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2022-01-04 · +1d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2253
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.3%
in alpha space · 90.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62060.60463-2.57%0.5593-9.88%0.0037✓1.39650k2022-01-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum33.8233.2839-1.59%30.63-9.43%0.0092✓1.3924.2M2022-01-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.715.4715-1.46%13.31-15.22%0.1515✓-0.023.9M2022-01-05
GITCOINGITCOIN15.67215.4916-1.15%13.46-14.11%0.1445✓-0.0786k2022-01-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos42.0541.5791-1.12%38.67-8.04%0.0247✓0.9043.4M2022-01-05
HIVEHivenative1.59251.58-0.79%1.5149-4.87%0.0316✗1.385.2M2022-01-05
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03511.0276-0.72%0.9503-8.19%0.0249✓1.00145k2022-01-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71330.70829-0.70%0.643-9.86%0.0264✓1.322.8M2022-01-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5111.4312-0.68%10.74-6.69%0.0713✓-0.172.2M2022-01-05
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.686-0.65%3.86+4.04%0.1035✗1.08626k2022-01-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2912.2112-0.64%11.18-9.03%0.0558✓0.611.2M2022-01-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.369.3009-0.63%8.683-7.23%0.0362✓0.61299k2022-01-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67141.6614-0.60%1.5562-6.89%0.0057✓1.1230.0M2022-01-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.8342.5763-0.59%42.44-0.91%0.0845✗1.642.8M2022-01-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.049290.048999-0.59%0.04681-5.03%0.0025✓0.908.2M2022-01-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.019470.019356-0.58%0.01768-9.19%0.0228✓1.272.2M2022-01-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.923.8981-0.56%3.55-9.44%0.0236✓1.3110.7M2022-01-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204040.202905-0.56%0.18607-8.81%0.0033✓1.566,4462022-01-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.724.694-0.55%4.1357-12.38%0.0900✓0.6917k2022-01-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.83810.833576-0.54%0.7389-11.84%0.0291✓1.7233.4M2022-01-05
RADRadworksEthereum11.2711.2094-0.54%10.08-10.56%0.0615✓0.841.2M2022-01-05
BANDBandEthereum5.665.6296-0.54%6.23+10.07%0.1646✗1.192.1M2022-01-05
MANADecentralandEthereum3.17443.1576-0.53%2.9141-8.20%0.0298✓0.955.7M2022-01-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3633.3453-0.53%3.067-8.80%0.0019✓1.591.8M2022-01-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6620.658528-0.52%0.595-10.12%0.0345✓1.262.2M2022-01-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019730.019629-0.51%0.01856-5.93%0.0215✓0.6535k2022-01-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021110.021005-0.50%0.01834-13.12%0.0823✓1.0028.5M2022-01-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.19430.193331-0.50%0.1723-11.32%0.0521✓1.182.1M2022-01-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110.109452-0.50%0.10219-7.10%0.0345✓0.6455k2022-01-05
XTZTezosTezos5.0395.014-0.50%4.5093-10.51%0.0354✓1.334.9M2022-01-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.66.5688-0.47%6.37-3.48%0.0305✗1.153.3M2022-01-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.39340.391624-0.45%0.3671-6.69%0.0145✗1.493.4M2022-01-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.35740.355808-0.45%0.3305-7.53%0.0205✓1.00293k2022-01-05
KSMKusamaHydration296.29294.9826-0.44%266.77-9.96%0.0413✓1.111.3M2022-01-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6932.6812-0.44%2.442-9.32%0.0387✓1.031.9M2022-01-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06230.06203-0.43%0.067553+8.43%0.1595✗1.397.4M2022-01-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.151.145-0.43%1.11-3.48%0.0222✗1.001.8M2022-01-05
LRCLoopringEthereum2.06512.0564-0.42%1.8048-12.60%0.0305✓1.881.4M2022-01-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.893.8737-0.42%3.69-5.14%0.0047✗1.003.3M2022-01-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.28291.2776-0.42%1.1756-8.37%0.0108✗1.761.2M2022-01-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6461.6392-0.41%1.465-11.00%0.0438✓1.293.4M2022-01-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.46021.4543-0.40%1.3601-6.85%0.0159✓0.963.6M2022-01-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.30250.301289-0.40%0.2787-7.87%0.0085✓1.304.6M2022-01-05
