VTHO

VeThor · native · gru_s5

token id: #321
symbol: VTHO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-13
predictions: 3,372

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

69.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0558

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0083

actual -0.0088

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000680015	0.00066382	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-21	oos	0.000678765	0.000663604	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.000643555	0.000634484	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-19	oos	0.00062431	0.000620721	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-18	oos	0.00063368	0.000630289	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.00065124	0.00064631	-0.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-16	oos	0.00063382	0.000632235	-0.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.00063741	0.000634905	-0.39%	0.000680015	+6.68%	0.0579	✗	0.42
2026-10-14	oos	0.00064007	0.00063886	-0.19%	0.000678765	+6.05%	0.0479	✗	0.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.000689545	0.000679996	-1.38%	0.000643555	-6.67%	0.0543	✓	0.39
2026-10-12	oos	0.00069641	0.000687229	-1.32%	0.00062431	-10.35%	0.0965	✓	0.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.000739555	0.000724242	-2.07%	0.00063368	-14.32%	0.1264	✓	0.36
2026-10-10	oos	0.00070241	0.000689927	-1.78%	0.00065124	-7.28%	0.0512	✓	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.00065773	0.000651256	-0.98%	0.00063382	-3.64%	0.0227	✓	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.000671515	0.000664107	-1.10%	0.00063741	-5.08%	0.0429	✓	0.35
2026-10-07	oos	0.000688965	0.000677143	-1.72%	0.00064007	-7.10%	0.0493	✓	0.34
2026-10-06	oos	0.00073003	0.000711133	-2.59%	0.000689545	-5.55%	0.0225	✓	0.29
2026-10-05	oos	0.000666415	0.000654064	-1.85%	0.00069641	+4.50%	0.0775	✗	0.31
2026-10-04	oos	0.00065977	0.000647506	-1.86%	0.000739555	+12.09%	0.1438	✗	0.33
2026-10-03	oos	0.00065726	0.000645336	-1.81%	0.00070241	+6.87%	0.0920	✗	0.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.0006719	0.000659222	-1.89%	0.00065773	-2.11%	0.0054	✓	0.33
2026-10-01	oos	0.00067236	0.000660081	-1.83%	0.000671515	-0.13%	0.0296	✗	0.33
2026-09-30	oos	0.000684145	0.000671405	-1.86%	0.000688965	+0.70%	0.0270	✗	0.34
2026-09-29	oos	0.00069047	0.000677747	-1.84%	0.00073003	+5.73%	0.0667	✗	0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.000709025	0.000695634	-1.89%	0.000666415	-6.01%	0.0523	✓	0.35
2026-09-27	oos	0.00075311	0.000737598	-2.06%	0.00065977	-12.39%	0.1198	✓	0.35
2026-09-26	oos	0.000795955	0.000777137	-2.36%	0.00065726	-17.42%	0.1688	✓	0.34
2026-09-25	oos	0.000798705	0.000778954	-2.47%	0.0006719	-15.88%	0.1495	✓	0.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.00075238	0.00073337	-2.53%	0.00067236	-10.64%	0.0888	✓	0.35
2026-09-23	oos	0.00071115	0.000695235	-2.24%	0.000684145	-3.80%	0.0126	✓	0.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.00070052	0.000685693	-2.12%	0.00069047	-1.43%	0.0186	✓	0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.000695975	0.000680515	-2.22%	0.000709025	+1.88%	0.0559	✗	0.40
2026-09-20	oos	0.00066688	0.000654889	-1.80%	0.00075311	+12.93%	0.1235	✗	0.41
2026-09-19	oos	0.000711465	0.000694788	-2.34%	0.000795955	+11.88%	0.1205	✗	0.40
2026-09-18	oos	0.00071238	0.000692495	-2.79%	0.000798705	+12.12%	0.1265	✗	0.41
2026-09-17	oos	0.00067768	0.000663674	-2.07%	0.00075238	+11.02%	0.0873	✗	0.38
2026-09-16	oos	0.000689695	0.000672235	-2.53%	0.00071115	+3.11%	0.0175	✓	0.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.00074268	0.000716026	-3.59%	0.00070052	-5.68%	0.0771	✓	0.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.00063838	0.00062593	-1.95%	0.000695975	+9.02%	0.0450	✗	0.60
2026-09-13	oos	0.00078042	0.00074658	-4.34%	0.00066688	-14.55%	0.1520	✓	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.000666995	0.000644334	-3.40%	0.000711465	+6.67%	0.0617	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.00058528	0.000570607	-2.51%	0.00071238	+21.72%	0.1872	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.000582645	0.000561795	-3.58%	0.00067768	+16.31%	0.1894	✗	0.75
