SAGA

Saga · Saga · gru_s5

token id: #196
symbol: SAGA
variant: –
chain: Saga
address: usaga
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-07-16
predictions: 2,460

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

67.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1218

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0139

actual -0.0309

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.0202	0.01953	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-21	oos	0.02004	0.019421	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-20	oos	0.019545	0.019103	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.018775	0.018579	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-18	oos	0.01851	0.018421	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.01908	0.018987	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.02015	0.019966	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-15	oos	0.01999	0.019862	-0.64%	0.0202	+1.05%	0.0042	✓	0.50
2026-10-14	oos	0.02013	0.020049	-0.40%	0.02004	-0.45%	0.0154	✓	0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.020745	0.020489	-1.24%	0.019545	-5.78%	0.0462	✓	0.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.020445	0.020346	-0.48%	0.018775	-8.17%	0.0809	✓	0.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.022525	0.022082	-1.97%	0.01851	-17.82%	0.1677	✓	0.43
2026-10-10	oos	0.02213	0.021787	-1.55%	0.01908	-13.78%	0.1243	✓	0.45
2026-10-09	oos	0.0218	0.021545	-1.17%	0.02015	-7.57%	0.0612	✓	0.45
2026-10-08	oos	0.022475	0.022216	-1.15%	0.01999	-11.06%	0.1080	✓	0.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.02334	0.022957	-1.64%	0.02013	-13.75%	0.1221	✓	0.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.02469	0.024191	-2.02%	0.020745	-15.98%	0.1420	✓	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.02444	0.023951	-2.00%	0.020445	-16.35%	0.1390	✓	0.40
2026-10-04	oos	0.022865	0.022505	-1.58%	0.022525	-1.49%	0.0159	✗	0.45
2026-10-03	oos	0.023355	0.022964	-1.67%	0.02213	-5.25%	0.0268	✓	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.02255	0.022199	-1.56%	0.0218	-3.33%	0.0073	✓	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.0251	0.024609	-1.95%	0.022475	-10.46%	0.0739	✓	0.44
2026-09-30	oos	0.025095	0.024628	-1.86%	0.02334	-6.99%	0.0522	✓	0.43
2026-09-29	oos	0.025775	0.025332	-1.72%	0.02469	-4.21%	0.0362	✓	0.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.027605	0.027124	-1.74%	0.02444	-11.47%	0.1170	✓	0.47
2026-09-27	oos	0.02681	0.026345	-1.73%	0.022865	-14.71%	0.1537	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.03197	0.03125	-2.25%	0.023355	-26.95%	0.2931	✓	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.035605	0.034751	-2.40%	0.02255	-36.67%	0.4348	✓	0.48
2026-09-24	oos	0.07402	0.069018	-6.76%	0.0251	-66.09%	1.0134	✓	0.34
2026-09-23	oos	0.04774	0.045255	-5.20%	0.025095	-47.43%	0.5859	✓	0.38
2026-09-22	oos	0.040475	0.038718	-4.34%	0.025775	-36.32%	0.3913	✓	0.52
2026-09-21	oos	0.039395	0.037493	-4.83%	0.027605	-29.93%	0.2853	✓	0.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.037745	0.035379	-6.27%	0.02681	-28.97%	0.3004	✓	0.58
2026-09-19	oos	0.025085	0.024247	-3.34%	0.03197	+27.45%	0.2533	✗	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.0249	0.023954	-3.80%	0.035605	+42.99%	0.3753	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.02211	0.021393	-3.24%	0.07402	+234.78%	1.2003	✗	0.41
2026-09-16	oos	0.01972	0.019277	-2.25%	0.04774	+142.09%	0.8659	✗	0.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.02417	0.022958	-5.01%	0.040475	+67.46%	0.5078	✗	0.45
2026-09-14	oos	0.01882	0.018464	-1.89%	0.039395	+109.33%	0.6812	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.01715	0.016872	-1.62%	0.037745	+120.09%	0.7677	✗	0.68
2026-09-12	oos	0.01723	0.016943	-1.66%	0.025085	+45.59%	0.3585	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.01639	0.016132	-1.57%	0.0249	+51.92%	0.4036	✗	0.66
