LIGHTER

? · · gru_s5

token id: #154
symbol: LIGHTER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +7d

assessed

264

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

48.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1228

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0188

actual +0.0181

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	3.422	3.3302	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-20	oos	3.382	3.2896	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	3.095	3.0217	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-18	oos	3.074	3.002	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-17	oos	3.116	3.0457	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	3.176	3.1036	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	3.0255	2.9661	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	3.085	3.0252	-1.94%	3.422	+10.92%	0.1052	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	3.3505	3.2686	-2.44%	3.382	+0.94%	0.0367	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	3.3745	3.2976	-2.28%	3.095	-8.28%	0.0649	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	3.838	3.7302	-2.81%	3.074	-19.91%	0.1669	✓	1.32
2026-10-10	oos	3.637	3.5484	-2.44%	3.116	-14.32%	0.1042	✓	1.38
2026-10-09	oos	3.628	3.5469	-2.24%	3.176	-12.46%	0.0929	✓	1.38
2026-10-08	oos	3.607	3.5326	-2.06%	3.0255	-16.12%	0.1623	✓	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	3.574	3.4992	-2.09%	3.085	-13.68%	0.0961	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	3.818	3.7213	-2.53%	3.3505	-12.24%	0.0638	✓	1.42
2026-10-05	oos	4.019	3.9079	-2.76%	3.3745	-16.04%	0.0782	✓	1.43
2026-10-04	oos	3.665	3.5767	-2.41%	3.838	+4.72%	0.1197	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	3.567	3.5007	-1.86%	3.637	+1.96%	0.0706	✗	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	3.545	3.4893	-1.57%	3.628	+2.34%	0.0741	✗	1.50
2026-10-01	oos	3.806	3.7321	-1.94%	3.607	-5.23%	0.0223	✗	1.49
2026-09-30	oos	3.948	3.8678	-2.03%	3.574	-9.47%	0.0739	✓	1.51
2026-09-29	oos	3.926	3.8463	-2.03%	3.818	-2.75%	0.0407	✓	1.48
2026-09-28	oos	4.445	4.3338	-2.50%	4.019	-9.58%	0.1166	✓	1.52
2026-09-27	oos	4.655	4.5349	-2.58%	3.665	-21.27%	0.2483	✓	1.48
2026-09-26	oos	4.8445	4.7213	-2.54%	3.567	-26.37%	0.2861	✓	1.48
2026-09-25	oos	4.8545	4.7353	-2.46%	3.545	-26.97%	0.2967	✓	1.48
2026-09-24	oos	5.071	4.9467	-2.45%	3.806	-24.95%	0.2703	✓	1.48
2026-09-23	oos	5.309	5.1746	-2.53%	3.948	-25.64%	0.2561	✓	1.48
2026-09-22	oos	5.0675	4.9426	-2.46%	3.926	-22.53%	0.1837	✓	1.55
2026-09-21	oos	4.7405	4.6253	-2.43%	4.445	-6.23%	0.0133	✓	1.44
2026-09-20	oos	4.778	4.6615	-2.44%	4.655	-2.57%	0.0676	✓	1.66
2026-09-19	oos	4.8145	4.699	-2.40%	4.8445	+0.62%	0.0332	✓	1.66
2026-09-18	oos	4.7725	4.6598	-2.36%	4.8545	+1.72%	0.0233	✓	1.65
2026-09-17	oos	4.816	4.7014	-2.38%	5.071	+5.29%	0.1077	✓	1.83
2026-09-16	oos	4.605	4.5004	-2.27%	5.309	+15.29%	0.0213	✓	1.82
2026-09-15	oos	4.0195	3.9601	-1.48%	5.0675	+26.07%	0.0076	✓	1.82
2026-09-14	oos	4.3875	4.2979	-2.04%	4.7405	+8.05%	0.0832	✓	1.77
