FLR

Flare · Flare · gru_s5

token id: #342
symbol: FLR
variant: –
chain: Flare
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-04-14
predictions: 3,822

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

71.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1034

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0348

actual -0.0610

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.006472	0.006123	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-21	oos	0.00647	0.006165	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-20	oos	0.006418	0.006102	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-19	oos	0.006385	0.006052	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-18	oos	0.006418	0.00608	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-17	oos	0.006488	0.006125	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.006633	0.006258	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.006687	0.006317	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.006693	0.006305	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.006851	0.006456	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.006849	0.00642	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-11	oos	0.006991	0.006552	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-10	oos	0.006984	0.006546	-6.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-09	oos	0.007045	0.006597	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-08	oos	0.006806	0.006363	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.006975	0.006526	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-06	oos	0.007272	0.006821	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-05	oos	0.007223	0.006785	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-04	oos	0.007303	0.00686	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-03	oos	0.007178	0.006731	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.007204	0.006778	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.007389	0.006976	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.007366	0.00696	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.00753	0.007131	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-28	oos	0.007162	0.006786	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.007128	0.006774	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.007357	0.006983	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-25	oos	0.007334	0.006988	-4.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-24	oos	0.00718	0.006854	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.00711	0.006804	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.007207	0.006925	-3.91%	0.006472	-10.20%	0.0428	✓	1.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.006935	0.006663	-3.92%	0.00647	-6.71%	0.0027	✓	1.07
2026-09-20	oos	0.00659	0.006319	-4.11%	0.006418	-2.60%	0.0082	✓	1.10
2026-09-19	oos	0.006636	0.006382	-3.83%	0.006385	-3.77%	0.0076	✓	1.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.00663	0.006387	-3.66%	0.006418	-3.20%	0.0103	✓	1.09
2026-09-17	oos	0.00642	0.006199	-3.44%	0.006488	+1.05%	0.0268	✓	1.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.00633	0.006136	-3.06%	0.006633	+4.80%	0.0010	✓	1.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.0063	0.006121	-2.84%	0.006687	+6.14%	0.0049	✓	1.12
2026-09-14	oos	0.00662	0.006456	-2.47%	0.006693	+1.11%	0.0113	✓	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.006403	0.006259	-2.25%	0.006851	+7.00%	0.0026	✓	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.006516	0.006397	-1.83%	0.006849	+5.11%	0.0057	✓	1.11
2026-09-11	oos	0.006377	0.006296	-1.26%	0.006991	+9.62%	0.0151	✗	1.11
2026-09-10	oos	0.006306	0.006243	-1.00%	0.006984	+10.75%	0.0238	✗	1.10
2026-09-09	oos	0.00642	0.006403	-0.27%	0.007045	+9.72%	0.0367	✗	1.11
2026-09-08	oos	0.006536	0.006526	-0.15%	0.006806	+4.13%	0.0052	✓	1.17
