CFX

Conflux · native · gru_s5

token id: #171
symbol: CFX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-02-06
predictions: 750

Track record at +1d

assessed

249

of 250 predictions shown

direction hit

56.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0234

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0054

actual -0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.055235	0.054857	-0.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.054965	0.05465	-0.57%	0.055235	+0.49%	0.0083	✗	1.03
2026-10-20	oos	0.0549	0.054563	-0.61%	0.054965	+0.12%	0.0061	✓	1.03
2026-10-19	oos	0.052375	0.052135	-0.46%	0.0549	+4.82%	0.0381	✗	1.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.05279	0.05256	-0.44%	0.052375	-0.79%	0.0014	✓	1.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.053675	0.053421	-0.47%	0.05279	-1.65%	0.0196	✓	1.01
2026-10-16	oos	0.055565	0.055293	-0.49%	0.053675	-3.40%	0.0282	✓	1.01
2026-10-15	oos	0.05602	0.055702	-0.57%	0.055565	-0.81%	0.0052	✓	1.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.05646	0.056153	-0.54%	0.05602	-0.78%	0.0092	✓	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.05744	0.057057	-0.67%	0.05646	-1.71%	0.0082	✗	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.05726	0.056822	-0.77%	0.05744	+0.31%	0.0058	✓	1.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.06725	0.066073	-1.75%	0.05726	-14.86%	0.1217	✓	0.92
2026-10-10	oos	0.06166	0.060601	-1.72%	0.06725	+9.07%	0.0956	✗	0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.050715	0.050524	-0.38%	0.06166	+21.58%	0.1951	✗	0.91
2026-10-08	oos	0.049865	0.049652	-0.43%	0.050715	+1.70%	0.0118	✗	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.05179	0.051535	-0.49%	0.049865	-3.72%	0.0158	✓	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.054365	0.054009	-0.65%	0.05179	-4.74%	0.0187	✓	0.87
2026-10-05	oos	0.05497	0.054688	-0.51%	0.054365	-1.10%	0.0038	✓	0.87
2026-10-04	oos	0.05434	0.054082	-0.48%	0.05497	+1.16%	0.0241	✗	0.89
2026-10-03	oos	0.05435	0.054081	-0.50%	0.05434	-0.02%	0.0137	✓	0.89
2026-10-02	oos	0.053055	0.052812	-0.46%	0.05435	+2.44%	0.0262	✗	0.89
2026-10-01	oos	0.05364	0.053393	-0.46%	0.053055	-1.09%	0.0027	✓	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.055195	0.054884	-0.56%	0.05364	-2.82%	0.0370	✓	0.91
2026-09-29	oos	0.05457	0.054276	-0.54%	0.055195	+1.15%	0.0177	✗	0.91
2026-09-28	oos	0.05382	0.05352	-0.56%	0.05457	+1.39%	0.0175	✗	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.05651	0.056163	-0.61%	0.05382	-4.76%	0.0321	✓	0.88
2026-09-26	oos	0.05616	0.055782	-0.67%	0.05651	+0.62%	0.0125	✗	0.88
2026-09-25	oos	0.056195	0.055799	-0.70%	0.05616	-0.06%	0.0031	✓	0.88
2026-09-24	oos	0.05391	0.053605	-0.57%	0.056195	+4.24%	0.0503	✗	0.89
2026-09-23	oos	0.05144	0.051213	-0.44%	0.05391	+4.80%	0.0512	✗	0.90