2026-09-13	oos	4.1115	4.0423	-1.68%	4.778	+16.21%	0.0709	✗	1.74
2026-09-12	oos	4.217	4.1444	-1.72%	4.8145	+14.17%	0.0629	✗	1.74
2026-09-11	oos	4.353	4.2786	-1.71%	4.7725	+9.64%	0.0290	✗	1.73
2026-09-10	oos	4.2905	4.2253	-1.52%	4.816	+12.25%	0.1351	✗	1.74
2026-09-09	oos	4.5275	4.4531	-1.64%	4.605	+1.71%	0.0813	✗	1.73
2026-09-08	oos	4.826	4.7371	-1.84%	4.0195	-16.71%	0.0989	✓	1.76
2026-09-07	oos	4.7225	4.6423	-1.70%	4.3875	-7.09%	0.0355	✓	1.79
2026-09-06	oos	4.516	4.4509	-1.44%	4.1115	-8.96%	0.0005	✓	1.75
2026-09-05	oos	4.754	4.6756	-1.65%	4.217	-11.30%	0.0459	✓	1.75
2026-09-04	oos	4.823	4.7305	-1.92%	4.353	-9.74%	0.0305	✓	1.68
2026-09-03	oos	4.441	4.3787	-1.40%	4.2905	-3.39%	0.0850	✗	1.76
2026-09-02	oos	3.792	3.7509	-1.08%	4.5275	+19.40%	0.1689	✗	1.54
2026-09-01	oos	3.52	3.4869	-0.94%	4.826	+37.10%	0.3038	✗	1.58
2026-08-31	oos	3.565	3.5299	-0.98%	4.7225	+32.47%	0.2817	✗	1.39
2026-08-30	oos	3.531	3.4913	-1.12%	4.516	+27.90%	0.2259	✗	0.93
2026-08-29	oos	3.554	3.5187	-0.99%	4.754	+33.76%	0.2819	✗	0.94
2026-08-28	oos	3.497	3.4589	-1.09%	4.823	+37.92%	0.3106	✗	0.94
2026-08-27	oos	3.711	3.6648	-1.25%	4.441	+19.67%	0.1809	✗	0.91
2026-08-26	oos	3.453	3.4041	-1.42%	3.792	+9.82%	0.1275	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	3.285	3.2322	-1.61%	3.52	+7.15%	0.0980	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	3.401	3.339	-1.82%	3.565	+4.82%	0.0702	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	3.578	3.4968	-2.27%	3.531	-1.31%	0.0106	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	3.187	3.1234	-1.99%	3.554	+11.52%	0.1144	✗	0.97
2026-08-21	oos	3.128	3.0632	-2.07%	3.497	+11.80%	0.1386	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	2.669	2.6142	-2.05%	3.711	+39.04%	0.2712	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	2.602	2.5406	-2.36%	3.453	+32.71%	0.1737	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	2.359	2.2992	-2.53%	3.285	+39.25%	0.1678	✗	0.97
2026-08-17	oos	2.332	2.2725	-2.55%	3.401	+45.84%	0.1974	✗	1.01
2026-08-16	oos	2.276	2.2186	-2.52%	3.578	+57.21%	0.2598	✗	1.03
2026-08-15	oos	2.266	2.2094	-2.50%	3.187	+40.64%	0.1626	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	2.234	2.1789	-2.47%	3.128	+40.02%	0.1396	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	2.271	2.2148	-2.47%	2.669	+17.53%	0.0449	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	2.335	2.2768	-2.49%	2.602	+11.43%	0.0401	✗	1.05
2026-08-11	oos	2.418	2.3562	-2.56%	2.359	-2.44%	0.0174	✓	1.04
2026-08-10	oos	2.383	2.3226	-2.53%	2.332	-2.14%	0.0052	✓	1.05
2026-08-09	oos	2.304	2.2477	-2.44%	2.276	-1.22%	0.0471	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	2.282	2.2271	-2.40%	2.266	-0.70%	0.0499	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	2.2975	2.2425	-2.39%	2.234	-2.76%	0.0288	✗	1.09
2026-08-06	oos	2.371	2.3092	-2.61%	2.271	-4.22%	0.0022	✓	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	2.186	2.1348	-2.34%	2.335	+6.82%	0.1104	✗	1.12
