MON

Monad · native · gru_s5

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 972

Track record at +30d

assessed

294

of 324 predictions shown

direction hit

51.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1413

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0590

actual +0.0239

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.022257	0.020498	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.022069	0.020476	-7.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.020439	-7.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.019339	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.0195	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.020082	-7.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.021078	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.021099	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.022163	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.022516	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.022244	-8.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.025424	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.0231	-8.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.022276	-8.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.021662	-9.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.023267	-8.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.02646	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.029287	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.030961	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.031265	-7.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.029767	-7.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.030658	-8.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.028979	-8.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.024692	-8.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.026016	-8.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.025807	-8.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.024666	-7.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.024274	-8.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.023079	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.022203	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.025357	-7.14%	0.022257	-18.49%	0.0984	✓	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.024007	-6.33%	0.022069	-13.89%	0.0427	✓	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.022985	-8.02%	0.022084	-11.63%	0.0722	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.022878	-7.79%	0.0209	-15.76%	0.1014	✓	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.022789	-7.64%	0.021073	-14.59%	0.0987	✓	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.021496	-7.57%	0.021746	-6.49%	0.0841	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.020648	-6.75%	0.022843	+3.16%	0.0003	✓	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.020331	-6.24%	0.022939	+5.79%	0.0023	✓	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.021582	-5.82%	0.024094	+5.15%	0.0465	✓	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.021493	-5.09%	0.024401	+7.75%	0.0095	✓	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.022165	-4.20%	0.024261	+4.86%	0.0066	✓	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.022547	-3.28%	0.027548	+18.18%	0.0807	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.022233	-3.01%	0.025129	+9.62%	0.0031	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.024274	-2.81%	0.024415	-2.25%	0.0713	✓	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.024942	-2.69%	0.023977	-6.45%	0.0974	✓	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.026316	-2.55%	0.025431	-5.83%	0.1073	✓	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.026553	-2.04%	0.028428	+4.88%	0.0191	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.024582	-1.40%	0.031459	+26.18%	0.1471	✗	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.024688	-1.39%	0.03334	+33.16%	0.1860	✗	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.026798	-1.12%	0.033871	+24.98%	0.1774	✗	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.024713	-2.57%	0.032313	+27.40%	0.1523	✗	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.025802	-2.56%	0.033663	+27.13%	0.1476	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.025941	-1.96%	0.031757	+20.02%	0.1260	✗	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.025911	-2.41%	0.026859	+1.16%	0.0578	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.026244	-1.79%	0.028539	+6.80%	0.0013	✓	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.026763	-2.10%	0.02811	+2.83%	0.0553	✓	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.028211	-1.39%	0.026738	-6.54%	0.1176	✓	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.027876	-2.47%	0.026401	-7.63%	0.1339	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.026994	-2.73%	0.02498	-9.99%	0.1689	✓	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.030466	-3.54%	0.023997	-24.02%	0.3229	✓	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.029235	-3.93%	0.027307	-10.26%	0.2006	✓	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.027136	-3.54%	0.025628	-8.90%	0.2053	✓	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.027698	-3.33%	0.02499	-12.78%	0.1479	✓	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.025105	-6.04%	0.024811	-7.14%	0.1495	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.021336	-5.46%	0.024673	+9.32%	0.0360	✓	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.019827	-6.60%	0.023255	+9.55%	0.0439	✓	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.020221	-7.10%	0.022142	+1.72%	0.1158	✓	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.019015	-6.24%	0.021684	+6.92%	0.0910	✓	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.019578	-6.24%	0.022915	+9.73%	0.1026	✓	