TROLLSOL

? · · gru_s5

token id: #917
symbol: TROLLSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-23
predictions: 1,590

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

62.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3787

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0471

actual -0.0127

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.033085	0.030563	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	2.24
2026-10-21	oos	0.032839	0.030614	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-20	oos	0.037984	0.035188	-7.36%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.033794	0.031383	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-18	oos	0.033843	0.031435	-7.12%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.035389	0.032777	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-16	oos	0.035893	0.033204	-7.49%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.036152	0.033435	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	2.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.037653	0.034687	-7.88%	–	pending	–	–	2.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.037875	0.035036	-7.50%	–	pending	–	–	2.36
2026-10-12	oos	0.036243	0.033578	-7.35%	–	pending	–	–	2.36
2026-10-11	oos	0.03961	0.036718	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-10-10	oos	0.037829	0.035092	-7.23%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.038198	0.035383	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.037308	0.034582	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-10-07	oos	0.039808	0.036869	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-06	oos	0.042549	0.039833	-6.38%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-05	oos	0.042647	0.039994	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-04	oos	0.045871	0.043093	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-03	oos	0.044561	0.041454	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.044541	0.041353	-7.16%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-01	oos	0.046943	0.043546	-7.24%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2026-09-30	oos	0.04658	0.0429	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	2.21
2026-09-29	oos	0.045724	0.04212	-7.88%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-09-28	oos	0.044871	0.041278	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	2.29
2026-09-27	oos	0.047287	0.043672	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-09-26	oos	0.049391	0.045554	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-09-25	oos	0.051838	0.047688	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	2.28
2026-09-24	oos	0.05056	0.046772	-7.49%	–	pending	–	–	2.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04971	0.046121	-7.22%	–	pending	–	–	2.29
2026-09-22	oos	0.05964	0.054872	-8.00%	0.033085	-44.53%	0.4551	✓	2.19
2026-09-21	oos	0.05641	0.052293	-7.30%	0.032839	-41.79%	0.3977	✓	2.24
2026-09-20	oos	0.050383	0.046221	-8.26%	0.037984	-24.61%	0.2460	✓	2.29
2026-09-19	oos	0.047696	0.044111	-7.52%	0.033794	-29.15%	0.2833	✓	2.29
2026-09-18	oos	0.049463	0.04566	-7.69%	0.033843	-31.58%	0.3312	✓	2.28
2026-09-17	oos	0.043573	0.040678	-6.64%	0.035389	-18.78%	0.2849	✓	2.28
2026-09-16	oos	0.042624	0.040157	-5.79%	0.035893	-15.79%	0.2672	✓	2.28
2026-09-15	oos	0.042855	0.040597	-5.27%	0.036152	-15.64%	0.3031	✓	2.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.047112	0.044543	-5.45%	0.037653	-20.08%	0.2639	✓	2.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.046599	0.044212	-5.12%	0.037875	-18.72%	0.3340	✓	2.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.048266	0.045909	-4.89%	0.036243	-24.91%	0.3635	✓	2.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.048729	0.046543	-4.49%	0.03961	-18.71%	0.3437	✓	2.27
2026-09-10	oos	0.047248	0.045355	-4.01%	0.037829	-19.94%	0.3644	✓	2.29
2026-09-09	oos	0.049799	0.047872	-3.87%	0.038198	-23.29%	0.3470	✓	2.29
