2021-12-26 · +1d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1665

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.91%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

40.9%

in alpha space · 44.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.17%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.190018	0.190405	+0.20%	0.187814	-1.16%	0.0119	✗	1.11	5.5M	2021-12-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	50,987.30	51,040.88	+0.11%	51,195.60	+0.41%	0.0047	✓	0.98	8,566	2021-12-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.76	2.7625	+0.09%	2.8	+1.45%	0.0152	✓	1.02	4.1M	2021-12-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.024422	0.024441	+0.08%	0.024165	-1.05%	0.0094	✗	1.20	2.3M	2021-12-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2394	0.239556	+0.06%	0.2391	-0.13%	0.0011	✗	0.47	392k	2021-12-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7502	6.7538	+0.05%	6.8395	+1.32%	0.0139	✓	0.81	4.3M	2021-12-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.64	9.6448	+0.05%	9.45	-1.97%	0.0193	✗	0.67	952k	2021-12-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	451.86	452.0437	+0.04%	465.3	+2.97%	0.0306	✓	1.02	11.4M	2021-12-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.289	2.2897	+0.03%	2.337	+2.10%	0.0223	✓	1.10	3.3M	2021-12-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.668	1.6684	+0.02%	1.686	+1.08%	0.0127	✓	1.30	4.3M	2021-12-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	37.92	37.9275	+0.02%	37.61	-0.82%	0.0067	✗	1.05	5.6M	2021-12-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	37.29	37.2964	+0.02%	39.2	+5.12%	0.0515	✓	1.01	22.1M	2021-12-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	34.4	34.402	+0.01%	34.59	+0.55%	0.0066	✓	0.67	572k	2021-12-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.96	7.9603	+0.00%	8.01	+0.63%	0.0073	✓	0.63	986k	2021-12-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	26.72	26.7205	+0.00%	28.24	+5.69%	0.0576	✓	1.40	22.9M	2021-12-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.113	4.113	-0.00%	4.361	+6.03%	0.0597	✗	0.72	473k	2021-12-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12458	0.124575	-0.00%	0.12484	+0.21%	0.0039	✗	1.10	29k	2021-12-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.08	3.0798	-0.01%	3.39	+10.06%	0.0981	✗	1.28	3.0M	2021-12-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	194.3	194.2789	-0.01%	206.05	+6.05%	0.0604	✗	0.94	11.9M	2021-12-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	4,065.91	4,065.35	-0.01%	4,038.64	-0.67%	0.0049	✓	1.04	760.7M	2021-12-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09987	0.099851	-0.02%	0.09816	-1.71%	0.0147	✓	1.46	4.8M	2021-12-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.85	5.8483	-0.03%	5.87	+0.34%	0.0057	✗	1.19	2.8M	2021-12-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3933	1.3928	-0.03%	1.415	+1.56%	0.0176	✗	1.07	1.3M	2021-12-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.317	1.3165	-0.04%	1.325	+0.61%	0.0080	✗	0.97	3.4M	2021-12-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	50,801.79	50,782.64	-0.04%	50,717.77	-0.17%	0.0004	✗	1.00	744.5M	2021-12-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	155.96	155.894	-0.04%	155.78	-0.12%	0.0016	✗	1.39	54.4M	2021-12-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	235.5	235.3997	-0.04%	237.34	+0.78%	0.0100	✗	1.10	236k	2021-12-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0896	0.08956	-0.04%	0.0897	+0.11%	0.0034	✗	1.09	18k	2021-12-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	9.232	9.2278	-0.05%	10.034	+8.69%	0.0860	✗	1.33	411k	2021-12-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.8982	9.8935	-0.05%	9.9988	+1.02%	0.0130	✗	1.44	285k	2021-12-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		127.5	127.4377	-0.05%	127.41	-0.07%	0.0014	✗	0.99	3.2M	2021-12-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	17.11	17.1002	-0.06%	16.84	-1.58%	0.0134	✓	1.14	4.8M	2021-12-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05866	