KAT

Katana · Base · gru_s5

token id: #157
symbol: KAT
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0xd5390300c5db71f80d46f0fa9983fc72d4d1e3da
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-18
predictions: 627

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

179

of 209 predictions shown

direction hit

88.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1402

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0410

actual -0.1638

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004091	0.003933	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-20	oos	0.00408	0.003922	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.003988	0.003823	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.003837	0.003685	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.004005	0.003845	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-16	oos	0.004156	0.003995	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-15	oos	0.004154	0.003996	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.00421	0.004052	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.004313	0.004165	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-12	oos	0.00438	0.004207	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-11	oos	0.004635	0.004444	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-10	oos	0.004614	0.004414	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-09	oos	0.004588	0.004392	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-08	oos	0.004441	0.004251	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.004618	0.004412	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-06	oos	0.004724	0.004505	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-05	oos	0.004836	0.004612	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.004805	0.004578	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-03	oos	0.004783	0.004551	-4.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-02	oos	0.004798	0.004594	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.004947	0.004739	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.005049	0.004849	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.00486	0.004677	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.004899	0.004725	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.005221	0.005038	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.005144	0.004976	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.005188	0.005034	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-24	oos	0.005001	0.004876	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-23	oos	0.004896	0.004792	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.005103	0.005007	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.004902	0.004828	-1.52%	0.004091	-16.55%	0.1196	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004699	0.004622	-1.63%	0.00408	-13.16%	0.1467	✓	1.01
2026-09-19	oos	0.004719	0.004652	-1.41%	0.003988	-15.49%	0.1616	✓	1.01
2026-09-18	oos	0.004691	0.004622	-1.45%	0.003837	-18.21%	0.2008	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.004315	0.004225	-2.09%	0.004005	-7.20%	0.1169	✓	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.00421	0.00413	-1.91%	0.004156	-1.27%	0.0619	✓	1.01
2026-09-15	oos	0.004137	0.004056	-1.95%	0.004154	+0.41%	0.0612	✓	1.02
2026-09-14	oos	0.004399	0.004341	-1.32%	0.00421	-4.30%	0.0728	✓	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.004472	0.004396	-1.70%	0.004313	-3.58%	0.0986	✓	1.01