ZENHorizenBase64.4264.163-0.40%60.33-6.35%0.0185✗1.50807k2022-01-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.423.407-0.38%3.1-9.36%0.0254✓1.303.0M2022-01-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.086.0575-0.37%5.4-11.18%0.0423✓1.3629.4M2022-01-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884310.885159-0.37%0.826502-6.97%0.0086✓1.122.8M2022-01-05
ZECZcashZcash147.34146.8013-0.37%136.6-7.29%0.0000✓1.3510.1M2022-01-05
CBKCobakEthereum3.153.1386-0.36%2.861-9.17%0.0471✓0.8541k2022-01-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032450.000032332-0.36%0.00003037-6.41%0.0038✗1.251.7M2022-01-05
FTTFTXEthereum41.3541.2023-0.36%38.06-7.96%0.0234✓1.0519.4M2022-01-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.1336.0013-0.36%33.09-8.41%0.0292✓1.0322.7M2022-01-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6734.6571-0.34%4.395-5.95%0.0174✓0.761.1M2022-01-05
UNIUniswapEthereum18.2118.1488-0.34%17.11-6.04%0.0095✗1.2814.1M2022-01-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36730.366096-0.33%0.3554-3.24%0.0382✗1.273.0M2022-01-05
COMPCompoundEthereum223.02222.3135-0.32%204.79-8.17%0.0212✓1.14211k2022-01-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.6738.5514-0.31%33.82-12.54%0.0351✓1.805.4M2022-01-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.2193-0.31%1.178-3.68%0.0157✗0.942.4M2022-01-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1124.0994-0.31%3.808-7.39%0.0384✓0.66483k2022-01-05
XEMNEMnative0.12520.124818-0.30%0.1297+3.59%0.0970✗1.10115k2022-01-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.4323.3609-0.29%25.22+7.64%0.1471✗1.3269.2M2022-01-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67840.676429-0.29%0.6298-7.16%0.0028✓1.2911.4M2022-01-05
XYMSymbolnative0.21010.20949-0.29%0.1904-9.38%0.0640✓0.59441k2022-01-05
MOVRMoonriverBase185.4543184.9187-0.29%198.6558+7.12%0.1337✗1.16574k2022-01-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13240.132019-0.29%0.1229-7.18%0.0143✓1.07304k2022-01-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.11920.11887-0.28%0.1017-14.68%0.1027✓1.0033.0M2022-01-05
DASHDashDash134.69134.3171-0.28%122.47-9.07%0.0247✓1.271.9M2022-01-05
XVGVergenative0.017210.017162-0.28%0.01601-6.97%0.0060✓1.192.2M2022-01-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06950.069312-0.27%0.0676-2.73%0.0497✗1.401.6M2022-01-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.3809-0.27%3.3-2.65%0.0290✗1.00995k2022-01-05
API3Api3Ethereum4.14.089-0.27%4.14+0.98%0.0657✗1.00967k2022-01-05
DODODODOEthereum0.8730.870661-0.27%0.829-5.04%0.0295✗1.478.1M2022-01-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055130.054982-0.27%0.0501-9.12%0.0343✓1.1015k2022-01-05
UMAUMAEthereum9.039.0063-0.26%11.01+21.93%0.2604✗1.123.9M2022-01-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0334060.033319-0.26%0.03194-4.39%0.0124✗1.027.3M2022-01-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.18721.1842-0.26%1.099-7.43%0.0001✓1.401.7M2022-01-05
QTUMQtumQtum8.99398.9709-0.25%8.2328-8.46%0.0104✓1.42268k2022-01-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.79181.7873-0.25%1.6291-9.08%0.0497✓0.81668k2022-01-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.083880.083672-0.25%0.07653-8.76%0.0243✓1.2220.9M2022-01-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06176.0467-0.25%5.6004-7.61%0.0127✓1.20553k2022-01-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.58.4792-0.25%8.07-5.06%0.0088✓0.76773k2022-01-05
ETHEthereumEthereum3,785.003,775.95-0.24%3,539.00-6.50%0.0096✓1.04619.8M2022-01-05
IMXImmutableEthereum4.744.7289-0.23%4.41-6.96%0.0165✓1.002.5M2022-01-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5074.4965-0.23%4.2873-4.87%0.0212✗1.294.7M2022-01-05
SCSiacoinnative0.015470.015434-0.23%0.01446-6.53%0.0142✓0.96783k2022-01-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6781.6741-0.23%1.533-8.64%0.0156✓1.365.7M2022-01-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19950.199053-0.22%0.1904-4.56%0.0217✗1.244.8M2022-01-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.34271.3397-0.22%1.2498-6.92%0.0106✓1.10922k2022-01-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.33982.3347-0.22%2.1886-6.46%0.0048✓1.12100k2022-01-05
XECeCashnative0.000112920.000112675-0.22%0.00010469-7.29%0.0211✓0.987.2M2022-01-05
NANOnanopayBase3.71433.7066-0.21%3.3854-8.86%0.0342✓1.06798k2022-01-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1075.0966-0.20%4.727-7.44%0.0431✓0.60549k2022-01-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09033.0841-0.20%2.8503-7.77%0.0151✓1.202.9M2022-01-05