2026-09-08	oos	0.052052	0.049989	-3.96%	0.037308	-28.33%	0.3835	✓	2.24
2026-09-07	oos	0.048497	0.047102	-2.88%	0.039808	-17.92%	0.2862	✓	2.29
2026-09-06	oos	0.052082	0.050863	-2.34%	0.042549	-18.31%	0.3218	✓	2.28
2026-09-05	oos	0.061653	0.059013	-4.28%	0.042647	-30.83%	0.4887	✓	2.29
2026-09-04	oos	0.076665	0.069751	-9.02%	0.045871	-40.17%	0.6014	✓	2.22
2026-09-03	oos	0.055088	0.054279	-1.47%	0.044561	-19.11%	0.3003	✓	2.46
2026-09-02	oos	0.041738	0.041024	-1.71%	0.044541	+6.72%	0.1022	✓	2.07
2026-09-01	oos	0.043203	0.042367	-1.94%	0.046943	+8.66%	0.0890	✓	2.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.044504	0.043932	-1.28%	0.04658	+4.66%	0.0565	✓	1.87
2026-08-30	oos	0.047096	0.046027	-2.27%	0.045724	-2.91%	0.1390	✓	1.79
2026-08-29	oos	0.050108	0.04921	-1.79%	0.044871	-10.45%	0.2053	✓	1.75
2026-08-28	oos	0.04966	0.048913	-1.50%	0.047287	-4.78%	0.1772	✓	1.76
2026-08-27	oos	0.053453	0.053757	+0.57%	0.049391	-7.60%	0.1724	✗	1.74
2026-08-26	oos	0.051848	0.051796	-0.10%	0.051838	-0.02%	0.1067	✓	1.73
2026-08-25	oos	0.049368	0.049522	+0.31%	0.05056	+2.41%	0.0993	✗	1.67
2026-08-24	oos	0.051194	0.051409	+0.42%	0.04971	-2.90%	0.1516	✗	1.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.052031	0.05167	-0.69%	0.05964	+14.62%	0.0508	✓	1.88
2026-08-22	oos	0.054691	0.053483	-2.21%	0.05641	+3.14%	0.1670	✓	1.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.059058	0.057233	-3.09%	0.050383	-14.69%	0.1938	✓	1.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.048109	0.046581	-3.18%	0.047696	-0.86%	0.1627	✓	1.75
2026-08-19	oos	0.047886	0.045144	-5.73%	0.049463	+3.29%	0.2069	✓	1.93
2026-08-18	oos	0.041719	0.039097	-6.29%	0.043573	+4.44%	0.2071	✓	1.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.039132	0.036941	-5.60%	0.042624	+8.92%	0.1747	✓	1.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.041845	0.038948	-6.92%	0.042855	+2.41%	0.2775	✓	2.02
2026-08-15	oos	0.039066	0.03676	-5.90%	0.047112	+20.60%	0.1863	✓	2.02
2026-08-14	oos	0.037082	0.035087	-5.38%	0.046599	+25.66%	0.1158	✓	2.01
2026-08-13	oos	0.037614	0.035654	-5.21%	0.048266	+28.32%	0.0939	✓	2.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.038149	0.036084	-5.41%	0.048729	+27.73%	0.1031	✓	2.05
2026-08-11	oos	0.037296	0.035409	-5.06%	0.047248	+26.68%	0.0868	✓	2.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.038765	0.036846	-4.95%	0.049799	+28.46%	0.0839	✓	1.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.040031	0.038141	-4.72%	0.052052	+30.03%	0.0583	✓	1.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.043324	0.040846	-5.72%	0.048497	+11.94%	0.2122	✓	1.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.038756	0.037101	-4.27%	0.052082	+34.39%	0.1864	✓	2.46
2026-08-06	oos	0.037333	0.035759	-4.22%	0.061653	+65.14%	0.0064	✓	2.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.038876	0.037159	-4.42%	0.076665	+97.21%	0.2021	✗	2.49
2026-08-04	oos	0.038449	0.036721	-4.50%	0.055088	+43.28%	0.1971	✓	2.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.037962	0.036188	-4.67%	0.041738	+9.95%	0.3680	✓	2.59
2026-08-02	oos	0.038423	0.036668	-4.57%	0.043203	+12.44%	0.3412	✓	2.55
2026-08-01	oos	0.038862	0.036985	-4.83%	0.044504	+14.52%	0.3667	✓	2.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.039347	0.037517	-4.65%	0.047096	+19.69%	0.2978	✓	2.48
2026-07-30	oos	0.043061	0.040934	-4.94%	0.050108	+16.37%	0.2752	✓	2.52
2026-07-29	oos	0.043863	0.041699	-4.93%	0.04966	+13.22%	0.3529	✓	2.67
2026-07-28	oos	0.04822	0.045281	-6.10%	0.053453	+10.85%	0.4454	✓	2.67
2026-07-27	oos	0.042755	0.040841	-4.48%	0.051848	+21.27%	0.3386	✓	2.68
2026-07-26	oos	0.05082	0.047491	-6.55%	0.049368	-2.86%	0.4279	✓	2.54
2026-07-25	oos	0.038615	0.037515	-2.85%	0.051194	+32.58%	0.1958	✓	2.46
2026-07-24	oos	0.038026	0.037207	-2.15%	0.052031	+36.83%	0.1322	✓	2.42
2026-07-23	oos	0.0385	0.037811	-1.79%	0.054691	+42.05%	0.0403	✓	2.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.040317	0.039628	-1.71%	0.059058	+46.48%	0.0085	✓	2.40
