PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s5

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

Track record at +30d

assessed

172

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

65.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3713

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0442

actual -0.1644

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09683	0.093717	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.092883	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.083571	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.086379	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.089324	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.092927	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.095212	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.099086	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.102806	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.104151	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.107621	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.107506	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.107402	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.106767	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.107238	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.108766	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.109686	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.109979	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.110287	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.110093	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.111206	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.109659	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.108879	-6.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.10801	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.114759	-6.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.114929	-6.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.112978	-6.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.111	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.106123	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.113317	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.110803	-6.19%	0.09683	-18.02%	0.1502	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.107233	-7.15%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.1020	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.108688	-7.00%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.2257	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.107236	-6.12%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.1761	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.103288	-5.15%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0748	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.103768	-5.06%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0362	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.102923	-4.20%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0030	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.108498	-4.23%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0262	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.106221	-3.96%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.0505	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.112559	-4.10%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0011	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.110264	-3.70%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.0685	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.106266	-3.09%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.1046	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.113847	-3.42%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0252	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.121183	-3.59%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0550	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.12709	-4.12%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.0929	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.123785	-3.01%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0521	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.122735	-2.69%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0299	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.121191	-2.19%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0170	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.126786	-1.80%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0671	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.133653	-2.12%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.1154	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.14569	-2.06%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1897	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.156501	-1.34%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2723	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.171062	-1.65%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.3680	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.179513	-1.55%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.4259	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.18369	-1.86%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3864	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.199612	-1.55%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.4715	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.199454	-2.22%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.4821	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.206249	-2.79%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.5266	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.213053	-3.11%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.6054	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.221928	-4.01%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.5811	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.218773	-4.63%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.5853	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.242083	-4.05%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.7289	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.240529	-6.34%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.6887	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.2982	-5.83%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9669	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.420041	-6.26%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.5042	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.367176	-5.92%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3615	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.373097	-6.17%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.4207	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.331808	-6.42%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2792	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.328966	-6.21%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2793	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.281581	-6.20%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0735	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.304144	-6.08%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1941	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.310051	-6.08%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.2376	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.286391	-6.03%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.1046	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.258087	-6.08%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.9369	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.282816	-5.97%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9844	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.267108	-5.96%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9682	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.263207	-5.90%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9694	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.256398	-5.68%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9548	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.24242	-5.70%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8793	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.243084	-5.94%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7805	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.249143	-6.16%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.7258	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.227734	-5.84%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5961	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.231121	-6.10%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.5056	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.232429	-5.97%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4466	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.200697	-5.24%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2448	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.173457	-4.29%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0357	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.173052	-4.28%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0204	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.182716	-4.62%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0039	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.173256	-4.10%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1230	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.172737	-3.91%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1781	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.165622	-3.67%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2220	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.164182	-3.63%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3252	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.169664	-4.08%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3590	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.167028	-3.94%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.6027	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.166174	-3.54%	0.44811	+160.12%	0.9920	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.166386	-3.66%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8562	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.164769	-3.15%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.8923	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.164116	-2.81%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7803	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.16474	-2.78%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7740	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.170033	-2.89%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.5870	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.160348	-2.98%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.6896	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.165445	-3.25%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.6931	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.164111	-3.01%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6177	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.168345	-3.25%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4847	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.164029	-3.30%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.5935	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.166655	-3.22%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5141	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.182951	-3.52%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4186	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.183406	-3.47%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.3899	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.167407	-2.95%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4264	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.178368	-3.12%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.3686	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.174144	-2.82%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4144	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.163458	-2.68%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.3822	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.161176	-2.86%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4015	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.154745	-2.72%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4215	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.158657	-2.81%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2616	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.15021	-2.57%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1651	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.146896	-2.61%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.1929	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.140669	-2.39%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.2890	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.14076	-2.37%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2322	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.135526	-2.29%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2586	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.138378	-2.44%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2073	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.135463	-2.30%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2201	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.139112	-2.39%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2255	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.141056	-2.58%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2048	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.140822	-2.51%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.1962	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.14721	-2.61%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1507	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.152762	-2.97%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1100	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.159117	-3.42%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.0668	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.17647	-4.20%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0352	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.182049	-4.26%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0364	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.187482	-4.31%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.1172	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.183618	-4.20%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0720	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.189728	-4.56%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.1153	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.169827	-3.39%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0189	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.17338	-3.66%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0249	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.180563	-4.40%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0462	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.170673	-4.12%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1053	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.167662	-3.33%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1218	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.168892	-3.45%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0184	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.179454	-4.69%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0251	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.195935	-5.50%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0907	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.183799	-5.64%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0875	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.185212	-6.39%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.1134	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.188479	-7.29%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1852	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.18791	-7.41%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.1546	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.170701	-6.06%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.1219	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.16665	-6.65%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.1188	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.14718	-4.35%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0229	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.153172	-4.42%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0729	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.164407	-4.79%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.2009	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.171246	-4.67%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.2143	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.182503	-4.78%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2957	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.180485	-4.41%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2585	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.188619	-4.44%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.3036	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.192198	-4.15%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.3272	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.192963	-3.81%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2856	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.198929	-3.84%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2720	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.193064	-3.29%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1919	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.197114	-3.19%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.1034	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.212371	-3.47%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1634	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.240083	-4.43%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.3247	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.242823	-4.82%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3500	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.242152	-5.02%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.3225	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.258179	-5.78%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5657	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.255923	-5.69%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5356	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.271487	-6.34%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.5029	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.266021	-6.27%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5368	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.257853	-6.02%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5528	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.252513	-5.59%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5309	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.267796	-5.58%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4833	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.250611	-5.60%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.3202	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.237775	-5.78%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.3040	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.247393	-5.81%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2875	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.237141	-6.20%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1943	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.261722	-6.73%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2710	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.292123	-6.88%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4889	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.327853	-7.55%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.6282	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.299852	-7.77%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6863	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.212191	-3.86%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2786	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.199996	-3.78%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1468	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.197704	-3.78%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0958	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.195182	-3.36%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.224673	-3.81%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.1379	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.216234	-4.34%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.1068	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.210421	-4.46%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0692	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.181218	-4.65%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.0625	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.17258	-4.15%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1654	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.237261	-4.45%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1767	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.274159	-7.77%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.3359	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.173945	-3.78%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.1800	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.172584	-3.80%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.2864	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.169436	-3.58%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3463	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.176543	-4.67%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2387	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.165569	-3.97%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.3921	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.155183	-4.07%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4401	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.161908	-4.07%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.4660	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.167627	-4.07%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4061	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.165203	-3.69%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4007	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.163967	-4.20%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3214	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.184495	-4.34%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.2709	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.158323	-4.26%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.3458	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.138445	-4.02%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.4406	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.