2026-09-10	oos	0.017345	0.016867	-2.76%	0.02211	+27.47%	0.2724	✗	0.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.014	0.013933	-0.48%	0.01972	+40.86%	0.3710	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.0147	0.014606	-0.64%	0.02417	+64.42%	0.5374	✗	0.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.015485	0.015351	-0.87%	0.01882	+21.54%	0.2142	✗	0.90
2026-09-06	oos	0.0155	0.015402	-0.63%	0.01715	+10.65%	0.1494	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.01546	0.015362	-0.63%	0.01723	+11.45%	0.1453	✗	0.93
2026-09-04	oos	0.014815	0.014751	-0.43%	0.01639	+10.63%	0.1335	✗	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.01502	0.014986	-0.23%	0.017345	+15.48%	0.2003	✗	0.90
2026-09-02	oos	0.014595	0.014543	-0.36%	0.014	-4.08%	0.0509	✓	1.02
2026-09-01	oos	0.0147	0.014649	-0.35%	0.0147	+0.00%	0.0105	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.01503	0.014991	-0.26%	0.015485	+3.03%	0.0263	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.014655	0.014607	-0.33%	0.0155	+5.77%	0.0274	✗	0.94
2026-08-29	oos	0.01525	0.015175	-0.49%	0.01546	+1.38%	0.0001	✓	0.92
2026-08-28	oos	0.01509	0.015009	-0.54%	0.014815	-1.82%	0.0343	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.015295	0.01525	-0.30%	0.01502	-1.80%	0.0265	✓	0.93
2026-08-26	oos	0.0153	0.015219	-0.53%	0.014595	-4.61%	0.0213	✓	0.93
2026-08-25	oos	0.01452	0.014456	-0.44%	0.0147	+1.24%	0.0301	✗	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.01496	0.014874	-0.58%	0.01503	+0.47%	0.0155	✗	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.0152	0.015056	-0.95%	0.014655	-3.59%	0.0262	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.01408	0.013988	-0.65%	0.01525	+8.31%	0.0708	✗	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.015745	0.015581	-1.04%	0.01509	-4.16%	0.0259	✓	0.98
2026-08-20	oos	0.01418	0.013996	-1.30%	0.015295	+7.86%	0.0026	✓	0.91
2026-08-19	oos	0.01363	0.013402	-1.67%	0.0153	+12.25%	0.0093	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.013255	0.013001	-1.91%	0.01452	+9.54%	0.0876	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.013465	0.0132	-1.97%	0.01496	+11.10%	0.0826	✓	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.012975	0.012748	-1.75%	0.0152	+17.15%	0.0391	✓	1.01
2026-08-15	oos	0.013015	0.012795	-1.69%	0.01408	+8.18%	0.1061	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.01321	0.012988	-1.68%	0.015745	+19.19%	0.0303	✓	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	0.01271	0.012523	-1.47%	0.01418	+11.57%	0.0233	✓	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.01427	0.013955	-2.21%	0.01363	-4.48%	0.1214	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.013665	0.013411	-1.86%	0.013255	-3.00%	0.0297	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.01491	0.014502	-2.74%	0.013465	-9.69%	0.0845	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.01487	0.014416	-3.06%	0.012975	-12.74%	0.0759	✓	0.93
2026-08-08	oos	0.01653	0.015924	-3.67%	0.013015	-21.26%	0.1749	✓	0.91
2026-08-07	oos	0.013725	0.013416	-2.25%	0.01321	-3.75%	0.0112	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.013965	0.013635	-2.36%	0.01271	-8.99%	0.0583	✓	0.91
2026-08-05	oos	0.013395	0.013123	-2.03%	0.01427	+6.53%	0.1009	✗	0.92
2026-08-04	oos	0.01308	0.012827	-1.93%	0.013665	+4.47%	0.0707	✗	0.91
2026-08-03	oos	0.013395	0.013099	-2.21%	0.01491	+11.31%	0.1230	✗	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.012855	0.012571	-2.21%	0.01487	+15.67%	0.1483	✗	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.01228	0.01206	-1.79%	0.01653	+34.61%	0.2849	✗	0.90
2026-07-31	oos	0.012285	0.012044	-1.96%	0.013725	+11.72%	0.1014	✗	0.90
2026-07-30	oos	0.012	0.0118	-1.66%	0.013965	+16.38%	0.1752	✗	0.96
2026-07-29	oos	0.012175	0.01197	-1.68%	0.013395	+10.02%	0.1019	✗	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.01255	0.012312	-1.89%	0.01308	+4.22%	0.0575	✗	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.01231	0.012056	-2.06%	0.013395	+8.81%	0.1087	✗	0.95
2026-07-26	oos	0.01324	0.01297	-2.04%	0.012855	-2.91%	0.0171	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.01341	0.013102	-2.30%	0.01228	-8.43%	0.0426	✓	0.92
