SAFFRONFI

? · · gru_s5

token id: #442
symbol: SAFFRONFI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-02-14
predictions: 1,809

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0489

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0067

actual +0.0040

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	102.7	102.0958	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-20	oos	102.625	101.8866	-0.72%	102.7	+0.07%	0.0105	✗	0.87
2026-10-19	oos	105.395	104.2304	-1.11%	102.625	-2.63%	0.0273	✓	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	103.45	102.1546	-1.25%	105.395	+1.88%	0.0331	✗	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	103.575	102.3692	-1.16%	103.45	-0.12%	0.0037	✓	0.89
2026-10-16	oos	105.99	104.6409	-1.27%	103.575	-2.28%	0.0089	✓	0.89
2026-10-15	oos	105.38	103.9581	-1.35%	105.99	+0.58%	0.0262	✗	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	105.55	104.2619	-1.22%	105.38	-0.16%	0.0046	✓	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	108.61	107.0802	-1.41%	105.55	-2.82%	0.0024	✓	0.90
2026-10-12	oos	107.51	105.8604	-1.53%	108.61	+1.02%	0.0109	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	110.54	109.154	-1.25%	107.51	-2.74%	0.0050	✓	0.86
2026-10-10	oos	110.135	109.3223	-0.74%	110.54	+0.37%	0.0032	✓	0.85
2026-10-09	oos	110.245	109.4481	-0.72%	110.135	-0.10%	0.0025	✓	0.85
2026-10-08	oos	109.26	108.4442	-0.75%	110.245	+0.90%	0.0076	✗	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	114.1	113.0312	-0.94%	109.26	-4.24%	0.0173	✓	0.87
2026-10-06	oos	112.01	111.0929	-0.82%	114.1	+1.87%	0.0509	✗	0.90
2026-10-05	oos	109.91	109.0118	-0.82%	112.01	+1.91%	0.0294	✗	0.91
2026-10-04	oos	112.355	111.378	-0.87%	109.91	-2.18%	0.0053	✓	0.91
2026-10-03	oos	112.38	111.3472	-0.92%	112.355	-0.02%	0.0099	✓	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	114.17	113.0603	-0.97%	112.38	-1.57%	0.0086	✓	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	114.48	113.3486	-0.99%	114.17	-0.27%	0.0110	✗	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	120.395	118.9452	-1.20%	114.48	-4.91%	0.0529	✓	0.96
2026-09-29	oos	117.48	116.161	-1.12%	120.395	+2.48%	0.0367	✗	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	115.535	114.2323	-1.13%	117.48	+1.68%	0.0260	✗	0.95
2026-09-27	oos	116.9	115.571	-1.14%	115.535	-1.17%	0.0113	✓	0.97
2026-09-26	oos	118.39	117.0217	-1.16%	116.9	-1.26%	0.0016	✓	0.97
2026-09-25	oos	120.05	118.6313	-1.18%	118.39	-1.38%	0.0057	✓	0.97
2026-09-24	oos	118.01	116.6536	-1.15%	120.05	+1.73%	0.0321	✗	0.97
2026-09-23	oos	120.23	118.7793	-1.21%	118.01	-1.85%	0.0066	✓	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	121.06	119.5486	-1.25%	120.23	-0.69%	0.0263	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	120.92	119.4677	-1.20%	121.06	+0.12%	0.0177	✗	0.97
2026-09-20	oos	116.805	115.8364	-0.83%	120.92	+3.52%	0.0260	✓	1.06
2026-09-19	oos	114.55	113.8046	-0.65%	116.805	+1.97%	0.0270	✗	1.05
2026-09-18	oos	115.35	114.8368	-0.44%	114.55	-0.69%	0.0072	✓	1.06
2026-09-17	oos	112.23	112.4551	+0.20%	115.35	+2.78%	0.0395	✗	1.13
2026-09-16	oos	113.31	113.693	+0.34%	112.23	-0.95%	0.0159	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	116.825	117.2856	+0.39%	113.31	-3.01%	0.0430	✗	1.15
2026-09-14	oos	122.08	122.3142	+0.19%	116.825	-4.30%	0.0087	✗	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	123.545	124.0063	+0.37%	122.08	-1.19%	0.0345	✗	1.06
2026-09-12	oos	130.19	130.5497	+0.28%	123.545	-5.10%	0.0489	✗	1.04