2026-09-22	oos	0.05508	0.054739	-0.62%	0.05144	-6.61%	0.0436	✓	0.87
2026-09-21	oos	0.053975	0.053615	-0.67%	0.05508	+2.05%	0.0311	✗	0.90
2026-09-20	oos	0.05281	0.052357	-0.86%	0.053975	+2.21%	0.0324	✓	0.97
2026-09-19	oos	0.050825	0.050527	-0.59%	0.05281	+3.91%	0.0451	✗	0.97
2026-09-18	oos	0.0495	0.049269	-0.47%	0.050825	+2.68%	0.0268	✗	0.97
2026-09-17	oos	0.04602	0.045875	-0.32%	0.0495	+7.56%	0.0230	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.04576	0.045653	-0.23%	0.04602	+0.57%	0.0055	✗	0.92
2026-09-15	oos	0.04518	0.045122	-0.13%	0.04576	+1.28%	0.0071	✗	0.95
2026-09-14	oos	0.047185	0.047099	-0.18%	0.04518	-4.25%	0.0112	✓	0.90
2026-09-13	oos	0.047095	0.047028	-0.14%	0.047185	+0.19%	0.0123	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.04738	0.047311	-0.15%	0.047095	-0.60%	0.0007	✓	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.046705	0.04669	-0.03%	0.04738	+1.45%	0.0140	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.0455	0.045524	+0.05%	0.046705	+2.65%	0.0179	✓	0.88
2026-09-09	oos	0.048475	0.048458	-0.04%	0.0455	-6.14%	0.0437	✓	0.85
2026-09-08	oos	0.04931	0.049279	-0.06%	0.048475	-1.69%	0.0146	✓	0.86
2026-09-07	oos	0.0493	0.049267	-0.07%	0.04931	+0.02%	0.0080	✗	0.87
2026-09-06	oos	0.049965	0.049922	-0.09%	0.0493	-1.33%	0.0011	✗	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.049095	0.049087	-0.02%	0.049965	+1.77%	0.0122	✗	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.04742	0.047448	+0.06%	0.049095	+3.53%	0.0324	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.048105	0.048124	+0.04%	0.04742	-1.42%	0.0030	✓	0.90
2026-09-02	oos	0.0476	0.047544	-0.12%	0.048105	+1.06%	0.0383	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.04664	0.046576	-0.14%	0.0476	+2.06%	0.0229	✗	1.01
2026-08-31	oos	0.045725	0.045687	-0.08%	0.04664	+2.00%	0.0347	✗	0.94
2026-08-30	oos	0.04408	0.044042	-0.09%	0.045725	+3.73%	0.0270	✗	0.92
2026-08-29	oos	0.045425	0.045378	-0.10%	0.04408	-2.96%	0.0226	✓	0.88
2026-08-28	oos	0.045615	0.045557	-0.13%	0.045425	-0.42%	0.0074	✓	0.88
2026-08-27	oos	0.047975	0.047891	-0.17%	0.045615	-4.92%	0.0221	✓	0.86
2026-08-26	oos	0.04866	0.048527	-0.27%	0.047975	-1.41%	0.0251	✓	0.87
2026-08-25	oos	0.046875	0.046749	-0.27%	0.04866	+3.81%	0.0345	✗	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	0.049015	0.04884	-0.36%	0.046875	-4.37%	0.0361	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.04957	0.049327	-0.49%	0.049015	-1.12%	0.0204	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	0.04834	0.048113	-0.47%	0.04957	+2.54%	0.0222	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	0.05023	0.049914	-0.63%	0.04834	-3.76%	0.0179	✓	0.86
2026-08-20	oos	0.044905	0.044712	-0.43%	0.05023	+11.86%	0.0628	✗	0.76
2026-08-19	oos	0.04415	0.043934	-0.49%	0.044905	+1.71%	0.0201	✓	0.80
2026-08-18	oos	0.04107	0.040861	-0.51%	0.04415	+7.50%	0.0253	✗	0.76
