VELODROME

VELODROME · · gru_s5

token id: #270
symbol: VELODROME
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-02-18
predictions: 1,809

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0298

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0064

actual +0.0012

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.03564	0.03539	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-21	oos	0.035535	0.03534	-0.55%	0.03564	+0.30%	0.0058	✗	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.03849	0.038181	-0.80%	0.035535	-7.68%	0.0873	✓	1.19
2026-10-19	oos	0.03473	0.034453	-0.80%	0.03849	+10.83%	0.0952	✗	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.034835	0.03469	-0.41%	0.03473	-0.30%	0.0036	✓	1.17
2026-10-17	oos	0.03699	0.036791	-0.54%	0.034835	-5.83%	0.0637	✓	1.18
2026-10-16	oos	0.0385	0.038187	-0.81%	0.03699	-3.92%	0.0301	✓	1.17
2026-10-15	oos	0.04067	0.040336	-0.82%	0.0385	-5.34%	0.0379	✓	1.14
2026-10-14	oos	0.03909	0.038787	-0.78%	0.04067	+4.04%	0.0397	✗	1.13
2026-10-13	oos	0.039275	0.038966	-0.79%	0.03909	-0.47%	0.0248	✗	1.16
2026-10-12	oos	0.038205	0.037899	-0.80%	0.039275	+2.80%	0.0166	✗	1.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.04085	0.040339	-1.25%	0.038205	-6.47%	0.0280	✓	1.12
2026-10-10	oos	0.040715	0.040102	-1.50%	0.04085	+0.33%	0.0079	✓	1.15
2026-10-09	oos	0.03482	0.034559	-0.75%	0.040715	+16.93%	0.1589	✗	1.14
2026-10-08	oos	0.03615	0.035821	-0.91%	0.03482	-3.68%	0.0403	✓	1.15
2026-10-07	oos	0.03435	0.03411	-0.70%	0.03615	+5.24%	0.0809	✗	1.19
2026-10-06	oos	0.034935	0.034701	-0.67%	0.03435	-1.67%	0.0217	✗	1.19
2026-10-05	oos	0.036645	0.036386	-0.71%	0.034935	-4.67%	0.0377	✓	1.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.03843	0.038102	-0.85%	0.036645	-4.64%	0.0284	✓	1.21
2026-10-03	oos	0.03736	0.037009	-0.94%	0.03843	+2.86%	0.0128	✗	1.21
2026-10-02	oos	0.034665	0.034371	-0.85%	0.03736	+7.77%	0.0800	✗	1.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.033825	0.03356	-0.78%	0.034665	+2.48%	0.0373	✗	1.20
2026-09-30	oos	0.035415	0.035111	-0.86%	0.033825	-4.49%	0.0567	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.034785	0.034442	-0.99%	0.035415	+1.81%	0.0291	✗	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.03516	0.034852	-0.87%	0.034785	-1.07%	0.0048	✓	1.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.03575	0.035388	-1.01%	0.03516	-1.65%	0.0087	✓	1.26
2026-09-26	oos	0.03688	0.036251	-1.71%	0.03575	-3.06%	0.0146	✓	1.25
2026-09-25	oos	0.03559	0.035064	-1.48%	0.03688	+3.62%	0.0458	✗	1.23
2026-09-24	oos	0.030295	0.030042	-0.84%	0.03559	+17.48%	0.1739	✗	1.26
2026-09-23	oos	0.02897	0.028716	-0.88%	0.030295	+4.57%	0.0534	✗	1.27
2026-09-22	oos	0.029355	0.029126	-0.78%	0.02897	-1.31%	0.0225	✗	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.02995	0.029638	-1.04%	0.029355	-1.99%	0.0037	✓	1.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.028085	0.027857	-0.81%	0.02995	+6.64%	0.0141	✓	1.34
2026-09-19	oos	0.028285	0.028045	-0.85%	0.028085	-0.71%	0.0026	✓	1.34
2026-09-18	oos	0.02747	0.027206	-0.96%	0.028285	+2.97%	0.0330	✗	1.34
2026-09-17	oos	0.02494	0.024768	-0.69%	0.02747	+10.14%	0.0268	✗	1.33
2026-09-16	oos	0.02321	0.023142	-0.29%	0.02494	+7.45%	0.0712	✗	1.34
2026-09-15	oos	0.022825	0.022766	-0.26%	0.02321	+1.69%	0.0094	✗	1.34
2026-09-14	oos	0.02428	0.02415	-0.54%	0.022825	-5.99%	0.0117	✓	1.33
2026-09-13	oos	0.023735	0.023679	-0.24%	0.02428	+2.30%	0.0024	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.024485	0.024419	-0.27%	0.023735	-3.06%	0.0206	✓	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.0249	0.024825	-0.30%	0.024485	-1.67%	0.0147	✓	1.29
2026-09-10	oos	0.02335	0.023322	-0.12%	0.0249	+6.64%	0.0543	✗	1.27
2026-09-09	oos	0.02491	0.024837	-0.29%	0.02335	-6.26%	0.0337	✓	1.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.026805	0.026624	-0.67%	0.02491	-7.07%	0.0640	✓	1.23
