BATON
baton · Solana · gru_s5
- token id
- #670
- symbol
- BATON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- Hg5Ja55T5wESq4vyFoiVCMeHXtGyVA69X2UHq8hgpump
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-13
- predictions
- 90
Track record at +1d
assessed
29
of 30 predictions shown
direction hit
48.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2736
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0215
actual +0.0485
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00772 | 0.007631 | -1.15% | – | pending | – | – | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00768 | 0.007584 | -1.25% | 0.00772 | +0.52% | 0.0290 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.007125 | 0.007049 | -1.07% | 0.00768 | +7.79% | 0.0352 | ✗ | 3.79 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00669 | 0.006625 | -0.97% | 0.007125 | +6.50% | 0.0806 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00824 | 0.008137 | -1.25% | 0.00669 | -18.81% | 0.2258 | ✓ | 3.92 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.009189 | 0.009061 | -1.39% | 0.00824 | -10.33% | 0.0893 | ✓ | 3.89 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.011797 | 0.011519 | -2.35% | 0.009189 | -22.11% | 0.1976 | ✓ | 3.72 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.008406 | 0.00829 | -1.38% | 0.011797 | +40.34% | 0.3282 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.012632 | 0.012407 | -1.78% | 0.008406 | -33.45% | 0.3328 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.012615 | 0.012393 | -1.76% | 0.012632 | +0.13% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.016412 | 0.01589 | -3.18% | 0.012615 | -23.13% | 0.2073 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.012334 | 0.012055 | -2.27% | 0.016412 | +33.06% | 0.2994 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.012115 | 0.011842 | -2.26% | 0.012334 | +1.81% | 0.0363 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.014529 | 0.013887 | -4.42% | 0.012115 | -16.61% | 0.1468 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.008748 | 0.008552 | -2.24% | 0.014529 | +66.08% | 0.5492 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.009494 | 0.0092 | -3.10% | 0.008748 | -7.86% | 0.0236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.008108 | 0.007921 | -2.32% | 0.009494 | +17.09% | 0.1837 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01241 | 0.011654 | -6.10% | 0.008108 | -34.66% | 0.3539 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003733 | 0.003653 | -2.13% | 0.01241 | +232.50% | 1.2024 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0029 | 0.002858 | -1.45% | 0.003733 | +28.71% | 0.2642 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004281 | 0.004136 | -3.38% | 0.0029 | -32.26% | 0.3511 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00275 | 0.002709 | -1.49% | 0.004281 | +55.67% | 0.4423 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.004067 | 0.003951 | -2.88% | 0.00275 | -32.39% | 0.3613 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003193 | 0.003115 | -2.43% | 0.004067 | +27.39% | 0.2645 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.002944 | 0.002844 | -3.41% | 0.003193 | +8.46% | 0.1278 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.001723 | -1.07% | 0.002944 | +69.00% | 0.5349 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.002018 | 0.001969 | -2.39% | 0.001742 | -13.66% | 0.1265 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.001114 | 0.001109 | -0.45% | 0.002018 | +81.10% | 0.6019 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001269 | 0.001263 | -0.47% | 0.001114 | -12.21% | 0.1256 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001973 | 0.001956 | -0.88% | 0.001269 | -35.68% | 0.4111 | ✓ | 1.00 |