HBAR

Hedera · Hedera · gru_s5

token id: #35
symbol: HBAR
variant: –
chain: Hedera
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-10-13
predictions: 4,368

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0172

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0022

actual -0.0009

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.08402	0.083821	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-20	oos	0.08427	0.0841	-0.20%	0.08402	-0.30%	0.0019	✓	0.97
2026-10-19	oos	0.082935	0.082811	-0.15%	0.08427	+1.61%	0.0048	✗	0.95
2026-10-18	oos	0.085345	0.085095	-0.29%	0.082935	-2.82%	0.0237	✓	0.96
2026-10-17	oos	0.085225	0.085034	-0.22%	0.085345	+0.14%	0.0037	✓	0.96
2026-10-16	oos	0.083485	0.083316	-0.20%	0.085225	+2.08%	0.0241	✗	0.96
2026-10-15	oos	0.085125	0.084876	-0.29%	0.083485	-1.93%	0.0092	✓	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.0844	0.084153	-0.29%	0.085125	+0.86%	0.0050	✗	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.08691	0.086596	-0.36%	0.0844	-2.89%	0.0079	✓	0.96
2026-10-12	oos	0.08678	0.086447	-0.38%	0.08691	+0.15%	0.0105	✓	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.094055	0.093606	-0.48%	0.08678	-7.73%	0.0551	✓	0.88
2026-10-10	oos	0.09238	0.091972	-0.44%	0.094055	+1.81%	0.0143	✗	0.88
2026-10-09	oos	0.092205	0.091815	-0.42%	0.09238	+0.19%	0.0022	✓	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.090265	0.089885	-0.42%	0.092205	+2.15%	0.0163	✗	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.09284	0.092424	-0.45%	0.090265	-2.77%	0.0069	✓	0.87
2026-10-06	oos	0.09966	0.099158	-0.50%	0.09284	-6.84%	0.0436	✓	0.83
2026-10-05	oos	0.10171	0.101156	-0.54%	0.09966	-2.02%	0.0129	✓	0.83
2026-10-04	oos	0.10403	0.103434	-0.57%	0.10171	-2.23%	0.0094	✓	0.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.10197	0.101404	-0.55%	0.10403	+2.02%	0.0084	✗	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.10239	0.101763	-0.61%	0.10197	-0.41%	0.0003	✓	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.102615	0.102009	-0.59%	0.10239	-0.22%	0.0071	✗	0.84
2026-09-30	oos	0.10472	0.10388	-0.80%	0.102615	-2.01%	0.0254	✓	0.85
2026-09-29	oos	0.102385	0.101599	-0.77%	0.10472	+2.28%	0.0311	✗	0.84
2026-09-28	oos	0.122	0.118993	-2.46%	0.102385	-16.08%	0.1521	✓	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.09585	0.095255	-0.62%	0.122	+27.28%	0.2588	✗	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.093485	0.092998	-0.52%	0.09585	+2.53%	0.0297	✗	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.095675	0.09501	-0.70%	0.093485	-2.29%	0.0198	✓	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	0.09309	0.092506	-0.63%	0.095675	+2.78%	0.0370	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.09049	0.089976	-0.57%	0.09309	+2.87%	0.0339	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.099085	0.09804	-1.05%	0.09049	-8.67%	0.0606	✓	0.92
2026-09-21	oos	0.093385	0.092574	-0.87%	0.099085	+6.10%	0.0722	✗	0.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.086515	0.08586	-0.76%	0.093385	+7.94%	0.0260	✗	0.89
2026-09-19	oos	0.08142	0.081122	-0.37%	0.086515	+6.26%	0.0652	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.07921	0.078987	-0.28%	0.08142	+2.79%	0.0263	✗	0.91
2026-09-17	oos	0.07454	0.074601	+0.08%	0.07921	+6.27%	0.0088	✓	0.89
2026-09-16	oos	0.07388	0.074	+0.16%	0.07454	+0.89%	0.0049	✓	0.89
2026-09-15	oos	0.074235	0.074332	+0.13%	0.07388	-0.48%	0.0126	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077725	0.077733	+0.01%	0.074235	-4.49%	0.0175	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.075075	0.075194	+0.16%	0.077725	+3.53%	0.0182	✓	0.84
2026-09-12	oos	0.074695	0.074885	+0.25%	0.075075	+0.51%	0.0076	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.0744	0.074641	+0.32%	0.074695	+0.40%	0.0001	✓	0.86
2026-09-10	oos	0.07476	0.075014	+0.34%	0.0744	-0.48%	0.0157	✗	0.86
2026-09-09	oos	0.076535	0.076831	+0.39%	0.07476	-2.32%	0.0079	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.07905	0.079329	+0.35%	0.076535	-3.18%	0.0341	✗	0.85