2026-09-11	oos	131.485	131.9335	+0.34%	130.19	-0.98%	0.0140	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	139.39	139.7032	+0.22%	131.485	-5.67%	0.0699	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	136.155	136.5623	+0.30%	139.39	+2.38%	0.0453	✓	1.10
2026-09-08	oos	146.19	146.3085	+0.08%	136.155	-6.86%	0.0696	✗	1.10
2026-09-07	oos	152.695	152.5698	-0.08%	146.19	-4.26%	0.0337	✓	1.10
2026-09-06	oos	160.67	160.5035	-0.10%	152.695	-4.96%	0.0319	✓	1.15
2026-09-05	oos	161.42	161.5669	+0.09%	160.67	-0.46%	0.0128	✗	1.15
2026-09-04	oos	147.05	147.8029	+0.51%	161.42	+9.77%	0.0857	✓	1.24
2026-09-03	oos	175.98	175.898	-0.05%	147.05	-16.44%	0.1567	✓	1.14
2026-09-02	oos	176.43	176.383	-0.03%	175.98	-0.26%	0.0633	✓	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	174.19	174.0568	-0.08%	176.43	+1.29%	0.0150	✗	1.22
2026-08-31	oos	166.31	166.4298	+0.07%	174.19	+4.74%	0.0639	✓	1.23
2026-08-30	oos	170.38	170.0096	-0.22%	166.31	-2.39%	0.0342	✓	1.07
2026-08-29	oos	169.63	169.315	-0.19%	170.38	+0.44%	0.0140	✗	1.06
2026-08-28	oos	179.52	178.796	-0.40%	169.63	-5.51%	0.0580	✓	1.07
2026-08-27	oos	191.01	189.8762	-0.59%	179.52	-6.02%	0.0240	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	211.81	210.0357	-0.84%	191.01	-9.82%	0.1120	✓	1.09
2026-08-25	oos	217.1	214.9235	-1.00%	211.81	-2.44%	0.0215	✓	1.09
2026-08-24	oos	229.97	227.3436	-1.14%	217.1	-5.60%	0.0397	✓	1.11
2026-08-23	oos	278.67	275.3941	-1.18%	229.97	-17.48%	0.1996	✓	1.21
2026-08-22	oos	287.94	284.5907	-1.16%	278.67	-3.22%	0.0317	✓	1.22
2026-08-21	oos	319.02	314.3518	-1.46%	287.94	-9.74%	0.0684	✓	1.18
2026-08-20	oos	306.52	300.5579	-1.95%	319.02	+4.08%	0.0325	✓	1.31
2026-08-19	oos	270.36	266.1109	-1.57%	306.52	+13.37%	0.0761	✗	1.25
2026-08-18	oos	239.18	235.9261	-1.36%	270.36	+13.04%	0.0544	✗	1.19
2026-08-17	oos	216.8	214.5191	-1.05%	239.18	+10.32%	0.1051	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	226.32	223.6821	-1.17%	216.8	-4.21%	0.0635	✓	1.25
2026-08-15	oos	226.73	223.9693	-1.22%	226.32	-0.18%	0.0140	✗	1.25
2026-08-14	oos	229.55	226.2048	-1.46%	226.73	-1.23%	0.0015	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	211.17	208.4256	-1.30%	229.55	+8.70%	0.1055	✗	1.26
2026-08-12	oos	200.27	197.4782	-1.39%	211.17	+5.44%	0.0668	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	174.33	172.7362	-0.91%	200.27	+14.88%	0.1502	✗	1.20
2026-08-10	oos	181.34	179.3929	-1.07%	174.33	-3.87%	0.0215	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	176.56	174.6602	-1.08%	181.34	+2.71%	0.0552	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	172.5	170.5658	-1.12%	176.56	+2.35%	0.0357	✗	1.21
2026-08-07	oos	160.685	158.726	-1.22%	172.5	+7.35%	0.0829	✗	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	136.26	135.3765	-0.65%	160.685	+17.93%	0.1606	✗	1.12
2026-08-05	oos	130.39	129.645	-0.57%	136.26	+4.50%	0.0557	✗	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	131.76	130.9538	-0.61%	130.39	-1.04%	0.0146	✓	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	131.56	130.685	-0.67%	131.76	+0.15%	0.0030	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	130.19	129.2301	-0.74%	131.56	+1.05%	0.0185	✗	1.19
2026-08-01	oos	118.78	118.09	-0.58%	130.19	+9.61%	0.0843	✗	1.14
2026-07-31	oos	112.25	111.7244	-0.47%	118.78	+5.82%	0.0624	✗	1.14
2026-07-30	oos	116.04	115.3895	-0.56%	112.25	-3.27%	0.0059	✗	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	105.37	105.0153	-0.34%	116.04	+10.13%	0.0861	✗	1.07
2026-07-28	oos	106.24	105.8604	-0.36%	105.37	-0.82%	0.0055	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	104.86	104.5332	-0.31%	106.24	+1.32%	0.0136	✗	1.08
2026-07-26	oos	110.42	110.0224	-0.36%	104.86	-5.04%	0.0214	✓	1.05
2026-07-25	oos	107.48	107.1292	-0.33%	110.42	+2.74%	0.0133	✗	1.05