2026-07-24	oos	0.014255	0.013876	-2.66%	0.012285	-13.82%	0.1032	✓	0.94
2026-07-23	oos	0.012765	0.012514	-1.97%	0.012	-5.99%	0.0369	✓	0.99
2026-07-22	oos	0.01323	0.012954	-2.08%	0.012175	-7.97%	0.0292	✓	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.01354	0.013231	-2.28%	0.01255	-7.31%	0.0129	✓	0.97
2026-07-20	oos	0.01278	0.012491	-2.27%	0.01231	-3.68%	0.0063	✓	0.88
2026-07-19	oos	0.012045	0.011795	-2.07%	0.01324	+9.92%	0.1068	✗	0.86
2026-07-18	oos	0.012375	0.012108	-2.16%	0.01341	+8.36%	0.1087	✗	0.85
2026-07-17	oos	0.012295	0.012019	-2.25%	0.014255	+15.94%	0.1679	✗	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.01237	0.012086	-2.29%	0.012765	+3.19%	0.0337	✗	1.05
2026-07-15	oos	0.012765	0.012469	-2.32%	0.01323	+3.64%	0.0373	✗	1.05
2026-07-14	oos	0.01259	0.012292	-2.37%	0.01354	+7.55%	0.0723	✗	1.05
2026-07-13	oos	0.012285	0.011988	-2.42%	0.01278	+4.03%	0.0144	✓	1.07
2026-07-12	oos	0.012695	0.012372	-2.54%	0.012045	-5.12%	0.0425	✓	1.07
2026-07-11	oos	0.012735	0.012392	-2.69%	0.012375	-2.83%	0.0176	✓	1.02
2026-07-10	oos	0.01311	0.012736	-2.85%	0.012295	-6.22%	0.0315	✓	1.01
2026-07-09	oos	0.012865	0.012487	-2.94%	0.01237	-3.85%	0.0189	✓	1.01
2026-07-08	oos	0.012865	0.012469	-3.08%	0.012765	-0.78%	0.0158	✓	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.01287	0.012465	-3.15%	0.01259	-2.18%	0.0168	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.01375	0.013302	-3.26%	0.012285	-10.65%	0.0510	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.01395	0.013475	-3.40%	0.012695	-9.00%	0.0622	✓	1.03
2026-07-04	oos	0.014145	0.013639	-3.57%	0.012735	-9.97%	0.0798	✓	1.04
2026-07-03	oos	0.0137	0.013231	-3.42%	0.01311	-4.31%	0.0345	✓	0.99
2026-07-02	oos	0.01404	0.013544	-3.53%	0.012865	-8.37%	0.0792	✓	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.012965	0.012543	-3.26%	0.012865	-0.77%	0.0111	✓	0.98
2026-06-30	oos	0.012555	0.012159	-3.15%	0.01287	+2.51%	0.0204	✓	0.98
2026-06-29	oos	0.012925	0.012491	-3.36%	0.01375	+6.38%	0.0352	✗	0.98
2026-06-28	oos	0.012955	0.012519	-3.37%	0.01395	+7.68%	0.0446	✗	0.95
2026-06-27	oos	0.01281	0.012389	-3.28%	0.014145	+10.42%	0.0828	✗	0.97
2026-06-26	oos	0.01302	0.012587	-3.33%	0.0137	+5.22%	0.0446	✗	0.98
2026-06-25	oos	0.01316	0.012709	-3.43%	0.01404	+6.69%	0.0709	✗	0.98
2026-06-24	oos	0.0136	0.013122	-3.51%	0.012965	-4.67%	0.0040	✓	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.014455	0.013923	-3.68%	0.012555	-13.14%	0.0389	✓	0.95
2026-06-22	oos	0.01462	0.014057	-3.85%	0.012925	-11.59%	0.0252	✓	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.01546	0.014716	-4.81%	0.012955	-16.20%	0.0674	✓	0.98
2026-06-20	oos	0.01372	0.013242	-3.49%	0.01281	-6.63%	0.0385	✗	1.04
2026-06-19	oos	0.01305	0.012612	-3.36%	0.01302	-0.23%	0.0898	✗	1.03
2026-06-18	oos	0.01341	0.012947	-3.45%	0.01316	-1.86%	0.0696	✗	1.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.01376	0.01326	-3.63%	0.0136	-1.16%	0.0826	✗	1.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.014095	0.01358	-3.65%	0.014455	+2.55%	0.1112	✗	1.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.01301	0.012601	-3.15%	0.01462	+12.38%	0.1872	✗	1.08
2026-06-14	oos	0.01302	0.01262	-3.08%	0.01546	+18.74%	0.2443	✗	1.08
2026-06-13	oos	0.01338	0.012976	-3.02%	0.01372	+2.54%	0.0593	✗	1.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.01294	0.012619	-2.48%	0.01305	+0.85%	0.0346	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.01311	0.012811	-2.28%	0.01341	+2.29%	0.0574	✗	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.012	0.01194	-0.50%	0.01376	+14.67%	0.0930	✗	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.012545	0.012492	-0.43%	0.014095	+12.36%	0.0577	✗	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.01321	0.013119	-0.69%	0.01301	-1.51%	0.0590	✓	1.02
2026-06-07	oos	0.01346	0.013409	-0.38%	0.01302	-3.27%	0.0682	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.01349	0.013605	+0.86%	0.01338	-0.82%	0.0774	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.0139	0.014018	+0.85%	0.01294	-6.91%	0.1215	✗	1.03
