RE

RE · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #279
symbol: RE
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x526526528f35ac738177003b8773b402b8df8143
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-18
predictions: 351

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

116

of 117 predictions shown

direction hit

56.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0459

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0057

actual -0.0094

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.39085	0.389469	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.3878	0.386686	-0.29%	0.39085	+0.79%	0.0134	✗	0.93
2026-10-19	oos	0.38025	0.379275	-0.26%	0.3878	+1.99%	0.0104	✗	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.3807	0.379691	-0.26%	0.38025	-0.12%	0.0033	✗	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.3939	0.3926	-0.33%	0.3807	-3.35%	0.0377	✓	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.4072	0.405824	-0.34%	0.3939	-3.27%	0.0285	✓	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.41905	0.417436	-0.39%	0.4072	-2.83%	0.0184	✓	0.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.42225	0.420614	-0.39%	0.41905	-0.76%	0.0095	✓	0.85
2026-10-13	oos	0.43205	0.430137	-0.44%	0.42225	-2.27%	0.0029	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.42635	0.424376	-0.46%	0.43205	+1.34%	0.0039	✓	0.85
2026-10-11	oos	0.44755	0.444847	-0.60%	0.42635	-4.74%	0.0238	✓	0.80
2026-10-10	oos	0.4449	0.442169	-0.61%	0.44755	+0.60%	0.0045	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.4408	0.438048	-0.62%	0.4449	+0.93%	0.0119	✗	0.82
2026-10-08	oos	0.4381	0.43521	-0.66%	0.4408	+0.62%	0.0043	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.4626	0.458909	-0.80%	0.4381	-5.30%	0.0312	✓	0.79
2026-10-06	oos	0.4822	0.477536	-0.97%	0.4626	-4.06%	0.0112	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.5048	0.499815	-0.99%	0.4822	-4.48%	0.0340	✓	0.77
2026-10-04	oos	0.5176	0.512283	-1.03%	0.5048	-2.47%	0.0078	✓	0.78
2026-10-03	oos	0.50915	0.504346	-0.94%	0.5176	+1.66%	0.0099	✗	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	0.5062	0.50171	-0.89%	0.50915	+0.58%	0.0125	✗	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	0.5149	0.509849	-0.98%	0.5062	-1.69%	0.0040	✓	0.78
2026-09-30	oos	0.4815	0.477644	-0.80%	0.5149	+6.94%	0.0640	✗	0.72
2026-09-29	oos	0.47595	0.471477	-0.94%	0.4815	+1.17%	0.0218	✗	0.81
2026-09-28	oos	0.46175	0.458204	-0.77%	0.47595	+3.08%	0.0364	✗	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.4892	0.484892	-0.88%	0.46175	-5.61%	0.0385	✓	0.87
2026-09-26	oos	0.49105	0.48695	-0.83%	0.4892	-0.38%	0.0041	✓	0.92
2026-09-25	oos	0.47765	0.474019	-0.76%	0.49105	+2.81%	0.0316	✗	0.96
2026-09-24	oos	0.4691	0.465697	-0.73%	0.47765	+1.82%	0.0286	✗	0.93
2026-09-23	oos	0.4464	0.443149	-0.73%	0.4691	+5.09%	0.0568	✗	0.94
2026-09-22	oos	0.4724	0.468546	-0.82%	0.4464	-5.50%	0.0275	✓	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.46815	0.46441	-0.80%	0.4724	+0.91%	0.0222	✗	1.12
2026-09-20	oos	0.45915	0.456056	-0.67%	0.46815	+1.96%	0.0532	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.46645	0.463259	-0.68%	0.45915	-1.57%	0.0078	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.459	0.456237	-0.60%	0.46645	+1.62%	0.0166	✗	1.25
2026-09-17	oos	0.444	0.442549	-0.33%	0.459	+3.38%	0.0400	✓	1.33