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.019836	-6.08%	0.022645	+7.22%	0.1066	✓	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.020226	-6.02%	0.023138	+7.51%	0.1031	✓	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.020463	-6.15%	0.023311	+6.91%	0.1103	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.020121	-6.00%	0.022922	+7.08%	0.0906	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.020371	-6.33%	0.024977	+14.85%	0.0368	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.01983	-5.45%	0.025632	+22.22%	0.0210	✓	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.019739	-5.40%	0.027005	+29.43%	0.0679	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.01976	-5.43%	0.027105	+29.72%	0.0504	✓	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.01934	-5.38%	0.024932	+21.98%	0.0151	✓	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.019815	-5.59%	0.025037	+19.29%	0.0278	✓	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.019397	-5.52%	0.027102	+32.01%	0.0419	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.020217	-6.08%	0.025364	+17.82%	0.0217	✓	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.019741	-5.82%	0.026479	+26.33%	0.0400	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.019294	-5.70%	0.026459	+29.32%	0.0304	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.019525	-5.72%	0.02655	+28.20%	0.0379	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.020503	-5.51%	0.026721	+23.14%	0.0256	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.019751	-4.86%	0.027336	+31.68%	0.0661	✗	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.020283	-4.48%	0.028608	+34.72%	0.0433	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.019365	-3.70%	0.028582	+42.13%	0.1052	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.020657	-3.27%	0.027753	+29.96%	0.0546	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.020002	-2.90%	0.031585	+53.33%	0.1873	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.02117	-3.16%	0.03043	+39.20%	0.1067	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.021708	-2.81%	0.028133	+25.96%	0.0342	✗	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.022309	-2.66%	0.028652	+25.01%	0.0226	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.022334	-2.62%	0.026718	+16.49%	0.0546	✗	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.022171	-3.06%	0.022569	-1.32%	0.0644	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.02066	-2.64%	0.021228	+0.04%	0.0271	✗	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.021	-2.64%	0.021767	+0.91%	0.0426	✗	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.021291	-2.96%	0.02028	-7.57%	0.0252	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.020935	-2.90%	0.020882	-3.14%	0.0144	✓	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.021631	-2.96%	0.02112	-5.25%	0.0144	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.021954	-3.12%	0.021522	-5.02%	0.0142	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.021525	-3.43%	0.021804	-2.18%	0.0138	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.022043	-3.34%	0.021406	-6.13%	0.0245	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.021584	-3.08%	0.021747	-2.35%	0.0042	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022224	-3.20%	0.020972	-8.66%	0.0752	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.0223	-3.38%	0.020865	-9.60%	0.1086	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.02226	-3.60%	0.020895	-9.51%	0.1296	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.023345	-4.25%	0.020439	-16.16%	0.1565	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.023743	-4.91%	0.020988	-15.95%	0.1381	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.020999	-2.74%	0.020531	-4.91%	0.0343	✓	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.020584	-2.54%	0.021527	+1.93%	0.0351	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020016	-2.36%	0.02096	+2.24%	0.0212	✓	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019523	-2.31%	0.02046	+2.38%	0.0139	✓	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.019493	-2.73%	0.02071	+3.34%	0.0157	✓	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.017971	-1.96%	0.0217	+18.39%	0.0316	✗	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.018549	-1.96%	0.02076	+9.73%	0.0182	✓	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.01831	-1.88%	0.021235	+13.80%	0.0331	✗	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018504	-1.73%	0.02011	+6.80%	0.0153	✓	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.018978	-1.87%	0.021355	+10.42%	0.0206	✓	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.018795	-1.86%	0.0206	+7.57%	0.0288	✓	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019259	-2.11%	0.02186	+11.11%	0.0446	✗	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.019652	-2.20%	0.022335	+11.15%	0.0641	✗	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.020125	-2.45%	0.02292	+11.10%	0.0729	✗	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.020208	-2.61%	0.022935	+10.53%	0.0387	✗	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020048	-2.61%	0.02287	+11.10%	0.1054	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.02011	-2.66%	0.02122	+2.71%	0.0211	✓	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.02049	-2.80%	0.02157	+2.32%	0.0011	✓	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.021072	-3.20%	0.02194	+0.78%	0.0554	✗	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.0221	-4.08%	0.02156	-6.42%	0.0252	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.021719	-3.94%	0.02229	-1.42%	0.0669	✗	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.021599	-3.96%	0.02266	+0.76%	0.0670	✗	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.021016	-3.69%	0.02229	+2.15%	0.1183	✗	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.020376	-3.34%	0.022805	