TENDIES

TENDIES · Robinhood · gru_s5

token id: #799
symbol: TENDIES
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x45242320dbb855eea8fd36804c6487e10e97fcf9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-16
predictions: 267

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 89 predictions shown

direction hit

64.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1264

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0049

actual -0.0216

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004573	0.004533	-0.87%	–	pending	–	–	2.70
2026-10-20	oos	0.004425	0.004381	-1.02%	0.004573	+3.33%	0.0502	✗	2.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.00342	0.003434	+0.41%	0.004425	+29.40%	0.2216	✓	2.40
2026-10-18	oos	0.0035	0.003516	+0.46%	0.00342	-2.29%	0.0232	✗	2.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.00385	0.003863	+0.33%	0.0035	-9.09%	0.1154	✗	2.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.003762	0.003785	+0.61%	0.00385	+2.34%	0.0203	✓	2.22
2026-10-15	oos	0.004347	0.004356	+0.21%	0.003762	-13.46%	0.1296	✗	2.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.004939	0.004931	-0.15%	0.004347	-11.99%	0.1413	✓	2.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.005042	0.005032	-0.21%	0.004939	-2.04%	0.0236	✗	2.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.004456	0.004479	+0.51%	0.005042	+13.15%	0.0819	✓	2.22
2026-10-11	oos	0.005425	0.005414	-0.20%	0.004456	-17.86%	0.1451	✓	2.12
2026-10-10	oos	0.005468	0.005462	-0.11%	0.005425	-0.79%	0.0264	✓	2.12
2026-10-09	oos	0.004698	0.004731	+0.71%	0.005468	+16.39%	0.1353	✓	2.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.005044	0.005078	+0.67%	0.004698	-6.86%	0.0999	✗	2.13
2026-10-07	oos	0.005198	0.005231	+0.64%	0.005044	-2.96%	0.0048	✓	2.15
2026-10-06	oos	0.006669	0.006661	-0.12%	0.005198	-22.06%	0.1945	✓	1.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.007464	0.007431	-0.45%	0.006669	-10.65%	0.1033	✓	1.98
2026-10-04	oos	0.006732	0.006734	+0.03%	0.007464	+10.87%	0.1208	✓	2.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.006723	0.006738	+0.23%	0.006732	+0.14%	0.0429	✗	2.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.006885	0.006905	+0.30%	0.006723	-2.36%	0.0326	✗	2.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.008486	0.008467	-0.23%	0.006885	-18.87%	0.1987	✓	2.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.008463	0.008458	-0.06%	0.008486	+0.27%	0.0274	✓	2.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.008951	0.008943	-0.09%	0.008463	-5.45%	0.0532	✓	1.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.00977	0.009744	-0.26%	0.008951	-8.38%	0.0892	✓	1.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.010303	0.010266	-0.36%	0.00977	-5.18%	0.0258	✓	1.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.011222	0.011159	-0.57%	0.010303	-8.19%	0.0808	✓	1.98
2026-09-25	oos	0.010876	0.01083	-0.42%	0.011222	+3.18%	0.0280	✗	1.98
2026-09-24	oos	0.010248	0.010237	-0.11%	0.010876	+6.13%	0.0675	✗	2.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.01068	0.010668	-0.11%	0.010248	-4.04%	0.0403	✓	1.99
2026-09-22	oos	0.011668	0.011635	-0.28%	0.01068	-8.47%	0.0437	✓	1.97
2026-09-21	oos	0.013417	0.01334	-0.57%	0.011668	-13.04%	0.1251	✓	1.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.012814	0.012773	-0.32%	0.013417	+4.71%	0.0858	✓	2.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.013697	0.01363	-0.49%	0.012814	-6.45%	0.0599	✓	2.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.014911	0.014784	-0.85%	0.013697	-8.14%	0.0856	✓	2.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.011718	0.011728	+0.09%	0.014911	+27.24%	0.1376	✓	1.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.01202	0.012027	+0.06%	0.011718	-2.51%	0.0308	✗	1.78
2026-09-15	oos	0.01274	0.012732	-0.06%	0.01202	-5.65%	0.0708	✓	1.79
2026-09-14	oos	0.014146	0.014095	-0.37%	0.01274	-9.94%	0.0426	✓	1.73
2026-09-13	oos	0.013051	0.01304	-0.08%	0.014146	+8.39%	0.0513	✗	1.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.014048	0.014018	-0.21%	0.013051	-7.10%	0.0614	✓	1.67
