POD
Dolphin · Base · gru_s5
- token id
- #186
- symbol
- POD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xed664536023d8e4b1640c394777d34abaff1df8f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-05-11
- predictions
- 249
Track record at +1d
assessed
80
of 83 predictions shown
direction hit
48.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0988
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0060
actual +0.0092
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.627 | 0.622423 | -0.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.6579 | 0.651788 | -0.93% | 0.627 | -4.70% | 0.0345 | ✓ | 1.46 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.5335 | 0.531607 | -0.35% | 0.6579 | +23.32% | 0.1953 | ✗ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.5441 | 0.54207 | -0.37% | 0.5335 | -1.95% | 0.0132 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.61085 | 0.607325 | -0.58% | 0.5441 | -10.93% | 0.1205 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.6536 | 0.649052 | -0.70% | 0.61085 | -6.54% | 0.0587 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.7113 | 0.70509 | -0.87% | 0.6536 | -8.11% | 0.0657 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.7195 | 0.712478 | -0.98% | 0.7113 | -1.14% | 0.0108 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.66875 | 0.662857 | -0.88% | 0.7195 | +7.59% | 0.1089 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.68615 | 0.679084 | -1.03% | 0.66875 | -2.54% | 0.0399 | ✓ | 1.49 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.61085 | 0.605681 | -0.85% | 0.68615 | +12.33% | 0.1647 | ✗ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.59675 | 0.591832 | -0.82% | 0.61085 | +2.36% | 0.0159 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.6003 | 0.595258 | -0.84% | 0.59675 | -0.59% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.5809 | 0.576103 | -0.83% | 0.6003 | +3.34% | 0.0235 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.66895 | 0.662727 | -0.93% | 0.5809 | -13.16% | 0.1018 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.73025 | 0.72276 | -1.03% | 0.66895 | -8.39% | 0.0379 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.7983 | 0.7892 | -1.14% | 0.73025 | -8.52% | 0.0741 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.87205 | 0.858562 | -1.55% | 0.7983 | -8.46% | 0.0606 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.78375 | 0.76964 | -1.80% | 0.87205 | +11.27% | 0.0982 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.56005 | 0.554682 | -0.96% | 0.78375 | +39.94% | 0.3421 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.42495 | 0.418758 | -1.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.3388 | 0.334074 | -1.39% | 0.42495 | +25.43% | 0.2405 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.3664 | 0.360973 | -1.48% | 0.3388 | -7.53% | 0.0358 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.3979 | 0.391432 | -1.63% | 0.3664 | -7.92% | 0.0608 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.3583 | 0.352776 | -1.54% | 0.3979 | +11.05% | 0.0514 | ✗ | 1.06 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.3161 | 0.312036 | -1.29% | 0.3583 | +13.35% | 0.1392 | ✗ | 1.05 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.31685 | 0.312809 | -1.28% | 0.3161 | -0.24% | 0.0067 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2885 | 0.286379 | -0.74% | 0.31685 | +9.83% | 0.0780 | ✗ | 0.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.2564 | 0.25597 | -0.17% | 0.2885 | +12.52% | 0.1183 | ✗ | 0.51 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2937 | 0.292325 | -0.47% | 0.2564 | -12.70% | 0.1360 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.3089 | 0.306893 | -0.65% | 0.2937 | -4.92% | 0.0175 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.30325 | 0.301881 | -0.45% | 0.3089 | +1.86% | 0.0116 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2928 | 0.292128 | -0.23% | 0.30325 | +3.57% | 0.0402 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.3036 | 0.302924 | -0.22% | 0.2928 | -3.56% | 0.0343 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.3418 | 0.339824 | -0.58% | 0.3036 | -11.18% | 0.1221 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.3149 | 0.313743 | -0.37% | 0.3418 | +8.54% | 0.1150 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.3033 | 0.302161 | -0.38% | 0.3149 | +3.82% | 0.0452 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.2584 | 0.258176 | -0.09% | 0.3033 | +17.38% | 0.1772 | ✗ | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.2653 | 0.265304 | +0.00% | 0.2584 | -2.60% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.281847 | +0.03% | 0.2653 | -5.84% | 0.0729 | ✗ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.3224 | 0.322475 | +0.02% | 0.28175 | -12.61% | 0.1402 | ✗ | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.3468 | 0.347127 | +0.09% | 0.3224 | -7.04% | 0.0226 | ✗ | 2.60 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.3219 | 0.322103 | +0.06% | 0.3468 | +7.74% | 0.0780 | ✗ | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.3456 | 0.345654 | +0.02% | 0.3219 | -6.86% | 0.0676 | ✗ | 3.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.3517 | 0.351716 | +0.00% | 0.3456 | -1.73% | 0.0146 | ✓ | 2.15 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.34005 | 0.338033 | -0.59% | – | pending | – | – | 2.52 |
