XCH

Chia · native · gru_s5

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0802

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0161

actual -0.0213

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.5025	1.4796	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.4858	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.5387	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.5406	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5685	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5658	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5608	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.539	-2.35%	1.5025	-4.66%	0.0489	✓	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.5929	-2.36%	1.512	-7.32%	0.0505	✓	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.5481	-2.39%	1.5675	-1.17%	0.0115	✓	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5525	-2.39%	1.57	-1.29%	0.0276	✗	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.5531	-2.53%	1.6035	+0.63%	0.0471	✗	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4778	-2.84%	1.6015	+5.29%	0.0908	✗	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.4225	-3.17%	1.5965	+8.68%	0.1112	✗	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4408	-3.62%	1.576	+5.42%	0.1062	✗	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.5007	-4.26%	1.6315	+4.08%	0.1061	✗	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.4997	-5.29%	1.586	+0.16%	0.0935	✗	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.5036	-5.17%	1.5905	+0.32%	0.0828	✗	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.5037	-4.49%	1.5935	+1.21%	0.0755	✗	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.4626	-4.66%	1.521	-0.85%	0.0579	✗	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5204	-4.92%	1.469	-8.13%	0.0045	✓	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.5683	-3.49%	1.495	-8.00%	0.0453	✓	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.5283	-4.06%	1.5675	-1.60%	0.0081	✓	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.5022	-3.58%	1.5835	+1.64%	0.0319	✓	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.5116	-4.30%	1.5855	+0.38%	0.0318	✓	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.5669	-4.98%	1.5745	-4.52%	0.0023	✓	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.5855	-4.11%	1.534	-7.23%	0.0362	✓	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.5879	-2.58%	1.599	-1.90%	0.0033	✓	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.5028	-2.67%	1.625	+5.25%	0.0847	✗	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.5865	-2.43%	1.593	-2.03%	0.0232	✓	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.6778	-2.51%	1.558	-9.47%	0.0499	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.5049	-2.25%	1.5795	+2.60%	0.0265	✗	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.5012	-2.23%	1.649	+7.39%	0.0728	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.4719	-2.17%	1.6535	+9.90%	0.0953	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.3938	-1.95%	1.63	+14.67%	0.1083	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.3581	-1.63%	1.544	+11.84%	0.0798	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.3437	-1.70%	1.626	+18.95%	0.1294	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.433	-2.58%	1.721	+17.00%	0.1408	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4427	-2.46%	1.5395	+4.09%	0.0419	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4657	-1.90%	1.5355	+2.78%	0.0258	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4591	-2.01%	1.5045	+1.04%	0.0119	✓	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4726	-1.37%	1.4215	-4.79%	0.0342	✓	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5412	-1.87%	1.3805	-12.10%	0.0990	✓	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.5912	-1.69%	1.367	-15.54%	0.1368	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.6279	-1.04%	1.471	-10.58%	0.0966	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.4882	-0.36%	1.479	-0.97%	0.0164	✗	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4363	-0.91%	1.494	+3.07%	0.0557	✗	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.3992	-1.19%	1.489	+5.16%	0.0805	✗	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.418	-1.59%	1.493	+3.61%	0.0870	✗	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.3952	-1.68%	1.5705	+10.68%	0.1112	✗	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.4301	-1.23%	1.6185	+11.77%	0.1161	✗	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4038	-1.38%	1.645	+15.56%	0.1547	✗	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.4017	-0.80%	1.4935	+5.70%	0.0413	✗	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.3791	-0.32%	1.4495	+4.77%	0.0377	✗	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.398	-0.11%	1.416	+1.18%	0.0011	✓	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.4165	+0.39%	1.441	+2.13%	0.0097	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.3754	-0.23%	1.419	+2.94%	0.0443	✗	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.3802	