BP

Backpack · Solana · gru_s5

token id: #474
symbol: BP
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: BPxxfRCXkUVhig4HS1Lh7kZqV6SPJhzfEk4x6fVBjPCy
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-23
predictions: 612

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

197

of 204 predictions shown

direction hit

54.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1610

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0243

actual +0.0676

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.0984	1.0588	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-20	oos	1.0962	1.0615	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-19	oos	1.1594	1.1198	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-18	oos	1.1091	1.0751	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-17	oos	0.97705	0.965113	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	1.0034	0.98666	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-15	oos	1.0144	0.994222	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	1.0044	0.986003	-1.83%	1.0984	+9.37%	0.0900	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	1.0445	1.0176	-2.57%	1.0962	+4.96%	0.0771	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	1.0973	1.0654	-2.90%	1.1594	+5.66%	0.0829	✗	1.36
2026-10-11	oos	1.1975	1.1557	-3.49%	1.1091	-7.39%	0.0157	✓	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	1.1394	1.1026	-3.22%	0.97705	-14.24%	0.0972	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	1.2027	1.1624	-3.35%	1.0034	-16.57%	0.1308	✓	1.28
2026-10-08	oos	1.126	1.0904	-3.16%	1.0144	-9.91%	0.0789	✓	1.26
2026-10-07	oos	1.0901	1.0544	-3.27%	1.0044	-7.87%	0.0217	✓	1.30
2026-10-06	oos	1.1856	1.1424	-3.64%	1.0445	-11.90%	0.0536	✓	1.24
2026-10-05	oos	1.2399	1.1938	-3.72%	1.0973	-11.50%	0.0239	✓	1.26
2026-10-04	oos	1.2509	1.2052	-3.65%	1.1975	-4.26%	0.0353	✓	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	1.2619	1.2167	-3.59%	1.1394	-9.72%	0.0377	✓	1.28
2026-10-02	oos	1.1594	1.1194	-3.45%	1.2027	+3.74%	0.1016	✗	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	1.268	1.2203	-3.77%	1.126	-11.21%	0.0334	✓	1.24
2026-09-30	oos	1.2865	1.2368	-3.86%	1.0901	-15.26%	0.1222	✓	1.22
2026-09-29	oos	1.1463	1.1054	-3.57%	1.1856	+3.42%	0.0426	✗	1.22
2026-09-28	oos	1.2709	1.223	-3.76%	1.2399	-2.44%	0.0202	✓	1.25
2026-09-27	oos	1.3501	1.2935	-4.19%	1.2509	-7.35%	0.0608	✓	1.14
2026-09-26	oos	1.3079	1.2527	-4.22%	1.2619	-3.51%	0.0029	✓	1.15
2026-09-25	oos	1.3502	1.2745	-5.61%	1.1594	-14.14%	0.1005	✓	1.19
2026-09-24	oos	1.0486	1.0052	-4.14%	1.268	+20.93%	0.2255	✗	1.25
2026-09-23	oos	0.848	0.819159	-3.40%	1.2865	+51.70%	0.4638	✗	1.27
2026-09-22	oos	0.76025	0.737789	-2.95%	1.1463	+50.78%	0.4845	✗	1.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.89395	0.858786	-3.93%	1.2709	+42.16%	0.4425	✗	1.37
2026-09-20	oos	0.82965	0.790625	-4.70%	1.3501	+62.73%	0.4773	✗	1.45
2026-09-19	oos	0.64225	0.624861	-2.71%	1.3079	+103.64%	0.6823	✗	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.57225	0.560421	-2.07%	1.3502	+135.95%	0.8237	✗	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.5342	0.524992	-1.72%	1.0486	+96.29%	0.5443	✗	1.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.4646	0.461747	-0.61%	0.848	+82.52%	0.4575	✗	1.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.4664	0.463643	-0.59%	0.76025	+63.00%	0.3296	✗	1.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.5093	0.503757	-1.09%	0.89395	+75.53%	0.4594	✗	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.4988	0.494487	-0.86%	0.82965	+66.33%	0.4559	✗	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.5479	0.53966	-1.50%	0.64225	+17.22%	0.1209	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.56005	0.551365	-1.55%	0.57225	+2.18%	0.0210	✓	1.25