2026-08-17	oos	0.042115	0.041833	-0.67%	0.04107	-2.48%	0.0208	✓	0.76
2026-08-16	oos	0.04207	0.041828	-0.57%	0.042115	+0.11%	0.0132	✓	0.78
2026-08-15	oos	0.042265	0.042003	-0.62%	0.04207	-0.46%	0.0039	✓	0.78
2026-08-14	oos	0.04286	0.04254	-0.75%	0.042265	-1.39%	0.0070	✓	0.79
2026-08-13	oos	0.04168	0.041452	-0.55%	0.04286	+2.83%	0.0392	✗	0.82
2026-08-12	oos	0.0411	0.040884	-0.53%	0.04168	+1.41%	0.0191	✗	0.88
2026-08-11	oos	0.041285	0.04107	-0.52%	0.0411	-0.45%	0.0026	✓	0.98
2026-08-10	oos	0.04198	0.041765	-0.51%	0.041285	-1.66%	0.0059	✓	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.04128	0.041088	-0.46%	0.04198	+1.70%	0.0355	✗	0.96
2026-08-08	oos	0.042025	0.041807	-0.52%	0.04128	-1.77%	0.0118	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.04067	0.040473	-0.48%	0.042025	+3.33%	0.0374	✗	0.96
2026-08-06	oos	0.040075	0.039843	-0.58%	0.04067	+1.48%	0.0113	✗	0.95
2026-08-05	oos	0.03802	0.037863	-0.41%	0.040075	+5.41%	0.0618	✗	0.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.03913	0.038932	-0.51%	0.03802	-2.84%	0.0319	✓	0.96
2026-08-03	oos	0.040785	0.040572	-0.52%	0.03913	-4.06%	0.0450	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.041895	0.041655	-0.57%	0.040785	-2.65%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.04286	0.042521	-0.79%	0.041895	-2.25%	0.0266	✓	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.042085	0.041612	-1.12%	0.04286	+1.84%	0.0305	✗	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.040985	0.040815	-0.41%	0.042085	+2.68%	0.0622	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.041605	0.041435	-0.41%	0.040985	-1.49%	0.0247	✓	1.08
2026-07-28	oos	0.042655	0.042473	-0.43%	0.041605	-2.46%	0.0215	✓	1.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.042905	0.042729	-0.41%	0.042655	-0.58%	0.0043	✓	1.09
2026-07-26	oos	0.04454	0.044355	-0.41%	0.042905	-3.67%	0.0059	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0441	0.043926	-0.39%	0.04454	+1.00%	0.0036	✓	1.08
2026-07-24	oos	0.043605	0.043445	-0.37%	0.0441	+1.14%	0.0114	✗	1.08
2026-07-23	oos	0.046245	0.046044	-0.44%	0.043605	-5.71%	0.0386	✓	1.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.04698	0.046734	-0.52%	0.046245	-1.56%	0.0060	✗	1.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.04594	0.045752	-0.41%	0.04698	+2.26%	0.0333	✗	1.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.044955	0.044775	-0.40%	0.04594	+2.19%	0.0053	✗	1.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.046285	0.046093	-0.42%	0.044955	-2.87%	0.0335	✓	1.04
2026-07-18	oos	0.04663	0.046424	-0.44%	0.046285	-0.74%	0.0012	✓	1.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.04605	0.045831	-0.48%	0.04663	+1.26%	0.0026	✓	1.04
2026-07-16	oos	0.04466	0.044432	-0.51%	0.04605	+3.11%	0.0337	✗	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.044555	0.044369	-0.42%	0.04466	+0.24%	0.0214	✗	1.01