0.058621	-0.07%	0.05816	-0.85%	0.0061	✓	1.11	16k	2021-12-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.219	0.218852	-0.07%	0.2194	+0.18%	0.0039	✗	0.87	748k	2021-12-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.081508	0.081453	-0.07%	0.081167	-0.42%	0.0019	✓	0.96	648k	2021-12-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.487	5.4832	-0.07%	5.5	+0.24%	0.0041	✗	0.65	798k	2021-12-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.4549	1.4538	-0.08%	1.5164	+4.23%	0.0439	✗	1.06	120.2M	2021-12-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.291987	0.291759	-0.08%	0.300288	+2.84%	0.0305	✗	1.00	34.1M	2021-12-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.8689	3.8658	-0.08%	3.9652	+2.49%	0.0271	✗	1.06	798k	2021-12-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.61	3.6069	-0.09%	3.6	-0.28%	0.0003	✓	0.99	1.2M	2021-12-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	107.53	107.4356	-0.09%	107.04	-0.46%	0.0021	✓	0.96	7.9M	2021-12-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.67	18.6536	-0.09%	19.11	+2.36%	0.0264	✗	1.32	14.2M	2021-12-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	198	197.8108	-0.10%	195.74	-1.14%	0.0088	✓	1.02	255.1M	2021-12-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	22.99	22.9671	-0.10%	23.02	+0.13%	0.0045	✗	1.31	69.7M	2021-12-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	216.57	216.3441	-0.10%	220.72	+1.92%	0.0217	✗	0.99	2.7M	2021-12-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4826	3.4786	-0.11%	3.4608	-0.63%	0.0053	✓	-0.09	384k	2021-12-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.82	25.7906	-0.11%	26.71	+3.45%	0.0368	✗	1.07	2.2M	2021-12-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.92	16.8982	-0.13%	16.81	-0.65%	0.0041	✓	0.69	1.4M	2021-12-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.4	9.3867	-0.14%	9.33	-0.74%	0.0048	✓	0.77	934k	2021-12-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.879132	0.877873	-0.14%	0.876137	-0.34%	0.0002	✓	1.08	3.2M	2021-12-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7893	0.788141	-0.15%	0.7943	+0.63%	0.0099	✗	1.25	7.3M	2021-12-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.37	4.3636	-0.15%	4.744	+8.56%	0.0850	✗	0.83	719k	2021-12-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	149.09	148.8696	-0.15%	151.04	+1.31%	0.0166	✗	1.26	2.0M	2021-12-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00012144	0.000121253	-0.15%	0.00011859	-2.35%	0.0206	✓	0.99	11.0M	2021-12-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	31.34	31.2909	-0.16%	30.97	-1.18%	0.0082	✓	1.26	77.1M	2021-12-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.727	9.7109	-0.17%	9.799	+0.74%	0.0101	✗	0.62	455k	2021-12-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08785	0.087705	-0.17%	0.08443	-3.89%	0.0361	✓	1.20	21.7M	2021-12-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.1412	0.140962	-0.17%	0.1391	-1.49%	0.0115	✓	1.10	178k	2021-12-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01869	0.018657	-0.17%	0.01876	+0.37%	0.0075	✗	1.25	2.8M	2021-12-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.279	3.2732	-0.18%	3.267	-0.37%	0.0005	✓	0.84	97k	2021-12-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.67	12.647	-0.18%	13.03	+2.84%	0.0294	✗	-0.28	4.5M	2021-12-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4928	2.4882	-0.18%	2.5471	+2.18%	0.0253	✗	1.18	147k	2021-12-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.61	10.5904	-0.19%	11.09	+4.52%	0.0477	✗	0.94	1.6M	2021-12-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1705	1.1683	-0.19%	1.3056	+11.54%	0.1136	✗	1.49	2.3M	2021-12-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05082	0.050724	-0.19%	0.05341	+5.10%	0.0531	✗	0.92	10.6M	2021-12-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.06404	0.063918	-0.19%	0.063833	-0.32%	0.0011	✓	1.46	8.7M	2021-12-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	38.9	38.8221	-0.20%	39.59	+1.77%	0.0221	✗	1.51	1.3M	