2026-09-07	oos	0.027615	0.027333	-1.02%	0.026805	-2.93%	0.0094	✓	1.23
2026-09-06	oos	0.025295	0.025124	-0.67%	0.027615	+9.17%	0.1142	✗	1.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.0255	0.025275	-0.88%	0.025295	-0.80%	0.0071	✓	1.25
2026-09-04	oos	0.02317	0.023067	-0.45%	0.0255	+10.06%	0.0979	✗	1.23
2026-09-03	oos	0.02477	0.02459	-0.73%	0.02317	-6.46%	0.0356	✓	1.21
2026-09-02	oos	0.02143	0.02136	-0.33%	0.02477	+15.59%	0.0907	✗	1.15
2026-09-01	oos	0.021885	0.021828	-0.26%	0.02143	-2.08%	0.0171	✓	1.16
2026-08-31	oos	0.02158	0.021529	-0.23%	0.021885	+1.41%	0.0327	✗	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.02168	0.021614	-0.30%	0.02158	-0.46%	0.0142	✓	1.09
2026-08-29	oos	0.022295	0.022221	-0.33%	0.02168	-2.76%	0.0168	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.022325	0.022237	-0.39%	0.022295	-0.13%	0.0029	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.022435	0.022346	-0.40%	0.022325	-0.49%	0.0329	✗	1.10
2026-08-26	oos	0.022885	0.022741	-0.63%	0.022435	-1.97%	0.0310	✓	1.11
2026-08-25	oos	0.021185	0.021086	-0.47%	0.022885	+8.02%	0.0748	✗	1.11
2026-08-24	oos	0.021745	0.021603	-0.65%	0.021185	-2.58%	0.0133	✓	1.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.02004	0.019963	-0.38%	0.021745	+8.51%	0.0681	✗	1.09
2026-08-22	oos	0.01919	0.019115	-0.39%	0.02004	+4.43%	0.0378	✗	1.09
2026-08-21	oos	0.020185	0.020096	-0.44%	0.01919	-4.93%	0.0287	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.019855	0.019714	-0.71%	0.020185	+1.66%	0.0605	✓	1.20
2026-08-19	oos	0.017995	0.017882	-0.63%	0.019855	+10.34%	0.0441	✗	1.16
2026-08-18	oos	0.016595	0.016494	-0.61%	0.017995	+8.44%	0.0060	✓	1.18
2026-08-17	oos	0.017065	0.016956	-0.64%	0.016595	-2.75%	0.0253	✓	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.016805	0.016696	-0.65%	0.017065	+1.55%	0.0092	✓	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.016885	0.016771	-0.67%	0.016805	-0.47%	0.0055	✓	1.20
2026-08-14	oos	0.01699	0.016875	-0.68%	0.016885	-0.62%	0.0002	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.017155	0.017023	-0.77%	0.01699	-0.96%	0.0068	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.01694	0.016834	-0.63%	0.017155	+1.27%	0.0186	✗	1.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.017125	0.016983	-0.83%	0.01694	-1.08%	0.0002	✓	1.25
2026-08-10	oos	0.017525	0.017303	-1.27%	0.017125	-2.28%	0.0028	✓	1.26
2026-08-09	oos	0.01738	0.01729	-0.52%	0.017525	+0.83%	0.0322	✗	1.29
2026-08-08	oos	0.01786	0.017762	-0.55%	0.01738	-2.69%	0.0206	✓	1.29
2026-08-07	oos	0.01824	0.018106	-0.73%	0.01786	-2.08%	0.0140	✓	1.32
2026-08-06	oos	0.01783	0.01768	-0.84%	0.01824	+2.30%	0.0183	✗	1.33
2026-08-05	oos	0.01714	0.017029	-0.65%	0.01783	+4.03%	0.0529	✗	1.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.016915	0.016801	-0.67%	0.01714	+1.33%	0.0085	✗	1.34
2026-08-03	oos	0.016445	0.016342	-0.63%	0.016915	+2.86%	0.0223	✗	1.33
2026-08-02	oos	0.016495	0.016413	-0.50%	0.016445	-0.30%	0.0026	✓	1.32
2026-08-01	oos	0.01673	0.016631	-0.59%	0.016495	-1.40%	0.0240	✓	1.36
2026-07-31	oos	0.017325	0.017233	-0.53%	0.01673	-3.43%	0.0283	✓	1.36
2026-07-30	oos	0.01785	0.01775	-0.56%	0.017325	-2.94%	0.0161	✗	1.36
2026-07-29	oos	0.017345	0.017272	-0.42%	0.01785	+2.91%	0.0159	✗	1.32
2026-07-28	oos	0.01795	0.017861	-0.49%	0.017345	-3.37%	0.0303	✓	1.32
2026-07-27	oos	0.01809	0.017986	-0.57%	0.01795	-0.77%	0.0052	✓	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.017405	0.017338	-0.38%	0.01809	+3.94%	0.0769	✗	1.35
2026-07-25	oos	0.017185	0.017124	-0.35%	0.017405	+1.28%	0.0054	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.017255	0.017189	-0.39%	0.017185	-0.41%	0.0047	✓	1.35
2026-07-23	oos	0.01759	0.017516	-0.42%	0.017255	-1.90%	0.0051	✗	1.34
