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2022-07-28 · +1d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0028
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.31%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.5%
in alpha space · 51.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.28%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.4481.3825-4.53%1.843+27.28%0.2931✗1.971.1M2022-07-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.8339.4214-3.45%40.53-0.73%0.0317✓1.421.3M2022-07-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011460.011089-3.23%0.01134-1.05%0.0259✓1.27352k2022-07-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0111.7635-2.05%12.52+4.25%0.0658✗1.22241k2022-07-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.228.0936-1.54%9.08+10.46%0.1189✗1.36256k2022-07-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072110.071062-1.45%0.07962+10.41%0.1180✗1.52768k2022-07-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,140.609,036.89-1.13%10,870.27+18.92%0.1886✗1.384.0M2022-07-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.792.7589-1.11%2.62-6.09%0.0486✓1.08175k2022-07-29
UNIUniswapEthereum9.2759.1725-1.11%9.085-2.05%0.0056✓1.416.7M2022-07-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1354.09-1.09%4.04-2.30%0.0074✓1.753.8M2022-07-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97640.966078-1.06%0.9678-0.88%0.0064✓1.64209k2022-07-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.836427-1.01%0.888+5.09%0.0647✗1.745.2M2022-07-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084060.08335-0.84%0.08803+4.72%0.0584✗1.3428k2022-07-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.54481.5321-0.82%1.4295-7.46%0.0651✓1.515.6M2022-07-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7832.7611-0.79%2.848+2.34%0.0351✗1.4443k2022-07-29
METISMetisEthereum36.336.0186-0.78%36.72+1.16%0.0247✗1.94181k2022-07-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.9503-0.77%9.65+6.98%0.0768✗0.53918k2022-07-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8460.840613-0.64%0.833-1.54%0.0049✓1.503,1392022-07-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.275.237-0.63%5.54+5.12%0.0580✗0.62786k2022-07-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.115.0084-0.61%14.63-3.11%0.0215✓1.421.5M2022-07-29
QTUMQtumQtum4.48454.4578-0.59%4.66+3.91%0.0475✗1.1028k2022-07-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.30992.2963-0.59%2.2813-1.24%0.0030✓1.2524k2022-07-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21920.218025-0.54%0.223+1.73%0.0265✗1.391,1792022-07-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4072.3955-0.48%2.386-0.87%0.0001✓1.43160k2022-07-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11731.112-0.47%1.1126-0.42%0.0034✓1.0312k2022-07-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100260.000099787-0.47%0.000099-1.26%0.0024✓1.95662k2022-07-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4317.3498-0.46%17.41-0.11%0.0059✗0.882.4M2022-07-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5731-0.44%1.57-0.63%0.0012✓0.26283k2022-07-29
ZENHorizenBase18.4618.3829-0.42%18.13-1.79%0.0100✓1.38100k2022-07-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8531.8456-0.40%2.053+10.79%0.1105✗1.44217k2022-07-29
QNTQuantEthereum103.78103.3895-0.38%106.29+2.42%0.0305✗1.014.1M2022-07-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.84362.833-0.37%3.0255+6.40%0.0702✗1.5810k2022-07-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3571.3522-0.35%1.328-2.14%0.0146✓1.241.2M2022-07-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.50.498264-0.35%0.529+5.80%0.0631✗1.1413k2022-07-29
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9246.9-0.35%6.67-3.67%0.0292✓1.6811.5M2022-07-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash155.69155.1517-0.35%151.84-2.47%0.0182✓1.193.9M2022-07-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0209380.020872-0.32%0.01909-8.83%0.0878✓0.51165k2022-07-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8582.849-0.31%2.712-5.11%0.0443✓1.7692k2022-07-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.872.8611-0.31%2.97+3.48%0.0417✗1.54192k2022-07-29
GMTGMTEthereum1.0121.0091-0.28%0.982-2.96%0.0223✓1.77551k2022-07-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07010.069915-0.26%0.0692-1.28%0.0073✓1.07299k2022-07-29
BANDBandEthereum1.7561.7515-0.26%1.674-4.67%0.0411✓1.46316k2022-07-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094340.0941-0.25%0.0935-0.89%0.0057✓0.26859k2022-07-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.571.566-0.25%1.5-4.46%0.0390✓1.451.0M2022-07-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2324.1695-0.25%24.51+1.16%0.0185✗1.6027.5M2022-07-29
