MHA
Magic Hash · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s5
- token id
- #375
- symbol
- MHA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x37c563cdf4606d4302abb395cdb94e79d31233ed
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-17
- predictions
- 78
Track record at +1d
assessed
25
of 26 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1002
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0057
actual -0.0398
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004802 | -1.08% | – | pending | – | – | 2.29 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004452 | 0.004415 | -0.84% | 0.004854 | +9.02% | 0.1017 | ✗ | 2.36 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004386 | 0.004356 | -0.69% | 0.004452 | +1.50% | 0.0088 | ✓ | 2.30 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004248 | 0.004227 | -0.51% | 0.004386 | +3.25% | 0.0419 | ✗ | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004329 | 0.004309 | -0.47% | 0.004248 | -1.86% | 0.0319 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005066 | 0.005013 | -1.04% | 0.004329 | -14.55% | 0.1453 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003665 | 0.003665 | -0.01% | 0.005066 | +38.21% | 0.3313 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002988 | 0.003003 | +0.49% | 0.003665 | +22.67% | 0.1926 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003361 | 0.003375 | +0.40% | 0.002988 | -11.11% | 0.1031 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003776 | 0.003791 | +0.39% | 0.003361 | -10.98% | 0.1366 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004693 | 0.004694 | +0.02% | 0.003776 | -19.54% | 0.1942 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005151 | 0.005149 | -0.06% | 0.004693 | -8.90% | 0.1019 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.006203 | 0.00618 | -0.38% | 0.005151 | -16.96% | 0.1864 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006663 | -0.48% | 0.006203 | -7.35% | 0.0818 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00735 | 0.007294 | -0.76% | 0.006696 | -8.90% | 0.0664 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007624 | 0.007555 | -0.91% | 0.00735 | -3.60% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.007561 | 0.007491 | -0.92% | 0.007624 | +0.84% | 0.0200 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007475 | 0.007408 | -0.90% | 0.007561 | +1.14% | 0.0292 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007325 | 0.007266 | -0.80% | 0.007475 | +2.05% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00776 | 0.007695 | -0.83% | 0.007325 | -5.61% | 0.0522 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007845 | 0.007782 | -0.81% | 0.00776 | -1.08% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008263 | 0.008195 | -0.82% | 0.007845 | -5.06% | 0.0591 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008261 | 0.008198 | -0.77% | 0.008263 | +0.02% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009286 | 0.009205 | -0.87% | 0.008261 | -11.03% | 0.1103 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.014172 | 0.014011 | -1.14% | 0.009286 | -34.48% | 0.3994 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013131 | 0.012928 | -1.54% | 0.014172 | +7.93% | 0.0913 | ✗ | 1.00 |