-0.49%	1.448	+4.40%	0.0569	✗	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.3869	-0.08%	1.4235	+2.56%	0.0294	✗	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.4846	-0.70%	1.413	-5.48%	0.0488	✓	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.5016	-0.29%	1.3835	-8.13%	0.0927	✓	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.5188	-0.18%	1.3995	-8.02%	0.0774	✓	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.4312	-0.64%	1.411	-2.05%	0.0785	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.4265	-1.35%	1.3785	-4.67%	0.1413	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3526	-1.91%	1.387	+0.58%	0.1318	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.3596	-1.69%	1.388	+0.36%	0.1498	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3471	-2.14%	1.495	+8.61%	0.0764	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.2982	-2.24%	1.506	+13.40%	0.0204	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.275	-2.26%	1.5215	+16.63%	0.0044	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.2852	-2.27%	1.4405	+9.54%	0.0022	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2736	-2.11%	1.446	+11.15%	0.0539	✗	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.3198	-1.76%	1.379	+2.64%	0.0292	✗	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3474	-1.86%	1.383	+0.73%	0.0194	✗	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.3059	-2.04%	1.3765	+3.26%	0.0775	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3805	-1.78%	1.328	-5.51%	0.0154	✓	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.291	-1.56%	1.3045	-0.53%	0.0345	✗	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3447	-1.42%	1.315	-3.59%	0.0116	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.4355	-1.65%	1.301	-10.86%	0.0830	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.4852	-1.81%	1.3435	-11.17%	0.0936	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.5078	-2.06%	1.373	-10.82%	0.0994	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.6857	-2.56%	1.333	-22.95%	0.2521	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.4232	-2.25%	1.4055	-3.47%	0.0372	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.3862	-2.11%	1.3115	-7.38%	0.0791	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.4083	-1.90%	1.364	-4.98%	0.0267	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3433	-1.84%	1.4595	+6.65%	0.0755	✗	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.3088	-1.89%	1.5125	+13.38%	0.1425	✗	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.2412	-1.61%	1.5395	+22.04%	0.2177	✗	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.2995	-1.55%	1.73	+31.06%	0.3042	✗	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.2572	-1.67%	1.456	+13.88%	0.1620	✗	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1406	-1.33%	1.416	+22.49%	0.2284	✗	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1433	-1.32%	1.4355	+23.91%	0.2307	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2233	-1.31%	1.3685	+10.41%	0.1324	✗	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.1899	-1.30%	1.334	+10.66%	0.1390	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.1886	-1.44%	1.2615	+4.60%	0.0751	✗	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.2606	-1.55%	1.32	+3.08%	0.0390	✗	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.3046	-1.43%	1.2785	-3.40%	0.0147	✓	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.3477	-1.41%	1.156	-15.44%	0.1556	✓	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.3722	-1.38%	1.1585	-16.74%	0.1831	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4602	-1.44%	1.2395	-16.33%	0.1775	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.3832	-1.51%	1.2055	-14.17%	0.1530	✓	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.3804	-1.40%	1.206	-13.86%	0.1675	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.4081	-1.33%	1.2805	-10.27%	0.1053	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.4311	-1.34%	1.3235	-8.76%	0.0886	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.4674	-1.29%	1.367	-8.04%	0.0684	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.5146	-1.45%	1.3915	-9.47%	0.0913	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.4922	-1.40%	1.4815	-2.11%	0.0326	✓	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5371	-1.25%	1.4045	-9.77%	0.1072	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.5979	-1.33%	1.4	-13.55%	0.1143	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.5808	-1.26%	1.427	-10.87%	0.1040	✓	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.6384	-1.07%	1.4505	-12.41%	0.1290	✓	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6625	-1.01%	1.4865	-11.49%	0.1289	✓	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.7124	-1.05%	1.537	-11.18%	0.1267	✓	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.7334	-1.12%	1.5135	-13.66%	0.1620	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.7026	-1.15%	1.5565	-9.64%	0.1460	✓	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5515	-0.83%	1.6195	+3.52%	0.0072	