8=======>

2022-03-21 · +1d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0656
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.9%
in alpha space · 18.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1191840.119059-0.11%0.122365+2.67%0.0007✓0.822.6M2022-03-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6570.655664-0.20%0.722+9.89%0.0667✗0.911.9M2022-03-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.7519.7087-0.21%20.78+5.22%0.0097✗1.33246k2022-03-22
GTGateEthereum6.36916.3548-0.22%6.4277+0.92%0.0093✓0.643.6M2022-03-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25060.249926-0.27%0.253+0.96%0.0146✓0.821.9M2022-03-22
COMPCompoundEthereum113.52113.1958-0.29%114.7+1.04%0.0249✓1.1748k2022-03-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1030.102698-0.29%0.105+1.94%0.0046✗0.5429k2022-03-22
XYMSymbolnative0.13710.136693-0.30%0.1371+0.00%0.0228✓0.79298k2022-03-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.410.408754-0.30%0.4064-0.88%0.0683✓1.912.1M2022-03-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,105.8040,978.96-0.31%42,512.10+3.42%0.0053✗0.9652k2022-03-22
AAVEAaveEthereum153.89153.4091-0.31%152.91-0.64%0.0454✓1.298.5M2022-03-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,359.4020,293.81-0.32%20,305.82-0.26%0.0355✓1.115.7M2022-03-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,891.082,881.71-0.32%2,970.51+2.75%0.0040✓1.05492.6M2022-03-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.16541.1615-0.33%1.1525-1.10%0.0498✓1.291.7M2022-03-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012620.012578-0.33%0.01287+1.98%0.0001✓0.709,3002022-03-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.372.362-0.34%2.44+2.95%0.0006✓0.98142k2022-03-22
TRXTRONTron0.061790.061577-0.34%0.063447+2.68%0.0090✗0.64259k2022-03-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,017.7140,874.03-0.35%42,378.26+3.32%0.0035✓1.00680.6M2022-03-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4331.428-0.35%1.457+1.67%0.0244✓1.36466k2022-03-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51050.508704-0.35%0.5151+0.90%0.0116✓0.74399k2022-03-22
SUSHISushiEthereum3.313.2982-0.36%3.45+4.23%0.0072✗1.166.4M2022-03-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum1514.946-0.36%15.43+2.87%0.0029✓1.0733.1M2022-03-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001823-0.36%0.00000186+1.64%0.0004✓0.6212.1M2022-03-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.46.3767-0.36%6.75+5.47%0.0327✗0.741.6M2022-03-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041260.04111-0.36%0.04222+2.33%0.0008✓0.8423k2022-03-22
XMRMoneroMonero191.87191.165-0.37%193.89+1.05%0.0169✓0.951.7M2022-03-22
SOLSolanaSolana88.6288.2866-0.38%90.48+2.10%0.0166✓1.2692.6M2022-03-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.19696.1736-0.38%6.1887-0.13%0.0111✓0.42179k2022-03-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025750.025652-0.38%0.026+0.97%0.0217✓1.08211k2022-03-22
KCSKuCoinnative18.0918.0205-0.38%18.261+0.95%0.0161✓0.906.2M2022-03-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011780.011735-0.38%0.01179+0.08%0.0352✓1.223.2M2022-03-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.2112.2023-0.39%2.255+1.99%0.0020✓0.7921k2022-03-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.456.4243-0.40%6.67+3.41%0.0134✗0.74822k2022-03-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.226.195-0.40%6.43+3.38%0.0137✗0.721.3M2022-03-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.13115.6555-0.41%122.81+5.75%0.0271✗1.0125.9M2022-03-22
QNTQuantEthereum119.55119.06-0.41%127.12+6.33%0.0358✗0.914.2M2022-03-22
