8=======>

2022-02-12 · +1d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0504
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.0%
in alpha space · 70.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.033810.033905+0.28%0.03066-9.32%0.0961✗1.139.7M2022-02-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1442810.144496+0.15%0.148727+3.08%0.0330✓1.047.0M2022-02-13
SOLSolanaSolana95.9596.0746+0.13%92.92-3.16%0.0283✗1.26179.7M2022-02-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006160.006168+0.12%0.00579-6.01%0.0550✗2.0218.8M2022-02-13
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6410.6529+0.12%10.35-2.73%0.0235✗1.3412.5M2022-02-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0286320.028662+0.11%0.027679-3.33%0.0297✗1.29111k2022-02-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9420.942803+0.09%0.88-6.58%0.0634✗1.382.4M2022-02-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.921.921+0.05%1.9-1.04%0.0062✗1.191.4M2022-02-13
ETHEthereumEthereum2,919.992,921.42+0.05%2,872.84-1.61%0.0122✗1.13572.6M2022-02-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25140.251512+0.04%0.2771+10.22%0.1013✓1.091.6M2022-02-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7450.745311+0.04%0.747+0.27%0.0067✓1.101.6M2022-02-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0218880.021897+0.04%0.021469-1.91%0.0148✗1.232.4M2022-02-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.042350.042366+0.04%0.04259+0.57%0.0098✓1.1330k2022-02-13
XVSVenusEthereum8.988.9828+0.03%8.7-3.12%0.0267✗1.312.8M2022-02-13
IMXImmutableEthereum2.32.3007+0.03%2.29-0.43%0.0007✗0.972.9M2022-02-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.8218.8258+0.03%18.75-0.37%0.0015✓1.3736.1M2022-02-13
COMPCompoundEthereum127.26127.2928+0.03%124.43-2.22%0.0176✗1.2959k2022-02-13
LUNATerraTerra 251.9651.9729+0.02%51.89-0.13%0.0042✓1.437.4M2022-02-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.04431.0445+0.01%1.01-3.29%0.0287✗1.212.3M2022-02-13
GTGateEthereum6.7586.7585+0.01%6.7726+0.22%0.0057✓0.904.0M2022-02-13
QNTQuantEthereum133.7133.7081+0.01%121.97-8.77%0.0878✗1.027.8M2022-02-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.485.4803+0.01%5.5+0.36%0.0068✓0.79377k2022-02-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08570.085704+0.01%0.084-1.98%0.0151✗1.24201k2022-02-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash330.64330.639-0.00%333.81+0.96%0.0137✗1.028.9M2022-02-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.91880.918743-0.01%0.8967-2.41%0.0197✓1.1327.1M2022-02-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9165.9155-0.01%5.903-0.22%0.0015✗0.8972k2022-02-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.691.6898-0.01%1.66-1.78%0.0127✓1.261.4M2022-02-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07170.071682-0.03%0.0714-0.42%0.0005✗1.1017k2022-02-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.1615.1555-0.03%15.13-0.20%0.0026✗1.06535k2022-02-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.77251.772-0.03%1.7279-2.52%0.0207✓1.1273k2022-02-13
AAVEAaveEthereum162.52162.4635-0.03%158.29-2.60%0.0203✓1.419.3M2022-02-13
QTUMQtumQtum6.73896.7365-0.04%6.5106-3.39%0.0283✓1.45145k2022-02-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.46040.460231-0.04%0.443-3.78%0.0321✓1.512.0M2022-02-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.65010.649812-0.04%0.6296-3.15%0.0253✓1.55743k2022-02-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,131.8523,121.44-0.04%22,889.91-1.05%0.0062✓0.967.8M2022-02-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.937.926-0.05%7.41-6.56%0.0661✓0.301.1M2022-02-13
ADACardanoCardano1.05961.0591-0.05%1.0431-1.56%0.0107✓1.12115.7M2022-02-13
NANOnanopayBase2.17812.177-0.05%2.1144-2.93%0.0243✓1.20547k2022-02-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.9715.9616-0.05%15.6-2.32%0.0180✓1.2172.0M2022-02-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6181.6171-0.05%1.6-1.11%0.0060✓1.161.9M2022-02-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.031250.031233-0.05%0.03005-3.84%0.0351✓0.876.4M2022-02-13
DASHDashDash104.19104.1321-0.06%102.03-2.07%0.0158✓1.142.1M2022-02-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum59.1859.1444-0.06%58.08-1.86%0.0132✓1.248.8M2022-02-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.676.6659-0.06%6.63-0.60%0.0018✓0.90406k2022-02-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.46.3959-0.06%6.49+1.41%0.0179✗0.83428k2022-02-13