2026-09-09	oos	0.000433455	0.000435144	+0.39%	0.000689695	+59.12%	0.4881	✓	0.99
2026-09-08	oos	0.00045428	0.000453183	-0.24%	0.00074268	+63.49%	0.5308	✗	0.99
2026-09-07	oos	0.00041766	0.000420383	+0.65%	0.00063838	+52.85%	0.4297	✓	1.03
2026-09-06	oos	0.00042541	0.000428067	+0.62%	0.00078042	+83.45%	0.6465	✓	1.02
2026-09-05	oos	0.00041448	0.000416933	+0.59%	0.000666995	+60.92%	0.5031	✓	1.02
2026-09-04	oos	0.00040222	0.000405049	+0.70%	0.00058528	+45.51%	0.3991	✓	0.99
2026-09-03	oos	0.00040285	0.000406804	+0.98%	0.000582645	+44.63%	0.4193	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.000382395	0.000384478	+0.54%	0.000433455	+13.35%	0.1067	✓	1.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.00038735	0.000389316	+0.51%	0.00045428	+17.28%	0.1400	✓	1.06
2026-08-31	oos	0.000402	0.000403974	+0.49%	0.00041766	+3.90%	0.0267	✓	0.98
2026-08-30	oos	0.000395	0.000395995	+0.25%	0.00042541	+7.70%	0.0374	✓	1.01
2026-08-29	oos	0.0004105	0.000410335	-0.04%	0.00041448	+0.97%	0.0104	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.0003975	0.000397092	-0.10%	0.00040222	+1.19%	0.0109	✓	1.02
2026-08-27	oos	0.000415	0.000413154	-0.44%	0.00040285	-2.93%	0.0379	✓	1.03
2026-08-26	oos	0.000403	0.000401469	-0.38%	0.000382395	-5.11%	0.0262	✓	1.02
2026-08-25	oos	0.0003725	0.00037185	-0.17%	0.00038735	+3.99%	0.0555	✗	1.02
2026-08-24	oos	0.0003775	0.000376397	-0.29%	0.000402	+6.49%	0.0712	✗	1.01
2026-08-23	oos	0.000373	0.000371242	-0.47%	0.000395	+5.90%	0.0629	✗	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.000368	0.000365583	-0.66%	0.0004105	+11.55%	0.1006	✗	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.000377	0.000374309	-0.71%	0.0003975	+5.44%	0.0664	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.000353	0.000350165	-0.80%	0.000415	+17.56%	0.0741	✗	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.00033	0.000327159	-0.86%	0.000403	+22.12%	0.0787	✗	0.99
2026-08-18	oos	0.0003095	0.000306896	-0.84%	0.0003725	+20.36%	0.0015	✓	0.99
2026-08-17	oos	0.0003135	0.000310795	-0.86%	0.0003775	+20.41%	0.0072	✓	0.99
2026-08-16	oos	0.0003135	0.000310578	-0.93%	0.000373	+18.98%	0.0330	✓	1.02
2026-08-15	oos	0.0003195	0.000316342	-0.99%	0.000368	+15.18%	0.0528	✓	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	0.000316	0.00031293	-0.97%	0.000377	+19.30%	0.0355	✓	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	0.000323	0.000319363	-1.13%	0.000353	+9.29%	0.0430	✓	1.02
2026-08-12	oos	0.0003205	0.000317101	-1.06%	0.00033	+2.96%	0.0524	✓	1.04
2026-08-11	oos	0.0003265	0.000322686	-1.17%	0.0003095	-5.21%	0.0599	✓	1.02
2026-08-10	oos	0.000336	0.00033161	-1.31%	0.0003135	-6.70%	0.0651	✓	1.01
2026-08-09	oos	0.0003425	0.000337627	-1.42%	0.0003135	-8.47%	0.0418	✓	1.03
2026-08-08	oos	0.000342	0.000336607	-1.58%	0.0003195	-6.58%	0.0219	✓	1.02
2026-08-07	oos	0.0003325	0.000327743	-1.43%	0.000316	-4.96%	0.0054	✓	1.04
2026-08-06	oos	0.0003325	0.00032732	-1.56%	0.000323	-2.86%	0.0004	✓	1.04
2026-08-05	oos	0.0003305	0.00032554	-1.50%	0.0003205	-3.03%	0.0037	✓	1.04
2026-08-04	oos	0.000329	0.000323952	-1.53%	0.0003265	-0.76%	0.0162	✗	1.03
2026-08-03	oos	0.00033	0.000324819	-1.57%	0.000336	+1.82%	0.0266	✗	1.04
2026-08-02	oos	0.000333	0.000327911	-1.53%	0.0003425	+2.85%	0.0213	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.0003305	0.000325807	-1.42%	0.000342	+3.48%	0.0134	✓	1.05
2026-07-31	oos	0.0003335	0.000329001	-1.35%	0.0003325	-0.30%	0.0233	✓	1.05
2026-07-30	oos	0.000333	0.000328807	-1.26%	0.0003325	-0.15%	0.0188	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.0003275	0.000323226	-1.31%	0.0003305	+0.92%	0.0106	✓	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.00034	0.000335574	-1.30%	0.000329	-3.24%	0.0232	✓	1.06
2026-07-27	oos	0.0003425	0.000337966	-1.32%	0.00033	-3.65%	0.0201	✓	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.000363	0.000358674	-1.19%	0.000333	-8.26%	0.0447	✓	1.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.0003595	0.000355181	-1.20%	0.0003305	-8.07%	0.0472	✓	1.03
2026-07-24	oos	0.0003575	0.000353649	-1.08%	0.0003335	-6.71%	0.0383	✓	1.03
