S

Sonic · native · gru_s5

token id: #120
symbol: S
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-06-24
predictions: 1,431

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

63.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0835

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0132

actual -0.0146

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.05664	0.054807	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-21	oos	0.055915	0.054215	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-20	oos	0.05751	0.055604	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-19	oos	0.05861	0.056478	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-18	oos	0.051685	0.05021	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-17	oos	0.052695	0.051189	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.054935	0.053264	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-15	oos	0.055925	0.05406	-3.34%	0.05664	+1.28%	0.0117	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.054155	0.052433	-3.18%	0.055915	+3.25%	0.0232	✓	1.38
2026-10-13	oos	0.057115	0.054789	-4.07%	0.05751	+0.69%	0.0512	✗	1.37
2026-10-12	oos	0.05647	0.054043	-4.30%	0.05861	+3.79%	0.0795	✗	1.38
2026-10-11	oos	0.06086	0.057092	-6.19%	0.051685	-15.08%	0.0737	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.04728	0.045601	-3.55%	0.052695	+11.45%	0.1673	✗	1.22
2026-10-09	oos	0.043925	0.042394	-3.49%	0.054935	+25.07%	0.2747	✗	1.22
2026-10-08	oos	0.038495	0.037521	-2.53%	0.055925	+45.28%	0.3928	✗	1.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.040855	0.039748	-2.71%	0.054155	+32.55%	0.3337	✗	1.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.043535	0.042277	-2.89%	0.057115	+31.19%	0.3340	✗	1.15
2026-10-05	oos	0.043635	0.042273	-3.12%	0.05647	+29.41%	0.3446	✗	1.15
2026-10-04	oos	0.040785	0.03965	-2.78%	0.06086	+49.22%	0.4679	✗	1.19
2026-10-03	oos	0.043395	0.041964	-3.30%	0.04728	+8.95%	0.1461	✗	1.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.03797	0.036876	-2.88%	0.043925	+15.68%	0.2038	✗	1.23
2026-10-01	oos	0.03865	0.037516	-2.93%	0.038495	-0.40%	0.0721	✗	1.22
2026-09-30	oos	0.040745	0.039364	-3.39%	0.040855	+0.27%	0.0415	✗	1.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.037615	0.036511	-2.94%	0.043535	+15.74%	0.1465	✗	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.038825	0.03762	-3.10%	0.043635	+12.39%	0.1132	✗	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.04043	0.039152	-3.16%	0.040785	+0.88%	0.0093	✓	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.039945	0.038657	-3.23%	0.043395	+8.64%	0.1105	✗	1.32
2026-09-25	oos	0.04142	0.040002	-3.42%	0.03797	-8.33%	0.0584	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.04092	0.039514	-3.44%	0.03865	-5.55%	0.0291	✓	1.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04014	0.03872	-3.54%	0.040745	+1.51%	0.0635	✗	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.04336	0.041324	-4.69%	0.037615	-13.25%	0.0561	✓	1.26
2026-09-21	oos	0.039495	0.038019	-3.74%	0.038825	-1.70%	0.0711	✗	1.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.039995	0.037751	-5.61%	0.04043	+1.09%	0.0065	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.033515	0.032287	-3.66%	0.039945	+19.19%	0.1532	✗	1.55
2026-09-18	oos	0.032415	0.031098	-4.06%	0.04142	+27.78%	0.2260	✗	1.55
2026-09-17	oos	0.027	0.026775	-0.83%	0.04092	+51.56%	0.2882	✗	1.36
2026-09-16	oos	0.025855	0.025925	+0.27%	0.04014	+55.25%	0.2995	✓	1.34
2026-09-15	oos	0.02546	0.025696	+0.93%	0.04336	+70.31%	0.3536	✓	1.29
2026-09-14	oos	0.02675	0.026748	-0.01%	0.039495	+47.64%	0.2594	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.026345	0.026511	+0.63%	0.039995	+51.81%	0.3408	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.027485	0.027517	+0.12%	0.033515	+21.94%	0.1335	✓	1.27
2026-09-11	oos	0.02702	0.027153	+0.49%	0.032415	+19.97%	0.1175	✓	1.29
2026-09-10	oos	0.02649	0.026709	+0.83%	0.027	+1.93%	0.0140	✓	1.28