2026-09-07	oos	0.081845	0.082043	+0.24%	0.07905	-3.41%	0.0303	✗	0.84
2026-09-06	oos	0.08161	0.081878	+0.33%	0.081845	+0.29%	0.0130	✓	0.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.08021	0.080464	+0.32%	0.08161	+1.75%	0.0087	✓	0.85
2026-09-04	oos	0.0784	0.078641	+0.31%	0.08021	+2.31%	0.0181	✓	0.85
2026-09-03	oos	0.07927	0.079544	+0.35%	0.0784	-1.10%	0.0025	✓	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.07456	0.074677	+0.16%	0.07927	+6.32%	0.0183	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.07405	0.074163	+0.15%	0.07456	+0.69%	0.0063	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.07363	0.073778	+0.20%	0.07405	+0.57%	0.0159	✓	0.82
2026-08-30	oos	0.07347	0.073546	+0.10%	0.07363	+0.22%	0.0083	✗	0.83
2026-08-29	oos	0.07552	0.075564	+0.06%	0.07347	-2.71%	0.0220	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.0761	0.076052	-0.06%	0.07552	-0.76%	0.0112	✓	0.83
2026-08-27	oos	0.07877	0.078674	-0.12%	0.0761	-3.39%	0.0079	✓	0.82
2026-08-26	oos	0.07861	0.078389	-0.28%	0.07877	+0.20%	0.0080	✓	0.82
2026-08-25	oos	0.07776	0.077394	-0.47%	0.07861	+1.09%	0.0105	✗	0.80
2026-08-24	oos	0.0793	0.078835	-0.59%	0.07776	-1.94%	0.0091	✓	0.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.07982	0.079295	-0.66%	0.0793	-0.65%	0.0127	✓	0.80
2026-08-22	oos	0.07742	0.076815	-0.78%	0.07982	+3.10%	0.0314	✗	0.80
2026-08-21	oos	0.0798	0.079073	-0.91%	0.07742	-2.98%	0.0082	✓	0.79
2026-08-20	oos	0.07345	0.07306	-0.53%	0.0798	+8.65%	0.0367	✗	0.73
2026-08-19	oos	0.07058	0.07026	-0.45%	0.07345	+4.07%	0.0063	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.06734	0.067156	-0.27%	0.07058	+4.81%	0.0009	✓	0.73
2026-08-17	oos	0.06593	0.065764	-0.25%	0.06734	+2.14%	0.0214	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.0646	0.064465	-0.21%	0.06593	+2.06%	0.0037	✗	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.06543	0.065294	-0.21%	0.0646	-1.27%	0.0086	✓	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.06584	0.065684	-0.24%	0.06543	-0.62%	0.0044	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.06547	0.06533	-0.21%	0.06584	+0.57%	0.0130	✗	0.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.066	0.065865	-0.20%	0.06547	-0.80%	0.0062	✓	0.73
2026-08-11	oos	0.06638	0.066216	-0.25%	0.066	-0.57%	0.0019	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0676	0.067446	-0.23%	0.06638	-1.80%	0.0116	✓	0.73
2026-08-09	oos	0.06858	0.068422	-0.23%	0.0676	-1.43%	0.0013	✓	0.74
2026-08-08	oos	0.06894	0.068775	-0.24%	0.06858	-0.52%	0.0022	✓	0.74
2026-08-07	oos	0.06804	0.06789	-0.22%	0.06894	+1.32%	0.0152	✗	0.76
2026-08-06	oos	0.06817	0.068018	-0.22%	0.06804	-0.19%	0.0071	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.06901	0.068854	-0.23%	0.06817	-1.22%	0.0060	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.06935	0.069178	-0.25%	0.06901	-0.49%	0.0091	✓	0.77
2026-08-03	oos	0.07046	0.070255	-0.29%	0.06935	-1.58%	0.0202	✓	0.79
2026-08-02	oos	0.07002	0.069813	-0.30%	0.07046	+0.63%	0.0096	✗	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.069	0.068796	-0.30%	0.07002	+1.48%	0.0085	✗	0.79
2026-07-31	oos	0.06876	0.06856	-0.29%	0.069	+0.35%	0.0072	✗	0.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.06834	0.068162	-0.26%	0.06876	+0.61%	0.0329	✗	0.81
2026-07-29	oos	0.06781	0.067635	-0.26%	0.06834	+0.78%	0.0000	✓	0.81
2026-07-28	oos	0.06835	0.068163	-0.27%	0.06781	-0.79%	0.0058	✓	0.80
2026-07-27	oos	0.06807	0.067874	-0.29%	0.06835	+0.41%	0.0051	✗	0.80
2026-07-26	oos	0.0702	0.069978	-0.32%	0.06807	-3.03%	0.0075	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.07093	0.07071	-0.31%	0.0702	-1.03%	0.0203	✓	0.81
2026-07-24	oos	0.07076	0.07054	-0.31%	0.07093	+0.24%	0.0028	✓	0.81
2026-07-23	oos	0.07107	0.070851	-0.31%	0.07076	-0.44%	0.0109	✗	0.82
2026-07-22	oos	0.07286	0.072589	-0.37%	0.07107	-2.46%	0.0084	✓	0.81
2026-07-21	oos	0.06953	0.06936	-0.25%	0.07286	+4.79%	0.0545	✗	0.82
