008843 | -1.86% | 0.007354 | -18.39% | 0.1804 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.009411 | 0.009222 | -2.01% | 0.009011 | -4.25% | 0.0385 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008594 | 0.008479 | -1.33% | 0.009411 | +9.51% | 0.1052 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009772 | 0.009604 | -1.72% | 0.008594 | -12.06% | 0.1133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011118 | 0.010866 | -2.27% | 0.009772 | -12.11% | 0.0942 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.010767 | 0.010523 | -2.26% | 0.011118 | +3.26% | 0.0544 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010275 | 0.010075 | -1.96% | 0.010767 | +4.78% | 0.0626 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.011434 | 0.011179 | -2.23% | 0.010275 | -10.13% | 0.0808 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.013476 | 0.013084 | -2.91% | 0.011434 | -15.15% | 0.1349 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.015175 | 0.014367 | -5.33% | 0.013476 | -11.20% | 0.0427 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.011248 | 0.010848 | -3.56% | 0.015175 | +34.91% | 0.3403 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.009298 | 0.009074 | -2.40% | 0.011248 | +20.97% | 0.1499 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011466 | 0.010935 | -4.64% | 0.009298 | -18.91% | 0.1612 | ✓ | 1.00 |