DIADIAEthereum0.446410.445354-0.24%0.48559+8.78%0.0887✗0.7853k2022-07-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.671380.669792-0.24%0.66859-0.42%0.0025✗1.5379k2022-07-29
DODODODOEthereum0.16380.163414-0.24%0.1728+5.49%0.0595✗1.282.8M2022-07-29
STXStacksnative0.43440.43341-0.23%0.4304-0.92%0.0034✓1.26606k2022-07-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030570.030502-0.22%0.03405+11.38%0.1137✗1.311,3002022-07-29
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.434236-0.22%0.4-8.09%0.0796✓0.912142022-07-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183560.183155-0.22%0.1835-0.03%0.0084✗2.321,1272022-07-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1164.107-0.22%4.521+9.84%0.0976✗0.552.0M2022-07-29
HIVEHivenative0.55270.551503-0.22%0.5371-2.82%0.0232✓1.161.5M2022-07-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94160.939591-0.21%0.984+4.50%0.0495✗1.181.2M2022-07-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.29510.294484-0.21%0.3208+8.71%0.0888✗1.13323k2022-07-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4983.4907-0.21%3.803+8.72%0.0877✗0.71497k2022-07-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32022.3159-0.19%3.393+46.24%0.3845✗0.90979k2022-07-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.34.2921-0.18%4.69+9.07%0.0907✗0.72685k2022-07-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075340.075203-0.18%0.07766+3.08%0.0342✗0.741,3772022-07-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7243.7174-0.18%3.851+3.41%0.0378✗0.88754k2022-07-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.8281.8248-0.17%1.871+2.35%0.0286✗1.29626k2022-07-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.5618.5282-0.17%23.44+26.29%0.2391✗1.39534k2022-07-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3573.3513-0.17%3.861+15.01%0.1433✗0.601.5M2022-07-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.365.351-0.17%5.95+11.01%0.1080✗0.67514k2022-07-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.771706-0.17%0.763-1.29%0.0085✓1.00360k2022-07-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.85810.8399-0.17%11.171+2.88%0.0340✗1.3714.4M2022-07-29
KSMKusamaHydration65.4465.3315-0.17%63.87-2.40%0.0193✓1.19244k2022-07-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408860.408185-0.17%0.40843-0.11%0.0040✗1.22118k2022-07-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2657.2531-0.16%8.06+10.94%0.1091✗1.265.5M2022-07-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.48290.482122-0.16%0.5213+7.95%0.0810✗1.00224k2022-07-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16450.164241-0.16%0.1643-0.12%0.0039✗1.26411k2022-07-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11480.114619-0.16%0.1273+10.89%0.1088✗1.382.5M2022-07-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05240.052318-0.16%0.0548+4.58%0.0497✗1.20263k2022-07-29
XEMNEMnative0.0492890.049212-0.16%0.049723+0.88%0.0137✗1.1832k2022-07-29
FLOWFlownative1.8761.8731-0.15%1.866-0.53%0.0002✓1.27413k2022-07-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.027259-0.15%0.02996+9.74%0.0988✗1.5411.5M2022-07-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011832-0.15%0.00001174-0.93%0.0043✓1.25986k2022-07-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.038644-0.14%0.0388+0.26%0.0075✗1.2368k2022-07-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9780.976681-0.13%0.9706-0.76%0.0037✓0.913.9M2022-07-29
COMPCompoundEthereum57.9757.898-0.12%58.69+1.24%0.0175✗1.3932k2022-07-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4310.430477-0.12%0.4226-1.95%0.0147✓1.35104k2022-07-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30140.301042-0.12%0.2921-3.09%0.0269✓1.1575k2022-07-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.317510.317133-0.12%0.32001+0.79%0.0127✗1.3111k2022-07-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.0441.0428-0.12%1.0453+0.12%0.0055✗1.119,1202022-07-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.19860.19837-0.12%0.2033+2.37%0.0284✗1.371,5612022-07-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.59e-7-0.11%9.60e-7+0.00%0.0040✗1.0024k2022-07-29
XVSVenusEthereum5.65.5936-0.11%7.64+36.43%0.3158✗1.41959k2022-07-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.1363.0585-0.11%65.869+4.34%0.0460✗0.85386k2022-07-29
FTTFTXEthereum30.2430.2067-0.11%31.09+2.81%0.0315✗0.9510.8M2022-07-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06550.06543-0.11%0.0674+2.90%0.0324✗0.96183k2022-07-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.2665-0.11%3.16-3.36%0.0317✓0.5082k2022-07-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029930.029899-0.10%0.02985-0.27%0.0019✗1.2514k2022-07-29
