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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
795
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
235
of 265 predictions shown
direction hit
47.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3457
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0672
actual +0.0936

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos3.81043.4131-10.43%–pending––1.27
2026-10-21oos3.76183.3763-10.25%–pending––1.29
2026-10-20oos3.38263.0351-10.27%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.7884-9.90%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.7788-9.64%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11462.8199-9.46%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17522.8773-9.38%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.7687-8.48%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.8277-8.32%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.0477-8.96%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.086-8.59%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.4623-9.71%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.3203-8.71%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.3279-8.23%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.3294-7.67%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.3114-7.32%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.5144-7.89%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.6835-8.34%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.4067-7.03%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.3404-6.34%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.3315-6.19%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.5263-7.32%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.64-7.84%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.606-8.31%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.0208-9.47%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.2154-9.44%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.3903-9.37%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.4026-9.27%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.6031-9.26%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31964.7903-9.95%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.6065-9.08%3.8104-24.80%0.1539✓1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.3362-8.49%3.7618-20.61%0.0989✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.3373-9.16%3.3826-29.15%0.2845✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.3742-9.04%3.0947-35.65%0.3583✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.3445-8.90%3.0752-35.51%0.3683✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.3645-9.27%3.1146-35.26%0.4540✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.2139-8.46%3.1752-31.03%0.4060✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.7544-6.60%3.0253-24.73%0.3664✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38854.0562-7.57%3.0842-29.72%0.3489✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.8407-6.62%3.3476-18.61%0.2745✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21583.9485-6.34%3.3759-19.92%0.2542✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35184.09-6.01%3.8347-11.88%0.2032✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29234.0462-5.73%3.6372-15.26%0.2454✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.271-5.64%3.6262-19.88%0.2548✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.528-6.25%3.6061-25.33%0.2988✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.4571-5.67%3.5727-24.38%0.3134✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.2976-4.81%3.8154-15.49%0.2287✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.4981-5.40%4.0187-15.48%0.2380✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.543-5.92%3.6643-24.12%0.3524✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.2464-4.41%3.5667-19.71%0.2480✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.6187-4.56%3.5512-6.34%0.1537✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.3819-3.92%3.8048+8.09%0.0253✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.4386-3.58%3.9499+10.75%0.0545✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.3918-3.87%3.9328+11.46%0.0797✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.4255-3.61%4.4413+24.97%0.2000✗0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.3676-3.68%4.6547+33.14%0.2483✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.5883-3.30%4.844+30.54%0.2549✗0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.3237-3.71%4.8522+40.57%0.3239✗0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.1645-3.63%5.0729+54.48%0.4098✗0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.2794-3.54%5.3196+56.46%0.4259✗0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.3759-5.49%5.0667+41.84%0.3054✗0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.064-3.93%4.7386+48.58%0.3243✗0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.0209-3.38%4.7745+52.70%0.4232✗0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.5382-4.87%4.8092+80.24%0.5522✗0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.4055-7.61%4.7687+83.15%0.5315✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.1472-8.97%4.8107+103.95%0.6503✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.1207-8.98%4.6035+97.57%0.6121✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.0666-9.25%4.0195+76.51%0.4821✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.0589-8.98%4.3885+94.01%0.5457✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.042-8.64%4.1132+84.03%0.5048✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.0784-8.49%4.2158+85.61%0.5152✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.1324-8.70%4.3518+86.32%0.5127✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.1966-9.16%4.2923+77.50%0.4824✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.1722-8.82%4.5262+89.98%0.5272✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.1183-8.04%4.8297+109.67%0.6210✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.0984-8.06%4.7248+107.03%0.5995✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.101-8.59%4.5148+96.43%0.5398✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.1467-9.59%4.7547+100.25%0.5643✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.0129-7.87%4.8289+121.01%0.6478✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05841.9002-7.69%4.4421+115.80%0.6003✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.8491-7.80%3.7914+89.05%0.5141✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.8805-7.49%3.52+73.16%0.4174✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.8717-7.21%3.5664+76.80%0.4124✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06691.9211-7.05%3.5283+70.70%0.3881✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.1128-7.34%3.5537+55.87%0.3381✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.0226-7.14%3.4962+60.52%0.3625✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.1173-7.88%3.7108+61.45%0.3517✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12861.9738-7.27%3.4518+62.16%0.3657✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14312.0011-6.63%3.2837+53.22%0.3327✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06261.9283-6.51%3.3999+64.84%0.3810✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.9058