UMXM

Manadia · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s5

token id: #947
symbol: UMXM
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x44fc58faaaca03e5d52e493dae930ffa63e2a664
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-23
predictions: 522

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

173

of 174 predictions shown

direction hit

40.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0601

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0050

actual -0.0225

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.0308	0.030778	-0.07%	–	pending	–	–	-1.52
2026-10-21	oos	0.0305	0.030514	+0.05%	0.0308	+0.98%	0.0126	✓	-1.41
2026-10-20	oos	0.04015	0.040083	-0.17%	0.0305	-24.03%	0.2576	✓	-1.20
2026-10-19	oos	0.04395	0.043848	-0.23%	0.04015	-8.65%	0.0726	✓	-1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.04805	0.047919	-0.27%	0.04395	-8.53%	0.0890	✓	-1.24
2026-10-17	oos	0.05595	0.055692	-0.46%	0.04805	-14.12%	0.1375	✓	-1.32
2026-10-16	oos	0.0651	0.064645	-0.70%	0.05595	-14.06%	0.1464	✓	-1.33
2026-10-15	oos	0.0648	0.064278	-0.81%	0.0651	+0.46%	0.0028	✓	-1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.25085	0.235048	-6.30%	0.0648	-74.17%	1.2806	✓	-1.16
2026-10-13	oos	0.0581	0.057937	-0.28%	0.25085	+331.76%	1.4606	✗	-0.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.0588	0.058609	-0.32%	0.0581	-1.19%	0.0040	✓	-0.29
2026-10-11	oos	0.05905	0.058936	-0.19%	0.0588	-0.42%	0.0075	✓	-0.22
2026-10-10	oos	0.0592	0.059095	-0.18%	0.05905	-0.25%	0.0016	✓	-0.25
2026-10-09	oos	0.0591	0.058942	-0.27%	0.0592	+0.17%	0.0055	✗	-0.26
2026-10-08	oos	0.0616	0.061382	-0.35%	0.0591	-4.06%	0.0351	✓	-0.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.0618	0.061639	-0.26%	0.0616	-0.32%	0.0051	✓	-0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.0634	0.063203	-0.31%	0.0618	-2.52%	0.0282	✓	-0.21
2026-10-05	oos	0.0619	0.06164	-0.42%	0.0634	+2.42%	0.0276	✗	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.06095	0.060614	-0.55%	0.0619	+1.56%	0.0190	✗	-0.22
2026-10-03	oos	0.066	0.065506	-0.75%	0.06095	-7.65%	0.0679	✓	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.0647	0.064397	-0.47%	0.066	+2.01%	0.0251	✗	-0.19
2026-10-01	oos	0.06655	0.066397	-0.23%	0.0647	-2.78%	0.0266	✓	-0.19
2026-09-30	oos	0.06295	0.062836	-0.18%	0.06655	+5.72%	0.0605	✗	-0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.0632	0.063068	-0.21%	0.06295	-0.40%	0.0020	✓	-0.16
2026-09-28	oos	0.06695	0.066789	-0.24%	0.0632	-5.60%	0.0549	✓	-0.14
2026-09-27	oos	0.0776	0.077308	-0.38%	0.06695	-13.72%	0.1464	✓	-0.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.0759	0.075558	-0.45%	0.0776	+2.24%	0.0268	✗	-0.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.07795	0.077648	-0.39%	0.0759	-2.63%	0.0219	✓	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.0836	0.083221	-0.45%	0.07795	-6.76%	0.0662	✓	-0.23
2026-09-23	oos	0.089	0.088642	-0.40%	0.0836	-6.07%	0.0585	✓	-0.23
2026-09-22	oos	0.09335	0.092924	-0.46%	0.089	-4.66%	0.0488	✓	-0.27
2026-09-21	oos	0.09665	0.096231	-0.43%	0.09335	-3.41%	0.0317	✓	-0.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.09805	0.097266	-0.80%	0.09665	-1.43%	0.0192	✗	-0.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.0989	0.097983	-0.93%	0.09805	-0.86%	0.0003	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.0993	0.097957	-1.35%	0.0989	-0.40%	0.0113	✓	-0.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.09925	0.097937	-1.32%	0.0993	+0.05%	0.0410	✗	-0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.0999	0.098689	-1.21%	0.09925	-0.65%	0.0069	✓	-0.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.09935	0.098266	-1.09%	0.0999	+0.55%	0.0200	✗	-0.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.09945	0.098104	-1.35%	0.09935	-0.10%	0.0036	✓	-0.48