2026-07-22	oos	0.01826	0.018166	-0.51%	0.01759	-3.67%	0.0111	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.0188	0.018663	-0.73%	0.01826	-2.87%	0.0132	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.018165	0.018067	-0.54%	0.0188	+3.50%	0.0136	✗	1.32
2026-07-19	oos	0.01848	0.018377	-0.56%	0.018165	-1.70%	0.0224	✓	1.33
2026-07-18	oos	0.018725	0.018627	-0.53%	0.01848	-1.31%	0.0056	✓	1.32
2026-07-17	oos	0.019655	0.019511	-0.73%	0.018725	-4.73%	0.0605	✓	1.38
2026-07-16	oos	0.020255	0.020127	-0.63%	0.019655	-2.96%	0.0264	✓	1.40
2026-07-15	oos	0.02121	0.021068	-0.67%	0.020255	-4.50%	0.0187	✓	1.40
2026-07-14	oos	0.02138	0.021218	-0.76%	0.02121	-0.80%	0.0056	✓	1.41
2026-07-13	oos	0.020285	0.020138	-0.72%	0.02138	+5.40%	0.0015	✓	1.43
2026-07-12	oos	0.02128	0.021104	-0.83%	0.020285	-4.68%	0.0063	✓	1.42
2026-07-11	oos	0.02134	0.021162	-0.83%	0.02128	-0.28%	0.0062	✓	1.32
2026-07-10	oos	0.021415	0.021239	-0.82%	0.02134	-0.35%	0.0122	✗	1.33
2026-07-09	oos	0.02136	0.021176	-0.86%	0.021415	+0.26%	0.0089	✓	1.35
2026-07-08	oos	0.02164	0.021372	-1.24%	0.02136	-1.29%	0.0211	✓	1.37
2026-07-07	oos	0.02376	0.023527	-0.98%	0.02164	-8.92%	0.0602	✓	1.35
2026-07-06	oos	0.02378	0.023531	-1.05%	0.02376	-0.08%	0.0241	✗	1.36
2026-07-05	oos	0.023445	0.023168	-1.18%	0.02378	+1.43%	0.0173	✗	1.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.0242	0.023865	-1.38%	0.023445	-3.12%	0.0284	✓	1.36
2026-07-03	oos	0.02472	0.024143	-2.33%	0.0242	-2.10%	0.0096	✓	1.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.02172	0.02135	-1.71%	0.02472	+13.81%	0.1254	✗	1.27
2026-07-01	oos	0.01961	0.019424	-0.95%	0.02172	+10.76%	0.0812	✗	1.22
2026-06-30	oos	0.01872	0.018553	-0.89%	0.01961	+4.75%	0.0259	✗	1.22
2026-06-29	oos	0.018235	0.018094	-0.77%	0.01872	+2.66%	0.0688	✗	1.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.019015	0.018848	-0.88%	0.018235	-4.10%	0.0477	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.017985	0.017847	-0.77%	0.019015	+5.73%	0.0732	✗	1.27
2026-06-26	oos	0.01829	0.018068	-1.21%	0.017985	-1.67%	0.0032	✓	1.27
2026-06-25	oos	0.018615	0.018395	-1.18%	0.01829	-1.75%	0.0121	✓	1.28
2026-06-24	oos	0.02005	0.019744	-1.53%	0.018615	-7.16%	0.0327	✓	1.23
2026-06-23	oos	0.019975	0.01964	-1.68%	0.02005	+0.38%	0.0546	✗	1.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.021495	0.021028	-2.17%	0.019975	-7.07%	0.0258	✓	1.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.020535	0.020173	-1.76%	0.021495	+4.67%	0.0496	✗	1.23
2026-06-20	oos	0.020745	0.020264	-2.32%	0.020535	-1.01%	0.0325	✗	1.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.01843	0.018072	-1.94%	0.020745	+12.56%	0.1237	✗	1.22
2026-06-18	oos	0.017325	0.017099	-1.30%	0.01843	+6.38%	0.0636	✗	1.20
2026-06-17	oos	0.017845	0.017535	-1.74%	0.017325	-2.91%	0.0172	✓	1.19
2026-06-16	oos	0.01847	0.018038	-2.34%	0.017845	-3.38%	0.0106	✓	1.19
2026-06-15	oos	0.016305	0.016031	-1.68%	0.01847	+13.28%	0.1542	✗	1.26
2026-06-14	oos	0.01413	0.014036	-0.67%	0.016305	+15.39%	0.1393	✗	1.22
2026-06-13	oos	0.013915	0.013828	-0.62%	0.01413	+1.55%	0.0031	✓	1.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.013885	0.013802	-0.60%	0.013915	+0.22%	0.0092	✓	1.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.013975	0.013858	-0.84%	0.013885	-0.64%	0.0024	✓	1.24
2026-06-10	oos	0.013335	0.013281	-0.40%	0.013975	+4.80%	0.0091	✗	1.23
2026-06-09	oos	0.01392	0.01385	-0.50%	0.013335	-4.20%	0.0331	✓	1.23
2026-06-08	oos	0.01358	0.013522	-0.43%	0.01392	+2.50%	0.0568	✗	1.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.0128	0.012763	-0.29%	0.01358	+6.09%	0.0669	✗	1.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.0123	0.012282	-0.15%	0.0128	+4.07%	0.0072	✓	1.23
2026-06-05	oos	0.01296	0.01292	-0.31%	0.0123	-5.09%	0.0456	✓	1.22
2026-06-04	oos	0.01416	0.014091	-0.49%	0.01296	-8.47%	0.0313	✓	1.18