2026-08-04	oos	2.056	2.0119	-2.14%	2.418	+17.61%	0.1926	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	2.0035	1.9642	-1.96%	2.383	+18.94%	0.1858	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	2.038	1.9988	-1.92%	2.304	+13.05%	0.1192	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	2.018	1.9831	-1.73%	2.282	+13.08%	0.1046	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	2.068	2.0314	-1.77%	2.2975	+11.10%	0.0885	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	2.281	2.2349	-2.02%	2.371	+3.95%	0.0661	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	2.179	2.1386	-1.85%	2.186	+0.32%	0.0113	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	2.301	2.2542	-2.03%	2.056	-10.65%	0.0950	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	2.129	2.0908	-1.79%	2.0035	-5.89%	0.0393	✓	0.93
2026-07-26	oos	2.145	2.1074	-1.75%	2.038	-4.99%	0.0073	✓	0.92
2026-07-25	oos	2.064	2.028	-1.75%	2.018	-2.23%	0.0176	✓	0.93
2026-07-24	oos	2.0315	1.9954	-1.78%	2.068	+1.80%	0.0538	✗	0.91
2026-07-23	oos	2.1585	2.1188	-1.84%	2.281	+5.68%	0.0783	✗	0.88
2026-07-22	oos	2.305	2.2631	-1.82%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0094	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	2.344	2.3011	-1.83%	2.301	-1.83%	0.0346	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	2.179	2.1399	-1.79%	2.129	-2.29%	0.0130	✓	0.77
2026-07-19	oos	2.209	2.169	-1.81%	2.145	-2.90%	0.0189	✓	0.77
2026-07-18	oos	2.257	2.2174	-1.75%	2.064	-8.55%	0.0659	✓	0.75
2026-07-17	oos	2.288	2.2462	-1.83%	2.0315	-11.21%	0.1030	✓	0.84
2026-07-16	oos	2.285	2.2431	-1.83%	2.1585	-5.54%	0.0558	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	2.414	2.3652	-2.02%	2.305	-4.52%	0.0431	✓	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	2.595	2.5361	-2.27%	2.344	-9.67%	0.0978	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	2.305	2.2508	-2.35%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0653	✓	0.71
2026-07-12	oos	2.63	2.5681	-2.36%	2.209	-16.01%	0.1598	✓	0.63
2026-07-11	oos	2.577	2.517	-2.33%	2.257	-12.42%	0.1191	✓	0.63
2026-07-10	oos	2.688	2.6225	-2.44%	2.288	-14.88%	0.1339	✓	0.70
2026-07-09	oos	2.396	2.3407	-2.31%	2.285	-4.63%	0.0303	✓	0.66
2026-07-08	oos	2.3285	2.2754	-2.28%	2.414	+3.67%	0.0315	✗	0.71
2026-07-07	oos	2.459	2.4031	-2.27%	2.595	+5.53%	0.0591	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	2.578	2.5139	-2.49%	2.305	-10.59%	0.0678	✓	0.69
2026-07-05	oos	2.462	2.4011	-2.47%	2.63	+6.82%	0.0894	✗	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	2.199	2.1476	-2.34%	2.577	+17.19%	0.1751	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	2.118	2.0686	-2.33%	2.688	+26.91%	0.2452	✗	0.66
2026-07-02	oos	2.067	2.0174	-2.40%	2.396	+15.92%	0.1543	✗	0.65
2026-07-01	oos	2.074	2.0166	-2.77%	2.3285	+12.27%	0.1186	✗	0.68
2026-06-30	oos	1.85	1.8042	-2.47%	2.459	+32.92%	0.2643	✗	0.58
2026-06-29	oos	1.861	1.8156	-2.44%	2.578	+38.53%	0.3150	✗	0.58
2026-06-28	oos	1.731	1.6907	-2.33%	2.462	+42.23%	0.3363	✗	0.59
2026-06-27	oos	1.72	1.6806	-2.29%	2.199	+27.85%	0.2393	✗	0.58
2026-06-26	oos	1.825	1.7799	-2.47%	2.118	+16.05%	0.1500	✗	0.58
2026-06-25	oos	1.609	1.5728	-2.25%	2.067	+28.46%	0.2568	✗	0.56
2026-06-24	oos	1.697	1.655	-2.47%	2.074	+22.22%	0.2350	✗	0.55