2026-07-21	oos	0.044366	0.043511	-1.93%	0.048109	+8.44%	0.1222	✓	2.39
2026-07-20	oos	0.043322	0.042456	-2.00%	0.047886	+10.54%	0.0237	✓	2.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.043592	0.042743	-1.95%	0.041719	-4.30%	0.0242	✓	2.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.046336	0.045393	-2.03%	0.039132	-15.55%	0.1372	✓	2.27
2026-07-17	oos	0.041387	0.040609	-1.88%	0.041845	+1.11%	0.0631	✗	1.98
2026-07-16	oos	0.043618	0.042813	-1.85%	0.039066	-10.44%	0.0687	✓	1.93
2026-07-15	oos	0.047648	0.046858	-1.66%	0.037082	-22.18%	0.1867	✓	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.050717	0.049858	-1.69%	0.037614	-25.84%	0.2396	✓	1.73
2026-07-13	oos	0.050208	0.049116	-2.18%	0.038149	-24.02%	0.2864	✓	1.85
2026-07-12	oos	0.054903	0.05365	-2.28%	0.037296	-32.07%	0.3577	✓	1.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.054401	0.053173	-2.26%	0.038765	-28.74%	0.3199	✓	1.78
2026-07-10	oos	0.051832	0.050763	-2.06%	0.040031	-22.77%	0.2579	✓	1.83
2026-07-09	oos	0.054605	0.053271	-2.44%	0.043324	-20.66%	0.2574	✓	1.87
2026-07-08	oos	0.052663	0.051377	-2.44%	0.038756	-26.41%	0.3674	✓	2.05
2026-07-07	oos	0.055374	0.053997	-2.49%	0.037333	-32.58%	0.3988	✓	2.01
2026-07-06	oos	0.059639	0.058065	-2.64%	0.038876	-34.81%	0.4199	✓	2.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.059466	0.058042	-2.40%	0.038449	-35.34%	0.4264	✓	2.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.064273	0.06224	-3.16%	0.037962	-40.94%	0.5066	✓	2.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.06707	0.064506	-3.82%	0.038423	-42.71%	0.5489	✓	1.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.064804	0.062401	-3.71%	0.038862	-40.03%	0.5146	✓	1.99
2026-07-01	oos	0.061492	0.059414	-3.38%	0.039347	-36.01%	0.5057	✓	2.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.052371	0.051114	-2.40%	0.043061	-17.78%	0.3680	✓	1.95
2026-06-29	oos	0.054438	0.052959	-2.72%	0.043863	-19.43%	0.3058	✓	1.95
2026-06-28	oos	0.050641	0.048741	-3.75%	0.04822	-4.78%	0.1465	✓	1.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.054499	0.051964	-4.65%	0.042755	-21.55%	0.3099	✓	1.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.055757	0.053057	-4.84%	0.05082	-8.85%	0.2044	✓	1.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.053004	0.050358	-4.99%	0.038615	-27.15%	0.4056	✓	1.89
2026-06-24	oos	0.05462	0.051875	-5.03%	0.038026	-30.38%	0.4013	✓	1.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.061169	0.058074	-5.06%	0.0385	-37.06%	0.4793	✓	1.81
2026-06-22	oos	0.065839	0.062325	-5.34%	0.040317	-38.76%	0.4934	✓	1.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.068421	0.064636	-5.53%	0.044366	-35.16%	0.4669	✓	1.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.070529	0.066387	-5.87%	0.043322	-38.58%	0.4531	✓	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.067218	0.063303	-5.82%	0.043592	-35.15%	0.4059	✓	1.75
2026-06-18	oos	0.066817	0.062893	-5.87%	0.046336	-30.65%	0.3586	✓	1.77
2026-06-17	oos	0.068936	0.064669	-6.19%	0.041387	-39.96%	0.4313	✓	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.074075	0.0691	-6.72%	0.043618	-41.12%	0.4107	✓	1.73
2026-06-15	oos	0.07769	0.071775	-7.61%	0.047648	-38.67%	0.3679	✓	1.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.082312	0.075219	-8.62%	0.050717	-38.38%	0.3747	✓	1.77
2026-06-13	oos	0.07797	0.071597	-8.17%	0.050208	-35.61%	0.2961	✓	1.72
2026-06-12	oos	0.071386	0.065937	-7.63%	0.054903	-23.09%	0.1885	✓	1.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.067829	0.062809	-7.40%	0.054401	-19.80%	0.1493	✓	1.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.066021	0.061447	-6.93%	0.051832	-21.49%	0.2443	✓	1.74
2026-06-09	oos	0.071643	0.066075	-7.77%	0.054605	-23.78%	0.2318	✓	1.73
2026-06-08	oos	0.077125	0.07031	-8.84%	0.052663	-31.72%	0.2668	✓	1.69
2026-06-07	oos	0.073677	0.067453	-8.45%	0.055374	-24.84%	0.1979	✓	1.66
2026-06-06	oos	0.072464	0.066736	-7.90%	0.059639	-17.70%	0.1979	✓	1.69
