HANDL

HandlPay · Base · gru_s5

token id: #867
symbol: HANDL
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x3bbcb624cb9a1f73163a886f460f47603e5e4425
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

201

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

51.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0856

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0083

actual +0.0031

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002587	0.002576	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-20	oos	0.002568	0.002558	-0.38%	0.002587	+0.75%	0.0134	✗	0.74
2026-10-19	oos	0.002577	0.002567	-0.39%	0.002568	-0.36%	0.0100	✓	0.77
2026-10-18	oos	0.002627	0.002617	-0.40%	0.002577	-1.91%	0.0135	✓	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.00268	0.002668	-0.46%	0.002627	-1.96%	0.0217	✓	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.002766	0.002751	-0.53%	0.00268	-3.10%	0.0250	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.002896	0.002878	-0.60%	0.002766	-4.48%	0.0328	✓	0.92
2026-10-14	oos	0.002931	0.002912	-0.64%	0.002896	-1.21%	0.0121	✓	0.92
2026-10-13	oos	0.003045	0.003024	-0.71%	0.002931	-3.75%	0.0139	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.00257	0.002557	-0.52%	0.003045	+18.48%	0.1610	✗	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002744	0.002725	-0.66%	0.00257	-6.31%	0.0427	✓	0.68
2026-10-10	oos	0.002932	0.002909	-0.79%	0.002744	-6.43%	0.0660	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.003323	0.003293	-0.93%	0.002932	-11.78%	0.1195	✓	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.003348	0.003315	-0.98%	0.003323	-0.74%	0.0056	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.003766	0.003725	-1.11%	0.003348	-11.10%	0.0917	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.004313	0.004245	-1.57%	0.003766	-12.67%	0.1008	✓	0.70
2026-10-05	oos	0.003204	0.003175	-0.91%	0.004313	+34.62%	0.3084	✗	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.002963	0.002939	-0.82%	0.003204	+8.13%	0.0944	✗	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.002505	0.002488	-0.70%	0.002963	+18.27%	0.1578	✗	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.00233	0.002314	-0.66%	0.002505	+7.52%	0.0768	✗	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.002286	0.002271	-0.65%	0.00233	+1.91%	0.0287	✗	0.80
2026-09-30	oos	0.002259	0.002245	-0.62%	0.002286	+1.20%	0.0061	✓	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.002245	0.002232	-0.59%	0.002259	+0.63%	0.0129	✗	0.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.002244	0.002231	-0.58%	0.002245	+0.02%	0.0046	✓	0.63
2026-09-27	oos	0.002407	0.00239	-0.68%	0.002244	-6.74%	0.0556	✓	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.002653	0.002633	-0.75%	0.002407	-9.28%	0.0902	✓	0.67
2026-09-25	oos	0.002693	0.002672	-0.79%	0.002653	-1.49%	0.0093	✓	0.56
2026-09-24	oos	0.002335	0.002318	-0.72%	0.002693	+15.32%	0.1518	✗	0.58
2026-09-23	oos	0.002356	0.002338	-0.73%	0.002335	-0.87%	0.0014	✓	0.58
2026-09-22	oos	0.002528	0.002509	-0.75%	0.002356	-6.83%	0.0514	✓	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.002459	0.002441	-0.73%	0.002528	+2.81%	0.0369	✗	0.41
2026-09-20	oos	0.002342	0.00233	-0.53%	0.002459	+5.01%	0.0330	✗	0.33
2026-09-19	oos	0.002353	0.002341	-0.53%	0.002342	-0.47%	0.0009	✓	0.34
2026-09-18	oos	0.002306	0.002296	-0.44%	0.002353	+2.04%	0.0231	✗	0.34
2026-09-17	oos	0.002375	0.002364	-0.44%	0.002306	-2.90%	0.0519	✓	0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.002358	0.002348	-0.44%	0.002375	+0.70%	0.0101	✗	0.50