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.6034	-0.84%	1.601	-0.99%	0.0559	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.5988	-0.76%	1.656	+2.79%	0.0064	✓	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.6768	-0.90%	1.6795	-0.74%	0.0318	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.6911	-0.81%	1.7305	+1.50%	0.0009	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.6921	-0.82%	1.753	+2.75%	0.0501	✗	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.7934	-1.08%	1.7225	-4.99%	0.0155	✗	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.8781	-1.26%	1.5645	-17.74%	0.1335	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8772	-1.23%	1.617	-14.92%	0.0999	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.8645	-1.30%	1.611	-14.72%	0.0891	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.903	-1.17%	1.692	-12.13%	0.0707	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.9753	-1.19%	1.705	-14.71%	0.1036	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	1.996	-1.29%	1.706	-15.63%	0.1104	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	2.0346	-1.45%	1.813	-12.18%	0.0758	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	2.0551	-1.57%	1.902	-8.91%	0.0446	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.0975	-1.69%	1.9005	-10.92%	0.0640	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.1276	-1.68%	1.889	-12.71%	0.1159	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	1.9965	-1.26%	1.9255	-4.77%	0.0353	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	2.0106	-1.30%	1.999	-1.87%	0.0044	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.9841	-0.87%	2.022	+1.02%	0.0265	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	2.0408	-0.86%	2.0645	+0.29%	0.0473	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.163	-1.37%	2.088	-4.79%	0.0815	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.1839	-1.45%	2.1335	-3.72%	0.0575	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	2.0243	-0.08%	2.164	+6.81%	0.0202	✗	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.1658	-0.61%	2.022	-7.21%	0.1006	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.1774	-1.07%	2.037	-7.45%	0.0635	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.1796	-1.06%	2.0015	-9.15%	0.0500	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.2138	-1.61%	2.0585	-8.51%	0.0042	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.4056	-2.57%	2.193	-11.18%	0.0112	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.2843	-2.28%	2.216	-5.20%	0.1072	✗	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.301	-2.33%	2.026	-14.01%	0.0428	✗	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.3885	-2.39%	2.179	-10.95%	0.0738	✗	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.2764	-2.30%	2.201	-5.54%	0.0945	✗	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.5243	-2.59%	2.203	-14.99%	0.0098	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.6299	-2.85%	2.25	-16.88%	0.0490	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.868	-3.13%	2.469	-16.60%	0.0817	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.6681	-3.15%	2.3375	-15.15%	0.0931	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.8644	-2.77%	2.356	-20.03%	0.1616	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.8611	-2.65%	2.447	-16.74%	0.1317	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.2743	-2.86%	2.33	-30.87%	0.2973	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.5082	-3.50%	2.5915	-28.72%	0.2694	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.2326	-3.49%	2.707	-19.18%	0.1678	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.7608	-2.46%	2.9605	+4.59%	0.0666	✗	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.6045	-1.99%	2.755	+3.67%	0.0608	✗	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.5656	-1.85%	2.946	+12.70%	0.1539	✗	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.3567	-1.41%	2.939	+22.94%	0.2618	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.4991	-1.74%	3.3705	+32.51%	0.3378	✗	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.4734	-2.00%	3.6355	+44.04%	0.4054	✗	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.1855	-1.29%	3.3495	+51.29%	0.4719	✗	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.284	-1.55%	2.8305	+22.00%	0.2710	✗	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.3966	-1.50%	2.6575	+9.23%	0.1586	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3151	-1.06%	2.614	+11.71%	0.1508	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.3655	-1.60%	2.3905	-0.56%	0.0233	✗	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.1662	-0.75%	2.5435	+16.54%	0.1489	✗	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.112	+0.02%	2.524	+19.54%	0.2013	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.1181	-0.16%	2.214	+4.36%	0.0483	✗	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.1155	+0.02%	2.32	+9.69%	0.0748	✓	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1342	-0.18%	2.433	+13.80%	0.0970	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.1418	