KSKD

Kaskad · Igra · gru_s5

token id: #438
symbol: KSKD
variant: –
chain: Igra
address: 0x16d92794f5b81d2cded0f0958779a410401e6435
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-25
predictions: 426

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

141

of 142 predictions shown

direction hit

46.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0539

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0053

actual -0.0041

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.004919	0.004874	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.004914	0.004881	-0.67%	0.004919	+0.08%	0.0080	✗	-0.16
2026-10-20	oos	0.004922	0.004893	-0.60%	0.004914	-0.16%	0.0065	✗	-0.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.004854	0.004829	-0.52%	0.004922	+1.41%	0.0212	✗	-0.14
2026-10-18	oos	0.00524	0.005195	-0.85%	0.004854	-7.37%	0.0685	✓	-0.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.0054	0.005352	-0.89%	0.00524	-2.97%	0.0192	✓	-0.26
2026-10-16	oos	0.006489	0.006385	-1.62%	0.0054	-16.78%	0.1678	✓	-0.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.007413	0.00719	-3.00%	0.006489	-12.46%	0.1052	✓	-0.34
2026-10-14	oos	0.004916	0.00487	-0.93%	0.007413	+50.79%	0.4228	✗	-0.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.004991	0.004933	-1.15%	0.004916	-1.49%	0.0108	✓	-0.39
2026-10-12	oos	0.005084	0.005028	-1.09%	0.004991	-1.83%	0.0011	✓	-0.39
2026-10-11	oos	0.005203	0.005126	-1.50%	0.005084	-2.31%	0.0193	✓	-0.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.005152	0.005075	-1.51%	0.005203	+0.99%	0.0288	✗	-0.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.005563	0.005434	-2.32%	0.005152	-7.38%	0.0515	✓	-0.40
2026-10-08	oos	0.005154	0.005018	-2.63%	0.005563	+7.95%	0.1072	✗	-0.40
2026-10-07	oos	0.003492	0.003453	-1.12%	0.005154	+47.56%	0.3976	✗	-0.14
2026-10-06	oos	0.003406	0.003372	-1.00%	0.003492	+2.54%	0.0315	✗	-0.14
2026-10-05	oos	0.003381	0.003345	-1.08%	0.003406	+0.74%	0.0179	✗	-0.15
2026-10-04	oos	0.003272	0.003237	-1.09%	0.003381	+3.32%	0.0424	✗	-0.14
2026-10-03	oos	0.003436	0.003388	-1.38%	0.003272	-4.74%	0.0323	✓	-0.12
2026-10-02	oos	0.003394	0.003347	-1.39%	0.003436	+1.22%	0.0265	✗	-0.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.003457	0.003396	-1.77%	0.003394	-1.82%	0.0011	✓	-0.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.00302	0.002978	-1.40%	0.003457	+14.47%	0.1520	✗	-0.18
2026-09-29	oos	0.003004	0.002959	-1.49%	0.00302	+0.53%	0.0201	✗	-0.23
2026-09-28	oos	0.003096	0.003043	-1.73%	0.003004	-2.99%	0.0123	✓	-0.28
2026-09-27	oos	0.003466	0.003383	-2.40%	0.003096	-10.66%	0.0913	✓	-0.24
2026-09-26	oos	0.00388	0.00373	-3.86%	0.003466	-10.67%	0.0734	✓	-0.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.002221	0.00217	-2.31%	0.00388	+74.70%	0.5820	✗	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.001571	0.001554	-1.06%	0.002221	+41.37%	0.3564	✗	-0.13
2026-09-23	oos	0.001353	0.001344	-0.67%	0.001571	+16.11%	0.1562	✗	-0.11
2026-09-22	oos	0.001315	0.001308	-0.56%	0.001353	+2.89%	0.0349	✗	0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.001338	0.00133	-0.56%	0.001315	-1.72%	0.0101	✓	0.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.001392	0.001381	-0.77%	0.001338	-3.88%	0.0622	✓	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.001368	0.001357	-0.78%	0.001392	+1.75%	0.0257	✗	0.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.001328	0.001319	-0.70%	0.001368	+3.01%	0.0347	✗	0.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.0013	0.001291	-0.68%	0.001328	+2.15%	0.0032	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.001252	0.001244	-0.62%	0.0013	+3.83%	0.0427	✗	0.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.00124	0.001231	-0.70%	0.001252	+0.97%	0.0136	✗	0.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.001208	0.001201	-0.62%	0.00124	+2.65%	0.0479	✗	0.46
2026-09-13	oos	0.001204	0.001196	-0.64%	0.001208	+0.33%	0.0018	✓	0.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.001187	0.001181	-0.50%	0.001204	+1.43%	0.0220	✗	0.46
2026-09-11	oos	0.001178	0.001172	-0.48%	0.001187	+0.76%	0.0121	✗	0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.001187	0.00118	-0.60%	0.001178	-0.76%	0.0057	✓	0.47