2026-09-16	oos	0.44075	0.439486	-0.29%	0.444	+0.74%	0.0062	✗	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.41745	0.417103	-0.08%	0.44075	+5.58%	0.0442	✗	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.4368	0.435859	-0.22%	0.41745	-4.43%	0.0071	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.4253	0.425013	-0.07%	0.4368	+2.70%	0.0009	✗	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.4416	0.441064	-0.12%	0.4253	-3.69%	0.0275	✓	1.48
2026-09-11	oos	0.4528	0.452134	-0.15%	0.4416	-2.47%	0.0246	✓	1.48
2026-09-10	oos	0.4323	0.432115	-0.04%	0.4528	+4.74%	0.0339	✗	1.47
2026-09-09	oos	0.4244	0.424458	+0.01%	0.4323	+1.86%	0.0526	✓	1.52
2026-09-08	oos	0.45435	0.453637	-0.16%	0.4244	-6.59%	0.0635	✓	1.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.462	0.461093	-0.20%	0.45435	-1.66%	0.0024	✓	1.51
2026-09-06	oos	0.4594	0.458526	-0.19%	0.462	+0.57%	0.0315	✗	1.53
2026-09-05	oos	0.4504	0.449663	-0.16%	0.4594	+2.00%	0.0117	✗	1.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.4372	0.436665	-0.12%	0.4504	+3.02%	0.0280	✗	1.53
2026-09-03	oos	0.4678	0.466593	-0.26%	0.4372	-6.54%	0.0354	✓	1.50
2026-09-02	oos	0.4633	0.461787	-0.33%	0.4678	+0.97%	0.0674	✓	1.61
2026-09-01	oos	0.4791	0.476981	-0.44%	0.4633	-3.30%	0.0272	✓	1.61
2026-08-31	oos	0.489	0.486389	-0.53%	0.4791	-2.02%	0.0089	✗	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.4687	0.465817	-0.62%	0.489	+4.33%	0.0302	✗	1.60
2026-08-29	oos	0.4914	0.48765	-0.76%	0.4687	-4.62%	0.0280	✓	1.59
2026-08-28	oos	0.51565	0.512056	-0.70%	0.4914	-4.70%	0.0492	✓	1.59
2026-08-27	oos	0.5365	0.532611	-0.72%	0.51565	-3.89%	0.0172	✗	1.61
2026-08-26	oos	0.5266	0.522944	-0.69%	0.5365	+1.88%	0.0003	✓	1.61
2026-08-25	oos	0.5521	0.548367	-0.68%	0.5266	-4.62%	0.0508	✓	1.62
2026-08-24	oos	0.53905	0.535819	-0.60%	0.5521	+2.42%	0.0393	✗	1.63
2026-08-23	oos	0.5417	0.538506	-0.59%	0.53905	-0.49%	0.0253	✓	1.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.5018	0.499179	-0.52%	0.5417	+7.95%	0.0675	✗	1.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.5242	0.5211	-0.59%	0.5018	-4.27%	0.0112	✓	1.62
2026-08-20	oos	0.51015	0.506568	-0.70%	0.5242	+2.75%	0.0995	✓	1.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.5374	0.53041	-1.30%	0.51015	-5.07%	0.1607	✓	2.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.3976	0.395006	-0.65%	0.5374	+35.16%	0.1983	✗	1.59
2026-08-17	oos	0.4054	0.40265	-0.68%	0.3976	-1.92%	0.0177	✓	1.59
2026-08-16	oos	0.4192	0.41626	-0.70%	0.4054	-3.29%	0.0714	✓	1.75
2026-08-15	oos	0.4616	0.457824	-0.82%	0.4192	-9.19%	0.0831	✓	1.72
2026-08-14	oos	0.4469	0.4434	-0.78%	0.4616	+3.29%	0.0390	✗	1.72
2026-08-13	oos	0.44	0.436362	-0.83%	0.4469	+1.57%	0.0362	✗	1.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.4319	0.428477	-0.79%	0.44	+1.88%	0.0262	✗	1.74
2026-08-11	oos	0.41915	0.415894	-0.78%	0.4319	+3.04%	0.0411	✗	1.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.4086	0.405392	-0.79%	0.41915	+2.58%	0.0439	✗	1.76
2026-08-09	oos	0.40445	0.401239	-0.79%	0.4086	+1.03%	0.0445	✗	1.81
2026-08-08	oos	0.4089	0.405199	-0.91%	0.40445	-1.09%	0.0002	✓	1.81
2026-08-07	oos	0.38965	0.386569	-0.79%	0.4089	+4.94%	0.0557	✗	1.81
2026-08-06	oos	0.39565	0.392367	-0.83%	0.38965	-1.52%	0.0247	✓	1.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.38465	0.381515	-0.82%	0.39565	+2.86%	0.0460	✗	1.86