2026-06-05	oos	0.067914	0.062974	-7.27%	0.059466	-12.44%	0.1275	✓	1.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.06834	0.063017	-7.79%	0.064273	-5.95%	0.0400	✓	1.78
2026-06-03	oos	0.076015	0.069361	-8.75%	0.06707	-11.77%	0.0092	✓	1.78
2026-06-02	oos	0.069034	0.063512	-8.00%	0.064804	-6.13%	0.1757	✗	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.074536	0.068023	-8.74%	0.061492	-17.50%	0.2057	✗	1.77
2026-05-31	oos	0.07637	0.069693	-8.74%	0.052371	-31.42%	0.1214	✗	1.78
2026-05-30	oos	0.08534	0.077138	-9.61%	0.054438	-36.21%	0.0052	✓	1.68
2026-05-29	oos	0.086672	0.078332	-9.62%	0.050641	-41.57%	0.0789	✓	1.70
2026-05-28	oos	0.075982	0.069888	-8.02%	0.054499	-28.27%	0.0970	✗	1.69
2026-05-27	oos	0.063912	0.058889	-7.86%	0.055757	-12.76%	0.3203	✗	1.75
2026-05-26	oos	0.084221	0.07559	-10.25%	0.053004	-37.07%	0.0322	✓	1.62
2026-05-25	oos	0.103826	0.090985	-12.37%	0.05462	-47.39%	0.1698	✓	1.44
2026-05-24	oos	0.10912	0.09511	-12.84%	0.061169	-43.94%	0.1444	✓	1.44
2026-05-23	oos	0.114713	0.099216	-13.51%	0.065839	-42.61%	0.1504	✓	1.43
2026-05-22	oos	0.102325	0.089355	-12.67%	0.068421	-33.13%	0.0166	✓	1.42
2026-05-21	oos	0.116733	0.1007	-13.73%	0.070529	-39.58%	0.1022	✓	1.35
2026-05-20	oos	0.115211	0.099073	-14.01%	0.067218	-41.66%	0.1148	✓	1.37
2026-05-19	oos	0.108436	0.093642	-13.64%	0.066817	-38.38%	0.0643	✓	1.37
2026-05-18	oos	0.113559	0.097182	-14.42%	0.068936	-39.29%	0.1057	✓	1.34
2026-05-17	oos	0.11052	0.094755	-14.26%	0.074075	-32.98%	0.0235	✓	1.35
2026-05-16	oos	0.115287	0.098054	-14.95%	0.07769	-32.61%	0.0136	✓	1.33
2026-05-15	oos	0.117633	0.099604	-15.33%	0.082312	-30.03%	0.0639	✓	1.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.13098	0.108503	-17.16%	0.07797	-40.47%	0.0230	✓	1.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.1313	0.1062	-19.12%	0.071386	-45.63%	0.1023	✓	1.33
2026-05-12	oos	0.10436	0.086715	-16.91%	0.067829	-35.00%	0.0936	✓	1.44
2026-05-11	oos	0.118506	0.095182	-19.68%	0.066021	-44.29%	0.0329	✓	1.40
2026-05-10	oos	0.119429	0.091595	-23.31%	0.071643	-40.01%	0.1602	✓	1.41
2026-05-09	oos	0.055455	0.047123	-15.02%	0.077125	+39.08%	0.7694	✗	1.12
2026-05-08	oos	0.049767	0.042775	-14.05%	0.073677	+48.04%	0.8040	✗	1.10
2026-05-07	oos	0.04613	0.040042	-13.20%	0.072464	+57.09%	0.8993	✗	1.12
2026-05-06	oos	0.051663	0.043463	-15.87%	0.067914	+31.46%	0.7739	✗	1.14
2026-05-05	oos	0.042961	0.037145	-13.54%	0.06834	+59.07%	0.8672	✗	1.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.044384	0.037546	-15.41%	0.076015	+71.27%	0.9459	✗	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.051022	0.040322	-20.97%	0.069034	+35.30%	0.7300	✗	1.17
2026-05-02	oos	0.027771	0.024789	-10.74%	0.074536	+168.40%	1.2200	✗	1.21
2026-05-01	oos	0.021138	0.019587	-7.34%	0.07637	+261.29%	1.4339	✗	1.19
2026-04-30	oos	0.017079	0.016101	-5.73%	0.08534	+399.68%	1.7059	✗	1.13
2026-04-29	oos	0.017214	0.016189	-5.95%	0.086672	+403.50%	1.7140	✗	1.13
2026-04-28	oos	0.019348	0.01805	-6.71%	0.075982	+292.71%	1.4801	✗	1.14
2026-04-27	oos	0.017751	0.016729	-5.76%	0.063912	+260.05%	1.3867	✗	1.15
2026-04-26	oos	0.020579	0.019277	-6.33%	0.084221	+309.26%	1.5166	✗	1.14
2026-04-25	oos	0.021359	0.019838	-7.12%	0.103826	+386.10%	1.6611	✗	1.15
2026-04-24	oos	0.022413	0.020659	-7.82%	0.10912	+386.86%	1.6717	✗	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.021945	0.02031	-7.45%	0.114713	+422.73%	1.7561	✗	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	0.020439	0.019064	-6.73%	0.102325	+400.64%	1.7226	✗	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.020099	0.018586	-7.53%	0.116733	+480.79%	1.8190	✗	1.19
2026-04-20	oos	0.021041	0.019203	-8.74%	0.115211	+447.55%	1.7660	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.021534	0.019225	-10.72%	0.108436	+403.56%	1.6775	✗	1.34
2026-04-18	oos	0.016351	0.015436	-5.60%	0.113559	+594.51%	1.9731	✗	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.014813	0.014306	-3.42%	0.11052	+646.10%	2.0387	✗	1.45
2026-04-16	oos	0.016833	0.015788	-6.21%	0.115287	+584.89%	1.9305	✗	1.50
2026-04-15	oos	0.015971	0.015076	-5.60%	0.117633	+636.54%	1.9723	✗	1.50