2026-07-14	oos	0.04465	0.044454	-0.44%	0.044555	-0.21%	0.0066	✗	1.04
2026-07-13	oos	0.04237	0.042196	-0.41%	0.04465	+5.38%	0.0116	✗	1.05
2026-07-12	oos	0.044305	0.044066	-0.54%	0.04237	-4.37%	0.0150	✓	1.04
2026-07-11	oos	0.04381	0.043623	-0.43%	0.044305	+1.13%	0.0161	✗	1.08
2026-07-10	oos	0.042955	0.042772	-0.43%	0.04381	+1.99%	0.0301	✗	1.10
2026-07-09	oos	0.042375	0.042205	-0.40%	0.042955	+1.37%	0.0011	✓	1.10
2026-07-08	oos	0.0422	0.042007	-0.46%	0.042375	+0.41%	0.0082	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.042965	0.042762	-0.47%	0.0422	-1.78%	0.0065	✗	1.14
2026-07-06	oos	0.044755	0.044541	-0.48%	0.042965	-4.00%	0.0238	✓	1.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.045215	0.044988	-0.50%	0.044755	-1.02%	0.0129	✓	1.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.045695	0.045417	-0.61%	0.045215	-1.05%	0.0138	✓	1.18
2026-07-03	oos	0.04615	0.045866	-0.62%	0.045695	-0.99%	0.0142	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.04407	0.043829	-0.55%	0.04615	+4.72%	0.0325	✗	1.14
2026-07-01	oos	0.043895	0.043663	-0.53%	0.04407	+0.40%	0.0199	✓	1.16
2026-06-30	oos	0.04261	0.042415	-0.46%	0.043895	+3.02%	0.0057	✗	1.18
2026-06-29	oos	0.042955	0.042742	-0.50%	0.04261	-0.80%	0.0300	✗	1.20
2026-06-28	oos	0.0421	0.041915	-0.44%	0.042955	+2.03%	0.0109	✗	1.18
2026-06-27	oos	0.04209	0.041916	-0.41%	0.0421	+0.02%	0.0135	✗	1.18
2026-06-26	oos	0.04288	0.042689	-0.44%	0.04209	-1.84%	0.0128	✓	1.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.04249	0.042312	-0.42%	0.04288	+0.92%	0.0074	✗	1.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.043665	0.043447	-0.50%	0.04249	-2.69%	0.0025	✓	1.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.046195	0.04595	-0.53%	0.043665	-5.48%	0.0204	✓	1.14
2026-06-22	oos	0.047685	0.047397	-0.60%	0.046195	-3.12%	0.0024	✓	1.13
2026-06-21	oos	0.04719	0.046899	-0.62%	0.047685	+1.05%	0.0039	✓	1.13
2026-06-20	oos	0.047385	0.047103	-0.59%	0.04719	-0.41%	0.0187	✗	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.048765	0.048416	-0.72%	0.047385	-2.83%	0.0345	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.048805	0.048384	-0.86%	0.048765	-0.08%	0.0027	✓	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.05184	0.051318	-1.01%	0.048805	-5.85%	0.0230	✓	1.10
2026-06-16	oos	0.05	0.0496	-0.80%	0.05184	+3.68%	0.0642	✗	1.11
2026-06-15	oos	0.04691	0.046552	-0.76%	0.05	+6.59%	0.0828	✗	1.13
2026-06-14	oos	0.046425	0.046115	-0.67%	0.04691	+1.04%	0.0073	✗	1.13
2026-06-13	oos	0.045135	0.044877	-0.57%	0.046425	+2.86%	0.0110	✗	1.17
2026-06-12	oos	0.044785	0.044546	-0.53%	0.045135	+0.78%	0.0038	✓	1.21
2026-06-11	oos	0.04505	0.044811	-0.53%	0.044785	-0.59%	0.0001	✓	1.21
2026-06-10	oos	0.043335	0.043158	-0.41%	0.04505	+3.96%	0.0015	✓	1.22
2026-06-09	oos	0.04464	0.044473	-0.37%	0.043335	-2.92%	0.0212	✓	1.22