2026-07-20	oos	0.06671	0.066591	-0.18%	0.06953	+4.23%	0.0277	✗	0.79
2026-07-19	oos	0.06652	0.066416	-0.16%	0.06671	+0.29%	0.0020	✓	0.79
2026-07-18	oos	0.06708	0.066984	-0.14%	0.06652	-0.83%	0.0055	✓	0.79
2026-07-17	oos	0.06588	0.06579	-0.14%	0.06708	+1.82%	0.0084	✗	0.79
2026-07-16	oos	0.06654	0.066451	-0.13%	0.06588	-0.99%	0.0102	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.06793	0.067833	-0.14%	0.06654	-2.05%	0.0079	✓	0.77
2026-07-14	oos	0.0673	0.067216	-0.12%	0.06793	+0.94%	0.0138	✗	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.06654	0.066451	-0.13%	0.0673	+1.14%	0.0224	✓	0.82
2026-07-12	oos	0.067575	0.067491	-0.12%	0.06654	-1.53%	0.0051	✗	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.06844	0.068331	-0.16%	0.067575	-1.26%	0.0107	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.07032	0.070231	-0.13%	0.06844	-2.67%	0.0213	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.0699	0.069808	-0.13%	0.07032	+0.60%	0.0049	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.06931	0.069224	-0.12%	0.0699	+0.85%	0.0024	✓	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.07088	0.070786	-0.13%	0.06931	-2.22%	0.0071	✓	0.81
2026-07-06	oos	0.07332	0.073191	-0.18%	0.07088	-3.33%	0.0235	✓	0.81
2026-07-05	oos	0.07629	0.076126	-0.22%	0.07332	-3.89%	0.0430	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.0772	0.076955	-0.32%	0.07629	-1.18%	0.0153	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.07332	0.073156	-0.22%	0.0772	+5.29%	0.0464	✗	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.07084	0.070722	-0.17%	0.07332	+3.50%	0.0226	✗	0.80
2026-07-01	oos	0.07187	0.071745	-0.17%	0.07084	-1.43%	0.0335	✓	0.83
2026-06-30	oos	0.06945	0.069379	-0.10%	0.07187	+3.48%	0.0155	✗	0.81
2026-06-29	oos	0.07158	0.071496	-0.12%	0.06945	-2.98%	0.0067	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.07092	0.070861	-0.08%	0.07158	+0.93%	0.0009	✗	0.80
2026-06-27	oos	0.07182	0.071755	-0.09%	0.07092	-1.25%	0.0056	✓	0.79
2026-06-26	oos	0.07083	0.070781	-0.07%	0.07182	+1.40%	0.0155	✗	0.79
2026-06-25	oos	0.07336	0.073294	-0.09%	0.07083	-3.45%	0.0382	✓	0.80
2026-06-24	oos	0.07553	0.075444	-0.11%	0.07336	-2.87%	0.0113	✓	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.07748	0.077382	-0.13%	0.07553	-2.52%	0.0029	✓	0.79
2026-06-22	oos	0.07865	0.078543	-0.14%	0.07748	-1.49%	0.0027	✗	0.79
2026-06-21	oos	0.078	0.077899	-0.13%	0.07865	+0.83%	0.0007	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.08062	0.080491	-0.16%	0.078	-3.25%	0.0191	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.08045	0.080316	-0.17%	0.08062	+0.21%	0.0056	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.08019	0.080049	-0.18%	0.08045	+0.32%	0.0026	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.08123	0.081061	-0.21%	0.08019	-1.28%	0.0091	✗	0.81
2026-06-16	oos	0.08058	0.080421	-0.20%	0.08123	+0.81%	0.0249	✗	0.83
2026-06-15	oos	0.08254	0.082316	-0.27%	0.08058	-2.37%	0.0131	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.08116	0.080983	-0.22%	0.08254	+1.70%	0.0120	✗	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.07828	0.078142	-0.18%	0.08116	+3.68%	0.0218	✗	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.07784	0.077705	-0.17%	0.07828	+0.57%	0.0042	✓	0.83
2026-06-11	oos	0.07916	0.079005	-0.20%	0.07784	-1.67%	0.0145	✓	0.83
2026-06-10	oos	0.07762	0.077505	-0.15%	0.07916	+1.98%	0.0072	✓	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.07947	0.079337	-0.17%	0.07762	-2.33%	0.0186	✓	0.84
2026-06-08	oos	0.0813	0.081125	-0.22%	0.07947	-2.25%	0.0022	✓	0.83
2026-06-07	oos	0.08194	0.081751	-0.23%	0.0813	-0.78%	0.0024	✓	0.83
2026-06-06	oos	0.07967	0.07954	-0.16%	0.08194	+2.85%	0.0021	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.08035	0.080193	-0.20%	0.07967	-0.85%	0.0041	✓	0.81
2026-06-04	oos	0.08372	0.083492	-0.27%	0.08035	-4.03%	0.0026	✓	0.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.08512	0.084908	-0.25%	0.08372	-1.64%	0.0112	✓	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.0868	0.086509	-0.34%	0.08512	-1.94%	0.0159	✗	0.80