2026-04-14	oos	0.01568	0.014789	-5.68%	0.13098	+735.33%	2.0478	✗	1.50
2026-04-13	oos	0.0162	0.015203	-6.15%	0.1313	+710.49%	2.0623	✗	1.49
2026-04-12	oos	0.014801	0.01385	-6.43%	0.10436	+605.09%	1.8261	✗	1.50
2026-04-11	oos	0.016225	0.015059	-7.18%	0.118506	+630.39%	1.8970	✗	1.49
2026-04-10	oos	0.016809	0.015372	-8.55%	0.119429	+610.51%	1.8735	✗	1.49
2026-04-09	oos	0.011796	0.011486	-2.63%	0.055455	+370.12%	1.4098	✗	1.42
2026-04-08	oos	0.011923	0.011587	-2.82%	0.049767	+317.40%	1.2865	✗	1.42
2026-04-07	oos	0.012256	0.011919	-2.75%	0.04613	+276.39%	1.2020	✗	1.42
2026-04-06	oos	0.011104	0.010735	-3.32%	0.051663	+365.26%	1.3338	✗	1.41
2026-04-05	oos	0.011418	0.011012	-3.55%	0.042961	+276.26%	1.1362	✗	1.41
2026-04-04	oos	0.011593	0.011156	-3.77%	0.044384	+282.85%	1.1409	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.01142	0.011027	-3.44%	0.051022	+346.78%	1.3041	✗	1.43
2026-04-02	oos	0.011454	0.011066	-3.39%	0.027771	+142.46%	0.6882	✗	1.43
2026-04-01	oos	0.012049	0.011623	-3.53%	0.021138	+75.43%	0.3983	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.012335	0.011915	-3.40%	0.017079	+38.46%	0.1954	✗	1.47
2026-03-30	oos	0.01199	0.011633	-2.98%	0.017214	+43.57%	0.2048	✗	1.48
2026-03-29	oos	0.01185	0.011542	-2.60%	0.019348	+63.27%	0.3012	✗	1.48
2026-03-28	oos	0.012297	0.012007	-2.36%	0.017751	+44.35%	0.1631	✗	1.48
2026-03-27	oos	0.011262	0.011081	-1.60%	0.020579	+82.73%	0.3675	✗	1.48
2026-03-26	oos	0.011196	0.011111	-0.76%	0.021359	+90.77%	0.4711	✗	1.50
2026-03-25	oos	0.012216	0.01226	+0.36%	0.022413	+83.47%	0.4797	✓	1.49
2026-03-24	oos	0.01236	0.012415	+0.44%	0.021945	+77.55%	0.4138	✓	1.50
2026-03-23	oos	0.01244	0.012543	+0.82%	0.020439	+64.30%	0.3412	✓	1.49
2026-03-22	oos	0.011844	0.011831	-0.11%	0.020099	+69.70%	0.3521	✗	1.51
2026-03-21	oos	0.012769	0.012789	+0.15%	0.021041	+64.78%	0.3537	✓	1.50
2026-03-20	oos	0.013328	0.013438	+0.83%	0.021534	+61.57%	0.4024	✓	1.50
2026-03-19	oos	0.01359	0.013716	+0.93%	0.016351	+20.32%	0.0558	✓	1.50
2026-03-18	oos	0.014035	0.014229	+1.38%	0.014813	+5.54%	0.0758	✗	1.47
2026-03-17	oos	0.015245	0.015483	+1.56%	0.016833	+10.42%	0.0595	✓	1.46
2026-03-16	oos	0.014646	0.01496	+2.14%	0.015971	+9.05%	0.0664	✓	1.47
2026-03-15	oos	0.014532	0.01483	+2.05%	0.01568	+7.90%	0.0281	✓	1.51
2026-03-14	oos	0.013737	0.01404	+2.20%	0.0162	+17.93%	0.0765	✓	1.51
2026-03-13	oos	0.013603	0.013918	+2.31%	0.014801	+8.81%	0.0656	✓	1.52
2026-03-12	oos	0.013909	0.014226	+2.28%	0.016225	+16.65%	0.0772	✓	1.53
2026-03-11	oos	0.013887	0.014219	+2.39%	0.016809	+21.04%	0.1094	✓	1.49
2026-03-10	oos	0.014101	0.014438	+2.39%	0.011796	-16.35%	0.2410	✗	1.50
2026-03-09	oos	0.013936	0.014261	+2.33%	0.011923	-14.44%	0.2364	✗	1.51
2026-03-08	oos	0.013428	0.01372	+2.17%	0.012256	-8.73%	0.2440	✗	1.52
2026-03-07	oos	0.0141	0.01444	+2.41%	0.011104	-21.25%	0.2986	✗	1.53
2026-03-06	oos	0.014489	0.01486	+2.56%	0.011418	-21.20%	0.2836	✗	1.54
2026-03-05	oos	0.015377	0.015743	+2.38%	0.011593	-24.61%	0.2258	✗	1.54
2026-03-04	oos	0.015364	0.015731	+2.39%	0.01142	-25.67%	0.1944	✗	1.53
2026-03-03	oos	0.015245	0.015612	+2.41%	0.011454	-24.87%	0.2750	✗	1.63
2026-03-02	oos	0.015028	0.015427	+2.65%	0.012049	-19.82%	0.2300	✗	1.63
2026-03-01	oos	0.014585	0.015	+2.85%	0.012335	-15.43%	0.2566	✗	1.67
2026-02-28	oos	0.015156	0.01556	+2.67%	0.01199	-20.89%	0.2548	✗	1.71
2026-02-27	oos	0.015152	0.015548	+2.62%	0.01185	-21.79%	0.2742	✗	1.71
2026-02-26	oos	0.015637	0.016002	+2.33%	0.012297	-21.36%	0.2334	✗	1.72
2026-02-25	oos	0.016497	0.016731	+1.42%	0.011262	-31.73%	0.3540	✗	1.71
2026-02-24	oos	0.015577	0.015944	+2.36%	0.011196	-28.12%	0.4765	✗	1.74
2026-02-23	oos	0.015402	0.015799	+2.58%	0.012216	-20.69%	0.4243	✗	1.70
2026-02-22	oos	0.015946	0.016255	+1.94%	0.01236	-22.49%	0.3468	✗	1.73
2026-02-21	oos	0.016789	0.016953	+0.98%	0.01244	-25.90%	0.3827	✗	1.74
2026-02-20	oos	0.018878	0.018598	-1.48%	0.011844	-37.26%	0.4477	✓	1.74
2026-02-19	oos	0.016883	0.017047	+0.97%	0.012769	-24.37%	0.3379	✗	1.71