2026-07-24	oos	106.4	106.0823	-0.30%	107.48	+1.02%	0.0096	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	109.16	108.8126	-0.32%	106.4	-2.53%	0.0068	✓	1.04
2026-07-22	oos	111.91	111.5465	-0.32%	109.16	-2.46%	0.0051	✓	1.05
2026-07-21	oos	113.12	112.7315	-0.34%	111.91	-1.07%	0.0005	✓	1.05
2026-07-20	oos	109.55	109.209	-0.31%	113.12	+3.26%	0.0148	✗	1.03
2026-07-19	oos	112.77	112.3968	-0.33%	109.55	-2.86%	0.0342	✓	1.04
2026-07-18	oos	113.49	113.1182	-0.33%	112.77	-0.63%	0.0012	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	111.33	110.9873	-0.31%	113.49	+1.94%	0.0077	✗	1.04
2026-07-16	oos	115.02	114.6212	-0.35%	111.33	-3.21%	0.0312	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	118.58	118.1027	-0.40%	115.02	-3.00%	0.0105	✓	1.08
2026-07-14	oos	115.64	115.2261	-0.36%	118.58	+2.54%	0.0332	✗	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	114.74	114.3228	-0.36%	115.64	+0.78%	0.0377	✓	1.15
2026-07-12	oos	115.92	115.4751	-0.38%	114.74	-1.02%	0.0208	✗	1.16
2026-07-11	oos	117.23	116.7376	-0.42%	115.92	-1.12%	0.0064	✓	1.26
2026-07-10	oos	117.69	117.123	-0.48%	117.23	-0.39%	0.0082	✗	1.31
2026-07-09	oos	105.24	104.9385	-0.29%	117.69	+11.83%	0.0958	✗	1.26
2026-07-08	oos	106.33	106.0164	-0.29%	105.24	-1.03%	0.0270	✓	1.31
2026-07-07	oos	109.19	108.8304	-0.33%	106.33	-2.62%	0.0001	✓	1.35
2026-07-06	oos	111.53	111.0786	-0.40%	109.19	-2.10%	0.0026	✓	1.36
2026-07-05	oos	108.29	107.9128	-0.35%	111.53	+2.99%	0.0243	✗	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	108.45	108.0015	-0.41%	108.29	-0.15%	0.0077	✓	1.33
2026-07-03	oos	103.55	103.1968	-0.34%	108.45	+4.73%	0.0380	✗	1.29
2026-07-02	oos	99.23	98.9529	-0.28%	103.55	+4.35%	0.0239	✗	1.29
2026-07-01	oos	97.2	96.9453	-0.26%	99.23	+2.09%	0.0090	✓	1.29
2026-06-30	oos	96.72	96.4947	-0.23%	97.2	+0.50%	0.0256	✓	1.35
2026-06-29	oos	101.52	101.222	-0.29%	96.72	-4.73%	0.0083	✓	1.35
2026-06-28	oos	100.1	99.8378	-0.26%	101.52	+1.42%	0.0013	✓	1.57
2026-06-27	oos	100.63	100.3667	-0.26%	100.1	-0.53%	0.0103	✗	1.68
2026-06-26	oos	101.07	100.8118	-0.26%	100.63	-0.44%	0.0001	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	102.07	101.8175	-0.25%	101.07	-0.98%	0.0158	✓	1.69
2026-06-24	oos	102.095	101.842	-0.25%	102.07	-0.02%	0.0400	✗	1.78
2026-06-23	oos	105.73	105.4591	-0.26%	102.095	-3.44%	0.0158	✗	1.79
2026-06-22	oos	115.65	115.2306	-0.36%	105.73	-8.58%	0.0497	✓	1.76
2026-06-21	oos	120.06	119.5431	-0.43%	115.65	-3.67%	0.0531	✓	1.78
2026-06-20	oos	123.13	122.4912	-0.52%	120.06	-2.49%	0.0066	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	114.46	114.0228	-0.38%	123.13	+7.57%	0.0568	✗	1.71
2026-06-18	oos	116.8	116.2746	-0.45%	114.46	-2.00%	0.0319	✓	1.72
2026-06-17	oos	124.21	123.3844	-0.66%	116.8	-5.97%	0.0132	✓	1.69
2026-06-16	oos	118.04	117.3271	-0.60%	124.21	+5.23%	0.0881	✗	1.73
2026-06-15	oos	101.84	101.5042	-0.33%	118.04	+15.91%	0.1685	✗	1.76
2026-06-14	oos	103.36	102.9973	-0.35%	101.84	-1.47%	0.0267	✓	1.78
2026-06-13	oos	100.71	100.3862	-0.32%	103.36	+2.63%	0.0058	✓	1.78
2026-06-12	oos	99.61	99.3191	-0.29%	100.71	+1.10%	0.0111	✓	1.79
2026-06-11	oos	102.23	101.8712	-0.35%	99.61	-2.56%	0.0217	✓	1.79
2026-06-10	oos	96.72	96.4989	-0.23%	102.23	+5.70%	0.0030	✓	1.79
2026-06-09	oos	100.91	100.6284	-0.28%	96.72	-4.15%	0.0327	✓	1.79
2026-06-08	oos	113.22	112.6411	-0.51%	100.91	-10.87%	0.0720	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	111.28	110.6618	-0.56%	113.22	+1.74%	0.0293	✗	1.69
2026-06-06	oos	97.28	97.0705	-0.22%	111.28	+14.39%	0.0758	✗	1.54
2026-06-05	oos	97.76	97.5585	-0.21%	97.28	-0.49%	0.0016	✓	1.51
