STONK

STONK · Solana · gru_s5

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 22 predictions shown

direction hit

71.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0787

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0036

actual -0.0331

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.12218	0.121149	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.12545	0.124253	-0.95%	0.12218	-2.61%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.114195	0.113619	-0.50%	0.12545	+9.86%	0.0857	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.1019	0.101588	-0.31%	0.114195	+12.07%	0.1190	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.10575	0.105656	-0.09%	0.1019	-3.64%	0.0439	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.11242	0.112348	-0.06%	0.10575	-5.93%	0.0591	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.12122	0.121085	-0.11%	0.11242	-7.26%	0.0666	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.110945	0.111179	+0.21%	0.12122	+9.26%	0.0797	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.12159	0.121565	-0.02%	0.110945	-8.75%	0.0728	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.131815	0.131814	-0.00%	0.12159	-7.76%	0.0972	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.14763	0.147032	-0.41%	0.131815	-10.71%	0.0858	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	0.139145	0.139119	-0.02%	0.14763	+6.10%	0.0502	✗	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	0.140195	0.140128	-0.05%	0.139145	-0.75%	0.0115	✓	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.154645	0.154254	-0.25%	0.140195	-9.34%	0.1059	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.171875	0.171231	-0.37%	0.154645	-10.02%	0.0827	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.216735	0.215508	-0.57%	0.171875	-20.70%	0.1994	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.194225	0.193278	-0.49%	0.216735	+11.59%	0.1170	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.229225	0.227919	-0.57%	0.194225	-15.27%	0.1512	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.217215	0.215756	-0.67%	0.229225	+5.53%	0.0399	✗	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.24939	0.24716	-0.89%	0.217215	-12.90%	0.1320	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.255775	0.254025	-0.68%	0.24939	-2.50%	0.0144	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.24725	0.245681	-0.63%	0.255775	+3.45%	0.0249	✗	1.00