2026-06-01	oos	0.09223	0.09175	-0.52%	0.0868	-5.89%	0.0029	✓	0.78
2026-05-31	oos	0.09647	0.095853	-0.64%	0.09223	-4.40%	0.0148	✓	0.76
2026-05-30	oos	0.09499	0.094151	-0.88%	0.09647	+1.56%	0.0263	✗	0.74
2026-05-29	oos	0.09908	0.098136	-0.95%	0.09499	-4.13%	0.0367	✓	0.75
2026-05-28	oos	0.09089	0.09022	-0.74%	0.09908	+9.01%	0.0952	✗	0.75
2026-05-27	oos	0.08554	0.085305	-0.27%	0.09089	+6.25%	0.0718	✗	0.78
2026-05-26	oos	0.08645	0.086207	-0.28%	0.08554	-1.05%	0.0079	✗	0.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.08805	0.087807	-0.28%	0.08645	-1.82%	0.0005	✓	0.81
2026-05-24	oos	0.08834	0.088104	-0.27%	0.08805	-0.33%	0.0035	✓	0.81
2026-05-23	oos	0.08959	0.089316	-0.31%	0.08834	-1.40%	0.0144	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.08782	0.08759	-0.26%	0.08959	+2.02%	0.0098	✗	0.80
2026-05-21	oos	0.08984	0.089572	-0.30%	0.08782	-2.25%	0.0024	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.08876	0.088543	-0.24%	0.08984	+1.22%	0.0138	✗	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.08848	0.088286	-0.22%	0.08876	+0.32%	0.0020	✓	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.09016	0.089937	-0.25%	0.08848	-1.86%	0.0145	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.09007	0.089879	-0.21%	0.09016	+0.10%	0.0079	✗	0.80
2026-05-16	oos	0.09122	0.09103	-0.21%	0.09007	-1.26%	0.0034	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.09283	0.092611	-0.24%	0.09122	-1.73%	0.0054	✓	0.81
2026-05-14	oos	0.09498	0.094731	-0.26%	0.09283	-2.26%	0.0004	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.09338	0.093178	-0.22%	0.09498	+1.71%	0.0003	✓	0.84
2026-05-12	oos	0.09385	0.093665	-0.20%	0.09338	-0.50%	0.0093	✗	0.83
2026-05-11	oos	0.09691	0.096677	-0.24%	0.09385	-3.16%	0.0172	✓	0.82
2026-05-10	oos	0.09753	0.097229	-0.31%	0.09691	-0.64%	0.0014	✓	0.82
2026-05-09	oos	0.09287	0.092686	-0.20%	0.09753	+5.02%	0.0357	✗	0.80
2026-05-08	oos	0.09267	0.092507	-0.18%	0.09287	+0.22%	0.0007	✓	0.80
2026-05-07	oos	0.09009	0.089962	-0.14%	0.09267	+2.86%	0.0278	✗	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.09137	0.091226	-0.16%	0.09009	-1.40%	0.0040	✗	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.09029	0.090153	-0.15%	0.09137	+1.20%	0.0074	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.08774	0.08761	-0.15%	0.09029	+2.91%	0.0182	✗	0.91
2026-05-03	oos	0.08771	0.087594	-0.13%	0.08774	+0.03%	0.0131	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.08857	0.088448	-0.14%	0.08771	-0.97%	0.0069	✓	0.91
2026-05-01	oos	0.08818	0.088058	-0.14%	0.08857	+0.44%	0.0005	✓	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.08731	0.087176	-0.15%	0.08818	+1.00%	0.0116	✓	0.92
2026-04-29	oos	0.08864	0.08848	-0.18%	0.08731	-1.50%	0.0201	✓	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.08891	0.088762	-0.17%	0.08864	-0.30%	0.0055	✗	0.93
2026-04-27	oos	0.08971	0.089555	-0.17%	0.08891	-0.89%	0.0055	✗	0.93
2026-04-26	oos	0.09231	0.092154	-0.17%	0.08971	-2.82%	0.0113	✓	0.93
2026-04-25	oos	0.09126	0.091095	-0.18%	0.09231	+1.15%	0.0010	✓	0.93
2026-04-24	oos	0.091	0.090823	-0.19%	0.09126	+0.29%	0.0025	✗	0.94
2026-04-23	oos	0.09082	0.090663	-0.17%	0.091	+0.20%	0.0136	✗	0.94
2026-04-22	oos	0.09086	0.090677	-0.20%	0.09082	-0.04%	0.0007	✓	0.94
2026-04-21	oos	0.09038	0.090189	-0.21%	0.09086	+0.53%	0.0154	✓	0.95
2026-04-20	oos	0.08976	0.089549	-0.23%	0.09038	+0.69%	0.0032	✗	0.95
2026-04-19	oos	0.08727	0.087088	-0.21%	0.08976	+2.85%	0.0043	✗	0.95
2026-04-18	oos	0.08882	0.088635	-0.21%	0.08727	-1.75%	0.0088	✗	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.09078	0.090527	-0.28%	0.08882	-2.16%	0.0020	✓	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.09076	0.090444	-0.35%	0.09078	+0.02%	0.0208	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.08713	0.08695	-0.21%	0.09076	+4.17%	0.0387	✗	0.96
2026-04-14	oos	0.08511	0.084947	-0.19%	0.08713	+2.37%	0.0169	✗	0.96