2026-09-12	oos	0.00477	0.004689	-1.70%	0.00438	-8.18%	0.1240	✓	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.004781	0.004706	-1.57%	0.004635	-3.03%	0.0932	✓	0.97
2026-09-10	oos	0.004846	0.004757	-1.84%	0.004614	-4.78%	0.1063	✓	0.95
2026-09-09	oos	0.006317	0.006046	-4.28%	0.004588	-27.37%	0.3168	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.004799	0.004758	-0.86%	0.004441	-7.48%	0.1005	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.004647	0.004654	+0.14%	0.004618	-0.65%	0.0476	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.004747	0.004788	+0.87%	0.004724	-0.48%	0.0542	✗	0.65
2026-09-05	oos	0.004658	0.004702	+0.94%	0.004836	+3.82%	0.0175	✗	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.004648	0.00469	+0.91%	0.004805	+3.38%	0.0288	✗	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.004535	0.004625	+1.99%	0.004783	+5.46%	0.0051	✓	0.68
2026-09-02	oos	0.004436	0.004432	-0.09%	0.004798	+8.16%	0.0085	✗	0.80
2026-09-01	oos	0.004487	0.004485	-0.04%	0.004947	+10.25%	0.0231	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.004692	0.004701	+0.20%	0.005049	+7.62%	0.0256	✓	0.74
2026-08-30	oos	0.004442	0.004428	-0.31%	0.00486	+9.41%	0.0325	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.004496	0.004477	-0.43%	0.004899	+8.96%	0.0392	✗	0.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.004483	0.004459	-0.51%	0.005221	+16.48%	0.0935	✗	0.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.004649	0.00468	+0.66%	0.005144	+10.66%	0.0554	✓	0.78
2026-08-26	oos	0.004582	0.004569	-0.30%	0.005188	+13.20%	0.0787	✗	0.78
2026-08-25	oos	0.004442	0.004414	-0.63%	0.005001	+12.58%	0.0683	✗	0.79
2026-08-24	oos	0.004572	0.004539	-0.71%	0.004896	+7.10%	0.0241	✗	0.78
2026-08-23	oos	0.004738	0.004663	-1.58%	0.005103	+7.70%	0.0060	✓	0.81
2026-08-22	oos	0.004697	0.004608	-1.90%	0.004902	+4.38%	0.0329	✓	0.81
2026-08-21	oos	0.004902	0.00483	-1.47%	0.004699	-4.14%	0.0559	✓	0.80
2026-08-20	oos	0.004634	0.004466	-3.63%	0.004719	+1.82%	0.0307	✓	0.80
2026-08-19	oos	0.004476	0.004263	-4.77%	0.004691	+4.79%	0.0326	✓	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.004288	0.00404	-5.80%	0.004315	+0.62%	0.0753	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.004303	0.004047	-5.95%	0.00421	-2.16%	0.1030	✓	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.00443	0.004156	-6.18%	0.004137	-6.61%	0.1713	✓	0.90
2026-08-15	oos	0.004304	0.004046	-6.00%	0.004399	+2.21%	0.1108	✓	0.90
2026-08-14	oos	0.004249	0.004002	-5.81%	0.004472	+5.26%	0.0691	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.00435	0.004094	-5.88%	0.00477	+9.66%	0.0251	✓	0.90
2026-08-12	oos	0.004339	0.004078	-6.02%	0.004781	+10.18%	0.0216	✓	0.92
2026-08-11	oos	0.00446	0.004181	-6.25%	0.004846	+8.65%	0.0219	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0046	0.004306	-6.38%	0.006317	+37.32%	0.1933	✗	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.00473	0.004424	-6.47%	0.004799	+1.47%	0.0990	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.00462	0.00432	-6.49%	0.004647	+0.60%	0.1133	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.0046	0.004297	-6.58%	0.004747	+3.20%	0.1014	✓	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.00454	0.004249	-6.40%	0.004658	+2.60%	0.1138	✓	0.95
2026-08-05	oos	0.004415	0.004152	-5.97%	0.004648	+5.28%	0.0880	✓	0.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00448	0.00421	-6.02%	0.004535	+1.23%	0.1547	✓	0.96
