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2022-08-07 · +1d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1696
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.6%
in alpha space · 61.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.8994.9239+0.51%4.8-2.02%0.0303✗0.18234k2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.16180.162432+0.39%0.163+0.74%0.0281✗1.16102k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.8881.8953+0.39%1.894+0.32%0.0333✗1.20530k2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.948.9743+0.38%8.84-1.12%0.0245✗0.351.8M2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum4.76024.7774+0.36%4.9055+3.05%0.0057✓0.76887k2022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative10.60210.6401+0.36%10.767+1.56%0.0176✗1.091.9M2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11241.1163+0.35%1.1739+5.52%0.0203✓1.1013k2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003740.003753+0.35%0.00377+0.80%0.0300✗1.27534k2022-08-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.83e-7+0.34%0.000001+2.04%0.0027✓0.7225k2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero164.87165.4301+0.34%167.1+1.35%0.0183✗1.041.1M2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008398+0.33%0.00837+0.00%0.0239✗0.761.6M2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064750.006496+0.33%0.006716+3.72%0.0119✓0.784,5222022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085320.085601+0.33%0.08629+1.14%0.0007✓0.271.1M2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033020.033128+0.33%0.0332+0.55%0.0297✗1.1814k2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.054572+0.32%0.0543-0.18%0.0377✗1.20256k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.27110.271912+0.30%0.2733+0.81%0.0240✗1.0765k2022-08-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045810.045943+0.29%0.04665+1.83%0.0098✗0.922,3482022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004710.004724+0.29%0.00474+0.64%0.0307✗1.26102k2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.0571+0.28%6.04+0.00%0.0188✗0.59887k2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053780.053928+0.27%0.05269-2.03%0.0467✗0.8616k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.73e-7+0.27%9.90e-7+2.06%0.0049✗0.836.0M2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000045443+0.27%0.00004589+1.26%0.0194✗1.081.8M2022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04391.0467+0.27%1.0662+2.14%0.0112✗1.09933k2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198730.019925+0.26%0.018974-4.52%0.0570✗0.30173k2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59270.594194+0.25%0.6088+2.72%0.0072✗1.16303k2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12830.12862+0.25%0.1491+16.21%0.1108✓1.362.9M2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3544730.355353+0.25%0.363104+2.43%0.0112✗1.211.0M2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum30.6730.7458+0.25%31.49+2.67%0.0020✓0.959.1M2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7510.752855+0.25%0.774+3.06%0.0066✗1.26963k2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.33983+0.24%0.339+0.00%0.0300✗1.011.1M2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase1.05491.0574+0.24%1.0843+2.79%0.0010✓0.8951k2022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash140.98141.3145+0.24%143.54+1.82%0.0164✗1.184.7M2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.21621.2191+0.24%1.2304+1.16%0.0186✗1.0243k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1238730.124163+0.23%0.130156+5.07%0.0207✓0.977.0M2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7411.767+0.23%11.72-0.17%0.0368✗1.21263k2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase19.1719.2136+0.23%19.15-0.10%0.0386✗1.30118k2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.4281+0.22%1.438+0.91%0.0262✗1.222.5M2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1261.2521+0.22%62.61+2.44%0.0082✗1.1113.5M2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034230.00343+0.21%0.003433+0.29%0.0252✗0.961.0M2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56360.564799+0.21%0.561-0.46%0.0425✗1.32232k2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0550550.055172+0.21%0.05725+3.99%0.0209✓0.5926k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana40.6240.7051+0.21%42.2+3.89%0.0005✓1.3579.4M2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash70.2670.4071+0.21%77.53+10.35%0.0631✓1.231.8M2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7922.7978+0.21%2.889+3.47%0.0161✗1.78126k2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,177.3923,225.42+0.21%23,815.65+2.75%0.0021✗1.00414.2M2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.060725+0.21%0.062+2.31%0.0155✗1.34179k2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.52770.528786+0.21%0.5372+1.80%0.0156✗1.1539.5M2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.261932+0.20%0.2614+0.00%0.0024✗0.0131k2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05120.051303+0.20%0.0517+0.98%0.0262✗1.2510k2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0584.0662+0.20%4.04-0.44%0.0222✗0.581.6M2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98842.9944+0.20%2.9975+0.30%0.0218✗0.841.2M2022-08-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022850.002289+0.19%0.00224-1.97%0.0490✗1.001.2M2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16631.1685+0.19%1.1662-0.01%0.0240✗0.814.1M2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21460.215+0.19%0.2282+6.34%0.0212✓1.411,1742022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.3080.308571+0.19%0.3126+1.49%0.0168✗1.10300k2022-08-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017290.001732+0.18%0.001764+2.02%0.0077✗0.958,9342022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063310.006342+0.18%0.0063-0.49%0.0205✗0.5148k2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.6601+0.18%5.62-0.53%0.0214✗0.532.1M2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.089459+0.18%0.0896+0.34%0.0287✗1.12124k2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9982.0015+0.18%2.058+3.00%0.0096✗1.38234k2