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2021-12-31 · +1d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0680
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.0%
in alpha space · 43.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.29%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XYMSymbolnative0.19450.195287+0.40%0.2245+15.42%0.1223✓0.53410k2022-01-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1702220.170657+0.26%0.173118+1.70%0.0217✗1.115.5M2022-01-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3944+0.19%2.53+5.86%0.0210✓1.054.1M2022-01-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0634.1198+0.18%34.87+2.38%0.0121✗1.054.7M2022-01-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.88.8147+0.17%8.94+1.59%0.0056✗0.61999k2022-01-01
COMPCompoundEthereum199.58199.9095+0.17%210.69+5.57%0.0152✓1.15210k2022-01-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5421.5445+0.16%1.651+7.07%0.0252✓1.283.6M2022-01-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.6726.7128+0.16%28.61+7.27%0.0270✓1.2875.1M2022-01-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.4224.4584+0.16%25.61+4.87%0.0003✓1.4324.2M2022-01-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.0633.1089+0.15%35.27+6.68%0.0136✓1.531.3M2022-01-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0582.061+0.15%2.133+3.64%0.0024✗1.133.1M2022-01-01
ETHEthereumEthereum3,675.803,681.06+0.14%3,765.72+2.45%0.0112✗1.05716.9M2022-01-01
SOLSolanaSolana169.88170.1112+0.14%179.21+5.49%0.0180✓1.05236.5M2022-01-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.431.4427+0.14%32.46+3.38%0.0101✓0.67503k2022-01-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087670.087788+0.13%0.093+6.08%0.0107✓1.453.9M2022-01-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.15430.7044+0.13%445.07+3.47%0.0001✓1.019.8M2022-01-01
QNTQuantEthereum179.22179.4484+0.13%179.87+0.36%0.0291✗0.979.4M2022-01-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.067.0683+0.12%7.24+2.55%0.0034✓0.641.1M2022-01-01
UNIUniswapEthereum16.9816.9998+0.12%17.47+2.89%0.0148✗1.3015.5M2022-01-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.932.9334+0.12%3.1+5.80%0.0128✓1.313.2M2022-01-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.621.6218+0.11%1.6281+0.50%0.0228✗0.824.6M2022-01-01
BANDBandEthereum5.015.0154+0.11%5.18+3.39%0.0069✗1.212.4M2022-01-01
QTUMQtumQtum8.7368.7453+0.11%8.9613+2.58%0.0220✗1.43280k2022-01-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,211.2446,257.04+0.10%47,733.43+3.29%0.0010✓1.00750.8M2022-01-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112710.112817+0.09%0.11476+1.82%0.0191✗1.1229k2022-01-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.2602+0.09%1.276+1.35%0.0183✗0.952.7M2022-01-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,060.2046,100.85+0.09%47,429.60+2.97%0.0033✗0.989,2042022-01-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27961.2807+0.09%1.3805+7.89%0.0400✓1.08987k2022-01-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2434.269+0.08%35.88+4.79%0.0124✓1.0323.7M2022-01-01
XVSVenusEthereum15.1415.1527+0.08%16.08+6.21%0.0224✓1.144.3M2022-01-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015790.015803+0.08%0.01654+4.75%0.0034✓1.302.3M2022-01-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5119.5263+0.08%20.75+6.36%0.0174✓1.3469.7M2022-01-01
XEMNEMnative0.12270.122801+0.08%0.126+2.69%0.0101✗1.11153k2022-01-01
TRXTRONTron0.0754770.075539+0.08%0.076625+1.52%0.0165✗0.95607k2022-01-01
NANOnanopayBase3.40153.4043+0.08%3.58+5.25%0.0159✓1.06798k2022-01-01
GTGateEthereum6.55556.5609+0.08%6.7635+3.17%0.0033✓0.844.0M2022-01-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.8738.8801+0.08%9.193+3.61%0.0152✓0.60338k2022-01-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0218220.021839+0.08%0.022463+2.94%0.0111✗1.212.4M2022-01-01
ADACardanoCardano1.30821.3092+0.08%1.3797+5.47%0.0174✓1.08106.2M2022-01-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.198543+0.07%0.2061+3.88%0.0082✓0.90622k2022-01-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.2193.2741+0.07%94.1+0.95%0.0228✗0.977.0M2022-01-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36550.365738+0.07%0.3775+3.28%0.0098✗1.284.2M2022-01-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.15146.2376+0.06%150.83+3.20%0.0130✗1.3646.1M2022-01-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08230.082346+0.06%0.0839+1.94%0.0164✗1.0820k2022-01-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.213.2117+0.05%3.35+4.36%0.0098✓1.001.1M2022-01-01