2026-02-18	oos	0.015944	0.016276	+2.08%	0.013328	-16.41%	0.3020	✗	1.71
2026-02-17	oos	0.015125	0.015535	+2.71%	0.01359	-10.15%	0.1927	✗	1.65
2026-02-16	oos	0.015343	0.015666	+2.11%	0.014035	-8.53%	0.1664	✗	1.66
2026-02-15	oos	0.014757	0.015164	+2.76%	0.015245	+3.31%	0.1162	✗	1.69
2026-02-14	oos	0.016816	0.016829	+0.08%	0.014646	-12.90%	0.2578	✗	1.69
2026-02-13	oos	0.015044	0.015391	+2.31%	0.014532	-3.40%	0.1520	✗	1.67
2026-02-12	oos	0.014501	0.014991	+3.38%	0.013737	-5.27%	0.2104	✗	1.68
2026-02-11	oos	0.015041	0.015426	+2.56%	0.013603	-9.56%	0.2259	✗	1.76
2026-02-10	oos	0.015571	0.015792	+1.42%	0.013909	-10.67%	0.1708	✗	1.77
2026-02-09	oos	0.01632	0.016355	+0.22%	0.013887	-14.91%	0.1663	✗	1.76
2026-02-08	oos	0.016504	0.016496	-0.05%	0.014101	-14.56%	0.1487	✓	1.81
2026-02-07	oos	0.016871	0.016851	-0.12%	0.013936	-17.40%	0.1685	✓	1.82
2026-02-06	oos	0.01778	0.017525	-1.43%	0.013428	-24.48%	0.1418	✓	1.86
2026-02-05	oos	0.015059	0.015453	+2.62%	0.0141	-6.37%	0.2263	✗	1.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.017318	0.01704	-1.61%	0.014489	-16.34%	0.0173	✗	2.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.017718	0.017331	-2.19%	0.015377	-13.21%	0.0560	✗	2.69
2026-02-02	oos	0.020235	0.019536	-3.45%	0.015364	-24.07%	0.0324	✓	2.63
2026-02-01	oos	0.017641	0.017276	-2.07%	0.015245	-13.58%	0.1817	✗	2.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.017935	0.017539	-2.21%	0.015028	-16.21%	0.2116	✗	2.75
2026-01-30	oos	0.01915	0.01859	-2.92%	0.014585	-23.84%	0.4817	✗	2.94
2026-01-29	oos	0.02071	0.020023	-3.31%	0.015156	-26.82%	0.4044	✗	2.93
2026-01-28	oos	0.022679	0.021735	-4.16%	0.015152	-33.19%	0.5551	✗	3.02
2026-01-27	oos	0.024479	0.023293	-4.84%	0.015637	-36.12%	0.4479	✗	3.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.022605	0.021642	-4.26%	0.016497	-27.02%	0.5105	✗	3.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.022063	0.021132	-4.22%	0.015577	-29.40%	0.6029	✗	3.02
2026-01-24	oos	0.024473	0.023226	-5.10%	0.015402	-37.07%	0.5552	✗	3.01
2026-01-23	oos	0.026456	0.024913	-5.83%	0.015946	-39.73%	0.4182	✗	3.09
2026-01-22	oos	0.032191	0.02929	-9.01%	0.016789	-47.85%	0.2937	✗	3.09
2026-01-21	oos	0.023171	0.02196	-5.23%	0.018878	-18.53%	0.6858	✗	3.06
2026-01-20	oos	0.018313	0.017582	-3.99%	0.016883	-7.81%	0.7802	✗	2.97
2026-01-19	oos	0.023505	0.022287	-5.18%	0.015944	-32.17%	0.6104	✗	2.85
2026-01-18	oos	0.02579	0.024398	-5.40%	0.015125	-41.35%	0.4560	✗	2.85
2026-01-17	oos	0.02673	0.025334	-5.22%	0.015343	-42.60%	0.4178	✗	2.85
2026-01-16	oos	0.027192	0.0257	-5.49%	0.014757	-45.73%	0.3699	✗	2.82
2026-01-15	oos	0.029237	0.027648	-5.43%	0.016816	-42.48%	0.4000	✗	2.85
2026-01-14	oos	0.030749	0.029234	-4.93%	0.015044	-51.07%	0.3157	✗	2.86
2026-01-13	oos	0.031931	0.030182	-5.48%	0.014501	-54.59%	0.3224	✗	2.89
2026-01-12	oos	0.028533	0.027046	-5.21%	0.015041	-47.29%	0.3184	✗	2.94
2026-01-11	oos	0.029619	0.028132	-5.02%	0.015571	-47.43%	0.2364	✗	2.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.029067	0.027709	-4.67%	0.01632	-43.85%	0.2297	✗	2.99
2026-01-09	oos	0.030445	0.02907	-4.52%	0.016504	-45.79%	0.2309	✗	3.15
2026-01-08	oos	0.032313	0.030792	-4.71%	0.016871	-47.79%	0.2669	✗	3.18
2026-01-07	oos	0.032088	0.030652	-4.48%	0.01778	-44.59%	0.2780	✗	3.19
2026-01-06	oos	0.036131	0.034293	-5.09%	0.015059	-58.32%	0.4477	✗	3.17
2026-01-05	oos	0.03737	0.035309	-5.51%	0.017318	-53.66%	0.0879	✗	3.18
2026-01-04	oos	0.039302	0.036489	-7.16%	0.017718	-54.92%	0.0981	✓	3.29
2026-01-03	oos	0.033125	0.031685	-4.35%	0.020235	-38.91%	0.0080	✓	3.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.032199	0.030858	-4.17%	0.017641	-45.21%	0.0546	✓	3.22
2026-01-01	oos	0.029207	0.02823	-3.35%	0.017935	-38.59%	0.0697	✓	3.18
2025-12-31	oos	0.024929	0.024284	-2.59%	0.01915	-23.18%	0.1151	✓	3.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.027256	0.026473	-2.87%	0.02071	-24.02%	0.1056	✓	3.11
2025-12-29	oos	0.026787	0.026004	-2.92%	0.022679	-15.34%	0.2082	✓	3.07