2026-09-10	oos	0.5563	0.547853	-1.52%	0.5342	-3.97%	0.0220	✓	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.59295	0.581767	-1.89%	0.4646	-21.65%	0.1899	✓	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.573	0.564267	-1.52%	0.4664	-18.60%	0.1412	✓	1.32
2026-09-07	oos	0.51165	0.51057	-0.21%	0.5093	-0.46%	0.0135	✗	1.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.4892	0.492537	+0.68%	0.4988	+1.96%	0.0765	✓	1.42
2026-09-05	oos	0.43585	0.445245	+2.16%	0.5479	+25.71%	0.2534	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.4332	0.443101	+2.29%	0.56005	+29.28%	0.2806	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.45165	0.463138	+2.54%	0.5563	+23.17%	0.2713	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.42545	0.430951	+1.29%	0.59295	+39.37%	0.3013	✓	1.42
2026-09-01	oos	0.3946	0.401409	+1.73%	0.573	+45.21%	0.3362	✓	1.46
2026-08-31	oos	0.4092	0.416502	+1.78%	0.51165	+25.04%	0.2002	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.4054	0.409823	+1.09%	0.4892	+20.67%	0.1618	✓	0.45
2026-08-29	oos	0.4135	0.417148	+0.88%	0.43585	+5.41%	0.0335	✓	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.4334	0.43509	+0.39%	0.4332	-0.05%	0.0164	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.4455	0.449272	+0.85%	0.45165	+1.38%	0.0010	✓	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.4339	0.436298	+0.55%	0.42545	-1.95%	0.0141	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.4389	0.440124	+0.28%	0.3946	-10.09%	0.1018	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.4103	0.412592	+0.56%	0.4092	-0.27%	0.0056	✗	0.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.4431	0.442695	-0.09%	0.4054	-8.51%	0.0876	✓	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.4304	0.429595	-0.19%	0.4135	-3.93%	0.0463	✓	0.53
2026-08-21	oos	0.4728	0.469091	-0.78%	0.4334	-8.33%	0.0761	✓	0.49
2026-08-20	oos	0.4026	0.398727	-0.96%	0.4455	+10.66%	0.0874	✗	0.25
2026-08-19	oos	0.4004	0.392641	-1.94%	0.4339	+8.37%	0.0612	✗	0.29
2026-08-18	oos	0.3608	0.353136	-2.12%	0.4389	+21.65%	0.1946	✗	0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.3692	0.360947	-2.24%	0.4103	+11.13%	0.1060	✗	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.3661	0.357943	-2.23%	0.4431	+21.03%	0.1890	✗	0.12
2026-08-15	oos	0.3707	0.362082	-2.32%	0.4304	+16.10%	0.1490	✗	0.12
2026-08-14	oos	0.3817	0.372222	-2.48%	0.4728	+23.87%	0.2108	✗	0.13
2026-08-13	oos	0.3807	0.370892	-2.58%	0.4026	+5.75%	0.0631	✗	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.3817	0.37167	-2.63%	0.4004	+4.90%	0.0594	✗	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.3759	0.365933	-2.65%	0.3608	-4.02%	0.0168	✓	0.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.3539	0.345026	-2.51%	0.3692	+4.32%	0.0664	✗	0.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.4022	0.390064	-3.02%	0.3661	-8.98%	0.0595	✓	0.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.3854	0.374675	-2.78%	0.3707	-3.81%	0.0072	✓	0.12
2026-08-07	oos	0.4063	0.394147	-2.99%	0.3817	-6.05%	0.0285	✓	0.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.4411	0.425988	-3.43%	0.3807	-13.69%	0.1104	✓	0.15
2026-08-05	oos	0.4013	0.389166	-3.02%	0.3817	-4.88%	0.0162	✓	0.17
2026-08-04	oos	0.3902	0.378792	-2.92%	0.3759	-3.66%	0.0062	✓	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	0.3691	0.359616	-2.57%	0.3539	-4.12%	0.0172	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.3812	0.370935	-2.69%	0.4022	+5.51%	0.0779	✗	0.14