2026-06-03	oos	0.01488	0.014794	-0.58%	0.01416	-4.84%	0.0395	✓	1.17
2026-06-02	oos	0.0146	0.014501	-0.68%	0.01488	+1.92%	0.0748	✗	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.01562	0.015505	-0.74%	0.0146	-6.53%	0.0274	✗	1.30
2026-05-31	oos	0.01585	0.015725	-0.79%	0.01562	-1.45%	0.0347	✗	1.33
2026-05-30	oos	0.015995	0.015864	-0.82%	0.01585	-0.91%	0.0025	✓	1.28
2026-05-29	oos	0.01583	0.015722	-0.68%	0.015995	+1.04%	0.0102	✗	1.28
2026-05-28	oos	0.01541	0.015326	-0.55%	0.01583	+2.73%	0.0349	✗	1.27
2026-05-27	oos	0.015915	0.015824	-0.57%	0.01541	-3.17%	0.0128	✓	1.26
2026-05-26	oos	0.0158	0.015703	-0.61%	0.015915	+0.73%	0.0391	✗	1.28
2026-05-25	oos	0.016855	0.016716	-0.83%	0.0158	-6.26%	0.0337	✓	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	0.016105	0.016015	-0.56%	0.016855	+4.66%	0.0469	✗	1.19
2026-05-23	oos	0.016895	0.016772	-0.73%	0.016105	-4.68%	0.0456	✓	1.18
2026-05-22	oos	0.01617	0.01604	-0.80%	0.016895	+4.48%	0.0334	✗	1.17
2026-05-21	oos	0.01702	0.016845	-1.03%	0.01617	-4.99%	0.0091	✓	1.16
2026-05-20	oos	0.01513	0.015048	-0.54%	0.01702	+12.49%	0.1220	✗	1.16
2026-05-19	oos	0.014805	0.014747	-0.39%	0.01513	+2.20%	0.0150	✗	1.16
2026-05-18	oos	0.015015	0.01496	-0.37%	0.014805	-1.40%	0.0077	✓	1.17
2026-05-17	oos	0.01499	0.014949	-0.27%	0.015015	+0.17%	0.0114	✗	1.17
2026-05-16	oos	0.01561	0.015559	-0.32%	0.01499	-3.97%	0.0269	✓	1.16
2026-05-15	oos	0.01641	0.016326	-0.51%	0.01561	-4.88%	0.0307	✓	1.16
2026-05-14	oos	0.017305	0.017173	-0.76%	0.01641	-5.17%	0.0163	✓	1.15
2026-05-13	oos	0.01674	0.01667	-0.42%	0.017305	+3.38%	0.0119	✗	1.14
2026-05-12	oos	0.01765	0.017569	-0.46%	0.01674	-5.16%	0.0319	✓	1.10
2026-05-11	oos	0.01869	0.018568	-0.65%	0.01765	-5.56%	0.0344	✓	1.06
2026-05-10	oos	0.01927	0.019094	-0.91%	0.01869	-3.01%	0.0152	✓	1.07
2026-05-09	oos	0.018	0.017905	-0.53%	0.01927	+7.06%	0.0535	✗	1.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.01747	0.017396	-0.42%	0.018	+3.03%	0.0281	✗	1.04
2026-05-07	oos	0.01724	0.01716	-0.46%	0.01747	+1.33%	0.0155	✗	1.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.017715	0.017594	-0.68%	0.01724	-2.68%	0.0013	✓	1.07
2026-05-05	oos	0.017415	0.01732	-0.55%	0.017715	+1.72%	0.0152	✗	1.12
2026-05-04	oos	0.01734	0.017259	-0.47%	0.017415	+0.43%	0.0057	✓	1.12
2026-05-03	oos	0.01649	0.01643	-0.36%	0.01734	+5.15%	0.0358	✗	1.11
2026-05-02	oos	0.01733	0.017232	-0.57%	0.01649	-4.85%	0.0423	✓	1.11
2026-05-01	oos	0.01753	0.017421	-0.62%	0.01733	-1.14%	0.0115	✓	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.017425	0.017317	-0.62%	0.01753	+0.60%	0.0165	✓	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.017585	0.017433	-0.86%	0.017425	-0.91%	0.0089	✓	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.01786	0.017668	-1.07%	0.017585	-1.54%	0.0038	✓	1.14
2026-04-27	oos	0.01683	0.016712	-0.70%	0.01786	+6.12%	0.0821	✗	1.15
2026-04-26	oos	0.01658	0.01644	-0.85%	0.01683	+1.51%	0.0428	✗	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.0161	0.015999	-0.63%	0.01658	+2.98%	0.0206	✗	1.15
2026-04-24	oos	0.01615	0.016034	-0.72%	0.0161	-0.31%	0.0013	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.016405	0.016246	-0.97%	0.01615	-1.55%	0.0063	✓	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.015945	0.015864	-0.51%	0.016405	+2.88%	0.0325	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.01557	0.015501	-0.44%	0.015945	+2.41%	0.0003	✓	1.16
2026-04-20	oos	0.015615	0.015554	-0.39%	0.01557	-0.29%	0.0064	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.015195	0.015127	-0.45%	0.015615	+2.76%	0.0002	✓	1.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.016255	0.016159	-0.59%	0.015195	-6.52%	0.0316	✓	1.17
2026-04-17	oos	0.01692	0.016806	-0.67%	0.016255	-3.93%	0.0127	✓	1.16
2026-04-16	oos	0.01588	0.015788	-0.58%	0.01692	+6.55%	0.0400	✗	1.15
