2021-12-29 · +1d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3001

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.93%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

61.3%

in alpha space · 56.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.40%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1955	0.196329	+0.42%	0.188	-3.84%	0.0511	✗	0.56	393k	2021-12-30
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.167974	0.168417	+0.26%	0.171183	+1.91%	0.0010	✓	1.10	5.5M	2021-12-30
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0651	0.065264	+0.25%	0.0787	+20.89%	0.1688	✓	1.32	1.7M	2021-12-30
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0724	0.072563	+0.23%	0.07911	+9.27%	0.0694	✓	1.22	21.1M	2021-12-30
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.41	2.4148	+0.20%	2.46	+2.07%	0.0046	✓	1.00	4.4M	2021-12-30
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.2	33.2638	+0.19%	33.99	+2.38%	0.0013	✓	1.46	1.3M	2021-12-30
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.13	34.1948	+0.19%	34.57	+1.29%	0.0030	✗	1.00	4.7M	2021-12-30
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.015	2.0187	+0.18%	2.063	+2.38%	0.0061	✓	1.12	3.3M	2021-12-30
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.05	24.0927	+0.18%	24.78	+3.04%	0.0086	✓	1.40	24.1M	2021-12-30
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.6398	1.6427	+0.18%	1.6911	+3.13%	0.0171	✓	0.86	5.2M	2021-12-30
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.021726	0.021764	+0.17%	0.022142	+1.91%	0.0002	✓	1.23	2.4M	2021-12-30
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	197	197.3415	+0.17%	199.64	+1.34%	0.0040	✗	1.12	228k	2021-12-30
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08784	0.087985	+0.17%	0.08851	+0.76%	0.0143	✗	1.46	4.0M	2021-12-30
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.02	9.0348	+0.16%	8.87	-1.66%	0.0268	✗	0.61	1.1M	2021-12-30
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	26.81	26.8526	+0.16%	27.53	+2.69%	0.0075	✓	1.25	77.1M	2021-12-30
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10818	0.108338	+0.15%	0.11126	+2.85%	0.0113	✓	1.10	29k	2021-12-30
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.576	1.5783	+0.15%	1.533	-2.73%	0.0470	✗	1.29	4.1M	2021-12-30
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3273	6.3364	+0.14%	6.8152	+7.71%	0.0623	✓	0.76	4.0M	2021-12-30
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	175.55	175.7894	+0.14%	178.71	+1.80%	0.0033	✓	0.95	10.5M	2021-12-30
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.08	5.0869	+0.14%	5.13	+0.98%	0.0078	✗	1.17	2.5M	2021-12-30
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,630.59	3,635.46	+0.13%	3,710.02	+2.19%	0.0061	✓	1.02	766.3M	2021-12-30
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.405	0.405529	+0.13%	0.403	-0.49%	0.0166	✗	0.74	46k	2021-12-30
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.67	31.7108	+0.13%	32.06	+1.23%	0.0021	✓	0.64	534k	2021-12-30
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	430.11	430.6565	+0.13%	431.58	+0.34%	0.0117	✗	1.00	10.5M	2021-12-30
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.7853	8.7964	+0.13%	8.8384	+0.60%	0.0143	✗	1.37	280k	2021-12-30
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.13	17.15	+0.12%	17.81	+3.97%	0.0202	✓	1.26	16.1M	2021-12-30
SOL	Solana	Solana	170.64	170.8393	+0.12%	172.52	+1.10%	0.0035	✗	0.96	255.1M	2021-12-30
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.223	1.2244	+0.12%	1.267	+3.60%	0.0213	✓	0.93	3.0M	2021-12-30
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	34.21	34.2488	+0.11%	34.96	+2.19%	0.0063	✓	1.02	22.7M	2021-12-30
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.01	15.0267	+0.11%	15.37	+2.40%	0.0069	✓	1.13	4.7M	2021-12-30
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.25	7.2579	+0.11%	7.13	-1.66%	0.0267	✗	0.64	1.1M	2021-12-30
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.759647	0.760429	+0.10%	0.795409	+4.71%	0.0303	✓	1.06	3.0M	2021-12-30
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01559	0.015605	+0.09%	0.01653	+6.03%	0.0401	✓	1.26	2.6M	2021-12-30
