8=======>

2022-04-25 · +1d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0111
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.75%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.2%
in alpha space · 86.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
APEApeCoinEthereum19.35719.0172-1.76%18.092-6.54%0.0822✗2.2345.4M2022-04-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1579870.156019-1.25%0.137619-12.89%0.0737✓0.875.1M2022-04-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.7227.3758-1.24%25.54-7.86%0.0157✓0.91517k2022-04-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.6282.6062-0.83%2.535-3.54%0.0297✗0.979.9M2022-04-26
MINAMina Protocolnative2.252.2316-0.82%1.95-13.33%0.0746✓1.021.3M2022-04-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17840.177027-0.77%0.1581-11.38%0.0454✓1.148.8M2022-04-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.4843.4591-0.71%3.066-12.00%0.0322✓1.49896k2022-04-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.91e-79.84e-7-0.71%8.90e-7-10.22%0.1127✓-0.20596k2022-04-26
SUSHISushiEthereum3.283.2572-0.69%2.91-11.28%0.0429✓1.184.4M2022-04-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5750.571155-0.67%0.512-10.96%0.0523✓0.964.9M2022-04-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.2210.219566-0.65%0.2049-7.29%0.0057✓1.263.3M2022-04-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.778920.773869-0.65%0.71569-8.12%0.0154✓1.06140k2022-04-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.166.1217-0.62%5.42-12.01%0.0428✓1.338.3M2022-04-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.124.0952-0.60%3.83-7.04%0.0116✗1.33416k2022-04-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023040.022902-0.60%0.02115-8.20%0.0195✓1.01383k2022-04-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7315.6372-0.59%14.35-8.77%0.0116✓1.252.2M2022-04-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.022950.022816-0.58%0.02075-9.59%0.0093✓1.4549.4M2022-04-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.7432.7273-0.57%2.366-13.74%0.0690✓1.238.4M2022-04-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70310.699167-0.56%0.6562-6.67%0.0101✓0.9012.2M2022-04-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003910.003888-0.56%0.00365-6.65%0.0018✓1.047.1M2022-04-26
DODODODOEthereum0.3840.381868-0.56%0.349-9.11%0.0262✓1.088.0M2022-04-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01140.011338-0.54%0.01086-4.74%0.0100✓0.5632k2022-04-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.32790.326128-0.54%0.296-9.73%0.0214✓1.281.3M2022-04-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.82735.7969-0.52%5.4923-5.75%0.0132✗1.1311.2M2022-04-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3726.2342-0.51%23.51-10.85%0.0374✓1.22685k2022-04-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7778150.773837-0.51%0.832578+7.04%0.1363✗1.074.6M2022-04-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.11340.112822-0.51%0.11-3.00%0.0281✗0.90791k2022-04-26
MOVRMoonriverBase50.540650.2834-0.51%45.768-9.44%0.0118✓1.39223k2022-04-26
ZECZcashZcash165.73164.8908-0.51%145.94-11.94%0.0640✓0.987.2M2022-04-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8440.839777-0.50%0.748-11.37%0.0367✓1.331.9M2022-04-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4191.412-0.50%1.29-9.09%0.0313✓1.00593k2022-04-26
COMPCompoundEthereum132.68132.0236-0.49%121.78-8.22%0.0150✓1.1165k2022-04-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.1416.0605-0.49%15.02-6.94%0.0043✓1.0613.0M2022-04-26
BANDBandEthereum3.6163.5985-0.48%3.307-8.55%0.0141✓1.19715k2022-04-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.166.1303-0.48%6.02-2.27%0.0155✗0.571.0M2022-04-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0260330.025909-0.48%0.02694+3.48%0.0706✗0.53197k2022-04-26
KSMKusamaHydration164.32163.5377-0.48%154.99-5.68%0.0089✗1.061.1M2022-04-26