2026-06-04	oos	102.42	102.0834	-0.33%	97.76	-4.55%	0.0253	✗	1.54
2026-06-03	oos	102.84	102.5067	-0.32%	102.42	-0.41%	0.0047	✗	1.53
2026-06-02	oos	105.23	104.78	-0.43%	102.84	-2.27%	0.0433	✗	1.55
2026-06-01	oos	103	102.5514	-0.44%	105.23	+2.17%	0.1467	✗	1.79
2026-05-31	oos	105.02	104.5097	-0.49%	103	-1.92%	0.0424	✗	1.83
2026-05-30	oos	106.24	105.6873	-0.52%	105.02	-1.15%	0.0018	✓	1.73
2026-05-29	oos	104.52	103.9772	-0.52%	106.24	+1.65%	0.0120	✗	1.73
2026-05-28	oos	102	101.5198	-0.47%	104.52	+2.47%	0.0326	✗	1.73
2026-05-27	oos	102.77	102.2662	-0.49%	102	-0.75%	0.0163	✗	1.74
2026-05-26	oos	108.9	108.2325	-0.61%	102.77	-5.63%	0.0172	✓	1.72
2026-05-25	oos	115.21	114.359	-0.74%	108.9	-5.48%	0.0197	✓	1.57
2026-05-24	oos	114.49	113.5657	-0.81%	115.21	+0.63%	0.0088	✗	1.58
2026-05-23	oos	112.58	111.6731	-0.81%	114.49	+1.70%	0.0184	✗	1.53
2026-05-22	oos	104.65	104.0464	-0.58%	112.58	+7.58%	0.0547	✗	1.52
2026-05-21	oos	108.61	107.8619	-0.69%	104.65	-3.65%	0.0117	✗	1.52
2026-05-20	oos	110.37	109.5647	-0.73%	108.61	-1.59%	0.0102	✓	1.53
2026-05-19	oos	109.45	108.7418	-0.65%	110.37	+0.84%	0.0009	✓	1.52
2026-05-18	oos	113.34	112.5063	-0.74%	109.45	-3.43%	0.0241	✓	1.49
2026-05-17	oos	110.42	109.7233	-0.63%	113.34	+2.64%	0.0414	✗	1.49
2026-05-16	oos	106.5	105.9283	-0.54%	110.42	+3.68%	0.0550	✗	1.50
2026-05-15	oos	109.69	109.1111	-0.53%	106.5	-2.91%	0.0059	✓	1.51
2026-05-14	oos	110.74	110.1578	-0.53%	109.69	-0.95%	0.0340	✗	1.52
2026-05-13	oos	113.12	112.5834	-0.47%	110.74	-2.10%	0.0493	✓	1.47
2026-05-12	oos	113.72	113.2544	-0.41%	113.12	-0.53%	0.0212	✗	1.50
2026-05-11	oos	116.68	116.2185	-0.40%	113.72	-2.54%	0.0006	✓	1.46
2026-05-10	oos	119.15	118.6891	-0.39%	116.68	-2.07%	0.0095	✓	1.32
2026-05-09	oos	117.27	116.8587	-0.35%	119.15	+1.60%	0.0050	✓	1.29
2026-05-08	oos	123.47	122.9298	-0.44%	117.27	-5.02%	0.0548	✓	1.32
2026-05-07	oos	112.43	112.2736	-0.14%	123.47	+9.82%	0.0921	✗	1.28
2026-05-06	oos	127.76	127.233	-0.41%	112.43	-12.00%	0.1052	✓	1.04
2026-05-05	oos	120	119.7025	-0.25%	127.76	+6.47%	0.0577	✗	1.14
2026-05-04	oos	126.2	125.7626	-0.35%	120	-4.91%	0.0619	✓	1.14
2026-05-03	oos	125.4	124.9901	-0.33%	126.2	+0.64%	0.0103	✓	1.22
2026-05-02	oos	124.74	124.4031	-0.27%	125.4	+0.53%	0.0099	✗	1.21
2026-05-01	oos	129.15	128.6746	-0.37%	124.74	-3.41%	0.0382	✓	1.25
2026-04-30	oos	128.21	127.762	-0.35%	129.15	+0.73%	0.0203	✓	1.24
2026-04-29	oos	125.68	125.3149	-0.29%	128.21	+2.01%	0.0138	✗	1.25
2026-04-28	oos	131.47	130.9292	-0.41%	125.68	-4.40%	0.0320	✓	1.20
2026-04-27	oos	129.98	129.4634	-0.40%	131.47	+1.15%	0.0318	✗	1.20
2026-04-26	oos	135.23	134.5694	-0.49%	129.98	-3.88%	0.0147	✓	1.19
2026-04-25	oos	135.68	134.9743	-0.52%	135.23	-0.33%	0.0136	✓	1.18
2026-04-24	oos	130.23	129.6599	-0.44%	135.68	+4.18%	0.0425	✗	1.18
2026-04-23	oos	136.62	135.87	-0.55%	130.23	-4.68%	0.0300	✓	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	137.55	136.7487	-0.58%	136.62	-0.68%	0.0020	✓	1.18
2026-04-21	oos	135.85	135.0444	-0.59%	137.55	+1.25%	0.0101	✓	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	135.23	134.4133	-0.60%	135.85	+0.46%	0.0031	✓	1.18
2026-04-19	oos	130.85	130.0984	-0.57%	135.23	+3.35%	0.0068	✗	1.17
2026-04-18	oos	134.07	133.2563	-0.61%	130.85	-2.40%	0.0119	✗	1.18
2026-04-17	oos	147.48	146.3893	-0.74%	134.07	-9.09%	0.0672	✓	1.16
2026-04-16	oos	142.63	141.6235	-0.71%	147.48	+3.40%	0.0110	✗	1.16
2026-04-15	oos	146.59	145.4289	-0.79%	142.63	-2.70%	0.0245	✓	1.16
2026-04-14	oos	140.56	139.5267	-0.74%	146.59	+4.29%	0.0391	✗	1.16
2026-04-13	oos	144.36	143.1436	-0.84%	140.56	-2.63%	0.0141	✓	1.15