2026-09-09	oos	0.02824	0.02827	+0.11%	0.025855	-8.45%	0.0545	✗	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.02972	0.029626	-0.32%	0.02546	-14.33%	0.1050	✓	1.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.029985	0.029889	-0.32%	0.02675	-10.79%	0.0962	✓	1.26
2026-09-06	oos	0.03098	0.030833	-0.47%	0.026345	-14.96%	0.1035	✓	1.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.02983	0.029736	-0.32%	0.027485	-7.86%	0.0399	✓	1.19
2026-09-04	oos	0.02953	0.029395	-0.46%	0.02702	-8.50%	0.0480	✓	1.15
2026-09-03	oos	0.02826	0.028301	+0.15%	0.02649	-6.26%	0.0057	✓	1.20
2026-09-02	oos	0.02658	0.026464	-0.44%	0.02824	+6.25%	0.0490	✗	1.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.02764	0.027451	-0.68%	0.02972	+7.53%	0.0621	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.02777	0.02764	-0.47%	0.029985	+7.98%	0.0731	✗	1.23
2026-08-30	oos	0.02759	0.027424	-0.60%	0.03098	+12.29%	0.0804	✗	1.23
2026-08-29	oos	0.03037	0.030146	-0.74%	0.02983	-1.78%	0.0341	✓	1.17
2026-08-28	oos	0.02984	0.029593	-0.83%	0.02953	-1.04%	0.0293	✓	1.17
2026-08-27	oos	0.03047	0.030336	-0.44%	0.02826	-7.25%	0.0853	✓	1.18
2026-08-26	oos	0.03201	0.03152	-1.53%	0.02658	-16.96%	0.1440	✓	1.20
2026-08-25	oos	0.02739	0.027243	-0.54%	0.02764	+0.91%	0.0317	✗	1.19
2026-08-24	oos	0.028635	0.028429	-0.72%	0.02777	-3.02%	0.0171	✓	1.20
2026-08-23	oos	0.02816	0.027875	-1.01%	0.02759	-2.02%	0.0093	✓	1.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.02708	0.026784	-1.09%	0.03037	+12.15%	0.1076	✗	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.02856	0.028187	-1.31%	0.02984	+4.48%	0.0643	✗	1.17
2026-08-20	oos	0.02506	0.02471	-1.39%	0.03047	+21.59%	0.1077	✗	1.07
2026-08-19	oos	0.02324	0.022848	-1.69%	0.03201	+37.74%	0.1994	✗	1.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.021375	0.020937	-2.05%	0.02739	+28.14%	0.0721	✗	1.01
2026-08-17	oos	0.02184	0.021402	-2.01%	0.028635	+31.11%	0.0835	✗	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.02196	0.021489	-2.14%	0.02816	+28.23%	0.0471	✗	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.02231	0.021856	-2.03%	0.02708	+21.38%	0.0039	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.02206	0.021652	-1.85%	0.02856	+29.47%	0.0480	✗	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.02262	0.022213	-1.80%	0.02506	+10.79%	0.0273	✓	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.02238	0.022018	-1.62%	0.02324	+3.84%	0.0407	✓	1.07
2026-08-11	oos	0.023	0.022629	-1.61%	0.021375	-7.07%	0.0762	✓	1.07
2026-08-10	oos	0.02353	0.023141	-1.65%	0.02184	-7.18%	0.0673	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.02351	0.023145	-1.55%	0.02196	-6.59%	0.0180	✓	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	0.02358	0.023205	-1.59%	0.02231	-5.39%	0.0069	✓	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.02169	0.021451	-1.10%	0.02206	+1.71%	0.0614	✗	1.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.0219	0.021658	-1.11%	0.02262	+3.29%	0.0581	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.02193	0.021693	-1.08%	0.02238	+2.05%	0.0522	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.02235	0.022079	-1.21%	0.023	+2.91%	0.0500	✗	1.12
2026-08-03	oos	0.02253	0.022226	-1.35%	0.02353	+4.44%	0.0489	✗	1.15
2026-08-02	oos	0.02177	0.021541	-1.05%	0.02351	+7.99%	0.0632	✗	1.16
2026-08-01	oos	0.0214	0.021192	-0.97%	0.02358	+10.19%	0.0681	✗	1.15
2026-07-31	oos	0.02131	0.021115	-0.91%	0.02169	+1.78%	0.0104	✓	1.15
2026-07-30	oos	0.02149	0.021304	-0.86%	0.0219	+1.91%	0.0359	✗	1.18
2026-07-29	oos	0.02114	0.020988	-0.72%	0.02193	+3.74%	0.0310	✗	1.17
2026-07-28	oos	0.02166	0.021501	-0.73%	0.02235	+3.19%	0.0350	✗	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.02165	0.021505	-0.67%	0.02253	+4.06%	0.0507	✗	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.02341	0.023234	-0.75%	0.02177	-7.01%	0.0333	✓	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.02345	0.02328	-0.72%	0.0214	-8.74%	0.0572	✓	1.12