DASHDashDash133.78133.8419+0.05%138.03+3.18%0.0105✗1.282.1M2022-01-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2664780.266568+0.03%0.276802+3.87%0.0046✓1.0227.7M2022-01-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0235.0238+0.02%5.211+3.74%0.0173✓0.59773k2022-01-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.02121.0391+0.02%123.03+1.66%0.0149✗0.963.7M2022-01-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5742.5743+0.01%2.681+4.16%0.0074✓1.032.1M2022-01-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4260.426006+0.00%0.43+0.94%0.0146✗0.7446k2022-01-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8026110.802595-0.00%0.875736+9.11%0.0513✗1.112.8M2022-01-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.18.0998-0.00%8.39+3.58%0.0058✓1.26391k2022-01-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.418.4097-0.00%8.65+2.85%0.0034✗0.761.1M2022-01-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70780.707772-0.00%0.7302+3.16%0.0101✓1.276.1M2022-01-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12830.128294-0.00%0.1339+4.36%0.0081✗1.07324k2022-01-01
XTZTezosTezos4.34044.3402-0.01%4.7494+9.42%0.0473✗1.324.9M2022-01-01
KSMKusamaHydration276.22276.1963-0.01%289.04+4.64%0.0094✗1.111.4M2022-01-01
XECeCashnative0.000108190.000108176-0.01%0.00011077+2.38%0.0086✓1.008.0M2022-01-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.8822.8815-0.02%2.914+1.11%0.0172✓0.8853k2022-01-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.4124.4049-0.02%24.52+0.45%0.0293✓1.051.5M2022-01-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0184.0171-0.02%4.221+5.05%0.0285✗0.65502k2022-01-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.621.6196-0.02%1.7+4.94%0.0074✓1.721.1M2022-01-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053310.053296-0.03%0.05488+2.95%0.0066✓1.1115k2022-01-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.048280.048267-0.03%0.04964+2.82%0.0016✓0.918.6M2022-01-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338250.033815-0.03%0.033863+0.11%0.0324✓1.048.5M2022-01-01
DODODODOEthereum0.8430.842739-0.03%0.875+3.80%0.0105✓1.488.5M2022-01-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.485.4783-0.03%5.98+9.12%0.0504✗1.154.3M2022-01-01
FTTFTXEthereum38.2538.2369-0.03%40.2+5.10%0.0160✗1.0520.7M2022-01-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0715.0635-0.04%15.4+2.19%0.0001✓0.691.4M2022-01-01
UMAUMAEthereum9.119.1061-0.04%9.33+2.41%0.0121✓1.124.1M2022-01-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76133.7594-0.05%3.7989+1.00%0.0143✗-0.12409k2022-01-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.28330.283137-0.06%0.2952+4.20%0.0007✓1.315.5M2022-01-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.32790.327711-0.06%0.3671+11.95%0.0829✗0.94293k2022-01-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.3972.3955-0.06%2.3965-0.02%0.0366✓1.14128k2022-01-01
ZECZcashZcash146.46146.3632-0.07%150.36+2.66%0.0173✓1.3611.8M2022-01-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019080.019067-0.07%0.0202+5.87%0.0374✗0.6342k2022-01-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20230.202157-0.07%0.2128+5.19%0.0113✗1.235.4M2022-01-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7811.7705-0.08%11.76-0.17%0.0047✗-0.173.4M2022-01-01
AAVEAaveEthereum253.92253.7107-0.08%266.48+4.95%0.0124✗1.1311.5M2022-01-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14643.1435-0.09%3.2078+1.95%0.0189✓1.213.3M2022-01-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64210.641493-0.09%0.6647+3.52%0.0066✓1.3011.8M2022-01-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6341.6324-0.09%1.748+6.98%0.0247✗1.357.6M2022-01-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.20391.2028-0.10%1.2582+4.51%0.0127✓1.781.4M2022-01-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41390.413485-0.10%0.4264+3.02%0.0147✓1.40722k2022-01-01
XVGVergenative0.017030.017013-0.10%0.01775+4.23%0.0038✗1.192.4M2022-01-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1110.0995-0.10%10.37+2.57%0.0022✗0.751.3M2022-01-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1288-0.11%1.17+3.54%0.0035✗1.002.2M2022-01-01