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0817	0.081777	+0.09%	0.0828	+1.35%	0.0022	✗	1.05	18k	2021-12-30
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.2952	1.2963	+0.09%	1.3222	+2.08%	0.0050	✓	1.06	1.0M	2021-12-30
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.03	3.0325	+0.08%	3.09	+1.98%	0.0009	✓	1.29	3.2M	2021-12-30
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.74	19.7561	+0.08%	19.94	+1.01%	0.0083	✗	1.26	69.7M	2021-12-30
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	145.62	145.7255	+0.07%	147.94	+1.59%	0.0035	✗	1.34	51.4M	2021-12-30
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,471.24	46,504.50	+0.07%	47,122.08	+1.40%	0.0007	✓	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-30
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	48,010.00	48,042.52	+0.07%	47,186.00	-1.72%	0.0316	✗	0.98	10k	2021-12-30
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	93.8	93.8616	+0.07%	95.03	+1.31%	0.0013	✗	0.98	7.5M	2021-12-30
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4827	3.4849	+0.06%	3.4868	+0.12%	0.0140	✗	1.04	819k	2021-12-30
XEM	NEM	native	0.1244	0.124472	+0.06%	0.1255	+0.88%	0.0066	✗	1.06	160k	2021-12-30
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1965	0.196613	+0.06%	0.2007	+2.14%	0.0084	✓	0.88	688k	2021-12-30
DASH	Dash	Dash	133.27	133.342	+0.05%	133.04	-0.17%	0.0196	✗	1.25	2.0M	2021-12-30
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3698	0.369995	+0.05%	0.37	+0.05%	0.0179	✗	1.29	4.4M	2021-12-30
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3322	1.3329	+0.05%	1.3585	+1.97%	0.0045	✓	1.05	120.2M	2021-12-30
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076395	0.076429	+0.04%	0.077853	+1.91%	0.0055	✓	0.93	632k	2021-12-30
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.4	121.4506	+0.04%	122.49	+0.90%	0.0046	✗	0.95	3.7M	2021-12-30
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.266803	0.266904	+0.04%	0.268	+0.45%	0.0100	✗	1.02	30.9M	2021-12-30
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.23	3.231	+0.03%	3.27	+1.24%	0.0016	✗	0.98	1.1M	2021-12-30
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05381	0.053825	+0.03%	0.0549	+2.03%	0.0052	✓	1.05	15k	2021-12-30
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.14	5.1412	+0.02%	5.079	-1.19%	0.0203	✗	0.58	846k	2021-12-30
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7006	0.700746	+0.02%	0.7283	+3.95%	0.0213	✓	1.24	6.4M	2021-12-30
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.331	0.331047	+0.01%	0.3349	+1.18%	0.0016	✗	0.94	328k	2021-12-30
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.115	4.1154	+0.01%	4.048	-1.63%	0.0256	✗	0.66	564k	2021-12-30
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.678	8.6787	+0.01%	8.302	-4.33%	0.0616	✗	1.24	411k	2021-12-30
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.44	5.4403	+0.01%	5.55	+2.02%	0.0042	✓	1.13	4.6M	2021-12-30
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	236.52	236.5262	+0.00%	262.93	+11.17%	0.0911	✓	1.06	11.4M	2021-12-30
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.862	2.8619	-0.00%	2.91	+1.68%	0.0046	✗	0.87	80k	2021-12-30
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3759	4.3757	-0.01%	4.3407	-0.80%	0.0263	✓	1.31	5.2M	2021-12-30
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010763	0.000107624	-0.01%	0.00010959	+1.82%	0.0044	✗	0.99	9.9M	2021-12-30
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.862	0.861946	-0.01%	0.863	+0.12%	0.0189	✓	1.45	8.7M	2021-12-30
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	23.93	23.9285	-0.01%	24.01	+0.33%	0.0066	✓	0.72	1.5M	2021-12-30
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	146.64	146.6265	-0.01%	153.9	+4.95%	0.0307	✗	1.27	11.8M	2021-12-30
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.64	8.6391	-0.01%	8.72	+0.93%	0.0008	✓	0.72	1.1M	2021-12-30
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1285	0.128486	-0.01%	0.1317	+2.49%	0.0099	✗	1.07	344k	2021-12-30
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3803	2.38	-0.01%	2.4417	+2.58%	0.0109	✗	1.06	152k	2021-12-30
