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2022-09-06 · +1d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1557
189 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
31.2%
in alpha space · 11.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.67%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.9316.026+0.60%17.23+8.16%0.0532✓0.731.7M2022-09-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum18,917.9018,933.99+0.09%19,273.80+1.88%0.0070✗0.9413k2022-09-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057240.005727+0.05%0.005885+2.81%0.0087✓0.702,1572022-09-07
STXStacksnative0.34010.340192+0.03%0.3511+3.23%0.0005✓1.18365k2022-09-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7741.7744+0.02%1.835+3.44%0.0111✗1.6972k2022-09-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4390.439023+0.01%0.492+12.07%0.0815✓1.234,1032022-09-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.86.8003+0.00%7.48+10.00%0.0656✓1.12283k2022-09-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.041950.041938-0.03%0.04288+2.22%0.0025✗0.7514k2022-09-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9380.937633-0.04%0.968+3.20%0.0185✗0.513.0M2022-09-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87930.878897-0.05%0.9023+2.62%0.0061✓1.23916k2022-09-07
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.774038-0.05%0.8269+6.78%0.0383✗1.051.1M2022-09-07
AAVEAaveEthereum83.5883.5404-0.05%87.55+4.75%0.0059✗1.555.6M2022-09-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.314210.314-0.07%0.32554+3.61%0.0095✗1.0137k2022-09-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.54949.5151-0.07%51.856+4.66%0.0257✗0.78324k2022-09-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153320.153203-0.08%0.15269-0.41%0.0561✓2.003162022-09-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19630.196148-0.08%0.2023+3.06%0.0045✗1.0058k2022-09-07
XMRMoneroMonero144.79144.6682-0.08%149.27+3.09%0.0035✗1.061.4M2022-09-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.035610.035578-0.09%0.03677+3.26%0.0112✗0.822,5652022-09-07
QTUMQtumQtum2.98512.9823-0.09%3.096+3.71%0.0100✗1.0419k2022-09-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.043258-0.10%0.0466+7.62%0.0487✗0.97132k2022-09-07
CBKCobakEthereum0.802550.801774-0.10%0.82479+2.77%0.0016✗1.0113k2022-09-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01861.0176-0.10%1.234+21.15%0.1687✗0.911.1M2022-09-07
XYMSymbolnative0.0401850.040144-0.10%0.041657+3.66%0.0236✗0.5125k2022-09-07
GTGateEthereum3.96483.9607-0.10%4.0099+1.14%0.0083✓0.78769k2022-09-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2724620.272176-0.10%0.283458+4.04%0.0116✗1.10514k2022-09-07
TRXTRONTron0.0607660.0607-0.11%0.061842+1.77%0.0023✗0.62129k2022-09-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1031.1018-0.11%1.149+4.17%0.0163✗0.971.2M2022-09-07
APEApeCoinEthereum4.3014.2959-0.12%4.42+2.77%0.0072✓1.356.8M2022-09-07
XTZTezosTezos1.4331.4313-0.12%1.4901+3.98%0.0102✗1.14247k2022-09-07
XVSVenusEthereum4.524.5146-0.12%4.81+6.42%0.0410✗0.851.1M2022-09-07
KCSKuCoinnative9.0339.0222-0.12%9.204+1.89%0.0055✓0.961.2M2022-09-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011830.011815-0.12%0.01205+1.86%0.0021✗0.67223k2022-09-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063550.063467-0.13%0.06413+0.91%0.0141✓0.937702022-09-07
ZENHorizenBase14.5414.5207-0.13%14.93+2.68%0.0021✓1.1393k2022-09-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25930.258952-0.13%0.2762+6.52%0.0388✗0.972.8M2022-09-07
QNTQuantEthereum90.0389.9064-0.14%95.72+6.32%0.0400✗0.863.4M2022-09-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068010.067916-0.14%0.07208+5.98%0.0284✗1.1825k2022-09-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin18,790.9118,764.48-0.14%19,293.52+2.67%0.0014✓1.00485.5M2022-09-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3951.393-0.14%1.436+2.94%0.0009✓1.1878k2022-09-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.489.4663-0.14%10.18+7.38%0.0389✗1.28297k2022-09-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0588970.05881-0.15%0.061067+3.68%0.0092✗1.081.4M2022-09-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14265.1343-0.16%5.1445+0.04%0.0005✓0.10115k2022-09-07
XLMStellarStellar0.0998720.099709-0.16%0.10297+3.10%0.0101✗0.846.7M2022-09-07
UNIUniswapEthereum5.8295.8193-0.17%6.116+4.92%0.0146✗1.337.5M2022-09-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.961.9564-0.19%1.9-3.06%0.0423✓0.5075k2022-09-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.057730.057622-0.19%0.06023+4.33%0.0152✗1.101.6M2022-09-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.019170.019134-0.19%0.02145+11.89%0.0940✗0.779.7M2022-09-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.32630.325679-0.19%0.341+4.51%0.0178✗1.0773k2022-09-07