XTZTezosTezos3.24073.2272-0.42%3.302+1.89%0.0126✓1.091.1M2022-03-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.850.846395-0.42%0.91+7.06%0.0291✗1.332.1M2022-03-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2036920.202824-0.43%0.20689+1.57%0.0125✓0.9917.0M2022-03-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018960.018879-0.43%0.01899+0.16%0.0277✓1.031.4M2022-03-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5311.5244-0.43%1.547+1.05%0.0185✓1.02644k2022-03-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.092.0808-0.44%2.15+2.87%0.0013✓1.04354k2022-03-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.9716.8953-0.44%18.02+6.19%0.0317✗1.0014.5M2022-03-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.8812.8232-0.44%13.32+3.42%0.0241✗0.433.0M2022-03-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7518.6666-0.44%20.22+7.84%0.0447✗1.0824.4M2022-03-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.9884.6001-0.45%91.76+7.98%0.0567✗0.751.1M2022-03-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15240.151717-0.45%0.1543+1.25%0.0171✓1.04215k2022-03-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.5729.4369-0.45%29.9+1.12%0.0140✓0.91767k2022-03-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.74430.740923-0.45%0.7746+4.07%0.0145✗0.927.2M2022-03-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094860.094427-0.46%0.09728+2.55%0.0010✓0.8828k2022-03-22
RADRadworksEthereum4.744.7182-0.46%4.97+4.85%0.0236✗0.87626k2022-03-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1962.1858-0.46%2.268+3.28%0.0060✓1.319.5M2022-03-22
PROPropyEthereum1.591.5826-0.47%1.54-3.14%0.0605✓1.02242k2022-03-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.29330.291929-0.47%0.31+5.69%0.0230✗1.13192k2022-03-22
ADACardanoCardano0.91790.913484-0.48%0.9753+6.25%0.0326✗1.0160.9M2022-03-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.40892.3974-0.48%2.4316+0.94%0.0243✓1.181.3M2022-03-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.2120.210968-0.49%0.218+2.83%0.0095✓1.291.8M2022-03-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.891.8808-0.49%1.93+2.12%0.0160✓1.281.0M2022-03-22
XVSVenusEthereum9.379.3227-0.50%9.38+0.11%0.0279✓1.043.0M2022-03-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.026170.026037-0.51%0.02633+0.61%0.0133✓0.752.7M2022-03-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.82366.7888-0.51%7.6005+11.38%0.0765✗1.1297k2022-03-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.10491.0992-0.52%1.1249+1.81%0.0139✓1.13128k2022-03-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.424.3972-0.52%4.5+1.81%0.0229✓1.41375k2022-03-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7632.7487-0.52%2.762-0.04%0.0328✓1.15514k2022-03-22
HIVEHivenative0.91430.909503-0.52%0.9224+0.89%0.0224✓1.122.1M2022-03-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0128140.012747-0.53%0.013307+3.85%0.0133✗0.9111k2022-03-22
XEMNEMnative0.10710.106531-0.53%0.1082+1.03%0.0121✓0.8540k2022-03-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.8217.7249-0.53%18.31+2.75%0.0005✓0.985.1M2022-03-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.08970.08922-0.53%0.0905+0.89%0.0259✓1.23504k2022-03-22
UMAUMAEthereum7.5757.5342-0.54%7.622+0.62%0.0310✓1.306.0M2022-03-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6181.6092-0.54%1.626+0.49%0.0221✓0.992.3M2022-03-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0403440.040117-0.56%0.040562+0.54%0.0200✓0.954.1M2022-03-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.816550.811943-0.56%0.80946-0.87%0.0395✓1.12118k2022-03-22
DODODODOEthereum0.4190.416633-0.56%0.446+6.44%0.0323✗1.102.8M2022-03-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.93333.0276-0.57%375.54+12.12%0.0895✗0.947.0M2022-03-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.7723.7505-0.57%3.8754+2.74%0.0126✗0.623.9M2022-03-22
XVGVergenative0.00990.009843-0.57%0.00999+0.91%0.0228✓1.151.7M2022-03-22
UNIUniswapEthereum9.359.2965-0.57%9.76+4.39%0.0152✗1.036.1M2022-03-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41180.409441-0.57%0.4105-0.32%0.0353✓1.169.3M2022-03-22