2026-06-04	oos	0.01561	0.015511	-0.63%	0.01311	-16.02%	0.1645	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.01747	0.017258	-1.21%	0.012	-31.31%	0.3251	✓	0.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01654	0.016383	-0.95%	0.012545	-24.15%	0.1878	✓	1.02
2026-06-01	oos	0.01794	0.017656	-1.58%	0.01321	-26.37%	0.1792	✓	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.01799	0.017733	-1.43%	0.01346	-25.18%	0.1391	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	0.01787	0.01765	-1.23%	0.01349	-24.51%	0.0934	✓	0.91
2026-05-29	oos	0.01784	0.017644	-1.10%	0.0139	-22.09%	0.0687	✓	0.92
2026-05-28	oos	0.018475	0.018287	-1.02%	0.01561	-15.51%	0.0290	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.01875	0.018583	-0.89%	0.01747	-6.83%	0.0712	✗	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.020105	0.019853	-1.25%	0.01654	-17.73%	0.0704	✓	0.87
2026-05-25	oos	0.023435	0.022657	-3.32%	0.01794	-23.45%	0.1651	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	0.01931	0.019255	-0.28%	0.01799	-6.84%	0.0297	✓	0.85
2026-05-23	oos	0.01991	0.019823	-0.44%	0.01787	-10.25%	0.0710	✓	0.86
2026-05-22	oos	0.019475	0.019436	-0.20%	0.01784	-8.40%	0.0619	✓	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.0206	0.020497	-0.50%	0.018475	-10.32%	0.0593	✓	0.83
2026-05-20	oos	0.02052	0.020437	-0.40%	0.01875	-8.63%	0.0514	✓	0.84
2026-05-19	oos	0.020385	0.020332	-0.26%	0.020105	-1.37%	0.0010	✓	0.83
2026-05-18	oos	0.021895	0.021749	-0.67%	0.023435	+7.03%	0.0713	✗	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.02097	0.020919	-0.24%	0.01931	-7.92%	0.0753	✓	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.02273	0.02258	-0.66%	0.01991	-12.41%	0.1104	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.024385	0.024116	-1.10%	0.019475	-20.14%	0.1773	✓	0.78
2026-05-14	oos	0.0265	0.02601	-1.85%	0.0206	-22.26%	0.2001	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.02909	0.028218	-3.00%	0.02052	-29.46%	0.3001	✓	0.80
2026-05-12	oos	0.04488	0.04114	-8.33%	0.020385	-54.58%	0.6728	✓	0.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.02601	0.025221	-3.03%	0.021895	-15.82%	0.0938	✓	0.79
2026-05-10	oos	0.01997	0.019836	-0.67%	0.02097	+5.01%	0.1068	✗	0.85
2026-05-09	oos	0.0197	0.019477	-1.13%	0.02273	+15.38%	0.1818	✗	0.85
2026-05-08	oos	0.01911	0.018937	-0.90%	0.024385	+27.60%	0.2646	✗	0.83
2026-05-07	oos	0.01818	0.018065	-0.63%	0.0265	+45.76%	0.3722	✗	0.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.018485	0.018414	-0.38%	0.02909	+57.37%	0.4820	✗	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.01823	0.018174	-0.31%	0.04488	+146.19%	0.9092	✗	0.99
2026-05-04	oos	0.01757	0.017522	-0.27%	0.02601	+48.04%	0.3726	✗	0.97
2026-05-03	oos	0.01781	0.017741	-0.39%	0.01997	+12.13%	0.0749	✗	0.96
2026-05-02	oos	0.01776	0.01769	-0.39%	0.0197	+10.92%	0.0836	✗	0.97
2026-05-01	oos	0.01715	0.017064	-0.50%	0.01911	+11.43%	0.0893	✗	0.97
2026-04-30	oos	0.017015	0.016927	-0.52%	0.01818	+6.85%	0.0224	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.01737	0.017269	-0.58%	0.018485	+6.42%	0.0069	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.01748	0.017366	-0.65%	0.01823	+4.29%	0.0140	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.017475	0.017359	-0.66%	0.01757	+0.54%	0.0219	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.017725	0.017602	-0.69%	0.01781	+0.48%	0.0133	✗	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.0174	0.01724	-0.92%	0.01776	+2.07%	0.0154	✗	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.01781	0.017646	-0.92%	0.01715	-3.71%	0.0394	✓	1.10
2026-04-23	oos	0.01766	0.017489	-0.97%	0.017015	-3.65%	0.0007	✓	1.10
2026-04-22	oos	0.01731	0.017128	-1.05%	0.01737	+0.35%	0.0491	✗	1.10
2026-04-21	oos	0.018155	0.017951	-1.12%	0.01748	-3.72%	0.0262	✓	1.12
2026-04-20	oos	0.018535	0.01833	-1.10%	0.017475	-5.72%	0.0696	✓	1.12
2026-04-19	oos	0.01845	0.018204	-1.33%	0.017725	-3.93%	0.0991	✓	1.14
2026-04-18	oos	0.02128	0.021094	-0.87%	0.0174	-18.23%	0.2205	✓	1.12