2026-08-03	oos	0.00438	0.004115	-6.04%	0.004436	+1.28%	0.1142	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.0043	0.004047	-5.88%	0.004487	+4.35%	0.0793	✓	0.92
2026-08-01	oos	0.0043	0.004054	-5.72%	0.004692	+9.10%	0.0687	✓	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.00439	0.004153	-5.40%	0.004442	+1.18%	0.1354	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.004425	0.004223	-4.56%	0.004496	+1.60%	0.1237	✓	0.98
2026-07-29	oos	0.00425	0.004064	-4.39%	0.004483	+5.47%	0.0749	✓	0.88
2026-07-28	oos	0.00455	0.004353	-4.34%	0.004649	+2.18%	0.1347	✓	0.88
2026-07-27	oos	0.004485	0.004306	-3.99%	0.004582	+2.17%	0.1275	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.004775	0.00461	-3.45%	0.004442	-6.97%	0.1920	✓	0.84
2026-07-25	oos	0.004795	0.004643	-3.17%	0.004572	-4.66%	0.1950	✓	0.87
2026-07-24	oos	0.0048	0.004657	-2.98%	0.004738	-1.29%	0.1272	✓	0.75
2026-07-23	oos	0.004675	0.004558	-2.51%	0.004697	+0.47%	0.0889	✓	0.70
2026-07-22	oos	0.0048	0.004706	-1.97%	0.004902	+2.13%	0.0496	✓	0.53
2026-07-21	oos	0.004875	0.004801	-1.51%	0.004634	-4.93%	0.0886	✓	0.57
2026-07-20	oos	0.004805	0.004735	-1.46%	0.004476	-6.85%	0.0891	✓	0.54
2026-07-19	oos	0.004695	0.004639	-1.19%	0.004288	-8.66%	0.0786	✓	0.53
2026-07-18	oos	0.004765	0.004719	-0.97%	0.004303	-9.70%	0.0894	✓	0.58
2026-07-17	oos	0.004805	0.004753	-1.07%	0.00443	-7.81%	0.0602	✓	0.62
2026-07-16	oos	0.005075	0.005004	-1.41%	0.004304	-15.19%	0.1432	✓	0.62
2026-07-15	oos	0.0048	0.004756	-0.92%	0.004249	-11.48%	0.0923	✓	0.75
2026-07-14	oos	0.00488	0.004833	-0.96%	0.00435	-10.86%	0.0868	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.004965	0.004896	-1.39%	0.004339	-12.61%	0.1359	✓	0.83
2026-07-12	oos	0.005055	0.004994	-1.21%	0.00446	-11.77%	0.1104	✓	0.84
2026-07-11	oos	0.00542	0.005335	-1.57%	0.0046	-15.13%	0.1501	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.00554	0.005445	-1.72%	0.00473	-14.62%	0.1507	✓	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	0.004945	0.004899	-0.94%	0.00462	-6.57%	0.0814	✓	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.00459	0.004565	-0.54%	0.0046	+0.22%	0.0261	✓	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.00479	0.004759	-0.65%	0.00454	-5.22%	0.0588	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.00505	0.004999	-1.01%	0.004415	-12.57%	0.1315	✓	0.78
2026-07-05	oos	0.005025	0.004974	-1.01%	0.00448	-10.85%	0.1105	✓	0.80
2026-07-04	oos	0.005155	0.005094	-1.18%	0.00438	-15.03%	0.1559	✓	0.81
2026-07-03	oos	0.0051	0.005041	-1.15%	0.0043	-15.69%	0.1707	✓	0.75
2026-07-02	oos	0.005045	0.004989	-1.11%	0.0043	-14.77%	0.1642	✓	0.76
2026-07-01	oos	0.00497	0.004912	-1.17%	0.00439	-11.67%	0.1475	✓	0.75
2026-06-30	oos	0.00485	0.004798	-1.08%	0.004425	-8.76%	0.1603	✓	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.004885	0.004831	-1.11%	0.00425	-13.00%	0.1767	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.004875	0.004817	-1.19%	0.00455	-6.67%	0.1111	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.005075	0.005001	-1.45%	0.004485	-11.63%	0.1543	✓	0.75
2026-06-26	oos	0.00494	0.004876	-1.30%	0.004775	-3.34%	0.0849	✓	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.00484	0.004785	-1.13%	0.004795	-0.93%	0.0534	✓	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.005135	0.005055	-1.56%	0.0048	-6.52%	0.0908	✓	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.005345	0.005238	-2.01%	0.004675	-12.54%	0.1362	✓	0.60
2026-06-22	oos	0.005355	0.005244	-2.07%	0.0048	-10.36%	0.1091	✓	0.63
