2022-01-11 · +1d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1770

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.31%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

61.2%

in alpha space · 66.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.73%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9389	0.946096	+0.77%	1.1869	+26.41%	0.2027	✓	0.89	3.1M	2022-01-12
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.077	0.077461	+0.60%	0.0819	+6.36%	0.0288	✓	1.00	30.6M	2022-01-12
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.75	26.8824	+0.49%	27.99	+4.64%	0.0090	✗	1.83	5.0M	2022-01-12
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01458	0.014638	+0.40%	0.01576	+8.09%	0.0102	✓	2.36	26.8M	2022-01-12
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.93	2.941	+0.37%	3.02	+3.07%	0.0057	✗	1.19	3.2M	2022-01-12
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3101	0.311085	+0.32%	0.3269	+5.42%	0.0156	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-01-12
SOL	Solana	Solana	140.27	140.695	+0.30%	151.56	+8.05%	0.0445	✓	1.11	194.0M	2022-01-12
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.153722	0.15418	+0.30%	0.162908	+5.98%	0.0253	✓	1.11	5.1M	2022-01-12
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018697	0.01875	+0.29%	0.01979	+5.85%	0.0212	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-01-12
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.273	1.2765	+0.27%	1.363	+7.07%	0.0295	✓	1.34	2.9M	2022-01-12
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4915	1.4953	+0.25%	1.6281	+9.16%	0.0338	✓	1.91	1.4M	2022-01-12
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029265	0.029339	+0.25%	0.029842	+1.97%	0.0107	✗	1.03	6.3M	2022-01-12
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0574	0.057541	+0.25%	0.0604	+5.23%	0.0124	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-01-12
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.43	29.4998	+0.24%	31.51	+7.07%	0.0249	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-01-12
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.69	29.7602	+0.24%	31.15	+4.92%	0.0174	✓	1.05	3.2M	2022-01-12
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8	8.0185	+0.23%	8.19	+2.38%	0.0044	✓	0.62	714k	2022-01-12
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2365	1.2393	+0.22%	1.3521	+9.35%	0.0596	✓	1.02	3.3M	2022-01-12
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0312	3.0379	+0.22%	3.2877	+8.46%	0.0493	✓	1.10	699k	2022-01-12
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.521	7.5377	+0.22%	7.9176	+5.27%	0.0108	✓	1.42	273k	2022-01-12
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	369.84	370.6567	+0.22%	383.83	+3.78%	0.0076	✓	1.01	8.5M	2022-01-12
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.15	2.1547	+0.22%	2.24	+4.19%	0.0097	✓	1.08	3.3M	2022-01-12
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.045	1.0472	+0.21%	1.084	+3.73%	0.0088	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-01-12
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,240.83	3,247.44	+0.20%	3,373.64	+4.10%	0.0095	✓	1.06	591.9M	2022-01-12
XVG	Verge	native	0.01386	0.013887	+0.20%	0.01475	+6.42%	0.0276	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-01-12
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6826	0.683931	+0.19%	0.7422	+8.73%	0.0337	✓	1.79	38.7M	2022-01-12
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1605	0.160809	+0.19%	0.1668	+3.93%	0.0034	✓	1.23	4.2M	2022-01-12
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	72.75	72.8882	+0.19%	78.16	+7.44%	0.0417	✓	1.05	6.4M	2022-01-12
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.61	3.6168	+0.19%	3.73	+3.32%	0.0059	✗	1.36	2.4M	2022-01-12
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.96	189.3136	+0.19%	196.42	+3.95%	0.0055	✓	1.17	161k	2022-01-12
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4129	6.4246	+0.18%	6.8813	+7.30%	0.0459	✓	0.85	3.7M	2022-01-12
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.86	1.8634	+0.18%	1.905	+2.42%	0.0089	✗	1.15	2.3M	2022-01-12
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.36	1.3625	+0.18%	1.43	+5.15%	0.0033	✓	1.67	738k	2022-01-12
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.73	9.7468	+0.17%	10.07	+3.49%	0.0341	✓	-0.06	1.6M	2022-01-12