-0.29%	2.34	+8.94%	0.0699	✗	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.1617	-0.57%	2.404	+10.58%	0.0877	✗	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.2338	-1.14%	2.1825	-3.41%	0.0597	✓	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.2325	-1.61%	2.1115	-6.94%	0.1116	✓	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.2342	-1.23%	2.1215	-6.21%	0.0963	✓	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.2554	-0.67%	2.115	-6.85%	0.0884	✓	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.3462	-0.84%	2.138	-9.64%	0.0918	✓	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.3426	-0.48%	2.148	-8.75%	0.0969	✓	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.4482	-0.32%	2.174	-11.48%	0.1265	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.5871	-0.44%	2.2595	-13.05%	0.1157	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.7563	-0.89%	2.269	-18.41%	0.1699	✓	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.5534	-1.24%	2.262	-12.51%	0.1209	✓	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.4507	-1.00%	2.2705	-8.28%	0.0911	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.3688	-1.01%	2.366	-1.13%	0.0481	✓	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.4238	-0.85%	2.354	-3.70%	0.0477	✓	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.2793	-0.38%	2.456	+7.34%	0.0711	✗	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.2909	-1.04%	2.5985	+12.25%	0.0949	✗	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.1843	-0.47%	2.781	+26.73%	0.2081	✗	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.1451	-0.50%	2.5855	+19.92%	0.1647	✗	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.2257	-0.71%	2.4755	+10.44%	0.0920	✗	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.209	-1.14%	2.393	+7.09%	0.0466	✗	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.2882	-1.27%	2.4445	+5.48%	0.0382	✗	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.2564	-0.95%	2.288	+0.44%	0.0292	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.3683	-1.26%	2.315	-3.48%	0.0595	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.2939	-1.10%	2.1945	-5.39%	0.0852	✓	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.3586	-1.21%	2.156	-9.70%	0.1145	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.2778	-1.65%	2.2415	-3.22%	0.0774	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.33	-1.67%	2.2345	-5.70%	0.0615	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.3014	-1.88%	2.3175	-1.19%	0.0602	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.3419	-2.05%	2.278	-4.73%	0.0981	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.3659	-1.89%	2.3985	-0.54%	0.0438	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.462	-1.68%	2.3195	-7.37%	0.0944	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.5634	-1.63%	2.3875	-8.38%	0.1142	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.5634	-1.65%	2.316	-11.15%	0.1272	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.5913	-1.53%	2.3695	-9.96%	0.1267	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.6339	-1.46%	2.3455	-12.25%	0.1279	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.5705	-1.32%	2.391	-8.21%	0.0799	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.7778	-1.45%	2.4115	-14.44%	0.1189	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.8027	-1.38%	2.504	-11.89%	0.0751	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.7816	-1.29%	2.606	-7.52%	0.0378	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.7029	-1.12%	2.6065	-4.65%	0.0132	✗	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.5933	-1.04%	2.6315	+0.42%	0.0377	✗	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.6214	-1.21%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0508	✗	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.6557	-1.33%	2.605	-3.21%	0.0303	✗	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.6918	-1.44%	2.8185	+3.20%	0.0596	✗	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.8046	-1.14%	2.842	+0.18%	0.0126	✗	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.1011	-1.57%	2.818	-10.55%	0.0575	✓	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	2.9445	-1.26%	2.7335	-8.33%	0.0287	✓	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.7488	-1.09%	2.6205	-5.70%	0.0093	✓	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.7006	-1.22%	2.6535	-2.94%	0.0091	✓	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.6211	-1.28%	2.6915	+1.37%	0.0316	✗	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.5751	-0.96%	2.731	+5.04%	0.0658	✗	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.5497	-0.75%	2.837	+10.43%	0.0949	✗	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.5155	-0.44%	3.1505	+24.70%	0.1808	✗	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5228	-0.58%	2.982	+17.52%	0.0944	✗	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.5432	-0.58%	2.779	+8.64%	0.0061	✗	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.4963	-0.37%	2.734	+9.12%	0.0426	✗	