STEEMSteemnative0.25050.250252-0.10%0.2476-1.16%0.0074✓1.16643k2022-07-29
MOVRMoonriverBase14.286314.2725-0.10%14.2-0.60%0.0017✓1.1970k2022-07-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.883184-0.09%0.884+0.00%0.0029✗0.711.2M2022-07-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31360.313319-0.09%0.309-1.47%0.0105✓1.192.7M2022-07-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0154290.015416-0.09%0.015055-2.42%0.0212✓0.891.2M2022-07-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57640.575908-0.09%0.6209+7.72%0.0785✗1.17624k2022-07-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6342.6318-0.08%2.537-3.68%0.0341✓0.93105k2022-07-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46540.465026-0.08%0.4725+1.53%0.0201✗1.48220k2022-07-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42952.4279-0.07%2.9516+21.49%0.1975✗0.78884k2022-07-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12160.121518-0.07%0.131+7.73%0.0779✗1.005,8712022-07-29
AAVEAaveEthereum100.41100.3434-0.07%95.6-4.79%0.0437✓1.679.0M2022-07-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004420.004417-0.06%0.00439-0.68%0.0024✓1.32106k2022-07-29
XECeCashnative0.000044280.000044253-0.06%0.00004499+1.60%0.0198✗1.181.7M2022-07-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047440.047412-0.06%0.04721-0.48%0.0017✓0.9115k2022-07-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13590.135823-0.06%0.1352-0.52%0.0018✓1.013.2M2022-07-29
SOLSolanaSolana42.9342.9059-0.06%41.94-2.31%0.0189✓1.3781.8M2022-07-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,725.191,724.22-0.06%1,722.25-0.17%0.0024✗1.26383.0M2022-07-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.611691-0.05%0.603-1.47%0.0103✓1.4184k2022-07-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4363.4042-0.04%60.71-4.29%0.0401✓1.1613.5M2022-07-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018830.018823-0.04%0.01894+0.58%0.0084✗0.76263k2022-07-29
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980390.98004-0.04%0.97115-0.94%0.0053✓1.34399k2022-07-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.935.9279-0.04%5.966+0.61%0.0095✗1.102.0M2022-07-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08460.084571-0.03%0.0887+4.85%0.0510✗1.20155k2022-07-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.12066-0.03%0.1292+7.04%0.0715✗1.11617k2022-07-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010980.001097-0.03%0.001083-1.33%0.0094✓1.301.6M2022-07-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.7091.7085-0.03%1.861+8.89%0.0873✗0.65223k2022-07-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218760.021872-0.02%0.02189+0.06%0.0036✗0.988,3682022-07-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1817.1772-0.02%18.26+6.29%0.0650✗1.371.3M2022-07-29
XTZTezosTezos1.71661.7164-0.01%1.7093-0.43%0.0006✓1.26492k2022-07-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.215984-0.01%0.215-0.46%0.0003✓1.51786k2022-07-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49940.499386-0.00%0.4982-0.24%0.0008✗1.1242k2022-07-29
XVGVergenative0.003690.00369-0.00%0.00366-0.81%0.0044✓1.31505k2022-07-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.64e-7+0.00%3.57e-7-1.72%0.0147✗0.96195k2022-07-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3309680.330976+0.00%0.331178+0.06%0.0042✓1.291.0M2022-07-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.95280.952863+0.01%1.061+11.36%0.1115✓1.431.4M2022-07-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3741.3741+0.01%1.349-1.82%0.0148✗1.292.4M2022-07-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.262027+0.01%0.2615-0.19%0.0020✗0.0131k2022-07-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08360.083609+0.01%0.0795-4.90%0.0481✗0.83155k2022-07-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51.5002+0.01%1.6146+7.64%0.0775✓1.43561k2022-07-29
NANOnanopayBase0.9965430.99667+0.01%0.992939-0.36%0.0010✗0.9857k2022-07-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043190.043196+0.01%0.04323+0.09%0.0035✓0.971,9372022-07-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160010.160036+0.02%0.173+8.12%0.0823✓1.55205k2022-07-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.8642.8646+0.02%2.968+3.63%0.0386✓1.10597k2022-07-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.1060.106027+0.03%0.1081+1.98%0.0231✓1.32491k2022-07-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.5905+0.03%1.66+4.40%0.0467✓1.38114k2022-07-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.2221+0.03%7.887+9.24%0.0916✓1.2716.2M2022-07-29