LUNATerraTerra 284.5684.3936-0.20%78.41-7.27%0.0202✓1.006.3M2022-01-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.641.6369-0.19%1.56-4.88%0.0438✗1.72964k2022-01-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,282.4736,214.19-0.19%32,578.76-10.21%0.0732✓0.6117.3M2022-01-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0223.9762-0.18%22.63-5.79%0.0029✓1.031.2M2022-01-05
KCSKuCoinnative22.04622.0059-0.18%21.226-3.72%0.0510✗1.6313.6M2022-01-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089270.089111-0.18%0.08369-6.25%0.0147✗1.452.9M2022-01-05
SUSHISushiEthereum8.078.0558-0.18%7.64-5.33%0.0170✗1.3118.2M2022-01-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.2731.2152-0.18%29.76-4.83%0.0116✓0.68385k2022-01-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.482.4757-0.17%2.32-6.45%0.0084✓1.064.0M2022-01-05
XLMStellarStellar0.2793080.278838-0.17%0.26604-4.75%0.0074✗1.0224.9M2022-01-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.3103.1275-0.17%97.36-5.75%0.0022✗1.12115.7M2022-01-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2282.2244-0.16%2.079-6.69%0.0078✓1.122.5M2022-01-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27881.2767-0.16%1.171-8.43%0.0360✓0.9521.2M2022-01-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.167.1487-0.16%6.84-4.47%0.0102✓0.64801k2022-01-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5610.5441-0.15%10-5.30%0.0133✓0.741.2M2022-01-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.768.747-0.15%8.19-6.51%0.0336✓0.60828k2022-01-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.6928.6483-0.15%26.71-6.90%0.0012✓1.2971.0M2022-01-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19570.195431-0.14%0.1832-6.39%0.0163✓0.91506k2022-01-05
GTGateEthereum6.49016.4814-0.13%6.1854-4.69%0.0020✓0.843.9M2022-01-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.8892.7682-0.12%80.37-13.47%0.0922✓0.966.3M2022-01-05
XVSVenusEthereum15.9215.9013-0.12%15.17-4.71%0.0142✗1.153.5M2022-01-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08560.085503-0.11%0.0819-4.32%0.0140✗1.0718k2022-01-05
TRXTRONTron0.0759890.075904-0.11%0.071153-6.36%0.0145✓0.94556k2022-01-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,814.6145,765.00-0.11%43,436.04-5.19%0.0011✗1.00727.0M2022-01-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4090.408564-0.11%0.4-2.20%0.0178✗0.7339k2022-01-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.77953.7757-0.10%3.7977+0.48%0.0001✓-0.11364k2022-01-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.119720.119601-0.10%0.10913-8.85%0.0329✓1.1026k2022-01-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.44146.296-0.10%135.32-7.59%0.0062✓1.3536.7M2022-01-05
SOLSolanaSolana167.72167.5591-0.10%154.44-7.92%0.0247✓1.07211.5M2022-01-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV120.8120.6845-0.10%114.04-5.60%0.0058✓0.953.2M2022-01-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.8335.7968-0.09%33.42-6.73%0.0128✗1.531.1M2022-01-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash427.38427.0533-0.08%399.79-6.46%0.0120✓1.019.0M2022-01-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09910.099027-0.07%0.0912-7.97%0.0097✓1.361.5M2022-01-05
ADACardanoCardano1.30921.3083-0.07%1.2304-6.02%0.0030✓1.0997.2M2022-01-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0415.0296-0.07%14.28-5.05%0.0146✓0.691.1M2022-01-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.44841.4476-0.06%1.2813-11.54%0.0782✓0.824.4M2022-01-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2398.2369-0.03%7.866-4.53%0.0212✗1.26336k2022-01-05
QNTQuantEthereum179.48179.4447-0.02%166.2-7.40%0.0257✓0.968.3M2022-01-05
AAVEAaveEthereum251.96251.918-0.02%230.12-8.67%0.0299✓1.1414.7M2022-01-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1134.1051-0.01%31.96-6.30%0.0095✓1.043.7M2022-01-05
XMRMoneroMonero222.22222.2067-0.01%206.96-6.87%0.0173✓1.013.2M2022-01-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1684740.168476+0.00%0.158936-5.66%0.0004✓1.104.6M2022-01-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69450.694752+0.04%0.646-6.98%0.0051✗1.275.2M2022-01-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,006.0046,036.14+0.07%43,367.50-5.74%0.0077✗0.9810k2022-01-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0223170.022348+0.14%0.020489-8.19%0.0228✗1.202.4M2022-01-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.