2026-09-13	oos	0.0999	0.098805	-1.10%	0.09945	-0.45%	0.0156	✗	-0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.0998	0.098591	-1.21%	0.0999	+0.10%	0.0102	✓	-0.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.0995	0.098449	-1.06%	0.0998	+0.30%	0.0140	✗	-0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.0997	0.098517	-1.19%	0.0995	-0.20%	0.0139	✗	-0.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.09985	0.098878	-0.97%	0.0997	-0.15%	0.0018	✓	-0.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.10035	0.099465	-0.88%	0.09985	-0.50%	0.0030	✓	-0.40
2026-09-07	oos	0.1002	0.099143	-1.05%	0.10035	+0.15%	0.0088	✓	-0.40
2026-09-06	oos	0.09995	0.09903	-0.92%	0.1002	+0.25%	0.0056	✓	-0.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.1004	0.09934	-1.06%	0.09995	-0.45%	0.0087	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.09975	0.098786	-0.97%	0.1004	+0.65%	0.0169	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.10045	0.099582	-0.86%	0.09975	-0.70%	0.0053	✓	-0.35
2026-09-02	oos	0.12235	0.121327	-0.84%	0.10045	-17.90%	0.1807	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.10025	0.099535	-0.71%	0.12235	+22.04%	0.2062	✗	-0.15
2026-08-31	oos	0.09965	0.098592	-1.06%	0.10025	+0.60%	0.0136	✗	-0.21
2026-08-30	oos	0.1011	0.100126	-0.96%	0.09965	-1.43%	0.0034	✓	-0.12
2026-08-29	oos	0.10075	0.099841	-0.90%	0.1011	+0.35%	0.0114	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.1007	0.099718	-0.97%	0.10075	+0.05%	0.0111	✗	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.10085	0.100097	-0.75%	0.1007	-0.15%	0.0021	✓	-0.13
2026-08-26	oos	0.1005	0.099606	-0.89%	0.10085	+0.35%	0.0147	✗	-0.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.1009	0.100016	-0.88%	0.1005	-0.40%	0.0058	✓	-0.16
2026-08-24	oos	0.1008	0.100059	-0.73%	0.1009	+0.10%	0.0074	✗	-0.17
2026-08-23	oos	0.10075	0.100005	-0.74%	0.1008	+0.05%	0.0109	✗	-0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.09985	0.099172	-0.68%	0.10075	+0.90%	0.0175	✗	-0.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.0995	0.098996	-0.51%	0.09985	+0.35%	0.0057	✗	-0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.1003	0.100153	-0.15%	0.0995	-0.80%	0.0097	✗	-0.23
2026-08-19	oos	0.10025	0.100522	+0.27%	0.1003	+0.05%	0.0146	✓	-0.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.10475	0.105406	+0.63%	0.10025	-4.30%	0.0263	✗	-0.35
2026-08-17	oos	0.1043	0.105198	+0.86%	0.10475	+0.43%	0.0032	✓	-0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.13135	0.132143	+0.60%	0.1043	-20.59%	0.2331	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.13905	0.139786	+0.53%	0.13135	-5.54%	0.0627	✗	-0.15
2026-08-14	oos	0.1395	0.14033	+0.60%	0.13905	-0.32%	0.0091	✗	-0.16
2026-08-13	oos	0.1552	0.1558	+0.39%	0.1395	-10.12%	0.1118	✗	-0.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.16135	0.161943	+0.37%	0.1552	-3.81%	0.0425	✗	-0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.1805	0.180581	+0.04%	0.16135	-10.61%	0.1130	✗	-0.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.20565	0.205616	-0.02%	0.1805	-12.23%	0.1316	✓	-0.22
2026-08-09	oos	0.2128	0.212801	+0.00%	0.20565	-3.36%	0.0376	✗	-0.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.2366	0.236626	+0.01%	0.2128	-10.06%	0.1063	✗	-0.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.2354	0.235342	-0.02%	0.2366	+0.51%	0.0054	✗	-0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.244	0.244033	+0.01%	0.2354	-3.52%	0.0338	✗	-0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.2479	0.247889	-0.00%	0.244	-1.57%	0.0170	✓	-0.22