2026-08-01	oos	0.3678	0.359747	-2.19%	0.3854	+4.79%	0.0657	✗	0.09
2026-07-31	oos	0.3676	0.360099	-2.04%	0.4063	+10.53%	0.1176	✗	0.10
2026-07-30	oos	0.4028	0.39081	-2.98%	0.4411	+9.51%	0.1212	✗	0.02
2026-07-29	oos	0.4315	0.418106	-3.10%	0.4013	-7.00%	0.0418	✓	0.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.4521	0.437217	-3.29%	0.3902	-13.69%	0.1140	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4452	0.431675	-3.04%	0.3691	-17.09%	0.1563	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.4715	0.455262	-3.44%	0.3812	-19.15%	0.1767	✓	0.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.4618	0.447853	-3.02%	0.3678	-20.36%	0.1964	✓	0.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.4467	0.435543	-2.50%	0.3676	-17.71%	0.1692	✓	0.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.4334	0.424048	-2.16%	0.4028	-7.06%	0.0513	✓	0.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.4646	0.450707	-2.99%	0.4315	-7.12%	0.0438	✓	-0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.4645	0.451788	-2.74%	0.4521	-2.67%	0.0003	✓	-0.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.4481	0.439575	-1.90%	0.4452	-0.65%	0.0118	✓	-0.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.4327	0.427762	-1.14%	0.4715	+8.97%	0.0979	✗	-0.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.4838	0.472081	-2.42%	0.4618	-4.55%	0.0223	✓	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.472	0.462637	-1.98%	0.4467	-5.36%	0.0350	✓	-0.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.5022	0.48905	-2.62%	0.4334	-13.70%	0.1208	✓	-0.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.5499	0.531299	-3.38%	0.4646	-15.51%	0.1315	✓	-0.13
2026-07-14	oos	0.5377	0.519719	-3.34%	0.4645	-13.61%	0.1097	✓	-0.11
2026-07-13	oos	0.5299	0.514242	-2.95%	0.4481	-15.44%	0.1313	✓	-0.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.556	0.536827	-3.45%	0.4327	-22.18%	0.2130	✓	-0.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.5853	0.564042	-3.63%	0.4838	-17.34%	0.1514	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.5659	0.545493	-3.61%	0.472	-16.59%	0.1450	✓	-0.09
2026-07-09	oos	0.544	0.525239	-3.45%	0.5022	-7.68%	0.0439	✓	-0.10
2026-07-08	oos	0.5505	0.531417	-3.47%	0.5499	-0.11%	0.0380	✗	-0.10
2026-07-07	oos	0.5861	0.563807	-3.80%	0.5377	-8.26%	0.0436	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.5768	0.554672	-3.84%	0.5299	-8.13%	0.0493	✓	-0.13
2026-07-05	oos	0.5198	0.500519	-3.71%	0.556	+6.96%	0.1054	✗	-0.12
2026-07-04	oos	0.5456	0.524346	-3.90%	0.5853	+7.28%	0.1111	✗	-0.10
2026-07-03	oos	0.5821	0.558558	-4.04%	0.5659	-2.78%	0.0161	✓	-0.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.616	0.591276	-4.01%	0.544	-11.69%	0.0811	✓	-0.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.6116	0.587433	-3.95%	0.5505	-9.99%	0.0622	✓	-0.07
2026-06-30	oos	0.5575	0.537577	-3.57%	0.5861	+5.13%	0.0948	✗	-0.11
2026-06-29	oos	0.5169	0.498609	-3.54%	0.5768	+11.59%	0.1494	✗	-0.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.4789	0.462778	-3.37%	0.5198	+8.54%	0.1234	✗	-0.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.5447	0.52483	-3.65%	0.5456	+0.17%	0.0450	✗	-0.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.5608	0.540138	-3.68%	0.5821	+3.80%	0.0795	✗	-0.11