2026-04-13	oos	0.08783	0.087621	-0.24%	0.08511	-3.10%	0.0256	✓	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.08519	0.085005	-0.22%	0.08783	+3.10%	0.0173	✓	0.98
2026-04-11	oos	0.08836	0.088173	-0.21%	0.08519	-3.59%	0.0026	✓	0.98
2026-04-10	oos	0.08955	0.089337	-0.24%	0.08836	-1.33%	0.0122	✓	0.98
2026-04-09	oos	0.08935	0.089124	-0.25%	0.08955	+0.22%	0.0115	✓	0.98
2026-04-08	oos	0.08901	0.088747	-0.30%	0.08935	+0.38%	0.0030	✓	0.98
2026-04-07	oos	0.09183	0.091544	-0.31%	0.08901	-3.07%	0.0168	✓	0.98
2026-04-06	oos	0.08742	0.087171	-0.29%	0.09183	+5.04%	0.0094	✗	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.08802	0.087777	-0.28%	0.08742	-0.68%	0.0019	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.08748	0.087252	-0.26%	0.08802	+0.62%	0.0163	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.08772	0.087484	-0.27%	0.08748	-0.27%	0.0050	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.088	0.087762	-0.27%	0.08772	-0.32%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.08845	0.088212	-0.27%	0.088	-0.51%	0.0158	✗	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.08758	0.087349	-0.26%	0.08845	+0.99%	0.0142	✗	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.08721	0.087028	-0.21%	0.08758	+0.42%	0.0164	✓	1.03
2026-03-29	oos	0.088	0.087841	-0.18%	0.08721	-0.90%	0.0193	✓	1.03
2026-03-28	oos	0.08978	0.089629	-0.17%	0.088	-1.98%	0.0127	✓	1.03
2026-03-27	oos	0.08907	0.088945	-0.14%	0.08978	+0.80%	0.0099	✗	1.03
2026-03-26	oos	0.09107	0.090964	-0.12%	0.08907	-2.20%	0.0161	✗	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.09467	0.094555	-0.12%	0.09107	-3.80%	0.0000	✓	1.04
2026-03-24	oos	0.09416	0.094044	-0.12%	0.09467	+0.54%	0.0046	✓	1.04
2026-03-23	oos	0.09318	0.093071	-0.12%	0.09416	+1.05%	0.0166	✗	1.04
2026-03-22	oos	0.08921	0.089146	-0.07%	0.09318	+4.45%	0.0013	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.09155	0.091497	-0.06%	0.08921	-2.56%	0.0090	✓	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.09318	0.093122	-0.06%	0.09155	-1.75%	0.0067	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.09288	0.092823	-0.06%	0.09318	+0.32%	0.0048	✓	1.04
2026-03-18	oos	0.09579	0.095711	-0.08%	0.09288	-3.04%	0.0102	✓	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.09876	0.098642	-0.12%	0.09579	-3.01%	0.0100	✗	1.06
2026-03-16	oos	0.10029	0.100133	-0.16%	0.09876	-1.53%	0.0002	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09632	0.096236	-0.09%	0.10029	+4.12%	0.0118	✗	1.06
2026-03-14	oos	0.0936	0.093547	-0.06%	0.09632	+2.91%	0.0057	✗	1.06
2026-03-13	oos	0.09514	0.095058	-0.09%	0.0936	-1.62%	0.0198	✓	1.07
2026-03-12	oos	0.09484	0.094778	-0.07%	0.09514	+0.32%	0.0024	✓	1.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.09425	0.094185	-0.07%	0.09484	+0.63%	0.0020	✗	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.09519	0.095108	-0.09%	0.09425	-0.99%	0.0128	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.09436	0.09429	-0.07%	0.09519	+0.88%	0.0142	✓	1.07
2026-03-08	oos	0.09392	0.093862	-0.06%	0.09436	+0.47%	0.0347	✓	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.09582	0.095753	-0.07%	0.09392	-1.98%	0.0019	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.09758	0.097489	-0.09%	0.09582	-1.80%	0.0036	✓	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.09959	0.099472	-0.12%	0.09758	-2.02%	0.0247	✗	1.10
2026-03-04	oos	0.10116	0.100998	-0.16%	0.09959	-1.55%	0.0136	✗	1.10
2026-03-03	oos	0.09697	0.096867	-0.11%	0.10116	+4.32%	0.0264	✓	1.13
2026-03-02	oos	0.09804	0.097929	-0.11%	0.09697	-1.09%	0.0017	✓	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.09696	0.096864	-0.10%	0.09804	+1.11%	0.0410	✓	1.17
2026-02-28	oos	0.1002	0.100062	-0.14%	0.09696	-3.23%	0.0104	✓	1.17
2026-02-27	oos	0.10041	0.100282	-0.13%	0.1002	-0.21%	0.0204	✓	1.17
2026-02-26	oos	0.10265	0.102486	-0.16%	0.10041	-2.18%	0.0082	✗	1.17
2026-02-25	oos	0.10183	0.101645	-0.18%	0.10265	+0.81%	0.0185	✗	1.17