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.03331	0.033304	-0.02%	0.033799	+1.47%	0.0002	✓	1.05	9.0M	2021-12-30
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.644	2.6434	-0.02%	2.643	-0.04%	0.0142	✓	1.01	2.1M	2021-12-30
XVG	Verge	native	0.01691	0.016906	-0.03%	0.01711	+1.18%	0.0046	✓	1.19	2.6M	2021-12-30
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.58	11.5765	-0.03%	12.04	+3.97%	0.0417	✗	-0.18	4.0M	2021-12-30
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.69	1.6894	-0.03%	1.69	+0.00%	0.0232	✓	1.69	1.3M	2021-12-30
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.52	15.5138	-0.04%	15.45	-0.45%	0.0135	✓	0.68	1.4M	2021-12-30
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1508	1.1503	-0.05%	1.1947	+3.81%	0.0136	✗	1.74	1.5M	2021-12-30
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	283.66	283.5192	-0.05%	280.04	-1.28%	0.0275	✓	1.09	1.5M	2021-12-30
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.485	9.4799	-0.05%	9.329	-1.64%	0.0248	✓	0.63	455k	2021-12-30
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.287	0.286838	-0.06%	0.2896	+0.91%	0.0084	✓	1.29	5.6M	2021-12-30
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.3	9.2946	-0.06%	9.32	+0.22%	0.0129	✓	1.13	4.1M	2021-12-30
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04918	0.049151	-0.06%	0.04892	-0.53%	0.0172	✓	0.90	9.8M	2021-12-30
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6329	0.632512	-0.06%	0.6466	+2.16%	0.0054	✗	1.20	12.2M	2021-12-30
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2068	0.206658	-0.07%	0.208	+0.58%	0.0102	✓	1.20	6.0M	2021-12-30
XMR	Monero	Monero	214.5	214.3462	-0.07%	225.01	+4.90%	0.0360	✗	0.90	2.9M	2021-12-30
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.589	1.5879	-0.07%	1.624	+2.20%	0.0039	✗	1.34	8.3M	2021-12-30
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.54	38.5119	-0.07%	38.89	+0.91%	0.0042	✓	1.00	20.7M	2021-12-30
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	28,569.89	28,548.08	-0.08%	30,177.90	+5.63%	0.0473	✗	0.59	9.2M	2021-12-30
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09831	0.098231	-0.08%	0.10085	+2.58%	0.0173	✗	0.65	83k	2021-12-30
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7411	3.7376	-0.09%	3.8078	+1.78%	0.0204	✗	-0.13	405k	2021-12-30
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	38.51	38.4733	-0.10%	39.06	+1.43%	0.0104	✓	1.83	7.0M	2021-12-30
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4107	0.410285	-0.10%	0.4189	+2.00%	0.0012	✗	1.41	898k	2021-12-30
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.13	1.1288	-0.10%	1.13	+0.00%	0.0129	✓	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-30
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2326	3.2292	-0.10%	3.1771	-1.72%	0.0333	✓	1.22	3.3M	2021-12-30
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.3	10.2882	-0.11%	10.11	-1.84%	0.0281	✓	0.76	1.4M	2021-12-30
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.5321	4.5269	-0.11%	4.57	+0.84%	0.0001	✓	0.67	26k	2021-12-30
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.7101	1.7079	-0.12%	1.755	+2.63%	0.0161	✗	0.79	1.0M	2021-12-30
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.666	20.6386	-0.13%	21.048	+1.85%	0.0031	✓	1.63	17.8M	2021-12-30
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5398	1.5377	-0.14%	1.4845	-3.59%	0.0490	✓	1.00	5.2M	2021-12-30
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.98	27.9384	-0.15%	30.19	+7.90%	0.0652	✗	0.89	41.0M	2021-12-30
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.34	3.3347	-0.16%	3.59	+7.49%	0.0595	✗	1.03	787k	2021-12-30
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.653	3.6472	-0.16%	3.579	-2.03%	0.0328	✓	1.00	2.8M	2021-12-30
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0988	0.098642	-0.16%	0.0981	-0.71%	0.0249	✓	1.40	1.9M	2021-12-30
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.9662	1.963	-0.16%	1.9975	+1.59%	0.0092	✓	1.92	1.5M	2021-12-30
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01939	0.019357	-0.17%	0.01945	+0.31%	0.0029	✓	0.55	44k	2021-12-30