2026-08-04	oos	0.24485	0.24505	+0.08%	0.2479	+1.25%	0.0134	✓	-0.21
2026-08-03	oos	0.2522	0.252397	+0.08%	0.24485	-2.91%	0.0284	✗	-0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.2667	0.266992	+0.11%	0.2522	-5.44%	0.0571	✗	-0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.2733	0.273387	+0.03%	0.2667	-2.41%	0.0222	✗	-0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.2786	0.278494	-0.04%	0.2733	-1.90%	0.0190	✓	-0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.25295	0.254283	+0.53%	0.2786	+10.14%	0.0882	✓	-0.11
2026-07-29	oos	0.25285	0.254946	+0.83%	0.25295	+0.04%	0.0058	✓	-0.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.26005	0.262992	+1.13%	0.25285	-2.77%	0.0393	✗	-0.09
2026-07-27	oos	0.2189	0.221371	+1.13%	0.26005	+18.80%	0.1612	✓	-0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.288	0.292385	+1.52%	0.2189	-23.99%	0.2963	✗	-0.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.43055	0.435507	+1.15%	0.288	-33.11%	0.4117	✗	-0.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.5458	0.551291	+1.01%	0.43055	-21.12%	0.2472	✗	-0.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.67405	0.679095	+0.75%	0.5458	-19.03%	0.2195	✗	-0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.8973	0.899959	+0.30%	0.67405	-24.88%	0.2926	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	1.0072	1.01	+0.28%	0.8973	-10.92%	0.1200	✗	-0.25
2026-07-20	oos	1.2409	1.2418	+0.07%	1.0072	-18.83%	0.2075	✗	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	2.3075	2.2969	-0.46%	1.2409	-46.22%	0.6168	✓	0.13
2026-07-18	oos	2.3811	2.3686	-0.52%	2.3075	-3.09%	0.0259	✓	0.13
2026-07-17	oos	2.3614	2.3469	-0.61%	2.3811	+0.83%	0.0126	✗	0.13
2026-07-16	oos	2.2402	2.229	-0.50%	2.3614	+5.41%	0.0575	✗	0.12
2026-07-15	oos	2.2807	2.2678	-0.56%	2.2402	-1.78%	0.0106	✓	0.11
2026-07-14	oos	2.2208	2.2058	-0.68%	2.2807	+2.69%	0.0339	✗	0.12
2026-07-13	oos	2.2458	2.2308	-0.67%	2.2208	-1.11%	0.0112	✓	0.16
2026-07-12	oos	2.2386	2.223	-0.69%	2.2458	+0.32%	0.0138	✗	0.16
2026-07-11	oos	2.2285	2.2156	-0.58%	2.2386	+0.45%	0.0104	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	2.2295	2.2175	-0.54%	2.2285	-0.05%	0.0058	✗	0.16
2026-07-09	oos	2.2182	2.2033	-0.67%	2.2295	+0.51%	0.0094	✗	0.16
2026-07-08	oos	2.2142	2.1986	-0.71%	2.2182	+0.18%	0.0064	✓	0.17
2026-07-07	oos	2.214	2.1977	-0.74%	2.2142	+0.01%	0.0103	✗	0.16
2026-07-06	oos	2.1901	2.1759	-0.65%	2.214	+1.09%	0.0191	✗	0.16
2026-07-05	oos	2.1837	2.166	-0.81%	2.1901	+0.29%	0.0100	✗	0.17
2026-07-04	oos	2.1444	2.1304	-0.66%	2.1837	+1.83%	0.0235	✗	0.16
2026-07-03	oos	2.1366	2.1245	-0.56%	2.1444	+0.37%	0.0078	✗	0.17
2026-07-02	oos	2.1222	2.1086	-0.64%	2.1366	+0.68%	0.0103	✗	0.17
2026-07-01	oos	2.0958	2.0775	-0.87%	2.1222	+1.26%	0.0170	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	2.0838	2.0709	-0.62%	2.0958	+0.58%	0.0076	✗	0.18
2026-06-29	oos	2.0821	2.0664	-0.75%	2.0838	+0.08%	0.0133	✗	0.18
2026-06-28	oos	2.0604	2.0416	-0.91%	2.0821	+1.05%	0.0176	✗	0.18
2026-06-27	oos	2.0261	2.0115	-0.72%	2.0604	+1.69%	0.0254	✗	0.18
2026-06-26	oos	2.0122	1.9988	-0.67%	2.0261	+0.69%	0.0138	✗	0.18
2026-06-25	oos	1.9861	1.9674	-0.94%	2.0122	+1.32%	0.0216	✗	0.18
2026-06-24	oos	1.964	1.9487	-0.78%	1.9861	+1.12%	0.0229	✗	0.18
2026-06-23	oos	1.9527	1.9378	-0.77%	1.964	+0.58%	0.0184	✗	0.18
2026-06-22	oos	1.8978	1.8795	-0.96%	1.9527	+2.90%	0.0424	✗	0.20
2026-06-21	oos	1.819	1.8107	-0.46%	1.8978	+4.33%	0.0449	✗	0.18
2026-06-20	oos	1.8041	1.7948	-0.52%	1.819	+0.82%	0.0163	✗	0.18
2026-06-19	oos	1.7939	1.7833	-0.59%	1.8041	+0.57%	0.0094	✗	0.19
2026-06-18	oos	1.775	1.7628	-0.69%	1.7939	+1.06%	0.0158	✗	0.19