2026-04-15	oos	0.0149	0.014835	-0.43%	0.01588	+6.58%	0.0631	✗	1.14
2026-04-14	oos	0.014715	0.014646	-0.47%	0.0149	+1.26%	0.0070	✗	1.15
2026-04-13	oos	0.01538	0.015291	-0.58%	0.014715	-4.32%	0.0342	✓	1.15
2026-04-12	oos	0.01508	0.014962	-0.78%	0.01538	+1.99%	0.0324	✓	1.18
2026-04-11	oos	0.015815	0.015692	-0.78%	0.01508	-4.65%	0.0017	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	0.015525	0.015402	-0.79%	0.015815	+1.87%	0.0251	✗	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	0.014885	0.014797	-0.59%	0.015525	+4.30%	0.0286	✗	1.17
2026-04-08	oos	0.013965	0.013893	-0.51%	0.014885	+6.59%	0.0574	✗	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	0.01427	0.014184	-0.60%	0.013965	-2.14%	0.0022	✓	1.16
2026-04-06	oos	0.01348	0.013388	-0.68%	0.01427	+5.86%	0.0141	✗	1.14
2026-04-05	oos	0.01341	0.013331	-0.59%	0.01348	+0.52%	0.0136	✗	1.14
2026-04-04	oos	0.01367	0.013602	-0.50%	0.01341	-1.90%	0.0435	✓	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.01394	0.013865	-0.54%	0.01367	-1.94%	0.0199	✓	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.01382	0.013753	-0.49%	0.01394	+0.87%	0.0124	✗	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.01422	0.014145	-0.52%	0.01382	-2.81%	0.0018	✓	1.19
2026-03-31	oos	0.01407	0.013994	-0.54%	0.01422	+1.07%	0.0180	✗	1.21
2026-03-30	oos	0.01393	0.013868	-0.45%	0.01407	+1.01%	0.0123	✓	1.22
2026-03-29	oos	0.01393	0.013872	-0.42%	0.01393	+0.00%	0.0102	✓	1.22
2026-03-28	oos	0.01412	0.01406	-0.43%	0.01393	-1.35%	0.0026	✓	1.22
2026-03-27	oos	0.01401	0.013933	-0.55%	0.01412	+0.79%	0.0139	✗	1.22
2026-03-26	oos	0.01438	0.014304	-0.53%	0.01401	-2.57%	0.0231	✗	1.23
2026-03-25	oos	0.01505	0.014977	-0.49%	0.01438	-4.45%	0.0037	✓	1.23
2026-03-24	oos	0.01458	0.014505	-0.51%	0.01505	+3.22%	0.0236	✗	1.23
2026-03-23	oos	0.01478	0.014716	-0.43%	0.01458	-1.35%	0.0034	✓	1.22
2026-03-22	oos	0.01383	0.013781	-0.35%	0.01478	+6.87%	0.0170	✗	1.21
2026-03-21	oos	0.01451	0.014451	-0.41%	0.01383	-4.69%	0.0251	✓	1.21
2026-03-20	oos	0.01476	0.014698	-0.42%	0.01451	-1.69%	0.0146	✗	1.21
2026-03-19	oos	0.01513	0.01506	-0.46%	0.01476	-2.45%	0.0301	✓	1.21
2026-03-18	oos	0.01553	0.015428	-0.65%	0.01513	-2.58%	0.0034	✓	1.22
2026-03-17	oos	0.01685	0.016737	-0.67%	0.01553	-7.83%	0.0299	✓	1.21
2026-03-16	oos	0.01703	0.016909	-0.71%	0.01685	-1.06%	0.0121	✗	1.22
2026-03-15	oos	0.01577	0.015683	-0.55%	0.01703	+7.99%	0.0491	✗	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.01575	0.015658	-0.59%	0.01577	+0.13%	0.0197	✓	1.21
2026-03-13	oos	0.01648	0.016346	-0.81%	0.01575	-4.43%	0.0421	✓	1.22
2026-03-12	oos	0.01648	0.016404	-0.46%	0.01648	+0.00%	0.0025	✓	1.22
2026-03-11	oos	0.01646	0.016374	-0.52%	0.01648	+0.12%	0.0008	✓	1.22
2026-03-10	oos	0.01635	0.016273	-0.47%	0.01646	+0.67%	0.0071	✗	1.22
2026-03-09	oos	0.01587	0.015785	-0.53%	0.01635	+3.02%	0.0082	✗	1.22
2026-03-08	oos	0.01591	0.015824	-0.54%	0.01587	-0.25%	0.0428	✓	1.25
2026-03-07	oos	0.01602	0.01594	-0.50%	0.01591	-0.69%	0.0223	✗	1.25
2026-03-06	oos	0.01636	0.016248	-0.68%	0.01602	-2.08%	0.0015	✓	1.24
2026-03-05	oos	0.01715	0.016977	-1.01%	0.01636	-4.61%	0.0129	✗	1.25
2026-03-04	oos	0.01701	0.01691	-0.59%	0.01715	+0.82%	0.0457	✗	1.26
2026-03-03	oos	0.01537	0.015305	-0.42%	0.01701	+10.67%	0.0292	✗	1.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.01591	0.01583	-0.50%	0.01537	-3.39%	0.0206	✓	1.23
2026-03-01	oos	0.01552	0.015451	-0.44%	0.01591	+2.51%	0.0293	✓	1.29
2026-02-28	oos	0.01579	0.015715	-0.47%	0.01552	-1.71%	0.0112	✗	1.31
2026-02-27	oos	0.01576	0.015677	-0.52%	0.01579	+0.19%	0.0148	✓	1.32
2026-02-26	oos	0.016085	0.015979	-0.66%	0.01576	-2.02%	0.0185	✗	1.32
2026-02-25	oos	0.016135	0.016011	-0.77%	0.016085	-0.31%	0.0144	✗	1.32
2026-02-24	oos	0.01539	0.015265	-0.81%	0.016135	+4.84%	0.0243	✓	1.34