2026-06-08	oos	0.04563	0.045434	-0.43%	0.04464	-2.17%	0.0095	✗	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.04547	0.045275	-0.43%	0.04563	+0.35%	0.0125	✗	1.23
2026-06-06	oos	0.04323	0.043171	-0.14%	0.04547	+5.18%	0.0037	✗	1.22
2026-06-05	oos	0.04531	0.045222	-0.19%	0.04323	-4.59%	0.0415	✓	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.04939	0.049147	-0.49%	0.04531	-8.26%	0.0292	✓	1.17
2026-06-03	oos	0.05149	0.051165	-0.63%	0.04939	-4.08%	0.0311	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.04983	0.049587	-0.49%	0.05149	+3.33%	0.0868	✗	1.23
2026-06-01	oos	0.05281	0.05245	-0.68%	0.04983	-5.64%	0.0339	✗	1.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.05227	0.051945	-0.62%	0.05281	+1.03%	0.0574	✗	1.31
2026-05-30	oos	0.05196	0.051651	-0.60%	0.05227	+0.60%	0.0153	✗	1.29
2026-05-29	oos	0.05263	0.052301	-0.63%	0.05196	-1.27%	0.0137	✓	1.30
2026-05-28	oos	0.05174	0.051436	-0.59%	0.05263	+1.72%	0.0255	✗	1.30
2026-05-27	oos	0.053585	0.053145	-0.82%	0.05174	-3.44%	0.0127	✓	1.29
2026-05-26	oos	0.053745	0.053456	-0.54%	0.053585	-0.30%	0.0288	✗	1.31
2026-05-25	oos	0.05578	0.055482	-0.53%	0.053745	-3.65%	0.0075	✓	1.31
2026-05-24	oos	0.054455	0.054216	-0.44%	0.05578	+2.43%	0.0238	✗	1.30
2026-05-23	oos	0.057075	0.0568	-0.48%	0.054455	-4.59%	0.0477	✓	1.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.055605	0.05541	-0.35%	0.057075	+2.64%	0.0090	✗	1.30
2026-05-21	oos	0.05755	0.057358	-0.33%	0.055605	-3.38%	0.0048	✗	1.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.058565	0.058369	-0.33%	0.05755	-1.73%	0.0153	✓	1.30
2026-05-19	oos	0.058305	0.058131	-0.30%	0.058565	+0.45%	0.0045	✓	1.30
2026-05-18	oos	0.05855	0.058409	-0.24%	0.058305	-0.42%	0.0012	✓	1.30
2026-05-17	oos	0.061255	0.06107	-0.30%	0.05855	-4.42%	0.0344	✓	1.29
2026-05-16	oos	0.06493	0.064633	-0.46%	0.061255	-5.66%	0.0422	✓	1.28
2026-05-15	oos	0.06895	0.068532	-0.61%	0.06493	-5.83%	0.0386	✓	1.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.07685	0.076099	-0.98%	0.06895	-10.28%	0.0676	✓	1.23
2026-05-13	oos	0.0678	0.06728	-0.77%	0.07685	+13.35%	0.1056	✗	1.23
2026-05-12	oos	0.06396	0.063665	-0.46%	0.0678	+6.00%	0.0813	✗	1.23
2026-05-11	oos	0.06583	0.065518	-0.47%	0.06396	-2.84%	0.0055	✓	1.22
2026-05-10	oos	0.067055	0.066708	-0.52%	0.06583	-1.83%	0.0060	✓	1.26
2026-05-09	oos	0.06576	0.065402	-0.54%	0.067055	+1.97%	0.0012	✓	1.25
2026-05-08	oos	0.06703	0.066604	-0.64%	0.06576	-1.89%	0.0200	✓	1.24
2026-05-07	oos	0.064835	0.064339	-0.76%	0.06703	+3.39%	0.0381	✗	1.24
2026-05-06	oos	0.0634	0.062958	-0.70%	0.064835	+2.26%	0.0518	✗	1.26
2026-05-05	oos	0.06532	0.06462	-1.07%	0.0634	-2.94%	0.0273	✓	1.27
2026-05-04	oos	0.06074	0.060379	-0.59%	0.06532	+7.54%	0.0622	✗	1.25
2026-05-03	oos	0.06056	0.060171	-0.64%	0.06074	+0.30%	0.0112	✓	1.26
2026-05-02	oos	0.06116	0.06063	-0.87%	0.06056	-0.98%	0.0008	✓	1.26