XEMNEMnative0.10860.108531-0.06%0.11+1.29%0.0177✗1.0636k2022-02-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.806940.806402-0.07%0.8076+0.08%0.0075✗1.50311k2022-02-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,244.9742,216.09-0.07%42,074.99-0.40%0.0007✗1.00642.7M2022-02-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.15411.1533-0.07%1.1334-1.80%0.0133✓1.05239k2022-02-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.0417.0274-0.07%16.82-1.29%0.0052✓1.753.8M2022-02-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.28380.283582-0.08%0.2688-5.29%0.0472✓1.564.2M2022-02-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5620.56154-0.08%0.5345-4.89%0.0440✓1.322.5M2022-02-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093770.093692-0.08%0.09518+1.50%0.0201✗1.0750k2022-02-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.10350.103413-0.08%0.1025-0.97%0.0025✓1.581.2M2022-02-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.562.5578-0.09%2.52-1.56%0.0107✓1.03431k2022-02-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013620.013608-0.09%0.01362+0.00%0.0040✗0.7813k2022-02-13
XLMStellarStellar0.2182180.218029-0.09%0.210311-3.62%0.0319✓1.0424.2M2022-02-13
KSMKusamaHydration166.09165.9425-0.09%163.53-1.54%0.0097✓1.22930k2022-02-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8121.8103-0.09%1.737-4.14%0.0361✓1.311.1M2022-02-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,568.0042,528.74-0.09%42,091.20-1.12%0.0064✓0.9741k2022-02-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin126.78126.6628-0.09%125.67-0.88%0.0026✓1.3035.7M2022-02-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.28520.28493-0.09%0.2812-1.40%0.0087✓1.11538k2022-02-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6176180.617028-0.10%0.60939-1.33%0.0077✓1.183.5M2022-02-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.20640.2062-0.10%0.2009-2.66%0.0203✓1.423.7M2022-02-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.3542.3517-0.10%2.388+1.44%0.0196✗1.0722k2022-02-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.6731.6369-0.10%32.5+2.62%0.0312✗1.064.9M2022-02-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076090.076007-0.11%0.07534-0.99%0.0058✓0.7586k2022-02-13
GITCOINGITCOIN7.7817.7724-0.11%7.272-6.54%0.0651✓0.3538k2022-02-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.1194.0051-0.11%92.52-1.69%0.0123✓0.901.3M2022-02-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.4928.4577-0.11%25.86-9.23%0.0896✓1.522.0M2022-02-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41910.418614-0.12%0.4062-3.08%0.0247✓1.348.7M2022-02-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.762.7566-0.12%2.754-0.22%0.0045✗1.351.1M2022-02-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.9396.9301-0.13%7.052+1.63%0.0216✗1.03407k2022-02-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.94010.938891-0.13%0.9151-2.66%0.0194✓1.54672k2022-02-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.985.9721-0.13%5.89-1.51%0.0093✓1.12645k2022-02-13
TRXTRONTron0.0634730.063389-0.13%0.064588+1.76%0.0224✗0.90351k2022-02-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45440.453793-0.13%0.4207-7.42%0.0685✓1.7932.6M2022-02-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.370.369505-0.13%0.379+2.43%0.0309✗1.372.1M2022-02-13
XECeCashnative0.00008230.000082184-0.14%0.00008177-0.64%0.0004✓1.165.6M2022-02-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.022.0171-0.14%2-0.99%0.0032✓1.312.2M2022-02-13
XYMSymbolnative0.17360.173344-0.15%0.1686-2.88%0.0249✓0.72406k2022-02-13
MINAMina Protocolnative2.52.4962-0.15%2.37-5.20%0.0466✓1.30390k2022-02-13
KCSKuCoinnative19.11119.0821-0.15%19.126+0.08%0.0077✗1.3410.4M2022-02-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.50793.5024-0.16%3.4786-0.84%0.0023✓1.122.5M2022-02-13
RADRadworksEthereum5.345.3316-0.16%5.45+2.06%0.0262✗1.05682k2022-02-13
UMAUMAEthereum6.326.309-0.17%6.01-4.91%0.0446✓0.981.9M2022-02-13
DODODODOEthereum0.5140.513098-0.18%0.499-2.92%0.0220✓1.464.9M2022-02-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.5422.5-0.18%21.38-5.15%0.0447✓1.58383k2022-02-13
XVGVergenative0.011490.011469-0.18%0.01099-4.35%0.0370✓1.401.2M2022-02-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012760.012737-0.18%0.01193-6.50%0.0592✓1.551.7M2022-02-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056010.055905-0.19%0.05267-5.96%0.0539✓1.421.2M2022-02-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.1178-0.19%1.06-5.36%0.0475✓1.40655k2022-02-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.3481.1825-0.19%77.97-4.14%0.0349✓1.3698.5M2022-02-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1623.1558-0.20%3.139-0.73%0.0021✓0.81212k2022-02-13
XTZTezosTezos4.1094.101-0.20%3.8546-6.19%0.0567✓1.312.4M2022-02-13
ZENHorizenBase40.8940.8062-0.20%40.16-1.79%0.0097✓1.57420k2022-02-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.787.7638-0.21%7.27-6.56%0.0642✓0.371.7M2022-02-13
SCSiacoinnative0.010680.010658-0.21%0.01036-3.00%0.0242✓1.03514k2022-02-13