2026-07-24	oos	0.0234	0.023249	-0.65%	0.02131	-8.93%	0.0648	✓	1.12
2026-07-23	oos	0.02404	0.023895	-0.60%	0.02149	-10.61%	0.1004	✓	1.12
2026-07-22	oos	0.024615	0.024486	-0.52%	0.02114	-14.12%	0.1099	✓	1.10
2026-07-21	oos	0.02451	0.024399	-0.45%	0.02166	-11.63%	0.0739	✓	1.10
2026-07-20	oos	0.02515	0.025005	-0.58%	0.02165	-13.92%	0.1176	✓	1.12
2026-07-19	oos	0.02396	0.02385	-0.46%	0.02341	-2.30%	0.0298	✓	1.11
2026-07-18	oos	0.02426	0.024163	-0.40%	0.02345	-3.34%	0.0212	✓	1.12
2026-07-17	oos	0.02478	0.024672	-0.44%	0.0234	-5.57%	0.0563	✓	1.14
2026-07-16	oos	0.02491	0.024805	-0.42%	0.02404	-3.49%	0.0546	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.02547	0.02537	-0.39%	0.024615	-3.36%	0.0546	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.02549	0.025398	-0.36%	0.02451	-3.84%	0.0630	✓	1.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.02526	0.025159	-0.40%	0.02515	-0.44%	0.0581	✓	1.25
2026-07-12	oos	0.02531	0.025221	-0.35%	0.02396	-5.33%	0.0699	✓	1.27
2026-07-11	oos	0.025885	0.025779	-0.41%	0.02426	-6.28%	0.0810	✓	1.27
2026-07-10	oos	0.02603	0.025915	-0.44%	0.02478	-4.80%	0.0402	✓	1.27
2026-07-09	oos	0.025275	0.025173	-0.40%	0.02491	-1.44%	0.0223	✓	1.26
2026-07-08	oos	0.02502	0.024919	-0.40%	0.02547	+1.80%	0.0274	✓	1.26
2026-07-07	oos	0.02562	0.025492	-0.50%	0.02549	-0.51%	0.0328	✓	1.26
2026-07-06	oos	0.02665	0.026472	-0.67%	0.02526	-5.22%	0.0120	✓	1.27
2026-07-05	oos	0.02718	0.026961	-0.81%	0.02531	-6.88%	0.0664	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.02669	0.026477	-0.80%	0.025885	-3.02%	0.0369	✓	1.32
2026-07-03	oos	0.02711	0.02684	-0.99%	0.02603	-3.98%	0.0633	✓	1.29
2026-07-02	oos	0.02489	0.024721	-0.68%	0.025275	+1.55%	0.0118	✓	1.25
2026-07-01	oos	0.02297	0.022878	-0.40%	0.02502	+8.92%	0.0444	✗	1.21
2026-06-30	oos	0.02269	0.022603	-0.38%	0.02562	+12.91%	0.0269	✗	1.25
2026-06-29	oos	0.02448	0.024296	-0.75%	0.02665	+8.86%	0.0171	✗	1.22
2026-06-28	oos	0.02413	0.023915	-0.89%	0.02718	+12.64%	0.0468	✗	1.21
2026-06-27	oos	0.02214	0.022056	-0.38%	0.02669	+20.55%	0.1275	✗	1.23
2026-06-26	oos	0.02018	0.020186	+0.03%	0.02711	+34.34%	0.2441	✓	1.24
2026-06-25	oos	0.02002	0.020038	+0.09%	0.02489	+24.33%	0.1806	✓	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.02089	0.020885	-0.02%	0.02297	+9.96%	0.1158	✗	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.02376	0.023683	-0.33%	0.02269	-4.50%	0.0347	✗	1.14
2026-06-22	oos	0.025055	0.024929	-0.50%	0.02448	-2.29%	0.0503	✗	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.02697	0.026787	-0.68%	0.02413	-10.53%	0.0339	✓	1.15
2026-06-20	oos	0.02794	0.027696	-0.87%	0.02214	-20.76%	0.1452	✓	1.14
2026-06-19	oos	0.03075	0.030391	-1.17%	0.02018	-34.37%	0.3433	✓	1.18
2026-06-18	oos	0.03279	0.032332	-1.40%	0.02002	-38.94%	0.4172	✓	1.20
2026-06-17	oos	0.03205	0.031608	-1.38%	0.02089	-34.82%	0.3460	✓	1.23
2026-06-16	oos	0.03216	0.031703	-1.42%	0.02376	-26.12%	0.2311	✓	1.24
2026-06-15	oos	0.03274	0.032228	-1.56%	0.025055	-23.47%	0.2063	✓	1.27
2026-06-14	oos	0.03225	0.031784	-1.44%	0.02697	-16.37%	0.1156	✓	1.27
2026-06-13	oos	0.03076	0.030405	-1.16%	0.02794	-9.17%	0.0804	✓	1.28
2026-06-12	oos	0.03053	0.030212	-1.04%	0.03075	+0.72%	0.0189	✗	1.31
2026-06-11	oos	0.03056	0.030257	-0.99%	0.03279	+7.30%	0.0946	✗	1.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.02939	0.029255	-0.46%	0.03205	+9.05%	0.0287	✗	1.31
2026-06-09	oos	0.03161	0.031351	-0.82%	0.03216	+1.74%	0.0555	✓	1.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.02988	0.029804	-0.25%	0.03274	+9.57%	0.0263	✗	1.36
2026-06-07	oos	0.02978	0.029774	-0.02%	0.03225	+8.29%	0.0291	✗	1.36
2026-06-06	oos	0.02949	0.029687	+0.67%	0.03076	+4.31%	0.0444	✗	1.40
2026-06-05	oos	0.02964	0.029898	+0.87%	0.03053	+3.00%	0.0349	✗	1.39
2026-06-04	oos	0.03336	0.033229	-0.39%	0.03056	-8.39%	0.0787	✓	1.32
2026-06-03	oos	0.03696	0.036617	-0.93%	0.02939	-20.48%	0.1660	✓	1.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.03707	0.036714	-0.96%	0.03161	-14.73%	0.0450	✓	1.35