| 2026-06-25 | oos | 0.2972 | 0.296102 | -0.37% | 0.34005 | +14.42% | 0.1262 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-06-24 | oos | 0.3087 | 0.30731 | -0.45% | 0.2972 | -3.73% | 0.0184 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-06-23 | oos | 0.3033 | 0.301976 | -0.44% | 0.3087 | +1.78% | 0.0900 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-06-22 | oos | 0.3263 | 0.324342 | -0.60% | 0.3033 | -7.05% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 2.50 |
| 2026-06-21 | oos | 0.3344 | 0.331913 | -0.74% | 0.3263 | -2.42% | 0.0459 | ✓ | 2.57 |
| 2026-06-20 | oos | 0.2912 | 0.289881 | -0.45% | 0.3344 | +14.84% | 0.1841 | ✗ | 2.66 |
| 2026-06-19 | oos | 0.3186 | 0.31642 | -0.68% | 0.2912 | -8.60% | 0.1160 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-06-18 | oos | 0.2782 | 0.27709 | -0.40% | 0.3186 | +14.52% | 0.1140 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-06-17 | oos | 0.2869 | 0.285552 | -0.47% | 0.2782 | -3.03% | 0.0414 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-06-16 | oos | 0.3279 | 0.325098 | -0.85% | 0.2869 | -12.50% | 0.0770 | ✓ | 2.67 |
| 2026-06-15 | oos | 0.2881 | 0.286487 | -0.56% | 0.3279 | +13.81% | 0.1621 | ✗ | 2.70 |
| 2026-06-14 | oos | 0.3328 | 0.3296 | -0.96% | 0.2881 | -13.43% | 0.1594 | ✓ | 2.88 |
| 2026-06-13 | oos | 0.3402 | 0.335571 | -1.36% | 0.3328 | -2.18% | 0.0682 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2026-06-12 | oos | 0.2506 | 0.249403 | -0.48% | 0.3402 | +35.75% | 0.2730 | ✗ | 2.69 |
| 2026-06-11 | oos | 0.2836 | 0.280878 | -0.96% | 0.2506 | -11.64% | 0.1130 | ✓ | 2.76 |
| 2026-06-10 | oos | 0.2301 | 0.229176 | -0.40% | 0.2836 | +23.25% | 0.1312 | ✗ | 2.42 |
| 2026-06-09 | oos | 0.2123 | 0.211756 | -0.26% | 0.2301 | +8.38% | 0.0870 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213194 | -0.33% | 0.2123 | -0.75% | 0.0179 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | oos | 0.2183 | 0.217374 | -0.42% | 0.2139 | -2.02% | 0.0123 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-06 | oos | 0.1647 | 0.165375 | +0.41% | 0.2183 | +32.54% | 0.2381 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-05 | oos | 0.1805 | 0.180973 | +0.26% | 0.1647 | -8.75% | 0.0912 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-04 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.208185 | -0.05% | 0.1805 | -13.35% | 0.0982 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-03 | oos | 0.263 | 0.261541 | -0.55% | 0.2083 | -20.80% | 0.2240 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-02 | oos | 0.2161 | 0.215764 | -0.16% | 0.263 | +21.70% | 0.2380 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-01 | oos | 0.2555 | 0.253972 | -0.60% | 0.2161 | -15.42% | 0.0940 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-31 | oos | 0.2595 | 0.257746 | -0.68% | 0.2555 | -1.54% | 0.0225 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-30 | oos | 0.2701 | 0.267776 | -0.86% | 0.2595 | -3.92% | 0.0287 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | oos | 0.2474 | 0.245443 | -0.79% | 0.2701 | +9.18% | 0.0902 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-28 | oos | 0.2056 | 0.204856 | -0.36% | 0.2474 | +20.33% | 0.1907 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-27 | oos | 0.1846 | 0.184373 | -0.12% | 0.2056 | +11.38% | 0.1198 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-26 | oos | 0.2346 | 0.233425 | -0.50% | 0.1846 | -21.31% | 0.2146 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-25 | oos | 0.2073 | 0.206669 | -0.30% | 0.2346 | +13.17% | 0.1454 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-24 | oos | 0.2618 | 0.260484 | -0.50% | 0.2073 | -20.82% | 0.2319 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-23 | oos | 0.2748 | 0.273004 | -0.65% | 0.2618 | -4.73% | 0.0461 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-22 | oos | 0.205 | 0.204461 | -0.26% | 0.2748 | +34.05% | 0.2798 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-21 | oos | 0.2729 | 0.272049 | -0.31% | 0.205 | -24.88% | 0.2555 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-20 | oos | 0.2854 | 0.284523 | -0.31% | 0.2729 | -4.38% | 0.0426 | ✓ | 1.00 |