2025-12-28	oos	0.028949	0.028008	-3.25%	0.024479	-15.44%	0.1775	✓	3.06
2025-12-27	oos	0.029139	0.02818	-3.29%	0.022605	-22.42%	0.2356	✓	3.03
2025-12-26	oos	0.029035	0.028089	-3.26%	0.022063	-24.01%	0.2154	✓	3.09
2025-12-25	oos	0.029036	0.02813	-3.12%	0.024473	-15.71%	0.2060	✓	3.08
2025-12-24	oos	0.029699	0.028771	-3.13%	0.026456	-10.92%	0.1492	✓	3.10
2025-12-23	oos	0.030548	0.029578	-3.18%	0.032191	+5.38%	0.0178	✓	2.91
2025-12-22	oos	0.033229	0.032026	-3.62%	0.023171	-30.27%	0.3497	✓	2.87
2025-12-21	oos	0.03253	0.031457	-3.30%	0.018313	-43.70%	0.5303	✓	2.87
2025-12-20	oos	0.032407	0.031415	-3.06%	0.023505	-27.47%	0.4180	✓	2.73
2025-12-19	oos	0.034559	0.033334	-3.54%	0.02579	-25.38%	0.4237	✓	2.74
2025-12-18	oos	0.035919	0.034414	-4.19%	0.02673	-25.58%	0.5543	✓	2.82
2025-12-17	oos	0.037548	0.035735	-4.83%	0.027192	-27.58%	0.5612	✓	2.81
2025-12-16	oos	0.038119	0.036241	-4.93%	0.029237	-23.30%	0.4510	✓	2.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.032456	0.031639	-2.52%	0.030749	-5.26%	0.3445	✓	2.75
2025-12-14	oos	0.035177	0.034123	-3.00%	0.031931	-9.23%	0.2820	✓	2.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.038643	0.037137	-3.90%	0.028533	-26.16%	0.2916	✓	2.73
2025-12-12	oos	0.03879	0.037326	-3.77%	0.029619	-23.64%	0.2492	✓	2.73
2025-12-11	oos	0.035229	0.034477	-2.13%	0.029067	-17.49%	0.1038	✓	2.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.031928	0.03157	-1.12%	0.030445	-4.64%	0.0104	✓	2.80
2025-12-09	oos	0.034859	0.034305	-1.59%	0.032313	-7.30%	0.0090	✓	2.81
2025-12-08	oos	0.033084	0.032857	-0.69%	0.032088	-3.01%	0.0427	✓	2.76
2025-12-07	oos	0.027594	0.027766	+0.62%	0.036131	+30.94%	0.1645	✓	2.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.025938	0.026206	+1.03%	0.03737	+44.07%	0.2169	✓	2.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.028883	0.029203	+1.11%	0.039302	+36.07%	0.2317	✓	2.75
2025-12-04	oos	0.028854	0.029187	+1.15%	0.033125	+14.80%	0.1727	✓	2.82
2025-12-03	oos	0.033821	0.034148	+0.97%	0.032199	-4.80%	0.0473	✓	2.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.032976	0.033387	+1.25%	0.029207	-11.43%	0.0545	✗	2.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.029651	0.030207	+1.87%	0.024929	-15.93%	0.2320	✗	2.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.034603	0.035057	+1.31%	0.027256	-21.23%	0.1862	✗	2.97
2025-11-29	oos	0.035765	0.036229	+1.30%	0.026787	-25.10%	0.1792	✗	2.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.038231	0.038685	+1.19%	0.028949	-24.28%	0.1906	✗	2.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.039315	0.039786	+1.20%	0.029139	-25.88%	0.1972	✗	2.92
2025-11-26	oos	0.041459	0.041719	+0.63%	0.029035	-29.97%	0.2565	✗	2.97
2025-11-25	oos	0.042225	0.042323	+0.23%	0.029036	-31.24%	0.3713	✗	3.10
2025-11-24	oos	0.042309	0.042505	+0.46%	0.029699	-29.80%	0.3352	✗	3.11
2025-11-23	oos	0.03884	0.03935	+1.31%	0.030548	-21.35%	0.2752	✗	3.09
2025-11-22	oos	0.038014	0.038561	+1.44%	0.033229	-12.59%	0.2906	✗	3.17
2025-11-21	oos	0.035996	0.036727	+2.03%	0.03253	-9.63%	0.2511	✗	3.16
2025-11-20	oos	0.038646	0.039258	+1.58%	0.032407	-16.14%	0.2565	✗	3.17
2025-11-19	oos	0.038101	0.038718	+1.62%	0.034559	-9.30%	0.0198	✓	3.56
2025-11-18	oos	0.039606	0.040135	+1.33%	0.035919	-9.31%	0.1854	✓	3.54
2025-11-17	oos	0.032313	0.032994	+2.11%	0.037548	+16.20%	0.3663	✓	3.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.035815	0.036522	+1.97%	0.038119	+6.43%	0.2826	✓	3.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.036976	0.037618	+1.74%	0.032456	-12.22%	0.2012	✓	3.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.03601	0.036769	+2.11%	0.035177	-2.31%	0.1967	✓	3.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.044999	0.044856	-0.32%	0.038643	-14.12%	0.1893	✗	3.43
2025-11-12	oos	0.04727	0.046634	-1.34%	0.03879	-17.94%	0.2243	✗	3.45
2025-11-11	oos	0.047855	0.047012	-1.76%	0.035229	-26.38%	0.0824	✗	3.46
2025-11-10	oos	0.057997	0.054281	-6.41%	0.031928	-44.95%	0.0522	✓	3.39
2025-11-09	oos	0.056993	0.053669	-5.83%	0.034859	-38.84%	0.0177	✓	3.40