+8.18%	0.1071	✗	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.020806	-3.72%	0.02227	+3.05%	0.0622	✗	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.020361	-3.27%	0.02296	+9.07%	0.0440	✗	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.020499	-3.62%	0.02308	+8.51%	0.0761	✗	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.020105	-3.62%	0.02309	+10.69%	0.1622	✗	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.021153	-4.59%	0.02438	+9.97%	0.1414	✗	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.020349	-3.47%	0.02497	+18.45%	0.1146	✗	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.020265	-3.78%	0.02159	+2.52%	0.0103	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.020443	-5.05%	0.02112	-1.90%	0.0537	✗	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.01956	-4.30%	0.0205	+0.29%	0.0899	✗	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.019419	-5.04%	0.019985	-2.27%	0.1790	✗	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.020965	-6.86%	0.02004	-10.97%	0.2827	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.022081	-7.15%	0.01833	-22.92%	0.2488	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.021607	-7.01%	0.01892	-18.57%	0.2382	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.021655	-6.98%	0.01866	-19.85%	0.2311	✗	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.021967	-7.24%	0.01883	-20.48%	0.2147	✗	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.021681	-6.99%	0.01934	-17.03%	0.2706	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.023126	-7.61%	0.01915	-23.49%	0.2373	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.024196	-7.89%	0.019675	-25.10%	0.2019	✗	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.023375	-7.50%	0.020095	-20.48%	0.2051	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.02384	-7.49%	0.02063	-19.95%	0.1466	✗	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.024193	-7.49%	0.02075	-20.65%	0.1335	✗	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.026334	-8.08%	0.020585	-28.15%	0.0542	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.02492	-7.38%	0.02066	-23.21%	0.1307	✗	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.024116	-6.93%	0.02108	-18.64%	0.1832	✗	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.025022	-7.26%	0.02177	-19.31%	0.1474	✗	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.025771	-7.30%	0.02304	-17.12%	0.1569	✗	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.025825	-6.94%	0.02261	-18.52%	0.1350	✗	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.026396	-6.66%	0.02249	-20.47%	0.1383	✗	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.027886	-6.33%	0.02182	-26.70%	0.1242	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.028195	-6.64%	0.02108	-30.20%	0.0820	✗	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.028954	-6.15%	0.02161	-29.95%	0.0991	✗	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.031521	-6.24%	0.02105	-37.39%	0.0608	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.033165	-6.55%	0.02127	-40.07%	0.0048	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.032357	-6.67%	0.02086	-39.83%	0.0528	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.031943	-6.74%	0.02217	-35.27%	0.0020	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.030347	-6.28%	0.02108	-34.90%	0.0570	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.030389	-5.89%	0.02106	-34.78%	0.0168	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.029483	-5.83%	0.02153	-31.24%	0.0271	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.027794	-5.62%	0.02044	-30.59%	0.0575	✓	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.027496	-5.61%	0.02045	-29.80%	0.1087	✓	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.028421	-5.61%	0.02251	-25.24%	0.1210	✓	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.028399	-5.59%	0.02378	-20.94%	0.1075	✓	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.025815	-4.95%	0.023235	-14.45%	0.0664	✓	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.025653	-4.99%	0.02328	-13.78%	0.0602	✓	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.027499	-5.66%	0.02368	-18.77%	0.1065	✓	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.028784	-5.99%	0.02331	-23.87%	0.1650	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.030101	-6.20%	0.02503	-22.00%	0.1419	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.0293	-6.39%	0.02627	-16.07%	0.1031	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.028723	-6.41%	0.02527	-17.66%	0.1207	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.030396	-6.42%	0.02577	-20.66%	0.1405	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.031464	-6.68%	0.02615	-22.44%	0.1429	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.030415	-7.10%	0.02865	-12.49%	0.0780	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.02959	-7.23%	0.026905	-15.65%	0.1198	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.02782	-7.51%	0.02591	-13.86%	0.1181	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.030071	-7.33%	0.02698	-16.86%	0.1274	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.03222	-7.39%	0.0278	-20.09%	0.1523	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.031651	-7.72%	0.02775	-19.10%	0.1774	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.032359	-7.91%	0.02828	-19.52%	0.2004	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.031731	-8.03%	0.02977	-13.71%	0.1707	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.032962	-8.51%	0.0302	-16.18%	0.1620	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.029965	-8.39%	0.03085	-5.69%	0.1215	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.032531	-8.52%	0.03362	-5.46%	0.0954	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.031929	-9.06%	0.03549	+1.08%	0.0303	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.030045	