XECeCashnative0.000080420.000079958-0.57%0.00008348+3.81%0.0117✗0.964.8M2022-03-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8515.7587-0.58%17.58+10.91%0.0667✗1.312.6M2022-03-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.48130.478526-0.58%0.4873+1.25%0.0145✓1.001.3M2022-03-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9834.9537-0.59%5.543+11.24%0.0909✗0.66716k2022-03-22
FTTFTXEthereum44.6744.4067-0.59%45.28+1.37%0.0144✓1.0414.3M2022-03-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053580.053261-0.60%0.05567+3.90%0.0099✗1.05474k2022-03-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3133.2931-0.60%4.168+25.81%0.2119✗0.731.2M2022-03-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.15442.1415-0.60%2.188+1.56%0.0041✓0.79126k2022-03-22
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6871.6767-0.61%1.793+6.28%0.0406✗0.8150k2022-03-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.20320.201955-0.61%0.2091+2.90%0.0030✓1.162.3M2022-03-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.1749.8623-0.61%52.46+4.56%0.0099✗1.254.8M2022-03-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022940.000022798-0.62%0.00002344+2.18%0.0105✓1.172.3M2022-03-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07520.074728-0.63%0.0759+0.93%0.0152✓0.94146k2022-03-22
SCSiacoinnative0.009560.009499-0.63%0.0096+0.42%0.0255✓1.10441k2022-03-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0064.974-0.64%5.07+1.28%0.0119✓0.95102k2022-03-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34150.339302-0.64%0.3622+6.06%0.0223✗1.32997k2022-03-22
BANDBandEthereum3.7493.7247-0.65%3.81+1.63%0.0137✓1.11590k2022-03-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5501760.546546-0.66%0.561881+2.13%0.0064✓1.041.6M2022-03-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94680.940511-0.66%1.1707+23.65%0.1795✗1.214.7M2022-03-22
KSMKusamaHydration154.99153.9557-0.67%158.4+2.20%0.0085✓1.13685k2022-03-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2281.2198-0.67%1.26+2.61%0.0001✓0.992.8M2022-03-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.635675-0.68%0.67+4.69%0.0028✓1.52440k2022-03-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.9327.7412-0.68%28.03+0.36%0.0259✓1.1140.2M2022-03-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.230.228414-0.69%0.2354+2.35%0.0025✓1.00372k2022-03-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.098.0342-0.69%8.37+3.46%0.0177✗0.712.6M2022-03-22
DIADIAEthereum0.940.933399-0.70%0.95+1.06%0.0057✓0.36248k2022-03-22
GITCOINGITCOIN6.5296.483-0.70%6.962+6.63%0.0266✗1.3724k2022-03-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.9714.9351-0.72%5.175+4.10%0.0056✓1.282.6M2022-03-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34390.341413-0.72%0.3714+8.00%0.0375✗1.439.4M2022-03-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.2685.632-0.73%83.98-2.64%0.0620✓1.30118.0M2022-03-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.16353.1404-0.73%3.292+4.06%0.0203✗0.824.1M2022-03-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.152260.151119-0.75%0.15608+2.51%0.0045✓0.8514k2022-03-22
NANOnanopayBase2.2122.1953-0.76%2.2499+1.71%0.0128✓1.15139k2022-03-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.556.5002-0.76%6.98+6.56%0.0259✗1.39447k2022-03-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22070.219022-0.76%0.2271+2.90%0.0036✓1.001.7M2022-03-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13260.131584-0.77%0.1349+1.73%0.0140✓1.192.1M2022-03-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0345.9876-0.77%5.986-0.80%0.0312✓0.9582k2022-03-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.152.1334-0.77%2.16+0.47%0.0095✓0.67176k2022-03-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.8280.821481-0.79%0.8268-0.14%0.0262✓1.0016.8M2022-03-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.12324.0905-0.79%4.2393+2.82%0.0144✗0.654.7M2022-03-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.9174.8773-0.81%4.907-0.20%0.0144✓0.637.0M2022-03-22
