8=======>

2022-06-15 · +1d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1289
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.0%
in alpha space · 19.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.71%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3160.320674+1.48%0.278-12.03%0.0243✓1.64407k2022-06-16
COMPCompoundEthereum35.5235.9764+1.28%30.16-15.09%0.0267✗1.4728k2022-06-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.468.5651+1.24%7.13-15.72%0.0643✗1.17508k2022-06-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.760.769315+1.23%0.6-21.05%0.1374✗1.0971k2022-06-16
XMRMoneroMonero118.21119.5329+1.12%106.33-10.05%0.0004✓1.141.7M2022-06-16
APEApeCoinEthereum4.1614.2059+1.08%3.372-18.96%0.0237✗1.9317.0M2022-06-16
XVGVergenative0.003310.003345+1.07%0.00286-13.60%0.0061✓1.48648k2022-06-16
SCSiacoinnative0.00380.00384+1.06%0.00341-10.26%0.0416✓1.57228k2022-06-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3111.3249+1.06%1.23-6.18%0.1026✓1.73231k2022-06-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03820.038603+1.05%0.0345-9.69%0.0343✓1.44374k2022-06-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.349626+1.05%0.324-6.36%0.0463✓1.2015k2022-06-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8816.046+1.05%13.82-12.97%0.0161✗1.302.6M2022-06-16
STXStacksnative0.36490.368553+1.00%0.3286-9.95%0.0231✓1.35165k2022-06-16
OPTIMOptimism0.5920.597917+1.00%0.49-17.23%0.0969✗1.006.5M2022-06-16
HIVEHivenative0.37880.382576+1.00%0.345-8.92%0.0454✓1.461.2M2022-06-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18550.187337+0.99%0.158-14.82%0.0195✗1.48196k2022-06-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.881140.889732+0.98%0.84123-4.53%0.0771✓1.305,7412022-06-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,347.815,399.29+0.96%4,598.44-14.01%0.0280✗1.303.7M2022-06-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0032330.003264+0.94%0.003262+0.90%0.1233✓1.214,5492022-06-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.87e-73.90e-7+0.94%3.34e-7-13.63%0.0709✗0.831.1M2022-06-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030530.003081+0.93%0.002801-8.25%0.0246✓1.172.1M2022-06-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141960.143276+0.93%0.12518-11.82%0.0336✓1.65260k2022-06-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9541.972+0.92%1.743-10.80%0.0610✓1.812.9M2022-06-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.064786+0.91%0.0581-9.50%0.0295✗0.78313k2022-06-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05850.059031+0.91%0.052-11.11%0.0031✓1.21139k2022-06-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.620.625621+0.91%0.48-22.58%0.1535✗1.0956k2022-06-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044730.045131+0.90%0.04577+2.33%0.1291✓1.1314k2022-06-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068820.006943+0.89%0.00623-9.47%0.0014✓1.072,5562022-06-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020820.021001+0.87%0.01905-8.50%0.0144✓1.10149k2022-06-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4180.421626+0.87%0.381-8.85%0.0645✓1.624,1942022-06-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16570.167125+0.86%0.1448-12.61%0.0063✓1.47917k2022-06-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198230.019992+0.85%0.018988-4.21%0.0771✓1.269,2752022-06-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2740330.276342+0.84%0.261084-4.73%0.0948✓1.482.4M2022-06-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.9128.973+0.84%109.37-14.49%0.0433✗1.194.4M2022-06-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7680.774439+0.84%0.664-13.54%0.0115✗1.395.0M2022-06-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.478.5406+0.83%7.91-6.61%0.0306✓1.05283k2022-06-16
ZECZcashZcash68.5769.1412+0.83%58.94-14.04%0.0205✗1.363.6M2022-06-16
KCSKuCoinnative11.83211.9296+0.82%11.087-6.30%0.0404✓1.115.3M2022-06-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028050.028281+0.82%0.02555-8.91%0.0419✓1.4018k2022-06-16