2026-09-15	oos	0.002162	0.002154	-0.38%	0.002358	+9.05%	0.0850	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.002293	0.002286	-0.31%	0.002162	-5.70%	0.0347	✓	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.002153	0.002146	-0.30%	0.002293	+6.52%	0.0596	✗	0.37
2026-09-12	oos	0.002319	0.002313	-0.30%	0.002153	-7.18%	0.0691	✓	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	0.002513	0.002504	-0.37%	0.002319	-7.70%	0.0768	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.002318	0.002311	-0.31%	0.002513	+8.41%	0.0785	✗	0.61
2026-09-09	oos	0.002295	0.002291	-0.17%	0.002318	+1.00%	0.0255	✗	0.61
2026-09-08	oos	0.002464	0.00246	-0.19%	0.002295	-6.87%	0.0678	✓	0.70
2026-09-07	oos	0.00247	0.002465	-0.21%	0.002464	-0.24%	0.0048	✗	0.62
2026-09-06	oos	0.002376	0.002375	-0.06%	0.00247	+3.96%	0.0480	✗	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.002098	0.002095	-0.11%	0.002376	+13.28%	0.1224	✗	0.54
2026-09-04	oos	0.00193	0.001927	-0.14%	0.002098	+8.71%	0.0836	✗	0.65
2026-09-03	oos	0.001971	0.001972	+0.03%	0.00193	-2.12%	0.0090	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.001953	0.001949	-0.23%	0.001971	+0.93%	0.0296	✓	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.002051	0.002046	-0.22%	0.001953	-4.75%	0.0456	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.002147	0.002144	-0.12%	0.002051	-4.48%	0.0328	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.002273	0.002269	-0.15%	0.002147	-5.54%	0.0717	✓	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.002369	0.002366	-0.14%	0.002273	-4.07%	0.0297	✓	1.42
2026-08-28	oos	0.002286	0.002283	-0.14%	0.002369	+3.62%	0.0298	✗	1.42
2026-08-27	oos	0.002201	0.0022	-0.07%	0.002286	+3.86%	0.0842	✗	1.48
2026-08-26	oos	0.002561	0.002557	-0.16%	0.002201	-14.04%	0.1745	✓	1.58
2026-08-25	oos	0.002741	0.002736	-0.21%	0.002561	-6.58%	0.0762	✓	1.59
2026-08-24	oos	0.002813	0.002806	-0.26%	0.002741	-2.56%	0.0139	✓	1.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.002679	0.002674	-0.20%	0.002813	+5.00%	0.0254	✗	1.59
2026-08-22	oos	0.002623	0.002616	-0.26%	0.002679	+2.15%	0.0100	✗	1.59
2026-08-21	oos	0.002321	0.002318	-0.16%	0.002623	+12.98%	0.1506	✗	1.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.00222	0.002212	-0.33%	0.002321	+4.58%	0.0757	✓	1.76
2026-08-19	oos	0.002071	0.002065	-0.27%	0.00222	+7.20%	0.0239	✓	1.84
2026-08-18	oos	0.002001	0.002003	+0.12%	0.002071	+3.48%	0.1127	✗	2.11
2026-08-17	oos	0.002435	0.002427	-0.34%	0.002001	-17.82%	0.1997	✓	2.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.002721	0.002706	-0.54%	0.002435	-10.52%	0.1662	✓	2.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.002724	0.00271	-0.50%	0.002721	-0.10%	0.0108	✗	2.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.002768	0.002755	-0.48%	0.002724	-1.59%	0.0129	✓	2.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.002774	0.002762	-0.44%	0.002768	-0.22%	0.0196	✗	2.44
2026-08-12	oos	0.002908	0.002893	-0.52%	0.002774	-4.61%	0.0425	✓	2.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.002851	0.002839	-0.42%	0.002908	+2.01%	0.0280	✗	2.05
2026-08-10	oos	0.002879	0.002866	-0.46%	0.002851	-0.98%	0.0070	✗	2.05
2026-08-09	oos	0.002784	0.002776	-0.28%	0.002879	+3.40%	0.0665	✗	2.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.003008	0.002991	-0.56%	0.002784	-7.44%	0.0697	✓	2.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002899	0.002888	-0.36%	0.003008	+3.76%	0.0400	✗	1.92
2026-08-06	oos	0.003063	0.003048	-0.48%	0.002899	-5.36%	0.0692	✓	1.96
2026-08-05	oos	0.00352	0.00349	-0.85%	0.003063	-12.98%	0.1203	✓	1.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00322	0.003201	-0.59%	0.00352	+9.30%	0.0780	✗	1.95