2026-04-12	oos	128.35	127.5255	-0.64%	144.36	+12.47%	0.0671	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	141.28	140.1552	-0.80%	128.35	-9.15%	0.0527	✓	1.09
2026-04-10	oos	145.62	144.1927	-0.98%	141.28	-2.98%	0.0217	✓	1.07
2026-04-09	oos	133.67	132.5458	-0.84%	145.62	+8.94%	0.0765	✗	1.06
2026-04-08	oos	117.18	116.4945	-0.59%	133.67	+14.07%	0.1272	✗	1.04
2026-04-07	oos	124.07	123.1652	-0.73%	117.18	-5.55%	0.0379	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	120.16	119.2631	-0.75%	124.07	+3.25%	0.0056	✓	1.04
2026-04-05	oos	124.07	123.0002	-0.86%	120.16	-3.15%	0.0211	✓	1.04
2026-04-04	oos	124.07	122.8747	-0.96%	124.07	+0.00%	0.0162	✓	1.03
2026-04-03	oos	119.27	118.2193	-0.88%	124.07	+4.02%	0.0432	✗	1.02
2026-04-02	oos	131.68	130.0508	-1.24%	119.27	-9.42%	0.0875	✓	1.03
2026-04-01	oos	148.48	145.3283	-2.12%	131.68	-11.31%	0.0803	✓	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	133.71	130.7034	-2.25%	148.48	+11.05%	0.1291	✗	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	94.86	93.7173	-1.20%	133.71	+40.96%	0.3353	✗	0.91
2026-03-29	oos	68.22	68.009	-0.31%	94.86	+39.05%	0.3228	✗	0.85
2026-03-28	oos	68.28	68.1025	-0.26%	68.22	-0.09%	0.0064	✗	0.85
2026-03-27	oos	68.72	68.5605	-0.23%	68.28	-0.64%	0.0037	✓	0.85
2026-03-26	oos	78.04	77.7534	-0.37%	68.72	-11.94%	0.0943	✓	0.82
2026-03-25	oos	83.59	83.1912	-0.48%	78.04	-6.64%	0.0348	✓	0.80
2026-03-24	oos	81.88	81.5078	-0.45%	83.59	+2.09%	0.0166	✗	0.80
2026-03-23	oos	80.19	79.8712	-0.40%	81.88	+2.11%	0.0287	✗	0.80
2026-03-22	oos	77.44	77.1607	-0.36%	80.19	+3.55%	0.0037	✗	0.80
2026-03-21	oos	80.04	79.7522	-0.36%	77.44	-3.25%	0.0170	✓	0.80
2026-03-20	oos	82.16	81.843	-0.39%	80.04	-2.58%	0.0041	✓	0.80
2026-03-19	oos	82.11	81.8095	-0.37%	82.16	+0.06%	0.0023	✓	0.80
2026-03-18	oos	83.59	83.2858	-0.36%	82.11	-1.77%	0.0014	✓	0.83
2026-03-17	oos	88.2	87.8241	-0.43%	83.59	-5.23%	0.0186	✓	0.83
2026-03-16	oos	92.75	92.2431	-0.55%	88.2	-4.91%	0.0343	✓	0.82
2026-03-15	oos	87.93	87.5602	-0.42%	92.75	+5.48%	0.0350	✗	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	83.97	83.6878	-0.34%	87.93	+4.72%	0.0319	✗	0.79
2026-03-13	oos	85.52	85.2629	-0.30%	83.97	-1.81%	0.0184	✓	0.77
2026-03-12	oos	86.84	86.6138	-0.26%	85.52	-1.52%	0.0172	✓	0.77
2026-03-11	oos	86.34	86.1626	-0.21%	86.84	+0.58%	0.0044	✗	0.76
2026-03-10	oos	100.48	100.1506	-0.33%	86.34	-14.07%	0.1511	✓	0.76
2026-03-09	oos	101.39	101.0767	-0.31%	100.48	-0.90%	0.0228	✓	0.76
2026-03-08	oos	103.17	102.8699	-0.29%	101.39	-1.73%	0.0434	✓	0.79
2026-03-07	oos	99.77	99.5327	-0.24%	103.17	+3.41%	0.0516	✗	0.81
2026-03-06	oos	104.975	104.6738	-0.29%	99.77	-4.96%	0.0378	✓	0.81
2026-03-05	oos	110.03	109.6468	-0.35%	104.975	-4.59%	0.0113	✓	0.81
2026-03-04	oos	110.59	110.1467	-0.40%	110.03	-0.51%	0.0192	✗	0.81
2026-03-03	oos	100.21	99.9573	-0.25%	110.59	+10.36%	0.0538	✗	0.77
2026-03-02	oos	101.99	101.7285	-0.26%	100.21	-1.75%	0.0094	✓	0.77
2026-03-01	oos	101.96	101.7123	-0.24%	101.99	+0.03%	0.0395	✓	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	106.48	106.1796	-0.28%	101.96	-4.24%	0.0224	✓	1.00
2026-02-27	oos	104.9	104.637	-0.25%	106.48	+1.51%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-02-26	oos	110.4	110.0731	-0.30%	104.9	-4.98%	0.0236	✓	1.00
2026-02-25	oos	110.78	110.4632	-0.29%	110.4	-0.34%	0.0068	✗	1.00
2026-02-24	oos	110.32	110.0423	-0.25%	110.78	+0.42%	0.0572	✓	1.07
2026-02-23	oos	115.54	115.2265	-0.27%	110.32	-4.52%	0.0343	✓	1.06
2026-02-22	oos	118.83	118.4576	-0.31%	115.54	-2.77%	0.0236	✗	1.07
2026-02-21	oos	126.83	126.3103	-0.41%	118.83	-6.31%	0.0557	✓	1.06
2026-02-20	oos	123.41	122.9503	-0.37%	126.83	+2.77%	0.0315	✗	1.05