LUNATerraTerra 296.8596.3978-0.47%88.47-8.65%0.0106✓1.2710.3M2022-04-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.89180.88764-0.47%0.8193-8.13%0.0092✓1.20487k2022-04-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.021670.02157-0.46%0.02116-2.35%0.0240✗0.734.5M2022-04-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.52650.524066-0.46%0.5373+2.05%0.0404✗0.26777k2022-04-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36040.358743-0.46%0.3371-6.47%0.0076✗1.189.2M2022-04-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07860.07825-0.45%0.07809-0.65%0.0432✗0.7631k2022-04-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.6533.501-0.44%30.7-8.77%0.0244✓1.068.8M2022-04-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024370.000024262-0.44%0.00002298-5.70%0.0077✗1.052.1M2022-04-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.3364.317-0.44%3.962-8.63%0.0139✗1.681.8M2022-04-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.85.7747-0.44%5.28-8.97%0.0033✓1.46461k2022-04-26
MANADecentralandEthereum1.98011.9716-0.43%1.8074-8.72%0.0243✓1.061.2M2022-04-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.6318.5511-0.42%17.31-7.09%0.0096✓1.0110.7M2022-04-26
UNIUniswapEthereum8.748.7032-0.42%8-8.47%0.0245✓1.016.3M2022-04-26
QTUMQtumQtum6.46726.4403-0.42%6.0098-7.07%0.0029✓1.12170k2022-04-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2556.229-0.42%5.751-8.06%0.0144✓1.10216k2022-04-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.680.677198-0.41%0.637-6.32%0.0174✓0.742.8M2022-04-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072990.072691-0.41%0.06673-8.58%0.0270✓0.99124k2022-04-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum42.8942.7155-0.41%38.74-9.68%0.0279✓1.186.3M2022-04-26
XECeCashnative0.000086730.000086379-0.40%0.00007859-9.39%0.0408✓0.919.8M2022-04-26
RADRadworksEthereum4.424.4031-0.38%4.14-6.33%0.0118✓0.84741k2022-04-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01680.016737-0.37%0.0159-5.36%0.0006✓0.881.5M2022-04-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.07785.0593-0.36%5.2343+3.08%0.0794✗0.778.0M2022-04-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10320.102838-0.35%0.0986-4.46%0.0119✗0.912.5M2022-04-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3811.3762-0.35%1.273-7.82%0.0056✓1.22496k2022-04-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.29220.291188-0.35%0.2688-8.01%0.0161✓1.08492k2022-04-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.031.0265-0.34%0.94-8.74%0.0268✓1.03595k2022-04-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.959580.956348-0.34%0.8649-9.87%0.0283✓1.221.7M2022-04-26
NANOnanopayBase2.1192.1119-0.33%1.8946-10.59%0.0508✓0.98188k2022-04-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24370.242893-0.33%0.2255-7.47%0.0001✓1.25236k2022-04-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.723570.721188-0.33%0.65645-9.28%0.0352✓0.99152k2022-04-26
SOLSolanaSolana100.99100.6586-0.33%95.74-5.20%0.0216✗1.21127.9M2022-04-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1185.1013-0.33%4.896-4.34%0.0144✗0.9464k2022-04-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51750.515808-0.33%0.4708-9.02%0.0276✓1.08719k2022-04-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.570.568175-0.32%0.5-12.28%0.0436✓1.42395k2022-04-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140930.014048-0.32%0.013268-5.85%0.0066✓0.8553k2022-04-26
XVSVenusEthereum109.9681-0.32%9.55-4.50%0.0171✗1.014.5M2022-04-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1750.174444-0.32%0.159-9.14%0.0688✓0.40190k2022-04-26
AVTAventusEthereum2.452.4422-0.32%2.33-4.90%0.0175✓0.50322k2022-04-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.21270.212046-0.31%0.1968-7.48%0.0093✓1.102.6M2022-04-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche72.9172.6931-0.30%68.7-5.77%0.0132✗1.1862.8M2022-04-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.270203-0.29%0.26-4.06%0.0003✓0.6636k2022-04-26