2026-02-24	oos	0.09503	0.094961	-0.07%	0.10183	+7.16%	0.0002	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.09492	0.09485	-0.07%	0.09503	+0.12%	0.0120	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09819	0.098093	-0.10%	0.09492	-3.33%	0.0203	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09977	0.099651	-0.12%	0.09819	-1.58%	0.0089	✓	1.17
2026-02-20	oos	0.09965	0.099517	-0.13%	0.09977	+0.12%	0.0030	✗	1.20
2026-02-19	oos	0.09759	0.097492	-0.10%	0.09965	+2.11%	0.0039	✗	1.20
2026-02-18	oos	0.09907	0.098953	-0.12%	0.09759	-1.49%	0.0239	✓	1.21
2026-02-17	oos	0.10203	0.101864	-0.16%	0.09907	-2.90%	0.0090	✓	1.20
2026-02-16	oos	0.10164	0.101459	-0.18%	0.10203	+0.38%	0.0304	✗	1.21
2026-02-15	oos	0.10028	0.100089	-0.19%	0.10164	+1.36%	0.0142	✗	1.22
2026-02-14	oos	0.10384	0.103501	-0.33%	0.10028	-3.43%	0.0143	✓	1.21
2026-02-13	oos	0.09878	0.09858	-0.20%	0.10384	+5.12%	0.0350	✗	1.20
2026-02-12	oos	0.0931	0.092992	-0.12%	0.09878	+6.10%	0.0142	✗	1.20
2026-02-11	oos	0.08903	0.088975	-0.06%	0.0931	+4.57%	0.0602	✗	1.21
2026-02-10	oos	0.09072	0.090631	-0.10%	0.08903	-1.86%	0.0141	✗	1.22
2026-02-09	oos	0.09207	0.091936	-0.15%	0.09072	-1.47%	0.0095	✗	1.22
2026-02-08	oos	0.09122	0.091086	-0.15%	0.09207	+0.93%	0.0139	✗	1.24
2026-02-07	oos	0.08995	0.089856	-0.10%	0.09122	+1.41%	0.0036	✓	1.26
2026-02-06	oos	0.09122	0.091013	-0.23%	0.08995	-1.39%	0.0112	✗	1.25
2026-02-05	oos	0.07803	0.078337	+0.39%	0.09122	+16.90%	0.0100	✓	1.22
2026-02-04	oos	0.08925	0.089235	-0.02%	0.07803	-12.57%	0.0825	✗	1.44
2026-02-03	oos	0.09058	0.090536	-0.05%	0.08925	-1.47%	0.0389	✗	1.49
2026-02-02	oos	0.09318	0.093056	-0.13%	0.09058	-2.79%	0.0321	✗	1.52
2026-02-01	oos	0.08845	0.088504	+0.06%	0.09318	+5.35%	0.0181	✓	1.46
2026-01-31	oos	0.09286	0.092839	-0.02%	0.08845	-4.75%	0.0147	✓	1.50
2026-01-30	oos	0.09859	0.09844	-0.15%	0.09286	-5.81%	0.0466	✗	1.56
2026-01-29	oos	0.10097	0.100811	-0.16%	0.09859	-2.36%	0.0148	✓	1.56
2026-01-28	oos	0.10696	0.106738	-0.21%	0.10097	-5.60%	0.0301	✗	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.10806	0.107809	-0.23%	0.10696	-1.02%	0.0087	✓	1.60
2026-01-26	oos	0.10647	0.106248	-0.21%	0.10806	+1.49%	0.0018	✓	1.55
2026-01-25	oos	0.10313	0.102959	-0.17%	0.10647	+3.24%	0.0039	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.1083	0.108076	-0.21%	0.10313	-4.77%	0.0029	✓	1.53
2026-01-23	oos	0.10938	0.109122	-0.24%	0.1083	-0.99%	0.0008	✓	1.53
2026-01-22	oos	0.1081	0.107861	-0.22%	0.10938	+1.18%	0.0138	✗	1.53
2026-01-21	oos	0.1092	0.108889	-0.28%	0.1081	-1.01%	0.0090	✓	1.54
2026-01-20	oos	0.10557	0.105355	-0.20%	0.1092	+3.44%	0.0180	✗	1.51
2026-01-19	oos	0.11079	0.110503	-0.26%	0.10557	-4.71%	0.0267	✗	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.11172	0.111468	-0.23%	0.11079	-0.83%	0.0117	✗	1.54
2026-01-17	oos	0.11884	0.118527	-0.26%	0.11172	-5.99%	0.0352	✓	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.11859	0.118281	-0.26%	0.11884	+0.21%	0.0111	✗	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.11779	0.117487	-0.26%	0.11859	+0.68%	0.0107	✗	1.54
2026-01-14	oos	0.12339	0.122975	-0.34%	0.11779	-4.54%	0.0212	✓	1.54
2026-01-13	oos	0.12222	0.121821	-0.33%	0.12339	+0.96%	0.0125	✓	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.11494	0.114628	-0.27%	0.12222	+6.33%	0.0066	✓	1.57
2026-01-11	oos	0.11716	0.116852	-0.26%	0.11494	-1.89%	0.0220	✓	1.57
2026-01-10	oos	0.11767	0.117386	-0.24%	0.11716	-0.43%	0.0106	✓	1.58
2026-01-09	oos	0.12019	0.119845	-0.29%	0.11767	-2.10%	0.0158	✓	1.62
2026-01-08	oos	0.12042	0.120115	-0.25%	0.12019	-0.19%	0.0098	✗	1.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.12358	0.123253	-0.26%	0.12042	-2.56%	0.0184	✓	1.73
2026-01-06	oos	0.12892	0.128469	-0.35%	0.12358	-4.14%	0.0071	✗	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.13169	0.131169	-0.40%	0.12892	-2.10%	0.0146	✓	1.73
2026-01-04	oos	0.12536	0.124942	-0.33%	0.13169	+5.05%	0.0083	✗	1.73
2026-01-03	oos	0.12073	0.120419	-0.26%	0.12536	+3.84%	0.0231	✗	1.74