2026-07-23	oos	0.0003615	0.000357913	-0.99%	0.000333	-7.88%	0.0669	✓	1.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.0003655	0.000362497	-0.82%	0.0003275	-10.40%	0.0669	✓	1.03
2026-07-21	oos	0.0003705	0.000367297	-0.86%	0.00034	-8.23%	0.0352	✓	1.03
2026-07-20	oos	0.000367	0.00036389	-0.85%	0.0003425	-6.68%	0.0367	✓	1.01
2026-07-19	oos	0.0003685	0.000365131	-0.91%	0.000363	-1.49%	0.0161	✓	1.01
2026-07-18	oos	0.0003755	0.000370997	-1.20%	0.0003595	-4.26%	0.0236	✓	1.02
2026-07-17	oos	0.0003655	0.000362285	-0.88%	0.0003575	-2.19%	0.0163	✓	1.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.0003675	0.000364367	-0.85%	0.0003615	-1.63%	0.0282	✓	1.02
2026-07-15	oos	0.0003755	0.000372311	-0.85%	0.0003655	-2.66%	0.0398	✓	1.02
2026-07-14	oos	0.000372	0.000368961	-0.82%	0.0003705	-0.40%	0.0197	✓	1.03
2026-07-13	oos	0.0003645	0.000361235	-0.90%	0.000367	+0.69%	0.0333	✓	1.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.000365	0.000362303	-0.74%	0.0003685	+0.96%	0.0011	✓	1.08
2026-07-11	oos	0.0003705	0.000367468	-0.82%	0.0003755	+1.35%	0.0048	✓	1.05
2026-07-10	oos	0.0003675	0.000364551	-0.80%	0.0003655	-0.54%	0.0064	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.000364	0.000361093	-0.80%	0.0003675	+0.96%	0.0078	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0003625	0.000359627	-0.79%	0.0003755	+3.59%	0.0024	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.0003655	0.000362738	-0.76%	0.000372	+1.78%	0.0021	✓	1.05
2026-07-06	oos	0.00038	0.000376694	-0.87%	0.0003645	-4.08%	0.0042	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.0003735	0.000370501	-0.80%	0.000365	-2.28%	0.0175	✓	1.03
2026-07-04	oos	0.0003785	0.000374961	-0.94%	0.0003705	-2.11%	0.0232	✓	1.04
2026-07-03	oos	0.000376	0.000372933	-0.82%	0.0003675	-2.26%	0.0406	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.0003655	0.000362764	-0.75%	0.000364	-0.41%	0.0240	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.000361	0.000358305	-0.75%	0.0003625	+0.42%	0.0263	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.00035	0.000347957	-0.58%	0.0003655	+4.43%	0.0295	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.0003615	0.000359226	-0.63%	0.00038	+5.12%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.0003595	0.000357453	-0.57%	0.0003735	+3.89%	0.0226	✓	0.99
2026-06-27	oos	0.0003595	0.000357699	-0.50%	0.0003785	+5.29%	0.0056	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.000363	0.000361269	-0.48%	0.000376	+3.58%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.000356	0.000354632	-0.38%	0.0003655	+2.67%	0.0010	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.0003665	0.000364815	-0.46%	0.000361	-1.50%	0.0060	✗	0.97
2026-06-23	oos	0.0003755	0.000373541	-0.52%	0.00035	-6.79%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.0003905	0.000388003	-0.64%	0.0003615	-7.43%	0.0110	✓	0.98
2026-06-21	oos	0.0003855	0.000383213	-0.59%	0.0003595	-6.74%	0.0041	✓	0.97
2026-06-20	oos	0.000395	0.000392252	-0.70%	0.0003595	-8.99%	0.0213	✓	0.95
2026-06-19	oos	0.000388	0.000385512	-0.64%	0.000363	-6.44%	0.0068	✓	0.95
2026-06-18	oos	0.0003905	0.000387941	-0.66%	0.000356	-8.83%	0.0367	✓	0.95
2026-06-17	oos	0.000406	0.000402548	-0.85%	0.0003665	-9.73%	0.0415	✓	0.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.0004075	0.000403748	-0.92%	0.0003755	-7.85%	0.0281	✓	0.96
2026-06-15	oos	0.0004125	0.000408182	-1.05%	0.0003905	-5.33%	0.0099	✓	0.96
2026-06-14	oos	0.000405	0.000401089	-0.97%	0.0003855	-4.81%	0.0032	✓	0.95
2026-06-13	oos	0.0004005	0.000397026	-0.87%	0.000395	-1.37%	0.0020	✓	0.97
2026-06-12	oos	0.0003925	0.000389628	-0.73%	0.000388	-1.15%	0.0032	✓	0.97
2026-06-11	oos	0.000398	0.000394803	-0.80%	0.0003905	-1.88%	0.0005	✓	0.96
2026-06-10	oos	0.0003835	0.000381585	-0.50%	0.000406	+5.87%	0.0165	✗	0.96
2026-06-09	oos	0.0003925	0.000390657	-0.47%	0.0004075	+3.82%	0.0167	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	0.000399	0.000397277	-0.43%	0.0004125	+3.38%	0.0101	✓	0.96
2026-06-07	oos	0.0004	0.000398559	-0.36%	0.000405	+1.25%	0.0197	✓	0.96
2026-06-06	oos	0.000396	0.000396374	+0.09%	0.0004005	+1.14%	0.0453	✗	0.97
2026-06-05	oos	0.0004	0.000400479	+0.12%	0.0003925	-1.88%	0.0592	✗	0.97
2026-06-04	oos	0.000438	0.000436424	-0.36%	0.000398	-9.13%	0.0887	✓	0.92