STORJStorjEthereum1.05741.0542-0.29%0.95796-9.40%0.0308✓1.10156k2022-04-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.8321.8267-0.29%1.675-8.57%0.0301✓0.9678k2022-04-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2913.2815-0.29%3.009-8.57%0.0536✓0.561.8M2022-04-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.52274.5102-0.28%4.0998-9.35%0.0394✓0.95275k2022-04-26
XVGVergenative0.009960.009934-0.27%0.00927-6.93%0.0066✓1.061.4M2022-04-26
DASHDashDash99.4199.1511-0.26%93.27-6.18%0.0021✓1.001.6M2022-04-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV80.6880.4842-0.24%76.53-5.14%0.0037✓0.793.4M2022-04-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,700.5018,655.45-0.24%17,482.39-6.51%0.0066✓0.984.0M2022-04-26
ADACardanoCardano0.89750.895363-0.24%0.8259-7.98%0.0203✓1.0253.5M2022-04-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,523.2040,428.13-0.23%38,008.80-6.20%0.0072✓0.9225k2022-04-26
ZENHorizenBase36.3936.3049-0.23%32.21-11.49%0.0441✓1.28275k2022-04-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04330.0432-0.23%0.0407-6.00%0.0123✓0.8067k2022-04-26
XEMNEMnative0.09540.095183-0.23%0.0889-6.81%0.0147✓0.9072k2022-04-26
SCSiacoinnative0.010140.010117-0.23%0.00932-8.09%0.0150✓1.13476k2022-04-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5064.4961-0.22%4.046-10.21%0.0307✓1.26121k2022-04-26
FTTFTXEthereum41.8341.7459-0.20%38.71-7.46%0.0229✓0.8919.0M2022-04-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18291.1805-0.20%1.0722-9.36%0.0242✓1.2210.2M2022-04-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.911.9064-0.19%1.74-8.90%0.0153✓1.281.6M2022-04-26
TRXTRONTron0.0653240.065206-0.18%0.061824-5.36%0.0177✓0.60304k2022-04-26
AAVEAaveEthereum168.93168.6256-0.18%158.02-6.46%0.0088✗1.2512.2M2022-04-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1222.0806-0.18%20.31-8.18%0.0227✓1.0323.3M2022-04-26
ETHEthereumEthereum3,007.223,001.90-0.18%2,809.26-6.58%0.0075✓0.99438.2M2022-04-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04780.047716-0.18%0.0423-11.51%0.0250✓1.6132.1M2022-04-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.44820.447427-0.17%0.4053-9.57%0.0835✓0.265,5292022-04-26
PROPropyEthereum1.61.5973-0.17%1.5-6.25%0.0367✓0.44247k2022-04-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06510.064992-0.17%0.0599-7.99%0.0170✓1.09296k2022-04-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.8412.8194-0.16%12.13-5.53%0.0059✗1.031.1M2022-04-26
ORCAOrcaSolana1.971.9669-0.16%1.88-4.57%0.0033✓0.71230k2022-04-26
HIVEHivenative0.90460.903213-0.15%0.8402-7.12%0.0163✓0.951.9M2022-04-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.8918.862-0.15%17.23-8.79%0.0120✓1.33190k2022-04-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23530.234968-0.14%0.2151-8.58%0.0410✓0.801.6M2022-04-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.18480.184549-0.14%0.1659-10.23%0.0253✗2.23398k2022-04-26
XYMSymbolnative0.1070.106862-0.13%0.1012-5.42%0.0162✓0.65823k2022-04-26
LSKLiskEthereum2.09732.0947-0.13%1.9849-5.36%0.0050✓0.82100k2022-04-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2361.2345-0.12%1.131-8.50%0.0207✓1.132.6M2022-04-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1163.1124-0.12%2.928-6.03%0.0230✓0.641.5M2022-04-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0918.0692-0.12%16.69-7.74%0.0205✓1.0014.6M2022-04-26
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7991.7969-0.11%1.666-7.39%0.0182✓0.978.6M2022-04-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.3080.30765-0.11%0.2747-10.81%0.0316✓1.388.8M2022-04-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88230.881306-0.11%0.8397-4.83%0.0251✗1.24208k2022-04-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1691.1677-0.11%1.089-6.84%0.0098✓1.013.9M2022-04-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0721.0708-0.11%0.986-8.02%0.0208✓1.041.3M2022-04-26