AAVEAaveEthereum66.5967.1267+0.81%56.51-15.14%0.0010✓1.687.7M2022-06-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2918.4365+0.80%15.77-13.78%0.0043✓1.4949.3M2022-06-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10850.109358+0.79%0.1016-6.36%0.0766✓1.4749k2022-06-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9610.968586+0.79%0.833-13.32%0.0487✗1.001.6M2022-06-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.399570.402673+0.78%0.42782+7.07%0.2198✓1.5663k2022-06-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.467620.47125+0.78%0.49666+6.21%0.2557✓1.993.5M2022-06-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05011.0581+0.76%0.91995-12.40%0.0575✗0.816242022-06-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.270029+0.76%0.253-5.60%0.0484✓1.11890k2022-06-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000061940.000062407+0.75%0.000058-6.36%0.1754✓2.431.7M2022-06-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7880.793822+0.74%0.667-15.36%0.0569✗1.151.0M2022-06-16
XTZTezosTezos1.52691.5381+0.73%1.355-11.26%0.0095✓1.33914k2022-06-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.13430.135269+0.72%0.124-7.67%0.0587✓1.43169k2022-06-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,236.451,245.26+0.71%1,066.87-13.72%0.0416✗1.11365.6M2022-06-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.049770.050122+0.71%0.04558-8.42%0.0464✓1.3870k2022-06-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.631.6411+0.68%1.52-6.75%0.0498✓1.24270k2022-06-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.111.1175+0.68%0.96-13.51%0.0113✓1.601.1M2022-06-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.6810.685541+0.67%0.593-12.92%0.0417✓1.831.8M2022-06-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1120.112746+0.67%0.0973-13.12%0.0028✓1.475.4M2022-06-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.253280.254967+0.67%0.24344-3.89%0.0909✓1.34453k2022-06-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.854.8823+0.66%4.34-10.52%0.0295✓1.44405k2022-06-16
MOVRMoonriverBase15.050415.1488+0.65%12.9736-13.80%0.0175✗1.35222k2022-06-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.312.3797+0.65%10.81-12.11%0.0393✓1.71333k2022-06-16
BTTCBTTC8.30e-78.35e-7+0.64%7.60e-7-8.43%0.0037✓0.895.5M2022-06-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041180.041442+0.64%0.03838-6.80%0.0385✓1.132,9602022-06-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03050.030694+0.64%0.0275-9.84%0.0285✓1.36247k2022-06-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063040.063439+0.63%0.06111-3.06%0.0647✓1.001,7292022-06-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,542.4022,684.16+0.63%20,300.70-9.94%0.0101✗0.9929k2022-06-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24230.243824+0.63%0.2314-4.50%0.0830✓1.3231k2022-06-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41190.414433+0.62%0.362-12.11%0.0225✓1.54160k2022-06-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1380.138837+0.61%0.1219-11.67%0.0184✓1.454.4M2022-06-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.724293+0.60%0.62-13.89%0.0069✗1.46195k2022-06-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21390.215166+0.59%0.1959-8.42%0.0529✓1.44472k2022-06-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04940.04968+0.57%0.043-12.96%0.0137✓1.5520k2022-06-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10740.108004+0.56%0.085-20.86%0.1057✗1.314,0262022-06-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.95662.973+0.56%2.6461-10.50%0.0063✓1.2041k2022-06-16
STEEMSteemnative0.19650.19746+0.49%0.1854-5.65%0.0703✓1.31629k2022-06-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2851.2913+0.49%1.105-14.01%0.0026✓1.5079k2022-06-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008770.000881243+0.48%0.000783-10.72%0.0256✓1.412.0M2022-06-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.432.4415+0.47%2.29-5.76%0.1164✓1.77304k2022-06-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6290.63192+0.46%0.574-8.74%0.0119✓1.06372k2022-06-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.690.693108+0.45%0.593-14.06%0.0155✗1.38578k2022-06-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006930.006961+0.45%0.00641-7.50%0.0278✓1.08582k2022-06-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.454.4699+0.45%4.04-9.21%0.0280✗0.721.6M2022-06-16
NANOnanopayBase0.8806030.884538+0.45%0.798118-9.37%0.0096✓1.10120k2022-06-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.90.904015+0.45%0.807-10.33%0.0709✓1.81319k2022-06-16