2026-06-03	oos	0.00046	0.000457806	-0.48%	0.0003835	-16.63%	0.1405	✓	0.89
2026-06-02	oos	0.000453	0.000450067	-0.65%	0.0003925	-13.36%	0.0637	✓	0.94
2026-06-01	oos	0.000496	0.000489254	-1.36%	0.000399	-19.56%	0.1006	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.0005175	0.000507049	-2.02%	0.0004	-22.71%	0.1126	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.000565	0.000547259	-3.14%	0.000396	-29.91%	0.1753	✓	0.77
2026-05-29	oos	0.000478	0.000471749	-1.31%	0.0004	-16.32%	0.0277	✓	0.75
2026-05-28	oos	0.0004765	0.00047083	-1.19%	0.000438	-8.08%	0.0333	✗	0.75
2026-05-27	oos	0.000489	0.000483109	-1.20%	0.00046	-5.93%	0.0584	✗	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.000497	0.000491244	-1.16%	0.000453	-8.85%	0.0126	✗	0.73
2026-05-25	oos	0.0005055	0.000500384	-1.01%	0.000496	-1.88%	0.0504	✗	0.74
2026-05-24	oos	0.000507	0.000502515	-0.88%	0.0005175	+2.07%	0.0633	✗	0.75
2026-05-23	oos	0.0005215	0.000516031	-1.05%	0.000565	+8.34%	0.1182	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.000509	0.000505077	-0.77%	0.000478	-6.09%	0.0354	✓	0.71
2026-05-21	oos	0.0005305	0.000526039	-0.84%	0.0004765	-10.18%	0.0618	✓	0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.0005185	0.000515241	-0.63%	0.000489	-5.69%	0.0233	✓	0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.0005145	0.000512037	-0.48%	0.000497	-3.40%	0.0213	✓	0.69
2026-05-18	oos	0.000521	0.00051851	-0.48%	0.0005055	-2.98%	0.0282	✓	0.69
2026-05-17	oos	0.000522	0.000520046	-0.37%	0.000507	-2.87%	0.0215	✓	0.70
2026-05-16	oos	0.0005355	0.000533149	-0.44%	0.0005215	-2.61%	0.0090	✓	0.69
2026-05-15	oos	0.0005475	0.000544425	-0.56%	0.000509	-7.03%	0.0346	✓	0.70
2026-05-14	oos	0.000581	0.000574764	-1.07%	0.0005305	-8.69%	0.0499	✓	0.68
2026-05-13	oos	0.0005865	0.000582111	-0.75%	0.0005185	-11.59%	0.0997	✓	0.69
2026-05-12	oos	0.0006	0.000595541	-0.74%	0.0005145	-14.25%	0.1151	✓	0.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.000627	0.000621893	-0.81%	0.000521	-16.91%	0.1385	✓	0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.000621	0.000616933	-0.65%	0.000522	-15.94%	0.1279	✓	0.65
2026-05-09	oos	0.000598	0.000594294	-0.62%	0.0005355	-10.45%	0.0836	✓	0.64
2026-05-08	oos	0.000603	0.000599069	-0.65%	0.0005475	-9.20%	0.0811	✓	0.63
2026-05-07	oos	0.000597	0.000592952	-0.68%	0.000581	-2.68%	0.0287	✓	0.63
2026-05-06	oos	0.0006015	0.000597806	-0.61%	0.0005865	-2.49%	0.0003	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.0005865	0.000583547	-0.50%	0.0006	+2.30%	0.0324	✗	0.87
2026-05-04	oos	0.000566	0.000563524	-0.44%	0.000627	+10.78%	0.0868	✗	0.86
2026-05-03	oos	0.000567	0.000563983	-0.53%	0.000621	+9.52%	0.0580	✗	0.85
2026-05-02	oos	0.000569	0.000565975	-0.53%	0.000598	+5.10%	0.0340	✗	0.85
2026-05-01	oos	0.000563	0.000560297	-0.48%	0.000603	+7.10%	0.0526	✗	0.85
2026-04-30	oos	0.0005615	0.000558158	-0.60%	0.000597	+6.32%	0.0263	✗	0.86
2026-04-29	oos	0.000569	0.00056485	-0.73%	0.0006015	+5.71%	0.0002	✓	0.87
2026-04-28	oos	0.000576	0.00057157	-0.77%	0.0005865	+1.82%	0.0253	✓	0.87
2026-04-27	oos	0.0005795	0.000575298	-0.73%	0.000566	-2.33%	0.0440	✓	0.87
2026-04-26	oos	0.0005865	0.000582952	-0.60%	0.000567	-3.32%	0.0265	✓	0.87
2026-04-25	oos	0.0005835	0.000579594	-0.67%	0.000569	-2.49%	0.0300	✓	0.88
2026-04-24	oos	0.0005835	0.000579571	-0.67%	0.000563	-3.51%	0.0378	✓	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.0005775	0.000574173	-0.58%	0.0005615	-2.77%	0.0003	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.0005745	0.000570975	-0.61%	0.000569	-0.96%	0.0247	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.0005755	0.000571451	-0.70%	0.000576	+0.09%	0.0083	✗	0.89
2026-04-20	oos	0.0005795	0.000575238	-0.74%	0.0005795	+0.00%	0.0101	✓	0.89
2026-04-19	oos	0.000563	0.000558412	-0.81%	0.0005865	+4.17%	0.0082	✓	0.90
2026-04-18	oos	0.000583	0.000578551	-0.76%	0.0005835	+0.09%	0.0139	✓	0.90
2026-04-17	oos	0.000605	0.000599797	-0.86%	0.0005835	-3.55%	0.0318	✓	0.90
2026-04-16	oos	0.000593	0.000587347	-0.95%	0.0005775	-2.61%	0.0535	✓	0.90
2026-04-15	oos	0.0005735	0.000568666	-0.84%	0.0005745	+0.17%	0.0294	✓	0.90
2026-04-14	oos	0.000562	0.000557137	-0.87%	0.0005755	+2.40%	0.0066	✓	0.90