LSKLiskEthereum0.9772590.97536-0.19%1.0053+2.86%0.0073✗0.8739k2022-09-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027670.002762-0.20%0.002775+0.29%0.0197✓0.931.2M2022-09-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316670.316044-0.20%0.32271+1.91%0.0007✓0.82332k2022-09-07
ADACardanoCardano0.46260.461674-0.20%0.4788+3.50%0.0113✗0.9540.4M2022-09-07
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.30160.300996-0.20%0.3125+3.61%0.0078✗1.1397k2022-09-07
FISStafiEthereum0.30.29939-0.20%–pending––0.976202022-09-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.50360.502561-0.21%0.51799+2.86%0.0050✓1.3441k2022-09-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.034728-0.21%0.0387+11.21%0.0838✗0.9366k2022-09-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.005510.005498-0.21%0.00557+1.09%0.0041✓0.65977k2022-09-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.1254.004-0.21%57.3+5.88%0.0325✗1.0113.1M2022-09-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.17111.9288-0.22%118.71+5.83%0.0279✗1.174.4M2022-09-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.159550.159207-0.22%0.16825+5.45%0.0289✗1.00268k2022-09-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4571.4538-0.22%1.458+0.07%0.0286✓1.1951k2022-09-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09610.095887-0.22%0.0988+2.81%0.0104✗0.742,9872022-09-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.7816.7425-0.22%17.6+4.89%0.0317✗0.69422k2022-09-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.68.5807-0.22%8.83+2.67%0.0149✗0.522.1M2022-09-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67821.6744-0.23%1.7442+3.93%0.0155✗0.961.1M2022-09-07
BANDBandEthereum1.1821.1793-0.23%1.276+7.95%0.0470✗1.21429k2022-09-07
SOLSolanaSolana30.8730.7999-0.23%32.7+5.93%0.0298✗1.1461.7M2022-09-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44340.442392-0.23%0.466+5.10%0.0215✗1.16384k2022-09-07
FTTFTXEthereum25.6425.5815-0.23%25.99+1.37%0.0100✓0.986.8M2022-09-07
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.68e-7-0.23%8.90e-7+2.30%0.0046✗0.7815k2022-09-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.22320.222675-0.24%0.231+3.49%0.0113✗0.9681k2022-09-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197060.01966-0.24%0.020266+2.84%0.0089✗0.8113k2022-09-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1160.115724-0.24%0.1192+2.76%0.0020✓1.0525k2022-09-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.374.3595-0.24%4.49+2.75%0.0142✗0.581.3M2022-09-07
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.68e-7-0.25%8.80e-7+1.15%0.0073✓0.801.8M2022-09-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4664-0.25%1.46-0.68%0.0000✓-0.16128k2022-09-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2118.165-0.25%19.01+4.39%0.0116✗1.2819.6M2022-09-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.13220.131867-0.25%0.1353+2.34%0.0013✓1.02113k2022-09-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6596.6419-0.26%7.083+6.37%0.0359✗1.0818.6M2022-09-07
METISMetisEthereum28.8428.7656-0.26%29.12+0.97%0.0365✓1.85200k2022-09-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.0520.051866-0.26%0.0525+0.96%0.0180✓1.14234k2022-09-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09770.097446-0.26%0.104+6.45%0.0365✗1.082.8M2022-09-07
DODODODOEthereum0.11910.118789-0.26%0.1286+7.98%0.0513✗1.061.5M2022-09-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20090.200373-0.26%0.2023+0.70%0.0256✓1.33142k2022-09-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6080.606383-0.27%0.632+3.95%0.0153✗0.99187k2022-09-07
DIADIAEthereum0.366150.36516-0.27%0.37324+1.94%0.0040✓0.9833k2022-09-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7912.7834-0.27%2.988+7.06%0.0304✗1.533.6M2022-09-07
XVGVergenative0.002950.002942-0.27%0.00306+3.73%0.0123✗1.02483k2022-09-07
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,420.831,416.94-0.27%1,486.00+4.59%0.0212✗1.003.3M2022-09-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05580.055646-0.28%0.056+0.36%0.0182✓0.9382k2022-09-07
STEEMSteemnative0.20720.206627-0.28%0.2128+2.70%0.0046✗0.94468k2022-09-07
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016030.001599-0.28%0.001555-2.99%0.0493✓0.82413k2022-09-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.15390.153467-0.28%0.1458-5.26%0.0530✓0.0793k2022-09-07
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9070.904427-0.28%0.901-0.66%0.0381✓1.301.6M2022-09-07