2026-04-17	oos	0.027215	0.026879	-1.24%	0.01781	-34.56%	0.4166	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.02657	0.02623	-1.28%	0.01766	-33.53%	0.4389	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.026955	0.026567	-1.44%	0.01731	-35.78%	0.4755	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.02686	0.026481	-1.41%	0.018155	-32.41%	0.4084	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.02782	0.027413	-1.46%	0.018535	-33.38%	0.4113	✓	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.02737	0.026905	-1.70%	0.01845	-32.59%	0.4252	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.02832	0.027834	-1.72%	0.02128	-24.86%	0.3088	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.02819	0.027705	-1.72%	0.027215	-3.46%	0.0795	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.02831	0.027814	-1.75%	0.02657	-6.15%	0.0976	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.02702	0.026599	-1.56%	0.026955	-0.24%	0.0446	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.02935	0.028868	-1.64%	0.02686	-8.48%	0.1069	✓	1.12
2026-04-06	oos	0.02841	0.027919	-1.73%	0.02782	-2.08%	0.0919	✓	1.13
2026-04-05	oos	0.02898	0.028406	-1.98%	0.02737	-5.56%	0.0655	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.029835	0.029236	-2.01%	0.02832	-5.08%	0.1262	✓	1.14
2026-04-03	oos	0.028205	0.027746	-1.63%	0.02819	-0.05%	0.0827	✓	1.14
2026-04-02	oos	0.027015	0.026697	-1.18%	0.02831	+4.79%	0.0218	✓	1.14
2026-04-01	oos	0.028485	0.028117	-1.29%	0.02702	-5.14%	0.0884	✓	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02728	0.027025	-0.94%	0.02935	+7.59%	0.0220	✗	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02824	0.027982	-0.91%	0.02841	+0.60%	0.0211	✓	1.16
2026-03-29	oos	0.02713	0.026993	-0.50%	0.02898	+6.82%	0.0189	✗	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.02862	0.028442	-0.62%	0.029835	+4.25%	0.0310	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.02884	0.028693	-0.51%	0.028205	-2.20%	0.0277	✓	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.02934	0.029238	-0.35%	0.027015	-7.92%	0.0468	✓	1.17
2026-03-25	oos	0.03119	0.031064	-0.40%	0.028485	-8.67%	0.0334	✓	1.16
2026-03-24	oos	0.0307	0.030593	-0.35%	0.02728	-11.14%	0.0759	✓	1.16
2026-03-23	oos	0.03012	0.030066	-0.18%	0.02824	-6.24%	0.0073	✗	1.16
2026-03-22	oos	0.02907	0.029034	-0.12%	0.02713	-6.67%	0.0350	✓	1.16
2026-03-21	oos	0.03052	0.030439	-0.27%	0.02862	-6.23%	0.0171	✓	1.16
2026-03-20	oos	0.03102	0.030937	-0.27%	0.02884	-7.03%	0.0001	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	0.03068	0.030603	-0.25%	0.02934	-4.37%	0.0229	✓	1.16
2026-03-18	oos	0.03241	0.03228	-0.40%	0.03119	-3.76%	0.0353	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.03409	0.033906	-0.54%	0.0307	-9.94%	0.0446	✓	1.16
2026-03-16	oos	0.0348	0.034568	-0.67%	0.03012	-13.45%	0.0730	✓	1.18
2026-03-15	oos	0.03385	0.033628	-0.66%	0.02907	-14.12%	0.0626	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	0.03399	0.033743	-0.73%	0.03052	-10.21%	0.0611	✓	1.19
2026-03-13	oos	0.03436	0.034079	-0.82%	0.03102	-9.72%	0.0865	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.03411	0.033803	-0.90%	0.03068	-10.06%	0.0865	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.03478	0.03434	-1.27%	0.03241	-6.81%	0.0753	✓	1.19
2026-03-10	oos	0.03266	0.032409	-0.77%	0.03409	+4.38%	0.0150	✓	1.19
2026-03-09	oos	0.03109	0.030887	-0.65%	0.0348	+11.93%	0.0130	✗	1.18
2026-03-08	oos	0.03067	0.030466	-0.67%	0.03385	+10.37%	0.0132	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.02969	0.029536	-0.52%	0.03399	+14.48%	0.0709	✗	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03167	0.031449	-0.70%	0.03436	+8.49%	0.0397	✗	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.03208	0.031836	-0.76%	0.03411	+6.33%	0.0751	✗	1.22
2026-03-04	oos	0.03242	0.032133	-0.89%	0.03478	+7.28%	0.1216	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0326	0.032301	-0.92%	0.03266	+0.18%	0.0193	✓	1.29
2026-03-02	oos	0.02987	0.029699	-0.57%	0.03109	+4.08%	0.0533	✗	1.29
2026-03-01	oos	0.02882	0.0287	-0.41%	0.03067	+6.42%	0.0624	✗	1.29
2026-02-28	oos	0.03017	0.029993	-0.59%	0.02969	-1.59%	0.0158	✓	1.31
2026-02-27	oos	0.030455	0.030271	-0.60%	0.03167	+3.99%	0.0012	✓	1.31
