CARDS

Collector Crypt · Solana · gru_s5

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 21 predictions shown

direction hit

40.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0994

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0161

actual +0.0161

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.37764	0.370602	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.376255	0.367602	-2.30%	0.37764	+0.37%	0.0246	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.341225	0.333811	-2.17%	0.376255	+10.27%	0.1067	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.332115	0.325149	-2.10%	0.341225	+2.74%	0.0349	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.25713	0.255208	-0.75%	0.332115	+29.16%	0.2655	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.271445	0.269425	-0.74%	0.25713	-5.27%	0.0544	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.29283	0.28955	-1.12%	0.271445	-7.30%	0.0631	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.349415	0.34294	-1.85%	0.29283	-16.19%	0.1503	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.31083	0.305368	-1.76%	0.349415	+12.41%	0.1279	✗	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.279395	0.274826	-1.64%	0.31083	+11.25%	0.1418	✗	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.2734	0.270783	-0.96%	0.279395	+2.19%	0.0148	✗	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.32592	0.321091	-1.48%	0.2734	-16.11%	0.1374	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	0.31055	0.304881	-1.83%	0.32592	+4.95%	0.0575	✗	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	0.29286	0.287445	-1.85%	0.31055	+6.04%	0.0729	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.25146	0.248155	-1.31%	0.29286	+16.46%	0.1553	✗	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.272395	0.268778	-1.33%	0.25146	-7.69%	0.0474	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.310145	0.304572	-1.80%	0.272395	-12.17%	0.0848	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.285115	0.279427	-2.00%	0.310145	+8.78%	0.1067	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.23562	0.233653	-0.83%	0.285115	+21.01%	0.2079	✗	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.26884	0.264082	-1.77%	0.23562	-12.36%	0.1347	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.2746	0.26818	-2.34%	0.26884	-2.10%	0.0003	✓	1.00