2026-04-13	oos	0.000572	0.000566481	-0.96%	0.0005795	+1.31%	0.0058	✓	0.90
2026-04-12	oos	0.0005525	0.000546103	-1.16%	0.000563	+1.90%	0.0081	✓	0.91
2026-04-11	oos	0.000564	0.000557589	-1.14%	0.000583	+3.37%	0.0121	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.0005665	0.000559867	-1.17%	0.000605	+6.80%	0.0278	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.000561	0.000554276	-1.20%	0.000593	+5.70%	0.0258	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.0005535	0.000547042	-1.17%	0.0005735	+3.61%	0.0004	✓	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.0005615	0.000554892	-1.18%	0.000562	+0.09%	0.0156	✓	0.91
2026-04-06	oos	0.000542	0.000535474	-1.20%	0.000572	+5.54%	0.0056	✓	0.92
2026-04-05	oos	0.0005425	0.000536077	-1.18%	0.0005525	+1.84%	0.0072	✓	0.92
2026-04-04	oos	0.0005435	0.000536913	-1.21%	0.000564	+3.77%	0.0274	✓	0.93
2026-04-03	oos	0.000546	0.00053913	-1.26%	0.0005665	+3.75%	0.0310	✓	0.93
2026-04-02	oos	0.000544	0.000535919	-1.49%	0.000561	+3.12%	0.0201	✓	0.93
2026-04-01	oos	0.0005415	0.000536568	-0.91%	0.0005535	+2.22%	0.0090	✓	0.94
2026-03-31	oos	0.000535	0.000531051	-0.74%	0.0005615	+4.95%	0.0060	✓	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.000527	0.000524259	-0.52%	0.000542	+2.85%	0.0037	✓	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.0005265	0.000524486	-0.38%	0.0005425	+3.04%	0.0091	✓	0.95
2026-03-28	oos	0.000537	0.000535154	-0.34%	0.0005435	+1.21%	0.0017	✓	0.95
2026-03-27	oos	0.0005385	0.000537322	-0.22%	0.000546	+1.39%	0.0074	✗	0.95
2026-03-26	oos	0.0005515	0.000550483	-0.18%	0.000544	-1.36%	0.0145	✗	0.95
2026-03-25	oos	0.0005845	0.000582792	-0.29%	0.0005415	-7.36%	0.0303	✓	0.94
2026-03-24	oos	0.000599	0.000596963	-0.34%	0.000535	-10.68%	0.0779	✓	0.95
2026-03-23	oos	0.000595	0.000593406	-0.27%	0.000527	-11.43%	0.0616	✓	0.95
2026-03-22	oos	0.0005815	0.00058003	-0.25%	0.0005265	-9.46%	0.0696	✓	0.97
2026-03-21	oos	0.0005925	0.000590876	-0.27%	0.000537	-9.37%	0.0586	✓	0.97
2026-03-20	oos	0.000604	0.000602471	-0.25%	0.0005385	-10.84%	0.0530	✓	0.98
2026-03-19	oos	0.0005865	0.000585626	-0.15%	0.0005515	-5.97%	0.0439	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.000604	0.000602654	-0.22%	0.0005845	-3.23%	0.0314	✓	0.99
2026-03-17	oos	0.00063	0.000627791	-0.35%	0.000599	-4.92%	0.0004	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.000622	0.000619691	-0.37%	0.000595	-4.34%	0.0143	✗	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0005975	0.000595714	-0.30%	0.0005815	-2.68%	0.0456	✗	0.98
2026-03-14	oos	0.0005835	0.000582067	-0.25%	0.0005925	+1.54%	0.0506	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0005885	0.000586338	-0.37%	0.000604	+2.63%	0.0360	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.000591	0.000588021	-0.50%	0.0005865	-0.76%	0.0061	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.0005915	0.000586458	-0.85%	0.000604	+2.11%	0.0150	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.0005835	0.000581651	-0.32%	0.00063	+7.97%	0.0255	✗	0.98
2026-03-09	oos	0.000575	0.000573281	-0.30%	0.000622	+8.17%	0.0074	✓	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.000563	0.00056164	-0.24%	0.0005975	+6.13%	0.0374	✓	1.00
2026-03-07	oos	0.000572	0.000570431	-0.27%	0.0005835	+2.01%	0.0351	✓	1.01
2026-03-06	oos	0.000579	0.000577266	-0.30%	0.0005885	+1.64%	0.0216	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000587	0.00058493	-0.35%	0.000591	+0.68%	0.0154	✗	1.02
2026-03-04	oos	0.000602	0.00059921	-0.46%	0.0005915	-1.74%	0.0222	✗	1.01
2026-03-03	oos	0.000588	0.000585724	-0.39%	0.0005835	-0.77%	0.0284	✓	1.05
2026-03-02	oos	0.000594	0.000591442	-0.43%	0.000575	-3.20%	0.0221	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.000597	0.000594215	-0.47%	0.000563	-5.70%	0.0572	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.000602	0.000598678	-0.55%	0.000572	-4.98%	0.0503	✓	1.08
2026-02-27	oos	0.000598	0.000594757	-0.54%	0.000579	-3.18%	0.0632	✓	1.08
2026-02-26	oos	0.000594	0.000590697	-0.56%	0.000587	-1.18%	0.0600	✓	1.09
2026-02-25	oos	0.000609	0.000604146	-0.80%	0.000602	-1.15%	0.0765	✓	1.09
2026-02-24	oos	0.0005795	0.000575981	-0.61%	0.000588	+1.47%	0.0508	✓	1.11
2026-02-23	oos	0.000611	0.00060526	-0.94%	0.000594	-2.78%	0.0871	✓	1.08