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.5901	-0.44%	2.655	+2.06%	0.0094	✓	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7251	-0.54%	2.6	-5.11%	0.0428	✓	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.8495	-0.82%	2.569	-10.58%	0.0749	✓	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.6807	-0.50%	2.5265	-6.22%	0.0783	✓	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6445	-0.45%	2.5375	-4.48%	0.0367	✓	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.6121	-0.32%	2.558	-2.39%	0.0236	✓	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.7104	-0.73%	2.5055	-8.24%	0.0824	✓	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.678	-0.50%	2.6015	-3.34%	0.0581	✓	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.639	-0.55%	2.74	+3.26%	0.0056	✓	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.6159	-0.57%	2.873	+9.20%	0.0351	✗	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.4066	+0.04%	2.694	+11.99%	0.0588	✓	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.5996	-0.21%	2.6565	+1.98%	0.0301	✓	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.7242	-0.56%	2.6205	-4.34%	0.0161	✓	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.6534	-0.43%	2.7305	+2.46%	0.0406	✗	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.6429	-0.49%	2.6915	+1.34%	0.0440	✗	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.6076	-0.23%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0112	✗	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.7073	-0.36%	2.631	-3.17%	0.0478	✓	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.9032	-0.54%	2.4055	-17.59%	0.1470	✓	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.9101	-0.58%	2.605	-11.00%	0.0599	✓	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.9477	-0.63%	2.7395	-7.65%	0.0595	✓	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.073	-0.77%	2.665	-13.95%	0.1212	✓	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.8974	-0.33%	2.656	-8.63%	0.0775	✓	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.8217	+0.27%	2.6135	-7.13%	0.0855	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	2.9886	-0.15%	2.717	-9.22%	0.0886	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	3.0521	-0.52%	2.919	-4.86%	0.0301	✓	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	3.0567	-0.48%	2.927	-4.70%	0.0301	✓	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.2327	-0.68%	2.9665	-8.86%	0.0698	✓	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.4078	-0.46%	3.097	-9.54%	0.1015	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.3257	-0.16%	2.907	-12.73%	0.1143	✓	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	3.1523	+2.55%	2.814	-8.46%	0.1583	✗	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.3466	+0.02%	2.993	-10.55%	0.0133	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.3529	-0.21%	3.068	-8.69%	0.0191	✗	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.4277	-0.75%	3.0715	-11.06%	0.0237	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.4287	-0.01%	3.255	-5.07%	0.0561	✗	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.5285	-0.52%	3.4235	-3.48%	0.1251	✗	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.6924	-1.56%	3.331	-11.20%	0.1201	✗	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.8603	-1.62%	3.074	-21.66%	0.1518	✗	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	3.9747	-1.77%	3.346	-17.31%	0.0922	✗	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.1508	-1.72%	3.36	-20.45%	0.0073	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.1371	-1.48%	3.4535	-17.75%	0.0298	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.9512	-1.40%	3.429	-14.44%	0.0123	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.1477	-1.50%	3.547	-15.77%	0.0047	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.1114	-1.71%	3.751	-10.33%	0.0113	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.2563	-1.75%	3.924	-9.42%	0.0075	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.4898	-2.24%	4.0465	-11.89%	0.1010	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.425	-2.10%	4.2235	-6.56%	0.0582	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.5228	-2.01%	4.199	-9.02%	0.0109	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.7908	-2.23%	4.0075	-18.21%	0.0750	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.832	-2.84%	4.211	-15.32%	0.0521	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.8248	-3.03%	4.183	-15.93%	0.0574	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	4.98	-2.46%	4.332	-15.15%	0.0529	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.3023	-2.29%	4.5925	-15.37%	0.0375	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.3418	-2.25%	4.52	-17.29%	0.0672	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	5.0855	-2.47%	4.6155	-11.49%	0.1164	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.4003	-2.69%	4.9	-11.70%	0.1365	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.9434	-2.67%	4.973	-2.09%	0.0601	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	5.0863	-2.51%	4.9755	-4.64%	