2025-11-08	oos	0.047953	0.04732	-1.32%	0.033084	-31.01%	0.0426	✗	3.32
2025-11-07	oos	0.052006	0.05046	-2.97%	0.027594	-46.94%	0.1629	✓	3.31
2025-11-06	oos	0.043195	0.043227	+0.07%	0.025938	-39.95%	0.1040	✗	3.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.050941	0.049774	-2.29%	0.028883	-43.30%	0.0676	✓	3.16
2025-11-04	oos	0.051417	0.050328	-2.12%	0.028854	-43.88%	0.2594	✓	3.06
2025-11-03	oos	0.059831	0.056219	-6.04%	0.033821	-43.47%	0.0931	✓	3.16
2025-11-02	oos	0.078164	0.071039	-9.11%	0.032976	-57.81%	0.2205	✓	2.86
2025-11-01	oos	0.079799	0.072465	-9.19%	0.029651	-62.84%	0.1840	✓	2.92
2025-10-31	oos	0.082447	0.074713	-9.38%	0.034603	-58.03%	0.2006	✓	2.96
2025-10-30	oos	0.083171	0.07543	-9.31%	0.035765	-57.00%	0.2287	✓	2.94
2025-10-29	oos	0.092022	0.083313	-9.46%	0.038231	-58.45%	0.2597	✓	2.72
2025-10-28	oos	0.095911	0.087448	-8.82%	0.039315	-59.01%	0.2351	✓	2.66
2025-10-27	oos	0.101254	0.092413	-8.73%	0.041459	-59.05%	0.1880	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.101013	0.092347	-8.58%	0.042225	-58.20%	0.0680	✓	2.63
2025-10-25	oos	0.084765	0.078165	-7.79%	0.042309	-50.09%	0.0008	✓	2.61
2025-10-24	oos	0.086585	0.080133	-7.45%	0.03884	-55.14%	0.0192	✓	2.86
2025-10-23	oos	0.084859	0.078874	-7.05%	0.038014	-55.20%	0.0317	✓	2.90
2025-10-22	oos	0.081677	0.076464	-6.38%	0.035996	-55.93%	0.0641	✓	2.94
2025-10-21	oos	0.08843	0.082713	-6.46%	0.038646	-56.30%	0.1042	✓	2.92
2025-10-20	oos	0.097409	0.0906	-6.99%	0.038101	-60.89%	0.3116	✓	2.92
2025-10-19	oos	0.095651	0.089206	-6.74%	0.039606	-58.59%	0.3708	✓	2.82
2025-10-18	oos	0.099645	0.092832	-6.84%	0.032313	-67.57%	0.6178	✓	2.88
2025-10-17	oos	0.085138	0.080996	-4.87%	0.035815	-57.93%	0.4699	✓	2.82
2025-10-16	oos	0.091482	0.086234	-5.74%	0.036976	-59.58%	0.4990	✓	2.80
2025-10-15	oos	0.098	0.091535	-6.60%	0.03601	-63.26%	0.4852	✓	2.81
2025-10-14	oos	0.112299	0.104479	-6.96%	0.044999	-59.93%	0.4956	✓	2.74
2025-10-13	oos	0.127404	0.11746	-7.81%	0.04727	-62.90%	0.5751	✓	2.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.113702	0.105389	-7.31%	0.047855	-57.91%	0.4907	✓	2.70
2025-10-11	oos	0.088263	0.082101	-6.98%	0.057997	-34.29%	0.2388	✓	2.46
2025-10-10	oos	0.100527	0.093199	-7.29%	0.056993	-43.31%	0.3176	✓	2.29
2025-10-09	oos	0.128993	0.119037	-7.72%	0.047953	-62.83%	0.5839	✓	1.87
2025-10-08	oos	0.135084	0.124522	-7.82%	0.052006	-61.50%	0.5651	✓	1.74
2025-10-07	oos	0.126468	0.116068	-8.22%	0.043195	-65.85%	0.6599	✓	1.81
2025-10-06	oos	0.142165	0.131366	-7.60%	0.050941	-64.17%	0.6357	✓	1.70
2025-10-05	oos	0.141855	0.130939	-7.70%	0.051417	-63.75%	0.5940	✓	1.73
2025-10-04	oos	0.145562	0.133864	-8.04%	0.059831	-58.90%	0.5563	✓	1.79
2025-10-03	oos	0.160385	0.146695	-8.54%	0.078164	-51.26%	0.4471	✓	1.80
2025-10-02	oos	0.164899	0.149364	-9.42%	0.079799	-51.61%	0.4573	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	0.152239	0.137727	-9.53%	0.082447	-45.84%	0.3580	✓	1.94
2025-09-30	oos	0.143427	0.129535	-9.69%	0.083171	-42.01%	0.3418	✓	1.96
2025-09-29	oos	0.1601	0.143351	-10.46%	0.092022	-42.52%	0.3479	✓	2.47
2025-09-28	oos	0.163044	0.145515	-10.75%	0.095911	-41.17%	0.4333	✓	2.61
2025-09-27	oos	0.138059	0.124875	-9.55%	0.101254	-26.66%	0.3017	✓	2.34
2025-09-26	oos	0.169959	0.150153	-11.65%	0.101013	-40.57%	0.4961	✓	2.30
2025-09-25	oos	0.153142	0.136381	-10.94%	0.084765	-44.65%	0.5301	✓	2.29
2025-09-24	oos	0.136167	0.122159	-10.29%	0.086585	-36.41%	0.2883	✓	2.72
2025-09-23	oos	0.142865	0.126672	-11.33%	0.084859	-40.60%	0.3521	✓	2.83
2025-09-22	oos	0.137713	0.122282	-11.21%	0.081677	-40.69%	0.2686	✓	2.89
2025-09-21	oos	0.107217	0.098883	-7.77%	0.08843	-17.52%	0.0947	✗	3.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.109754	0.100973	-8.00%	0.097409	-11.25%	0.1208	✗	3.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.121625	0.109627	-9.87%	0.095651	-21.36%	0.0850	✓	3.54
2025-09-18	oos	0.123611	0.110898	-10.28%	0.099645	-19.39%	0.2000	✗	3.47

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.