2026-06-21	oos	0.00541	0.005302	-1.99%	0.004875	-9.89%	0.1166	✓	0.64
2026-06-20	oos	0.00582	0.005639	-3.11%	0.004805	-17.44%	0.1704	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.00569	0.005516	-3.06%	0.004695	-17.49%	0.1724	✓	0.60
2026-06-18	oos	0.00533	0.005177	-2.87%	0.004765	-10.60%	0.1011	✓	0.60
2026-06-17	oos	0.00564	0.005435	-3.63%	0.004805	-14.80%	0.1181	✓	0.60
2026-06-16	oos	0.005695	0.005469	-3.97%	0.005075	-10.89%	0.0560	✓	0.66
2026-06-15	oos	0.005765	0.005524	-4.18%	0.0048	-16.74%	0.1248	✓	0.66
2026-06-14	oos	0.00577	0.005529	-4.18%	0.00488	-15.42%	0.1176	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.00589	0.005647	-4.12%	0.004965	-15.70%	0.1058	✓	0.67
2026-06-12	oos	0.00628	0.00598	-4.77%	0.005055	-19.51%	0.1703	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.00671	0.006327	-5.71%	0.00542	-19.23%	0.1570	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.00679	0.006406	-5.65%	0.00554	-18.41%	0.1766	✓	0.73
2026-06-09	oos	0.00619	0.005916	-4.43%	0.004945	-20.11%	0.1969	✓	0.74
2026-06-08	oos	0.00539	0.005235	-2.88%	0.00459	-14.84%	0.1204	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0052	0.005064	-2.61%	0.00479	-7.88%	0.0560	✓	0.84
2026-06-06	oos	0.00506	0.004969	-1.79%	0.00505	-0.20%	0.0262	✓	0.84
2026-06-05	oos	0.00521	0.005089	-2.32%	0.005025	-3.55%	0.0470	✓	0.84
2026-06-04	oos	0.00584	0.005591	-4.27%	0.005155	-11.73%	0.0727	✓	0.74
2026-06-03	oos	0.00661	0.006253	-5.41%	0.0051	-22.84%	0.1862	✓	0.73
2026-06-02	oos	0.00654	0.006144	-6.05%	0.005045	-22.86%	0.1330	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.00727	0.006706	-7.75%	0.00497	-31.64%	0.1840	✓	0.67
2026-05-31	oos	0.007225	0.006656	-7.87%	0.00485	-32.87%	0.1537	✓	0.71
2026-05-30	oos	0.007175	0.006622	-7.70%	0.004885	-31.92%	0.1588	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.007195	0.00665	-7.57%	0.004875	-32.24%	0.1606	✓	0.71
2026-05-28	oos	0.00722	0.006679	-7.49%	0.005075	-29.71%	0.1288	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.00769	0.007103	-7.63%	0.00494	-35.76%	0.2155	✓	0.69
2026-05-26	oos	0.00782	0.007235	-7.48%	0.00484	-38.11%	0.2364	✓	0.69
2026-05-25	oos	0.008245	0.007636	-7.39%	0.005135	-37.72%	0.2401	✓	0.66
2026-05-24	oos	0.00813	0.007528	-7.40%	0.005345	-34.26%	0.2064	✓	0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.008385	0.007783	-7.18%	0.005355	-36.14%	0.2535	✓	0.66
2026-05-22	oos	0.00805	0.007487	-7.00%	0.00541	-32.80%	0.2118	✓	0.64
2026-05-21	oos	0.00854	0.007958	-6.82%	0.00582	-31.85%	0.2012	✓	0.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.00854	0.007949	-6.92%	0.00569	-33.37%	0.2163	✓	0.59
2026-05-19	oos	0.00841	0.007846	-6.70%	0.00533	-36.62%	0.2696	✓	0.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.00821	0.007673	-6.54%	0.00564	-31.30%	0.2029	✓	0.59
2026-05-17	oos	0.00824	0.007733	-6.16%	0.005695	-30.89%	0.2077	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.00863	0.008142	-5.66%	0.005765	-33.20%	0.2506	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.00865	0.008179	-5.44%	0.00577	-33.29%	0.2411	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.00909	0.008641	-4.93%	0.00589	-35.20%	0.2585	✓	0.54
2026-05-13	oos	0.00904	0.008547	-5.45%	0.00628	-30.53%	0.1877	✓	0.54
2026-05-12	oos	0.00985	0.009341	-5.17%	0.00671	-31.88%	0.2175	✓	0.48
2026-05-11	oos	0.01041	0.009916	-4.74%	0.00679	-34.77%	0.2537	✓	0.44
2026-05-10	oos	0.01024	0.009771	-4.58%	0.00619	-39.55%	0.3279	✓	0.45
2026-05-09	oos	0.01013	0.009611	-5.12%	0.00539	-46.79%	0.4694	✓	0.44