2026-02-22	oos	0.000615	0.000606806	-1.33%	0.000597	-2.93%	0.0144	✗	1.11
2026-02-21	oos	0.0005905	0.000587056	-0.58%	0.000602	+1.95%	0.0416	✗	1.12
2026-02-20	oos	0.000599	0.000595014	-0.67%	0.000598	-0.17%	0.0403	✗	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.0005915	0.000587933	-0.60%	0.000594	+0.42%	0.0017	✓	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.000598	0.000594252	-0.63%	0.000609	+1.84%	0.0017	✓	1.12
2026-02-17	oos	0.0006095	0.000604807	-0.77%	0.0005795	-4.92%	0.0137	✗	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.000623	0.000617201	-0.93%	0.000611	-1.93%	0.0591	✗	1.09
2026-02-15	oos	0.0006145	0.000608711	-0.94%	0.000615	+0.08%	0.0291	✗	1.09
2026-02-14	oos	0.000638	0.000630097	-1.24%	0.0005905	-7.45%	0.0358	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.0006215	0.000614138	-1.18%	0.000599	-3.62%	0.0117	✓	1.09
2026-02-12	oos	0.000604	0.000596213	-1.29%	0.0005915	-2.07%	0.0206	✓	1.10
2026-02-11	oos	0.000556	0.000555291	-0.13%	0.000598	+7.55%	0.0841	✗	1.10
2026-02-10	oos	0.0005605	0.000559172	-0.24%	0.0006095	+8.74%	0.1079	✗	1.11
2026-02-09	oos	0.0005805	0.000578478	-0.35%	0.000623	+7.32%	0.0939	✗	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.0005805	0.000579195	-0.22%	0.0006145	+5.86%	0.0827	✗	1.10
2026-02-07	oos	0.000605	0.000603504	-0.25%	0.000638	+5.45%	0.0469	✗	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.000611	0.000609209	-0.29%	0.0006215	+1.72%	0.0472	✗	1.11
2026-02-05	oos	0.000542	0.00055474	+2.35%	0.000604	+11.44%	0.0258	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.0006525	0.000650617	-0.29%	0.000556	-14.79%	0.0599	✓	1.14
2026-02-03	oos	0.000667	0.000664418	-0.39%	0.0005605	-15.97%	0.0627	✓	1.13
2026-02-02	oos	0.0006695	0.000668753	-0.11%	0.0005805	-13.29%	0.0046	✓	1.19
2026-02-01	oos	0.000647	0.000651445	+0.69%	0.0005805	-10.28%	0.0124	✗	1.14
2026-01-31	oos	0.000653	0.000658832	+0.89%	0.000605	-7.35%	0.0662	✓	1.19
2026-01-30	oos	0.0007045	0.000704033	-0.07%	0.000611	-13.27%	0.0684	✗	1.19
2026-01-29	oos	0.0007105	0.000709899	-0.08%	0.000542	-23.72%	0.0847	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0007555	0.000751861	-0.48%	0.0006525	-13.63%	0.0958	✗	1.19
2026-01-27	oos	0.000766	0.00076206	-0.51%	0.000667	-12.92%	0.0632	✗	1.20
2026-01-26	oos	0.0007715	0.000766922	-0.59%	0.0006695	-13.22%	0.0017	✓	1.20
2026-01-25	oos	0.0007515	0.000747943	-0.47%	0.000647	-13.91%	0.0034	✓	1.20
2026-01-24	oos	0.000783	0.000777827	-0.66%	0.000653	-16.60%	0.0263	✓	1.19
2026-01-23	oos	0.000777	0.000772015	-0.64%	0.0007045	-9.33%	0.0166	✓	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.000761	0.000756378	-0.61%	0.0007105	-6.64%	0.0062	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0007765	0.000771049	-0.70%	0.0007555	-2.70%	0.0176	✓	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.00076	0.000754759	-0.69%	0.000766	+0.79%	0.0038	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.0008115	0.000804106	-0.91%	0.0007715	-4.93%	0.0159	✗	1.20
2026-01-18	oos	0.000831	0.000822442	-1.03%	0.0007515	-9.57%	0.0035	✓	1.19
2026-01-17	oos	0.0008725	0.000863122	-1.07%	0.000783	-10.26%	0.0207	✓	1.17
2026-01-16	oos	0.000869	0.000860006	-1.04%	0.000777	-10.59%	0.0240	✓	1.19
2026-01-15	oos	0.000851	0.000842033	-1.05%	0.000761	-10.58%	0.0224	✓	1.19
2026-01-14	oos	0.0008665	0.000856941	-1.10%	0.0007765	-10.39%	0.0013	✓	1.19
2026-01-13	oos	0.0008615	0.000851901	-1.11%	0.00076	-11.78%	0.0217	✓	1.20
2026-01-12	oos	0.000816	0.000806835	-1.12%	0.0008115	-0.55%	0.0122	✓	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0008315	0.000821692	-1.18%	0.000831	-0.06%	0.0251	✓	1.21
2026-01-10	oos	0.0008425	0.000833151	-1.11%	0.0008725	+3.56%	0.0164	✓	1.22
2026-01-09	oos	0.0008495	0.000840652	-1.04%	0.000869	+2.30%	0.0354	✓	1.28
2026-01-08	oos	0.000858	0.000849395	-1.00%	0.000851	-0.82%	0.0621	✓	1.31
2026-01-07	oos	0.000829	0.000822553	-0.78%	0.0008665	+4.52%	0.0370	✓	1.48
2026-01-06	oos	0.000867	0.00085959	-0.85%	0.0008615	-0.63%	0.0237	✓	1.48
2026-01-05	oos	0.000862	0.000854774	-0.84%	0.000816	-5.34%	0.0039	✓	1.47
2026-01-04	oos	0.000837	0.000830162	-0.82%	0.0008315	-0.66%	0.0117	✗	1.48