-8.84%	0.03467	+5.19%	0.0110	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.028382	-8.86%	0.03425	+9.99%	0.0515	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.027871	-8.32%	0.03238	+6.51%	0.0288	✓	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.025009	-7.72%	0.03229	+19.15%	0.0668	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.025962	-8.20%	0.03131	+10.71%	0.0081	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.025028	-8.19%	0.02945	+8.03%	0.0270	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.024918	-8.62%	0.02913	+6.82%	0.0202	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.023223	-7.07%	0.03011	+20.49%	0.0805	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.022351	-6.21%	0.03008	+26.23%	0.1385	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.023273	-6.42%	0.02716	+9.21%	0.0258	✓	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.021119	-5.34%	0.027	+21.02%	0.1031	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.020916	-5.10%	0.02915	+32.26%	0.1667	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.022044	-5.31%	0.03062	+31.53%	0.1540	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.021351	-4.64%	0.03209	+43.32%	0.2149	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.023197	-4.62%	0.0313	+28.70%	0.1646	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.025086	-5.05%	0.03069	+16.16%	0.1111	✗	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.022539	-3.41%	0.03248	+39.19%	0.2535	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.021014	-2.53%	0.033715	+56.38%	0.3664	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.019913	-3.01%	0.03274	+59.47%	0.3701	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.020794	-2.88%	0.031895	+48.97%	0.3249	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.021826	-2.74%	0.03008	+34.05%	0.2714	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.021399	-2.65%	0.03245	+47.63%	0.3310	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.022438	-2.66%	0.03479	+50.93%	0.3522	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.023051	-2.33%	0.0343	+45.34%	0.3792	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.024111	-2.62%	0.03514	+41.92%	0.3774	✗	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.022849	-2.60%	0.0345	+47.06%	0.3912	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.021622	-2.52%	0.03603	+62.44%	0.4607	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.021375	-2.46%	0.03271	+49.26%	0.4285	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.020677	-2.47%	0.03556	+67.74%	0.5011	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.020834	-2.69%	0.03511	+63.99%	0.4762	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.020959	-2.83%	0.03296	+52.80%	0.4224	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.020586	-3.03%	0.03114	+46.68%	0.3692	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.019784	-3.12%	0.0304	+48.87%	0.3297	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.020974	-3.26%	0.0271	+25.00%	0.2291	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.021034	-3.25%	0.02828	+30.08%	0.2810	✗	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.021049	-3.18%	0.02726	+25.39%	0.3192	✗	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.021787	-3.43%	0.02727	+20.88%	0.3193	✗	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.019715	-3.26%	0.02499	+22.62%	0.2615	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.020456	-3.56%	0.02383	+12.35%	0.1645	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020076	-3.71%	0.02487	+19.28%	0.1735	✗	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.020301	-3.92%	0.02231	+5.58%	0.0979	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.019857	-3.93%	0.02204	+6.63%	0.1028	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020169	-4.14%	0.02328	+10.65%	0.1615	✗	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.020599	-4.46%	0.02239	+3.85%	0.1086	✗	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.019221	-4.04%	0.02432	+21.42%	0.1650	✗	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.019638	-4.35%	0.02642	+28.69%	0.1997	✗	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019009	-4.26%	0.023335	+17.53%	0.1633	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.019669	-4.61%	0.02156	+4.56%	0.0502	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.020012	-4.89%	0.02053	-2.42%	0.0276	✓	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.019478	-4.70%	0.02141	+4.75%	0.0664	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.019224	-4.64%	0.02244	+11.31%	0.0960	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.02093	-5.42%	0.02198	-0.68%	0.0143	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.022056	-6.19%	0.02305	-1.96%	0.0113	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.022404	-6.73%	0.0236	-1.75%	0.0174	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.021825	-6.69%	0.02476	+5.86%	0.0578	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.021255	-6.70%	0.02346	+2.99%	0.0439	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.019116	-5.13%	0.02218	+10.07%	0.0818	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018126	-4.85%	0.021915	+15.04%	0.1374	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.018541	-5.83%	0.0212	+7.67%	0.1112	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017146	-4.53%	0.02141	+19.21%	0.2207	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.017283	-4.62%	0.02157	+19.04%	0.2259	✗	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.017711	-4.83%	0.02123	+14.08%	0.1925	✗	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.017597	-5.19%	0.02042	+10.02%	0.2130	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.01673	-2.96%	0.02168	+25.75%	0.1878	✗	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.01849	