0.0944	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.854	-2.57%	5.1055	+2.48%	0.0132	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.9366	-2.67%	5.4265	+6.99%	0.0033	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.9425	-2.63%	5.465	+7.66%	0.0715	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	5.0833	-2.58%	5.2145	-0.07%	0.0732	✗	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.6276	-2.51%	5.5495	+16.91%	0.1925	✗	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.6082	-2.57%	5.079	+7.38%	0.1012	✗	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.6941	-2.77%	5.2175	+8.07%	0.0958	✗	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.5914	-2.97%	4.982	+5.28%	0.0406	✗	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.4094	-3.50%	5.072	+11.00%	0.0726	✗	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.489	-3.31%	5.076	+9.34%	0.0299	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.5381	-2.73%	5.218	+11.84%	0.0206	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.6971	-2.14%	4.747	-1.10%	0.0536	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.8834	-2.36%	4.73	-5.43%	0.0809	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.4765	-2.11%	4.828	+5.58%	0.0293	✗	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.6825	-2.19%	4.732	-1.16%	0.0170	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.8432	-2.29%	4.5695	-7.82%	0.0562	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.7224	-2.01%	4.6425	-3.67%	0.0341	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.7483	-1.81%	4.6655	-3.53%	0.0078	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.734	-1.80%	4.8	-0.44%	0.0272	✗	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.7892	-1.90%	5.0015	+2.45%	0.0525	✗	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.805	-2.09%	4.573	-6.82%	0.0354	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.423	-1.92%	4.7875	+6.16%	0.0490	✗	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.504	-1.90%	4.957	+7.96%	0.0713	✗	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.7198	-2.25%	4.8195	-0.19%	0.0282	✗	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.7567	-2.37%	4.836	-0.74%	0.0208	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	4.9184	-2.53%	4.821	-4.46%	0.0280	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.1187	-2.30%	4.882	-6.81%	0.0145	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.1948	-1.90%	4.9075	-7.33%	0.0197	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.3705	-2.12%	4.5095	-17.81%	0.0536	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.5208	-2.32%	4.5915	-18.76%	0.0841	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.6261	-2.17%	4.8285	-16.04%	0.0710	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.3845	-1.95%	4.872	-11.28%	0.0274	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.4087	-1.96%	5.046	-8.54%	0.0315	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.481	-1.93%	5.239	-6.26%	0.0619	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.4388	-1.64%	5.2955	-4.23%	0.0425	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.6507	-1.76%	5.487	-4.61%	0.0368	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.7838	-1.82%	5.652	-4.06%	0.0003	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	5.9874	-1.84%	5.751	-5.71%	0.0638	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.4432	-1.11%	5.4915	-0.24%	0.0673	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.808	-1.54%	5.517	-6.48%	0.0520	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.8808	-1.49%	5.589	-6.37%	0.0245	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.8058	-1.37%	5.5295	-6.06%	0.0224	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.8833	-1.33%	5.752	-3.53%	0.0354	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	6.0198	-1.39%	5.891	-3.50%	0.0688	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	6.0326	-1.21%	6.0995	-0.11%	0.0564	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	6.1839	-1.20%	5.5045	-12.05%	0.0820	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	6.181	-0.90%	5.899	-5.42%	0.1087	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	6.2036	-0.69%	5.9695	-4.44%	0.1497	✓	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.3759	-0.94%	5.8865	-8.55%	0.1850	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.7061	-1.24%	5.9625	-12.19%	0.2016	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.819	-1.92%	6.1045	-12.20%	0.0929	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	7.0534	-2.26%	6.1065	-15.38%	0.0432	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	7.1094	-2.12%	6.259	-13.83%	0.0581	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.3011	-2.39%	6.237	-16.62%	0.0261	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.5399	-2.19%	6.247	-18.96%	0.0059	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.7473	-2.19%	6.4365	-18.74%	0.0144	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.7567	-2.34%	6.7905	-14.50%	0.1126	✗	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.8131	