2026-02-23	oos	0.013815	0.013743	-0.52%	0.01539	+11.40%	0.1248	✗	1.34
2026-02-22	oos	0.01441	0.014341	-0.48%	0.013815	-4.13%	0.0238	✗	1.35
2026-02-21	oos	0.01477	0.014662	-0.73%	0.01441	-2.44%	0.0105	✓	1.36
2026-02-20	oos	0.014385	0.014269	-0.81%	0.01477	+2.68%	0.0351	✗	1.36
2026-02-19	oos	0.01407	0.013952	-0.84%	0.014385	+2.24%	0.0102	✗	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.01378	0.013733	-0.34%	0.01407	+2.10%	0.0130	✗	1.36
2026-02-17	oos	0.01441	0.014349	-0.42%	0.01378	-4.37%	0.0194	✓	1.35
2026-02-16	oos	0.014625	0.01456	-0.44%	0.01441	-1.47%	0.0172	✗	1.35
2026-02-15	oos	0.014415	0.014356	-0.41%	0.014625	+1.46%	0.0173	✗	1.36
2026-02-14	oos	0.015385	0.015327	-0.38%	0.014415	-6.30%	0.0419	✓	1.36
2026-02-13	oos	0.014995	0.014946	-0.33%	0.015385	+2.60%	0.0099	✗	1.36
2026-02-12	oos	0.01449	0.014455	-0.24%	0.014995	+3.49%	0.0161	✓	1.37
2026-02-11	oos	0.013465	0.013448	-0.13%	0.01449	+7.61%	0.0912	✗	1.35
2026-02-10	oos	0.01344	0.013423	-0.13%	0.013465	+0.19%	0.0393	✗	1.38
2026-02-09	oos	0.01414	0.014109	-0.22%	0.01344	-4.95%	0.0225	✓	1.39
2026-02-08	oos	0.014145	0.014117	-0.20%	0.01414	-0.04%	0.0051	✗	1.37
2026-02-07	oos	0.014565	0.014541	-0.16%	0.014145	-2.88%	0.0489	✓	1.43
2026-02-06	oos	0.01496	0.014921	-0.26%	0.014565	-2.64%	0.0021	✓	1.43
2026-02-05	oos	0.01302	0.013075	+0.42%	0.01496	+14.90%	0.0366	✗	1.47
2026-02-04	oos	0.01569	0.015671	-0.12%	0.01302	-17.02%	0.0619	✗	1.64
2026-02-03	oos	0.016185	0.016158	-0.17%	0.01569	-3.06%	0.0295	✗	1.64
2026-02-02	oos	0.016725	0.016679	-0.27%	0.016185	-3.23%	0.0350	✗	1.67
2026-02-01	oos	0.01601	0.015996	-0.09%	0.016725	+4.47%	0.0075	✗	1.63
2026-01-31	oos	0.0159	0.015882	-0.11%	0.01601	+0.69%	0.0464	✗	1.70
2026-01-30	oos	0.01806	0.017999	-0.34%	0.0159	-11.96%	0.0101	✓	1.70
2026-01-29	oos	0.01832	0.018244	-0.41%	0.01806	-1.42%	0.0022	✓	1.67
2026-01-28	oos	0.01907	0.018998	-0.38%	0.01832	-3.93%	0.0606	✗	1.81
2026-01-27	oos	0.01928	0.01921	-0.36%	0.01907	-1.09%	0.0082	✓	1.79
2026-01-26	oos	0.01964	0.019553	-0.44%	0.01928	-1.83%	0.0313	✓	1.76
2026-01-25	oos	0.01888	0.018816	-0.34%	0.01964	+4.03%	0.0087	✗	1.77
2026-01-24	oos	0.02003	0.019958	-0.36%	0.01888	-5.74%	0.0049	✓	1.76
2026-01-23	oos	0.02014	0.020076	-0.32%	0.02003	-0.55%	0.0055	✗	1.76
2026-01-22	oos	0.02101	0.020927	-0.39%	0.02014	-4.14%	0.0386	✓	1.77
2026-01-21	oos	0.02164	0.021521	-0.55%	0.02101	-2.91%	0.0260	✓	1.77
2026-01-20	oos	0.02071	0.02062	-0.44%	0.02164	+4.49%	0.0275	✗	1.76
2026-01-19	oos	0.02198	0.02184	-0.63%	0.02071	-5.78%	0.0310	✗	1.79
2026-01-18	oos	0.0239	0.023714	-0.78%	0.02198	-8.03%	0.0555	✓	1.77
2026-01-17	oos	0.02371	0.023523	-0.79%	0.0239	+0.80%	0.0436	✗	1.77
2026-01-16	oos	0.02383	0.023623	-0.87%	0.02371	-0.50%	0.0110	✗	1.77
2026-01-15	oos	0.02379	0.023595	-0.82%	0.02383	+0.17%	0.0114	✗	1.77
2026-01-14	oos	0.02549	0.025247	-0.95%	0.02379	-6.67%	0.0344	✓	1.76
2026-01-13	oos	0.0248	0.024524	-1.11%	0.02549	+2.78%	0.0098	✓	1.77
2026-01-12	oos	0.0234	0.02324	-0.68%	0.0248	+5.98%	0.0163	✓	1.81
2026-01-11	oos	0.02367	0.023486	-0.78%	0.0234	-1.14%	0.0099	✓	1.80
2026-01-10	oos	0.02337	0.023129	-1.03%	0.02367	+1.28%	0.0132	✗	1.81
2026-01-09	oos	0.02393	0.023743	-0.78%	0.02337	-2.34%	0.0129	✓	1.86
2026-01-08	oos	0.02375	0.023563	-0.79%	0.02393	+0.76%	0.0259	✗	1.85
2026-01-07	oos	0.02381	0.023596	-0.90%	0.02375	-0.25%	0.0124	✗	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.02359	0.023395	-0.83%	0.02381	+0.93%	0.0748	✗	2.17
2026-01-05	oos	0.02409	0.023836	-1.06%	0.02359	-2.08%	0.0069	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.023	0.022804	-0.85%	0.02409	+4.74%	0.0008	✓	2.17
2026-01-03	oos	0.02259	0.022391	-0.88%	0.023	+1.81%	0.0054	✓	2.18
2026-01-02	oos	0.02206	0.021842	-0.99%	0.02259	+2.40%	0.0183	✗	2.17
2026-01-01	oos	0.01928	0.019154	-0.65%	0.02206	+14.42%	0.1123	✗	2.12