2021-12-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01958	0.019541	-0.20%	0.02154	+10.01%	0.0984	✗	0.59	46k	2021-12-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.9306	4.9207	-0.20%	4.9574	+0.54%	0.0087	✗	0.74	27k	2021-12-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8691	4.8592	-0.20%	5.1016	+4.78%	0.0508	✗	1.30	5.3M	2021-12-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1438	0.143505	-0.20%	0.1453	+1.04%	0.0142	✗	1.06	376k	2021-12-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.93	7.9133	-0.21%	9.15	+15.38%	0.1475	✗	1.38	15.1M	2021-12-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	268.05	267.4589	-0.22%	277.6	+3.56%	0.0390	✗	1.07	11.4M	2021-12-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3324	1.3294	-0.22%	1.3823	+3.74%	0.0419	✗	1.76	1.5M	2021-12-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	6.24	6.226	-0.22%	6.44	+3.21%	0.0357	✗	1.12	4.6M	2021-12-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.25	11.2222	-0.25%	11.16	-0.80%	0.0043	✓	0.77	1.4M	2021-12-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.59	42.4796	-0.26%	42.6	+0.02%	0.0046	✗	1.06	20.7M	2021-12-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.6079	1.6035	-0.28%	1.6631	+3.43%	0.0383	✗	1.07	31.7M	2021-12-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.7354	0.733256	-0.29%	0.7375	+0.29%	0.0079	✗	1.28	12.8M	2021-12-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.898	22.8294	-0.30%	22.976	+0.34%	0.0092	✗	1.68	19.5M	2021-12-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.81	3.7984	-0.30%	3.86	+1.31%	0.0178	✗	1.02	787k	2021-12-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3303	0.329291	-0.31%	0.3372	+2.09%	0.0259	✗	1.28	5.8M	2021-12-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,193.34	31,096.05	-0.31%	31,759.20	+1.81%	0.0220	✗	0.52	8.3M	2021-12-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.66	3.6485	-0.31%	3.6103	-1.36%	0.0085	✓	1.25	3.1M	2021-12-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.371	0.369823	-0.32%	0.3756	+1.24%	0.0170	✗	0.91	356k	2021-12-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.03765	0.037527	-0.33%	0.037325	-0.86%	0.0037	✓	1.02	11.0M	2021-12-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.942	1.9356	-0.33%	1.884	-2.99%	0.0248	✓	1.31	7.9M	2021-12-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.084	0.083707	-0.35%	0.0741	-11.79%	0.1197	✓	1.31	2.1M	2021-12-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.01937	0.019302	-0.35%	0.01908	-1.50%	0.0096	✓	1.19	2.8M	2021-12-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.28	1.2755	-0.35%	1.32	+3.12%	0.0360	✗	1.00	2.3M	2021-12-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.24	0.239143	-0.36%	0.2396	-0.17%	0.0039	✗	1.22	6.1M	2021-12-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	1.002	0.998355	-0.36%	1.017	+1.50%	0.0209	✗	1.47	8.9M	2021-12-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	167.45	166.8365	-0.37%	169.76	+1.38%	0.0195	✗	1.31	11.8M	2021-12-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	322.4	321.1901	-0.38%	322.27	-0.04%	0.0052	✗	1.10	1.5M	2021-12-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.3426	5.3224	-0.38%	5.2921	-0.95%	0.0035	✓	1.35	5.4M	2021-12-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.469	0.467198	-0.38%	0.4709	+0.41%	0.0103	✗	1.43	1.1M	2021-12-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6918	1.6853	-0.38%	1.7264	+2.04%	0.0257	✗	0.99	5.7M	2021-12-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	187.2077	186.4877	-0.38%	211.5789	+13.02%	0.1281	✗	1.14	674k	2021-12-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	3.19	3.1773	-0.40%	3.08	-3.45%	0.0295	✓	0.97	2.2M	2021-12-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.17	32.0406	-0.40%	29.68	-7.74%	0.0751	✓	0.86	39.4M	2021-12-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.72	4.7009	-0.40%	5.5	+16.53%	0.1586	✗	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.4225	0.42072	-0.42%	0.4014	-4.99%	0.0445	✓	1.52	4.4M	2021-12-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2011	