ZEN	Horizen	Base	61.88	61.7708	-0.18%	61.58	-0.48%	0.0229	✓	1.42	1.1M	2021-12-30
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.375	0.374336	-0.18%	0.3713	-0.99%	0.0277	✓	1.41	4.7M	2021-12-30
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0617	0.06159	-0.18%	0.061787	+0.14%	0.0161	✓	1.38	8.2M	2021-12-30
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.9148	5.9042	-0.18%	6.0654	+2.55%	0.0112	✗	1.14	673k	2021-12-30
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1817	0.18133	-0.20%	0.1856	+2.15%	0.0073	✗	1.15	3.3M	2021-12-30
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.628	0.626721	-0.20%	0.634	+0.96%	0.0058	✓	1.25	2.8M	2021-12-30
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.96	10.9366	-0.21%	10.83	-1.19%	0.0218	✓	0.87	1.3M	2021-12-30
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01516	0.015126	-0.22%	0.01531	+0.99%	0.0012	✓	0.95	1.1M	2021-12-30
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.8341	4.8228	-0.23%	4.7081	-2.61%	0.0423	✓	1.31	5.2M	2021-12-30
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20423	0.203712	-0.25%	0.2	-2.07%	0.0403	✓	1.58	9,944	2021-12-30
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	84.32	84.1012	-0.26%	84.84	+0.62%	0.0052	✓	1.00	6.3M	2021-12-30
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.3722	184.8909	-0.26%	185.6988	+0.18%	0.0097	✓	1.01	648k	2021-12-30
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.84	4.8264	-0.28%	5.14	+6.20%	0.0490	✗	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-30
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2537	1.2502	-0.28%	1.203	-4.04%	0.0583	✓	1.42	2.3M	2021-12-30
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.961	0.958072	-0.30%	0.9199	-4.28%	0.0546	✓	1.00	149k	2021-12-30
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.3	4.2867	-0.31%	4.33	+0.70%	0.0039	✓	1.00	3.9M	2021-12-30
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2569	3.2468	-0.31%	3.2879	+0.95%	0.0007	✓	0.95	7.6M	2021-12-30
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6824	0.680286	-0.31%	0.6956	+1.93%	0.0039	✗	1.32	3.3M	2021-12-30
HIVE	Hive	native	1.4918	1.4868	-0.33%	1.5179	+1.75%	0.0015	✓	1.38	7.0M	2021-12-30
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.49	4.4747	-0.34%	4.42	-1.56%	0.0262	✓	1.00	1.2M	2021-12-30
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.5828	1.5774	-0.34%	1.7299	+9.29%	0.0776	✗	1.06	31.7M	2021-12-30
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003365	0.000033531	-0.35%	0.00003376	+0.33%	0.0071	✓	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-30
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.796	4.7779	-0.38%	4.697	-2.06%	0.0267	✓	0.69	842k	2021-12-30
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.85	4.8315	-0.38%	5.11	+5.36%	0.0380	✗	1.30	28.7M	2021-12-30
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.9	11.852	-0.40%	11.98	+0.67%	0.0029	✓	0.57	1.5M	2021-12-30
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	9.26	9.2158	-0.48%	10.25	+10.69%	0.0884	✗	1.29	15.8M	2021-12-30
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	103.11	102.6172	-0.48%	101.73	-1.34%	0.0236	✓	1.07	136.0M	2021-12-30
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.512	13.4403	-0.53%	12.775	-5.45%	0.0501	✓	-0.05	129k	2021-12-30
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.482	1.473	-0.60%	1.4266	-3.74%	0.0449	✓	0.92	23.6M	2021-12-30
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.54	13.4562	-0.62%	12.93	-4.51%	0.0400	✓	0.01	4.8M	2021-12-30
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02115	0.02092	-1.09%	0.02166	+2.41%	0.0209	✗	1.00	35.6M	2021-12-30
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	42.53	41.9707	-1.31%	40.32	-5.20%	0.0636	✓	1.69	3.0M	2021-12-30
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.84	4.7761	-1.32%	4.72	-2.48%	0.0257	✓	1.00	18.1M	2021-12-30
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9819	0.95364	-2.88%	0.9403	-4.24%	0.0377	✓	1.70	28.8M	2021-12-30

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.