2026-09-07	oos	0.006562	0.006571	+0.13%	0.006975	+6.29%	0.0007	✓	1.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.006713	0.006751	+0.56%	0.007272	+8.33%	0.0003	✓	1.18
2026-09-05	oos	0.006718	0.006773	+0.82%	0.007223	+7.52%	0.0198	✗	1.18
2026-09-04	oos	0.006726	0.006803	+1.15%	0.007303	+8.58%	0.0273	✗	1.19
2026-09-03	oos	0.006957	0.007094	+1.97%	0.007178	+3.18%	0.0380	✗	1.19
2026-09-02	oos	0.006749	0.006776	+0.40%	0.007204	+6.74%	0.0479	✗	1.23
2026-09-01	oos	0.006678	0.006738	+0.90%	0.007389	+10.64%	0.0207	✗	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.007054	0.007138	+1.19%	0.007366	+4.43%	0.0393	✗	1.15
2026-08-30	oos	0.00631	0.006402	+1.46%	0.00753	+19.34%	0.0827	✓	1.07
2026-08-29	oos	0.006313	0.00646	+2.31%	0.007162	+13.43%	0.0342	✓	1.07
2026-08-28	oos	0.006346	0.006502	+2.45%	0.007128	+12.32%	0.0048	✓	1.07
2026-08-27	oos	0.006703	0.006969	+3.96%	0.007357	+9.75%	0.0013	✓	1.05
2026-08-26	oos	0.006497	0.006726	+3.52%	0.007334	+12.88%	0.0216	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.006585	0.006783	+3.01%	0.00718	+9.04%	0.0188	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.00693	0.007129	+2.87%	0.00711	+2.60%	0.0716	✗	1.04
2026-08-23	oos	0.007203	0.007324	+1.69%	0.007207	+0.06%	0.1258	✗	1.06
2026-08-22	oos	0.007129	0.007248	+1.67%	0.006935	-2.72%	0.1678	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.007597	0.007753	+2.05%	0.00659	-13.26%	0.1994	✗	1.04
2026-08-20	oos	0.00695	0.006902	-0.69%	0.006636	-4.52%	0.1467	✓	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.006392	0.006238	-2.40%	0.00663	+3.72%	0.0854	✓	0.95
2026-08-18	oos	0.005872	0.005642	-3.92%	0.00642	+9.33%	0.0191	✓	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.00595	0.005714	-3.97%	0.00633	+6.38%	0.0476	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.00591	0.005656	-4.31%	0.0063	+6.60%	0.0613	✓	0.92
2026-08-15	oos	0.00597	0.005715	-4.27%	0.00662	+10.88%	0.0523	✓	0.92
2026-08-14	oos	0.00598	0.005726	-4.24%	0.006403	+7.07%	0.0720	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.00601	0.005753	-4.28%	0.006516	+8.43%	0.0581	✓	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.00602	0.005763	-4.27%	0.006377	+5.93%	0.0776	✓	0.91
2026-08-11	oos	0.00606	0.005802	-4.25%	0.006306	+4.06%	0.0962	✓	0.96
2026-08-10	oos	0.00606	0.005793	-4.40%	0.00642	+5.95%	0.0921	✓	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.00611	0.005835	-4.50%	0.006536	+6.97%	0.0692	✓	0.96
2026-08-08	oos	0.0061	0.005829	-4.44%	0.006562	+7.58%	0.0707	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.00601	0.005743	-4.44%	0.006713	+11.70%	0.0549	✓	0.99
2026-08-06	oos	0.00596	0.005693	-4.48%	0.006718	+12.72%	0.0495	✓	0.99
2026-08-05	oos	0.00599	0.005729	-4.36%	0.006726	+12.29%	0.0483	✓	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.00611	0.00583	-4.58%	0.006957	+13.86%	0.0606	✓	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.0063	0.00599	-4.92%	0.006749	+7.13%	0.0816	✓	1.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00633	0.006016	-4.95%	0.006678	+5.50%	0.0970	✓	1.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.006245	0.005938	-4.92%	0.007054	+12.95%	0.0538	✓	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.00626	0.005957	-4.84%	0.00631	+0.80%	0.1559	✓	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.00629	0.006024	-4.22%	0.006313	+0.37%	0.1485	✓	1.03
2026-07-29	oos	0.006305	0.00604	-4.20%	0.006346	+0.65%	0.1520	✓	1.02
2026-07-28	oos	0.006245	0.005997	-3.97%	0.006703	+7.33%	0.1211	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.006285	0.006039	-3.91%	0.006497	+3.37%	0.1462	✓	1.02
2026-07-26	oos	0.00644	0.006222	-3.39%	0.006585	+2.25%	0.1307	✓	1.02
2026-07-25	oos	0.00642	0.006194	-3.52%	0.00693	+7.94%	0.0997	✓	1.03
2026-07-24	oos	0.0064	0.006186	-3.35%	0.007203	+12.55%	0.0455	✓	1.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.00647	0.006282	-2.90%	0.007129	+10.19%	0.0473	✓	1.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.00665	0.006483	-2.52%	0.007597	+14.24%	0.0142	✓	1.02