2026-08-03	oos	0.003544	0.003517	-0.78%	0.00322	-9.13%	0.1061	✓	1.98
2026-08-02	oos	0.003796	0.003762	-0.89%	0.003544	-6.63%	0.0587	✓	1.99
2026-08-01	oos	0.003897	0.003861	-0.93%	0.003796	-2.60%	0.0404	✓	2.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.004087	0.004045	-1.01%	0.003897	-4.63%	0.0353	✓	2.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.004026	0.003985	-1.02%	0.004087	+1.52%	0.0847	✗	2.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.003978	0.003938	-1.02%	0.004026	+1.19%	0.0030	✓	1.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.00384	0.003803	-0.98%	0.003978	+3.60%	0.0437	✗	1.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.004067	0.004024	-1.06%	0.00384	-5.58%	0.0515	✓	1.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.004159	0.004113	-1.10%	0.004067	-2.20%	0.0422	✗	2.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.004036	0.00399	-1.15%	0.004159	+3.03%	0.0074	✓	2.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.003914	0.003872	-1.05%	0.004036	+3.14%	0.0341	✗	2.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.004071	0.004025	-1.13%	0.003914	-3.87%	0.0053	✓	2.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.004379	0.004329	-1.14%	0.004071	-7.03%	0.0266	✓	2.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.004947	0.004872	-1.53%	0.004379	-11.48%	0.0925	✓	2.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.004109	0.004064	-1.09%	0.004947	+20.39%	0.1577	✗	1.97
2026-07-19	oos	0.004335	0.004284	-1.18%	0.004109	-5.21%	0.0580	✓	1.99
2026-07-18	oos	0.004966	0.004883	-1.68%	0.004335	-12.70%	0.1155	✓	1.92
2026-07-17	oos	0.003998	0.003948	-1.26%	0.004966	+24.21%	0.2033	✗	1.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.003851	0.003809	-1.11%	0.003998	+3.81%	0.0451	✗	1.82
2026-07-15	oos	0.003984	0.003934	-1.25%	0.003851	-3.33%	0.0042	✓	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.003652	0.003613	-1.07%	0.003984	+9.10%	0.1052	✗	1.74
2026-07-13	oos	0.003994	0.003949	-1.13%	0.003652	-8.57%	0.1635	✓	1.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.004789	0.004707	-1.71%	0.003994	-16.59%	0.1204	✓	1.87
2026-07-11	oos	0.004183	0.004118	-1.55%	0.004789	+14.48%	0.1517	✗	1.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.003775	0.003719	-1.50%	0.004183	+10.79%	0.1265	✗	1.61
2026-07-09	oos	0.003099	0.003068	-0.98%	0.003775	+21.83%	0.1846	✗	1.52
2026-07-08	oos	0.002817	0.002801	-0.57%	0.003099	+9.99%	0.0780	✗	1.54
2026-07-07	oos	0.003076	0.003052	-0.78%	0.002817	-8.41%	0.0542	✓	1.49
2026-07-06	oos	0.003946	0.00391	-0.92%	0.003076	-22.05%	0.2247	✓	1.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.004679	0.004633	-0.97%	0.003946	-15.66%	0.1695	✓	1.38
2026-07-04	oos	0.004555	0.004512	-0.95%	0.004679	+2.72%	0.0256	✗	1.38
2026-07-03	oos	0.005829	0.005753	-1.31%	0.004555	-21.85%	0.2465	✓	1.45
2026-07-02	oos	0.006024	0.005948	-1.25%	0.005829	-3.24%	0.0450	✓	1.48
2026-07-01	oos	0.00711	0.006993	-1.64%	0.006024	-15.27%	0.1909	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.007826	0.00766	-2.11%	0.00711	-9.15%	0.1182	✓	1.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.008166	0.007912	-3.11%	0.007826	-4.16%	0.0382	✗	1.78
2026-06-28	oos	0.006209	0.006034	-2.81%	0.008166	+31.51%	0.2836	✗	1.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.004459	0.004378	-1.82%	0.006209	+39.25%	0.3619	✗	1.61
2026-06-26	oos	0.003925	0.003864	-1.56%	0.004459	+13.59%	0.1450	✗	1.61
2026-06-25	oos	0.00388	0.003814	-1.69%	0.003925	+1.18%	0.0207	✗	1.62
2026-06-24	oos	0.004037	0.003934	-2.55%	0.00388	-3.90%	0.0390	✗	2.49