-6.20%3.5721+75.80%0.4573✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1622.0308-6.07%3.1894+47.52%0.3066✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.1595-6.13%3.1267+35.92%0.2306✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.1981-6.28%2.6682+13.77%0.1174✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1792.0395-6.40%2.6037+19.49%0.1992✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.0652-6.54%2.3588+6.74%0.1329✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.1153-6.25%2.33+3.26%0.1003✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.1457-6.27%2.2771-0.53%0.0730✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.144-6.21%2.262-1.05%0.0636✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.2448-7.11%2.235-7.51%0.0174✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.3688-8.64%2.2713-12.40%0.0228✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.1102-8.42%2.3356+1.36%0.0891✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.3945-9.02%2.4181-8.12%0.0118✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.3462-8.97%2.3824-7.56%0.0140✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.4253-9.83%2.3035-14.36%0.0591✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.1988-8.25%2.2822-4.77%0.0201✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.1329-8.46%2.2984-1.35%0.0463✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.2293-9.29%2.3744-3.38%0.0534✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.3043-10.58%2.1849-15.21%0.0594✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.2172-9.80%2.0584-16.26%0.0792✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2012.004-8.95%2.0055-8.88%0.0032✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11361.9226-9.04%2.0328-3.82%0.0459✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.8659-9.81%2.0172-2.50%0.0650✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.8499-10.69%2.0669-0.21%0.0804✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.6831-8.97%2.28+23.31%0.2477✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.6852-9.41%2.1781+17.08%0.2231✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.5784-8.63%2.2984+33.05%0.3353✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.5678-8.83%2.1286+23.78%0.2719✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.6401-10.02%2.1431+17.57%0.2196✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.465-8.96%2.0626+28.18%0.3021✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.5224-10.23%2.0319+19.82%0.2623✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.3759-8.56%2.162+43.68%0.4255✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.4607-9.24%2.3005+42.95%0.4327✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.4269-8.98%2.3453+49.61%0.4643✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.4144-9.14%2.179+39.98%0.4225✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.407-8.97%2.2098+42.97%0.4388✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.4605-9.39%2.2564+39.99%0.4142✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.5363-10.71%2.2892+33.04%0.4042✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.551-10.53%2.2859+31.87%0.4058✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.5117-10.53%2.4166+43.03%0.4854✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.5067-10.67%2.5928+53.72%0.5499✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.4621-10.40%2.3042+41.20%0.4779✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.3836-10.00%2.6319+71.19%0.6410✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.4-10.15%2.5774+65.42%0.6082✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.2717-8.62%2.6896+93.27%0.7261✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.4248-10.00%2.3965+51.38%0.5071✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.3332-9.58%2.33+58.02%0.5660✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.2971-9.51%2.4575+71.44%0.6388✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.3061-8.71%2.5769+80.11%0.6492✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.365-9.51%2.458+62.95%0.5618✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3144-9.55%2.201+51.47%0.5238✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.552-13.07%2.1136+18.38%0.3267✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.3967-12.92%2.0689+28.99%0.4706✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.1962-10.99%2.0712+54.13%0.7932✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.2274-10.83%1.849+34.33%0.7381✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.2122-11.45%1.8603+35.89%0.7053✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.1189-11.14%1.7274+37.19%0.7167✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.0614-9.45%1.7196+46.70%0.7587✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0354-8.68%1.8228+60.77%0.8606✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.0786-8.84%1.6091+35.99%0.7284✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.2282-10.97%1.6959+22.92%0.6120✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.1519-10.79%1.5047+16.53%0.5165✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.111-9.49%1.6094+31.11%0.5857✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.0809-9.21%1.5676+31.67%0.5816✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.238-13.18%1.5567+9.16%0.4342✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.1302-11.45%1.5456+21.09%0.5318✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.022-10.47%1.6118+41.20%0.6713✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.891428-6.25%1.7207+80.95%0.8575✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.82446-4.52%1.7335+100.76%0.9352✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.837025-4.86%1.6896+92.04%0.8932✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.819151-4.53%1.6867+96.59%0.9371✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.874553-4.44%1.6319+78.31%0.8884✗1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.852355-4.98%1.5373+71.39%0.8588✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.8881-4.15%1.5581+68.16%0.8457✗1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999750.959841-3.99%1.3916+39.19%0.7082✗1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.0164-3.82%1.5831+49.80%0.7831✗1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05421.0079-4.40%1.4745+39.87%0.6741✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0246-5.21%1.4334+32.60%0.6173✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.954734-3.63%1.4307+44.42%0.7292✗1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.935205-1.95%1.5084+58.14%0.8354✗1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.942601-2.51%1.4531+50.29%0.6799✗1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.882088-2.31%1.7854+97.74%0.9221✗0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.892707-3.19%1.6039+73.94%0.7509✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.880006-3.08%1.3438+48.00%0.5231✗1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.878308-2.79%1.3765+52.35%0.5116✗1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.861282-2.54%1.369+54.91%0.4982✗1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.912795-3.76%1.2591+32.75%0.3547✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.869895-2.92%1.1722+30.81%0.3404✗1