GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s5
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 228
Track record at +30d
assessed
46
of 76 predictions shown
direction hit
32.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4207
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0728
actual -0.0864
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.24835 | 0.230987 | -6.99% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.24485 | 0.226526 | -7.48% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.235668 | -9.24% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.215187 | -7.63% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.202222 | -6.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.201426 | -6.55% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.203376 | -6.67% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.2134 | -7.10% | – | pending | – | – | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.200402 | -6.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.194671 | -5.80% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.198561 | -6.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.215194 | -7.00% | – | pending | – | – | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.216333 | -7.55% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.207771 | -7.72% | – | pending | – | – | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.208379 | -8.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.205507 | -7.84% | – | pending | – | – | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.209963 | -7.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.207651 | -7.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.206462 | -6.89% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.198872 | -7.89% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.198399 | -8.06% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.192438 | -7.37% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.19182 | -7.51% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.188598 | -7.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.189035 | -8.10% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.186862 | -7.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.188436 | -7.56% | – | pending | – | – | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.192945 | -7.84% | – | pending | – | – | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.189241 | -7.55% | – | pending | – | – | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.179963 | -7.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.182989 | -6.52% | 0.24835 | +26.87% | 0.3077 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.180034 | -6.35% | 0.24485 | +27.36% | 0.3107 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.172435 | -9.86% | 0.25965 | +35.73% | 0.4072 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.174289 | -10.07% | 0.23295 | +20.20% | 0.2894 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.169287 | -10.62% | 0.21595 | +14.02% | 0.2421 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.156165 | -12.61% | 0.21555 | +20.62% | 0.3254 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.146787 | -12.37% | 0.2179 | +30.09% | 0.3982 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.147433 | -12.32% | 0.2297 | +36.60% | 0.4473 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.149881 | -12.09% | 0.2142 | +25.63% | 0.3597 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.149384 | -12.26% | 0.20665 | +21.38% | 0.3299 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.150869 | -12.13% | 0.2119 | +23.41% | 0.3436 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.153634 | -12.18% | 0.2314 | +32.27% | 0.4153 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.148282 | -12.08% | 0.234 | +38.75% | 0.4627 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.142233 | -11.24% | 0.22515 | +40.50% | 0.4593 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.148709 | -11.06% | 0.2283 | +36.54% | 0.4292 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.150995 | -10.50% | 0.223 | +32.19% | 0.3905 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.148171 | -9.38% | 0.2265 | +38.53% | 0.4223 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.14864 | -8.64% | 0.22355 | +37.40% | 0.4057 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.1502 | -7.23% | 0.22175 | +36.97% | 0.3866 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.153147 | -5.58% | 0.2159 | +33.11% | 0.3413 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.149638 | -5.71% | 0.2158 | +35.98% | 0.3692 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.143001 | -4.92% | 0.20775 | +38.13% | 0.3742 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.156909 | -3.91% | 0.2074 | +27.01% | 0.2851 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.16796 | -3.69% | 0.2034 | +16.63% | 0.1974 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.164222 | -3.63% | 0.2057 | +20.72% | 0.2285 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.157618 | -4.42% | 0.2017 | +22.32% | 0.1649 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.164672 | -4.09% | 0.20385 | +18.72% | 0.1631 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.176683 | -3.29% | 0.20935 | +14.59% | 0.1075 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.19256 | -2.15% | 0.2047 | +4.01% | 0.0108 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.201444 | -1.20% | 0.1944 | -4.66% | 0.1017 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.233078 | +0.68% | 0.19575 | -15.44% | 0.2779 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.248896 | +1.10% | 0.19225 | -21.91% | 0.3750 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.293399 | +2.73% | 0.1913 | -33.02% | 0.4632 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.275383 | -1.12% | 0.1938 | -30.41% | 0.4580 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.291573 | -4.15% | 0.1894 | -37.74% | 0.5859 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.273603 | -6.68% | 0.1787 | -39.05% | 0.5918 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.262521 | -6.68% | 0.1675 | -40.46% | 0.6157 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.262508 | -7.18% | 0.16815 | -40.54% | 0.6301 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.271658 | -7.09% | 0.1705 | -41.69% | 0.6813 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.281494 | -7.07% | 0.17025 | -43.79% | 0.7013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.299405 | -7.28% | 0.1717 | -46.83% | 0.7534 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.294967 | -7.07% | 0.17495 | -44.88% | 0.7192 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.2941 | -7.19% | 0.16865 | -46.78% | 0.7423 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.302078 | -7.82% | 0.16025 | -51.10% | 0.8368 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.291089 | -6.43% | 0.1672 | -46.26% | 0.7448 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.278283 | -6.02% | 0.1687 | -43.03% | 0.6981 | ✓ | 1.00 |