2026-06-23	oos	1.504	1.4705	-2.23%	1.85	+23.01%	0.2786	✗	0.72
2026-06-22	oos	1.611	1.5732	-2.35%	1.861	+15.52%	0.2094	✗	0.68
2026-06-21	oos	1.567	1.5312	-2.28%	1.731	+10.47%	0.1635	✗	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	1.558	1.522	-2.31%	1.72	+10.40%	0.1669	✗	0.64
2026-06-19	oos	1.544	1.509	-2.27%	1.825	+18.20%	0.2289	✗	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	1.613	1.576	-2.29%	1.609	-0.25%	0.0573	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	1.72	1.6793	-2.36%	1.697	-1.34%	0.0458	✗	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	1.734	1.6921	-2.42%	1.504	-13.26%	0.0880	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	1.688	1.6468	-2.44%	1.611	-4.56%	0.0028	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	1.684	1.642	-2.49%	1.567	-6.95%	0.0213	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	1.629	1.5888	-2.47%	1.558	-4.36%	0.0174	✓	0.69
2026-06-12	oos	1.537	1.4998	-2.42%	1.544	+0.46%	0.0297	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	1.558	1.5182	-2.55%	1.613	+3.53%	0.0676	✗	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	1.392	1.3614	-2.19%	1.72	+23.56%	0.2073	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	1.584	1.5405	-2.74%	1.734	+9.47%	0.0838	✗	0.56
2026-06-08	oos	1.467	1.4299	-2.53%	1.688	+15.06%	0.1358	✗	0.61
2026-06-07	oos	1.433	1.3967	-2.53%	1.684	+17.52%	0.1640	✗	0.62
2026-06-06	oos	1.425	1.3924	-2.29%	1.629	+14.32%	0.1216	✗	0.62
2026-06-05	oos	1.503	1.461	-2.80%	1.537	+2.26%	0.0241	✓	0.66
2026-06-04	oos	1.466	1.4268	-2.67%	1.558	+6.28%	0.0907	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	1.781	1.7141	-3.76%	1.392	-21.84%	0.1773	✓	0.75
2026-06-02	oos	1.606	1.5466	-3.70%	1.584	-1.37%	0.0984	✗	0.96
2026-06-01	oos	1.336	1.2993	-2.75%	1.467	+9.81%	0.2959	✗	1.42
2026-05-31	oos	1.377	1.3363	-2.96%	1.433	+4.07%	0.2864	✗	1.44
2026-05-30	oos	1.3695	1.3275	-3.07%	1.425	+4.05%	0.3328	✗	1.36
2026-05-29	oos	1.262	1.2224	-3.14%	1.503	+19.10%	0.4544	✗	1.35
2026-05-28	oos	1.174	1.1429	-2.65%	1.466	+24.87%	0.4403	✗	1.35
2026-05-27	oos	1.128	1.1004	-2.45%	1.781	+57.89%	0.6868	✗	1.38
2026-05-26	oos	1.184	1.1541	-2.52%	1.606	+35.64%	0.5070	✗	1.37
2026-05-25	oos	1.384	1.3406	-3.13%	1.336	-3.47%	0.0941	✗	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	1.295	1.2538	-3.19%	1.377	+6.33%	0.1482	✗	1.21
2026-05-23	oos	1.2265	1.1903	-2.95%	1.3695	+11.66%	0.1856	✗	1.19
2026-05-22	oos	1.186	1.1515	-2.91%	1.262	+6.41%	0.1247	✗	1.18
2026-05-21	oos	1.431	1.3734	-4.03%	1.174	-17.96%	0.0992	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	1.278	1.2299	-3.76%	1.128	-11.74%	0.0412	✓	1.09
2026-05-19	oos	1.134	1.0966	-3.30%	1.184	+4.41%	0.0899	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.954	0.92691	-2.84%	1.384	+45.07%	0.3965	✗	1.12
2026-05-17	oos	0.8635	0.844665	-2.18%	1.295	+49.97%	0.4338	✗	1.15
2026-05-16	oos	0.8775	0.858561	-2.16%	1.2265	+39.77%	0.3783	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.857	0.83947	-2.05%	1.186	+38.39%	0.3994	✗	1.15
2026-05-14	oos	0.915	0.895233	-2.16%	1.431	+56.39%	0.5197	✗	1.14