2026-06-01	oos	0.04034	0.039633	-1.75%	0.02988	-25.93%	0.1256	✓	1.28
2026-05-31	oos	0.03982	0.039188	-1.59%	0.02978	-25.21%	0.0761	✓	1.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.04047	0.039802	-1.65%	0.02949	-27.13%	0.0532	✓	1.28
2026-05-29	oos	0.04032	0.039743	-1.43%	0.02964	-26.49%	0.0579	✓	1.28
2026-05-28	oos	0.04035	0.039824	-1.30%	0.03336	-17.32%	0.0030	✓	1.27
2026-05-27	oos	0.04289	0.042151	-1.72%	0.03696	-13.83%	0.0540	✗	1.25
2026-05-26	oos	0.04466	0.043792	-1.94%	0.03707	-17.00%	0.0060	✓	1.25
2026-05-25	oos	0.04606	0.045142	-1.99%	0.04034	-12.42%	0.0115	✓	1.26
2026-05-24	oos	0.04541	0.044593	-1.80%	0.03982	-12.31%	0.0561	✓	1.26
2026-05-23	oos	0.04681	0.04587	-2.01%	0.04047	-13.54%	0.0776	✓	1.24
2026-05-22	oos	0.04565	0.044777	-1.91%	0.04032	-11.68%	0.0700	✓	1.25
2026-05-21	oos	0.04834	0.047229	-2.30%	0.04035	-16.53%	0.0916	✓	1.23
2026-05-20	oos	0.04456	0.043869	-1.55%	0.04289	-3.75%	0.0288	✗	1.23
2026-05-19	oos	0.04363	0.043023	-1.39%	0.04466	+2.36%	0.0525	✗	1.23
2026-05-18	oos	0.04456	0.043876	-1.54%	0.04606	+3.37%	0.0436	✗	1.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.04397	0.04337	-1.37%	0.04541	+3.27%	0.0530	✗	1.25
2026-05-16	oos	0.045505	0.044823	-1.50%	0.04681	+2.87%	0.0668	✗	1.24
2026-05-15	oos	0.04681	0.046063	-1.60%	0.04565	-2.48%	0.0496	✗	1.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.04942	0.048577	-1.71%	0.04834	-2.19%	0.0512	✗	1.26
2026-05-13	oos	0.04843	0.047543	-1.83%	0.04456	-7.99%	0.0360	✓	1.24
2026-05-12	oos	0.050295	0.049377	-1.83%	0.04363	-13.25%	0.0653	✓	1.24
2026-05-11	oos	0.05302	0.052045	-1.84%	0.04456	-15.96%	0.0874	✓	1.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.055	0.053845	-2.10%	0.04397	-20.05%	0.1354	✓	1.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.05253	0.051521	-1.92%	0.045505	-13.37%	0.0885	✓	1.11
2026-05-08	oos	0.05402	0.052763	-2.33%	0.04681	-13.35%	0.1043	✓	1.09
2026-05-07	oos	0.048855	0.047993	-1.77%	0.04942	+1.16%	0.0147	✓	1.09
2026-05-06	oos	0.04883	0.048032	-1.64%	0.04843	-0.82%	0.0374	✗	1.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.04528	0.044765	-1.14%	0.050295	+11.08%	0.1218	✗	1.01
2026-05-04	oos	0.04434	0.043812	-1.19%	0.05302	+19.58%	0.1673	✗	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.0437	0.043138	-1.29%	0.055	+25.86%	0.1971	✗	1.01
2026-05-02	oos	0.04378	0.043272	-1.16%	0.05253	+19.99%	0.1686	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.04408	0.043561	-1.18%	0.05402	+22.55%	0.1899	✗	1.03
2026-04-30	oos	0.04319	0.04259	-1.39%	0.048855	+13.12%	0.0853	✗	1.10
2026-04-29	oos	0.045185	0.044413	-1.71%	0.04883	+8.07%	0.0151	✓	1.10
2026-04-28	oos	0.04602	0.045231	-1.71%	0.04528	-1.61%	0.0649	✓	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.04557	0.044926	-1.41%	0.04434	-2.70%	0.0490	✓	1.13
2026-04-26	oos	0.04674	0.046107	-1.36%	0.0437	-6.50%	0.0520	✓	1.13
2026-04-25	oos	0.04619	0.045487	-1.52%	0.04378	-5.22%	0.0532	✓	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.04634	0.045556	-1.69%	0.04408	-4.88%	0.0443	✓	1.14
2026-04-23	oos	0.04397	0.043408	-1.28%	0.04319	-1.77%	0.0243	✗	1.15
2026-04-22	oos	0.04344	0.042908	-1.23%	0.045185	+4.02%	0.0883	✗	1.15
2026-04-21	oos	0.04306	0.042441	-1.44%	0.04602	+6.87%	0.0814	✗	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.04319	0.04254	-1.51%	0.04557	+5.51%	0.0462	✗	1.16
2026-04-19	oos	0.041505	0.040858	-1.56%	0.04674	+12.61%	0.0606	✗	1.16
2026-04-18	oos	0.0428	0.042167	-1.48%	0.04619	+7.92%	0.0621	✗	1.16
2026-04-17	oos	0.04703	0.046148	-1.88%	0.04634	-1.47%	0.0013	✓	1.15
2026-04-16	oos	0.046245	0.045183	-2.30%	0.04397	-4.92%	0.0742	✓	1.16
2026-04-15	oos	0.04265	0.04197	-1.59%	0.04344	+1.85%	0.0163	✓	1.15
2026-04-14	oos	0.04094	0.040286	-1.60%	0.04306	+5.18%	0.0334	✗	1.15
2026-04-13	oos	0.042885	0.042156	-1.70%	0.04319	+0.71%	0.0027	✓	1.14