GTGateEthereum4.40014.4196+0.44%3.9508-10.21%0.0450✗0.662.1M2022-06-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.566.5871+0.41%6.05-7.77%0.0348✗0.492.1M2022-06-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.476+0.41%1.27-13.61%0.0177✓1.65596k2022-06-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.084.0966+0.41%3.86-5.39%0.0124✓0.701.7M2022-06-16
BANDBandEthereum1.571.5764+0.41%1.348-14.14%0.0041✓1.57374k2022-06-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0182.0261+0.40%1.699-15.81%0.0147✗1.5897k2022-06-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.103112+0.40%0.0928-9.64%0.0161✓1.19733k2022-06-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0263.0381+0.40%2.845-5.98%0.0232✓0.871.9M2022-06-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0627140.062964+0.40%0.055166-12.04%0.0028✓1.271.3M2022-06-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.00231.0062+0.39%0.954432-4.77%0.0745✓1.2549k2022-06-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.6350.8213+0.38%44.74-11.63%0.0045✗1.2017.5M2022-06-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.054120.054314+0.36%0.04718-12.82%0.0257✓1.632.0M2022-06-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9866.0072+0.35%5.311-11.28%0.0244✓1.4411.1M2022-06-16
XECeCashnative0.000040390.00004053+0.35%0.00003702-8.34%0.0496✓1.373.0M2022-06-16
DIADIAEthereum0.418440.419863+0.34%0.37966-9.27%0.0323✗0.67276k2022-06-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.872.8797+0.34%2.57-10.45%0.0006✓1.12663k2022-06-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.983.9934+0.34%3.57-10.30%0.0544✗0.572.1M2022-06-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4713+0.33%3.11-10.12%0.0311✗0.771.7M2022-06-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.4364+0.33%2.2619-6.86%0.1168✓1.8717k2022-06-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4830.484558+0.32%0.425-12.01%0.0189✓1.47116k2022-06-16
QNTQuantEthereum50.850.9637+0.32%44.42-12.56%0.0368✗0.992.0M2022-06-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070310.007053+0.31%0.006722-4.39%0.0342✓0.81167k2022-06-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019210.01927+0.31%0.01773-7.70%0.0129✗0.69631k2022-06-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.21690.217548+0.30%0.2052-5.39%0.0657✓1.22100k2022-06-16
ZENHorizenBase16.0816.1277+0.30%13.48-16.17%0.0306✗1.4665k2022-06-16
XEMNEMnative0.0415060.041626+0.29%0.038032-8.37%0.0472✓1.3529k2022-06-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125190.012555+0.29%0.011964-4.43%0.0454✓0.922.0M2022-06-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.84081.8459+0.28%1.7294-6.05%0.0293✓0.933.2M2022-06-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7840.786053+0.26%0.685-12.63%0.0287✓1.633.2M2022-06-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.098754+0.26%0.0869-11.78%0.0282✓1.531.2M2022-06-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7915.83+0.25%13.61-13.81%0.0022✓1.462.4M2022-06-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,562.3322,618.96+0.25%20,372.00-9.71%0.0025✗1.00602.3M2022-06-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008820.000008842+0.25%0.00000795-9.86%0.0239✓1.28850k2022-06-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.550.551365+0.25%0.5-9.09%0.0443✓1.39771k2022-06-16
DASHDashDash45.8645.9733+0.25%41.86-8.72%0.0237✓1.15837k2022-06-16
SOLSolanaSolana34.7234.8043+0.24%30.1-13.31%0.0010✓1.41107.4M2022-06-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.327.3373+0.24%6.329-13.54%0.0115✗1.3415.2M2022-06-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.8848+0.23%5.302-9.69%0.0344✓1.362.6M2022-06-16
ADACardanoCardano0.53430.535542+0.23%0.4756-10.99%0.0274✓1.4365.8M2022-06-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2643.2712+0.22%3.078-5.70%0.0122✓0.724.4M2022-06-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.53621.5395+0.21%1.3599-11.48%0.0080✓1.292.0M2022-06-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4991+0.21%1.31-12.43%0.0197✓1.515.5M2022-06-16
FLOWFlownative1.6721.6753+0.20%1.391-16.81%0.0839✗1.00580k2022-06-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09030.090467+0.18%0.0817-9.52%0.0475✓1.46354k2022-06-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.02652.0299+0.17%1.7941-11.47%0.0160✓1.3768k2022-06-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28590.28637+0.16%0.2551-10.77%0.0159✓1.296.1M2022-06-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009860.009876+0.16%0.00889-9.84%0.0045✓1.0712.1M2022-06-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10790.108051+0.14%0.1049-2.78%0.0858✓1.137,2892022-06-16