2026-01-03	oos	0.000803	0.000796956	-0.75%	0.0008425	+4.92%	0.0592	✗	1.47
2026-01-02	oos	0.000814	0.000806594	-0.91%	0.0008495	+4.36%	0.0427	✗	1.47
2026-01-01	oos	0.000795	0.000788393	-0.83%	0.000858	+7.92%	0.0472	✗	1.47
2025-12-31	oos	0.0007505	0.000746301	-0.56%	0.000829	+10.46%	0.0440	✗	1.44
2025-12-30	oos	0.000773	0.00076794	-0.65%	0.000867	+12.16%	0.0369	✗	1.44
2025-12-29	oos	0.000767	0.000761763	-0.68%	0.000862	+12.39%	0.0159	✗	1.44
2025-12-28	oos	0.000788	0.000782592	-0.69%	0.000837	+6.22%	0.0091	✗	1.44
2025-12-27	oos	0.000785	0.000779853	-0.66%	0.000803	+2.29%	0.0152	✓	1.42
2025-12-26	oos	0.00078	0.000774732	-0.68%	0.000814	+4.36%	0.0070	✗	1.41
2025-12-25	oos	0.0008	0.000793736	-0.78%	0.000795	-0.63%	0.0236	✓	1.42
2025-12-24	oos	0.000826	0.000817242	-1.06%	0.0007505	-9.14%	0.0834	✓	1.42
2025-12-23	oos	0.000861	0.000849892	-1.29%	0.000773	-10.22%	0.1106	✓	1.43
2025-12-22	oos	0.000933	0.000915344	-1.89%	0.000767	-17.79%	0.1536	✓	1.41
2025-12-21	oos	0.00094	0.000916691	-2.48%	0.000788	-16.17%	0.1391	✓	1.41
2025-12-20	oos	0.0008195	0.000814778	-0.58%	0.000785	-4.21%	0.0290	✓	1.41
2025-12-19	oos	0.000822	0.000817252	-0.58%	0.00078	-5.11%	0.0339	✓	1.41
2025-12-18	oos	0.000768	0.000765181	-0.37%	0.0008	+4.17%	0.0171	✗	1.38
2025-12-17	oos	0.000802	0.000798217	-0.47%	0.000826	+2.99%	0.0119	✗	1.38
2025-12-16	oos	0.000842	0.00083719	-0.57%	0.000861	+2.26%	0.0347	✗	1.38
2025-12-15	oos	0.000864	0.000858333	-0.66%	0.000933	+7.99%	0.0492	✗	1.40
2025-12-14	oos	0.000922	0.000914547	-0.81%	0.00094	+1.95%	0.0201	✗	1.38
2025-12-13	oos	0.000947	0.000938792	-0.87%	0.0008195	-13.46%	0.1059	✓	1.39
2025-12-12	oos	0.000941	0.000933163	-0.83%	0.000822	-12.65%	0.0928	✓	1.39
2025-12-11	oos	0.00094	0.000932775	-0.77%	0.000768	-18.30%	0.0822	✓	1.41
2025-12-10	oos	0.000957	0.000949114	-0.82%	0.000802	-16.20%	0.0760	✓	1.41
2025-12-09	oos	0.000999	0.000989177	-0.98%	0.000842	-15.72%	0.0856	✓	1.41
2025-12-08	oos	0.000949	0.000940752	-0.87%	0.000864	-8.96%	0.0188	✓	1.39
2025-12-07	oos	0.0009315	0.000923795	-0.83%	0.000922	-1.02%	0.0326	✗	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.000945	0.000936812	-0.87%	0.000947	+0.21%	0.0045	✓	1.39
2025-12-05	oos	0.0009455	0.000937434	-0.85%	0.000941	-0.48%	0.0107	✓	1.39
2025-12-04	oos	0.0009705	0.000962357	-0.84%	0.00094	-3.14%	0.0303	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.000997	0.000988542	-0.85%	0.000957	-4.01%	0.0109	✓	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.000997	0.000988567	-0.85%	0.000999	+0.20%	0.0109	✓	1.43
2025-12-01	oos	0.000938	0.000931341	-0.71%	0.000949	+1.17%	0.0529	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	0.0009965	0.00098894	-0.76%	0.0009315	-6.52%	0.0604	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	0.001011	0.001003	-0.75%	0.000945	-6.53%	0.0348	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	0.001032	0.001023	-0.78%	0.0009455	-8.34%	0.0541	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	0.00104	0.001032	-0.79%	0.0009705	-6.73%	0.0741	✓	1.45
2025-11-26	oos	0.001007	0.001001	-0.68%	0.000997	-1.04%	0.0500	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.001012	0.001005	-0.71%	0.000997	-1.53%	0.0745	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.001017	0.00101	-0.72%	0.000938	-7.77%	0.0398	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.000955	0.00095076	-0.44%	0.0009965	+4.35%	0.0123	✓	1.47
2025-11-22	oos	0.000959	0.000955182	-0.40%	0.001011	+5.42%	0.0495	✓	1.52
2025-11-21	oos	0.000963	0.000959154	-0.40%	0.001032	+7.11%	0.0277	✓	1.51
2025-11-20	oos	0.001002	0.000996797	-0.57%	0.00104	+3.79%	0.0380	✓	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	0.001028	0.001022	-0.60%	0.001007	-2.04%	0.0029	✓	1.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.001043	0.001037	-0.65%	0.001012	-2.97%	0.0761	✗	1.61
2025-11-17	oos	0.001015	0.00101	-0.54%	0.001017	+0.15%	0.0757	✗	1.62
2025-11-16	oos	0.001058	0.001051	-0.70%	0.000955	-9.78%	0.0357	✗	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	0.001091	0.001083	-0.76%	0.000959	-12.10%	0.0731	✗	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	0.00108	0.001072	-0.73%	0.000963	-10.83%	0.0623	✗	1.61
2025-11-13	oos	0.001128	0.001116	-1.09%	0.001002	-11.13%	0.1296	✗	1.68