2026-07-21	oos	0.006785	0.006625	-2.35%	0.00695	+2.43%	0.0467	✓	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.006445	0.006295	-2.33%	0.006392	-0.82%	0.0432	✓	0.96
2026-07-19	oos	0.00651	0.006351	-2.44%	0.005872	-9.80%	0.0784	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	0.00656	0.006404	-2.37%	0.00595	-9.30%	0.0688	✓	0.96
2026-07-17	oos	0.00654	0.006375	-2.52%	0.00591	-9.63%	0.0596	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	0.006635	0.006462	-2.61%	0.00597	-10.02%	0.0675	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	0.00662	0.006458	-2.45%	0.00598	-9.67%	0.0499	✓	0.99
2026-07-14	oos	0.00664	0.006481	-2.40%	0.00601	-9.49%	0.0513	✓	0.99
2026-07-13	oos	0.00639	0.006227	-2.55%	0.00602	-5.79%	0.0521	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.006465	0.006312	-2.36%	0.00606	-6.26%	0.0375	✓	1.01
2026-07-11	oos	0.006645	0.006476	-2.55%	0.00606	-8.80%	0.0685	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.00666	0.006492	-2.52%	0.00611	-8.26%	0.0718	✓	0.99
2026-07-09	oos	0.006605	0.006435	-2.58%	0.0061	-7.65%	0.0805	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.00657	0.006404	-2.53%	0.00601	-8.52%	0.1053	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.00674	0.006571	-2.51%	0.00596	-11.57%	0.1124	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00689	0.006716	-2.52%	0.00599	-13.06%	0.1238	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.007025	0.006839	-2.65%	0.00611	-13.02%	0.1199	✓	0.97
2026-07-04	oos	0.00706	0.006869	-2.71%	0.0063	-10.76%	0.0923	✓	0.98
2026-07-03	oos	0.00701	0.006812	-2.82%	0.00633	-9.70%	0.0883	✓	0.95
2026-07-02	oos	0.00669	0.006503	-2.80%	0.006245	-6.65%	0.0598	✓	0.94
2026-07-01	oos	0.00643	0.006252	-2.77%	0.00626	-2.64%	0.0418	✓	0.92
2026-06-30	oos	0.00641	0.006228	-2.84%	0.00629	-1.87%	0.0829	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.006575	0.006382	-2.94%	0.006305	-4.11%	0.0676	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.006595	0.006394	-3.04%	0.006245	-5.31%	0.0884	✓	0.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.006665	0.006453	-3.18%	0.006285	-5.70%	0.0821	✓	0.92
2026-06-26	oos	0.0068	0.00657	-3.38%	0.00644	-5.29%	0.0983	✓	0.92
2026-06-25	oos	0.00682	0.00659	-3.37%	0.00642	-5.87%	0.0943	✓	0.92
2026-06-24	oos	0.00696	0.006721	-3.43%	0.0064	-8.05%	0.0947	✓	0.92
2026-06-23	oos	0.00707	0.006823	-3.50%	0.00647	-8.49%	0.0873	✓	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	0.007345	0.007064	-3.83%	0.00665	-9.46%	0.0896	✓	0.89
2026-06-21	oos	0.007395	0.007096	-4.04%	0.006785	-8.25%	0.0901	✓	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	0.00742	0.007113	-4.14%	0.006445	-13.14%	0.1120	✓	0.88
2026-06-19	oos	0.00739	0.007088	-4.08%	0.00651	-11.91%	0.1017	✓	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.00737	0.007072	-4.04%	0.00656	-10.99%	0.1017	✓	0.88
2026-06-17	oos	0.00754	0.007221	-4.23%	0.00654	-13.26%	0.0915	✓	0.88
2026-06-16	oos	0.00773	0.007392	-4.38%	0.006635	-14.17%	0.0832	✓	0.87
2026-06-15	oos	0.00798	0.007616	-4.56%	0.00662	-17.04%	0.1195	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.00805	0.007678	-4.63%	0.00664	-17.52%	0.1356	✓	0.88
2026-06-13	oos	0.00789	0.00753	-4.57%	0.00639	-19.01%	0.1345	✓	0.87
2026-06-12	oos	0.00794	0.007561	-4.77%	0.006465	-18.58%	0.1594	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.00752	0.007185	-4.46%	0.006645	-11.64%	0.0809	✓	0.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.006835	0.006587	-3.63%	0.00666	-2.56%	0.0231	✓	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.006995	0.006726	-3.85%	0.006605	-5.58%	0.0371	✓	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0073	0.006983	-4.34%	0.00657	-10.00%	0.0507	✓	0.78
2026-06-07	oos	0.00716	0.006849	-4.34%	0.00674	-5.87%	0.0163	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.00675	0.006503	-3.66%	0.00689	+2.07%	0.0211	✓	0.73