-2.61%	6.9525	-13.34%	0.0695	✗	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.8541	-2.36%	7.2165	-10.29%	0.0927	✗	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.4849	-2.31%	7.2635	-16.37%	0.0797	✗	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	9.0177	-3.14%	7.48	-19.66%	0.0048	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.6068	-2.18%	7.709	-0.86%	0.1241	✗	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	8.0208	-2.92%	7.9205	-4.13%	0.1291	✗	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.2691	-1.39%	7.9425	+24.93%	0.2609	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.9077	-1.32%	8.0225	+34.01%	0.3389	✗	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.7381	-1.09%	8.044	+38.65%	0.3149	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.254	-1.53%	8.6855	+36.76%	0.3366	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.7197	-1.68%	9.31	+36.22%	0.4067	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.6799	-1.74%	7.776	+14.39%	0.2615	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.2246	-1.72%	8.262	+30.45%	0.3706	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.3374	-1.56%	6.3575	-1.25%	0.1031	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.6819	-1.63%	5.9865	-11.87%	0.0256	✓	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.6705	-1.34%	5.8015	-14.19%	0.0206	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.8751	-1.49%	6.351	-9.00%	0.0229	✗	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.7456	-1.50%	6.8345	-0.20%	0.0665	✗	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.4846	-1.43%	6.798	+3.34%	0.0692	✗	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.6407	-1.61%	6.3335	-6.16%	0.0269	✓	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.7768	-1.76%	6.438	-6.67%	0.0259	✓	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.7397	-1.79%	6.7925	-1.02%	0.0270	✓	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.8569	-1.75%	6.761	-3.12%	0.0779	✓	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.071	-1.62%	6.979	-2.90%	0.0623	✓	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.1377	-1.58%	6.848	-5.58%	0.1230	✓	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	6.9871	-1.58%	6.5785	-7.33%	0.1232	✓	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	7.0336	-1.37%	6.7495	-5.36%	0.1061	✓	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.3921	-1.52%	6.898	-8.10%	0.0961	✓	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.3942	-1.42%	6.8625	-8.51%	0.0294	✓	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.5023	-1.21%	6.979	-8.10%	0.0064	✓	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.7105	-1.12%	7.1875	-7.83%	0.0048	✓	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.7045	-1.21%	7.2525	-7.01%	0.0280	✗	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	6.993	-1.11%	7.099	+0.39%	0.0629	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.4631	-0.77%	7.1315	+9.49%	0.1930	✗	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.5748	-1.22%	7.506	-13.53%	0.0146	✓	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.784	-1.37%	7.5005	-15.78%	0.0473	✓	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.6599	-1.04%	7.594	-13.22%	0.0631	✓	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	8.8592	-1.04%	7.798	-12.89%	0.0478	✓	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.53	-1.04%	7.799	-9.52%	0.0187	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.4477	-1.11%	7.0715	-17.22%	0.0775	✓	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.6145	-1.28%	6.5135	-25.36%	0.2002	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.6947	-1.05%	8.6805	-1.21%	0.0108	✓	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.5378	-1.13%	8.906	+3.13%	0.0028	✓	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	8.1043	-1.13%	8.751	+6.77%	0.0153	✗	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.3395	-1.36%	8.952	+5.88%	0.0176	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.5624	-1.56%	8.6195	-0.90%	0.0973	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.427	-1.61%	8.5425	-0.26%	0.1060	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.6243	-1.52%	8.7265	-0.35%	0.1063	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.4002	-1.56%	8.787	+2.98%	0.0639	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.9145	-1.84%	8.6355	-4.92%	0.0795	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.8922	-1.86%	8.1965	-9.54%	0.1005	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.9488	-1.85%	8.4545	-7.27%	0.0716	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.4229	-2.13%	8.698	-9.66%	0.0526	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.3208	-2.22%	8.565	-10.14%	0.0293	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.329	-2.78%	8.7575	-8.74%	0.0072	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.543	-3.25%	8.533	-13.49%	0.0359	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.557	-2.65%	9.082	-7.49%	0.0222	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.