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.01	8.0235	+0.17%	8.13	+1.50%	0.0109	✗	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-12
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07076	0.070878	+0.17%	0.07298	+3.14%	0.0037	✗	1.22	16.9M	2022-01-12
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.42	28.4667	+0.16%	28.89	+1.65%	0.0042	✗	0.70	363k	2022-01-12
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01475	0.014774	+0.16%	0.01542	+4.54%	0.0076	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-01-12
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064934	0.065038	+0.16%	0.068101	+4.88%	0.0205	✓	0.95	552k	2022-01-12
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	131.67	131.8792	+0.16%	142.02	+7.86%	0.0378	✓	1.35	35.0M	2022-01-12
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.96	0.961512	+0.16%	1.17	+21.88%	0.1495	✓	1.73	1.6M	2022-01-12
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	213.29	213.6111	+0.15%	218.61	+2.49%	0.0083	✗	1.17	17.6M	2022-01-12
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	169.57	169.82	+0.15%	168.76	-0.48%	0.0318	✗	0.95	7.5M	2022-01-12
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.71	13.7292	+0.14%	14.23	+3.79%	0.0050	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-01-12
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.98	16.0012	+0.13%	16.29	+1.94%	0.0171	✗	1.30	13.1M	2022-01-12
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009356	0.000093681	+0.13%	0.00009819	+4.95%	0.0201	✓	1.00	6.7M	2022-01-12
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04765	0.047711	+0.13%	0.0507	+6.40%	0.0305	✓	1.12	17k	2022-01-12
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,770.20	42,822.16	+0.12%	43,982.00	+2.83%	0.0002	✓	0.98	14k	2022-01-12
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1879	1.1893	+0.12%	1.313	+10.53%	0.0692	✓	1.11	95.6M	2022-01-12
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07976	0.079851	+0.11%	0.08196	+2.76%	0.0123	✗	1.43	2.6M	2022-01-12
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1471	0.14726	+0.11%	0.1554	+5.64%	0.0203	✓	1.24	2.1M	2022-01-12
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1778	0.17799	+0.11%	0.1826	+2.70%	0.0009	✓	0.91	463k	2022-01-12
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.55	25.5755	+0.10%	27.32	+6.93%	0.0305	✓	1.32	70.4M	2022-01-12
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.65	8.6586	+0.10%	8.89	+2.77%	0.0007	✓	0.95	4.4M	2022-01-12
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.89	28.9184	+0.10%	30.77	+6.51%	0.0338	✓	1.05	18.5M	2022-01-12
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,753.44	42,792.33	+0.09%	43,920.37	+2.73%	0.0009	✗	1.00	754.4M	2022-01-12
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.398	1.3992	+0.09%	1.49	+6.58%	0.0263	✓	1.36	5.2M	2022-01-12
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04184	0.041876	+0.09%	0.04277	+2.22%	0.0033	✗	0.91	8.4M	2022-01-12
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.361	0.361304	+0.08%	0.379	+4.99%	0.0280	✓	0.73	39k	2022-01-12
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.39	20.4071	+0.08%	20.88	+2.40%	0.0051	✗	1.04	1.0M	2022-01-12
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6511	0.651639	+0.08%	0.6995	+7.43%	0.0371	✓	1.25	4.4M	2022-01-12
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7323	3.7353	+0.08%	3.8595	+3.41%	0.0349	✓	-0.08	371k	2022-01-12
XMR	Monero	Monero	193.01	193.1654	+0.08%	199.2	+3.21%	0.0029	✓	1.03	3.0M	2022-01-12
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.8	2.8021	+0.08%	2.89	+3.21%	0.0047	✗	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-12
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01644	0.016451	+0.07%	0.01729	+5.17%	0.0309	✓	0.70	27k	2022-01-12
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.311	2.3126	+0.07%	2.521	+9.09%	0.0570	✓	1.09	1.9M	2022-01-12
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.221	8.2263	+0.06%	8.452	+2.81%	0.0092	✓	0.66	221k	2022-01-12
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		110.22	110.2857	+0.06%	112.64	+2.20%	0.0045	✗	0.95	2.6M	2022-01-12
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1102	0.110263	+0.06%	0.1144	+3.81%	0.0071	✓	1.10	304k	2022-01-12