2026-05-08	oos	0.00975	0.009224	-5.39%	0.0052	-46.67%	0.4701	✓	0.44
2026-05-07	oos	0.00939	0.008855	-5.70%	0.00506	-46.11%	0.4403	✓	0.44
2026-05-06	oos	0.00956	0.009046	-5.37%	0.00521	-45.50%	0.4278	✓	0.43
2026-05-05	oos	0.0094	0.008863	-5.71%	0.00584	-37.87%	0.3161	✓	0.43
2026-05-04	oos	0.01	0.009428	-5.72%	0.00661	-33.90%	0.2530	✓	0.46
2026-05-03	oos	0.00941	0.00881	-6.37%	0.00654	-30.50%	0.2294	✓	0.42
2026-05-02	oos	0.00988	0.009284	-6.04%	0.00727	-26.42%	0.2043	✓	0.41
2026-05-01	oos	0.00985	0.009238	-6.21%	0.007225	-26.65%	0.2208	✓	0.41
2026-04-30	oos	0.01068	0.010001	-6.36%	0.007175	-32.82%	0.3144	✓	0.52
2026-04-29	oos	0.01092	0.010221	-6.40%	0.007195	-34.11%	0.3340	✓	0.53
2026-04-28	oos	0.01151	0.010796	-6.20%	0.00722	-37.27%	0.3833	✓	0.51
2026-04-27	oos	0.01139	0.010714	-5.94%	0.00769	-32.48%	0.3105	✓	0.52
2026-04-26	oos	0.01224	0.011559	-5.56%	0.00782	-36.11%	0.3741	✓	0.45
2026-04-25	oos	0.01554	0.014454	-6.99%	0.008245	-46.94%	0.5582	✓	0.61
2026-04-24	oos	0.02469	0.021702	-12.10%	0.00813	-67.07%	0.9780	✓	0.62
2026-04-23	oos	0.01414	0.013048	-7.72%	0.008385	-40.70%	0.4200	✓	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.00937	0.008777	-6.33%	0.00805	-14.09%	0.0469	✓	1.10
2026-04-21	oos	0.009565	0.008933	-6.61%	0.00854	-10.72%	0.0629	✓	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.00957	0.008952	-6.45%	0.00854	-10.76%	0.0714	✓	1.15
2026-04-19	oos	0.00903	0.008404	-6.93%	0.00841	-6.87%	0.0421	✓	1.09
2026-04-18	oos	0.00968	0.009103	-5.96%	0.00821	-15.19%	0.1195	✓	1.03
2026-04-17	oos	0.00971	0.009167	-5.59%	0.00824	-15.14%	0.1109	✓	1.06
2026-04-16	oos	0.00858	0.008	-6.76%	0.00863	+0.58%	0.0374	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.00816	0.007605	-6.81%	0.00865	+6.00%	0.0739	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.00801	0.007468	-6.77%	0.00909	+13.48%	0.1076	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.00829	0.007762	-6.37%	0.00904	+9.05%	0.0894	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.00788	0.007339	-6.87%	0.00985	+25.00%	0.1654	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.00849	0.007966	-6.17%	0.01041	+22.61%	0.1558	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.0086	0.008094	-5.88%	0.01024	+19.07%	0.1164	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.00856	0.008057	-5.88%	0.01013	+18.34%	0.1127	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.00875	0.008242	-5.81%	0.00975	+11.43%	0.0475	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.00898	0.008486	-5.51%	0.00939	+4.57%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.008595	0.008094	-5.83%	0.00956	+11.23%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.00868	0.008198	-5.55%	0.0094	+8.29%	0.0223	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.009165	0.008658	-5.53%	0.01	+9.11%	0.0270	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.0089	0.008425	-5.34%	0.00941	+5.73%	0.0492	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.00903	0.008565	-5.15%	0.00988	+9.41%	0.0195	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.01009	0.009582	-5.03%	0.00985	-2.38%	0.1110	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.01048	0.009961	-4.95%	0.01068	+1.91%	0.0423	✓	1.00
2026-03-30	oos	0.01104	0.010485	-5.02%	0.01092	-1.09%	0.0861	✓	1.00
2026-03-29	oos	0.01139	0.010843	-4.80%	0.01151	+1.05%	0.0862	✓	1.00
2026-03-28	oos	0.01209	0.011536	-4.58%	0.01139	-5.79%	0.1668	✓	1.00
2026-03-27	oos	0.0119	0.011387	-4.31%	0.01224	+2.86%	0.0980	✓	1.00