2026-02-26	oos	0.03044	0.030242	-0.65%	0.03208	+5.39%	0.0059	✓	1.32
2026-02-25	oos	0.03135	0.031095	-0.81%	0.03242	+3.41%	0.0464	✓	1.32
2026-02-24	oos	0.02889	0.028781	-0.38%	0.0326	+12.84%	0.0405	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.029195	0.029075	-0.41%	0.02987	+2.31%	0.0535	✓	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.03072	0.030511	-0.68%	0.02882	-6.18%	0.0215	✓	1.28
2026-02-21	oos	0.03137	0.031132	-0.76%	0.03017	-3.83%	0.0125	✓	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.032015	0.031743	-0.85%	0.030455	-4.87%	0.0008	✓	1.28
2026-02-19	oos	0.03174	0.031504	-0.74%	0.03044	-4.10%	0.0442	✓	1.28
2026-02-18	oos	0.03252	0.032263	-0.79%	0.03135	-3.60%	0.0595	✓	1.32
2026-02-17	oos	0.03461	0.034201	-1.18%	0.02889	-16.53%	0.1141	✓	1.06
2026-02-16	oos	0.03456	0.03409	-1.36%	0.029195	-15.52%	0.0881	✓	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.03583	0.035195	-1.77%	0.03072	-14.26%	0.1177	✓	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.03387	0.033484	-1.14%	0.03137	-7.38%	0.0367	✓	1.07
2026-02-13	oos	0.03316	0.032844	-0.95%	0.032015	-3.45%	0.0126	✓	1.07
2026-02-12	oos	0.03225	0.032107	-0.44%	0.03174	-1.58%	0.0239	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.03194	0.031872	-0.21%	0.03252	+1.82%	0.0298	✗	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.02987	0.030038	+0.56%	0.03461	+15.87%	0.1631	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.03141	0.031519	+0.35%	0.03456	+10.03%	0.1115	✓	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.03117	0.031406	+0.76%	0.03583	+14.95%	0.1555	✓	1.11
2026-02-07	oos	0.03288	0.033133	+0.77%	0.03387	+3.01%	0.0132	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.03335	0.033657	+0.92%	0.03316	-0.57%	0.0131	✓	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.02907	0.030397	+4.56%	0.03225	+10.94%	0.0004	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.034805	0.035166	+1.04%	0.03194	-8.23%	0.0039	✓	1.17
2026-02-03	oos	0.034995	0.035348	+1.01%	0.02987	-14.64%	0.0549	✗	1.19
2026-02-02	oos	0.03587	0.036139	+0.75%	0.03141	-12.43%	0.0017	✓	1.23
2026-02-01	oos	0.03433	0.035055	+2.11%	0.03117	-9.20%	0.0092	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	0.0361	0.036616	+1.43%	0.03288	-8.92%	0.0567	✓	1.29
2026-01-30	oos	0.04212	0.04173	-0.93%	0.03335	-20.82%	0.0136	✓	1.20
2026-01-29	oos	0.04236	0.041998	-0.86%	0.02907	-31.37%	0.0094	✓	1.21
2026-01-28	oos	0.04791	0.047182	-1.52%	0.034805	-27.35%	0.0779	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.04801	0.047347	-1.38%	0.034995	-27.11%	0.1125	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.0478	0.047226	-1.20%	0.03587	-24.96%	0.1448	✓	1.13
2026-01-25	oos	0.04549	0.045193	-0.65%	0.03433	-24.53%	0.1421	✓	1.12
2026-01-24	oos	0.04984	0.049276	-1.13%	0.0361	-27.57%	0.1759	✓	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.04781	0.047266	-1.14%	0.04212	-11.90%	0.0478	✓	1.09
2026-01-22	oos	0.05072	0.050063	-1.30%	0.04236	-16.48%	0.1045	✓	1.10
2026-01-21	oos	0.05398	0.053184	-1.47%	0.04791	-11.24%	0.1020	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.05441	0.053594	-1.50%	0.04801	-11.76%	0.1202	✓	1.12
2026-01-19	oos	0.05993	0.058752	-1.97%	0.0478	-20.24%	0.1552	✓	1.07
2026-01-18	oos	0.0669	0.065115	-2.67%	0.04549	-32.00%	0.2749	✓	1.07
2026-01-17	oos	0.06146	0.060142	-2.14%	0.04984	-18.91%	0.1159	✓	1.10
2026-01-16	oos	0.06281	0.061424	-2.21%	0.04781	-23.88%	0.1789	✓	1.10
2026-01-15	oos	0.05834	0.057107	-2.11%	0.05072	-13.06%	0.0457	✓	1.10
2026-01-14	oos	0.0615	0.060218	-2.09%	0.05398	-12.23%	0.0199	✓	1.10
2026-01-13	oos	0.0646	0.063072	-2.36%	0.05441	-15.77%	0.0608	✓	1.13
2026-01-12	oos	0.0562	0.054998	-2.14%	0.05993	+6.64%	0.0708	✗	1.01
2026-01-11	oos	0.0575	0.056286	-2.11%	0.0669	+16.35%	0.1418	✗	1.03
2026-01-10	oos	0.0589	0.057664	-2.10%	0.06146	+4.35%	0.0100	✓	1.05
2026-01-09	oos	0.059	0.057799	-2.04%	0.06281	+6.46%	0.0233	✗	1.12
2026-01-08	oos	0.0596	0.058415	-1.99%	0.05834	-2.11%	0.0563	✓	1.12
