KNOTS
KNOTS · Solana · gru_s5
- token id
- #767
- symbol
- KNOTS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 8RVBk8vxLiUHueLUW1f4izFVqN3nWippLhkohKg6EGkS
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
56.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2008
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0064
actual -0.0582
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003417 | 0.003362 | -1.61% | – | pending | – | – | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00358 | 0.003513 | -1.88% | 0.003417 | -4.54% | 0.0151 | ✓ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003164 | 0.00312 | -1.40% | 0.00358 | +13.15% | 0.0823 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.002509 | 0.002504 | -0.21% | 0.003164 | +26.11% | 0.2428 | ✗ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002929 | 0.002907 | -0.77% | 0.002509 | -14.34% | 0.1799 | ✓ | 4.29 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002911 | 0.002894 | -0.60% | 0.002929 | +0.62% | 0.0184 | ✗ | 4.31 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003261 | 0.003227 | -1.05% | 0.002911 | -10.73% | 0.0702 | ✓ | 4.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.003038 | 0.003018 | -0.65% | 0.003261 | +7.34% | 0.0484 | ✗ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002995 | 0.002978 | -0.57% | 0.003038 | +1.42% | 0.1046 | ✗ | 4.55 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003356 | 0.00333 | -0.76% | 0.002995 | -10.74% | 0.1830 | ✓ | 4.67 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0045 | 0.004407 | -2.06% | 0.003356 | -25.41% | 0.1687 | ✓ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.003239 | 0.003216 | -0.70% | 0.0045 | +38.92% | 0.2967 | ✗ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.002974 | 0.002965 | -0.32% | 0.003239 | +8.91% | 0.0841 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.003605 | 0.00358 | -0.68% | 0.002974 | -17.50% | 0.1960 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.003288 | 0.003271 | -0.51% | 0.003605 | +9.64% | 0.1163 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005163 | 0.005058 | -2.03% | 0.003288 | -36.31% | 0.4038 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002456 | 0.002444 | -0.51% | 0.005163 | +110.16% | 0.7502 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.003661 | 0.003634 | -0.74% | 0.002456 | -32.90% | 0.3828 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.002535 | 0.002511 | -0.97% | 0.003661 | +44.39% | 0.3565 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.002868 | 0.002843 | -0.86% | 0.002535 | -11.59% | 0.1174 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.004983 | +0.15% | 0.002868 | -42.35% | 0.5483 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006722 | 0.006724 | +0.03% | 0.004975 | -25.99% | 0.3167 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007297 | 0.007295 | -0.02% | 0.006722 | -7.87% | 0.0808 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006679 | 0.006689 | +0.15% | 0.007297 | +9.24% | 0.0847 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00815 | 0.00815 | -0.00% | 0.006679 | -18.04% | 0.1870 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.011331 | 0.011287 | -0.38% | 0.00815 | -28.07% | 0.3262 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.00964 | 0.009629 | -0.12% | 0.011331 | +17.54% | 0.1589 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01419 | 0.014137 | -0.37% | 0.00964 | -32.06% | 0.3794 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01521 | 0.015148 | -0.41% | 0.01419 | -6.71% | 0.0654 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01505 | 0.014974 | -0.51% | 0.01521 | +1.06% | 0.0370 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02248 | 0.02236 | -0.54% | 0.01505 | -33.05% | 0.3913 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02179 | 0.021658 | -0.60% | 0.02248 | +3.17% | 0.0276 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021875 | 0.021732 | -0.65% | 0.02179 | -0.39% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 1.00 |