2025-12-31	oos	0.01773	0.017627	-0.58%	0.01928	+8.74%	0.0603	✗	2.08
2025-12-30	oos	0.01924	0.019105	-0.70%	0.01773	-7.85%	0.0535	✓	2.07
2025-12-29	oos	0.01872	0.018589	-0.70%	0.01924	+2.78%	0.0045	✓	2.05
2025-12-28	oos	0.01945	0.019338	-0.58%	0.01872	-3.75%	0.0146	✓	2.04
2025-12-27	oos	0.01971	0.0196	-0.56%	0.01945	-1.32%	0.0093	✓	2.02
2025-12-26	oos	0.0198	0.019661	-0.70%	0.01971	-0.45%	0.0092	✓	2.01
2025-12-25	oos	0.0195	0.019411	-0.46%	0.0198	+1.54%	0.0170	✗	2.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.02012	0.020012	-0.54%	0.0195	-3.08%	0.0159	✓	2.01
2025-12-23	oos	0.0202	0.020078	-0.60%	0.02012	-0.40%	0.0021	✓	2.04
2025-12-22	oos	0.0198	0.019716	-0.42%	0.0202	+2.02%	0.0503	✗	2.04
2025-12-21	oos	0.02019	0.020108	-0.41%	0.0198	-1.93%	0.0135	✓	2.03
2025-12-20	oos	0.02109	0.021006	-0.40%	0.02019	-4.27%	0.0469	✓	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.02114	0.021074	-0.31%	0.02109	-0.24%	0.0046	✓	2.04
2025-12-18	oos	0.01979	0.019761	-0.15%	0.02114	+6.82%	0.0056	✗	2.04
2025-12-17	oos	0.0217	0.021639	-0.28%	0.01979	-8.80%	0.0716	✓	2.03
2025-12-16	oos	0.023	0.022904	-0.42%	0.0217	-5.65%	0.0159	✓	2.02
2025-12-15	oos	0.0236	0.023513	-0.37%	0.023	-2.54%	0.0557	✓	2.04
2025-12-14	oos	0.02493	0.024828	-0.41%	0.0236	-5.33%	0.0101	✓	2.02
2025-12-13	oos	0.0266	0.026479	-0.46%	0.02493	-6.28%	0.0132	✓	2.01
2025-12-12	oos	0.02689	0.026774	-0.43%	0.0266	-1.08%	0.0060	✓	2.01
2025-12-11	oos	0.02762	0.027485	-0.49%	0.02689	-2.64%	0.0283	✗	2.03
2025-12-10	oos	0.02803	0.027896	-0.48%	0.02762	-1.46%	0.0211	✓	2.03
2025-12-09	oos	0.02973	0.029543	-0.63%	0.02803	-5.72%	0.0383	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0285	0.028345	-0.54%	0.02973	+4.32%	0.0032	✓	2.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02817	0.028018	-0.54%	0.0285	+1.17%	0.0115	✗	2.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02882	0.028631	-0.65%	0.02817	-2.26%	0.0417	✓	2.02
2025-12-05	oos	0.02835	0.028185	-0.58%	0.02882	+1.66%	0.0240	✗	2.01
2025-12-04	oos	0.03003	0.029852	-0.59%	0.02835	-5.59%	0.0093	✗	2.01
2025-12-03	oos	0.03015	0.029985	-0.55%	0.03003	-0.40%	0.0311	✗	2.02
2025-12-02	oos	0.02982	0.029644	-0.59%	0.03015	+1.11%	0.0306	✓	2.04
2025-12-01	oos	0.02667	0.026562	-0.40%	0.02982	+11.81%	0.0005	✓	2.05
2025-11-30	oos	0.02959	0.02944	-0.51%	0.02667	-9.87%	0.0049	✓	2.03
2025-11-29	oos	0.02985	0.029704	-0.49%	0.02959	-0.87%	0.0064	✗	2.02
2025-11-28	oos	0.03113	0.030962	-0.54%	0.02985	-4.11%	0.0349	✓	2.02
2025-11-27	oos	0.03179	0.031608	-0.57%	0.03113	-2.08%	0.0061	✓	2.02
2025-11-26	oos	0.03177	0.031593	-0.56%	0.03179	+0.06%	0.0126	✓	2.01
2025-11-25	oos	0.03093	0.030796	-0.43%	0.03177	+2.72%	0.0408	✓	2.03
2025-11-24	oos	0.03107	0.030949	-0.39%	0.03093	-0.45%	0.0212	✗	2.04
2025-11-23	oos	0.02919	0.029125	-0.22%	0.03107	+6.44%	0.0306	✗	2.05
2025-11-22	oos	0.0289	0.02886	-0.14%	0.02919	+1.00%	0.0401	✓	2.08
2025-11-21	oos	0.029555	0.029498	-0.19%	0.0289	-2.22%	0.0110	✓	2.09
2025-11-20	oos	0.031105	0.031013	-0.30%	0.029555	-4.98%	0.0127	✓	2.07
2025-11-19	oos	0.033345	0.033187	-0.47%	0.031105	-6.72%	0.0606	✗	2.27
2025-11-18	oos	0.03417	0.033982	-0.55%	0.033345	-2.41%	0.0170	✗	2.28
2025-11-17	oos	0.032635	0.032525	-0.34%	0.03417	+4.70%	0.0293	✗	2.27
2025-11-16	oos	0.03483	0.034683	-0.42%	0.032635	-6.30%	0.0103	✓	2.26
2025-11-15	oos	0.035895	0.035732	-0.45%	0.03483	-2.97%	0.0069	✗	2.26
2025-11-14	oos	0.03479	0.034611	-0.51%	0.035895	+3.18%	0.0117	✗	2.26
2025-11-13	oos	0.036215	0.03598	-0.65%	0.03479	-3.93%	0.0916	✗	2.38
2025-11-12	oos	0.040335	0.03985	-1.20%	0.036215	-10.21%	0.0485	✓	2.34
2025-11-11	oos	0.04734	0.046347	-2.10%	0.040335	-14.80%	0.1078	✓	2.33
2025-11-10	oos	0.04662	0.045507	-2.39%	0.04734	+1.54%	0.1063	✗	2.35
2025-11-09	oos	0.03727	0.037047	-0.60%	0.04662	+25.09%	0.2021	✗	2.27
2025-11-08	oos	0.03641	0.036195	-0.59%	0.03727	+2.36%	0.0241	✓	2.29
