4STOCK
4Stock · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s6
- token id
- #596
- symbol
- 4STOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd270d4e1ec6e6e0d28c0ecb8be966ec75997ffff
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
46.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1000
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0008
actual -0.0339
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003904 | 0.003895 | -0.24% | – | pending | – | – | 3.80 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.003528 | 0.003536 | +0.22% | 0.003904 | +10.66% | 0.1104 | ✓ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003593 | 0.003605 | +0.33% | 0.003528 | -1.82% | 0.0734 | ✗ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0032 | 0.003223 | +0.75% | 0.003593 | +12.31% | 0.1168 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003746 | 0.003766 | +0.53% | 0.0032 | -14.59% | 0.1934 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.003468 | 0.003497 | +0.84% | 0.003746 | +8.03% | 0.0747 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003481 | 0.003515 | +0.96% | 0.003468 | -0.40% | 0.0175 | ✓ | 4.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00381 | 0.003848 | +1.00% | 0.003481 | -8.62% | 0.1281 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004392 | 0.004425 | +0.73% | 0.00381 | -13.26% | 0.0729 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004583 | 0.004622 | +0.83% | 0.004392 | -4.17% | 0.1195 | ✗ | 4.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005344 | 0.00537 | +0.49% | 0.004583 | -14.22% | 0.0602 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005176 | 0.005217 | +0.80% | 0.005344 | +3.24% | 0.0144 | ✗ | 4.15 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005327 | 0.005376 | +0.92% | 0.005176 | -2.83% | 0.0424 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.004808 | 0.004867 | +1.22% | 0.005327 | +10.79% | 0.0800 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005606 | 0.005658 | +0.94% | 0.004808 | -14.23% | 0.1436 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007086 | 0.00709 | +0.06% | 0.005606 | -20.89% | 0.2081 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.006889 | 0.006899 | +0.14% | 0.007086 | +2.85% | 0.0292 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007242 | 0.007234 | -0.11% | 0.006889 | -4.87% | 0.0400 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007364 | 0.007369 | +0.07% | 0.007242 | -1.65% | 0.0379 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.007354 | 0.007359 | +0.06% | 0.007364 | +0.13% | 0.0022 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.009011 | 0.008969 | -0.46% | 0.007354 | -18.39% | 0.1945 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.009411 | 0.009367 | -0.46% | 0.009011 | -4.25% | 0.0541 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008594 | 0.008574 | -0.23% | 0.009411 | +9.51% | 0.0941 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009772 | 0.009732 | -0.41% | 0.008594 | -12.06% | 0.1266 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011118 | 0.011045 | -0.66% | 0.009772 | -12.11% | 0.1105 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.010767 | 0.010706 | -0.56% | 0.011118 | +3.26% | 0.0372 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010275 | 0.010234 | -0.40% | 0.010767 | +4.78% | 0.0469 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.011434 | 0.011382 | -0.46% | 0.010275 | -10.13% | 0.0988 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.013476 | 0.013366 | -0.82% | 0.011434 | -15.15% | 0.1562 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.015175 | 0.014854 | -2.12% | 0.013476 | -11.20% | 0.0760 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.011248 | 0.011186 | -0.55% | 0.015175 | +34.91% | 0.3096 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.009298 | 0.009276 | -0.24% | 0.011248 | +20.97% | 0.1280 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011466 | 0.011391 | -0.66% | 0.009298 | -18.91% | 0.2021 | ✓ | 1.00 |