BASECAT
Basecat · Base · gru_s5
- token id
- #592
- symbol
- BASECAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb2000000000000000000004c27f6523082f41d01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +7d
assessed
44
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
61.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2639
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0156
actual -0.2156
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.01203 | 0.011455 | -4.78% | – | pending | – | – | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.01208 | 0.011491 | -4.88% | – | pending | – | – | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01172 | 0.011169 | -4.70% | – | pending | – | – | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.011662 | -5.00% | – | pending | – | – | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01293 | 0.012212 | -5.55% | – | pending | – | – | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.012765 | 0.012069 | -5.45% | – | pending | – | – | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012975 | 0.012236 | -5.69% | – | pending | – | – | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012161 | -5.73% | 0.01203 | -6.74% | 0.0820 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.012605 | 0.011944 | -5.25% | 0.01208 | -4.17% | 0.0724 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.013565 | 0.012707 | -6.33% | 0.01172 | -13.60% | 0.0753 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.013175 | 0.01244 | -5.58% | 0.012275 | -6.83% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01678 | 0.015013 | -10.53% | 0.01293 | -22.94% | 0.0971 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01299 | 0.012465 | -4.04% | 0.012765 | -1.73% | 0.0698 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011325 | 0.011285 | -0.35% | 0.012975 | +14.57% | 0.1706 | ✗ | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.01146 | 0.011488 | +0.24% | 0.0129 | +12.57% | 0.1030 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01295 | 0.012673 | -2.14% | 0.012605 | -2.66% | 0.0441 | ✗ | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01176 | 0.011763 | +0.03% | 0.013565 | +15.35% | 0.2209 | ✓ | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.0127 | -1.55% | 0.013175 | +2.13% | 0.1657 | ✗ | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01304 | 0.012839 | -1.54% | 0.01678 | +28.68% | 0.3582 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.013365 | 0.01325 | -0.86% | 0.01299 | -2.81% | 0.0411 | ✗ | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01108 | 0.011456 | +3.39% | 0.011325 | +2.21% | 0.0537 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0119 | 0.012226 | +2.74% | 0.01146 | -3.70% | 0.0401 | ✓ | 2.76 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.012285 | 0.01266 | +3.05% | 0.01295 | +5.41% | 0.0321 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.013715 | 0.013925 | +1.53% | 0.01176 | -14.25% | 0.2318 | ✗ | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.014675 | 0.014774 | +0.67% | 0.0129 | -12.10% | 0.2114 | ✗ | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01592 | 0.015716 | -1.28% | 0.01304 | -18.09% | 0.2530 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.016155 | 0.015942 | -1.32% | 0.013365 | -17.27% | 0.1870 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01685 | 0.016544 | -1.82% | 0.01108 | -34.24% | 0.4144 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01852 | 0.017873 | -3.50% | 0.0119 | -35.75% | 0.4218 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01875 | 0.018145 | -3.23% | 0.012285 | -34.48% | 0.3631 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.0173 | 0.017012 | -1.66% | 0.013715 | -20.72% | 0.1853 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.019505 | 0.018787 | -3.68% | 0.014675 | -24.76% | 0.2101 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01746 | 0.017631 | +0.98% | 0.01592 | -8.82% | 0.1420 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.018945 | 0.018987 | +0.22% | 0.016155 | -14.73% | 0.1999 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02233 | 0.021886 | -1.99% | 0.01685 | -24.54% | 0.3005 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.01693 | 0.017593 | +3.92% | 0.01852 | +9.39% | 0.0487 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.016355 | 0.017066 | +4.35% | 0.01875 | +14.64% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.020295 | 0.020883 | +2.90% | 0.0173 | -14.76% | 0.3196 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.021846 | +2.37% | 0.019505 | -8.60% | 0.2156 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.021645 | 0.022198 | +2.56% | 0.01746 | -19.33% | 0.2953 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.022805 | 0.0232 | +1.73% | 0.018945 | -16.93% | 0.2527 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.02132 | 0.021448 | +0.60% | 0.02233 | +4.74% | 0.0061 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.031655 | 0.031482 | -0.55% | 0.01693 | -46.52% | 0.6179 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.03201 | 0.031685 | -1.01% | 0.016355 | -48.91% | 0.6336 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.039 | 0.038161 | -2.15% | 0.020295 | -47.96% | 0.5942 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.042955 | 0.041815 | -2.65% | 0.02134 | -50.32% | 0.6610 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.0556 | 0.052898 | -4.86% | 0.021645 | -61.07% | 0.8485 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.070397 | -9.54% | 0.022805 | -70.70% | 1.0945 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.057 | 0.052853 | -7.27% | 0.02132 | -62.60% | 0.8764 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0465 | 0.044019 | -5.34% | 0.031655 | -31.92% | 0.2698 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.02865 | 0.028377 | -0.95% | 0.03201 | +11.73% | 0.1079 | ✗ | 1.00 |