2026-05-13	oos	0.898	0.88026	-1.98%	1.278	+42.32%	0.4007	✗	1.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.9265	0.908004	-2.00%	1.134	+22.40%	0.2787	✗	1.19
2026-05-11	oos	0.9995	0.979252	-2.03%	0.954	-4.55%	0.0445	✗	1.17
2026-05-10	oos	1.059	1.0378	-2.01%	0.8635	-18.46%	0.1133	✓	1.17
2026-05-09	oos	1.053	1.0316	-2.03%	0.8775	-16.67%	0.1238	✓	1.18
2026-05-08	oos	1.077	1.0549	-2.05%	0.857	-20.43%	0.1911	✓	1.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.989	0.970073	-1.91%	0.915	-7.48%	0.0741	✓	1.17
2026-05-06	oos	0.954	0.937681	-1.71%	0.898	-5.87%	0.0102	✓	1.23
2026-05-05	oos	0.966	0.948718	-1.79%	0.9265	-4.09%	0.0182	✓	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.906	0.892193	-1.52%	0.9995	+10.32%	0.0907	✗	0.99
2026-05-03	oos	0.923	0.908415	-1.58%	1.059	+14.73%	0.1078	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.908	0.894265	-1.51%	1.053	+15.97%	0.1382	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.903	0.88968	-1.48%	1.077	+19.27%	0.1660	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.8845	0.870696	-1.56%	0.989	+11.81%	0.0785	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.9475	0.930495	-1.79%	0.954	+0.69%	0.0501	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.897	0.881775	-1.70%	0.966	+7.69%	0.0254	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8635	0.850485	-1.51%	0.906	+4.92%	0.0272	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.913	0.900362	-1.38%	0.923	+1.10%	0.0265	✗	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.93	0.915623	-1.55%	0.908	-2.37%	0.0237	✓	1.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.9475	0.933298	-1.50%	0.903	-4.70%	0.0449	✓	1.20
2026-04-23	oos	0.9245	0.9117	-1.38%	0.8845	-4.33%	0.0003	✓	1.20
2026-04-22	oos	0.8805	0.869403	-1.26%	0.9475	+7.61%	0.1242	✗	1.20
2026-04-21	oos	0.8975	0.885086	-1.38%	0.897	-0.06%	0.0139	✓	1.21
2026-04-20	oos	0.9005	0.887689	-1.42%	0.8635	-4.11%	0.0514	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.89	0.87591	-1.58%	0.913	+2.58%	0.0348	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.976	0.962985	-1.33%	0.93	-4.71%	0.0646	✓	1.19
2026-04-17	oos	1.0495	1.036	-1.29%	0.9475	-9.72%	0.0949	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	1.043	1.028	-1.44%	0.9245	-11.36%	0.1547	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	1.0425	1.0267	-1.52%	0.8805	-15.54%	0.2062	✓	1.19
2026-04-14	oos	1.0235	1.0077	-1.55%	0.8975	-12.31%	0.1502	✓	1.19
2026-04-13	oos	1.1435	1.1244	-1.67%	0.9005	-21.25%	0.2445	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	1.094	1.0735	-1.87%	0.89	-18.65%	0.2385	✓	1.20
2026-04-11	oos	1.206	1.1826	-1.94%	0.976	-19.07%	0.2341	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	1.136	1.1139	-1.95%	1.0495	-7.61%	0.1240	✓	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	1.016	0.999109	-1.66%	1.043	+2.66%	0.0100	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.999	0.982578	-1.64%	1.0425	+4.35%	0.0002	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	1.073	1.0545	-1.72%	1.0235	-4.61%	0.0656	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	1.0245	1.0063	-1.78%	1.1435	+11.62%	0.0380	✗	1.15