2026-09-09	oos	0.001169	0.001162	-0.61%	0.001187	+1.54%	0.0327	✗	0.50
2026-09-08	oos	0.001152	0.001145	-0.61%	0.001169	+1.48%	0.0218	✗	0.50
2026-09-07	oos	0.001171	0.001163	-0.72%	0.001152	-1.62%	0.0050	✓	0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.001061	0.001058	-0.25%	0.001171	+10.42%	0.1103	✗	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.001063	0.001061	-0.20%	0.001061	-0.24%	0.0038	✓	0.55
2026-09-04	oos	0.001026	0.001025	-0.06%	0.001063	+3.61%	0.0349	✗	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	0.00103	0.001031	+0.07%	0.001026	-0.39%	0.0072	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	0.001032	0.001033	+0.10%	0.00103	-0.19%	0.0289	✗	0.52
2026-09-01	oos	0.001081	0.001081	+0.03%	0.001032	-4.53%	0.0461	✗	0.53
2026-08-31	oos	0.001086	0.001087	+0.05%	0.001081	-0.46%	0.0004	✓	0.37
2026-08-30	oos	0.001139	0.001139	+0.02%	0.001086	-4.65%	0.0556	✗	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.0012	0.0012	-0.01%	0.001139	-5.08%	0.0468	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.001204	0.001204	-0.02%	0.0012	-0.33%	0.0067	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.001218	0.001218	-0.02%	0.001204	-1.15%	0.0114	✗	0.74
2026-08-26	oos	0.001322	0.001321	-0.11%	0.001218	-7.87%	0.0927	✓	0.76
2026-08-25	oos	0.001371	0.001369	-0.17%	0.001322	-3.57%	0.0397	✓	0.80
2026-08-24	oos	0.001323	0.001321	-0.13%	0.001371	+3.63%	0.0416	✗	0.80
2026-08-23	oos	0.001295	0.001293	-0.13%	0.001323	+2.16%	0.0096	✗	0.82
2026-08-22	oos	0.001334	0.001332	-0.16%	0.001295	-2.92%	0.0352	✓	0.82
2026-08-21	oos	0.001455	0.001451	-0.28%	0.001334	-8.32%	0.0709	✓	0.80
2026-08-20	oos	0.00134	0.001336	-0.29%	0.001455	+8.58%	0.0357	✗	0.70
2026-08-19	oos	0.001375	0.00137	-0.40%	0.00134	-2.55%	0.0620	✓	0.77
2026-08-18	oos	0.001374	0.001368	-0.46%	0.001375	+0.07%	0.0532	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.001366	0.00136	-0.45%	0.001374	+0.59%	0.0077	✗	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	0.001397	0.00139	-0.50%	0.001366	-2.22%	0.0398	✓	0.87
2026-08-15	oos	0.001397	0.00139	-0.49%	0.001397	+0.00%	0.0075	✗	0.87
2026-08-14	oos	0.00143	0.001422	-0.54%	0.001397	-2.31%	0.0185	✓	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.00143	0.001422	-0.54%	0.00143	+0.00%	0.0117	✗	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.001488	0.001478	-0.65%	0.00143	-3.90%	0.0334	✓	0.87
2026-08-11	oos	0.001402	0.001395	-0.53%	0.001488	+6.13%	0.0665	✗	0.87
2026-08-10	oos	0.001393	0.001386	-0.51%	0.001402	+0.65%	0.0168	✗	0.88
2026-08-09	oos	0.001395	0.001388	-0.50%	0.001393	-0.14%	0.0166	✗	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.00139	0.001383	-0.48%	0.001395	+0.36%	0.0093	✗	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.001413	0.001406	-0.52%	0.00139	-1.63%	0.0114	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.001412	0.001405	-0.51%	0.001413	+0.07%	0.0027	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.001415	0.001408	-0.53%	0.001412	-0.21%	0.0078	✗	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.001424	0.001416	-0.56%	0.001415	-0.63%	0.0083	✓	0.88
2026-08-03	oos	0.001425	0.001417	-0.56%	0.001424	-0.07%	0.0031	✓	0.87
2026-08-02	oos	0.001416	0.001408	-0.53%	0.001425	+0.64%	0.0122	✗	0.87
2026-08-01	oos	0.001404	0.001397	-0.49%	0.001416	+0.85%	0.0034	✓	0.86
2026-07-31	oos	0.001401	0.001394	-0.47%	0.001404	+0.21%	0.0077	✗	0.86
2026-07-30	oos	0.001424	0.001417	-0.49%	0.001401	-1.62%	0.0152	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.001476	0.001467	-0.58%	0.001424	-3.52%	0.0417	✓	0.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.001396	0.00139	-0.46%	0.001476	+5.73%	0.0597	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.001373	0.001368	-0.37%	0.001396	+1.68%	0.0182	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.001307	0.001304	-0.25%	0.001373	+5.05%	0.0767	✗	0.98
2026-07-25	oos	0.001325	0.001322	-0.22%	0.001307	-1.36%	0.0272	✓	0.98
2026-07-24	oos	0.00129	0.001289	-0.11%	0.001325	+2.71%	0.0247	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	0.001261	0.001261	-0.02%	0.00129	+2.30%	0.0379	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.001246	0.001246	+0.01%	0.001261	+1.20%	0.0281	✓	1.03