-6.28%	0.02174	+10.19%	0.2416	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.016656	-5.04%	0.02174	+23.95%	0.3527	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.017401	-5.79%	0.02256	+22.14%	0.3649	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.016909	-5.17%	0.02038	+14.30%	0.3427	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.017054	-5.47%	0.02121	+17.57%	0.3965	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.018722	-7.27%	0.02085	+3.27%	0.4254	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.018556	-7.27%	0.02113	+5.60%	0.4312	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.019534	-8.20%	0.02067	-2.87%	0.4588	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.020135	-9.22%	0.02104	-5.14%	0.4133	✗	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.017418	-7.40%	0.02156	+14.62%	0.5412	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.016529	-7.09%	0.02003	+12.59%	0.5596	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.017532	-8.16%	0.02053	+7.54%	0.5374	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.01679	-8.33%	0.019855	+8.41%	0.5023	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.016541	-8.61%	0.02062	+13.92%	0.5490	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.017036	-9.19%	0.02104	+12.15%	0.5382	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.016199	-9.45%	0.02044	+14.25%	0.5566	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.018021	-10.43%	0.02016	+0.20%	0.4540	✗	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.019384	-10.92%	0.02213	+1.70%	0.4565	✗	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.019598	-11.36%	0.02351	+6.33%	0.5034	✗	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.01968	-11.71%	0.02402	+7.76%	0.5261	✗	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.019468	-12.03%	0.02339	+5.69%	0.4977	✗	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.020464	-11.73%	0.02278	-1.75%	0.4416	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.02179	-11.96%	0.02015	-18.59%	0.3014	✗	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.020172	-12.56%	0.01905	-17.43%	0.2363	✗	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.02092	-12.25%	0.01969	-17.41%	0.2063	✗	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.021344	-11.98%	0.01796	-25.94%	0.0724	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.023146	-11.39%	0.01812	-30.63%	0.0030	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.024719	-11.08%	0.01861	-33.06%	0.0287	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.023876	-10.94%	0.01856	-30.77%	0.0087	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.026538	-11.06%	0.01724	-42.23%	0.1153	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.025354	-10.41%	0.01973	-30.28%	0.0493	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.025575	-11.04%	0.01754	-38.99%	0.2134	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.025831	-11.90%	0.01847	-37.01%	0.2112	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.024466	-12.47%	0.01783	-36.21%	0.1817	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.021125	-10.86%	0.01804	-23.88%	0.0734	✓	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.020205	-10.99%	0.02019	-11.06%	0.0252	✓	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.020171	-10.75%	0.02001	-11.46%	0.0222	✓	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.019124	-10.92%	0.02128	-0.88%	0.0925	✓	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.020021	-10.78%	0.02218	-1.16%	0.0941	✓	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.020597	-10.84%	0.01881	-18.57%	0.0937	✓	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.020725	-11.16%	0.01779	-23.75%	0.1477	✓	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.020557	-11.20%	0.01909	-17.54%	0.0869	✓	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.019421	-10.46%	0.018315	-15.56%	0.0718	✓	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.017852	-9.66%	0.0181	-8.40%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.017464	-9.09%	0.01876	-2.34%	0.0625	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.018655	-9.00%	0.01789	-12.73%	0.0382	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.017199	-8.37%	0.02012	+7.19%	0.1100	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.017525	-8.01%	0.02176	+14.23%	0.1555	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.015744	-6.90%	0.02211	+30.75%	0.2326	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.017449	-6.84%	0.02229	+19.01%	0.1425	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.020015	-7.12%	0.02213	+2.69%	0.0161	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.018513	-6.83%	0.023185	+16.68%	0.1100	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.019232	-6.82%	0.02475	+19.91%	0.1736	✗	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.021958	-6.60%	0.02307	-1.87%	0.0391	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.022527	-6.41%	0.02384	-0.96%	0.0501	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.024624	-6.16%	0.02425	-7.58%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.02523	-6.24%	0.02612	-2.94%	0.0513	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.025653	-6.27%	0.0278	+1.57%	0.0985	✗	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.026268	-6.55%	0.02681	-4.62%	0.0135	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.02388	-6.65%	0.02984	+16.65%	0.1868	✗	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.02542	-6.51%	0.0283	+4.08%	0.0571	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.025476	-6.44%	0.02875	+5.58%	0.0971	✗	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.025955	-6.27%	0.02932	+5.89%	0.1383	✗	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.028731	-5.92%	0.02795	-8.48%	0.0106	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.