API3Api3Ethereum1.5971.5924-0.29%1.799+12.65%0.0973✗0.93574k2022-09-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8746.8544-0.29%7.201+4.76%0.0215✗1.0510.2M2022-09-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.250.249274-0.29%0.262+4.80%0.0296✗0.76597k2022-09-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.151957-0.29%0.1561+2.43%0.0002✓1.031,4472022-09-07
XEMNEMnative0.0411810.041061-0.29%0.042524+3.26%0.0127✗0.8529k2022-09-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12710.126728-0.29%0.1298+2.12%0.0097✗0.543.5M2022-09-07
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18940.188844-0.29%0.1972+4.12%0.0086✗1.31111k2022-09-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.078268-0.29%0.0973+23.95%0.1928✗0.9410k2022-09-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121450.012109-0.30%0.012555+3.38%0.0184✗0.67932k2022-09-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.088932-0.30%0.0951+6.61%0.0410✗0.99372k2022-09-07
SCSiacoinnative0.003790.003779-0.30%0.00388+2.37%0.0003✓0.99127k2022-09-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008520.008494-0.30%0.00887+4.11%0.0237✗0.743.8M2022-09-07
KSMKusamaHydration45.5645.4204-0.31%48.41+6.26%0.0370✗1.01490k2022-09-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1113.0697-0.31%13.5+2.97%0.0030✓1.111.0M2022-09-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021710.021643-0.31%0.02083-4.05%0.0597✓0.81394k2022-09-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9623.9496-0.31%4.093+3.31%0.0223✗0.512.1M2022-09-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,559.281,554.39-0.31%1,629.92+4.53%0.0109✗1.39660.9M2022-09-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06050.060308-0.32%0.0605+0.00%0.0305✓1.28690k2022-09-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6140.612031-0.32%0.647+5.37%0.0248✗1.174.0M2022-09-07
ZECZcashZcash57.9357.7441-0.32%59.37+2.49%0.0036✓1.191.3M2022-09-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.03591.0326-0.32%1.1669+12.65%0.0815✗1.554.5M2022-09-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9471.9406-0.33%2.036+4.57%0.0170✗1.1736k2022-09-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81350.810835-0.33%0.8265+1.60%0.0198✓1.48105k2022-09-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.130970.130537-0.33%0.13448+2.68%0.0022✓1.21183k2022-09-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023330.023253-0.33%0.02405+3.09%0.0001✓1.283,1162022-09-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.12.093-0.34%2.38+13.33%0.0966✗1.21227k2022-09-07
COMPCompoundEthereum45.3545.1967-0.34%48.66+7.30%0.0401✗1.289,0502022-09-07
DASHDashDash42.6842.5314-0.35%44.91+5.22%0.0280✗1.00404k2022-09-07
MOVRMoonriverBase12.174612.1317-0.35%12.2966+1.00%0.0130✓1.0028k2022-09-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10140.101041-0.35%0.1151+13.51%0.1077✗0.86169k2022-09-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007470.007444-0.35%0.00764+2.28%0.0038✓1.13406k2022-09-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.63220.629954-0.36%0.6503+2.86%0.0055✓1.41226k2022-09-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04530.045139-0.36%0.0476+5.08%0.0260✗1.02739k2022-09-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,612.348,581.39-0.36%9,334.02+8.38%0.0466✗1.424.8M2022-09-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05920.058985-0.36%0.0621+4.90%0.0295✗0.8391k2022-09-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.266.2369-0.37%6.41+2.40%0.0142✗0.502.1M2022-09-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.332080.330849-0.37%0.3732+12.38%0.0952✗0.96400k2022-09-07
HIVEHivenative0.52130.519329-0.38%0.5294+1.55%0.0025✓0.82902k2022-09-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3990.397476-0.38%0.41+2.76%0.0032✓1.057,9852022-09-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.25.1801-0.38%5.33+2.50%0.0154✗0.502.0M2022-09-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033330.033201-0.39%0.03452+3.57%0.0120✗1.0259k2022-09-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074020.073733-0.39%0.07081-4.34%0.0423✓0.07370k2022-09-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.77511.7289-0.39%12.933+9.83%0.0679✗1.1312.5M2022-09-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4820.480113-0.39%0.52+7.88%0.0491✗1.1677k2022-09-07
ELAElastosEthereum1.7271.7201-0.40%1.717-0.58%0.0251✓0.8883k2022-09-07
XECeCashnative0.000040540.000040376-0.40%0.00004184+3.21%0.0132✗0.852.1M2022-09-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4750.473059-0.41%0.499+5.05%0.0249✗1.0863k2022-09-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.181648-0.41%0.1787-2.03%0.0523✓1.362,0092022-09-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38850.386885-0.42%0.4026+3.63%0.0088✗1.1885k2022-09-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.2249-0.42%1.41+14.63%0.1156✗0.9581k2022-09-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.226.1941-0.42%6.476+4.12%0.0221✗0.854.5M2022-09-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.14641.1416-0.42%1.2517+9.19%0.0600✗1.22996k2022-09-07