2026-04-12	oos	0.040445	0.039671	-1.91%	0.041505	+2.62%	0.0041	✓	1.16
2026-04-11	oos	0.04206	0.041255	-1.91%	0.0428	+1.76%	0.0046	✓	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.042265	0.041493	-1.83%	0.04703	+11.27%	0.0619	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.04152	0.040773	-1.80%	0.046245	+11.38%	0.0729	✗	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.04137	0.040611	-1.83%	0.04265	+3.09%	0.0106	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	0.04404	0.043164	-1.99%	0.04094	-7.04%	0.0888	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.04032	0.039587	-1.82%	0.042885	+6.36%	0.0088	✓	1.14
2026-04-05	oos	0.04081	0.040074	-1.80%	0.040445	-0.89%	0.0193	✓	1.14
2026-04-04	oos	0.04169	0.040919	-1.85%	0.04206	+0.89%	0.0686	✓	1.16
2026-04-03	oos	0.04201	0.041241	-1.83%	0.042265	+0.61%	0.0773	✓	1.18
2026-04-02	oos	0.04181	0.041047	-1.83%	0.04152	-0.69%	0.0719	✓	1.18
2026-04-01	oos	0.04561	0.044525	-2.38%	0.04137	-9.30%	0.1235	✓	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.04091	0.040347	-1.38%	0.04404	+7.65%	0.0253	✗	1.18
2026-03-30	oos	0.04012	0.039651	-1.17%	0.04032	+0.50%	0.0203	✓	1.19
2026-03-29	oos	0.03984	0.039455	-0.97%	0.04081	+2.43%	0.0200	✓	1.19
2026-03-28	oos	0.04111	0.0407	-1.00%	0.04169	+1.41%	0.0067	✓	1.19
2026-03-27	oos	0.040245	0.039916	-0.82%	0.04201	+4.39%	0.0403	✗	1.19
2026-03-26	oos	0.04215	0.041804	-0.82%	0.04181	-0.81%	0.0332	✗	1.20
2026-03-25	oos	0.04345	0.043141	-0.71%	0.04561	+4.97%	0.1107	✗	1.20
2026-03-24	oos	0.04358	0.043266	-0.72%	0.04091	-6.13%	0.0158	✓	1.21
2026-03-23	oos	0.04382	0.043519	-0.69%	0.04012	-8.44%	0.0085	✓	1.21
2026-03-22	oos	0.04206	0.041767	-0.70%	0.03984	-5.28%	0.0129	✓	1.22
2026-03-21	oos	0.04309	0.042802	-0.67%	0.04111	-4.60%	0.0063	✓	1.22
2026-03-20	oos	0.04452	0.044225	-0.66%	0.040245	-9.60%	0.0208	✓	1.21
2026-03-19	oos	0.04455	0.044256	-0.66%	0.04215	-5.39%	0.0287	✓	1.21
2026-03-18	oos	0.045045	0.044747	-0.66%	0.04345	-3.54%	0.0304	✓	1.23
2026-03-17	oos	0.0492	0.048719	-0.98%	0.04358	-11.42%	0.0543	✓	1.21
2026-03-16	oos	0.04974	0.04913	-1.23%	0.04382	-11.90%	0.0472	✓	1.22
2026-03-15	oos	0.04646	0.045927	-1.15%	0.04206	-9.47%	0.0026	✓	1.20
2026-03-14	oos	0.04366	0.043386	-0.63%	0.04309	-1.31%	0.0328	✗	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.04252	0.042273	-0.58%	0.04452	+4.70%	0.0594	✗	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.042775	0.042523	-0.59%	0.04455	+4.15%	0.0570	✗	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.04183	0.041603	-0.54%	0.045045	+7.69%	0.0619	✗	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.04131	0.041071	-0.58%	0.0492	+19.10%	0.1145	✗	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.04007	0.039866	-0.51%	0.04974	+24.13%	0.1136	✗	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.038575	0.038424	-0.39%	0.04646	+20.44%	0.0715	✗	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.03863	0.038512	-0.31%	0.04366	+13.02%	0.0563	✗	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03965	0.039517	-0.34%	0.04252	+7.24%	0.0245	✗	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.04146	0.04128	-0.43%	0.042775	+3.17%	0.0416	✗	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.04239	0.042175	-0.51%	0.04183	-1.32%	0.0337	✗	1.21
2026-03-03	oos	0.04104	0.040865	-0.43%	0.04131	+0.66%	0.0184	✓	1.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.0404	0.040257	-0.35%	0.04007	-0.82%	0.0026	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.039275	0.039161	-0.29%	0.038575	-1.78%	0.0190	✓	1.27
2026-02-28	oos	0.04006	0.039923	-0.34%	0.03863	-3.57%	0.0385	✓	1.29
2026-02-27	oos	0.03994	0.039827	-0.28%	0.03965	-0.73%	0.0478	✓	1.29
2026-02-26	oos	0.04056	0.040431	-0.32%	0.04146	+2.22%	0.0385	✓	1.30
2026-02-25	oos	0.042635	0.042421	-0.50%	0.04239	-0.57%	0.0870	✓	1.29
2026-02-24	oos	0.03908	0.03902	-0.15%	0.04104	+5.02%	0.0319	✓	1.28
2026-02-23	oos	0.03971	0.039638	-0.18%	0.0404	+1.74%	0.0601	✓	1.25