2026-01-07	oos	0.0612	0.059992	-1.97%	0.0615	+0.49%	0.0799	✓	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.0647	0.063444	-1.94%	0.0646	-0.15%	0.0125	✓	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.0646	0.06335	-1.93%	0.0562	-13.00%	0.0692	✓	1.75
2026-01-04	oos	0.0645	0.063171	-2.06%	0.0575	-10.85%	0.0818	✓	1.80
2026-01-03	oos	0.0618	0.060492	-2.12%	0.0589	-4.69%	0.0222	✓	1.80
2026-01-02	oos	0.063	0.061672	-2.11%	0.059	-6.35%	0.0554	✓	1.80
2026-01-01	oos	0.0611	0.059758	-2.20%	0.0596	-2.45%	0.0482	✓	1.79
2025-12-31	oos	0.0563	0.055202	-1.95%	0.0612	+8.70%	0.0293	✗	1.74
2025-12-30	oos	0.0557	0.054747	-1.71%	0.0647	+16.16%	0.0640	✗	1.76
2025-12-29	oos	0.0564	0.055481	-1.63%	0.0646	+14.54%	0.0219	✗	1.74
2025-12-28	oos	0.0593	0.058387	-1.54%	0.0645	+8.77%	0.0294	✗	1.74
2025-12-27	oos	0.0607	0.05978	-1.52%	0.0618	+1.81%	0.0201	✓	1.71
2025-12-26	oos	0.059	0.058207	-1.34%	0.063	+6.78%	0.0281	✗	1.70
2025-12-25	oos	0.057	0.056364	-1.12%	0.0611	+7.19%	0.0505	✗	1.70
2025-12-24	oos	0.0594	0.058701	-1.18%	0.0563	-5.22%	0.0396	✓	1.70
2025-12-23	oos	0.0593	0.058645	-1.10%	0.0557	-6.07%	0.0704	✓	1.71
2025-12-22	oos	0.058	0.057449	-0.95%	0.0564	-2.76%	0.0101	✗	1.73
2025-12-21	oos	0.0582	0.057673	-0.90%	0.0593	+1.89%	0.0428	✗	1.73
2025-12-20	oos	0.0608	0.060146	-1.07%	0.0607	-0.16%	0.0196	✗	1.77
2025-12-19	oos	0.0596	0.059052	-0.92%	0.059	-1.01%	0.0152	✗	1.77
2025-12-18	oos	0.0566	0.056215	-0.68%	0.057	+0.71%	0.0212	✓	1.77
2025-12-17	oos	0.0578	0.057384	-0.72%	0.0594	+2.77%	0.0059	✓	1.78
2025-12-16	oos	0.063	0.062399	-0.95%	0.0593	-5.87%	0.0424	✓	1.76
2025-12-15	oos	0.0632	0.062615	-0.93%	0.058	-8.23%	0.1199	✓	1.77
2025-12-14	oos	0.0669	0.066218	-1.02%	0.0582	-13.00%	0.1384	✓	1.77
2025-12-13	oos	0.0717	0.070874	-1.15%	0.0608	-15.20%	0.1152	✓	1.76
2025-12-12	oos	0.0699	0.069122	-1.11%	0.0596	-14.74%	0.1051	✓	1.76
2025-12-11	oos	0.0709	0.070127	-1.09%	0.0566	-20.17%	0.0725	✓	1.78
2025-12-10	oos	0.071	0.070219	-1.10%	0.0578	-18.59%	0.0780	✓	1.78
2025-12-09	oos	0.073	0.072119	-1.21%	0.063	-13.70%	0.0380	✓	1.81
2025-12-08	oos	0.0699	0.069186	-1.02%	0.0632	-9.59%	0.0053	✓	1.78
2025-12-07	oos	0.0691	0.068422	-0.98%	0.0669	-3.18%	0.0219	✗	1.78
2025-12-06	oos	0.0719	0.071113	-1.10%	0.0717	-0.28%	0.0116	✓	1.80
2025-12-05	oos	0.069	0.068334	-0.97%	0.0699	+1.30%	0.0039	✓	1.80
2025-12-04	oos	0.0718	0.071025	-1.08%	0.0709	-1.25%	0.0106	✓	1.82
2025-12-03	oos	0.0749	0.074019	-1.18%	0.071	-5.21%	0.0138	✓	1.82
2025-12-02	oos	0.0751	0.074231	-1.16%	0.073	-2.80%	0.0444	✓	1.84
2025-12-01	oos	0.071	0.070363	-0.90%	0.0699	-1.55%	0.1007	✓	1.90
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.077312	-1.20%	0.0691	-11.69%	0.1130	✓	1.92
2025-11-29	oos	0.07905	0.078105	-1.20%	0.0719	-9.04%	0.0499	✓	1.90
2025-11-28	oos	0.0808	0.079799	-1.24%	0.069	-14.60%	0.1126	✓	1.90
2025-11-27	oos	0.08385	0.082748	-1.31%	0.0718	-14.37%	0.1580	✓	1.90
2025-11-26	oos	0.08755	0.086289	-1.44%	0.0749	-14.45%	0.2033	✓	1.90
2025-11-25	oos	0.08885	0.087481	-1.54%	0.0751	-15.48%	0.2413	✓	1.99
2025-11-24	oos	0.08875	0.08742	-1.50%	0.071	-20.00%	0.1627	✓	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.08635	0.085092	-1.46%	0.07825	-9.38%	0.1648	✓	2.01
2025-11-22	oos	0.08625	0.085162	-1.26%	0.07905	-8.35%	0.2213	✓	2.10
2025-11-21	oos	0.09335	0.091376	-2.11%	0.0808	-13.44%	0.2621	✓	2.10
2025-11-20	oos	0.1142	0.109	-4.55%	0.08385	-26.58%	0.3712	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.08525	0.084228	-1.20%	0.08755	+2.70%	0.0679	✗	2.67
2025-11-18	oos	0.08265	0.081773	-1.06%	0.08885	+7.50%	0.2502	✗	2.69
2025-11-17	oos	0.07945	0.078785	-0.84%	0.08875	+11.71%	0.2341	✗	2.70
2025-11-16	oos	0.082	0.081231	-0.94%	0.08635	+5.30%	0.2813	✗	2.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.08505	0.084171	-1.03%	0.08625	+1.41%	0.3511	✗	2.71
2025-11-14	oos	0.0849	0.084049	-1.00%	0.09335	+9.95%	0.3906	✗	2.72
2025-11-13	oos	0.08795	0.087006	-1.07%	0.1142	+29.85%	0.6785	✗	2.89
2025-11-12	oos	0.09065	0.089635	-1.12%	0.08525	-5.96%	0.2562	✗	2.90
2025-11-11	oos	0.092	0.090928	-1.16%	0.08265	-10.16%	0.2048	✗	2.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.10315	0.101281	-1.81%	0.07945	-22.98%	0.1609	✗	2.88