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.84401-2.26%1.1338+31.30%0.3408✗1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.893289-2.52%1.1832+29.12%0.3233✗1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.897926-3.41%1.3796+48.41%0.4355✗1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.910476-3.71%1.2913+36.57%0.3570✗1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.89055-3.66%1.2275+32.79%0.3461✗1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.848435-3.50%1.1906+35.42%0.3818✗1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.850657-5.27%1.426+58.80%0.4978✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.846713-5.83%1.2764+41.96%0.3851✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.836125-6.13%1.1415+28.15%0.2639✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.911141-6.92%0.9509-2.86%0.0238✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04880.977683-6.78%0.86345-17.67%0.1290✓1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04590.96492-7.74%0.8798-15.88%0.1383✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04190.962778-7.59%0.858-17.65%0.1809✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02570.945881-7.79%0.9152-10.78%0.1393✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.0387-9.14%0.897-21.54%0.2219✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09260.992518-9.16%0.92655-15.20%0.2237✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.0822-10.27%0.99975-17.11%0.2113✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.0141-10.80%1.0568-7.04%0.0987✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.929623-8.37%1.0542+3.91%0.0087✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.918472-8.08%1.081+8.18%0.0238✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07630.969759-9.90%0.99065-7.96%0.1013✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.929668-9.28%0.95385-6.92%0.1670✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.914489-9.28%0.96685-4.09%0.1269✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.89208-9.63%0.9029-8.53%0.1846✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.901881-8.84%0.9221-6.80%0.1614✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.86447-8.87%0.908-4.28%0.1370✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.816636-8.30%0.9035+1.45%0.0599✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.803431-7.92%0.88375+1.29%0.0348✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.753339-6.68%0.94845+17.48%0.0856✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.77034-6.82%0.89605+8.38%0.0164✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.795517-7.31%0.8635+0.61%0.0948✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.813805-7.78%0.9164+3.84%0.0770✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.828151-9.16%0.9296+1.97%0.0247✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.922956-7.31%0.94555-5.04%0.0701✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0170.965107-5.10%0.9244-9.10%0.1622✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.889904-6.82%0.8792-7.94%0.1247✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.875022-6.82%0.898-4.38%0.1113✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05271.0034-4.68%0.8991-14.59%0.2201✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.0345-2.72%0.89075-16.24%0.2028✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.1578-2.94%0.97885-17.94%0.2617✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.1848-2.21%1.0488-13.44%0.2148✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.2706-1.97%1.0459-19.30%0.2138✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.1536-0.78%1.0419-10.39%0.1011✓1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.0737-1.06%1.0257-5.47%0.0670✓1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.0904-1.57%1.1433+3.20%0.0047✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.0811-1.59%1.0926-0.55%0.0137✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.1291-2.02%1.2061+4.66%0.0237✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.0485-2.17%1.1368+6.07%0.0350✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.0325-2.21%1.0145-3.92%0.0481✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02040.994633-2.52%0.99925-2.07%0.0399✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.990443-2.88%1.0763+5.55%0.0198✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.1057-2.11%1.0248-9.27%0.1036✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.1154-2.04%1.008-11.47%0.1166✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.1836-2.11%0.9871-18.36%0.1204✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.3379-2.45%0.98935-27.86%0.2078✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.2663-2.46%0.9486-26.93%0.2641✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.3209-2.82%0.8906-34.48%0.3820✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.3253-2.46%0.8725-35.78%0.4625✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.3527-2.38%0.8073-41.74%0.5120✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.327-2.20%0.82675-39.07%0.4749✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.3915-2.57%0.85825-39.91%0.4621✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.4148-2.77%0.8825-39.35%0.4425✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.3985-2.19%0.91165-36.24%0.5189✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.3595-2.12%0.9957-28.32%0.4377✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.4081-2.64%1.017-29.69%0.3800✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.4799-2.92%0.955-37.35%0.4925✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.4866-2.96%0.9391-38.70%0.4572✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.4402-2.47%1.0527-28.71%0.3420✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.4135-2.25%1.0634-26.46%0.3442✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.5448-2.76%1.1928-24.92%0.2943✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.6274-3.58%1.2116-28.22%0.3291✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.6193-3.44%1.2961-22.71%0.2947✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.5871-3.68%1.1627-29.44%0.3817✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.5411-3.51%1.0852-32.06%0.4075✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.3979-2.16%1.1078-22.46%0.3057✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.381-2.47%1.0986-22.42%0.2856✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.4285-2.84%1.1523-21.62%0.2396✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.4991-3.21%1.0717-30.80%0.3371✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.5588-3.76%1.0559-34.81%0.3850✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.5664-3.67%1.0204-37.25%0.4168✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.59-4.38%1.0198-38.67%0.3773✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.4171-1.54%1.1295-21.53%0.2957✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.5022-4.64%1.1386-27.72%0.2077✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.4077-4.95%1.2091-18.36%0.0869✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.4999-6.06%1.3715-14.10%0.0104✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.4309-5.51%1.2982-14.27%0.0208✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.4711-6.07%1.3592-13.22%0.0542✓1.00