2025-11-07	oos	0.03634	0.036077	-0.73%	0.03641	+0.19%	0.0307	✗	2.21
2025-11-06	oos	0.03331	0.033121	-0.57%	0.03634	+9.10%	0.0502	✗	2.19
2025-11-05	oos	0.033315	0.033143	-0.52%	0.03331	-0.02%	0.0601	✗	2.19
2025-11-04	oos	0.03223	0.032095	-0.42%	0.033315	+3.37%	0.0136	✓	2.17
2025-11-03	oos	0.03387	0.033681	-0.56%	0.03223	-4.84%	0.0674	✗	2.28
2025-11-02	oos	0.03862	0.038184	-1.13%	0.03387	-12.30%	0.0383	✓	2.23
2025-11-01	oos	0.03625	0.035799	-1.24%	0.03862	+6.54%	0.0661	✗	2.22
2025-10-31	oos	0.04048	0.039688	-1.96%	0.03625	-10.45%	0.1008	✓	2.26
2025-10-30	oos	0.03363	0.033466	-0.49%	0.04048	+20.37%	0.1649	✗	2.22
2025-10-29	oos	0.03278	0.032638	-0.43%	0.03363	+2.59%	0.0651	✗	2.22
2025-10-28	oos	0.032295	0.032207	-0.27%	0.03278	+1.50%	0.0768	✗	2.30
2025-10-27	oos	0.03414	0.034022	-0.35%	0.032295	-5.40%	0.0283	✓	2.29
2025-10-26	oos	0.034885	0.034744	-0.41%	0.03414	-2.14%	0.0083	✓	2.29
2025-10-25	oos	0.03336	0.033235	-0.37%	0.034885	+4.57%	0.0114	✓	2.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.0327	0.032574	-0.39%	0.03336	+2.02%	0.0102	✗	2.44
2025-10-23	oos	0.032325	0.032211	-0.35%	0.0327	+1.16%	0.0053	✓	2.44
2025-10-22	oos	0.03135	0.031252	-0.31%	0.032325	+3.11%	0.0232	✓	2.45
2025-10-21	oos	0.032765	0.032624	-0.43%	0.03135	-4.32%	0.0222	✓	2.45
2025-10-20	oos	0.03366	0.033454	-0.61%	0.032765	-2.66%	0.0292	✗	2.48
2025-10-19	oos	0.033295	0.033065	-0.69%	0.03366	+1.10%	0.0252	✓	2.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.03275	0.032665	-0.26%	0.033295	+1.66%	0.0148	✓	2.49
2025-10-17	oos	0.03186	0.031814	-0.14%	0.03275	+2.79%	0.0117	✗	2.48
2025-10-16	oos	0.033135	0.033087	-0.14%	0.03186	-3.85%	0.0023	✗	2.48
2025-10-15	oos	0.03479	0.034723	-0.19%	0.033135	-4.76%	0.0127	✗	2.50
2025-10-14	oos	0.03692	0.036811	-0.30%	0.03479	-5.77%	0.0059	✓	2.50
2025-10-13	oos	0.03789	0.037737	-0.40%	0.03692	-2.56%	0.0270	✗	2.53
2025-10-12	oos	0.036615	0.036519	-0.26%	0.03789	+3.48%	0.0324	✗	2.48
2025-10-11	oos	0.032715	0.032689	-0.08%	0.036615	+11.92%	0.0204	✗	2.44
2025-10-10	oos	0.03358	0.033517	-0.19%	0.032715	-2.58%	0.0250	✗	2.48
2025-10-09	oos	0.045405	0.0452	-0.45%	0.03358	-26.04%	0.1424	✓	2.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.046705	0.046419	-0.61%	0.045405	-2.78%	0.0052	✓	2.05
2025-10-07	oos	0.04531	0.045096	-0.47%	0.046705	+3.08%	0.0017	✓	2.09
2025-10-06	oos	0.047955	0.047613	-0.71%	0.04531	-5.52%	0.0076	✗	2.11
2025-10-05	oos	0.045515	0.045336	-0.39%	0.047955	+5.36%	0.0359	✗	2.10
2025-10-04	oos	0.04573	0.045529	-0.44%	0.045515	-0.47%	0.0185	✓	2.10
2025-10-03	oos	0.0476	0.047365	-0.49%	0.04573	-3.93%	0.0375	✓	2.10
2025-10-02	oos	0.048065	0.047727	-0.70%	0.0476	-0.97%	0.0323	✓	2.12
2025-10-01	oos	0.04733	0.047033	-0.63%	0.048065	+1.55%	0.0134	✓	2.14
2025-09-30	oos	0.04477	0.044394	-0.84%	0.04733	+5.72%	0.0223	✓	2.19
2025-09-29	oos	0.04346	0.043145	-0.72%	0.04477	+3.01%	0.0427	✗	2.21
2025-09-28	oos	0.043605	0.043422	-0.42%	0.04346	-0.33%	0.0421	✓	2.25
2025-09-27	oos	0.04338	0.0432	-0.42%	0.043605	+0.52%	0.0427	✓	2.29
2025-09-26	oos	0.04369	0.043476	-0.49%	0.04338	-0.71%	0.0019	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.04154	0.041375	-0.40%	0.04369	+5.18%	0.0405	✗	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.046435	0.046191	-0.52%	0.04154	-10.54%	0.0183	✓	2.26
2025-09-23	oos	0.04715	0.046851	-0.63%	0.046435	-1.52%	0.0360	✓	2.29
2025-09-22	oos	0.04701	0.0466	-0.87%	0.04715	+0.30%	0.0264	✗	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.049555	0.049107	-0.90%	0.04701	-5.14%	0.0074	✓	2.29
2025-09-20	oos	0.050815	0.050497	-0.63%	0.049555	-2.48%	0.0094	✓	2.32
2025-09-19	oos	0.05104	0.050746	-0.58%	0.050815	-0.44%	0.0001	✓	2.34
2025-09-18	oos	0.052275	0.051928	-0.66%	0.05104	-2.36%	0.0119	✗	2.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.