MARSCOIN

MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s5

token id: #52
symbol: MARSCOIN
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 120

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 40 predictions shown

direction hit

56.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0720

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0072

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.08135	0.080569	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-21	oos	0.08115	0.080469	-0.84%	0.08135	+0.25%	0.0089	✗	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.07935	0.078799	-0.69%	0.08115	+2.27%	0.0186	✗	0.83
2026-10-19	oos	0.07795	0.077519	-0.55%	0.07935	+1.80%	0.0126	✗	0.80
2026-10-18	oos	0.07555	0.075303	-0.33%	0.07795	+3.18%	0.0362	✗	0.81
2026-10-17	oos	0.07685	0.07665	-0.26%	0.07555	-1.69%	0.0207	✓	0.81
2026-10-16	oos	0.07985	0.079594	-0.32%	0.07685	-3.76%	0.0339	✓	0.81
2026-10-15	oos	0.07715	0.077083	-0.09%	0.07985	+3.50%	0.0417	✗	0.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.08255	0.082298	-0.31%	0.07715	-6.54%	0.0705	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.07945	0.079387	-0.08%	0.08255	+3.90%	0.0574	✗	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.08085	0.080805	-0.06%	0.07945	-1.73%	0.0333	✓	0.99
2026-10-11	oos	0.09555	0.09483	-0.75%	0.08085	-15.38%	0.1417	✓	0.76
2026-10-10	oos	0.09625	0.095529	-0.75%	0.09555	-0.73%	0.0068	✓	0.76
2026-10-09	oos	0.09325	0.092674	-0.62%	0.09625	+3.22%	0.0346	✗	0.74
2026-10-08	oos	0.09105	0.090601	-0.49%	0.09325	+2.42%	0.0214	✗	0.71
2026-10-07	oos	0.09505	0.094424	-0.66%	0.09105	-4.21%	0.0229	✓	0.70
2026-10-06	oos	0.10535	0.104392	-0.91%	0.09505	-9.78%	0.0791	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	0.10525	0.104303	-0.90%	0.10535	+0.10%	0.0113	✗	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	0.10865	0.107656	-0.92%	0.10525	-3.13%	0.0178	✓	0.55
2026-10-03	oos	0.11095	0.109883	-0.96%	0.10865	-2.07%	0.0319	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.1074	0.10643	-0.90%	0.11095	+3.31%	0.0388	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.12765	0.126266	-1.08%	0.1074	-15.86%	0.1578	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.1371	0.135372	-1.26%	0.12765	-6.89%	0.0741	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.14065	0.138705	-1.38%	0.1371	-2.52%	0.0107	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.15785	0.154228	-2.29%	0.14065	-10.90%	0.0943	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.1233	0.121881	-1.15%	0.15785	+28.02%	0.2706	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.13445	0.132497	-1.45%	0.1233	-8.29%	0.0725	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.11835	0.116973	-1.16%	0.13445	+13.60%	0.1354	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.1152	0.11398	-1.06%	0.11835	+2.73%	0.0411	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.1364	0.134342	-1.51%	0.1152	-15.54%	0.1538	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.14165	0.138855	-1.97%	0.1364	-3.71%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.10195	0.101105	-0.83%	0.14165	+38.94%	0.3418	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.09225	0.091916	-0.36%	0.10195	+10.51%	0.0388	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.09905	0.098542	-0.51%	0.09225	-6.87%	0.0651	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.11315	0.112176	-0.86%	0.09905	-12.46%	0.1289	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.1172	0.116157	-0.89%	0.11315	-3.46%	0.0838	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.092	0.092242	+0.26%	0.1172	+27.39%	0.2368	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.08655	0.086954	+0.47%	0.092	+6.30%	0.0490	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.09165	0.091843	+0.21%	0.08655	-5.56%	0.0257	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.09765	0.097829	+0.18%	0.09165	-6.14%	0.0830	✗	1.00