FTTFTXEthereum25.5625.5921+0.13%23.28-8.92%0.0003✓0.929.4M2022-06-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0512330.051287+0.11%0.0501-2.21%0.0506✓0.7367k2022-06-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.009770.00978+0.10%0.00877-10.24%0.0013✗1.051.5M2022-06-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.743.7439+0.10%3.6-3.74%0.0323✓0.707.0M2022-06-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1210180.12114+0.10%0.10905-9.89%0.0068✓1.1010.7M2022-06-16
PROPropyEthereum0.910.910908+0.10%0.86-5.49%0.0201✓0.76187k2022-06-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.06550.065542+0.06%0.0552-15.73%0.0099✗1.59141k2022-06-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.222.2213+0.06%2.1202-4.50%0.0484✓0.933.4M2022-06-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9620.962129+0.01%0.822-14.55%0.0518✓2.0529.5M2022-06-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.10270.102705+0.00%0.0922-10.22%0.0187✓1.24852k2022-06-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12860.128594-0.01%0.1134-11.82%0.0242✓0.993.3M2022-06-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.327.3184-0.02%6.352-13.22%0.0074✓1.3140.5M2022-06-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.494.4886-0.03%4.05-9.80%0.0731✗1.721.7M2022-06-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.63522.634-0.04%2.3926-9.21%0.0175✗1.113.1M2022-06-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.47755.4488-0.05%50.901-8.25%0.0051✗0.891.2M2022-06-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2163.214-0.06%2.909-9.55%0.0464✓0.524.5M2022-06-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.329.3105-0.10%8.02-13.95%0.0235✗1.692.7M2022-06-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8150.814119-0.11%0.785-3.68%0.0658✗1.001.7M2022-06-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14440.144227-0.12%0.1237-14.34%0.0528✓0.99256k2022-06-16
UNIUniswapEthereum4.4154.4095-0.12%3.829-13.27%0.0030✓1.353.2M2022-06-16
TRXTRONTron0.0629980.062918-0.13%0.058994-6.36%0.0377✗1.00756k2022-06-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99474.9865-0.16%5.0538+1.18%0.0404✗0.26235k2022-06-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.23957-0.18%0.212-11.67%0.0563✗1.751.3M2022-06-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05980.059683-0.20%0.0526-12.04%0.0251✗1.481.7M2022-06-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66670.665253-0.22%0.6143-7.86%0.0443✗1.212.8M2022-06-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.314370.313672-0.22%0.27575-12.28%0.0251✗1.5114k2022-06-16
KSMKusamaHydration58.2658.129-0.22%49.2-15.55%0.0404✓1.241.0M2022-06-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3722.3661-0.25%1.978-16.61%0.0261✓1.50104k2022-06-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5562.5496-0.25%2.344-8.29%0.0196✗1.0163k2022-06-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0162620.016217-0.28%0.014896-8.40%0.0242✓0.60469k2022-06-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33990.338732-0.34%0.3018-11.21%0.0118✗1.2514.6M2022-06-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5727-0.46%1.47-6.96%0.0016✓0.68166k2022-06-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.921060.916162-0.53%0.80833-12.24%0.0174✗1.40789k2022-06-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.4918.4446-0.55%7.11-16.26%0.0376✓1.3213.5M2022-06-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0720.071467-0.74%0.0558-22.50%0.0979✓1.46410k2022-06-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.7762.7548-0.77%2.64-4.90%0.0910✗1.311.1M2022-06-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360610.356736-1.07%0.32127-10.91%0.0279✗1.30105k2022-06-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.5191.5025-1.09%1.284-15.47%0.0031✓1.51879k2022-06-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025230.024889-1.35%0.02059-18.39%0.0066✓1.9240.1M2022-06-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.17860.175859-1.53%0.1494-16.35%0.0393✓1.213,0802022-06-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.