2026-06-05	oos	0.00671	0.006464	-3.67%	0.007025	+4.69%	0.0537	✗	0.72
2026-06-04	oos	0.00712	0.006798	-4.52%	0.00706	-0.84%	0.0456	✓	0.68
2026-06-03	oos	0.00717	0.006843	-4.57%	0.00701	-2.23%	0.0408	✓	0.69
2026-06-02	oos	0.00716	0.00681	-4.88%	0.00669	-6.56%	0.0409	✓	0.73
2026-06-01	oos	0.00754	0.007135	-5.37%	0.00643	-14.72%	0.0131	✓	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.00772	0.007305	-5.37%	0.00641	-16.97%	0.0233	✓	0.67
2026-05-30	oos	0.00773	0.007316	-5.35%	0.006575	-14.94%	0.0221	✓	0.63
2026-05-29	oos	0.00775	0.007328	-5.44%	0.006595	-14.90%	0.0270	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.0078	0.007378	-5.41%	0.006665	-14.55%	0.0277	✓	0.63
2026-05-27	oos	0.008	0.00757	-5.37%	0.0068	-15.00%	0.0290	✓	0.64
2026-05-26	oos	0.00816	0.007722	-5.37%	0.00682	-16.42%	0.0278	✓	0.64
2026-05-25	oos	0.008285	0.007835	-5.43%	0.00696	-15.99%	0.0401	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.00829	0.007847	-5.34%	0.00707	-14.72%	0.0329	✓	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.00842	0.007975	-5.29%	0.007345	-12.77%	0.0362	✓	0.65
2026-05-22	oos	0.00826	0.00783	-5.21%	0.007395	-10.47%	0.0582	✗	0.65
2026-05-21	oos	0.00843	0.008004	-5.05%	0.00742	-11.98%	0.0473	✓	0.65
2026-05-20	oos	0.008415	0.007993	-5.02%	0.00739	-12.18%	0.0522	✗	0.66
2026-05-19	oos	0.008265	0.007847	-5.06%	0.00737	-10.83%	0.0670	✗	0.65
2026-05-18	oos	0.00845	0.008018	-5.11%	0.00754	-10.77%	0.0550	✗	0.66
2026-05-17	oos	0.00906	0.008559	-5.52%	0.00773	-14.68%	0.0042	✓	0.64
2026-05-16	oos	0.00921	0.008725	-5.27%	0.00798	-13.36%	0.0159	✓	0.64
2026-05-15	oos	0.00934	0.008883	-4.89%	0.00805	-13.81%	0.0197	✓	0.64
2026-05-14	oos	0.009375	0.008974	-4.28%	0.00789	-15.84%	0.0226	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.00863	0.008273	-4.14%	0.00794	-8.00%	0.0946	✗	0.61
2026-05-12	oos	0.00869	0.008375	-3.62%	0.00752	-13.46%	0.0368	✓	0.61
2026-05-11	oos	0.00874	0.008465	-3.14%	0.006835	-21.80%	0.0397	✓	0.61
2026-05-10	oos	0.00868	0.008444	-2.72%	0.006995	-19.41%	0.0134	✓	0.61
2026-05-09	oos	0.00817	0.007937	-2.85%	0.0073	-10.65%	0.0610	✗	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.00802	0.007797	-2.78%	0.00716	-10.72%	0.0532	✗	0.59
2026-05-07	oos	0.00781	0.007612	-2.53%	0.00675	-13.57%	0.0421	✗	0.59
2026-05-06	oos	0.00781	0.007669	-1.81%	0.00671	-14.08%	0.0552	✗	0.65
2026-05-05	oos	0.007625	0.007487	-1.81%	0.00712	-6.62%	0.0949	✗	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.00754	0.007386	-2.04%	0.00717	-4.91%	0.1052	✗	0.61
2026-05-03	oos	0.00753	0.007352	-2.37%	0.00716	-4.91%	0.0718	✗	0.60
2026-05-02	oos	0.00757	0.007395	-2.31%	0.00754	-0.40%	0.0776	✗	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.0075	0.007322	-2.37%	0.00772	+2.93%	0.0883	✗	0.58
2026-04-30	oos	0.00746	0.007226	-3.14%	0.00773	+3.62%	0.0869	✗	0.58
2026-04-29	oos	0.007515	0.007262	-3.37%	0.00775	+3.13%	0.0836	✗	0.58
2026-04-28	oos	0.0076	0.007348	-3.31%	0.0078	+2.63%	0.0814	✗	0.58
2026-04-27	oos	0.00774	0.007521	-2.83%	0.008	+3.36%	0.0851	✗	0.58
2026-04-26	oos	0.00792	0.00774	-2.28%	0.00816	+3.03%	0.0742	✗	0.58
2026-04-25	oos	0.00791	0.007685	-2.85%	0.008285	+4.74%	0.0782	✗	0.58
2026-04-24	oos	0.00793	0.007684	-3.10%	0.00829	+4.54%	0.0797	✗	0.59
2026-04-23	oos	0.00793	0.007726	-2.58%	0.00842	+6.18%	0.0985	✗	0.59
2026-04-22	oos	0.007995	0.007794	-2.52%	0.00826	+3.31%	0.0794	✗	0.59
2026-04-21	oos	0.008055	0.00779	-3.29%	0.00843	+4.66%	0.0696	✗	0.60
2026-04-20	oos	0.008115	0.007831	-3.50%	0.008415	+3.70%	0.0593	✗	0.60
2026-04-19	oos	0.00793	0.0076	-4.16%	0.008265	+4.22%	0.0600	✗	0.61
2026-04-18	oos	0.00815	0.007882	-3.28%	0.00845	+3.68%	0.0599	✗	0.61
2026-04-17	oos	0.008465	0.008243	-2.63%	0.00906	+7.03%	0.0921	✗	0.61
2026-04-16	oos	0.00828	0.008012	-3.23%	0.00921	+11.23%	0.1160	✗	0.61
2026-04-15	oos	0.00811	0.007844	-3.28%	0.00934	+15.17%	0.1414	✗	0.60
2026-04-14	oos	0.00803	0.007757	-3.40%	0.009375	+16.75%	0.1356	✗	0.61