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10496	0.105015	+0.05%	0.11114	+5.89%	0.0261	✓	1.14	23k	2022-01-12
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.14	5.1425	+0.05%	5.64	+9.73%	0.0625	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-01-12
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.516	0.51623	+0.04%	0.539	+4.46%	0.0084	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-12
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.78	6.7827	+0.04%	6.98	+2.95%	0.0111	✓	0.65	645k	2022-01-12
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0824	0.082431	+0.04%	0.0875	+6.19%	0.0226	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-01-12
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.54	3.5412	+0.03%	3.79	+7.06%	0.0495	✓	0.68	486k	2022-01-12
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2641	0.264188	+0.03%	0.2778	+5.19%	0.0146	✓	1.32	4.6M	2022-01-12
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.57	73.5902	+0.03%	81.93	+11.36%	0.0804	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-12
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1025	2.1031	+0.03%	2.1488	+2.20%	0.0085	✗	1.12	83k	2022-01-12
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5799	0.580027	+0.02%	0.6859	+18.28%	0.1311	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-01-12
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.747	0.74716	+0.02%	0.833	+11.51%	0.0699	✓	1.44	7.7M	2022-01-12
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.263177	0.263226	+0.02%	0.282353	+7.29%	0.0426	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-01-12
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.718632	0.718762	+0.02%	0.752838	+4.76%	0.0156	✓	1.14	2.6M	2022-01-12
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1752	4.1758	+0.01%	4.3843	+5.01%	0.0124	✓	1.35	4.6M	2022-01-12
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002762	0.000027623	+0.01%	0.0000315	+14.05%	0.0978	✓	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-12
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.38	141.3951	+0.01%	144.49	+2.20%	0.0139	✗	1.32	10.9M	2022-01-12
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.378	19.3796	+0.01%	20.372	+5.13%	0.0065	✓	1.61	13.0M	2022-01-12
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17303	0.173041	+0.01%	0.18305	+5.79%	0.0142	✓	1.56	5,360	2022-01-12
XEM	NEM	native	0.1145	0.114502	+0.00%	0.1192	+4.10%	0.0120	✓	1.05	67k	2022-01-12
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.08	5.08	+0.00%	5.43	+6.89%	0.0355	✓	1.15	3.3M	2022-01-12
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.765	2.7648	-0.01%	2.853	+3.18%	0.0071	✗	0.90	29k	2022-01-12
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0548	1.0547	-0.01%	1.1158	+5.79%	0.0084	✗	1.78	1.0M	2022-01-12
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.78	14.7786	-0.01%	15.33	+3.72%	0.0187	✗	0.67	1.1M	2022-01-12
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5924	1.5922	-0.01%	1.667	+4.68%	0.0227	✗	0.86	610k	2022-01-12
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09134	0.091319	-0.02%	0.09754	+6.79%	0.0471	✗	0.70	52k	2022-01-12
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5691	0.568954	-0.03%	0.5942	+4.41%	0.0084	✗	1.30	12.5M	2022-01-12
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.67	9.6673	-0.03%	10.21	+5.58%	0.0362	✗	0.68	1.2M	2022-01-12
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.99	6.9879	-0.03%	7.12	+1.86%	0.0165	✓	1.31	18.2M	2022-01-12
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.025	1.0247	-0.03%	1.0716	+4.55%	0.0073	✗	1.39	1.6M	2022-01-12
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9312	2.9303	-0.03%	3.0897	+5.41%	0.0260	✗	1.00	5.4M	2022-01-12
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	260.77	260.689	-0.03%	275.54	+5.66%	0.0240	✗	1.17	1.3M	2022-01-12
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.2	3.199	-0.03%	3.27	+2.19%	0.0046	✓	0.98	977k	2022-01-12
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.094	7.0917	-0.03%	7.779	+9.66%	0.0579	✗	1.29	271k	2022-01-12
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	89.66	89.6269	-0.04%	96.02	+7.09%	0.0377	✗	1.16	115.7M	2022-01-12
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3363	0.336164	-0.04%	0.3542	+5.32%	0.0117	✗	1.50	3.8M	2022-01-12