2026-02-19	oos	119.42	119.0281	-0.33%	123.41	+3.34%	0.0204	✗	1.05
2026-02-18	oos	124.21	123.7284	-0.39%	119.42	-3.86%	0.0442	✓	1.06
2026-02-17	oos	118.775	118.3791	-0.33%	124.21	+4.58%	0.0644	✗	1.04
2026-02-16	oos	121.49	121.0364	-0.37%	118.775	-2.23%	0.0021	✓	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	121.42	120.9526	-0.38%	121.49	+0.06%	0.0034	✓	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	128.2	127.5538	-0.50%	121.42	-5.29%	0.0347	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	132.58	131.7817	-0.60%	128.2	-3.30%	0.0419	✓	1.02
2026-02-12	oos	136.93	135.9293	-0.73%	132.58	-3.18%	0.0654	✓	1.05
2026-02-11	oos	148.8	146.7645	-1.37%	136.93	-7.98%	0.0557	✓	1.11
2026-02-10	oos	146.95	144.5965	-1.60%	148.8	+1.26%	0.0581	✗	1.12
2026-02-09	oos	113.17	112.1753	-0.88%	146.95	+29.85%	0.2921	✗	1.18
2026-02-08	oos	76.9	77.2312	+0.43%	113.17	+47.17%	0.3851	✓	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	68.03	68.793	+1.12%	76.9	+13.04%	0.0949	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	63.97	64.9191	+1.48%	68.03	+6.35%	0.0659	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	60.66	61.8753	+2.00%	63.97	+5.46%	0.0997	✗	1.14
2026-02-04	oos	74.61	75.6778	+1.43%	60.66	-18.70%	0.0652	✗	1.04
2026-02-03	oos	75.54	76.6561	+1.48%	74.61	-1.23%	0.0105	✓	1.05
2026-02-02	oos	92.03	92.8318	+0.87%	75.54	-17.92%	0.1656	✗	1.04
2026-02-01	oos	91.49	92.6821	+1.30%	92.03	+0.59%	0.0265	✗	0.85
2026-01-31	oos	105.93	106.8112	+0.83%	91.49	-13.63%	0.1377	✗	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	112.79	113.2814	+0.44%	105.93	-6.08%	0.0156	✗	0.77
2026-01-29	oos	130	129.9936	-0.00%	112.79	-13.24%	0.1383	✓	0.76
2026-01-28	oos	128.92	128.8296	-0.07%	130	+0.84%	0.0535	✗	0.83
2026-01-27	oos	150.08	149.6035	-0.32%	128.92	-14.10%	0.1492	✓	0.85
2026-01-26	oos	156.06	155.5305	-0.34%	150.08	-3.83%	0.0438	✓	0.83
2026-01-25	oos	162.48	161.9505	-0.33%	156.06	-3.95%	0.0535	✓	0.85
2026-01-24	oos	168.06	167.3057	-0.45%	162.48	-3.32%	0.0051	✓	0.84
2026-01-23	oos	163.68	163.1124	-0.35%	168.06	+2.68%	0.0337	✗	0.86
2026-01-22	oos	163.14	162.6931	-0.27%	163.68	+0.33%	0.0059	✗	0.87
2026-01-21	oos	161.03	160.7168	-0.19%	163.14	+1.31%	0.0140	✗	0.89
2026-01-20	oos	159.15	159.0701	-0.05%	161.03	+1.18%	0.0015	✗	0.91
2026-01-19	oos	164.44	164.1063	-0.20%	159.15	-3.22%	0.0142	✗	0.95
2026-01-18	oos	173.43	172.8645	-0.33%	164.44	-5.18%	0.0397	✓	0.89
2026-01-17	oos	175.07	174.49	-0.33%	173.43	-0.94%	0.0092	✗	0.98
2026-01-16	oos	174.31	173.8368	-0.27%	175.07	+0.44%	0.0111	✗	0.97
2026-01-15	oos	182.76	182.1678	-0.32%	174.31	-4.62%	0.0432	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	192.53	191.8251	-0.37%	182.76	-5.07%	0.0342	✓	1.00
2026-01-13	oos	196.14	195.5616	-0.29%	192.53	-1.84%	0.0322	✓	1.01
2026-01-12	oos	186.46	186.3887	-0.04%	196.14	+5.19%	0.0117	✗	0.87
2026-01-11	oos	209.79	209.4625	-0.16%	186.46	-11.12%	0.1197	✓	0.97
2026-01-10	oos	255.69	254.5879	-0.43%	209.79	-17.95%	0.1992	✓	1.04
2026-01-09	oos	263.33	262.1835	-0.44%	255.69	-2.90%	0.0225	✓	1.68
2026-01-08	oos	274.74	273.4085	-0.48%	263.33	-4.15%	0.0283	✓	1.65
2026-01-07	oos	285.03	283.4897	-0.54%	274.74	-3.61%	0.0269	✓	1.58
2026-01-06	oos	294.16	292.5555	-0.55%	285.03	-3.10%	0.0144	✗	1.53
2026-01-05	oos	292.13	290.5386	-0.54%	294.16	+0.69%	0.0148	✗	1.50
2026-01-04	oos	301.38	299.5694	-0.60%	292.13	-3.07%	0.0637	✓	1.50
2026-01-03	oos	300.78	298.8598	-0.64%	301.38	+0.20%	0.0061	✓	1.48
2026-01-02	oos	304.74	302.5021	-0.73%	300.78	-1.30%	0.0165	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	299.75	297.8282	-0.64%	304.74	+1.66%	0.0019	✓	1.54