2026-04-05	oos	1.0095	0.992154	-1.72%	1.094	+8.37%	0.0689	✗	1.15
2026-04-04	oos	0.986	0.968777	-1.75%	1.206	+22.31%	0.1240	✗	1.15
2026-04-03	oos	0.989	0.970783	-1.84%	1.136	+14.86%	0.0577	✗	1.15
2026-04-02	oos	0.949	0.930908	-1.91%	1.016	+7.06%	0.0062	✓	1.15
2026-04-01	oos	0.889	0.875355	-1.53%	0.999	+12.37%	0.0824	✗	1.16
2026-03-31	oos	0.871	0.858818	-1.40%	1.073	+23.19%	0.1614	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.8075	0.798409	-1.13%	1.0245	+26.87%	0.2136	✗	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.8265	0.817943	-1.04%	1.0095	+22.14%	0.1584	✗	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.8575	0.848299	-1.07%	0.986	+14.99%	0.1337	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.8825	0.872895	-1.09%	0.989	+12.07%	0.1144	✗	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.912	0.901929	-1.10%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0828	✗	1.16
2026-03-25	oos	0.9945	0.983283	-1.13%	0.889	-10.61%	0.0486	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	1.0085	0.997369	-1.10%	0.871	-13.63%	0.0973	✓	1.15
2026-03-23	oos	0.954	0.944536	-0.99%	0.8075	-15.36%	0.0879	✓	1.15
2026-03-22	oos	0.9405	0.932321	-0.87%	0.8265	-12.12%	0.0876	✓	1.17
2026-03-21	oos	1.052	1.0427	-0.88%	0.8575	-18.49%	0.1514	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	1.064	1.0557	-0.78%	0.8825	-17.06%	0.1091	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	1.1945	1.1836	-0.91%	0.912	-23.65%	0.2411	✓	1.18
2026-03-18	oos	1.213	1.2024	-0.87%	0.9945	-18.01%	0.1908	✓	1.18
2026-03-17	oos	1.296	1.2833	-0.98%	1.0085	-22.18%	0.1858	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	1.1645	1.1585	-0.52%	0.954	-18.08%	0.1289	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	1.087	1.0828	-0.39%	0.9405	-13.48%	0.0581	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	1.107	1.1015	-0.50%	1.052	-4.97%	0.0068	✓	1.18
2026-03-13	oos	1.0995	1.093	-0.59%	1.064	-3.23%	0.0194	✓	1.18
2026-03-12	oos	1.1525	1.144	-0.74%	1.1945	+3.64%	0.0536	✗	1.19
2026-03-11	oos	1.0715	1.0632	-0.77%	1.213	+13.21%	0.1145	✗	1.18
2026-03-10	oos	1.055	1.0459	-0.86%	1.296	+22.84%	0.1493	✗	1.18
2026-03-09	oos	1.021	1.0129	-0.79%	1.1645	+14.05%	0.0336	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	1.019	1.0127	-0.62%	1.087	+6.67%	0.0476	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	1.13	1.1212	-0.78%	1.107	-2.04%	0.0806	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	1.14	1.1303	-0.85%	1.0995	-3.55%	0.0759	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	1.2085	1.1973	-0.92%	1.1525	-4.63%	0.0322	✓	1.18
2026-03-04	oos	1.373	1.3571	-1.16%	1.0715	-21.96%	0.1964	✓	1.15
2026-03-03	oos	1.301	1.2886	-0.95%	1.055	-18.91%	0.2275	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	1.357	1.3429	-1.04%	1.021	-24.76%	0.2672	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	1.359	1.3457	-0.98%	1.019	-25.02%	0.2818	✓	1.22