KCSKuCoinnative19.75919.7386-0.10%18.817-4.77%0.0023✓0.775.8M2022-04-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.030480.03045-0.10%0.02748-9.84%0.0447✓0.984.4M2022-04-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3654.3611-0.09%4.052-7.17%0.0598✓0.232.7M2022-04-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.18260.18245-0.08%0.1641-10.13%0.0399✓1.12220k2022-04-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50060.500197-0.08%0.4674-6.63%0.0175✓0.85511k2022-04-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash314.56314.3099-0.08%296.43-5.76%0.0019✓0.966.0M2022-04-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,439.2240,412.34-0.07%38,113.82-5.75%0.0007✓1.00544.9M2022-04-26
UMAUMAEthereum5.945.9361-0.07%5.532-6.87%0.0152✗1.452.5M2022-04-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.31470.314497-0.06%0.2646-15.92%0.0742✓1.662.2M2022-04-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.4413.4315-0.06%12.37-7.96%0.0181✓1.0826.0M2022-04-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.66163.6597-0.05%3.376-7.80%0.0485✓0.544.6M2022-04-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.41642.4152-0.05%2.3628-2.22%0.0157✗0.6311k2022-04-26
DIADIAEthereum0.840.839589-0.05%0.81-3.57%0.0079✓0.4788k2022-04-26
FIDABonfidaSolana1.2991.2984-0.05%1.2-7.62%0.0214✓0.9762k2022-04-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.195.1877-0.04%4.8-7.51%0.0411✓0.62865k2022-04-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1922160.192131-0.04%0.180467-6.11%0.0059✓0.9618.9M2022-04-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.5312.526-0.03%11.53-7.98%0.0575✓0.432.8M2022-04-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.56104.53-0.03%98.59-5.71%0.0014✗1.0119.7M2022-04-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9464.9447-0.03%4.714-4.69%0.0166✓0.531.6M2022-04-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13350.133469-0.02%0.1328-0.52%0.0537✗0.99203k2022-04-26
XTZTezosTezos2.95422.9536-0.02%2.7203-7.92%0.0224✓1.01893k2022-04-26
XMRMoneroMonero254.06254.0259-0.01%230.31-9.35%0.0450✓0.893.1M2022-04-26
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.2195-0.01%3.9-7.58%0.0242✓0.923.1M2022-04-26
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.00000183-0.01%0.00000175-4.37%0.0027✓0.719.3M2022-04-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.98023.9803+0.00%3.586-9.90%0.0756✗0.485.6M2022-04-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.2201+0.01%2.07-6.76%0.0118✗0.98128k2022-04-26
GTGateEthereum6.31816.3185+0.01%6.1359-2.88%0.0015✗0.474.7M2022-04-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.64990.650176+0.04%0.6001-7.66%0.0240✗0.959.2M2022-04-26
QNTQuantEthereum107.81107.8801+0.07%100.69-6.60%0.0219✗0.803.4M2022-04-26
GITCOINGITCOIN5.7535.7577+0.08%5.254-8.67%0.0067✗1.4318k2022-04-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045150.045193+0.10%0.04222-6.49%0.0200✗0.81381k2022-04-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.664.665+0.11%4.38-6.01%0.0231✗0.671.2M2022-04-26
CBKCobakEthereum2.1662.1684+0.11%2.02-6.74%0.0299✗0.6925k2022-04-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.41210.412637+0.13%0.3932-4.59%0.0318✓1.35282k2022-04-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.138440.138633+0.14%0.12984-6.21%0.0219✗0.7417k2022-04-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009620.009634+0.15%0.00856-11.02%0.0500✗1.153.0M2022-04-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.95195.961+0.15%5.8399-1.88%0.0089✓0.50208k2022-04-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03110.031152+0.17%0.02986-3.99%0.0076✗0.59536k2022-04-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.090680.090883+0.22%0.08622-4.92%0.0068✗0.7736k2022-04-26
STXStacksnative1.111.1127+0.25%1.03-7.21%0.0223✗0.93422k2022-04-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana11.4311.4646+0.30%10.73-6.12%0.0457✗0.352.0M2022-04-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.7023+0.39%5.26-7.39%0.0442✗0.621.3M2022-04-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.