2026-04-13	oos	0.00806	0.007799	-3.24%	0.00863	+7.07%	0.0633	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.0077	0.007372	-4.26%	0.00869	+12.86%	0.0883	✗	0.59
2026-04-11	oos	0.00792	0.007633	-3.62%	0.00874	+10.35%	0.0695	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.00764	0.007368	-3.57%	0.00868	+13.61%	0.0941	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.00754	0.00725	-3.85%	0.00817	+8.36%	0.0513	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.00746	0.007163	-3.98%	0.00802	+7.51%	0.0424	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.0076	0.007309	-3.83%	0.00781	+2.76%	0.0039	✓	0.58
2026-04-06	oos	0.00745	0.007092	-4.80%	0.00781	+4.83%	0.0040	✓	0.60
2026-04-05	oos	0.00748	0.007096	-5.14%	0.007625	+1.94%	0.0233	✓	0.60
2026-04-04	oos	0.007535	0.007146	-5.17%	0.00754	+0.07%	0.0527	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.00756	0.007178	-5.05%	0.00753	-0.40%	0.0529	✓	0.63
2026-04-02	oos	0.00771	0.007313	-5.15%	0.00757	-1.82%	0.0682	✓	0.63
2026-04-01	oos	0.0076	0.007231	-4.86%	0.0075	-1.32%	0.0517	✓	0.64
2026-03-31	oos	0.007835	0.007461	-4.78%	0.00746	-4.79%	0.0728	✓	0.65
2026-03-30	oos	0.00785	0.007478	-4.74%	0.007515	-4.27%	0.0784	✓	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.00767	0.007332	-4.41%	0.0076	-0.91%	0.0585	✓	0.65
2026-03-28	oos	0.0078	0.007475	-4.16%	0.00774	-0.77%	0.0648	✓	0.65
2026-03-27	oos	0.007665	0.007371	-3.84%	0.00792	+3.33%	0.0382	✓	0.65
2026-03-26	oos	0.00794	0.007697	-3.06%	0.00791	-0.38%	0.0508	✓	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.008035	0.007869	-2.06%	0.00793	-1.31%	0.0461	✓	0.65
2026-03-24	oos	0.00812	0.007952	-2.06%	0.00793	-2.34%	0.0707	✓	0.65
2026-03-23	oos	0.008165	0.008019	-1.79%	0.007995	-2.08%	0.0671	✓	0.65
2026-03-22	oos	0.007995	0.007811	-2.30%	0.008055	+0.75%	0.0470	✓	0.66
2026-03-21	oos	0.00817	0.007999	-2.09%	0.008115	-0.67%	0.0488	✓	0.66
2026-03-20	oos	0.00831	0.008162	-1.78%	0.00793	-4.57%	0.0591	✓	0.66
2026-03-19	oos	0.00834	0.008191	-1.79%	0.00815	-2.28%	0.0575	✓	0.66
2026-03-18	oos	0.00841	0.008281	-1.54%	0.008465	+0.65%	0.0307	✓	0.67
2026-03-17	oos	0.00871	0.008604	-1.22%	0.00828	-4.94%	0.0493	✓	0.67
2026-03-16	oos	0.008915	0.008805	-1.23%	0.00811	-9.03%	0.0818	✓	0.67
2026-03-15	oos	0.00879	0.008653	-1.55%	0.00803	-8.65%	0.0870	✓	0.66
2026-03-14	oos	0.00868	0.00853	-1.72%	0.00806	-7.14%	0.0863	✓	0.67
2026-03-13	oos	0.00879	0.008642	-1.68%	0.0077	-12.40%	0.1137	✓	0.67
2026-03-12	oos	0.00888	0.008723	-1.77%	0.00792	-10.81%	0.1205	✓	0.67
2026-03-11	oos	0.00895	0.008778	-1.93%	0.00764	-14.64%	0.1652	✓	0.68
2026-03-10	oos	0.00901	0.008824	-2.06%	0.00754	-16.32%	0.1748	✓	0.68
2026-03-09	oos	0.008965	0.008772	-2.15%	0.00746	-16.79%	0.1879	✓	0.68
2026-03-08	oos	0.00889	0.008687	-2.28%	0.0076	-14.51%	0.1924	✓	0.68
2026-03-07	oos	0.00895	0.008754	-2.19%	0.00745	-16.76%	0.1773	✓	0.68
2026-03-06	oos	0.00887	0.008694	-1.99%	0.00748	-15.67%	0.1593	✓	0.68
2026-03-05	oos	0.00921	0.009029	-1.97%	0.007535	-18.19%	0.1456	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.00939	0.009207	-1.95%	0.00756	-19.49%	0.1416	✓	0.68
2026-03-03	oos	0.00927	0.009058	-2.28%	0.00771	-16.83%	0.1461	✓	0.71
2026-03-02	oos	0.00926	0.009047	-2.30%	0.0076	-17.93%	0.1669	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.009315	0.009079	-2.54%	0.007835	-15.89%	0.1738	✓	0.72
2026-02-28	oos	0.00942	0.009178	-2.57%	0.00785	-16.67%	0.1537	✓	0.75
2026-02-27	oos	0.00929	0.009048	-2.60%	0.00767	-17.44%	0.1664	✓	0.75
2026-02-26	oos	0.00958	0.009314	-2.77%	0.0078	-18.58%	0.1643	✓	0.75
2026-02-25	oos	0.00971	0.009429	-2.90%	0.007665	-21.06%	0.1888	✓	0.75
2026-02-24	oos	0.00915	0.008904	-2.69%	0.00794	-13.22%	0.1671	✓	0.74
2026-02-23	oos	0.00907	0.008827	-2.68%	0.008035	-11.41%	0.1683	✓	0.76
2026-02-22	oos	0.00926	0.008993	-2.88%	0.00812	-12.31%	0.1344	✓	0.76
2026-02-21	oos	0.00953	0.00924	-3.04%	0.008165	-14.32%	0.1561	✓	0.77