2026-02-22	oos	0.04125	0.041119	-0.32%	0.039275	-4.79%	0.0108	✓	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.04306	0.042857	-0.47%	0.04006	-6.97%	0.0487	✓	1.28
2026-02-20	oos	0.04351	0.043281	-0.53%	0.03994	-8.21%	0.0400	✓	1.27
2026-02-19	oos	0.04279	0.042615	-0.41%	0.04056	-5.21%	0.0592	✓	1.27
2026-02-18	oos	0.04403	0.043818	-0.48%	0.042635	-3.17%	0.0574	✓	1.28
2026-02-17	oos	0.048645	0.048134	-1.05%	0.03908	-19.66%	0.1434	✓	1.26
2026-02-16	oos	0.04907	0.048504	-1.15%	0.03971	-19.07%	0.1200	✓	1.26
2026-02-15	oos	0.04802	0.047493	-1.10%	0.04125	-14.10%	0.1192	✓	1.26
2026-02-14	oos	0.05037	0.049515	-1.70%	0.04306	-14.51%	0.1060	✓	1.26
2026-02-13	oos	0.04599	0.045671	-0.69%	0.04351	-5.39%	0.0333	✓	1.25
2026-02-12	oos	0.04486	0.044733	-0.28%	0.04279	-4.61%	0.0589	✓	1.26
2026-02-11	oos	0.04543	0.045342	-0.19%	0.04403	-3.08%	0.0181	✓	1.24
2026-02-10	oos	0.040455	0.040847	+0.97%	0.048645	+20.24%	0.1999	✓	1.29
2026-02-09	oos	0.04113	0.041535	+0.99%	0.04907	+19.30%	0.1897	✓	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.0421	0.042564	+1.10%	0.04802	+14.06%	0.1483	✓	1.30
2026-02-07	oos	0.045525	0.04593	+0.89%	0.05037	+10.64%	0.0820	✓	1.31
2026-02-06	oos	0.047525	0.04783	+0.64%	0.04599	-3.23%	0.0079	✗	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.04218	0.044009	+4.34%	0.04486	+6.35%	0.0503	✗	1.31
2026-02-04	oos	0.04777	0.048399	+1.32%	0.04543	-4.90%	0.0854	✓	1.74
2026-02-03	oos	0.05052	0.050989	+0.93%	0.040455	-19.92%	0.0669	✗	1.73
2026-02-02	oos	0.052515	0.052873	+0.68%	0.04113	-21.68%	0.0509	✗	1.74
2026-02-01	oos	0.04984	0.050837	+2.00%	0.0421	-15.53%	0.0443	✗	1.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.05228	0.053186	+1.73%	0.045525	-12.92%	0.0558	✓	1.66
2026-01-30	oos	0.06154	0.061468	-0.12%	0.047525	-22.77%	0.0209	✗	1.58
2026-01-29	oos	0.061395	0.061449	+0.09%	0.04218	-31.30%	0.0951	✓	1.59
2026-01-28	oos	0.06854	0.067994	-0.80%	0.04777	-30.30%	0.0457	✓	1.54
2026-01-27	oos	0.06747	0.066986	-0.72%	0.05052	-25.12%	0.0266	✓	1.56
2026-01-26	oos	0.06747	0.067	-0.70%	0.052515	-22.17%	0.0661	✓	1.54
2026-01-25	oos	0.06591	0.065645	-0.40%	0.04984	-24.38%	0.0922	✓	1.55
2026-01-24	oos	0.070225	0.069613	-0.87%	0.05228	-25.55%	0.0946	✓	1.54
2026-01-23	oos	0.07085	0.070166	-0.97%	0.06154	-13.14%	0.0354	✓	1.55
2026-01-22	oos	0.07213	0.071358	-1.07%	0.061395	-14.88%	0.0621	✓	1.55
2026-01-21	oos	0.07287	0.072049	-1.13%	0.06854	-5.94%	0.0464	✓	1.55
2026-01-20	oos	0.07088	0.070122	-1.07%	0.06747	-4.81%	0.0525	✓	1.54
2026-01-19	oos	0.07668	0.075581	-1.43%	0.06747	-12.01%	0.0401	✓	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.0772	0.07605	-1.49%	0.06591	-14.62%	0.0212	✓	1.55
2026-01-17	oos	0.08104	0.079661	-1.70%	0.070225	-13.35%	0.0261	✓	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.08223	0.080729	-1.83%	0.07085	-13.84%	0.0308	✓	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.08222	0.080625	-1.94%	0.07213	-12.27%	0.0100	✓	1.53
2026-01-14	oos	0.086885	0.085203	-1.94%	0.07287	-16.13%	0.0316	✓	1.53
2026-01-13	oos	0.08951	0.087531	-2.21%	0.07088	-20.81%	0.0914	✓	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.08172	0.08003	-2.07%	0.07668	-6.17%	0.0656	✓	1.53
2026-01-11	oos	0.08444	0.082676	-2.09%	0.0772	-8.57%	0.1148	✓	1.54
2026-01-10	oos	0.08494	0.083164	-2.09%	0.08104	-4.59%	0.1054	✓	1.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.08794	0.086165	-2.02%	0.08223	-6.49%	0.1327	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.089465	0.087718	-1.95%	0.08222	-8.10%	0.1420	✓	1.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.09185	0.090078	-1.93%	0.086885	-5.41%	0.1634	✓	2.11
2026-01-06	oos	0.09761	0.095476	-2.19%	0.08951	-8.30%	0.1017	✓	2.11
2026-01-05	oos	0.097	0.094711	-2.36%	0.08172	-15.75%	0.0872	✓	2.08
2026-01-04	oos	0.09157	0.089313	-2.47%	0.08444	-7.79%	0.0424	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.08263	0.081107	-1.84%	0.08494	+2.80%	0.0511	✗	1.98