2026-05-01	oos	0.06047	0.060179	-0.48%	0.06116	+1.14%	0.0090	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0589	0.058647	-0.43%	0.06047	+2.67%	0.0009	✓	1.26
2026-04-29	oos	0.058095	0.057834	-0.45%	0.0589	+1.39%	0.0091	✗	1.26
2026-04-28	oos	0.059875	0.05958	-0.49%	0.058095	-2.97%	0.0159	✓	1.26
2026-04-27	oos	0.059885	0.059566	-0.53%	0.059875	-0.02%	0.0224	✗	1.26
2026-04-26	oos	0.0615	0.06115	-0.57%	0.059885	-2.63%	0.0003	✓	1.26
2026-04-25	oos	0.06086	0.060458	-0.66%	0.0615	+1.05%	0.0006	✓	1.26
2026-04-24	oos	0.061505	0.060907	-0.97%	0.06086	-1.05%	0.0038	✓	1.26
2026-04-23	oos	0.059825	0.059477	-0.58%	0.061505	+2.81%	0.0469	✗	1.27
2026-04-22	oos	0.058525	0.058187	-0.58%	0.059825	+2.22%	0.0266	✗	1.27
2026-04-21	oos	0.05842	0.058078	-0.58%	0.058525	+0.18%	0.0234	✓	1.29
2026-04-20	oos	0.059045	0.05871	-0.57%	0.05842	-1.06%	0.0132	✓	1.29
2026-04-19	oos	0.05817	0.057819	-0.60%	0.059045	+1.50%	0.0147	✓	1.31
2026-04-18	oos	0.060975	0.060555	-0.69%	0.05817	-4.60%	0.0070	✓	1.30
2026-04-17	oos	0.064875	0.064271	-0.93%	0.060975	-6.01%	0.0299	✓	1.28
2026-04-16	oos	0.06802	0.066935	-1.60%	0.064875	-4.62%	0.0651	✓	1.33
2026-04-15	oos	0.057265	0.056854	-0.72%	0.06802	+18.78%	0.1736	✗	1.32
2026-04-14	oos	0.05331	0.052993	-0.59%	0.057265	+7.42%	0.0660	✗	1.30
2026-04-13	oos	0.05548	0.055071	-0.74%	0.05331	-3.91%	0.0278	✓	1.30
2026-04-12	oos	0.05123	0.050922	-0.60%	0.05548	+8.30%	0.0207	✗	1.28
2026-04-11	oos	0.05411	0.053748	-0.67%	0.05123	-5.32%	0.0069	✓	1.27
2026-04-10	oos	0.05474	0.054256	-0.88%	0.05411	-1.15%	0.0042	✓	1.27
2026-04-09	oos	0.05193	0.051597	-0.64%	0.05474	+5.41%	0.0384	✗	1.25
2026-04-08	oos	0.05001	0.049741	-0.54%	0.05193	+3.84%	0.0307	✗	1.25
2026-04-07	oos	0.05308	0.052763	-0.60%	0.05001	-5.78%	0.0394	✓	1.23
2026-04-06	oos	0.04943	0.049169	-0.53%	0.05308	+7.38%	0.0242	✗	1.21
2026-04-05	oos	0.051445	0.05115	-0.57%	0.04943	-3.92%	0.0316	✓	1.20
2026-04-04	oos	0.05209	0.051798	-0.56%	0.051445	-1.24%	0.0380	✓	1.24
2026-04-03	oos	0.05215	0.051882	-0.51%	0.05209	-0.12%	0.0021	✓	1.24
2026-04-02	oos	0.051315	0.051093	-0.43%	0.05215	+1.63%	0.0193	✗	1.24
2026-04-01	oos	0.054115	0.053822	-0.54%	0.051315	-5.17%	0.0256	✓	1.22
2026-03-31	oos	0.05409	0.053813	-0.51%	0.054115	+0.05%	0.0076	✗	1.22
2026-03-30	oos	0.05359	0.053315	-0.51%	0.05409	+0.93%	0.0128	✓	1.24
2026-03-29	oos	0.05317	0.052794	-0.71%	0.05359	+0.79%	0.0004	✓	1.24
2026-03-28	oos	0.05678	0.056444	-0.59%	0.05317	-6.36%	0.0530	✓	1.23
2026-03-27	oos	0.05822	0.057849	-0.64%	0.05678	-2.47%	0.0180	✓	1.23
2026-03-26	oos	0.05955	0.059081	-0.79%	0.05822	-2.23%	0.0301	✗	1.25
2026-03-25	oos	0.06146	0.061073	-0.63%	0.05955	-3.11%	0.0205	✗	1.27
2026-03-24	oos	0.06123	0.060848	-0.62%	0.06146	+0.38%	0.0038	✓	1.27
2026-03-23	oos	0.06042	0.060083	-0.56%	0.06123	+1.34%	0.0250	✗	1.27