2026-06-25	oos	0.5105	0.492302	-3.56%	0.616	+20.67%	0.2279	✗	-0.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.6027	0.58033	-3.71%	0.6116	+1.48%	0.0477	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.59	0.568214	-3.69%	0.5575	-5.51%	0.0204	✓	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.6595	0.632646	-4.07%	0.5169	-21.62%	0.2096	✓	-0.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.6834	0.651774	-4.63%	0.4789	-29.92%	0.3135	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.6577	0.626884	-4.69%	0.5447	-17.18%	0.1458	✓	-0.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.5807	0.555861	-4.28%	0.5608	-3.43%	0.0021	✓	-0.12
2026-06-18	oos	0.592	0.560673	-5.29%	0.5105	-13.77%	0.0995	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.4729	0.450513	-4.73%	0.6027	+27.45%	0.2931	✗	0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.4182	0.400832	-4.15%	0.59	+41.08%	0.3911	✗	0.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.4219	0.403983	-4.25%	0.6595	+56.32%	0.4934	✗	0.09
2026-06-14	oos	0.4896	0.46024	-6.00%	0.6834	+39.58%	0.4006	✗	0.14
2026-06-13	oos	0.335	0.31992	-4.50%	0.6577	+96.33%	0.7204	✗	-0.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.291	0.278399	-4.33%	0.5807	+99.55%	0.7350	✗	-0.16
2026-06-11	oos	0.2692	0.258033	-4.15%	0.592	+119.91%	0.8287	✗	-0.16
2026-06-10	oos	0.2411	0.232141	-3.72%	0.4729	+96.14%	0.7255	✗	-0.29
2026-06-09	oos	0.2476	0.237853	-3.94%	0.4182	+68.90%	0.5826	✗	-0.30
2026-06-08	oos	0.2589	0.248139	-4.16%	0.4219	+62.96%	0.5472	✗	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.2575	0.2464	-4.31%	0.4896	+90.14%	0.6989	✗	-0.33
2026-06-06	oos	0.2271	0.218804	-3.65%	0.335	+47.51%	0.4561	✗	-0.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.2316	0.222429	-3.96%	0.291	+25.65%	0.2900	✗	-0.53
2026-06-04	oos	0.2341	0.224277	-4.20%	0.2692	+14.99%	0.1804	✗	-0.58
2026-06-03	oos	0.2857	0.266394	-6.76%	0.2411	-15.61%	0.1245	✓	-0.60
2026-06-02	oos	0.1773	0.171363	-3.35%	0.2476	+39.65%	0.3752	✗	0.09
2026-06-01	oos	0.149	0.145564	-2.31%	0.2589	+73.76%	0.6595	✗	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.163	0.158595	-2.70%	0.2575	+57.98%	0.5722	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.1626	0.157675	-3.03%	0.2271	+39.67%	0.4773	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.1421	0.138944	-2.22%	0.2316	+62.98%	0.6122	✗	0.55
2026-05-28	oos	0.1254	0.123294	-1.68%	0.2341	+86.68%	0.7214	✗	0.57
2026-05-27	oos	0.1253	0.123255	-1.63%	0.2857	+128.01%	0.9265	✗	0.58
2026-05-26	oos	0.12	0.118342	-1.38%	0.1773	+47.75%	0.4876	✗	0.65
2026-05-25	oos	0.1201	0.11855	-1.29%	0.149	+24.06%	0.2821	✗	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.124	0.122327	-1.35%	0.163	+31.45%	0.3174	✗	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.1315	0.129464	-1.55%	0.1626	+23.65%	0.2539	✗	0.68
2026-05-22	oos	0.1326	0.130331	-1.71%	0.1421	+7.16%	0.1056	✗	0.69
2026-05-21	oos	0.1343	0.131976	-1.73%	0.1254	-6.63%	0.0130	✓	0.71
2026-05-20	oos	0.132	0.129851	-1.63%	0.1253	-5.08%	0.0060	✓	0.71
2026-05-19	oos	0.1354	0.133076	-1.72%	0.12	-11.37%	0.0945	✓	0.72
2026-05-18	oos	0.1376	0.135243	-1.71%	0.1201	-12.72%	0.1216	✓	0.72
2026-05-17	oos	0.1406	0.138206	-1.70%	0.124	-11.81%	0.1044	✓	0.72
2026-05-16	oos	0.1434	0.141019	-1.66%	0.1315	-8.30%	0.0564	✓	0.72
2026-05-15	oos	0.1443	0.142067	-1.55%	0.1326	-8.11%	0.0349	✓	0.73
2026-05-14	oos	0.1495	0.147382	-1.42%	0.1343	-10.17%	0.0611	✓	0.72
2026-05-13	oos	0.151	0.148497	-1.66%	0.132	-12.58%	0.1008	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.1476	0.145487	-1.43%	0.1354	-8.27%	0.0349	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.1573	0.154937	-1.50%	0.1376	-12.52%	0.0743	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.151	0.149035	-1.30%	0.1406	-6.89%	0.0122	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.1504	0.148168	-1.48%	0.1434	-4.65%	0.0081	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.1498	0.147476	-1.55%	0.1443	-3.67%	0.0109	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.1431	0.140988	-1.48%	0.1495	+4.47%	0.0484	✗	0.77