2026-06-23	oos	0.003414	0.003344	-2.06%	0.004037	+18.25%	0.2476	✗	2.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.00327	0.003187	-2.54%	0.003414	+4.39%	0.1149	✗	2.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.003061	0.002991	-2.28%	0.00327	+6.84%	0.0641	✗	2.23
2026-06-20	oos	0.003072	0.002971	-3.28%	0.003061	-0.36%	0.0645	✗	2.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.002581	0.002509	-2.76%	0.003072	+19.05%	0.1768	✗	2.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.002174	0.002126	-2.19%	0.002581	+18.70%	0.1734	✗	2.14
2026-06-17	oos	0.002988	0.002866	-4.09%	0.002174	-27.23%	0.2282	✓	1.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.002667	0.002526	-5.26%	0.002988	+12.03%	0.2041	✗	2.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.001445	0.001396	-3.40%	0.002667	+84.50%	0.6691	✗	2.20
2026-06-14	oos	0.001098	0.001062	-3.29%	0.001445	+31.63%	0.2900	✗	2.12
2026-06-13	oos	0.0007385	0.000728023	-1.42%	0.001098	+48.69%	0.3739	✗	1.89
2026-06-12	oos	0.0006968	0.000687151	-1.38%	0.0007385	+5.98%	0.0460	✗	1.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.0006502	0.000640767	-1.45%	0.0006968	+7.17%	0.0846	✗	1.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.0005672	0.00055997	-1.27%	0.0006502	+14.63%	0.0894	✗	1.77
2026-06-09	oos	0.000395	0.000394108	-0.23%	0.0005672	+43.59%	0.3711	✗	1.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0003471	0.000347535	+0.13%	0.000395	+13.80%	0.1704	✓	1.92
2026-06-07	oos	0.0003432	0.00034391	+0.21%	0.0003471	+1.14%	0.0165	✓	1.92
2026-06-06	oos	0.0002984	0.000300572	+0.73%	0.0003432	+15.01%	0.0614	✓	1.80
2026-06-05	oos	0.00033	0.000332399	+0.73%	0.0002984	-9.58%	0.1025	✗	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.0003641	0.000366369	+0.62%	0.00033	-9.37%	0.0244	✗	1.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.0003851	0.000387812	+0.70%	0.0003641	-5.45%	0.0565	✗	1.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.0003871	0.000390181	+0.80%	0.0003851	-0.52%	0.0643	✓	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.0005712	0.000570268	-0.16%	0.0003871	-32.23%	0.3089	✓	1.16
2026-05-31	oos	0.0006019	0.000600708	-0.20%	0.0005712	-5.10%	0.0140	✓	1.16
2026-05-30	oos	0.0006	0.000599948	-0.01%	0.0006019	+0.32%	0.0063	✗	1.17
2026-05-29	oos	0.0005629	0.000565072	+0.39%	0.0006	+6.59%	0.0537	✓	1.15
2026-05-28	oos	0.000873	0.000865282	-0.88%	0.0005629	-35.52%	0.4278	✓	1.10
2026-05-27	oos	0.000875	0.000872628	-0.27%	0.000873	-0.23%	0.0125	✗	1.11
2026-05-26	oos	0.0009405	0.000937119	-0.36%	0.000875	-6.96%	0.0471	✓	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.000918	0.0009147	-0.36%	0.0009405	+2.45%	0.0487	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.000931	0.000926922	-0.44%	0.000918	-1.40%	0.0137	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.0009455	0.000940753	-0.50%	0.000931	-1.53%	0.0152	✓	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.000992	0.000985824	-0.62%	0.0009455	-4.69%	0.0603	✓	1.17
2026-05-21	oos	0.001069	0.001061	-0.75%	0.000992	-7.20%	0.0365	✓	1.12
2026-05-20	oos	0.000905	0.000900665	-0.48%	0.001069	+18.12%	0.1703	✗	1.12
2026-05-19	oos	0.000854	0.000849873	-0.48%	0.000905	+5.97%	0.0528	✗	1.10
2026-05-18	oos	0.000854	0.000849454	-0.53%	0.000854	+0.00%	0.0079	✗	1.10
2026-05-17	oos	0.000867	0.000862922	-0.47%	0.000854	-1.50%	0.0038	✓	1.10
2026-05-16	oos	0.000918	0.000913456	-0.49%	0.000867	-5.56%	0.0425	✓	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.00116	0.00115	-0.90%	0.000918	-20.86%	0.2138	✓	0.92
2026-05-14	oos	0.0008585	0.00085474	-0.44%	0.00116	+35.12%	0.3425	✗	1.47
2026-05-13	oos	0.000924	0.000919933	-0.44%	0.0008585	-7.09%	0.1044	✓	1.58
