SODA

SODAX · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #607
symbol: SODA
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4a1c82744cddee675a255fb289cb0917a482e7c7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-14
predictions: 183

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 61 predictions shown

direction hit

63.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0728

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0071

actual -0.0098

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.0093	0.00921	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.0093	0.00922	-0.86%	0.0093	+0.00%	0.0075	✓	0.46
2026-10-20	oos	0.00922	0.009146	-0.80%	0.0093	+0.87%	0.0108	✗	0.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.009435	0.009338	-1.03%	0.00922	-2.28%	0.0188	✓	0.46
2026-10-18	oos	0.00924	0.009165	-0.81%	0.009435	+2.11%	0.0300	✗	0.46
2026-10-17	oos	0.009955	0.009832	-1.24%	0.00924	-7.18%	0.0657	✓	0.47
2026-10-16	oos	0.00921	0.009133	-0.84%	0.009955	+8.09%	0.0869	✗	0.49
2026-10-15	oos	0.00979	0.009694	-0.98%	0.00921	-5.92%	0.0477	✓	0.47
2026-10-14	oos	0.009835	0.009739	-0.97%	0.00979	-0.46%	0.0020	✓	0.47
2026-10-13	oos	0.009835	0.009741	-0.96%	0.009835	+0.00%	0.0187	✗	0.49
2026-10-12	oos	0.01042	0.010288	-1.27%	0.009835	-5.61%	0.0534	✓	0.51
2026-10-11	oos	0.009465	0.009378	-0.92%	0.01042	+10.09%	0.1199	✗	0.62
2026-10-10	oos	0.009	0.008928	-0.80%	0.009465	+5.17%	0.0527	✗	0.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.009095	0.009025	-0.77%	0.009	-1.04%	0.0054	✓	0.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.009145	0.009071	-0.81%	0.009095	-0.55%	0.0037	✓	0.61
2026-10-07	oos	0.009585	0.009497	-0.92%	0.009145	-4.59%	0.0264	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.00934	0.009272	-0.72%	0.009585	+2.62%	0.0509	✗	0.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.00901	0.00895	-0.66%	0.00934	+3.66%	0.0443	✗	0.68
2026-10-04	oos	0.009785	0.009712	-0.75%	0.00901	-7.92%	0.0693	✓	0.65
2026-10-03	oos	0.00857	0.008514	-0.66%	0.009785	+14.18%	0.1273	✗	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.00839	0.008339	-0.60%	0.00857	+2.15%	0.0257	✗	0.58
2026-10-01	oos	0.0089	0.008849	-0.57%	0.00839	-5.73%	0.0510	✓	0.56
2026-09-30	oos	0.0103	0.010235	-0.63%	0.0089	-13.59%	0.1491	✓	0.61
2026-09-29	oos	0.01182	0.01173	-0.76%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.1294	✓	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.013025	0.012892	-1.02%	0.01182	-9.25%	0.0880	✓	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.01418	0.013991	-1.33%	0.013025	-8.15%	0.0654	✓	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.013	0.012883	-0.90%	0.01418	+9.08%	0.0956	✗	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.01406	0.013908	-1.08%	0.013	-7.54%	0.0696	✓	0.53
2026-09-24	oos	0.01284	0.012722	-0.92%	0.01406	+9.50%	0.1020	✗	0.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0138	0.01363	-1.23%	0.01284	-6.96%	0.0598	✓	0.56
2026-09-22	oos	0.014495	0.014221	-1.89%	0.0138	-4.79%	0.0188	✓	0.53
2026-09-21	oos	0.012945	0.01274	-1.59%	0.014495	+11.97%	0.1318	✗	0.59
2026-09-20	oos	0.010485	0.010401	-0.80%	0.012945	+23.46%	0.2118	✗	0.11
2026-09-19	oos	0.010525	0.010442	-0.78%	0.010485	-0.38%	0.0042	✓	0.11
2026-09-18	oos	0.009745	0.009695	-0.52%	0.010525	+8.00%	0.0816	✗	0.12
2026-09-17	oos	0.009605	0.009577	-0.30%	0.009745	+1.46%	0.0142	✗	0.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.00964	0.009616	-0.25%	0.009605	-0.36%	0.0013	✓	0.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.011075	0.011005	-0.63%	0.00964	-12.96%	0.1329	✓	0.07
2026-09-14	oos	0.011995	0.011882	-0.94%	0.011075	-7.67%	0.0727	✓	-0.07
2026-09-13	oos	0.01129	0.01123	-0.53%	0.011995	+6.24%	0.0680	✗	-0.12
2026-09-12	oos	0.012015	0.01194	-0.63%	0.01129	-6.03%	0.0499	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.012345	0.012271	-0.60%	0.012015	-2.67%	0.0218	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.011905	0.011852	-0.45%	0.012345	+3.70%	0.0320	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.012875	0.012799	-0.59%	0.011905	-7.53%	0.0499	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.015315	0.015116	-1.30%	0.012875	-15.93%	0.1584	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012585	0.012513	-0.57%	0.015315	+21.69%	0.2103	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.012795	0.012706	-0.70%	0.012585	-1.64%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.01463	0.014395	-1.61%	0.012795	-12.54%	0.1241	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.01162	0.011574	-0.40%	0.01463	+25.90%	0.2324	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.00913	0.009148	+0.20%	0.01162	+27.27%	0.2589	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.00859	0.008624	+0.39%	0.00913	+6.29%	0.0072	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.01134	0.011326	-0.13%	0.00859	-24.25%	0.2753	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.01109	0.011081	-0.08%	0.01134	+2.25%	0.0380	✗	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.01266	0.012633	-0.22%	0.01109	-12.40%	0.1417	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.01401	0.013974	-0.25%	0.01266	-9.64%	0.0915	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0142	0.014162	-0.26%	0.01401	-1.34%	0.0159	✓	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.01418	0.014157	-0.16%	0.0142	+0.14%	0.0339	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.014915	0.014881	-0.23%	0.01418	-4.93%	0.0640	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.01639	0.016337	-0.32%	0.014915	-9.00%	0.0974	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.01672	0.016664	-0.34%	0.01639	-1.97%	0.0108	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.017095	0.017032	-0.37%	0.01672	-2.19%	0.0345	✓	1.00