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06050.060603+0.17%0.0607+0.33%0.0368✗1.42339k2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.87861.9817+0.17%62.317+0.71%0.0161✗0.79306k2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.846.8514+0.17%6.92+1.17%0.0244✗1.271.4M2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.475240.476018+0.16%0.48293+1.62%0.0038✗0.6770k2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3191.3212+0.16%1.351+2.43%0.0114✗1.241.1M2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.13871.1405+0.16%1.2133+6.55%0.0248✓1.361.7M2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13740.137616+0.16%0.1447+5.31%0.0176✓1.2061k2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.42e-73.43e-7+0.15%3.37e-7-1.64%0.0421✗0.88150k2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12940.129594+0.15%0.1317+1.78%0.0124✗1.054,5002022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159520.015975+0.14%0.016131+1.12%0.0129✗0.832.1M2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25950.259867+0.14%0.2624+1.12%0.0199✗1.09766k2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.16571.1673+0.14%1.1648-0.08%0.0315✗1.0812k2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34310.343581+0.14%0.3474+1.25%0.0197✗1.133.6M2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0696580.069754+0.14%0.070047+0.56%0.0125✗0.61279k2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21833.2227+0.14%3.2115-0.21%0.0208✗0.641.2M2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1111.1125+0.13%1.084-2.43%0.0422✗0.602.1M2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177350.17758+0.13%0.17585-0.85%0.0512✗1.53207k2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.123.1239+0.13%3.05-2.24%0.0376✗0.50116k2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17580.176016+0.12%0.1759+0.06%0.0322✗1.16529k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068960.069045+0.12%0.070056+1.59%0.0162✗1.131.6M2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.6906+0.12%4.707+0.47%0.0082✗0.431.2M2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.079690.079779+0.11%0.08965+12.50%0.0968✓0.738502022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35590.356292+0.11%0.3629+1.97%0.0106✗1.078.2M2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0756+0.11%5.02-0.99%0.0276✗0.611.3M2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.044148+0.11%0.0454+2.95%0.0034✗1.1577k2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25950.259776+0.11%0.2624+1.12%0.0214✗1.1698k2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47363.4773+0.11%3.4773+0.11%0.0200✗0.741.7M2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009060.009069+0.10%0.00911+0.55%0.0286✗1.22421k2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.083860.083948+0.10%0.08557+2.04%0.0163✗1.3129k2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6578.666+0.10%9.276+7.15%0.0362✓1.1711.0M2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.22522+0.10%0.23+2.22%0.0175✗1.42703k2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234910.023513+0.09%0.023579+0.37%0.0230✗0.9512k2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0515510.051599+0.09%0.052476+1.79%0.0127✗1.0937k2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017896+0.09%0.01763-1.40%0.0361✗0.78175k2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.811.8116+0.09%1.85+2.21%0.0132✗1.26132k2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.5014+0.09%1.56+4.00%0.0007✓1.391.2M2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.09194.0956+0.09%4.1656+1.80%0.0124✗1.0853k2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15880.158939+0.09%0.1674+5.42%0.0291✓0.843.6M2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12640.126494+0.07%0.1267+0.24%0.0256✗1.00398k2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57481.576+0.07%1.6087+2.15%0.0174✗1.40619k2022-08-08
DASHDashDash53.3553.3892+0.07%56.22+5.38%0.0224✓1.08552k2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0124.0148+0.07%3.99-0.55%0.0292✗0.85976k2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.182025+0.07%0.1804-0.82%0.0414✗1.203.3M2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.807548+0.07%0.835+3.47%0.0084✓0.92380k2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,700.421,701.57+0.07%1,777.36+4.52%0.0078✓1.32407.7M2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4918.502+0.06%18.67+0.97%0.0263✗1.301.4M2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum101.31101.3757+0.06%102.58+1.25%0.0325✗1.639.9M2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11920.119272+0.06%0.1199+0.59%0.0273✗1.20529k2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23920.239318+0.05%0.2285-4.47%0.0873✗1.5189k2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.348.3439+0.05%8.607+3.20%0.0020✗1.2116.7M2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66390.664195+0.04%0.6657+0.27%0.0270✗1.08726k2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.0310.0342+0.04%10.19+1.60%0.0211✗1.34385k2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.775.7723+0.04%5.71-1.04%0.0248✗0.51964k2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010460.010464+0.04%0.01044-0.19%0.0273✗0.925.1M2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.8097+0.04%1.875+3.65%0.0025✗1.40371k2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.316950.317066+0.04%0.33107+4.45%0.0160✓1.00366k2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.49070.490856+0.03%0.5085+3.63%0.0024✓1.21808k2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10470.104732+0.03%0.1038-0.86%0.0398✗1.145,6912022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06430.064319+0.03%0.068+5.75%0.0219✓1.24799k2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum3.0333.0339+0.03%3.052+0.63%0.0219✗1.02585k2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8816.8845+0.03%16.74-0.83%0.0457✗1.372.6M2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN3.05573.0564+0.02%3.0082-1.55%0.0561✗1.4813k2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.43380.4339+0.02%0.42996-0.89%0.0400✗1.14124k2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8580.858142+0.02%0.894+4.20%0.0091✓1.17246k2022-08-08