2026-09-11	oos	0.016721	0.016633	-0.53%	0.014048	-15.99%	0.1701	✓	1.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.018437	0.018274	-0.88%	0.016721	-9.31%	0.1035	✓	1.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.01575	0.015672	-0.50%	0.018437	+17.06%	0.2058	✗	1.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.016751	0.016654	-0.58%	0.01575	-5.98%	0.0518	✓	1.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.016325	0.016224	-0.62%	0.016751	+2.61%	0.0478	✗	1.93
2026-09-06	oos	0.017816	0.017665	-0.85%	0.016325	-8.37%	0.0493	✓	1.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.021024	0.020838	-0.88%	0.017816	-15.26%	0.1688	✓	1.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.01957	0.019387	-0.94%	0.021024	+7.43%	0.0773	✗	1.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.029397	0.028952	-1.51%	0.01957	-33.43%	0.3625	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.033181	0.032104	-3.25%	0.029397	-11.40%	0.1863	✓	1.97
2026-09-01	oos	0.017887	0.01775	-0.76%	0.033181	+85.50%	0.6281	✗	2.14
2026-08-31	oos	0.01556	0.015474	-0.55%	0.017887	+14.96%	0.1798	✗	2.34
2026-08-30	oos	0.01848	0.018326	-0.83%	0.01556	-15.80%	0.1913	✓	2.41
2026-08-29	oos	0.017954	0.017794	-0.89%	0.01848	+2.93%	0.0557	✗	2.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.01445	0.014366	-0.58%	0.017954	+24.25%	0.2106	✗	2.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.016556	0.016443	-0.68%	0.01445	-12.72%	0.0571	✓	2.34
2026-08-26	oos	0.017784	0.017627	-0.89%	0.016556	-6.91%	0.1003	✓	2.40
2026-08-25	oos	0.015549	0.015449	-0.64%	0.017784	+14.37%	0.1256	✗	2.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.020972	0.020683	-1.38%	0.015549	-25.86%	0.2726	✓	2.21
2026-08-23	oos	0.018399	0.018152	-1.34%	0.020972	+13.98%	0.1102	✗	2.14
2026-08-22	oos	0.01375	0.013657	-0.68%	0.018399	+33.81%	0.2799	✗	2.08
2026-08-21	oos	0.01328	0.013192	-0.67%	0.01375	+3.54%	0.0774	✗	2.19
2026-08-20	oos	0.01453	0.014375	-1.07%	0.01328	-8.60%	0.3247	✓	3.49
2026-08-19	oos	0.01378	0.013592	-1.37%	0.01453	+5.44%	0.1474	✓	4.10
2026-08-18	oos	0.009565	0.00957	+0.05%	0.01378	+44.07%	0.1828	✓	2.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01009	0.010085	-0.05%	0.009565	-5.20%	0.0614	✓	2.66
2026-08-16	oos	0.01105	0.011035	-0.14%	0.01009	-8.69%	0.1831	✓	3.63
2026-08-15	oos	0.01269	0.012647	-0.34%	0.01105	-12.92%	0.1247	✓	3.56
2026-08-14	oos	0.01476	0.014688	-0.49%	0.01269	-14.02%	0.1469	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.01771	0.017591	-0.67%	0.01476	-16.66%	0.1683	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.01887	0.018729	-0.75%	0.01771	-6.15%	0.0562	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.02139	0.021184	-0.96%	0.01887	-11.78%	0.1138	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.02278	0.0225	-1.23%	0.02139	-6.10%	0.0446	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.01943	0.019264	-0.86%	0.02278	+17.24%	0.1822	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.02054	0.020328	-1.03%	0.01943	-5.40%	0.0443	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.0169	0.016786	-0.67%	0.02054	+21.54%	0.2015	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.01809	0.017951	-0.77%	0.0169	-6.58%	0.0700	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.02558	0.025119	-1.80%	0.01809	-29.28%	0.3230	✓	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.02012	0.019859	-1.30%	0.02558	+27.14%	0.2446	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.01793	0.017719	-1.18%	0.02012	+12.21%	0.1179	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.01447	0.01437	-0.69%	0.01793	+23.91%	0.2219	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.01273	0.012671	-0.47%	0.01447	+13.67%	0.1211	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.01294	0.012877	-0.49%	0.01273	-1.62%	0.0105	✓	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.01824	0.01799	-1.37%	0.01294	-29.06%	0.2997	✓	1.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.01305	0.012953	-0.74%	0.01824	+39.77%	0.3294	✗	1.00
2026-07-28	oos	0.00984	0.009806	-0.35%	0.01305	+32.62%	0.2850	✗	1.00
2026-07-27	oos	0.01129	0.011249	-0.36%	0.00984	-12.84%	0.1363	✓	1.00
2026-07-26	oos	0.01333	0.013276	-0.40%	0.01129	-15.30%	0.1365	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.01339	0.013339	-0.38%	0.01333	-0.45%	0.0168	✓	1.00