XMRMoneroMonero228.93228.6561-0.12%250.04+9.22%0.0579✗0.973.0M2022-01-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.9238.873-0.12%40.17+3.21%0.0261✓1.826.6M2022-01-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4963.4916-0.13%3.609+3.23%0.0188✓1.602.5M2022-01-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5084.5023-0.13%5.069+12.44%0.0957✗0.711.0M2022-01-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.10090.100771-0.13%0.10295+2.03%0.0005✓0.6564k2022-01-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.35470.354243-0.13%0.3879+9.36%0.0429✗1.484.3M2022-01-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.196880.196607-0.14%0.20032+1.75%0.0328✓1.598,4562022-01-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.74281.7404-0.14%1.835+5.29%0.0273✗0.79889k2022-01-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.17520.17494-0.15%0.1885+7.59%0.0371✗1.162.8M2022-01-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.56661.5643-0.15%1.5787+0.77%0.0222✓0.974.3M2022-01-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09710.096954-0.15%0.1001+3.09%0.0127✓1.381.8M2022-01-01
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.8336-0.15%11+1.38%0.0124✓0.851.2M2022-01-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0635290.063422-0.17%0.064208+1.07%0.0334✓1.417.9M2022-01-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.085130.084984-0.17%0.08625+1.32%0.0253✓1.2421.7M2022-01-01
KCSKuCoinnative21.37621.3386-0.17%22.386+4.72%0.0054✓1.6516.6M2022-01-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.88625.8759-0.18%6.1094+3.79%0.0000✓1.20649k2022-01-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60644.598-0.18%4.7558+3.24%0.0082✓1.305.0M2022-01-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.74254.7334-0.19%4.5517-4.02%0.0628✓0.7322k2022-01-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07630.076154-0.19%0.0797+4.46%0.0005✓1.391.7M2022-01-01
ZENHorizenBase60.5760.4498-0.20%63.94+5.56%0.0073✗1.511.0M2022-01-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.22821.2258-0.20%1.2912+5.13%0.0068✗1.402.1M2022-01-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.610698-0.21%0.633+3.43%0.0053✓1.272.5M2022-01-01
MOVRMoonriverBase181.8528181.4331-0.23%189.4715+4.19%0.0058✗1.16622k2022-01-01
IMXImmutableEthereum4.914.898-0.24%4.83-1.63%0.0464✓1.003.0M2022-01-01
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.5313-0.25%3.73+5.37%0.0201✗1.07723k2022-01-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90880.90642-0.26%0.9793+7.76%0.0449✗1.00146k2022-01-01
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.2088-0.27%4.36+3.32%0.0029✗1.001.1M2022-01-01
SCSiacoinnative0.015180.015138-0.28%0.01554+2.37%0.0049✓0.96868k2022-01-01
LRCLoopringEthereum2.09082.0849-0.28%2.08-0.52%0.0646✓1.921.5M2022-01-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68640.684449-0.28%0.715+4.17%0.0007✓1.333.1M2022-01-01
LUNATerraTerra 285.5685.3058-0.30%91.66+7.13%0.0394✗1.006.3M2022-01-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.344.3258-0.33%4.37+0.69%0.0223✓1.003.4M2022-01-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033420.000033304-0.35%0.00003416+2.21%0.0156✓1.262.0M2022-01-01
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26773.2561-0.35%3.3501+2.52%0.0023✓0.956.9M2022-01-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.36581.361-0.35%1.411+3.31%0.0056✗0.9423.6M2022-01-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.65891.653-0.35%1.7433+5.09%0.0168✗1.1231.7M2022-01-01
HIVEHivenative1.48961.4843-0.36%1.5238+2.30%0.0190✓1.405.8M2022-01-01
SUSHISushiEthereum9.429.3844-0.38%9.14-2.97%0.0698✓1.3417.1M2022-01-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2212.1705-0.40%13.2+8.02%0.0629✗0.561.3M2022-01-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.4332.2873-0.44%36.33+12.03%0.0892✗0.8942.6M2022-01-01
GITCOINGITCOIN12.73412.6755-0.46%13.69+7.51%0.0804✗-0.10111k2022-01-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.712.6364-0.50%13.58+6.93%0.0734✗-0.044.2M2022-01-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.6939.4787-0.53%41.07+3.48%0.0147✓1.672.9M2022-01-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.325.2889-0.59%6.21+16.73%0.1178✗1.3228.7M2022-01-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,038.2832,843.24-0.59%36,545.69+10.62%0.0884✗0.5713.3M2022-01-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche109.4108.7457-0.60%114.26+4.44%0.0135✗1.11127.7M2022-01-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.554.5073-0.94%4.49-1.32%0.0474✓1.3412.3M2022-01-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.93560.924421-1.19%1.0026+7.16%0.0262✗1.7030.1M2022-01-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023460.023137-1.38%0.02333-0.55%0.0241✓1.0033.0M2022-01-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.