BASECAT
Basecat · Base · gru_s5
- token id
- #592
- symbol
- BASECAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb2000000000000000000004c27f6523082f41d01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
59.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1083
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0037
actual -0.0185
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.012065 | 0.011966 | -0.82% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01172 | 0.011626 | -0.80% | 0.012065 | +2.94% | 0.0452 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.012166 | -0.88% | 0.01172 | -4.52% | 0.0750 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01293 | 0.012794 | -1.05% | 0.012275 | -5.07% | 0.0356 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.012765 | 0.012639 | -0.99% | 0.01293 | +1.29% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012975 | 0.01284 | -1.04% | 0.012765 | -1.62% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012766 | -1.04% | 0.012975 | +0.58% | 0.0378 | ✗ | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.012605 | 0.0125 | -0.84% | 0.0129 | +2.34% | 0.0123 | ✗ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.013565 | 0.013416 | -1.10% | 0.012605 | -7.08% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.013175 | 0.013062 | -0.86% | 0.013565 | +2.96% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01678 | 0.0163 | -2.86% | 0.013175 | -21.48% | 0.1522 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01299 | 0.012896 | -0.73% | 0.01678 | +29.18% | 0.2405 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011325 | 0.011345 | +0.18% | 0.01299 | +14.70% | 0.1246 | ✓ | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.01146 | 0.011491 | +0.27% | 0.011325 | -1.18% | 0.0400 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01295 | 0.01292 | -0.23% | 0.01146 | -11.51% | 0.0741 | ✓ | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01176 | 0.011782 | +0.19% | 0.01295 | +10.12% | 0.1673 | ✓ | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012887 | -0.10% | 0.01176 | -8.84% | 0.0850 | ✓ | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01304 | 0.013006 | -0.26% | 0.0129 | -1.07% | 0.0158 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.013365 | 0.013353 | -0.09% | 0.01304 | -2.43% | 0.0812 | ✓ | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01108 | 0.011158 | +0.71% | 0.013365 | +20.62% | 0.1727 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0119 | 0.01197 | +0.59% | 0.01108 | -6.89% | 0.0661 | ✗ | 2.76 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.012285 | 0.012363 | +0.64% | 0.0119 | -3.13% | 0.0813 | ✗ | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.013715 | 0.013769 | +0.39% | 0.012285 | -10.43% | 0.1113 | ✗ | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.014675 | 0.014712 | +0.25% | 0.013715 | -6.54% | 0.0763 | ✗ | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01592 | 0.015911 | -0.06% | 0.014675 | -7.82% | 0.0477 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.016155 | 0.01615 | -0.03% | 0.01592 | -1.45% | 0.0158 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01685 | 0.016836 | -0.08% | 0.016155 | -4.12% | 0.0519 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01852 | 0.01845 | -0.38% | 0.01685 | -9.02% | 0.0812 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01875 | 0.018678 | -0.39% | 0.01852 | -1.23% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.0173 | 0.017294 | -0.03% | 0.01875 | +8.38% | 0.1021 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.019505 | 0.019424 | -0.42% | 0.0173 | -11.30% | 0.1112 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01746 | 0.017522 | +0.36% | 0.019505 | +11.71% | 0.0424 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.018945 | 0.018981 | +0.19% | 0.01746 | -7.84% | 0.0826 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02233 | 0.022232 | -0.44% | 0.018945 | -15.16% | 0.1644 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.01693 | 0.017052 | +0.72% | 0.02233 | +31.90% | 0.2120 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.016355 | 0.016498 | +0.88% | 0.01693 | +3.52% | 0.0232 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.020295 | 0.020391 | +0.47% | 0.016355 | -19.41% | 0.2279 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.021421 | +0.38% | 0.020295 | -4.90% | 0.0203 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.021645 | 0.021733 | +0.41% | 0.02134 | -1.41% | 0.0360 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.022805 | 0.022891 | +0.38% | 0.021645 | -5.09% | 0.0500 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.02132 | 0.021439 | +0.56% | 0.022805 | +6.97% | 0.0611 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.031655 | 0.03162 | -0.11% | 0.02132 | -32.65% | 0.4029 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.03201 | 0.03195 | -0.19% | 0.031655 | -1.11% | 0.0133 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.039 | 0.038865 | -0.35% | 0.03201 | -17.92% | 0.1920 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.042955 | 0.042756 | -0.46% | 0.039 | -9.21% | 0.0838 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.0556 | 0.054996 | -1.09% | 0.042955 | -22.74% | 0.2315 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.075251 | -3.30% | 0.0556 | -28.55% | 0.3090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.057 | 0.055546 | -2.55% | 0.07782 | +36.53% | 0.3352 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0465 | 0.045388 | -2.39% | 0.057 | +22.58% | 0.2475 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.02865 | 0.028605 | -0.16% | 0.0465 | +62.30% | 0.4360 | ✗ | 1.00 |