FISStafiEthereum0.39040.390442+0.01%0.3733-4.38%0.0704✗0.941492022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.063.0602+0.01%3.02-1.31%0.0520✗1.43234k2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.551022+0.00%0.553+0.36%0.0267✗1.1114k2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034360.034361+0.00%0.03513+2.24%0.0135✗1.3113.9M2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7590.759004+0.00%0.767+1.05%0.0287✗1.44135k2022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.988408-0.01%0.9875-0.10%0.0479✓1.73296k2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration65.4265.4076-0.02%64.6-1.25%0.0434✓1.14419k2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1474.1457-0.03%4.125-0.53%0.0179✓0.471.9M2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05961.0592-0.03%1.0855+2.45%0.0094✓1.25532k2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.7137.6942-0.04%38.06+0.93%0.0292✓1.4313.0M2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012020.000012014-0.05%0.00001229+2.25%0.0080✓1.13926k2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,110.7023,098.57-0.05%23,846.60+3.18%0.0052✗0.9812k2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2498.2447-0.05%8.259+0.12%0.0308✓1.206.8M2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33262.3313-0.05%2.385+2.25%0.0089✓1.1738k2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4786-0.06%2.74+10.48%0.0710✗1.08507k2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0892.0878-0.06%2.141+2.49%0.0054✓1.12606k2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6820.681581-0.06%0.697+2.20%0.0142✓1.3590k2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,438.5411,430.62-0.07%11,448.81+0.09%0.0366✓1.415.2M2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.927.8803-0.07%27.92+0.07%0.0408✓1.5529.2M2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.372.3682-0.07%2.498+5.40%0.0180✗1.30160k2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.358150.357853-0.08%0.36941+3.14%0.0021✓1.2513k2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4582.4559-0.08%2.626+6.83%0.0428✗0.8992k2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2087.2019-0.08%7.314+1.47%0.0279✓1.6011.9M2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.15130.15117-0.09%0.1526+0.86%0.0181✓1.011.1M2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7982.7954-0.09%2.9+3.65%0.0008✓1.3848k2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427190.426786-0.09%0.42203-1.21%0.0460✓1.28507k2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.37411.3603-0.12%11.817+3.89%0.0039✗1.3113.7M2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum44.2244.1632-0.13%45.63+3.19%0.0182✓1.87293k2022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.59910.598303-0.13%0.6064+1.22%0.0170✓1.122.1M2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum63.8563.7638-0.13%62.01-2.88%0.0651✓1.3738k2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40241.4005-0.14%1.4281+1.83%0.0217✓1.526.4M2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.869819-0.14%0.898+3.10%0.0143✓1.704.3M2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031720.031677-0.14%0.03333+5.08%0.0158✗1.291,3502022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.073399-0.14%0.0737+0.27%0.0214✓0.94158k2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.195980.195698-0.14%0.19653+0.28%0.0579✓2.291,0642022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011930.001191-0.15%0.001192-0.05%0.0311✓1.181.3M2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4660.465293-0.15%0.4659-0.02%0.0402✓1.53207k2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.084.0732-0.17%4.095+0.37%0.0406✓1.695.2M2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.567-0.19%1.55-1.27%0.0174✓0.24207k2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48060.479654-0.20%0.4704-2.12%0.0547✓1.30155k2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7928.7743-0.20%8.73-0.71%0.0319✓0.994.0M2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7848.765-0.22%8.791+0.08%0.0345✓1.389.9M2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.1922.1397-0.23%21.84-1.58%0.0342✓0.762.6M2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum126.46126.1503-0.24%128.79+1.84%0.0043✓0.924.5M2022-08-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099560.000099298-0.26%0.00009929-0.27%0.0487✓1.79466k2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.46930.468047-0.27%0.5111+8.91%0.0572✗1.1380k2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9310.928412-0.28%0.944+1.40%0.0271✓1.61462k2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum2.1832.1764-0.30%2.06-5.63%0.0854✓1.12225k2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism1.9121.9051-0.36%1.899-0.68%0.0561✓1.953.1M2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.840.836852-0.37%0.79-5.95%0.0733✓0.5878k2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.58870.586362-0.40%0.5796-1.55%0.0422✓1.1346k2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07940.079085-0.40%0.0826+4.03%0.0127✗1.131.3M2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8110.807426-0.44%0.841+3.70%0.0028✓1.402,7022022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.4832.3311-0.46%30.04-7.51%0.1134✓1.471.1M2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.25510.253881-0.48%0.2677+4.94%0.0186✗1.271,5612022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase18.297318.1952-0.56%19.4666+6.39%0.0376✗1.1053k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative2.6242.6093-0.56%3.023+15.21%0.1127✗1.27505k2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.688430.684351-0.59%0.69895+1.53%0.0188✓1.4769k2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.107270.105966-1.22%0.11272+5.08%0.0216✗1.481.2M2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8296.6834-2.13%6.031-11.69%0.1145✓0.432.7M2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1090.105398-3.30%0.1545+41.74%0.3616✗0.77163k2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040570.038555-4.97%0.029-28.52%0.3125✓1.02159k2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.