2026-06-17	oos	1.7866	1.7748	-0.66%	1.775	-0.65%	0.0044	✓	0.18
2026-06-16	oos	1.7721	1.7617	-0.59%	1.7866	+0.82%	0.0173	✗	0.18
2026-06-15	oos	1.7686	1.7597	-0.50%	1.7721	+0.20%	0.0088	✗	0.18
2026-06-14	oos	1.7635	1.7536	-0.57%	1.7686	+0.29%	0.0070	✗	0.18
2026-06-13	oos	1.7518	1.7387	-0.75%	1.7635	+0.67%	0.0105	✗	0.19
2026-06-12	oos	1.732	1.7246	-0.42%	1.7518	+1.15%	0.0130	✗	0.19
2026-06-11	oos	1.7178	1.7107	-0.41%	1.732	+0.83%	0.0124	✗	0.19
2026-06-10	oos	1.7223	1.7157	-0.39%	1.7178	-0.26%	0.0065	✓	0.23
2026-06-09	oos	1.7114	1.7047	-0.39%	1.7223	+0.63%	0.0112	✗	0.23
2026-06-08	oos	1.7274	1.7194	-0.46%	1.7114	-0.92%	0.0001	✓	0.21
2026-06-07	oos	1.6827	1.6746	-0.48%	1.7274	+2.66%	0.0318	✗	0.21
2026-06-06	oos	1.6853	1.6781	-0.43%	1.6827	-0.15%	0.0080	✓	0.27
2026-06-05	oos	1.6878	1.6797	-0.48%	1.6853	-0.15%	0.0042	✓	0.27
2026-06-04	oos	1.6892	1.6812	-0.48%	1.6878	-0.08%	0.0164	✗	0.28
2026-06-03	oos	1.6755	1.6679	-0.45%	1.6892	+0.82%	0.0137	✗	0.28
2026-06-02	oos	1.6107	1.6032	-0.47%	1.6755	+4.02%	0.0604	✗	0.41
2026-06-01	oos	1.7272	1.7158	-0.66%	1.6107	-6.75%	0.0666	✓	-0.05
2026-05-31	oos	1.6968	1.6846	-0.72%	1.7272	+1.79%	0.0243	✗	-0.02
2026-05-30	oos	1.6992	1.685	-0.84%	1.6968	-0.14%	0.0069	✓	-0.02
2026-05-29	oos	1.6483	1.6355	-0.78%	1.6992	+3.09%	0.0385	✗	-0.05
2026-05-28	oos	1.6386	1.6265	-0.74%	1.6483	+0.60%	0.0133	✗	-0.05
2026-05-27	oos	1.641	1.6275	-0.83%	1.6386	-0.15%	0.0061	✓	-0.06
2026-05-26	oos	1.6222	1.6094	-0.79%	1.641	+1.16%	0.0182	✗	-0.06
2026-05-25	oos	1.6498	1.6348	-0.91%	1.6222	-1.67%	0.0105	✓	-0.15
2026-05-24	oos	1.6164	1.6037	-0.79%	1.6498	+2.06%	0.0289	✗	-0.16
2026-05-23	oos	1.6125	1.5999	-0.78%	1.6164	+0.24%	0.0109	✗	-0.15
2026-05-22	oos	1.6076	1.5959	-0.73%	1.6125	+0.31%	0.0055	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	1.6017	1.5888	-0.80%	1.6076	+0.37%	0.0392	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	1.6625	1.6475	-0.90%	1.6017	-3.66%	0.0291	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	1.617	1.6025	-0.90%	1.6625	+2.82%	0.0276	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	1.6751	1.6609	-0.85%	1.617	-3.47%	0.0245	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	1.5775	1.5627	-0.93%	1.6751	+6.19%	0.0755	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	1.5375	1.5264	-0.72%	1.5775	+2.60%	0.0419	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	1.5322	1.5227	-0.62%	1.5375	+0.35%	0.0218	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	1.5186	1.5088	-0.64%	1.5322	+0.90%	0.0406	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	1.5346	1.5239	-0.69%	1.5186	-1.05%	0.0259	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	1.5227	1.5116	-0.72%	1.5346	+0.78%	0.0301	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	1.5116	1.5028	-0.59%	1.5227	+0.73%	0.0285	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	1.5148	1.5049	-0.65%	1.5116	-0.21%	0.0102	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.5776	1.5684	-0.58%	1.5148	-3.98%	0.0537	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	1.5512	1.5427	-0.55%	1.5776	+1.70%	0.0166	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	1.5268	1.5175	-0.61%	1.5512	+1.60%	0.0197	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	1.6231	1.6122	-0.67%	1.5268	-5.93%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	1.6713	1.66	-0.68%	1.6231	-2.89%	0.0290	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	1.6419	1.6296	-0.75%	1.6713	+1.79%	0.0122	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	1.7622	1.7504	-0.67%	1.6419	-6.83%	0.0803	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	1.7539	1.746	-0.45%	1.7622	+0.47%	0.0108	✗	1.00