2026-02-20	oos	0.009415	0.009131	-3.01%	0.007995	-15.08%	0.1313	✓	0.79
2026-02-19	oos	0.00928	0.009011	-2.90%	0.00817	-11.96%	0.1204	✓	0.79
2026-02-18	oos	0.009415	0.009128	-3.05%	0.00831	-11.74%	0.1410	✓	0.79
2026-02-17	oos	0.00975	0.009425	-3.33%	0.00834	-14.46%	0.1502	✓	0.78
2026-02-16	oos	0.00983	0.009492	-3.44%	0.00841	-14.45%	0.1477	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.009795	0.009458	-3.45%	0.00871	-11.08%	0.1386	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.00991	0.009555	-3.58%	0.008915	-10.04%	0.1245	✓	0.78
2026-02-13	oos	0.0095	0.009176	-3.41%	0.00879	-7.47%	0.0869	✓	0.77
2026-02-12	oos	0.00941	0.009105	-3.24%	0.00868	-7.76%	0.1054	✓	0.79
2026-02-11	oos	0.00944	0.009117	-3.42%	0.00879	-6.89%	0.0814	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.00956	0.009209	-3.67%	0.00888	-7.11%	0.0562	✓	0.80
2026-02-09	oos	0.00961	0.009241	-3.84%	0.00895	-6.87%	0.0332	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.0096	0.009229	-3.86%	0.00901	-6.15%	0.0204	✓	0.81
2026-02-07	oos	0.00956	0.0092	-3.77%	0.008965	-6.22%	0.0163	✓	0.81
2026-02-06	oos	0.00986	0.009443	-4.23%	0.00889	-9.84%	0.0060	✓	0.81
2026-02-05	oos	0.00898	0.008765	-2.39%	0.00895	-0.33%	0.0350	✓	0.81
2026-02-04	oos	0.00973	0.009325	-4.17%	0.00887	-8.84%	0.0178	✓	0.98
2026-02-03	oos	0.01	0.009548	-4.52%	0.00921	-7.90%	0.0275	✓	0.98
2026-02-02	oos	0.00997	0.009513	-4.58%	0.00939	-5.82%	0.0708	✗	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.01006	0.009601	-4.57%	0.00927	-7.85%	0.0852	✗	1.02
2026-01-31	oos	0.00969	0.009273	-4.30%	0.00926	-4.44%	0.1512	✗	1.14
2026-01-30	oos	0.01009	0.009648	-4.38%	0.009315	-7.68%	0.2614	✗	1.21
2026-01-29	oos	0.010255	0.009802	-4.42%	0.00942	-8.14%	0.2402	✗	1.20
2026-01-28	oos	0.01063	0.010171	-4.32%	0.00929	-12.61%	0.2863	✗	1.24
2026-01-27	oos	0.01062	0.010161	-4.32%	0.00958	-9.79%	0.2900	✗	1.25
2026-01-26	oos	0.01049	0.010027	-4.41%	0.00971	-7.44%	0.2882	✗	1.23
2026-01-25	oos	0.01016	0.00969	-4.62%	0.00915	-9.94%	0.3110	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01057	0.010055	-4.87%	0.00907	-14.19%	0.2895	✗	1.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.01037	0.009871	-4.81%	0.00926	-10.70%	0.2790	✗	1.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.01047	0.00996	-4.87%	0.00953	-8.98%	0.2913	✗	1.22
2026-01-21	oos	0.01034	0.009828	-4.96%	0.009415	-8.95%	0.2910	✗	1.22
2026-01-20	oos	0.01	0.009516	-4.84%	0.00928	-7.20%	0.3043	✗	1.19
2026-01-19	oos	0.01054	0.010041	-4.73%	0.009415	-10.67%	0.3344	✗	1.20
2026-01-18	oos	0.01049	0.010024	-4.44%	0.00975	-7.05%	0.3619	✗	1.19
2026-01-17	oos	0.01105	0.010617	-3.91%	0.00983	-11.04%	0.3014	✗	1.17
2026-01-16	oos	0.01103	0.01061	-3.80%	0.009795	-11.20%	0.2968	✗	1.15
2026-01-15	oos	0.01115	0.010743	-3.65%	0.00991	-11.12%	0.2864	✗	1.17
2026-01-14	oos	0.011485	0.011136	-3.04%	0.0095	-17.28%	0.2426	✗	1.17
2026-01-13	oos	0.01159	0.011219	-3.20%	0.00941	-18.81%	0.2657	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.01132	0.010858	-4.08%	0.00944	-16.61%	0.2438	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.0111	0.010647	-4.08%	0.00956	-13.87%	0.2432	✗	1.26
2026-01-10	oos	0.01117	0.010729	-3.95%	0.00961	-13.97%	0.2118	✗	1.27
2026-01-09	oos	0.0113	0.010889	-3.64%	0.0096	-15.04%	0.1912	✗	1.25
2026-01-08	oos	0.01137	0.010985	-3.39%	0.00956	-15.92%	0.1994	✗	1.24
2026-01-07	oos	0.01183	0.011436	-3.33%	0.00986	-16.65%	0.1929	✗	1.32
2026-01-06	oos	0.01262	0.012229	-3.10%	0.00898	-28.84%	0.2172	✗	1.31
2026-01-05	oos	0.01254	0.012164	-3.00%	0.00973	-22.41%	0.1031	✗	1.30
2026-01-04	oos	0.01177	0.011411	-3.05%	0.01	-15.04%	0.1089	✗	1.27
2026-01-03	oos	0.01113	0.010803	-2.94%	0.00997	-10.42%	0.0965	✗	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	0.01091	0.010592	-2.92%	0.01006	-7.79%	0.1438	✗	1.24
2026-01-01	oos	0.0109	0.01057	-3.03%	0.00969	-11.10%	0.0635	✗	1.25