NANOnanopayBase0.848260.84468-0.42%0.879731+3.71%0.0184✗0.8454k2022-09-07
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0099540.009912-0.43%0.010503+5.52%0.0316✗1.004852022-09-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0251150.025007-0.43%0.024937-0.71%0.0061✓0.12454k2022-09-07
PROPropyEthereum0.710.706933-0.43%0.74+4.23%0.0371✗0.3357k2022-09-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13070.130135-0.43%0.1417+8.42%0.0567✗1.08489k2022-09-07
UMAUMAEthereum2.5442.533-0.43%2.618+2.91%0.0094✗0.90682k2022-09-07
MANADecentralandEthereum0.736890.733685-0.43%0.76248+3.47%0.0152✗0.88520k2022-09-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.1850.184195-0.44%0.1935+4.59%0.0263✗0.873.1M2022-09-07
OPTIMOptimism1.0951.0902-0.44%1.172+7.03%0.0298✗1.613.0M2022-09-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011990.000011938-0.44%0.00001225+2.17%0.0004✓0.96873k2022-09-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03580.035643-0.44%0.035-2.23%0.0383✓0.767,8592022-09-07
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1362.1266-0.44%2.2808+6.78%0.0393✗1.1613k2022-09-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.940.935823-0.44%1.047+11.38%0.1014✗0.412.9M2022-09-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012650.00126-0.46%0.001314+3.85%0.0211✗0.802.4M2022-09-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.268570.267314-0.47%0.27496+2.38%0.0003✓1.0613k2022-09-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2960.294607-0.47%0.3055+3.21%0.0074✗1.0999k2022-09-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.69961.6914-0.48%1.8105+6.53%0.0386✗1.1125k2022-09-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28550.284117-0.48%0.2991+4.76%0.0272✗0.925.8M2022-09-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50820.505704-0.49%0.5039-0.85%0.0235✓0.75496k2022-09-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.096.0598-0.50%6.38+4.76%0.0383✗0.502.2M2022-09-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.04730.047063-0.50%0.0487+2.96%0.0097✗0.93204k2022-09-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.61936.5855-0.51%6.9285+4.67%0.0439✗0.267.5M2022-09-07
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38134.3585-0.52%4.8+9.56%0.0385✗2.20129k2022-09-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1914.1149-0.53%14.81+4.37%0.0212✗1.021.7M2022-09-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014690.001461-0.54%0.001547+5.31%0.0395✗0.677,6332022-09-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6240.620628-0.54%0.656+5.13%0.0325✗0.87164k2022-09-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1744.1512-0.55%4.366+4.60%0.0413✗0.352.3M2022-09-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4174.3926-0.55%4.6305+4.83%0.0361✗0.636.3M2022-09-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9195.8861-0.56%6.217+5.03%0.0413✗0.514.3M2022-09-07
RADRadworksEthereum2.262.2472-0.56%2.48+9.73%0.0786✗0.75262k2022-09-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5995.5664-0.58%5.852+4.52%0.0270✗0.877.2M2022-09-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061990.006162-0.60%0.006303+1.68%0.0109✗0.4541k2022-09-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.4434.2326-0.60%37.27+8.22%0.0440✗1.5510.6M2022-09-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.91511.8407-0.62%12.639+6.08%0.0503✗0.5715.8M2022-09-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.8892.8702-0.65%3.12+8.00%0.0692✗0.54653k2022-09-07
FLOWFlownative1.7721.7602-0.67%1.861+5.02%0.0195✗1.371.3M2022-09-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8853.8578-0.70%3.906+0.54%0.0137✓0.99259k2022-09-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23447.1775-0.79%7.6265+5.42%0.0512✗0.368.2M2022-09-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.111417-0.87%0.1238+10.14%0.0854✗0.76203k2022-09-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.89e-77.83e-7-0.88%8.10e-7+2.59%0.0112✗0.881.9M2022-09-07
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.015860.015697-1.03%0.017403+9.73%0.0768✗1.00622022-09-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.24180.238984-1.16%0.231-4.47%0.0563✓0.8466k2022-09-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4310.422371-2.00%0.4211-2.30%0.0342✓1.18209k2022-09-07
LUNATerraTerra 20.000378850.000370429-2.22%0.00043861+15.77%0.1502✗0.71698k2022-09-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.