2026-05-06	oos	0.1475	0.145464	-1.38%	0.151	+2.37%	0.0577	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.1451	0.143057	-1.41%	0.1476	+1.72%	0.0352	✗	0.75
2026-05-04	oos	0.1507	0.148263	-1.62%	0.1573	+4.38%	0.0411	✗	0.78
2026-05-03	oos	0.1578	0.154796	-1.90%	0.151	-4.31%	0.0620	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.1554	0.152523	-1.85%	0.1504	-3.22%	0.0346	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.1461	0.143578	-1.73%	0.1498	+2.53%	0.0223	✗	0.81
2026-04-30	oos	0.1427	0.140007	-1.89%	0.1431	+0.28%	0.0154	✓	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.1429	0.140124	-1.94%	0.1475	+3.22%	0.0055	✓	0.78
2026-04-28	oos	0.1479	0.14499	-1.97%	0.1451	-1.89%	0.0445	✓	0.77
2026-04-27	oos	0.1495	0.146713	-1.86%	0.1507	+0.80%	0.0018	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.1465	0.14413	-1.62%	0.1578	+7.71%	0.0919	✗	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.1442	0.141725	-1.72%	0.1554	+7.77%	0.0810	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.1421	0.139722	-1.67%	0.1461	+2.81%	0.0362	✗	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.1417	0.139553	-1.51%	0.1427	+0.71%	0.0447	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.1404	0.138281	-1.51%	0.1429	+1.78%	0.0610	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.1404	0.137928	-1.76%	0.1479	+5.34%	0.0702	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.1408	0.138246	-1.81%	0.1495	+6.18%	0.0587	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.1367	0.134083	-1.91%	0.1465	+7.17%	0.0249	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.1404	0.137932	-1.76%	0.1442	+2.71%	0.0195	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.1379	0.135805	-1.52%	0.1421	+3.05%	0.0406	✗	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.1495	0.146631	-1.92%	0.1417	-5.22%	0.0749	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.1394	0.136938	-1.77%	0.1404	+0.72%	0.0191	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.1439	0.141153	-1.91%	0.1404	-2.43%	0.0342	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.1496	0.146656	-1.97%	0.1408	-5.88%	0.0596	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.1443	0.141147	-2.19%	0.1367	-5.27%	0.0745	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.1479	0.144891	-2.03%	0.1404	-5.07%	0.0671	✓	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.1474	0.14441	-2.03%	0.1379	-6.45%	0.1008	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.1478	0.144681	-2.11%	0.1495	+1.15%	0.0130	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.1503	0.147075	-2.15%	0.1394	-7.25%	0.1050	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.1543	0.151072	-2.09%	0.1439	-6.74%	0.0797	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.1488	0.145474	-2.24%	0.1496	+0.54%	0.0501	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.1473	0.144095	-2.18%	0.1443	-2.04%	0.0236	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.1534	0.149929	-2.26%	0.1479	-3.59%	0.0962	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.1494	0.146175	-2.16%	0.1474	-1.34%	0.0780	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.1444	0.141445	-2.05%	0.1478	+2.35%	0.0268	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.1506	0.14758	-2.01%	0.1503	-0.20%	0.0245	✓	1.00