2025-11-12	oos	0.00116	0.001147	-1.12%	0.001028	-11.34%	0.0685	✗	1.68
2025-11-11	oos	0.001171	0.001157	-1.21%	0.001043	-10.89%	0.0706	✗	1.68
2025-11-10	oos	0.001192	0.00118	-1.04%	0.001015	-14.81%	0.0860	✗	1.68
2025-11-09	oos	0.001195	0.001182	-1.09%	0.001058	-11.42%	0.0699	✗	1.70
2025-11-08	oos	0.001185	0.001172	-1.12%	0.001091	-7.93%	0.0465	✗	1.73
2025-11-07	oos	0.001216	0.001199	-1.41%	0.00108	-11.18%	0.0461	✗	1.69
2025-11-06	oos	0.00105	0.001042	-0.74%	0.001128	+7.43%	0.1062	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.001031	0.001025	-0.59%	0.00116	+12.51%	0.1598	✗	1.66
2025-11-04	oos	0.0009715	0.000968514	-0.31%	0.001171	+20.54%	0.1649	✗	1.66
2025-11-03	oos	0.000993	0.000988685	-0.43%	0.001192	+20.04%	0.1966	✗	1.75
2025-11-02	oos	0.001089	0.001083	-0.64%	0.001195	+9.68%	0.1928	✗	1.73
2025-11-01	oos	0.001109	0.001102	-0.63%	0.001185	+6.85%	0.1998	✗	1.74
2025-10-31	oos	0.001103	0.001097	-0.57%	0.001216	+10.24%	0.2061	✗	1.74
2025-10-30	oos	0.001123	0.001116	-0.64%	0.00105	-6.54%	0.0566	✗	1.76
2025-10-29	oos	0.001184	0.001175	-0.73%	0.001031	-12.92%	0.0310	✓	1.74
2025-10-28	oos	0.001206	0.001197	-0.73%	0.0009715	-19.44%	0.0206	✓	1.76
2025-10-27	oos	0.001233	0.001224	-0.76%	0.000993	-19.46%	0.0885	✓	1.76
2025-10-26	oos	0.001275	0.001265	-0.86%	0.001089	-14.58%	0.0862	✓	1.76
2025-10-25	oos	0.001209	0.0012	-0.73%	0.001109	-8.27%	0.0533	✓	1.77
2025-10-24	oos	0.001216	0.001207	-0.76%	0.001103	-9.33%	0.0665	✓	1.77
2025-10-23	oos	0.001211	0.001202	-0.73%	0.001123	-7.23%	0.0383	✓	1.77
2025-10-22	oos	0.001181	0.001174	-0.60%	0.001184	+0.25%	0.0314	✓	1.77
2025-10-21	oos	0.00123	0.001222	-0.66%	0.001206	-1.95%	0.0859	✓	1.77
2025-10-20	oos	0.001249	0.00124	-0.71%	0.001233	-1.28%	0.0622	✓	1.80
2025-10-19	oos	0.001254	0.001245	-0.69%	0.001275	+1.71%	0.0696	✓	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.001188	0.001185	-0.29%	0.001209	+1.77%	0.0513	✓	1.76
2025-10-17	oos	0.001172	0.001171	-0.07%	0.001216	+3.80%	0.0359	✓	1.75
2025-10-16	oos	0.001205	0.001203	-0.15%	0.001211	+0.50%	0.0244	✓	1.76
2025-10-15	oos	0.001244	0.00124	-0.29%	0.001181	-5.06%	0.0029	✓	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.001297	0.001291	-0.44%	0.00123	-5.17%	0.0262	✗	1.76
2025-10-13	oos	0.001346	0.001339	-0.54%	0.001249	-7.21%	0.0039	✓	1.76
2025-10-12	oos	0.001277	0.001272	-0.32%	0.001254	-1.76%	0.0842	✗	1.73
2025-10-11	oos	0.001161	0.001163	+0.15%	0.001188	+2.33%	0.0761	✓	1.67
2025-10-10	oos	0.001273	0.00127	-0.22%	0.001172	-7.93%	0.0167	✗	1.63
2025-10-09	oos	0.001552	0.001544	-0.55%	0.001205	-22.36%	0.0855	✓	1.38
2025-10-08	oos	0.0016	0.001592	-0.54%	0.001244	-22.27%	0.1010	✓	1.36
2025-10-07	oos	0.001596	0.001586	-0.61%	0.001297	-18.73%	0.1045	✓	1.36
2025-10-06	oos	0.001682	0.001671	-0.62%	0.001346	-19.95%	0.1088	✓	1.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.001629	0.00162	-0.58%	0.001277	-21.64%	0.1416	✓	1.36
2025-10-04	oos	0.001643	0.001633	-0.58%	0.001161	-29.32%	0.2042	✓	1.36
2025-10-03	oos	0.001683	0.001672	-0.65%	0.001273	-24.36%	0.1643	✓	1.37
2025-10-02	oos	0.001687	0.001674	-0.82%	0.001552	-8.03%	0.0879	✓	1.38
2025-10-01	oos	0.001652	0.00164	-0.70%	0.0016	-3.12%	0.0784	✓	1.39
2025-09-30	oos	0.001575	0.001566	-0.60%	0.001596	+1.33%	0.0677	✓	1.40
2025-09-29	oos	0.00161	0.001599	-0.70%	0.001682	+4.44%	0.0731	✓	1.43
2025-09-28	oos	0.00163	0.001617	-0.79%	0.001629	-0.06%	0.1344	✓	1.47
2025-09-27	oos	0.001605	0.001593	-0.73%	0.001643	+2.37%	0.1345	✓	1.50
2025-09-26	oos	0.001628	0.001615	-0.81%	0.001683	+3.38%	0.1228	✓	1.51
2025-09-25	oos	0.001575	0.001563	-0.77%	0.001687	+7.14%	0.0752	✓	1.50
2025-09-24	oos	0.001677	0.00166	-1.02%	0.001652	-1.52%	0.0737	✓	1.50
2025-09-23	oos	0.001676	0.001659	-1.01%	0.001575	-6.03%	0.0794	✓	1.51
2025-09-22	oos	0.00168	0.001662	-1.08%	0.00161	-4.20%	0.0533	✓	1.49
2025-09-21	oos	0.001798	0.001778	-1.17%	0.00163	-9.37%	0.0472	✓	1.45
2025-09-20	oos	0.001816	0.001795	-1.16%	0.001605	-11.65%	0.0311	✓	1.50
2025-09-19	oos	0.001817	0.001795	-1.19%	0.001628	-10.40%	0.0168	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.001881	0.001858	-1.27%	0.001575	-16.29%	0.0564	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.