2025-12-31	oos	0.01018	0.009888	-2.87%	0.01009	-0.88%	0.0677	✗	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.01081	0.010496	-2.90%	0.010255	-5.13%	0.0297	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.01117	0.010824	-3.10%	0.01063	-4.83%	0.0459	✓	1.19
2025-12-28	oos	0.01128	0.010942	-2.99%	0.01062	-5.85%	0.0467	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.01133	0.010991	-2.99%	0.01049	-7.41%	0.0526	✓	1.19
2025-12-26	oos	0.01118	0.010858	-2.88%	0.01016	-9.12%	0.0563	✓	1.20
2025-12-25	oos	0.01117	0.010852	-2.84%	0.01057	-5.37%	0.0523	✓	1.20
2025-12-24	oos	0.011345	0.011021	-2.85%	0.01037	-8.59%	0.0864	✓	1.21
2025-12-23	oos	0.0113	0.010982	-2.81%	0.01047	-7.35%	0.0771	✓	1.28
2025-12-22	oos	0.01172	0.011385	-2.86%	0.01034	-11.77%	0.1081	✓	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	0.011425	0.011112	-2.74%	0.01	-12.47%	0.1006	✓	1.29
2025-12-20	oos	0.01157	0.01124	-2.85%	0.01054	-8.90%	0.1255	✓	1.31
2025-12-19	oos	0.0115	0.011167	-2.89%	0.01049	-8.78%	0.1422	✓	1.31
2025-12-18	oos	0.01103	0.010715	-2.85%	0.01105	+0.18%	0.1091	✓	1.31
2025-12-17	oos	0.01149	0.011154	-2.93%	0.01103	-4.00%	0.1447	✓	1.30
2025-12-16	oos	0.01168	0.011344	-2.87%	0.01115	-4.54%	0.1274	✓	1.31
2025-12-15	oos	0.01169	0.011355	-2.87%	0.011485	-1.75%	0.1398	✓	1.31
2025-12-14	oos	0.01213	0.011768	-2.98%	0.01159	-4.45%	0.1175	✓	1.30
2025-12-13	oos	0.01248	0.012093	-3.10%	0.01132	-9.29%	0.0795	✓	1.30
2025-12-12	oos	0.012345	0.011964	-3.09%	0.0111	-10.09%	0.0834	✓	1.30
2025-12-11	oos	0.0126	0.012212	-3.08%	0.01117	-11.35%	0.0582	✓	1.31
2025-12-10	oos	0.01276	0.012358	-3.15%	0.0113	-11.44%	0.0676	✓	1.31
2025-12-09	oos	0.01299	0.01258	-3.16%	0.01137	-12.47%	0.0775	✓	1.31
2025-12-08	oos	0.01301	0.012594	-3.20%	0.01183	-9.07%	0.0717	✓	1.32
2025-12-07	oos	0.01295	0.01253	-3.24%	0.01262	-2.55%	0.0403	✓	1.32
2025-12-06	oos	0.01306	0.012618	-3.39%	0.01254	-3.98%	0.0731	✓	1.33
2025-12-05	oos	0.01304	0.012598	-3.39%	0.01177	-9.74%	0.0996	✓	1.33
2025-12-04	oos	0.01328	0.012831	-3.38%	0.01113	-16.19%	0.1203	✓	1.34
2025-12-03	oos	0.01397	0.013484	-3.48%	0.01091	-21.90%	0.1609	✓	1.34
2025-12-02	oos	0.01384	0.013373	-3.37%	0.0109	-21.24%	0.1659	✓	1.35
2025-12-01	oos	0.01341	0.012986	-3.16%	0.01018	-24.09%	0.2633	✓	1.41
2025-11-30	oos	0.01466	0.014146	-3.51%	0.01081	-26.26%	0.2389	✓	1.36
2025-11-29	oos	0.01505	0.0145	-3.65%	0.01117	-25.78%	0.2046	✓	1.35
2025-11-28	oos	0.01492	0.014369	-3.69%	0.01128	-24.40%	0.1964	✓	1.35
2025-11-27	oos	0.01495	0.014368	-3.89%	0.01133	-24.21%	0.1847	✓	1.35
2025-11-26	oos	0.01429	0.013766	-3.67%	0.01118	-21.76%	0.1606	✓	1.33
2025-11-25	oos	0.01363	0.013161	-3.44%	0.01117	-18.05%	0.1617	✓	1.34
2025-11-24	oos	0.01364	0.013144	-3.63%	0.011345	-16.83%	0.1372	✓	1.34
2025-11-23	oos	0.01305	0.012609	-3.38%	0.0113	-13.41%	0.1190	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.01232	0.011971	-2.83%	0.01172	-4.87%	0.0794	✓	1.30
2025-11-21	oos	0.0126	0.012216	-3.05%	0.011425	-9.33%	0.1201	✓	1.29
2025-11-20	oos	0.012965	0.012542	-3.27%	0.01157	-10.76%	0.1070	✓	1.29
2025-11-19	oos	0.01339	0.012879	-3.82%	0.0115	-14.12%	0.0626	✓	1.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.01371	0.013168	-3.95%	0.01103	-19.55%	0.0643	✓	1.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.01379	0.013261	-3.84%	0.01149	-16.68%	0.0538	✓	1.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.01414	0.013566	-4.06%	0.01168	-17.40%	0.0547	✓	1.37
2025-11-15	oos	0.01427	0.013677	-4.16%	0.01169	-18.08%	0.0190	✓	1.37
2025-11-14	oos	0.01394	0.013394	-3.91%	0.01213	-12.98%	0.0040	✓	1.37
2025-11-13	oos	0.01455	0.013906	-4.43%	0.01248	-14.23%	0.0320	✓	1.42
2025-11-12	oos	0.01536	0.014619	-4.83%	0.012345	-19.63%	0.0038	✓	1.39
2025-11-11	oos	0.01544	0.014676	-4.95%	0.0126	-18.39%	0.0058	✓	1.37
2025-11-10	oos	0.01621	0.01536	-5.24%	0.01276	-21.28%	0.0059	✓	1.36
2025-11-09	oos	0.01598	0.015149	-5.20%	0.01299	-18.71%	0.0123	✓	1.36
2025-11-08	oos	0.01549	0.014718	-4.98%	0.01301	-16.01%	0.0413	✓	1.36