XMRMoneroMonero162.51162.5652+0.03%160.25-1.39%0.0112✗1.101.3M2022-07-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7530.753273+0.04%0.76+0.93%0.0124✓1.25178k2022-07-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13060.130648+0.04%0.1298-0.61%0.0029✗1.3049k2022-07-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14980.149855+0.04%0.1494-0.27%0.0005✓1.2587k2022-07-29
TRXTRONTron0.0697620.069788+0.04%0.069296-0.67%0.0049✗0.79376k2022-07-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50212.5033+0.05%2.8321+13.19%0.1262✓0.98863k2022-07-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020990.021001+0.05%0.02177+3.72%0.0389✓1.03136k2022-07-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.774.7725+0.05%5.15+7.97%0.0779✓0.62587k2022-07-29
DASHDashDash52.4852.5082+0.05%50.61-3.56%0.0337✗1.12594k2022-07-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1166880.116752+0.06%0.117733+0.90%0.0112✓1.006.8M2022-07-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24420.244351+0.06%0.2443+0.04%0.0033✓1.24110k2022-07-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.062939+0.06%0.0626-0.48%0.0014✗1.41337k2022-07-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32295.3266+0.07%5.1731-2.81%0.0286✗0.21214k2022-07-29
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.51329+0.08%0.5222+1.81%0.0207✓1.2543.2M2022-07-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061790.006184+0.08%0.006209+0.48%0.0066✓0.894,8812022-07-29
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.51e-7+0.08%9.50e-7+0.00%0.0016✓0.845.9M2022-07-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3040.304266+0.09%0.303-0.33%0.0012✗1.04681k2022-07-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.425470.425847+0.09%0.42978+1.01%0.0132✓1.41592k2022-07-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.13561.1366+0.09%1.1278-0.69%0.0048✗1.0743k2022-07-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8567.8636+0.10%8.186+4.20%0.0437✓1.269.4M2022-07-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,851.7023,875.29+0.10%23,784.50-0.28%0.0010✗1.00429.5M2022-07-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.325690.326025+0.10%0.31514-3.24%0.0306✗1.18407k2022-07-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24060.240854+0.11%0.2372-1.41%0.0111✗1.4999k2022-07-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.25470.254969+0.11%0.2516-1.22%0.0102✗1.0963k2022-07-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9913.9954+0.11%4.439+11.23%0.1070✓0.601.1M2022-07-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7230.72381+0.11%0.715-1.11%0.0088✗1.21806k2022-07-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,875.3023,902.37+0.11%23,827.50-0.20%0.0004✓0.9819k2022-07-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.054768+0.12%0.0558+2.01%0.0224✓1.31765k2022-07-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1170.117147+0.13%0.1172+0.17%0.0035✓1.07357k2022-07-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.053273+0.14%0.0549+3.20%0.0342✓1.46109k2022-07-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7490.750083+0.14%0.771+2.94%0.0318✓1.5180k2022-07-29
PROPropyEthereum0.80.801167+0.15%0.79-1.25%0.0123✗0.6179k2022-07-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33630.336791+0.15%0.3368+0.15%0.0033✓1.157.7M2022-07-29
KCSKuCoinnative10.34310.3581+0.15%10.197-1.41%0.0126✗1.092.4M2022-07-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.008950.008963+0.15%0.00892-0.34%0.0022✗0.921.6M2022-07-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031070.003112+0.15%0.00316+1.71%0.0182✓1.001.0M2022-07-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069010.006914+0.18%0.006991+1.30%0.0126✓0.5440k2022-07-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.085055+0.18%0.087+2.47%0.0260✓1.216,3652022-07-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0550410.055145+0.19%0.056128+1.97%0.0194✓0.6120k2022-07-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691040.069245+0.20%0.068947-0.23%0.0011✓1.151.7M2022-07-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04430.044395+0.21%0.0458+3.39%0.0349✓1.347,1312022-07-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54660.547783+0.22%0.5651+3.38%0.0343✓1.14350k2022-07-29
ZECZcashZcash63.6463.7796+0.22%63.5-0.22%0.0008✓1.271.5M2022-07-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.00925+0.22%0.00941+1.95%0.0198✓0.974.7M2022-07-29
SGBSongbirdnative0.02520.025271+0.28%0.0261+3.57%0.0337✓0.5145k2022-07-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015240.001528+0.29%0.001507-1.12%0.0112✗1.0120k2022-07-29
GTGateEthereum4.29644.3154+0.44%4.3922+2.23%0.0197✓0.72968k2022-07-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.