2026-05-12	oos	0.000926	0.000922574	-0.37%	0.000924	-0.22%	0.0258	✗	1.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.000965	0.000961242	-0.39%	0.000926	-4.04%	0.0125	✓	1.62
2026-05-10	oos	0.000975	0.00097022	-0.49%	0.000965	-1.03%	0.0040	✓	1.63
2026-05-09	oos	0.001147	0.00114	-0.61%	0.000975	-15.00%	0.1909	✓	1.82
2026-05-08	oos	0.001138	0.00113	-0.68%	0.001147	+0.79%	0.0041	✓	1.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.0009895	0.000983501	-0.61%	0.001138	+15.01%	0.1417	✗	1.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.00103	0.001026	-0.48%	0.0009895	-3.98%	0.0032	✓	1.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.001073	0.001066	-0.64%	0.00103	-3.92%	0.0456	✓	1.84
2026-05-04	oos	0.001025	0.001018	-0.64%	0.001073	+4.63%	0.0279	✗	1.81
2026-05-03	oos	0.001002	0.000995875	-0.61%	0.001025	+2.30%	0.0006	✓	1.80
2026-05-02	oos	0.0009	0.000895348	-0.52%	0.001002	+11.33%	0.1154	✗	1.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.0011	0.001093	-0.63%	0.0009	-18.18%	0.2051	✓	1.88
2026-04-30	oos	0.001102	0.001093	-0.83%	0.0011	-0.18%	0.0417	✓	1.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.001077	0.001067	-0.96%	0.001102	+2.32%	0.0186	✗	1.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.00107	0.001063	-0.68%	0.001077	+0.65%	0.0279	✗	1.95
2026-04-27	oos	0.001478	0.00145	-1.87%	0.00107	-27.60%	0.2820	✓	1.62
2026-04-26	oos	0.001527	0.001491	-2.34%	0.001478	-3.21%	0.0184	✓	1.63
2026-04-25	oos	0.001183	0.001163	-1.71%	0.001527	+29.08%	0.2536	✗	1.44
2026-04-24	oos	0.000974	0.000969812	-0.43%	0.001183	+21.46%	0.1952	✗	1.44
2026-04-23	oos	0.000981	0.000976553	-0.45%	0.000974	-0.71%	0.0079	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.00115	0.001142	-0.66%	0.000981	-14.70%	0.1533	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.001214	0.001204	-0.80%	0.00115	-5.27%	0.0702	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.001189	0.001179	-0.84%	0.001214	+2.10%	0.0229	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.00119	0.001179	-0.92%	0.001189	-0.08%	0.0189	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.001277	0.001265	-0.93%	0.00119	-6.81%	0.0356	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.001192	0.001182	-0.85%	0.001277	+7.13%	0.0952	✗	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.001225	0.001213	-0.96%	0.001192	-2.69%	0.0431	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.001178	0.001167	-0.96%	0.001225	+3.99%	0.0444	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.001206	0.001193	-1.06%	0.001178	-2.32%	0.0217	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.001043	0.001034	-0.86%	0.001206	+15.63%	0.1574	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.001063	0.001054	-0.93%	0.001043	-1.93%	0.0610	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.001047	0.001037	-0.96%	0.001063	+1.58%	0.0577	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.001208	0.001193	-1.21%	0.001047	-13.33%	0.1321	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.001066	0.001055	-0.99%	0.001208	+13.32%	0.1184	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.001055	0.001044	-1.02%	0.001066	+1.04%	0.0106	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.001057	0.001047	-0.99%	0.001055	-0.19%	0.0196	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.001048	0.001038	-0.92%	0.001057	+0.86%	0.0256	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.001042	0.001032	-0.93%	0.001048	+0.58%	0.0172	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.00099	0.000981889	-0.82%	0.001042	+5.25%	0.0343	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.001044	0.001035	-0.85%	0.00099	-5.17%	0.0495	✓	1.00