2025-11-07	oos	0.01551	0.014709	-5.16%	0.01295	-16.51%	0.0518	✓	1.35
2025-11-06	oos	0.01487	0.014144	-4.88%	0.01306	-12.17%	0.0888	✗	1.33
2025-11-05	oos	0.01498	0.014197	-5.23%	0.01304	-12.95%	0.1194	✗	1.36
2025-11-04	oos	0.0136	0.012985	-4.52%	0.01328	-2.35%	0.1494	✗	1.31
2025-11-03	oos	0.01353	0.012892	-4.72%	0.01397	+3.25%	0.2669	✗	1.42
2025-11-02	oos	0.01601	0.015197	-5.08%	0.01384	-13.55%	0.1539	✗	1.29
2025-11-01	oos	0.016	0.015191	-5.05%	0.01341	-16.19%	0.1917	✗	1.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01613	0.015312	-5.07%	0.01466	-9.11%	0.2093	✗	1.31
2025-10-30	oos	0.01595	0.01515	-5.02%	0.01505	-5.64%	0.2240	✗	1.31
2025-10-29	oos	0.0168	0.015952	-5.05%	0.01492	-11.19%	0.1815	✗	1.30
2025-10-28	oos	0.01667	0.015897	-4.64%	0.01495	-10.32%	0.2263	✗	1.36
2025-10-27	oos	0.0171	0.016348	-4.40%	0.01429	-16.43%	0.1794	✗	1.35
2025-10-26	oos	0.01758	0.016813	-4.36%	0.01363	-22.47%	0.1566	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.01709	0.016321	-4.50%	0.01364	-20.19%	0.1390	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.0174	0.016622	-4.47%	0.01305	-25.00%	0.0903	✗	1.35
2025-10-23	oos	0.01714	0.016393	-4.36%	0.01232	-28.12%	0.0717	✗	1.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.01726	0.016498	-4.41%	0.0126	-27.00%	0.0576	✗	1.39
2025-10-21	oos	0.017705	0.01693	-4.38%	0.012965	-26.77%	0.0456	✗	1.39
2025-10-20	oos	0.017545	0.016805	-4.22%	0.01339	-23.68%	0.0427	✓	1.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.017435	0.016691	-4.27%	0.01371	-21.37%	0.0409	✓	1.52
2025-10-18	oos	0.01827	0.017436	-4.56%	0.01379	-24.52%	0.0009	✓	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	0.01676	0.016063	-4.16%	0.01414	-15.63%	0.0596	✗	1.53
2025-10-16	oos	0.01747	0.016723	-4.27%	0.01427	-18.32%	0.0302	✓	1.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01882	0.017978	-4.47%	0.01394	-25.93%	0.0153	✓	1.50
2025-10-14	oos	0.01934	0.018457	-4.56%	0.01455	-24.77%	0.0435	✓	1.53
2025-10-13	oos	0.02064	0.019656	-4.77%	0.01536	-25.58%	0.0559	✓	1.51
2025-10-12	oos	0.02002	0.019068	-4.75%	0.01544	-22.88%	0.0454	✓	1.50
2025-10-11	oos	0.01938	0.018461	-4.74%	0.01621	-16.36%	0.0620	✓	1.54
2025-10-10	oos	0.01922	0.018336	-4.60%	0.01598	-16.86%	0.0185	✓	1.56
2025-10-09	oos	0.02223	0.021339	-4.01%	0.01549	-30.32%	0.0684	✓	1.45
2025-10-08	oos	0.02322	0.022305	-3.94%	0.01551	-33.20%	0.1123	✓	1.41
2025-10-07	oos	0.02358	0.02255	-4.37%	0.01487	-36.94%	0.1618	✓	1.41
2025-10-06	oos	0.02422	0.023283	-3.87%	0.01498	-38.15%	0.1866	✓	1.39
2025-10-05	oos	0.024185	0.02318	-4.15%	0.0136	-43.77%	0.2595	✓	1.39
2025-10-04	oos	0.02423	0.023214	-4.19%	0.01353	-44.16%	0.3452	✓	1.40
2025-10-03	oos	0.02501	0.023977	-4.13%	0.01601	-35.99%	0.2627	✓	1.39
2025-10-02	oos	0.02591	0.024724	-4.58%	0.016	-38.25%	0.3043	✓	1.43
2025-10-01	oos	0.02651	0.025174	-5.04%	0.01613	-39.16%	0.3287	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.0255	0.024091	-5.53%	0.01595	-37.45%	0.3351	✓	1.49
2025-09-29	oos	0.0265	0.025005	-5.64%	0.0168	-36.60%	0.3414	✓	1.46
2025-09-28	oos	0.02637	0.024817	-5.89%	0.01667	-36.78%	0.4073	✓	1.49
2025-09-27	oos	0.02541	0.023912	-5.90%	0.0171	-32.70%	0.3939	✓	1.49
2025-09-26	oos	0.0258	0.024251	-6.01%	0.01758	-31.86%	0.3856	✓	1.48
2025-09-25	oos	0.02372	0.02238	-5.65%	0.01709	-27.95%	0.3044	✓	1.46
2025-09-24	oos	0.02725	0.025611	-6.01%	0.0174	-36.15%	0.3601	✓	1.28
2025-09-23	oos	0.02488	0.023439	-5.79%	0.01714	-31.11%	0.2916	✓	1.25
2025-09-22	oos	0.02357	0.022242	-5.63%	0.01726	-26.77%	0.1943	✓	1.27
2025-09-21	oos	0.02502	0.023623	-5.58%	0.017705	-29.24%	0.2127	✓	1.22
2025-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.023567	-5.69%	0.017545	-29.79%	0.2374	✓	1.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.02317	0.021818	-5.84%	0.017435	-24.75%	0.1440	✓	1.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.02367	0.022337	-5.63%	0.01827	-22.81%	0.0871	✓	1.29

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.