GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s5
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 225
Track record at +1d
assessed
74
of 75 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0369
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0058
actual -0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2669 | 0.264564 | -0.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.256438 | -1.24% | 0.2669 | +2.79% | 0.0404 | ✗ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.231016 | -0.83% | 0.25965 | +11.46% | 0.1155 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.214734 | -0.56% | 0.23295 | +7.87% | 0.0817 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.214299 | -0.58% | 0.21595 | +0.19% | 0.0068 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.216645 | -0.58% | 0.21555 | -1.08% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.228211 | -0.65% | 0.2179 | -5.14% | 0.0455 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.213039 | -0.54% | 0.2297 | +7.24% | 0.0747 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.205681 | -0.47% | 0.2142 | +3.65% | 0.0427 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.210919 | -0.46% | 0.20665 | -2.48% | 0.0225 | ✓ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.22998 | -0.61% | 0.2119 | -8.43% | 0.0806 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.232498 | -0.64% | 0.2314 | -1.11% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.223729 | -0.63% | 0.234 | +3.93% | 0.0446 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.22668 | -0.71% | 0.22515 | -1.38% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.221692 | -0.59% | 0.2283 | +2.38% | 0.0308 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.225 | -0.66% | 0.223 | -1.55% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.222108 | -0.65% | 0.2265 | +1.32% | 0.0197 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.220257 | -0.67% | 0.22355 | +0.81% | 0.0155 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.21446 | -0.67% | 0.22175 | +2.71% | 0.0323 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.214149 | -0.77% | 0.2159 | +0.05% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.206241 | -0.73% | 0.2158 | +3.87% | 0.0456 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.205962 | -0.69% | 0.20775 | +0.17% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.202108 | -0.64% | 0.2074 | +1.97% | 0.0259 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.204098 | -0.78% | 0.2034 | -1.12% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.200214 | -0.74% | 0.2057 | +1.98% | 0.0280 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.202243 | -0.79% | 0.2017 | -1.05% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.207689 | -0.79% | 0.20385 | -2.63% | 0.0190 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.2032 | -0.73% | 0.20935 | +2.27% | 0.0301 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.193061 | -0.69% | 0.2047 | +5.30% | 0.0585 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.194449 | -0.66% | 0.1944 | -0.69% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.190982 | -0.66% | 0.19575 | +1.82% | 0.0251 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.189492 | -0.95% | 0.19225 | +0.50% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.191839 | -1.01% | 0.1913 | -1.29% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.187329 | -1.09% | 0.1938 | +2.32% | 0.0335 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.176785 | -1.07% | 0.1894 | +5.99% | 0.0717 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.165939 | -0.93% | 0.1787 | +6.69% | 0.0742 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.166622 | -0.91% | 0.1675 | -0.39% | 0.0056 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.168855 | -0.96% | 0.16815 | -1.38% | 0.0062 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.168696 | -0.91% | 0.1705 | +0.15% | 0.0118 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.170155 | -0.90% | 0.17025 | -0.84% | 0.0001 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.173315 | -0.93% | 0.1717 | -1.86% | 0.0093 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.167158 | -0.88% | 0.17495 | +3.74% | 0.0463 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.159124 | -0.70% | 0.16865 | +5.24% | 0.0581 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.16594 | -0.75% | 0.16025 | -4.16% | 0.0349 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.167275 | -0.84% | 0.1672 | -0.89% | 0.0005 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.162464 | -0.63% | 0.1687 | +3.18% | 0.0382 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.161831 | -0.53% | 0.1635 | +0.49% | 0.0100 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.161227 | -0.42% | 0.1627 | +0.49% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.161675 | -0.32% | 0.1619 | -0.18% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.158435 | -0.17% | 0.1622 | +2.21% | 0.0252 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.150547 | +0.10% | 0.1587 | +5.52% | 0.0527 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.163288 | -0.01% | 0.1504 | -7.90% | 0.0837 | ✓ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.174278 | -0.07% | 0.1633 | -6.36% | 0.0641 | ✓ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.170351 | -0.03% | 0.1744 | +2.35% | 0.0231 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.165065 | +0.10% | 0.1704 | +3.34% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.171846 | +0.08% | 0.1649 | -3.96% | 0.0104 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.182753 | +0.03% | 0.1717 | -6.02% | 0.0781 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.19673 | -0.04% | 0.1827 | -7.16% | 0.0803 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.203835 | -0.03% | 0.1968 | -3.48% | 0.0293 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.231199 | -0.13% | 0.2039 | -11.92% | 0.1416 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.245761 | -0.18% | 0.2315 | -5.97% | 0.0685 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.284879 | -0.25% | 0.2462 | -13.80% | 0.1296 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.277645 | -0.31% | 0.2856 | +2.55% | 0.0420 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.3028 | -0.46% | 0.2785 | -8.45% | 0.1358 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.291638 | -0.53% | 0.3042 | +3.75% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.279876 | -0.51% | 0.2932 | +4.23% | 0.0433 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.281319 | -0.52% | 0.2813 | -0.53% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.290852 | -0.53% | 0.2828 | -3.28% | 0.0252 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.301331 | -0.52% | 0.2924 | -3.47% | 0.0308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.3211 | -0.56% | 0.3029 | -6.19% | 0.0512 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.315744 | -0.52% | 0.3229 | +1.73% | 0.0222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.315142 | -0.55% | 0.3174 | +0.16% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.325252 | -0.75% | 0.3169 | -3.30% | 0.0200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.309527 | -0.51% | 0.3277 | +5.34% | 0.0716 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.294738 | -0.46% | 0.3111 | +5.07% | 0.0550 | ✗ | 1.00 |