2026-01-02	oos	0.1216	0.121179	-0.35%	0.12073	-0.72%	0.0160	✓	1.74
2026-01-01	oos	0.11419	0.113932	-0.23%	0.1216	+6.49%	0.0417	✗	1.71
2025-12-31	oos	0.10617	0.106025	-0.14%	0.11419	+7.55%	0.0505	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.11159	0.111423	-0.15%	0.10617	-4.86%	0.0312	✓	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.11273	0.112526	-0.18%	0.11159	-1.01%	0.0327	✓	1.66
2025-12-28	oos	0.11538	0.115186	-0.17%	0.11273	-2.30%	0.0070	✓	1.66
2025-12-27	oos	0.11516	0.114946	-0.19%	0.11538	+0.19%	0.0025	✗	1.65
2025-12-26	oos	0.11157	0.111375	-0.17%	0.11516	+3.22%	0.0239	✗	1.63
2025-12-25	oos	0.10884	0.108703	-0.13%	0.11157	+2.51%	0.0237	✗	1.63
2025-12-24	oos	0.10923	0.109104	-0.12%	0.10884	-0.36%	0.0058	✗	1.64
2025-12-23	oos	0.1104	0.110272	-0.12%	0.10923	-1.06%	0.0128	✓	1.64
2025-12-22	oos	0.11407	0.113881	-0.17%	0.1104	-3.22%	0.0101	✓	1.63
2025-12-21	oos	0.11193	0.111801	-0.12%	0.11407	+1.91%	0.0216	✗	1.63
2025-12-20	oos	0.11374	0.113583	-0.14%	0.11193	-1.59%	0.0205	✓	1.64
2025-12-19	oos	0.1119	0.111727	-0.15%	0.11374	+1.64%	0.0136	✗	1.64
2025-12-18	oos	0.10483	0.104803	-0.03%	0.1119	+6.74%	0.0162	✗	1.62
2025-12-17	oos	0.10992	0.109867	-0.05%	0.10483	-4.63%	0.0328	✓	1.62
2025-12-16	oos	0.1146	0.114508	-0.08%	0.10992	-4.08%	0.0103	✓	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.11416	0.114094	-0.06%	0.1146	+0.39%	0.0224	✓	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.11821	0.118129	-0.07%	0.11416	-3.43%	0.0015	✓	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.12302	0.122901	-0.10%	0.11821	-3.91%	0.0010	✓	1.62
2025-12-12	oos	0.12397	0.123852	-0.10%	0.12302	-0.77%	0.0063	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.12992	0.129749	-0.13%	0.12397	-4.58%	0.0053	✓	1.62
2025-12-10	oos	0.13476	0.134549	-0.16%	0.12992	-3.59%	0.0440	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.13898	0.1387	-0.20%	0.13476	-3.04%	0.0172	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.13455	0.134327	-0.17%	0.13898	+3.29%	0.0022	✓	1.63
2025-12-07	oos	0.13099	0.130823	-0.13%	0.13455	+2.72%	0.0236	✗	1.63
2025-12-06	oos	0.13403	0.133865	-0.12%	0.13099	-2.27%	0.0425	✓	1.65
2025-12-05	oos	0.13395	0.133795	-0.12%	0.13403	+0.06%	0.0032	✗	1.65
2025-12-04	oos	0.13939	0.139182	-0.15%	0.13395	-3.90%	0.0119	✗	1.66
2025-12-03	oos	0.14607	0.145783	-0.20%	0.13939	-4.57%	0.0206	✓	1.65
2025-12-02	oos	0.1447	0.14444	-0.18%	0.14607	+0.95%	0.0276	✓	1.67
2025-12-01	oos	0.13323	0.133146	-0.06%	0.1447	+8.61%	0.0123	✓	1.69
2025-11-30	oos	0.14133	0.14118	-0.11%	0.13323	-5.73%	0.0211	✗	1.71
2025-11-29	oos	0.14323	0.143066	-0.11%	0.14133	-1.33%	0.0036	✓	1.70
2025-11-28	oos	0.14539	0.145187	-0.14%	0.14323	-1.49%	0.0122	✓	1.70
2025-11-27	oos	0.14703	0.146809	-0.15%	0.14539	-1.12%	0.0020	✓	1.70
2025-11-26	oos	0.14787	0.147618	-0.17%	0.14703	-0.57%	0.0197	✓	1.69
2025-11-25	oos	0.1449	0.144702	-0.14%	0.14787	+2.05%	0.0392	✓	1.72
2025-11-24	oos	0.14845	0.14814	-0.21%	0.1449	-2.39%	0.0037	✓	1.72
2025-11-23	oos	0.14788	0.147541	-0.23%	0.14845	+0.39%	0.0229	✓	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.13168	0.131738	+0.04%	0.14788	+12.30%	0.0734	✓	1.70
2025-11-21	oos	0.1307	0.130783	+0.06%	0.13168	+0.75%	0.0145	✓	1.70
2025-11-20	oos	0.13637	0.136413	+0.03%	0.1307	-4.16%	0.0138	✗	1.69
2025-11-19	oos	0.14473	0.144599	-0.09%	0.13637	-5.78%	0.0393	✗	1.77
2025-11-18	oos	0.1506	0.150376	-0.15%	0.14473	-3.90%	0.0105	✓	1.76
2025-11-17	oos	0.1457	0.14558	-0.08%	0.1506	+3.36%	0.0184	✗	1.77
2025-11-16	oos	0.14655	0.14644	-0.08%	0.1457	-0.58%	0.0349	✗	1.79
2025-11-15	oos	0.15474	0.154564	-0.11%	0.14655	-5.29%	0.0277	✓	1.78
2025-11-14	oos	0.15283	0.152698	-0.09%	0.15474	+1.25%	0.0062	✓	1.78
2025-11-13	oos	0.1647	0.164417	-0.17%	0.15283	-7.21%	0.0225	✗	1.81
2025-11-12	oos	0.174	0.173621	-0.22%	0.1647	-5.34%	0.0165	✓	1.80
2025-11-11	oos	0.17766	0.17723	-0.24%	0.174	-2.06%	0.0057	✗	1.80
2025-11-10	oos	0.19386	0.192962	-0.46%	0.17766	-8.36%	0.0329	✓	1.75
2025-11-09	oos	0.17656	0.176108	-0.26%	0.19386	+9.80%	0.0749	✗	1.73