2026-07-21	oos	0.001288	0.001288	-0.02%	0.001246	-3.26%	0.0263	✓	1.03
2026-07-20	oos	0.00157	0.001566	-0.23%	0.001288	-17.96%	0.2197	✓	1.22
2026-07-19	oos	0.001618	0.001615	-0.21%	0.00157	-2.97%	0.0380	✓	1.22
2026-07-18	oos	0.001677	0.001673	-0.22%	0.001618	-3.52%	0.0314	✓	1.22
2026-07-17	oos	0.001787	0.001782	-0.29%	0.001677	-6.16%	0.0783	✓	1.26
2026-07-16	oos	0.001742	0.001738	-0.22%	0.001787	+2.58%	0.0253	✗	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.001788	0.001784	-0.25%	0.001742	-2.57%	0.0050	✓	1.26
2026-07-14	oos	0.001712	0.00171	-0.13%	0.001788	+4.44%	0.0500	✗	1.26
2026-07-13	oos	0.001805	0.001803	-0.11%	0.001712	-5.15%	0.1135	✓	1.44
2026-07-12	oos	0.001932	0.001928	-0.21%	0.001805	-6.57%	0.0323	✓	1.44
2026-07-11	oos	0.002067	0.002061	-0.30%	0.001932	-6.53%	0.0638	✓	1.44
2026-07-10	oos	0.002167	0.002159	-0.39%	0.002067	-4.61%	0.0353	✓	1.44
2026-07-09	oos	0.001999	0.001996	-0.13%	0.002167	+8.40%	0.0617	✗	1.36
2026-07-08	oos	0.00203	0.002029	-0.06%	0.001999	-1.53%	0.0352	✓	1.36
2026-07-07	oos	0.001974	0.001976	+0.10%	0.00203	+2.84%	0.0515	✓	1.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.001988	0.001992	+0.18%	0.001974	-0.70%	0.0063	✓	1.43
2026-07-05	oos	0.0021	0.002105	+0.23%	0.001988	-5.33%	0.0666	✗	1.45
2026-07-04	oos	0.002318	0.002322	+0.18%	0.0021	-9.40%	0.1124	✗	1.50
2026-07-03	oos	0.00231	0.002318	+0.34%	0.002318	+0.35%	0.0133	✗	1.49
2026-07-02	oos	0.002346	0.002357	+0.46%	0.00231	-1.53%	0.0452	✗	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.002523	0.002535	+0.48%	0.002346	-7.02%	0.1191	✗	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.002781	0.002793	+0.43%	0.002523	-9.28%	0.1472	✗	1.88
2026-06-29	oos	0.003049	0.003055	+0.21%	0.002781	-8.79%	0.0429	✗	1.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.002636	0.002657	+0.81%	0.003049	+15.67%	0.1183	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.002773	0.002795	+0.80%	0.002636	-4.94%	0.0457	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.003072	0.003091	+0.61%	0.002773	-9.73%	0.1065	✗	1.71
2026-06-25	oos	0.003242	0.003259	+0.51%	0.003072	-5.24%	0.0677	✗	1.74
2026-06-24	oos	0.003936	0.003939	+0.07%	0.003242	-17.63%	0.1603	✗	1.62
2026-06-23	oos	0.006008	0.005985	-0.39%	0.003936	-34.49%	0.3921	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.006455	0.006423	-0.50%	0.006008	-6.92%	0.0462	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.006542	0.006509	-0.51%	0.006455	-1.33%	0.0195	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.006544	0.00651	-0.52%	0.006542	-0.03%	0.0204	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.006634	0.006598	-0.54%	0.006544	-1.36%	0.0199	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.006546	0.006512	-0.52%	0.006634	+1.34%	0.0091	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.006567	0.006532	-0.53%	0.006546	-0.32%	0.0267	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.006569	0.006534	-0.54%	0.006567	-0.04%	0.0230	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.006596	0.006559	-0.55%	0.006569	-0.40%	0.0115	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.006523	0.006489	-0.53%	0.006596	+1.12%	0.0078	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.006549	0.006515	-0.52%	0.006523	-0.40%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.00655	0.006518	-0.49%	0.006549	-0.02%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.006531	0.0065	-0.47%	0.00655	+0.29%	0.0080	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.006586	0.00656	-0.40%	0.006531	-0.84%	0.0383	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.006576	0.006551	-0.38%	0.006586	+0.15%	0.0092	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.006607	0.00658	-0.41%	0.006576	-0.47%	0.0215	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.006771	0.00674	-0.46%	0.006607	-2.42%	0.0161	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.006585	0.006566	-0.28%	0.006771	+2.82%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.006446	0.006433	-0.20%	0.006585	+2.16%	0.0264	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.006345	0.006328	-0.28%	0.006446	+1.59%	0.0630	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.006925	0.006898	-0.39%	0.006345	-8.38%	0.0799	✓	1.00