XMRMoneroMonero173.82173.4509-0.21%174.01+0.11%0.0074✗1.051.3M2022-02-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.184960.184566-0.21%0.17187-7.08%0.0647✓1.6240k2022-02-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2671.2642-0.22%1.244-1.82%0.0111✓1.253.2M2022-02-13
ZECZcashZcash117.83117.568-0.22%117.13-0.59%0.0014✓1.277.2M2022-02-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16720.166825-0.22%0.1611-3.65%0.0307✓1.05470k2022-02-13
SUSHISushiEthereum4.154.1394-0.26%4.03-2.89%0.0212✓1.398.0M2022-02-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.8620.8057-0.26%20.56-1.44%0.0070✓1.2110.8M2022-02-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.872.8624-0.27%2.75-4.18%0.0343✓1.4219.1M2022-02-13
BANDBandEthereum4.274.2586-0.27%4.06-4.92%0.0427✓1.251.9M2022-02-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13930.138924-0.27%0.1475+5.89%0.0654✗1.353.2M2022-02-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.940.937351-0.28%0.91-3.19%0.0217✓1.961.1M2022-02-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.0726.9927-0.29%26.19-3.25%0.0256✓1.1471.8M2022-02-13
HIVEHivenative1.0521.0489-0.30%1.072+1.90%0.0277✗1.471.9M2022-02-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0310.9974-0.30%11.07+0.36%0.0095✗0.72660k2022-02-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.79743.786-0.30%3.7675-0.79%0.0010✓0.972.2M2022-02-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7864.7713-0.31%4.66-2.63%0.0202✓0.84348k2022-02-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.87440.87171-0.31%0.8484-2.97%0.0228✓1.0712.7M2022-02-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158970.015847-0.31%0.016324+2.69%0.0344✗1.17630k2022-02-13
MANADecentralandEthereum2.91152.9025-0.31%2.8231-3.04%0.0237✓1.012.8M2022-02-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0442880.04415-0.31%0.043319-2.19%0.0141✓1.228.4M2022-02-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.0720.0064-0.32%19.77-1.49%0.0072✓1.1725.0M2022-02-13
BTTCBTTC0.000002170.000002163-0.32%0.00000212-2.30%0.0160✓1.0014.3M2022-02-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.894.8741-0.33%4.47-8.59%0.0816✓1.242.6M2022-02-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002920.000029104-0.33%0.00003011+3.12%0.0397✗1.421.8M2022-02-13
API3Api3Ethereum4.074.0564-0.34%4.57+12.29%0.1206✗0.341.8M2022-02-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3123.3006-0.34%3.387+2.26%0.0294✗0.90502k2022-02-13
FTTFTXEthereum44.1844.0209-0.36%44.32+0.32%0.0115✗1.1832.3M2022-02-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.79894.7807-0.38%4.6803-2.47%0.0162✓1.24399k2022-02-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57850.576201-0.40%0.5723-1.07%0.0025✓1.061.1M2022-02-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03220.032069-0.41%0.0312-3.11%0.0216✓1.47490k2022-02-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84221.8346-0.41%1.823-1.04%0.0039✓0.622.9M2022-02-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.5273.5124-0.41%3.4198-3.04%0.0232✓0.8830k2022-02-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana18.0517.9748-0.42%17.86-1.05%0.0035✓0.71984k2022-02-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.911.9019-0.43%1.88-1.57%0.0060✓1.392.9M2022-02-13
ORCAOrcaSolana3.033.0158-0.47%3.06+0.99%0.0186✗1.001.4M2022-02-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94465.9152-0.49%5.8538-1.53%0.0092✓0.31447k2022-02-13
DIADIAEthereum0.960.955235-0.50%0.95-1.04%0.0015✓1.00277k2022-02-13
STXStacksnative1.521.512-0.53%1.46-3.95%0.0309✓1.001.1M2022-02-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.115362-0.55%0.118+1.72%0.0266✗1.0072k2022-02-13
MOVRMoonriverBase85.843985.3677-0.55%82.6677-3.70%0.0263✓1.44315k2022-02-13
AVTAventusEthereum2.72.685-0.56%2.75+1.85%0.0280✗1.00779k2022-02-13
CELLCellframeEthereum1.24711.2396-0.60%1.3168+5.59%0.0668✗1.59119k2022-02-13
FIDABonfidaSolana2.4042.3894-0.61%2.437+1.37%0.0238✗1.0068k2022-02-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.60150.597815-0.61%0.5644-6.17%0.0499✓1.901.8M2022-02-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.047410.047062-0.73%0.04523-4.60%0.0368✓0.724.4M2022-02-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.1929.9611-0.76%28.14-6.79%0.0588✓0.96830k2022-02-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06820.067654-0.80%0.0626-8.21%0.0706✓1.7557.0M2022-02-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.9044.8622-0.85%4.721-3.73%0.0258✓0.92909k2022-02-13
PROPropyEthereum2.222.2007-0.87%2.2-0.90%0.0077✓1.991.1M2022-02-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3380.334534-1.03%0.291-13.91%0.1356✓0.9476k2022-02-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09560.094451-1.20%0.0866-9.41%0.0812✓1.39585k2022-02-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.29391.2766-1.34%1.2947+0.06%0.0177✗0.901.8M2022-02-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.