2025-11-08	oos	0.17559	0.175155	-0.25%	0.17656	+0.55%	0.0330	✓	1.76
2025-11-07	oos	0.17696	0.176378	-0.33%	0.17559	-0.77%	0.0122	✗	1.72
2025-11-06	oos	0.16312	0.162877	-0.15%	0.17696	+8.48%	0.0501	✗	1.69
2025-11-05	oos	0.1752	0.174793	-0.23%	0.16312	-6.89%	0.0273	✓	1.66
2025-11-04	oos	0.16856	0.168278	-0.17%	0.1752	+3.94%	0.0010	✓	1.68
2025-11-03	oos	0.17522	0.174893	-0.19%	0.16856	-3.80%	0.0488	✗	1.75
2025-11-02	oos	0.19448	0.193944	-0.28%	0.17522	-9.90%	0.0387	✓	1.71
2025-11-01	oos	0.19622	0.195618	-0.31%	0.19448	-0.89%	0.0134	✓	1.72
2025-10-31	oos	0.20092	0.200145	-0.39%	0.19622	-2.34%	0.0277	✓	1.75
2025-10-30	oos	0.19653	0.195761	-0.39%	0.20092	+2.23%	0.0060	✗	1.75
2025-10-29	oos	0.2011	0.200193	-0.45%	0.19653	-2.27%	0.0093	✗	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.19451	0.19335	-0.60%	0.2011	+3.39%	0.0861	✗	1.81
2025-10-27	oos	0.18484	0.184343	-0.27%	0.19451	+5.23%	0.0728	✗	1.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.17997	0.17956	-0.23%	0.18484	+2.71%	0.0364	✗	1.84
2025-10-25	oos	0.17259	0.172257	-0.19%	0.17997	+4.28%	0.0036	✓	1.86
2025-10-24	oos	0.17084	0.170469	-0.22%	0.17259	+1.02%	0.0019	✓	1.87
2025-10-23	oos	0.16515	0.164876	-0.17%	0.17084	+3.45%	0.0199	✗	1.87
2025-10-22	oos	0.1661	0.165815	-0.17%	0.16515	-0.57%	0.0480	✓	1.89
2025-10-21	oos	0.1705	0.170165	-0.20%	0.1661	-2.58%	0.0106	✓	1.89
2025-10-20	oos	0.17551	0.175093	-0.24%	0.1705	-2.85%	0.0123	✗	1.93
2025-10-19	oos	0.17053	0.170187	-0.20%	0.17551	+2.92%	0.0022	✓	1.91
2025-10-18	oos	0.16598	0.165751	-0.14%	0.17053	+2.74%	0.0025	✗	1.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.16262	0.162409	-0.13%	0.16598	+2.07%	0.0085	✗	1.90
2025-10-16	oos	0.17082	0.170572	-0.14%	0.16262	-4.80%	0.0171	✓	1.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.179	0.178709	-0.16%	0.17082	-4.57%	0.0003	✓	1.91
2025-10-14	oos	0.19031	0.189777	-0.28%	0.179	-5.94%	0.0195	✓	1.93
2025-10-13	oos	0.19446	0.1939	-0.29%	0.19031	-2.13%	0.0188	✗	1.94
2025-10-12	oos	0.18541	0.18506	-0.19%	0.19446	+4.88%	0.0461	✗	1.92
2025-10-11	oos	0.16827	0.168234	-0.02%	0.18541	+10.19%	0.0257	✗	1.88
2025-10-10	oos	0.17768	0.177577	-0.06%	0.16827	-5.30%	0.0149	✓	1.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.21307	0.212652	-0.20%	0.17768	-16.61%	0.0430	✓	1.84
2025-10-08	oos	0.21974	0.219289	-0.21%	0.21307	-3.04%	0.0044	✓	1.83
2025-10-07	oos	0.21828	0.217809	-0.22%	0.21974	+0.67%	0.0214	✓	1.90
2025-10-06	oos	0.23022	0.229505	-0.31%	0.21828	-5.19%	0.0015	✓	1.91
2025-10-05	oos	0.21642	0.215985	-0.20%	0.23022	+6.38%	0.0455	✗	1.90
2025-10-04	oos	0.21715	0.216709	-0.20%	0.21642	-0.34%	0.0177	✓	1.90
2025-10-03	oos	0.22557	0.224973	-0.26%	0.21715	-3.73%	0.0376	✓	1.90
2025-10-02	oos	0.22759	0.226905	-0.30%	0.22557	-0.89%	0.0328	✓	1.92
2025-10-01	oos	0.22445	0.223723	-0.32%	0.22759	+1.40%	0.0148	✓	1.95
2025-09-30	oos	0.21499	0.214392	-0.28%	0.22445	+4.40%	0.0338	✓	2.02
2025-09-29	oos	0.21688	0.216198	-0.31%	0.21499	-0.87%	0.0003	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.21613	0.215449	-0.32%	0.21688	+0.35%	0.0329	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.21279	0.212203	-0.28%	0.21613	+1.57%	0.0294	✓	2.10
2025-09-26	oos	0.21453	0.213851	-0.32%	0.21279	-0.81%	0.0047	✓	2.11
2025-09-25	oos	0.20754	0.206979	-0.27%	0.21453	+3.37%	0.0231	✗	2.10
2025-09-24	oos	0.22124	0.220468	-0.35%	0.20754	-6.19%	0.0223	✗	2.13
2025-09-23	oos	0.21907	0.218329	-0.34%	0.22124	+0.99%	0.0122	✓	2.15
2025-09-22	oos	0.22242	0.221468	-0.43%	0.21907	-1.51%	0.0027	✓	2.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.23427	0.233277	-0.42%	0.22242	-5.06%	0.0006	✓	2.11
2025-09-20	oos	0.24201	0.240853	-0.48%	0.23427	-3.20%	0.0189	✓	2.17
2025-09-19	oos	0.23899	0.237871	-0.47%	0.24201	+1.26%	0.0161	✗	2.18
2025-09-18	oos	0.24624	0.244919	-0.54%	0.23899	-2.94%	0.0023	✓	2.19
2025-09-17	oos	0.24305	0.241696	-0.56%	0.24624	+1.31%	0.0068	✗	2.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.