2026-02-28	oos	1.38	1.3653	-1.06%	1.13	-18.12%	0.1945	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	1.358	1.3451	-0.95%	1.14	-16.05%	0.2066	✓	1.22
2026-02-26	oos	1.4295	1.4138	-1.10%	1.2085	-15.46%	0.2167	✓	1.22
2026-02-25	oos	1.456	1.4382	-1.22%	1.373	-5.70%	0.1277	✓	1.22
2026-02-24	oos	1.4305	1.4175	-0.91%	1.301	-9.05%	0.1691	✓	1.29
2026-02-23	oos	1.386	1.3742	-0.85%	1.357	-2.09%	0.0940	✓	1.29
2026-02-22	oos	1.4465	1.4319	-1.01%	1.359	-6.05%	0.0162	✓	1.30
2026-02-21	oos	1.514	1.4972	-1.11%	1.38	-8.85%	0.0625	✓	1.30
2026-02-20	oos	1.532	1.5138	-1.19%	1.358	-11.36%	0.0671	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	1.476	1.4602	-1.07%	1.4295	-3.15%	0.0312	✓	1.30
2026-02-18	oos	1.445	1.4312	-0.96%	1.456	+0.76%	0.0132	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	1.591	1.5726	-1.16%	1.4305	-10.09%	0.0280	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	1.687	1.6649	-1.31%	1.386	-17.84%	0.1020	✓	1.28
2026-02-15	oos	1.68	1.6569	-1.38%	1.4465	-13.90%	0.1137	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	1.645	1.622	-1.40%	1.514	-7.96%	0.0347	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	1.5985	1.5778	-1.30%	1.532	-4.16%	0.0173	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	1.426	1.4134	-0.88%	1.476	+3.51%	0.0318	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	1.418	1.4056	-0.87%	1.445	+1.90%	0.0367	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	1.471	1.4558	-1.03%	1.591	+8.16%	0.1084	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	1.547	1.5287	-1.18%	1.687	+9.05%	0.1164	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	1.62	1.5996	-1.26%	1.68	+3.70%	0.0704	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	1.63	1.6105	-1.20%	1.645	+0.92%	0.0134	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	1.664	1.6402	-1.43%	1.5985	-3.94%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	1.436	1.437	+0.07%	1.426	-0.70%	0.0607	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	1.576	1.554	-1.40%	1.418	-10.03%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	1.482	1.4613	-1.40%	1.471	-0.74%	0.1016	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	1.593	1.5658	-1.71%	1.547	-2.89%	0.1032	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	1.512	1.4908	-1.40%	1.62	+7.14%	0.1731	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	1.564	1.5403	-1.52%	1.63	+4.22%	0.1840	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	1.723	1.6915	-1.83%	1.664	-3.42%	0.1598	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	1.612	1.5847	-1.69%	1.436	-10.92%	0.1986	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	1.99	1.9513	-1.95%	1.576	-20.80%	0.0136	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	1.939	1.9011	-1.95%	1.482	-23.57%	0.0854	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	1.708	1.6774	-1.79%	1.593	-6.73%	0.0633	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	1.5775	1.5511	-1.67%	1.512	-4.15%	0.0929	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	1.806	1.7737	-1.79%	1.564	-13.40%	0.0012	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.