STXStacksnative1.31.2895-0.81%1.3+0.00%0.0225✓0.94481k2022-03-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.7526.5316-0.82%27.98+4.60%0.0113✗1.28735k2022-03-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80750.800851-0.82%0.8086+0.14%0.0334✓1.32111k2022-03-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.23580.233853-0.83%0.2408+2.12%0.0034✓1.00173k2022-03-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.272.2512-0.83%2.21-2.64%0.0312✓0.39309k2022-03-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8513.8188-0.84%4.136+7.40%0.0592✗0.63683k2022-03-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.5216.3806-0.84%16.17-2.12%0.0524✓1.21510k2022-03-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.5990.593934-0.85%0.5639-5.86%0.0845✓1.004,8802022-03-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.3476.292-0.87%6.545+3.12%0.0068✓1.00475k2022-03-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06250.061957-0.87%0.0657+5.12%0.0026✓1.7243.9M2022-03-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.5992.5764-0.87%2.669+2.69%0.0027✓1.0052k2022-03-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.4991.4858-0.88%1.466-2.20%0.0581✓1.37204k2022-03-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039030.03868-0.90%0.03923+0.51%0.0075✓0.66963k2022-03-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074220.073549-0.90%0.07561+1.87%0.0070✓1.0659k2022-03-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5181.5042-0.91%1.719+13.24%0.1009✗1.001.6M2022-03-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2540.251659-0.92%0.253-0.39%0.0211✓0.8129k2022-03-22
MOVRMoonriverBase62.259661.6766-0.94%66.9272+7.50%0.0379✗1.34154k2022-03-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.1916.1323-0.95%6.234+0.69%0.0009✓0.485.9M2022-03-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.30432.2821-0.96%2.6489+14.95%0.1256✗0.7213k2022-03-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.121.1091-0.97%1.31+16.96%0.1325✗1.04525k2022-03-22
DASHDashDash123.68122.478-0.97%130.57+5.57%0.0321✗0.981.7M2022-03-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82754.7797-0.99%4.8022-0.52%0.0258✓0.93208k2022-03-22
ZECZcashZcash181.56179.7444-1.00%174.59-3.84%0.0610✓0.9813.8M2022-03-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.074440.073689-1.01%0.07627+2.46%0.0085✓0.799,2172022-03-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana13.713.5605-1.02%13.41-2.12%0.0274✓0.502.0M2022-03-22
LUNATerraTerra 295.8294.8282-1.04%93.09-2.85%0.0636✓1.389.1M2022-03-22
ZENHorizenBase43.5943.114-1.09%45.47+4.31%0.0105✓1.31309k2022-03-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07120.070415-1.10%0.0724+1.69%0.0109✓1.19337k2022-03-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.6081.5899-1.13%1.582-1.62%0.0459✓1.253.7M2022-03-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.79690.787748-1.15%0.78-2.12%0.0210✓0.34620k2022-03-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256440.025301-1.34%0.025067-2.25%0.0336✓0.75198k2022-03-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001180.000001164-1.40%0.000001193+1.06%0.0386✗-0.421.7M2022-03-22
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1412.1104-1.43%2.315+8.13%0.0612✗0.964.0M2022-03-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4137.817-1.54%51.65+34.47%0.2797✗0.983.9M2022-03-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6940.678841-2.18%0.693-0.14%0.0177✓1.182.1M2022-03-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004410.004307-2.32%0.00429-2.72%0.0469✓1.315.3M2022-03-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.9675.8241-2.39%5.838-2.16%0.0302✓1.00498k2022-03-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.95268.7182-2.62%8.8344-1.32%0.0194✓1.0047.9M2022-03-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62320.605832-2.79%0.758+21.63%0.1830✗1.26447k2022-03-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.035880.034654-3.42%0.03998+11.43%0.0927✗1.5413.3M2022-03-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.