2026-01-02	oos	0.08252	0.080973	-1.87%	0.08794	+6.57%	0.0703	✗	1.98
2026-01-01	oos	0.08058	0.079109	-1.83%	0.089465	+11.03%	0.0728	✗	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.07379	0.072595	-1.62%	0.09185	+24.47%	0.1531	✗	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.076875	0.075562	-1.71%	0.09761	+26.97%	0.1435	✗	1.92
2025-12-29	oos	0.0747	0.073475	-1.64%	0.097	+29.85%	0.1313	✗	1.96
2025-12-28	oos	0.07763	0.076245	-1.78%	0.09157	+17.96%	0.1042	✗	1.96
2025-12-27	oos	0.0772	0.075786	-1.83%	0.08263	+7.03%	0.0257	✗	1.94
2025-12-26	oos	0.07268	0.0715	-1.62%	0.08252	+13.54%	0.0853	✗	1.93
2025-12-25	oos	0.0713	0.070139	-1.63%	0.08058	+13.02%	0.1044	✗	1.93
2025-12-24	oos	0.07579	0.074392	-1.84%	0.07379	-2.64%	0.0057	✓	1.94
2025-12-23	oos	0.07128	0.070155	-1.58%	0.076875	+7.85%	0.0702	✗	1.93
2025-12-22	oos	0.07369	0.072412	-1.73%	0.0747	+1.37%	0.0627	✗	1.92
2025-12-21	oos	0.075515	0.074157	-1.80%	0.07763	+2.80%	0.0623	✗	1.92
2025-12-20	oos	0.07844	0.076977	-1.87%	0.0772	-1.58%	0.0144	✓	1.96
2025-12-19	oos	0.07941	0.077875	-1.93%	0.07268	-8.48%	0.0512	✓	1.96
2025-12-18	oos	0.07469	0.07362	-1.43%	0.0713	-4.54%	0.0707	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.07879	0.07749	-1.65%	0.07579	-3.81%	0.0536	✓	1.95
2025-12-16	oos	0.08329	0.081719	-1.89%	0.07128	-14.42%	0.1272	✓	1.95
2025-12-15	oos	0.08304	0.081667	-1.65%	0.07369	-11.26%	0.1506	✓	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.08731	0.085791	-1.74%	0.075515	-13.51%	0.1379	✓	1.95
2025-12-13	oos	0.0917	0.090175	-1.66%	0.07844	-14.46%	0.0972	✓	1.95
2025-12-12	oos	0.0907	0.089274	-1.57%	0.07941	-12.45%	0.0692	✓	1.95
2025-12-11	oos	0.09442	0.093128	-1.37%	0.07469	-20.90%	0.0643	✓	1.96
2025-12-10	oos	0.0953	0.093975	-1.39%	0.07879	-17.32%	0.0474	✓	1.97
2025-12-09	oos	0.09869	0.09735	-1.36%	0.08329	-15.60%	0.0506	✓	1.97
2025-12-08	oos	0.09609	0.09474	-1.40%	0.08304	-13.58%	0.0389	✓	1.94
2025-12-07	oos	0.09203	0.090916	-1.21%	0.08731	-5.13%	0.0079	✓	1.94
2025-12-06	oos	0.09565	0.094407	-1.30%	0.0917	-4.13%	0.0506	✓	1.96
2025-12-05	oos	0.09574	0.094547	-1.25%	0.0907	-5.26%	0.0619	✓	1.96
2025-12-04	oos	0.10124	0.099996	-1.23%	0.09442	-6.74%	0.0669	✓	1.97
2025-12-03	oos	0.10517	0.103825	-1.28%	0.0953	-9.38%	0.0556	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.10324	0.1019	-1.30%	0.09869	-4.41%	0.0617	✓	1.98
2025-12-01	oos	0.09531	0.094312	-1.05%	0.09609	+0.82%	0.0809	✓	2.02
2025-11-30	oos	0.10465	0.103342	-1.25%	0.09203	-12.06%	0.1167	✓	2.03
2025-11-29	oos	0.10764	0.106252	-1.29%	0.09565	-11.14%	0.0703	✓	2.01
2025-11-28	oos	0.11083	0.109275	-1.40%	0.09574	-13.62%	0.0975	✓	2.01
2025-11-27	oos	0.11165	0.110039	-1.44%	0.10124	-9.32%	0.1004	✓	2.01
2025-11-26	oos	0.11204	0.110408	-1.46%	0.10517	-6.13%	0.1130	✓	1.98
2025-11-25	oos	0.11271	0.111033	-1.49%	0.10324	-8.40%	0.1649	✓	2.06
2025-11-24	oos	0.11139	0.109785	-1.44%	0.09531	-14.44%	0.0942	✓	2.07
2025-11-23	oos	0.10407	0.103119	-0.91%	0.10465	+0.56%	0.0682	✓	2.06
2025-11-22	oos	0.10432	0.103719	-0.58%	0.10764	+3.18%	0.1116	✓	2.12
2025-11-21	oos	0.10554	0.10485	-0.65%	0.11083	+5.01%	0.0846	✓	2.11
2025-11-20	oos	0.11425	0.112876	-1.20%	0.11165	-2.28%	0.1236	✓	2.09
2025-11-19	oos	0.1208	0.118576	-1.84%	0.11204	-7.25%	0.0327	✓	2.20
2025-11-18	oos	0.123815	0.121324	-2.01%	0.11271	-8.97%	0.0626	✗	2.20
2025-11-17	oos	0.11994	0.117801	-1.78%	0.11139	-7.13%	0.0384	✗	2.22
2025-11-16	oos	0.12583	0.123188	-2.10%	0.10407	-17.29%	0.0126	✓	2.22
2025-11-15	oos	0.13222	0.128986	-2.45%	0.10432	-21.10%	0.0551	✗	2.22
2025-11-14	oos	0.1312	0.128121	-2.35%	0.10554	-19.56%	0.0401	✗	2.22
2025-11-13	oos	0.13693	0.133015	-2.86%	0.11425	-16.56%	0.1779	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.14172	0.137132	-3.24%	0.1208	-14.76%	0.1214	✗	2.35
2025-11-11	oos	0.14019	0.13592	-3.05%	0.123815	-11.68%	0.1486	✗	2.35
2025-11-10	oos	0.15163	0.146233	-3.56%	0.11994	-20.90%	0.1284	✗	2.33
2025-11-09	oos	0.15409	0.148585	-3.57%	0.12583	-18.34%	0.0827	✗	2.35