2025-12-31	oos	294.44	292.6342	-0.61%	299.75	+1.80%	0.0014	✓	1.61
2025-12-30	oos	287.39	285.7067	-0.59%	294.44	+2.45%	0.0465	✗	1.60
2025-12-29	oos	295.675	293.8637	-0.61%	287.39	-2.80%	0.0459	✓	1.61
2025-12-28	oos	289.84	288.1177	-0.59%	295.675	+2.01%	0.0400	✗	1.61
2025-12-27	oos	295.85	294.0248	-0.62%	289.84	-2.03%	0.0155	✓	1.53
2025-12-26	oos	299.19	297.0756	-0.71%	295.85	-1.12%	0.0135	✓	1.60
2025-12-25	oos	308.69	306.4931	-0.71%	299.19	-3.08%	0.0264	✓	1.61
2025-12-24	oos	299.73	297.7166	-0.67%	308.69	+2.99%	0.0442	✗	1.61
2025-12-23	oos	302.23	300.1007	-0.70%	299.73	-0.83%	0.0046	✓	1.65
2025-12-22	oos	317.89	315.2001	-0.85%	302.23	-4.93%	0.0212	✓	1.62
2025-12-21	oos	307.91	305.4022	-0.81%	317.89	+3.24%	0.0416	✗	1.63
2025-12-20	oos	301.61	299.096	-0.83%	307.91	+2.09%	0.0231	✗	1.65
2025-12-19	oos	307.38	304.6679	-0.88%	301.61	-1.88%	0.0144	✓	1.66
2025-12-18	oos	280.98	279.0046	-0.70%	307.38	+9.40%	0.0469	✗	1.65
2025-12-17	oos	308.54	305.7923	-0.89%	280.98	-8.93%	0.0704	✓	1.63
2025-12-16	oos	310.03	307.0714	-0.95%	308.54	-0.48%	0.0354	✗	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	307.59	304.6358	-0.96%	310.03	+0.79%	0.0096	✓	1.64
2025-12-14	oos	308	304.6753	-1.08%	307.59	-0.13%	0.0433	✗	1.68
2025-12-13	oos	289.37	286.3887	-1.03%	308	+6.44%	0.1128	✗	1.71
2025-12-12	oos	302.6	299.2469	-1.11%	289.37	-4.37%	0.0331	✓	1.72
2025-12-11	oos	300.2	296.5753	-1.21%	302.6	+0.80%	0.0629	✗	1.73
2025-12-10	oos	325.26	320.7999	-1.37%	300.2	-7.70%	0.0759	✓	1.74
2025-12-09	oos	332.52	327.6632	-1.46%	325.26	-2.18%	0.0048	✓	1.71
2025-12-08	oos	324	318.7003	-1.64%	332.52	+2.63%	0.0047	✓	1.70
2025-12-07	oos	289.54	285.749	-1.31%	324	+11.90%	0.1209	✗	1.69
2025-12-06	oos	285.71	281.9819	-1.30%	289.54	+1.34%	0.0051	✓	1.69
2025-12-05	oos	288.1	284.2745	-1.33%	285.71	-0.83%	0.0065	✓	1.69
2025-12-04	oos	296.1	290.9421	-1.74%	288.1	-2.70%	0.0412	✗	1.68
2025-12-03	oos	314.86	308.6886	-1.96%	296.1	-5.96%	0.0172	✓	1.66
2025-12-02	oos	306.26	299.0729	-2.35%	314.86	+2.81%	0.0120	✓	1.70
2025-12-01	oos	248.06	245.0819	-1.20%	306.26	+23.46%	0.1344	✗	1.56
2025-11-30	oos	301.5	295.0947	-2.12%	248.06	-17.72%	0.1105	✓	1.36
2025-11-29	oos	318.94	309.6762	-2.90%	301.5	-5.47%	0.0200	✓	1.34
2025-11-28	oos	263.41	256.3034	-2.70%	318.94	+21.08%	0.2197	✗	1.34
2025-11-27	oos	197.85	194.6663	-1.61%	263.41	+33.14%	0.3086	✗	1.35
2025-11-26	oos	168.18	167.465	-0.43%	197.85	+17.64%	0.1547	✗	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	164.31	164.0396	-0.16%	168.18	+2.36%	0.0215	✓	1.31
2025-11-24	oos	162.32	162.2749	-0.03%	164.31	+1.23%	0.0266	✗	1.32
2025-11-23	oos	163.89	164.0678	+0.11%	162.32	-0.96%	0.0329	✗	1.33
2025-11-22	oos	164.41	164.8617	+0.27%	163.89	-0.32%	0.0398	✗	1.37
2025-11-21	oos	165.91	166.4941	+0.35%	164.41	-0.90%	0.0064	✗	1.37
2025-11-20	oos	172.66	173.0669	+0.24%	165.91	-3.91%	0.0189	✗	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	175.95	175.9796	+0.02%	172.66	-1.87%	0.0570	✓	1.37
2025-11-18	oos	163.42	164.0994	+0.42%	175.95	+7.67%	0.0919	✓	1.41
2025-11-17	oos	161.65	162.4776	+0.51%	163.42	+1.09%	0.0065	✗	1.40
2025-11-16	oos	162.59	163.4177	+0.51%	161.65	-0.58%	0.0202	✓	1.39
2025-11-15	oos	158.28	159.2613	+0.62%	162.59	+2.72%	0.0407	✓	1.40
2025-11-14	oos	169.12	169.8776	+0.45%	158.28	-6.41%	0.0864	✗	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	199.31	198.6588	-0.33%	169.12	-15.15%	0.0944	✓	1.26
2025-11-12	oos	205.325	204.2027	-0.55%	199.31	-2.93%	0.0010	✓	1.25
2025-11-11	oos	212.15	210.719	-0.67%	205.325	-3.22%	0.0098	✓	1.20
2025-11-10	oos	224.5	222.5643	-0.86%	212.15	-5.50%	0.0162	✓	1.12