0.200252	-0.42%	0.21	+4.43%	0.0494	✗	1.14	3.9M	2021-12-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.8179	6.7891	-0.42%	6.874	+0.82%	0.0144	✗	1.19	764k	2021-12-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11329	0.112809	-0.42%	0.11486	+1.39%	0.0190	✗	0.57	113k	2021-12-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.113	0.112504	-0.44%	0.1161	+2.74%	0.0337	✗	1.36	2.5M	2021-12-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0806	1.0759	-0.44%	1.1	+1.80%	0.0239	✗	1.00	178k	2021-12-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.79	4.7679	-0.46%	5.13	+7.10%	0.0749	✗	1.00	1.2M	2021-12-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3907	1.3841	-0.47%	1.3793	-0.82%	0.0018	✓	1.05	22.8M	2021-12-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	2.0712	2.0614	-0.47%	2.0541	-0.83%	0.0024	✓	0.70	1.2M	2021-12-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	10.41	10.3597	-0.48%	10.75	+3.27%	0.0388	✗	1.08	4.1M	2021-12-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	99.78	99.2781	-0.50%	91.01	-8.79%	0.0853	✓	1.00	4.9M	2021-12-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.3444	2.3315	-0.55%	2.2578	-3.69%	0.0289	✓	1.94	1.8M	2021-12-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.73	0.72598	-0.55%	0.723	-0.96%	0.0021	✓	1.24	3.0M	2021-12-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20968	0.208515	-0.56%	0.22849	+8.97%	0.0942	✗	1.61	22k	2021-12-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01668	0.016581	-0.59%	0.01713	+2.70%	0.0341	✗	0.93	1.3M	2021-12-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	70.3	69.8762	-0.60%	70.72	+0.60%	0.0145	✗	1.51	1.3M	2021-12-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.4265	0.423861	-0.62%	0.4183	-1.92%	0.0111	✓	1.28	5.3M	2021-12-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.75	5.7138	-0.63%	5.28	-8.17%	0.0768	✓	1.30	28.7M	2021-12-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003825	0.000038009	-0.63%	0.00003905	+2.09%	0.0287	✗	1.00	2.2M	2021-12-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	45.66	45.3596	-0.66%	44.44	-2.67%	0.0174	✓	1.84	8.5M	2021-12-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.8093	0.803851	-0.67%	0.8111	+0.22%	0.0111	✗	1.28	3.8M	2021-12-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	2.196	2.181	-0.68%	2.0783	-5.36%	0.0471	✓	0.67	6.7M	2021-12-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.23	5.1937	-0.69%	5.06	-3.25%	0.0244	✓	1.00	5.7M	2021-12-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	13.1	13.0074	-0.71%	12.74	-2.75%	0.0199	✓	0.52	2.1M	2021-12-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.307	4.276	-0.72%	4.312	+0.12%	0.0100	✗	1.00	3.5M	2021-12-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	115.07	114.1725	-0.78%	113.96	-0.96%	0.0000	✓	1.13	127.7M	2021-12-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.494	0.490035	-0.80%	0.466	-5.67%	0.0491	✓	0.71	45k	2021-12-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	2.22	2.2018	-0.82%	2.01	-9.46%	0.0883	✓	1.72	1.5M	2021-12-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.862	3.8285	-0.87%	3.7429	-3.08%	0.0212	✓	0.88	8.3M	2021-12-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	15.17	15.0241	-0.96%	14.16	-6.66%	0.0593	✓	-0.03	5.1M	2021-12-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	43.55	43.1278	-0.97%	43.58	+0.07%	0.0133	✗	1.71	3.7M	2021-12-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		15.136	14.9784	-1.04%	14.106	-6.80%	0.0602	✓	-0.09	133k	2021-12-27
HIVE	Hive	native	1.7664	1.7477	-1.06%	1.852	+4.85%	0.0602	✗	1.32	8.3M	2021-12-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02201	0.021714	-1.35%	0.0262	+19.04%	0.1895	✗	1.00	34.3M	2021-12-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7068	0.696754	-1.42%	0.8843	+25.11%	0.2413	✗	1.75	17.7M	2021-12-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	5.75	5.5613	-3.28%	5.18	-9.91%	0.0694	✓	1.00	12.3M	2021-12-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.