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.818	3.8162	-0.05%	3.922	+2.72%	0.0086	✗	0.70	526k	2022-01-12
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0135	0.013492	-0.06%	0.01401	+3.78%	0.0112	✗	0.98	756k	2022-01-12
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.076	0.07595	-0.07%	0.0825	+8.55%	0.0536	✗	1.08	19k	2022-01-12
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3228	0.322562	-0.07%	0.3384	+4.83%	0.0209	✗	1.00	397k	2022-01-12
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.1	8.0927	-0.09%	8.19	+1.11%	0.0089	✓	0.77	741k	2022-01-12
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.85	141.7151	-0.10%	143.32	+1.04%	0.0217	✓	1.22	2.2M	2022-01-12
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2062	0.206003	-0.10%	0.2011	-2.47%	0.0426	✓	0.69	428k	2022-01-12
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8424	3.8383	-0.11%	3.9279	+2.23%	0.0028	✗	0.75	3,116	2022-01-12
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.78	39.7361	-0.11%	41.43	+4.15%	0.0123	✗	1.10	20.7M	2022-01-12
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.45	3.4461	-0.11%	3.59	+4.06%	0.0125	✗	1.05	715k	2022-01-12
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3102	1.3087	-0.11%	1.3807	+5.38%	0.0162	✗	1.39	4.5M	2022-01-12
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.328	5.3218	-0.12%	5.895	+10.64%	0.0700	✗	1.20	446k	2022-01-12
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.19	10.1764	-0.13%	10.52	+3.24%	0.0131	✗	0.75	994k	2022-01-12
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,768.96	32,723.93	-0.14%	33,839.55	+3.27%	0.0163	✗	0.64	26.4M	2022-01-12
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.23	11.2144	-0.14%	12	+6.86%	0.0643	✗	0.13	2.8M	2022-01-12
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8921	0.890787	-0.15%	1.0214	+14.49%	0.1148	✗	0.82	122k	2022-01-12
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3709	1.3687	-0.16%	1.4029	+2.33%	0.0013	✓	0.87	922k	2022-01-12
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.203	11.1848	-0.16%	11.904	+6.26%	0.0604	✗	0.07	56k	2022-01-12
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.6	26.5546	-0.17%	26.76	+0.60%	0.0242	✓	1.19	70.9M	2022-01-12
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.382	4.3744	-0.17%	4.416	+0.78%	0.0119	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-01-12
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.141	1.1389	-0.18%	1.1883	+4.15%	0.0160	✗	0.98	23.2M	2022-01-12
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4467	1.444	-0.18%	1.4989	+3.61%	0.0063	✗	1.15	32.1M	2022-01-12
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1768	4.1688	-0.19%	4.2739	+2.32%	0.0097	✓	1.28	4.2M	2022-01-12
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	165.565	165.24	-0.20%	169.994	+2.68%	0.0020	✓	1.13	540k	2022-01-12
ZEN	Horizen	Base	56.11	55.9846	-0.22%	59.25	+5.60%	0.0164	✗	1.49	736k	2022-01-12
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.84	36.7438	-0.26%	39.17	+6.32%	0.0197	✗	1.64	2.8M	2022-01-12
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.57	3.5606	-0.26%	3.75	+5.04%	0.0179	✗	1.26	9.3M	2022-01-12
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.5966	-0.29%	4.91	+6.51%	0.0281	✗	1.41	30.4M	2022-01-12
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.45	34.3343	-0.34%	34.99	+1.57%	0.0186	✓	1.39	29.9M	2022-01-12
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064925	0.06469	-0.36%	0.060875	-6.24%	0.0940	✓	1.23	7.3M	2022-01-12
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.814	4.794	-0.42%	5.032	+4.53%	0.0309	✗	0.65	481k	2022-01-12
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1857	3.1674	-0.58%	3.2451	+1.86%	0.0083	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-01-12
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.71	38.4694	-0.62%	40.25	+3.98%	0.0205	✗	0.92	65.3M	2022-01-12
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.086423	0.085708	-0.83%	0.081805	-5.34%	0.0735	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-01-12
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6261	0.61921	-1.10%	0.6228	-0.53%	0.0334	✓	1.45	736k	2022-01-12
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.766	3.6562	-2.91%	3.605	-4.28%	0.0626	✓	1.80	1.2M	2022-01-12

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.