2025-11-09	oos	259.1	256.5419	-0.99%	224.5	-13.35%	0.1478	✓	1.18
2025-11-08	oos	331.17	327.1664	-1.21%	259.1	-21.76%	0.2656	✓	1.39
2025-11-07	oos	350.58	345.3672	-1.49%	331.17	-5.54%	0.0291	✓	1.32
2025-11-06	oos	370.07	364.0172	-1.64%	350.58	-5.27%	0.0647	✓	1.39
2025-11-05	oos	371.54	363.5515	-2.15%	370.07	-0.40%	0.0529	✗	1.40
2025-11-04	oos	304.82	298.7607	-1.99%	371.54	+21.89%	0.1883	✗	1.27
2025-11-03	oos	270.06	265.7639	-1.59%	304.82	+12.87%	0.2106	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	266.28	262.2441	-1.52%	270.06	+1.42%	0.0866	✗	1.56
2025-11-01	oos	248.47	244.9977	-1.40%	266.28	+7.17%	0.0765	✗	1.56
2025-10-31	oos	248.1	244.6131	-1.41%	248.47	+0.15%	0.0088	✓	1.52
2025-10-30	oos	250.71	247.0222	-1.47%	248.1	-1.04%	0.0133	✓	1.54
2025-10-29	oos	257.46	253.1618	-1.67%	250.71	-2.62%	0.0144	✓	1.53
2025-10-28	oos	252.05	247.5627	-1.78%	257.46	+2.15%	0.0796	✗	1.57
2025-10-27	oos	239.2	234.806	-1.84%	252.05	+5.37%	0.0873	✗	1.58
2025-10-26	oos	227.29	223.2752	-1.77%	239.2	+5.24%	0.0753	✗	1.59
2025-10-25	oos	218.51	214.4452	-1.86%	227.29	+4.02%	0.0170	✓	1.61
2025-10-24	oos	205.15	201.0317	-2.01%	218.51	+6.51%	0.0745	✗	1.58
2025-10-23	oos	186.69	183.7498	-1.57%	205.15	+9.89%	0.0971	✗	1.56
2025-10-22	oos	179.88	177.2225	-1.48%	186.69	+3.79%	0.0154	✗	1.58
2025-10-21	oos	231.08	224.4442	-2.87%	179.88	-22.16%	0.2104	✓	1.53
2025-10-20	oos	211.08	205.3225	-2.73%	231.08	+9.48%	0.1504	✗	1.60
2025-10-19	oos	175.62	171.8806	-2.13%	211.08	+20.19%	0.1811	✗	1.41
2025-10-18	oos	174.8	170.6467	-2.38%	175.62	+0.47%	0.0093	✓	1.43
2025-10-17	oos	153.19	150.0539	-2.05%	174.8	+14.11%	0.1429	✗	1.40
2025-10-16	oos	160.52	156.5498	-2.47%	153.19	-4.57%	0.0006	✓	1.38
2025-10-15	oos	162.23	156.7943	-3.35%	160.52	-1.05%	0.0565	✗	1.39
2025-10-14	oos	126.05	123.3586	-2.14%	162.23	+28.70%	0.3055	✗	1.56
2025-10-13	oos	150.14	144.5407	-3.73%	126.05	-16.05%	0.1083	✓	1.48
2025-10-12	oos	130.685	124.5708	-4.68%	150.14	+14.89%	0.1841	✗	1.48
2025-10-11	oos	69.25	68.3426	-1.31%	130.685	+88.71%	0.6223	✗	0.68
2025-10-10	oos	66.89	66.0051	-1.32%	69.25	+3.53%	0.0616	✗	0.69
2025-10-09	oos	71.07	69.626	-2.03%	66.89	-5.88%	0.0066	✓	0.63
2025-10-08	oos	59.61	58.9388	-1.13%	71.07	+19.22%	0.1971	✗	0.75
2025-10-07	oos	60.94	59.9926	-1.55%	59.61	-2.18%	0.0188	✓	0.78
2025-10-06	oos	55.75	55.1324	-1.11%	60.94	+9.31%	0.1242	✗	0.89
2025-10-05	oos	60.7	59.5086	-1.96%	55.75	-8.15%	0.0743	✓	0.94
2025-10-04	oos	52.43	51.7229	-1.35%	60.7	+15.77%	0.1523	✗	0.90
2025-10-03	oos	47.75	47.0375	-1.49%	52.43	+9.80%	0.1075	✗	0.89
2025-10-02	oos	40.17	39.9019	-0.67%	47.75	+18.87%	0.1684	✗	0.80
2025-10-01	oos	38.88	38.5979	-0.73%	40.17	+3.32%	0.0270	✗	0.79
2025-09-30	oos	36.28	36.0775	-0.56%	38.88	+7.17%	0.0476	✗	0.69
2025-09-29	oos	36.75	36.5236	-0.62%	36.28	-1.28%	0.0040	✓	1.05
2025-09-28	oos	41.4	40.9156	-1.17%	36.75	-11.23%	0.1278	✓	1.07
2025-09-27	oos	34.835	34.5459	-0.83%	41.4	+18.85%	0.1603	✗	0.91
2025-09-26	oos	29	28.8966	-0.36%	34.835	+20.12%	0.1870	✗	0.89
2025-09-25	oos	28.34	28.2495	-0.32%	29	+2.33%	0.0209	✗	0.88
2025-09-24	oos	30.515	30.389	-0.41%	28.34	-7.13%	0.0388	✓	0.80
2025-09-23	oos	29.99	29.8798	-0.37%	30.515	+1.75%	0.0116	✗	0.80
2025-09-22	oos	30.78	30.6598	-0.39%	29.99	-2.57%	0.0170	✓	0.79
2025-09-21	oos	32.635	32.4815	-0.47%	30.78	-5.68%	0.0373	✓	0.74
2025-09-20	oos	33.01	32.8442	-0.50%	32.635	-1.14%	0.0032	✓	0.80
2025-09-19	oos	33.75	33.5622	-0.56%	33.01	-2.19%	0.0170	✓	0.81
2025-09-18	oos	33.315	33.1308	-0.55%	33.75	+1.31%	0.0290	✗	0.85
2025-09-17	oos	33.34	33.1395	-0.60%	33.315	-0.07%	0.0005	✓	0.89

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.