MEMEROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s5

token id: #770
symbol: MEMEROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

Track record at +1d

assessed

38

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

71.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1110

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0042

actual -0.0488

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.009054	0.009029	-0.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-20	oos	0.009211	0.009195	-0.18%	0.009054	-1.72%	0.0153	✓	0.08
2026-10-19	oos	0.011556	0.011458	-0.85%	0.009211	-20.29%	0.2215	✓	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.010901	0.010849	-0.48%	0.011556	+6.00%	0.0637	✗	0.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.010958	0.010929	-0.27%	0.010901	-0.52%	0.0044	✓	0.25
2026-10-16	oos	0.012207	0.012136	-0.58%	0.010958	-10.23%	0.1017	✓	0.24
2026-10-15	oos	0.014254	0.014031	-1.56%	0.012207	-14.36%	0.1380	✓	0.17
2026-10-14	oos	0.01064	0.010659	+0.18%	0.014254	+33.97%	0.2904	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.0117	0.011692	-0.07%	0.01064	-9.06%	0.0952	✓	-0.05
2026-10-12	oos	0.01209	0.012085	-0.04%	0.0117	-3.23%	0.0313	✓	-0.06
2026-10-11	oos	0.012425	0.012416	-0.07%	0.01209	-2.70%	0.0275	✓	-0.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.012195	0.012219	+0.19%	0.012425	+1.89%	0.0174	✓	-0.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.012895	0.012919	+0.18%	0.012195	-5.43%	0.0573	✗	-0.07
2026-10-08	oos	0.012035	0.012101	+0.55%	0.012895	+7.15%	0.0653	✓	-0.16
2026-10-07	oos	0.01357	0.013611	+0.30%	0.012035	-11.31%	0.1286	✗	-0.29
2026-10-06	oos	0.01678	0.016718	-0.37%	0.01357	-19.13%	0.2285	✓	-0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.017965	0.017863	-0.57%	0.01678	-6.60%	0.0644	✓	-0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.017285	0.017209	-0.44%	0.017965	+3.93%	0.0370	✗	-0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.01557	0.015595	+0.16%	0.017285	+11.01%	0.0823	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.0164	0.016432	+0.20%	0.01557	-5.06%	0.0567	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.017095	0.017133	+0.22%	0.0164	-4.07%	0.0397	✗	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.021475	0.02143	-0.21%	0.017095	-20.40%	0.2414	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.02495	0.024801	-0.60%	0.021475	-13.93%	0.1430	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.02912	0.028804	-1.08%	0.02495	-14.32%	0.1458	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.02693	0.026713	-0.81%	0.02912	+8.13%	0.0983	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.02853	0.028276	-0.89%	0.02693	-5.61%	0.0493	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03015	0.029855	-0.98%	0.02853	-5.37%	0.0492	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.02773	0.027539	-0.69%	0.03015	+8.73%	0.0940	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03443	0.033944	-1.41%	0.02773	-19.46%	0.2023	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03152	0.031124	-1.26%	0.03443	+9.23%	0.1223	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02677	0.026583	-0.70%	0.03152	+17.74%	0.1749	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.027265	0.027156	-0.40%	0.02677	-1.82%	0.0791	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.03062	0.030443	-0.58%	0.027265	-10.96%	0.1093	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.03075	0.030593	-0.51%	0.03062	-0.42%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03702	0.036738	-0.76%	0.03075	-16.94%	0.2355	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02977	0.029722	-0.16%	0.03702	+24.35%	0.2169	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.032345	0.032296	-0.15%	0.02977	-7.96%	0.0888	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.044095	0.043865	-0.52%	0.032345	-26.65%	0.2710	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04952	0.049198	-0.65%	0.044095	-10.96%	0.1273	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.