2026-08-04	oos	0.385	0.381879	-0.81%	0.38465	-0.09%	0.0088	✓	1.86
2026-08-03	oos	0.40515	0.401745	-0.84%	0.385	-4.97%	0.0601	✓	1.91
2026-08-02	oos	0.4209	0.41724	-0.87%	0.40515	-3.74%	0.0284	✓	1.91
2026-08-01	oos	0.4414	0.4376	-0.86%	0.4209	-4.64%	0.0620	✓	1.98
2026-07-31	oos	0.4421	0.438465	-0.82%	0.4414	-0.16%	0.0086	✗	1.98
2026-07-30	oos	0.44585	0.442087	-0.84%	0.4421	-0.84%	0.0632	✗	2.12
2026-07-29	oos	0.496	0.490542	-1.10%	0.44585	-10.11%	0.1248	✓	2.28
2026-07-28	oos	0.4515	0.447957	-0.78%	0.496	+9.86%	0.1001	✗	2.28
2026-07-27	oos	0.44995	0.446858	-0.69%	0.4515	+0.34%	0.0049	✓	2.28
2026-07-26	oos	0.4815	0.477976	-0.73%	0.44995	-6.55%	0.0029	✓	2.25
2026-07-25	oos	0.5458	0.540345	-1.00%	0.4815	-11.78%	0.1559	✓	2.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.5818	0.573475	-1.43%	0.5458	-6.19%	0.0579	✓	2.54
2026-07-23	oos	0.5535	0.546321	-1.30%	0.5818	+5.11%	0.1031	✗	2.68
2026-07-22	oos	0.4747	0.46902	-1.20%	0.5535	+16.60%	0.2137	✗	3.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.3954	0.394501	-0.23%	0.4747	+20.06%	0.2060	✗	3.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.375	0.375087	+0.02%	0.3954	+5.44%	0.0114	✗	3.24
2026-07-19	oos	0.3923	0.392231	-0.02%	0.375	-4.41%	0.0719	✓	3.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.3954	0.395508	+0.03%	0.3923	-0.78%	0.0023	✗	3.30
2026-07-17	oos	0.4476	0.44696	-0.14%	0.3954	-11.66%	0.1366	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.4905	0.489252	-0.25%	0.4476	-8.75%	0.0909	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.4868	0.485653	-0.24%	0.4905	+0.76%	0.0247	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.5268	0.525205	-0.30%	0.4868	-7.59%	0.0717	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.5264	0.524941	-0.28%	0.5268	+0.08%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.55705	0.555197	-0.33%	0.5264	-5.50%	0.0298	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.5811	0.579052	-0.35%	0.55705	-4.14%	0.0382	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.57485	0.572891	-0.34%	0.5811	+1.09%	0.0198	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.5845	0.582663	-0.31%	0.57485	-1.65%	0.0285	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.603	0.601147	-0.31%	0.5845	-3.07%	0.0430	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.6298	0.627758	-0.32%	0.603	-4.26%	0.0229	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.6573	0.654999	-0.35%	0.6298	-4.18%	0.0286	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.6457	0.643478	-0.34%	0.6573	+1.80%	0.0147	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.6332	0.631092	-0.33%	0.6457	+1.97%	0.0150	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.6217	0.619682	-0.32%	0.6332	+1.85%	0.0126	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.6877	0.684928	-0.40%	0.6217	-9.60%	0.1136	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.5835	0.58178	-0.29%	0.6877	+17.86%	0.1422	✗	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.6483	0.646223	-0.32%	0.5835	-10.00%	0.1264	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.7829	0.777862	-0.64%	0.6483	-17.19%	0.1546	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6058	0.603941	-0.31%	0.7829	+29.23%	0.2480	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.6924	0.689671	-0.39%	0.6058	-12.51%	0.1219	✓	1.00