2025-11-08	oos	0.16684	0.158913	-4.75%	0.13222	-20.75%	0.0170	✓	2.45
2025-11-07	oos	0.16628	0.158789	-4.51%	0.1312	-21.10%	0.0225	✓	2.40
2025-11-06	oos	0.12409	0.122768	-1.07%	0.13693	+10.35%	0.1467	✗	2.25
2025-11-05	oos	0.12541	0.123858	-1.24%	0.14172	+13.01%	0.1842	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.12529	0.124533	-0.60%	0.14019	+11.89%	0.0831	✗	2.34
2025-11-03	oos	0.1221	0.121305	-0.65%	0.15163	+24.19%	0.2371	✗	2.56
2025-11-02	oos	0.14051	0.137966	-1.81%	0.15409	+9.66%	0.2479	✗	2.53
2025-11-01	oos	0.142825	0.140519	-1.61%	0.16684	+16.81%	0.3572	✗	2.54
2025-10-31	oos	0.137605	0.135823	-1.29%	0.16628	+20.84%	0.3517	✗	2.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.143925	0.141995	-1.34%	0.12409	-13.78%	0.0369	✗	2.56
2025-10-29	oos	0.15944	0.157538	-1.19%	0.12541	-21.34%	0.0837	✓	2.50
2025-10-28	oos	0.16166	0.160251	-0.87%	0.12529	-22.50%	0.0253	✗	2.54
2025-10-27	oos	0.16729	0.165838	-0.87%	0.1221	-27.01%	0.1328	✓	2.54
2025-10-26	oos	0.174865	0.172983	-1.08%	0.14051	-19.65%	0.1175	✓	2.54
2025-10-25	oos	0.16693	0.165308	-0.97%	0.142825	-14.44%	0.1089	✓	2.56
2025-10-24	oos	0.165915	0.164383	-0.92%	0.137605	-17.06%	0.1434	✓	2.55
2025-10-23	oos	0.16373	0.162275	-0.89%	0.143925	-12.10%	0.0778	✓	2.55
2025-10-22	oos	0.16071	0.159505	-0.75%	0.15944	-0.79%	0.0582	✓	2.57
2025-10-21	oos	0.165255	0.163756	-0.91%	0.16166	-2.18%	0.1187	✓	2.57
2025-10-20	oos	0.174005	0.171813	-1.26%	0.16729	-3.86%	0.1082	✓	2.60
2025-10-19	oos	0.1764	0.174187	-1.25%	0.174865	-0.87%	0.1312	✓	2.57
2025-10-18	oos	0.172865	0.171008	-1.07%	0.16693	-3.43%	0.1289	✓	2.57
2025-10-17	oos	0.171525	0.169838	-0.98%	0.165915	-3.27%	0.1315	✓	2.57
2025-10-16	oos	0.181	0.178361	-1.46%	0.16373	-9.54%	0.1307	✓	2.56
2025-10-15	oos	0.18851	0.184895	-1.92%	0.16071	-14.75%	0.0643	✓	2.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.20075	0.196337	-2.20%	0.165255	-17.68%	0.0631	✓	2.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.21232	0.207394	-2.32%	0.174005	-18.05%	0.0679	✓	2.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.19667	0.19207	-2.34%	0.1764	-10.31%	0.0594	✗	2.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.17866	0.17462	-2.26%	0.172865	-3.24%	0.0718	✗	2.51
2025-10-10	oos	0.1768	0.172325	-2.53%	0.171525	-2.98%	0.1476	✗	2.56
2025-10-09	oos	0.27329	0.269391	-1.43%	0.181	-33.77%	0.1961	✓	1.71
2025-10-08	oos	0.28482	0.280497	-1.52%	0.18851	-33.81%	0.2136	✓	1.71
2025-10-07	oos	0.297305	0.291426	-1.98%	0.20075	-32.48%	0.2474	✓	1.76
2025-10-06	oos	0.2814	0.277793	-1.28%	0.21232	-24.55%	0.1176	✓	1.92
2025-10-05	oos	0.27518	0.27153	-1.33%	0.19667	-28.53%	0.1869	✓	1.91
2025-10-04	oos	0.27814	0.274202	-1.42%	0.17866	-35.77%	0.2359	✓	1.92
2025-10-03	oos	0.28135	0.276868	-1.59%	0.1768	-37.16%	0.2963	✓	1.92
2025-10-02	oos	0.27842	0.273445	-1.79%	0.27329	-1.84%	0.0179	✓	1.93
2025-10-01	oos	0.28123	0.274837	-2.27%	0.28482	+1.28%	0.0408	✓	1.98
2025-09-30	oos	0.25245	0.248051	-1.74%	0.297305	+17.77%	0.0618	✗	1.92
2025-09-29	oos	0.24691	0.243102	-1.54%	0.2814	+13.97%	0.0232	✓	1.96
2025-09-28	oos	0.246095	0.241697	-1.79%	0.27518	+11.82%	0.0621	✓	2.00
2025-09-27	oos	0.236765	0.234091	-1.13%	0.27814	+17.48%	0.0486	✓	2.01
2025-09-26	oos	0.2391	0.23629	-1.18%	0.28135	+17.67%	0.0455	✓	2.02
2025-09-25	oos	0.2298	0.227499	-1.00%	0.27842	+21.16%	0.0013	✓	2.01
2025-09-24	oos	0.25036	0.246934	-1.37%	0.28123	+12.33%	0.0382	✗	2.01
2025-09-23	oos	0.255405	0.25186	-1.39%	0.25245	-1.16%	0.0345	✓	2.03
2025-09-22	oos	0.249745	0.246417	-1.33%	0.24691	-1.14%	0.0262	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	0.285965	0.281507	-1.56%	0.246095	-13.94%	0.0840	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.28919	0.28466	-1.57%	0.236765	-18.13%	0.0840	✓	1.86
2025-09-19	oos	0.296955	0.291994	-1.67%	0.2391	-19.48%	0.1010	✓	1.86
2025-09-18	oos	0.31025	0.304304	-1.92%	0.2298	-25.93%	0.1488	✓	1.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.