2026-03-22	oos	0.05996	0.059667	-0.49%	0.06042	+0.77%	0.0470	✓	1.36
2026-03-21	oos	0.06205	0.061697	-0.57%	0.05996	-3.37%	0.0075	✓	1.35
2026-03-20	oos	0.064805	0.064267	-0.83%	0.06205	-4.25%	0.0047	✓	1.34
2026-03-19	oos	0.06271	0.062308	-0.64%	0.064805	+3.34%	0.0283	✗	1.33
2026-03-18	oos	0.06176	0.061268	-0.80%	0.06271	+1.54%	0.0488	✗	1.36
2026-03-17	oos	0.06426	0.063741	-0.81%	0.06176	-3.89%	0.0191	✗	1.37
2026-03-16	oos	0.06635	0.065594	-1.14%	0.06426	-3.15%	0.0032	✓	1.36
2026-03-15	oos	0.0613	0.060511	-1.29%	0.06635	+8.24%	0.0556	✗	1.31
2026-03-14	oos	0.05555	0.055163	-0.70%	0.0613	+10.35%	0.0778	✗	1.25
2026-03-13	oos	0.0562	0.055524	-1.20%	0.05555	-1.16%	0.0046	✓	1.25
2026-03-12	oos	0.05381	0.053472	-0.63%	0.0562	+4.44%	0.0425	✗	1.24
2026-03-11	oos	0.05232	0.051979	-0.65%	0.05381	+2.85%	0.0289	✗	1.24
2026-03-10	oos	0.05021	0.049938	-0.54%	0.05232	+4.20%	0.0422	✗	1.23
2026-03-09	oos	0.04916	0.048916	-0.50%	0.05021	+2.14%	0.0012	✓	1.24
2026-03-08	oos	0.04734	0.047145	-0.41%	0.04916	+3.84%	0.0040	✓	1.25
2026-03-07	oos	0.04764	0.047448	-0.40%	0.04734	-0.63%	0.0171	✗	1.00
2026-03-06	oos	0.04897	0.048751	-0.45%	0.04764	-2.72%	0.0105	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.04977	0.049555	-0.43%	0.04897	-1.61%	0.0281	✗	1.00
2026-03-04	oos	0.05161	0.051362	-0.48%	0.04977	-3.57%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.04813	0.047914	-0.45%	0.05161	+7.23%	0.0126	✗	1.00
2026-03-02	oos	0.04921	0.04898	-0.47%	0.04813	-2.19%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2026-03-01	oos	0.04711	0.046901	-0.44%	0.04921	+4.46%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-02-28	oos	0.048835	0.048601	-0.48%	0.04711	-3.53%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-02-27	oos	0.048075	0.047849	-0.47%	0.048835	+1.58%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.04965	0.04941	-0.48%	0.048075	-3.17%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.051875	0.051597	-0.54%	0.04965	-4.29%	0.0310	✓	1.00
2026-02-24	oos	0.048075	0.047843	-0.48%	0.051875	+7.90%	0.0215	✗	1.00
2026-02-23	oos	0.04837	0.048132	-0.49%	0.048075	-0.61%	0.0075	✗	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.051055	0.050776	-0.55%	0.04837	-5.26%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-02-21	oos	0.052355	0.052049	-0.58%	0.051055	-2.48%	0.0143	✓	1.00
2026-02-20	oos	0.052145	0.051823	-0.62%	0.052355	+0.40%	0.0106	✗	1.00
2026-02-19	oos	0.051145	0.050847	-0.58%	0.052145	+1.96%	0.0102	✗	1.00
2026-02-18	oos	0.052585	0.052255	-0.63%	0.051145	-2.74%	0.0298	✓	1.00
2026-02-17	oos	0.05454	0.054179	-0.66%	0.052585	-3.58%	0.0142	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.05528	0.054899	-0.69%	0.05454	-1.34%	0.0138	✗	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.055435	0.055042	-0.71%	0.05528	-0.28%	0.0034	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.