2025-11-09	oos	0.1014	0.099715	-1.66%	0.082	-19.13%	0.1107	✗	2.90
2025-11-08	oos	0.09815	0.096428	-1.75%	0.08505	-13.35%	0.0736	✗	2.92
2025-11-07	oos	0.0988	0.097078	-1.74%	0.0849	-14.07%	0.1214	✗	2.88
2025-11-06	oos	0.08365	0.083144	-0.60%	0.08795	+5.14%	0.1030	✗	2.80
2025-11-05	oos	0.0847	0.084159	-0.64%	0.09065	+7.02%	0.1360	✗	2.84
2025-11-04	oos	0.08105	0.08085	-0.25%	0.092	+13.51%	0.0859	✗	2.87
2025-11-03	oos	0.08535	0.084854	-0.58%	0.10315	+20.86%	0.2117	✗	3.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.10165	0.10029	-1.34%	0.1014	-0.25%	0.1719	✗	2.96
2025-11-01	oos	0.09955	0.098521	-1.03%	0.09815	-1.41%	0.2136	✗	2.97
2025-10-31	oos	0.09405	0.093413	-0.68%	0.0988	+5.05%	0.2309	✗	2.97
2025-10-30	oos	0.09355	0.093114	-0.47%	0.08365	-10.58%	0.0921	✗	2.97
2025-10-29	oos	0.10345	0.102616	-0.81%	0.0847	-18.12%	0.0230	✓	2.93
2025-10-28	oos	0.10255	0.101801	-0.73%	0.08105	-20.97%	0.0942	✗	3.02
2025-10-27	oos	0.10895	0.107984	-0.89%	0.08535	-21.66%	0.0297	✓	3.01
2025-10-26	oos	0.11645	0.115135	-1.13%	0.10165	-12.71%	0.0175	✓	3.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.1135	0.112499	-0.88%	0.09955	-12.29%	0.0776	✓	3.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.11195	0.11124	-0.63%	0.09405	-15.99%	0.1262	✓	3.09
2025-10-23	oos	0.11395	0.113364	-0.51%	0.09355	-17.90%	0.1408	✓	3.10
2025-10-22	oos	0.1096	0.109726	+0.12%	0.10345	-5.61%	0.1287	✗	3.11
2025-10-21	oos	0.11465	0.114616	-0.03%	0.10255	-10.55%	0.2388	✓	3.11
2025-10-20	oos	0.12245	0.121901	-0.45%	0.10895	-11.02%	0.2106	✓	3.14
2025-10-19	oos	0.12285	0.122669	-0.15%	0.11645	-5.21%	0.2160	✓	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.12155	0.121962	+0.34%	0.1135	-6.62%	0.1994	✗	3.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.11985	0.120986	+0.95%	0.11195	-6.59%	0.2089	✗	3.12
2025-10-16	oos	0.1246	0.125349	+0.60%	0.11395	-8.55%	0.1503	✗	3.13
2025-10-15	oos	0.12925	0.129537	+0.22%	0.1096	-15.20%	0.0740	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.13585	0.135716	-0.10%	0.11465	-15.61%	0.0337	✓	3.17
2025-10-13	oos	0.14545	0.144865	-0.40%	0.12245	-15.81%	0.0361	✓	3.17
2025-10-12	oos	0.1329	0.133055	+0.12%	0.12285	-7.56%	0.0956	✓	3.07
2025-10-11	oos	0.12115	0.123534	+1.97%	0.12155	+0.33%	0.0846	✓	3.09
2025-10-10	oos	0.12685	0.127914	+0.84%	0.11985	-5.52%	0.1186	✓	3.09
2025-10-09	oos	0.19935	0.19781	-0.77%	0.1246	-37.50%	0.1884	✓	2.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.20705	0.205329	-0.83%	0.12925	-37.58%	0.2128	✓	2.33
2025-10-07	oos	0.199	0.197499	-0.75%	0.13585	-31.73%	0.1979	✓	2.48
2025-10-06	oos	0.21995	0.218146	-0.82%	0.14545	-33.87%	0.2135	✓	2.44
2025-10-05	oos	0.20715	0.205855	-0.63%	0.1329	-35.84%	0.2649	✓	2.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.2123	0.210809	-0.70%	0.12115	-42.93%	0.3081	✓	2.45
2025-10-03	oos	0.21945	0.217582	-0.85%	0.12685	-42.20%	0.3445	✓	2.46
2025-10-02	oos	0.22475	0.222333	-1.08%	0.19935	-11.30%	0.1316	✓	2.49
2025-10-01	oos	0.2153	0.213079	-1.03%	0.20705	-3.83%	0.1261	✓	2.52
2025-09-30	oos	0.20915	0.206889	-1.08%	0.199	-4.85%	0.2031	✓	2.64
2025-09-29	oos	0.20345	0.20169	-0.87%	0.21995	+8.11%	0.1479	✓	2.71
2025-09-28	oos	0.2131	0.210722	-1.12%	0.20715	-2.79%	0.2900	✓	2.84
2025-09-27	oos	0.2075	0.205456	-0.99%	0.2123	+2.31%	0.2851	✓	2.88
2025-09-26	oos	0.20955	0.20731	-1.07%	0.21945	+4.72%	0.2581	✓	2.89
2025-09-25	oos	0.1997	0.197868	-0.92%	0.22475	+12.54%	0.1644	✓	2.89
2025-09-24	oos	0.21865	0.215919	-1.25%	0.2153	-1.53%	0.1373	✓	2.94
2025-09-23	oos	0.21325	0.210719	-1.19%	0.20915	-1.92%	0.0610	✓	2.95
2025-09-22	oos	0.21845	0.215588	-1.31%	0.20345	-6.87%	0.0995	✓	2.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.2513	0.246829	-1.78%	0.2131	-15.20%	0.0709	✓	2.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.255	0.250371	-1.82%	0.2075	-18.63%	0.0356	✓	2.83
2025-09-19	oos	0.24655	0.242364	-1.70%	0.20955	-15.01%	0.0053	✓	2.83
2025-09-18	oos	0.2656	0.260413	-1.95%	0.1997	-24.81%	0.0647	✓	2.81

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.